USDCHF trade ideas
USDCHF - Dollar will continue to grow after FOMC?!The USDCHF currency pair is above EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is moving in its upward channel. In case of upward correction, we can see the supply zone and sell within that zone with appropriate risk reward. The bottom of the ascending channel will be the target of this move.
The Federal Reserve recently reduced its interest rate by 0.25%, bringing it to 4.75%. The Fed’s statement indicates that the “labor market has cooled,” whereas the previous statement had only mentioned a “slower job market growth.” Additionally, there appears to be a slight decline in confidence regarding inflation reduction.
Jerome Powell, the Federal Reserve Chair, emphasized that he will remain in his role until the end of his term. When asked about fiscal policies, Powell stated that such matters are outside the Fed’s authority. He added that if the economy remains strong and inflation does not reach the 2% target, monetary policy adjustments may occur at a slower pace. He also highlighted that the policies of any administration or Congress could have significant economic impacts, but these effects will be evaluated alongside other factors.
The recent report on Switzerland’s consumer inflation index indicates that the global landscape has not changed significantly from the pre-COVID era. After the inflation shock of the COVID period, some banking officials speculated that the world was entering a new phase where zero or negative interest rates were unlikely, and the neutral rate would be higher. However, there is no strong evidence to support this claim, especially with the major transformations anticipated from the growth of artificial intelligence. Furthermore, many analysts believe that the risks associated with de-globalization and demographic arguments are not as compelling.
In September, the Swiss National Bank revised its inflation forecast for 2025 from 1.1% to 0.6% and also adjusted the interest rate. The inflation forecast for this year was revised down from 1.3% to 1.2%. The next meeting of the Swiss National Bank is scheduled for December 12, and if current conditions persist (including energy prices and exchange rates), a 50-basis-point rate cut could become a strong option.
Deutsche Bank also sees an increasing likelihood of a return to negative interest rates, noting factors that could lead to higher risk and a stronger Swiss franc. These challenges are not exclusive to Switzerland; Europe as a whole is facing similar issues. Deutsche Bank has indicated that, currently, inflation in Europe does not pose a significant problem.
USD/CHF BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
USD/CHF pair is trading in a local uptrend which we know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is green. On the 8H timeframe the pair is going up too. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 0.866 area.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
USDCHF adding on short1.old resistance area now
2. double top visible on 15m and 1h
3. break last bullish OB
4.price back in last OB for liquidity
5.target TP zone where last liq grab was
Upper we have the setup for initial short entry.
Now we have added a smaller position in the same direction.
Will USDCHF reverse its course due to the new SNB's prospect?Macro theme:
- Swiss inflation unexpectedly slowed to 0.6% in Oct—the lowest in over three years—raising expectations that the SNB may opt for a more significant 0.5% rate cut in Dec to keep inflation within its 0-2% target range.
- Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 0.25% but issued a slightly more hawkish statement.
Technical theme:
- USDCHF broke the descending channel after testing both EMAs, which just golden crossed each other, indicating a bullish momentum exists.
- USDCHF may retest the broken descending trendline, confluence with the support level around 0.8693-0.8700 before resuming its upward movement to retest 0.8825.
- On the contrary, a closing below 08626 may prompt a deeper correction to a nearby support around 0.8550.
Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
Falling towards 50% Fibonacci support?The Swissie (USD/CHF) is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the 1st resistance which acts as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 0.8701
1st Support: 0.8634
1st Resistance: 0.8774
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
BUY USDCHFDear Traders,
We are approaching a key level where we can see strong sellers hammering the price to hit 0.8500. That area is likely to be retested once more before the price continue uprising towards 0.9100 area.
For more info, please read the chart carefully. The charts says about future of this pair.
Good luck and trade safe .
USDCHF Breakout And Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDCHF for a buying opportunity around 0.86800 zone, USDCHF was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 0.86900 support and resistance zone.
Trade safe, Joe.
USDCHF next possible move We are waiting for our asset to reach our action zone, and based on the reaction, we’ll decide on our next moves.ALWAYS WAIT FOR A CONFIRMATION TO SEE IF THE PRICE VALIDATES THE ZONE.
USDCHFin 5min time frame i see a reversal at this support region. i think a tp-1 could be hit from this point
USDCHF SELLUSDCHF has reached an important level- 0.87543, and we can see it failed to break above that level by consolidating, An Head and Shoulder pattern is also reacting on that level which confirms a sell for me. i expect a bearish move to 0.86203 as the next point of support. Let me know what you think in the comment section.
