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USDEUR trade ideas

EURUSD SHORTEUR/USD Short Trade Setup Market Structure & Analysis • The price is moving inside a parallel channel, showing a range-bound market. • Resistance zone (Upper boundary) has been tested multiple times and rejected. • The price is now approaching the upper trendline, indicating a potential short opportunity. Trade Idea • Entry: Look for bearish confirmation at the resistance zone. • Stop Loss: Above the previous swing high. • Take Profit: Lower boundary of the channel (support area). • Confirmation: Bearish candlestick patterns (e.g., pin bar, engulfing) near resistance. This trade setup follows a range trading strategy, where price is expected to move within the channel unless a breakout occurs. If the price breaks and closes above resistance, the setup becomes invalid.
Short
by erdenemunkh731
EUR/USD setup for downside move to the parity with USDDuring January and February EUR/USD was bulding nice upper trend line and building up the base for forming of bottom crossing important averages and resistance lines. Unfortunately upper move was negated and we broke down the 1.0422 important support. From now on I expect at lest retest of low 1.0177 in weeks and months to come with the door open to reach parity with US dollar and retest the 2022 lows. Shorting / average price 1.0458. R/R 1:10.
Short
by jzavodsk
EURUSD: Buy or Sell?Dear traders! Breaking out of the bullish channel has fueled an impressive rally in EUR/USD, with the pair currently trading around 1.0806 and showing no signs of slowing down from the bulls. In the short term, to maintain its upward momentum, EUR/USD must break through the key resistance level at 1.093. A successful breakout could extend its bullish journey. Conversely, if this resistance holds firm, selling pressure may increase, causing the price to reverse and trigger a corrective move against the current trend.
by KarinaBella
EUR/USD Trend Today - Downtrend?EUR/USD news: 🔆The EUR/USD pair continues its downward trend for the third consecutive day, trading around 1.0390 during the Asian session on Friday. The Euro faces selling pressure due to increased risk aversion, driven by escalating trade tensions between the US and the EU. US President Donald Trump signaled the possibility of imposing “reciprocal” tariffs on the EU as soon as April. 🔆In response, a European Commission (EC) spokesperson stated that the EU would respond decisively and immediately to any unjustified trade barriers. This ongoing uncertainty may further weaken the Euro, adding to the bearish sentiment surrounding the EUR/USD pair. 🔆Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the performance of the USD against six major currencies, gained strength following the release of US GDP data on Thursday. At the time of writing, the DXY remains near 107.40. Personal opinion: 🔆EUR/USD will continue to maintain a downtrend in the coming days due to the negative news still affecting. But there will be an increase to retest the resistance zone and then follow the downtrend Analysis: 🔆Based on important resistance - support levels and Fibonacci combined with the SMA200 line to come up with a suitable strategy Plan: 🔆 Price Zone Setup: 👉Sell EUR/USD 1.0420 – 1.0430 ❌SL: 1.0460 | ✅TP: 1.0380– 1.0340 – 1.0300 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Short
by FM-ForexMastermind
1
EUR/USD: Setting the Trap - 12H for ClarityZooming out to the 12H for a clearer view—bullish intent is set, but I’m not biting just yet. The real move begins once inducement gets swept and that 4H order block (blue zone) gets mitigated. That 30M supply (red zone)? Just an internal move that needs tapping before price pushes lower into the real demand. Once that happens, I’ll be watching for my confirmation to strike. No chasing—just precision. Let the market show its hand first. #Forex #EURUSD #SmartMoney #Inducements #OrderBlock #TradeWithPatience Bless Trading!
Long
by Juicemannn
Up for EUHi traders, Last week EU started impulsive up as I've predicted in my outlook but it could not break the highs and on Wednesday it dropped. Now it could be that this was a leading diagonal (orange wave 1) and price has now finished wave a (grey) of wave 2. In that case next week we could see a correction up and another impulse down to finish wave 2 (orange). Or the last move is wave c (blue) of a bigger wave 4 of the leading diagonal and we could see another impulse wave up. In both cases I expect a move up to minimal the 4H FVG (light blue box). Let's see what the market does and react. Trade idea: Wait for a change in orderflow to bullish and a small correction down on a lower timeframe to trade longs. If you want to see more from my analysis, please make sure to follow me, give a boost or respectful comment. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis. If you don't agree, that's fine but I don't need to know it. Don't be emotional, just trade! Eduwave
Long
by EduwaveTrading
EUR/USD Dominating the Charts with Strong Technicals over Cable.The Euro has been making significant moves, driven by uncertainties in the US tariffs positions, the strength in Euro bonds, and the EU's commitment to increased defense spending. The Pound is also benefiting from these developments. Currently, the price is moving steadily on the DXY. With ECB President Christine Lagarde speaking, it's advisable to focus on trading the Euro. We anticipate a pullback to the 15-minute Fair Value Gap (FVG) at 1.08046 before targeting the buy-side at 1.08530 during the New York session. Additionally, the price is in a daily Supply and Demand Imbalance (SIBI) zone, and we will be looking to see if the price will break that high. The overall trend has been bullish. Note that Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data is scheduled for release tomorrow, which could bring further volatility to the market. The New York AM session took out buy-side liquidity, which we would have preferred it not to, but since it did, we will now target the New York AM high. Buying below 4Hr open.
