USDCHF trade ideas
USDCHF - Forecast | 04.202512.04.2025 | Investors blew away key support levels of the pair, rushing en masse into the Swiss Franc, and broke through the psychological mark of 0.82000 in a short period of time. This was due to the likely negative consequences for the US dollar and the economy as a whole from the impact of Trump's policies and his tariff actions. As the consequences are expected to be serious, in the medium term the US dollar will remain under pressure in this currency pair, at least until the end of April. However, a technical upward correction cannot be ruled out, which we will look at in the coming week.
Entry: 0.81800 - 0.81000 | Limits: 0.80300 - 0.79800 | Targets: 0.83600 - 0.84500
USDCHF: Important Historic Structure Breakout 🇺🇸🇨🇭
USDCHF violated a significant weekly support cluster.
That breakout opens a potential for even more decline.
Get ready for the text of 0.8 level and a down movement further.
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USDCHF (1W) – Preparing for a Potential ReversalThe chart shows strong bearish momentum, but price is approaching a potential demand zone, though it hasn't fully tested it yet. The main focus is on the 0.8080–0.8095 area, aligned with the 0.618 Fibonacci level — a key point where a bounce may occur.
Key Levels:
🔹 Buy Zone #1: 0.8080–0.8095
→ 0.618 Fibonacci, previous consolidation, and a potential reversal point
🔹 Buy Zone #2: 0.7780–0.7800
→ 0.786 Fibonacci, deeper support and lower boundary of the structure
Scenario:
The current structure hints at a possible W-pattern formation after a dip into the demand zone.
If the bullish scenario plays out, potential recovery targets include:
→ 0.8300–0.8500 – initial correction targets
→ 0.8770 – major resistance (Fibo 0.236)
Alternative View:
If price breaks below the 0.7780 level, the structure would shift bearish — next area of interest could form below 0.75.
USDCHF is in a wait-and-watch zone. The downward move continues, but key levels (especially 0.8080 and 0.7780) are worth watching as potential demand zones. There’s a high probability of a technical bounce or reversal setup developing once these zones are tested.
USDCHF Wave Analysis – 10 April 2025
- USDCHF broke support zone
- Likely to fall to support level 0.8200
USDCHF currency pair recently broke the support zone between the key support level 0.8400 (which reversed the price multiple times in August and September) and the support trendline of the daily down channel from February.
The breakout of this support zone accelerated the active intermediate impulse wave (3).
USDCHF currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 0.8200, which is the target price for the completion of the active impulse wave (3).
USD/CHF drops to lowest since 2015The risk-off trade has just gathered pace. A few moments ago, gold hit a new record above $3175 as the dollar sold off, with the USD/CHF dropping to its weakest point since 2015 and stocks extending their drop on lingering trade war concerns.
With risk appetite fading once again, the USD/CHF could be heading down to 0.8000 handle from here, should the breakdown below the key 0.8330-0.8375 zone (now key resistance) holds.
Although the latest US inflation data came in weaker, it doesn't seem to be the main driver behind the dollar’s renewed decline — the greenback was already under pressure before the figures were released. The persistent uncertainty surrounding the trade war continues to weigh on sentiment, keeping the USD/CHF outlook tilted to the downside.
After yesterday’s BIG relief-driven rally, markets are back well in the red today, with the S&P some 6% lower at the time of writing. While Trump’s 90-day suspension of reciprocal tariffs sparked short-term optimism, the broader picture hasn't improved much. The 10% blanket tariff is still in effect, and cumulative duties on Chinese imports have climbed to a steep 125%. With Beijing likely to respond, the situation remains tense.
Investor caution lingers as the US struggles to secure meaningful trade deals with other key partners, including the EU.
Safe-haven flows into the Japanese yen and Swiss franc suggest that market sentiment remains shaky.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
USDCHFUSDCHF price is near the support zone 0.83595. If the price cannot break through the 0.83595 level, it is expected that the price will rebound. Consider buying the red zone.
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USD/CHF H1 | Heading into a multi-swing-high resistanceUSD/CHF is rising towards a multi-swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 0.8617 which is a multi-swing-high resistance that aligns close to the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 0.8685 which is a level that sits above a swing-high resistance.
Take profit is at 0.8480 which is a pullback support.
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USD/CHF counter LongsIs still technically bearish territory from Daily perspective. But seeing sweep of lows from left with reaction upside. Could be early sign. But even still having bearish trend in mind, still need some pullback. And i see smth is cooking right now.
To get involved, like to see Asian Lows to be taken...