USDCHF Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow Analysis !In this video I will be sharing my USDCHF analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
Short 70 pips on USDCHF1.old resistance area now
2. double top visible on 15m and 1h
3. break last bullish OB
4.price back in last OB for liquidity
5.target TP zone where last liq grab was
USDCHF_106 2024.11.07 08:19:04 Trading Signal SELLFrankPro Signal for USDCHF_106
Type: Screen
Signal: SELL
TP: 0.87033
SL: 0.87593
Entry Price: 0.87523
Analysis for USDCHF
Forecast Overall(Short-Term, Long-Term): ST= Undecided LT= Strong Down
Forecast Methods(Short-Term, Long-Term):
ST=Same LT=Down
ST=Up LT=Down
ST=Down LT=Down
Analysis Method(0)
Based on the provided analysis, here is my assessment of the expected price movement for the USD/CHF currency pair:
**Short-term (next 24-48 hours):**
* The indicative opening price of 0.8650 suggests stability, but the thin liquidity on Monday mornings and geopolitical tensions could lead to increased volatility.
* The technical analysis video emphasizes caution and monitoring key levels, which implies that the price movement might be uncertain or range-bound in the short term.
* The forecast for the week suggests a continuation of the downward trend, but this might not necessarily manifest in the next 24-48 hours.
Expected price movement in the short term: **STAY THE SAME** (range-bound or minimal movement)
**Long-term (next week or beyond):**
* The forecast for the week suggests a continuation of the downward trend, which implies that the price is expected to go down.
* The technical analysis video and the forecast section both indicate a potential downward movement, which supports this assessment.
* The broader market conditions, such as central banks' actions and geopolitical tensions, could also contribute to a downward trend.
Expected price movement in the long term: **GO DOWN** ( continuation of the downward trend)
Please note that these assessments are based on the provided analysis and should not be considered as investment advice. Market conditions can change rapidly, and other factors not mentioned in the analysis could influence the price movement.
Result: ST=Same LT=Down
Analysis Method(1)
Based on the provided analysis, here are my conclusions for the USD/CHF pair:
**Short-term Analysis (next few days):**
The price is expected to **go up**. The pair is in an uptrend, and technical analysis suggests that it will continue higher, targeting levels such as 0.8680 and potentially 0.8750. The intraday bias is also on the upside, with a target of 0.8698. However, there is a risk of a pullback to fill a chart gap, potentially correcting down to 0.8574.
**Long-term Analysis (weeks/months):**
The price is expected to **stay the same** or potentially **go down**. Despite the strong recovery over recent weeks, the longer-term trend for USD/CHF is still considered bearish as long as the 0.9243 resistance holds. A firm break of 0.8332 could resume the larger downtrend from 1.0146 (2022 high).
Please note that these conclusions are based on the provided analysis and are subject to change as new data becomes available.
Result: ST=Up LT=Down
Analysis Method(2)
Based on the provided analysis, here is my assessment of the expected price movement for the USD/CHF pair:
**Short-term analysis (next few days):**
The technical analysis suggests a potential bullish correction, testing the resistance level near 0.8745. However, this is expected to be followed by a downward rebound, continuing the fall. The moving averages indicate a bearish trend, and the RSI supports the decline scenario. Therefore, in the short term, I expect the price to **go down** after a brief attempt to correct upwards.
**Long-term analysis (weeks/months):**
The fundamental overview mentions the influence of safe-haven demand on the Swiss Franc, which could continue to impact the USD/CHF pair. Additionally, the potential for gradual interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve could also affect the pair. However, the technical analysis suggests a bearish trend, with a potential breakout of the lower border of the "Triangle" pattern. Considering these factors, I expect the price to **go down** in the long term, potentially targeting levels below 0.7985.
In summary:
* Short-term: **Go down** (after a brief correction)
* Long-term: **Go down** (targeting levels below 0.7985)
Result: ST=Down LT=Down
USDCHF_106 2024.11.07 06:43:03 Trading Signal SELLFrankPro Signal for USDCHF_106
Type: Screen
Signal: SELL
TP: 0.87208
SL: 0.87552
Entry Price: 0.87509
Analysis for USDCHF
Forecast Overall(Short-Term, Long-Term): ST= Undecided LT= Strong Down
Forecast Methods(Short-Term, Long-Term):
ST=Same LT=Down
ST=Up LT=Down
ST=Down LT=Down
Analysis Method(0)
Based on the provided analysis, here is my assessment of the expected price movement for the USD/CHF currency pair:
**Short-term (next 24-48 hours):**
* The indicative opening price of 0.8650 suggests stability, but the thin liquidity on Monday mornings and geopolitical tensions could lead to increased volatility.