Long
by hskarue
Euro / U.S. DollarEuro Chart Update Hello dear traders, According to the DXY analysis, I have identified the suitable entry point for the Euro. Friends, please use the 15-minute timeframe for optimal entry, and be sure to pay attention to the reversal zones. You can even take advantage of these zones for minor fluctuations. Important Points: Support (4H): 1.03547 Imbalance: 1.03144 IFC 4H Candle: 1.03060 And finally, our main target is 1.01776. Thank you for your support. A very simple and clear chart has been drawn for your use. Wishing you all success! Fereydoon Bahrami A retail trader in the Wall Street Trading Center (Forex) Risk Disclosure: Trading in the Forex market is risky due to high price volatility. This analysis is solely my personal opinion and should not be considered financial advice. Please do your own research. You are responsible for any profits or losses resulting from this analysis.
Short
by fereydoon1199
Breaking down my EUR/USD tradeGreat-Things Traders! Breaking down my EUR/USD trade from earlier for educational purposes. Pay close attention, as there are key lessons here for refining your execution and market understanding. Market Structure & Initial Bias Looking at the higher timeframe structure, we identified a strong bearish impulse leading into a deep discount zone. The initial manipulation phase set up liquidity grabs during the New York session, leading to a sharp reversal. This was a clear indication that smart money was active. Key Zones & Liquidity Grabs Manipulation Phase: We observed aggressive sell-side liquidity being taken out during the New York PM session, setting up for a potential reversal. Accumulation Phase: Price began consolidating post-manipulation, forming an accumulation phase. This was a clear sign of institutional interest before the next expansion. Asia Liquidity Grab: Price swept Asian session highs, confirming the accumulation and creating a high-probability trade setup for a long entry. Entry & Execution Entry Confirmation: After liquidity was taken, price formed a solid bullish structure shift (market structure shift - MST). Confirmation came with a strong bullish engulfing candle, signaling intent to push higher. Entry Zone: Entered at the Fibonacci 0.62-0.79 retracement zone from the manipulation low. Stop Loss: Placed below the manipulation wick, ensuring protection against potential liquidity hunts. Target Zones: First Target: Mitigation of 50% of the prior imbalance. Final Target: 1.0460 Distribution Zone, aligning with major liquidity pools and previous supply zones. Market Psychology & Smart Money Concepts Mitigation & Repricing: As price retraced, it mitigated unfilled institutional orders from the prior bearish move, leading to the explosive bullish push. New Week Opening Gap (NWOG): Price respected the 50% of the New Week Opening Gap (NWOG), using it as a launchpad for higher pricing. Also swept Asia Low. Distribution Zone: The final target aligns with a previous supply area, where smart money could look to offload positions. Lessons to Take Away ✅ Always wait for liquidity grabs before entering trades. ✅ Use smart money concepts to identify high-probability setups. ✅ Market structure shifts (MST) + order flow are key confirmations. ✅ Fibonacci retracements & mitigation zones offer sniper entries. ✅ Patience pays off – let the market show its hand before taking action. This trade followed a textbook manipulation-accumulation-expansion-distribution model, aligning with institutional order flow. Hope this breakdown helps refine your execution and enhances your understanding of how smart money operates! Stay disciplined, stay patient, and execute with precision. Lord MEDZ
by Skinwah
EURUSD 28 Feb 2025 W9 -Intraday Analysis- US PCE Day! EOM FlowsThis is my Intraday analysis on FOREXCOM:EURUSD for 28 Feb 2025 W9 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following: Market Sentiment 4H Chart Analysis 15m Chart Analysis Market Sentiment Heavy economic news: EU : German Prelim CPI m/m US : the most awaited report Core PCE Price Index m/m - Personal Spending m/m - Chicago PMI The market sentiment detailed as following: Trump's Tariff Announcements: President Trump's announcements regarding new and increased tariffs significantly impacted market sentiment. Uncertainty surrounding trade relations with various countries, including the European Union, Mexico, and Canada, created volatility. These tariff announcements created fears of trade wars, which negatively impacted investor confidence. Economic Data: Reports of declining new home sales in the U.S. and concerns about overall economic health contributed to market unease. Also, the release of various economic data points, and the anticipation of the PCE inflation data release, influenced market movement. NVIDIA's Performance and AI Competition: While NVIDIA beat earnings estimates, concerns about increased competition from Chinese AI companies, particularly DeepSeek, led to a significant drop in its stock price, impacting the broader tech sector. Geopolitical Uncertainty: Geopolitical factors, such as the removal of Chevron's oil license in Venezuela, contributed to fluctuations in commodity prices, particularly oil. Bank of Japan governor Ueda's statements regarding the uncertainty of US policies also added to uncertainty. Additional Factors: Geopolitical Resolution: A sudden de-escalation in a prior crisis (e.g., eased tensions in a conflict zone) might have reduced safe-haven demand for gold, though this was secondary to dollar strength. Technical Factors: End-of-month rebalancing or options expirations could have amplified downward moves. The interplay of a hawkish Fed, a resilient dollar, and risk aversion triggered broad-based declines. The overarching theme was a recalibration of investor expectations around tighter monetary policy and its implications for global growth and asset valuations. 