* The technical analysis video emphasizes caution and monitoring key levels, which implies that the price movement might be uncertain or range-bound in the short term.
* The forecast for the week suggests a continuation of the downward trend, but this might not necessarily manifest in the next 24-48 hours.
Expected price movement in the short term: **STAY THE SAME** (range-bound or minimal movement)
**Long-term (next week or beyond):**
* The forecast for the week suggests a continuation of the downward trend, which implies that the price is expected to go down.
* The technical analysis video and the forecast section both indicate a potential downward movement, which supports this assessment.
* The broader market conditions, such as central banks' actions and geopolitical tensions, could also contribute to a downward trend.
Expected price movement in the long term: **GO DOWN** ( continuation of the downward trend)
Please note that these assessments are based on the provided analysis and should not be considered as investment advice. Market conditions can change rapidly, and other factors not mentioned in the analysis could influence the price movement.
Result: ST=Same LT=Down
Analysis Method(1)
Based on the provided analysis, here are my conclusions for the USD/CHF pair:
**Short-term Analysis (next few days):**
The price is expected to **go up**. The pair is in an uptrend, and technical analysis suggests that it will continue higher, targeting levels such as 0.8680 and potentially 0.8750. The intraday bias is also on the upside, with a target of 0.8698. However, there is a risk of a pullback to fill a chart gap, potentially correcting down to 0.8574.
**Long-term Analysis (weeks/months):**
The price is expected to **stay the same** or potentially **go down**. Despite the strong recovery over recent weeks, the longer-term trend for USD/CHF is still considered bearish as long as the 0.9243 resistance holds. A firm break of 0.8332 could resume the larger downtrend from 1.0146 (2022 high).
Please note that these conclusions are based on the provided analysis and are subject to change as new data becomes available.
Result: ST=Up LT=Down
Analysis Method(2)
Based on the provided analysis, here is my assessment of the expected price movement for the USD/CHF pair:
**Short-term analysis (next few days):**
The technical analysis suggests a potential bullish correction, testing the resistance level near 0.8745. However, this is expected to be followed by a downward rebound, continuing the fall. The moving averages indicate a bearish trend, and the RSI supports the decline scenario. Therefore, in the short term, I expect the price to **go down** after a brief attempt to correct upwards.
**Long-term analysis (weeks/months):**
The fundamental overview mentions the influence of safe-haven demand on the Swiss Franc, which could continue to impact the USD/CHF pair. Additionally, the potential for gradual interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve could also affect the pair. However, the technical analysis suggests a bearish trend, with a potential breakout of the lower border of the "Triangle" pattern. Considering these factors, I expect the price to **go down** in the long term, potentially targeting levels below 0.7985.
In summary:
* Short-term: **Go down** (after a brief correction)
* Long-term: **Go down** (targeting levels below 0.7985)
Result: ST=Down LT=Down
USDCHF, Double top with Bearish DivergenceDouble Top Formation
Bearish Divergence
Bearish Activity Expected
Sell at CMP
Target towards its Major resistance
SL above double top
USDCHF_102 2024.11.07 05:39:07 Trading Signal SELLFrankPro Signal for USDCHF_102
Type: Screen
Signal: SELL
TP: 0.87336
SL: 0.87608
Entry Price: 0.87574
Analysis for USDCHF
Forecast Overall(Short-Term, Long-Term): ST= Undecided LT= Strong Down
Forecast Methods(Short-Term, Long-Term):
ST=Same LT=Down
ST=Up LT=Down
ST=Down LT=Down
Analysis Method(0)
Based on the provided analysis, here is my assessment of the expected price movement for the USD/CHF currency pair:
**Short-term (next 24-48 hours):**
* The indicative opening price of 0.8650 suggests stability, but the thin liquidity on Monday mornings and geopolitical tensions could lead to increased volatility.
* The technical analysis video emphasizes caution and monitoring key levels, which implies that the price movement might be uncertain or range-bound in the short term.
* The forecast for the week suggests a continuation of the downward trend, but this might not necessarily manifest in the next 24-48 hours.
Expected price movement in the short term: **STAY THE SAME** (range-bound or minimal movement)
**Long-term (next week or beyond):**
* The forecast for the week suggests a continuation of the downward trend, which implies that the price is expected to go down.
* The technical analysis video and the forecast section both indicate a potential downward movement, which supports this assessment.
* The broader market conditions, such as central banks' actions and geopolitical tensions, could also contribute to a downward trend.
Expected price movement in the long term: **GO DOWN** ( continuation of the downward trend)
Please note that these assessments are based on the provided analysis and should not be considered as investment advice. Market conditions can change rapidly, and other factors not mentioned in the analysis could influence the price movement.
Result: ST=Same LT=Down
Analysis Method(1)
Based on the provided analysis, here are my conclusions for the USD/CHF pair:
**Short-term Analysis (next few days):**
The price is expected to **go up**. The pair is in an uptrend, and technical analysis suggests that it will continue higher, targeting levels such as 0.8680 and potentially 0.8750. The intraday bias is also on the upside, with a target of 0.8698. However, there is a risk of a pullback to fill a chart gap, potentially correcting down to 0.8574.
**Long-term Analysis (weeks/months):**
The price is expected to **stay the same** or potentially **go down**. Despite the strong recovery over recent weeks, the longer-term trend for USD/CHF is still considered bearish as long as the 0.9243 resistance holds. A firm break of 0.8332 could resume the larger downtrend from 1.0146 (2022 high).
Please note that these conclusions are based on the provided analysis and are subject to change as new data becomes available.
Result: ST=Up LT=Down
Analysis Method(2)
Based on the provided analysis, here is my assessment of the expected price movement for the USD/CHF pair:
**Short-term analysis (next few days):**
The technical analysis suggests a potential bullish correction, testing the resistance level near 0.8745. However, this is expected to be followed by a downward rebound, continuing the fall. The moving averages indicate a bearish trend, and the RSI supports the decline scenario. Therefore, in the short term, I expect the price to **go down** after a brief attempt to correct upwards.
**Long-term analysis (weeks/months):**
The fundamental overview mentions the influence of safe-haven demand on the Swiss Franc, which could continue to impact the USD/CHF pair. Additionally, the potential for gradual interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve could also affect the pair. However, the technical analysis suggests a bearish trend, with a potential breakout of the lower border of the "Triangle" pattern. Considering these factors, I expect the price to **go down** in the long term, potentially targeting levels below 0.7985.
In summary:
* Short-term: **Go down** (after a brief correction)
* Long-term: **Go down** (targeting levels below 0.7985)
Result: ST=Down LT=Down
SUPPORT AND RESISTANCEHere we are analyzing 2H time frame for finding the upcoming move in USDCHF price. Today I'm looking sell opportunity on the basis of support and resistance combine with price action. After confirmation we will execute our trade. Let's delve deeper into these levels and potential outcomes.
Always use stoploss for your trade.
Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio.
#USDCHF 2H Technical Analyze Expected Move.
Could the price drop from here?The Swissie (USD/CHF) is reacting on the pivot which aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and could drop to the pullback support.
Pivot: 0.8773
1st Support: 0.8698
1st Resistance: 0.8809
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USDCHF H4 | Bullish Bounce Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is falling to our buy entry at 0.8698, which is a pullback support close to 50% Fibo retracement.
Our take profit will be at 0.8801, which is a pullback resistance.
The stop loss will be placed at 0.8611, which is an overlap support level.
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USDCHF LONGLooking for some correction and go Long
Entry Price: 0.86760
Target Price: 0.87500
Stop Loss: 0.86400
USD/CHF (King Turtle): rise Slow and SteadyFundametnal Analaysis:
OANDA:USDCHF outlook is shaped by notable interest rate differentials and diverging monetary policies between the Federal Reserve and the Swiss National Bank (SNB). With the Fed holding rates at 5% and the SNB's current rate at 1.00% (down from 1.25%), the dollar remains more attractive to investors seeking higher yields. The potential for the SNB to further cut rates amplifies this dynamic, as lower Swiss rates could diminish the franc’s appeal, especially with inflation in Switzerland relatively subdued at 1.1%. In contrast, U.S. inflation sits at 2.5%, with the economy showing resilience, reducing the likelihood of imminent Fed cuts. This policy divergence creates upward momentum for USD/CHF, positioning the pair for further gains as investors capitalize on the interest rate advantage and the prospect of a more dovish SNB stance. Monitoring any shifts in SNB policy will be critical, as a rate cut would likely accelerate the pair's bullish trajectory.
Technical Analysis:
OANDA:USDCHF chart shows a prevailing bearish trend, with the pair consistently making lower highs and lows. However, the price is currently testing a strong support zone near 0.84066, suggesting the potential for a bullish reversal. The chart hints at a possible breakout from the consolidation, with the first target (TP1) around 0.87269 and the second target (TP2) at 0.88325. The overall trend remains bearish, but if the price breaks above these levels, it could signal a reversal, especially if the SNB's dovish policy continues to weigh on the franc.