4H Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bullish (Reached Swing Extreme Demand) 🔹INT Bearish (Adjusted my INT structure to align with the previous Bullish move) 🔹Complex Swing INT Structure 2️⃣ 🔹As the Swing is Bullish, expectations were set to continue Bullish targeting the Weak Swing High and create a Bullish BOS after the Deep Pullback to the Swing Demand. 🔹During the Swing Bullish Continuation after the Deep Pullback, INT Structure kept holding Bullish to fulfill the Bullish continuation phase. 🔹With price reaching the Swing Extreme Premium zone and the expectation of breaking the Weak Swing High, price failed 2 times and with the 3rd attempt it created a Bearish iBOS. This indicated that the Swing INT structure is Complex and the Daily/Weekly TFs are still in play. 3️⃣ 🔹After the Bearish iBOS, we expect PB, there is no clear POI for price to initiate PB except the Liq. at 1.03730 and 1.03173 before mitigating the last clear 4H Demand. 🔹It’s not a must to reach these Liq. points as we already in a Daily partially mitigated Demand Zone and maybe some orders reside there. But Will need LTFs to show clear Bullish OF to confirm the 4H Bearish INT structure is staring the PB. 🔹Expectations is set to Bearish continuation till we have a clear Bullish OF. Also, keep in mind that Daily and Weekly are still Bearish and we may target the 4H Strong Swing Low to fulfill the Daily and Weekly move. 15m Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bearish 🔹INT Bearish 🔹Swing Pullback 2️⃣ 🔹Swing structure turned Bearish with confirmed BOS. And after BOS we expect PB phase to start. 🔹We didn’t mitigate any HP POI/Liq. to initiate the Swing PB phase. 🔹Will need a clear INT Structure shift to Bullish with momentum in order to play the PB phase otherwise price will continue Bearish till the sweep of Liq. on the 4H TF at 1.03730 and 1.03173 before tapping the clear 4H Demand. 3️⃣ 🔹Expectations is set to continue Bearish with cautious from the Swing PB phase that can start at any time. 🔹Also keep in mind the End of Month Flows and PCE report today.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD: Bearish Wave Continues to Dominate!EURUSD continued its downward trajectory on Thursday, losing nearly 0.9% and slipping below the key 1.0400 support level for the first time in nearly two weeks. The decline was driven by strong USD buying pressure across the market. The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) reclaimed the 107.00 level, reaching a fresh six-day high, supported by a modest uptick in both U.S. and German bond yields. The dollar’s strength reflects ongoing concerns over U.S. tariffs and fresh doubts about the health of the U.S. economy, following weaker-than-expected economic data in recent days. These factors have weighed heavily on EURUSD. From a technical perspective, the pair has broken below an ascending trendline, confirming a shift in momentum towards the downside. This reinforces the bearish outlook, as no clear bottom formation has been established yet. If EURUSD stages a recovery, it is likely to encounter resistance near the confluence zone of the EMA 34, EMA 89, and the newly formed resistance area, which could trigger renewed selling pressure. For now, the bearish bias remains intact, with further downside potential unless a decisive recovery above the resistance zone materializes.
Short
by Trader_LinaScalping
EURUSD - FOMC Prep - These 2 scenarios to anticipateMarket is overall uptrend after previous low showed the reversal point to head higher. Bias is for the Buy However, FOMC can produce volatility so we can have spikes in both direction. There's a Sell scenario off an H4 gap. But the preferred idea is to head lower, getting a better price on the HTF, then continue to the Equal Highs / Double top, taking out the liquidity target eventually. Be aware, if it's not clear this week, we may have a clearer picture on next week's news and the move could also happen then if there's a delay/ranging market. The D1 timeframe usually provides the smoother outlook. I mostly base my ideas on that. Leave your comments below if you have any questions. Thanks
Long
by The_Peaceful_Trader
2
EURUSD Trend of the Day!Hello everyone, hope you're having a great trading week! Today, we have another trend idea with two possible scenarios: a bullish continuation or a slight pullback to grab liquidity before the next move. 📌 Key focus: We must stay alert to market waves and wait for clear confirmations before entering. The market doesn't move randomly—it follows liquidity and structure, and our job is to read the signs, not chase trades. Stay patient, follow your plan, and let the market show its direction. Let’s see how it unfolds! ⚠️ This is not financial advice. Always do your own analysis before making any trading decisions.
by DMKyrios
EUR/USD – 30-Min Long Trade Setup!📌 🚀 🔹 Asset: EUR/USD (Euro / U.S. Dollar) 🔹 Timeframe: 30-Min Chart 🔹 Setup Type: Bullish Breakout Trade 📌 Trade Plan (Long Position) ✅ Entry Zone: Above 1.06077 (Breakout Confirmation) ✅ Stop-Loss (SL): Below 1.05743 (Invalidation Level) 🎯 Take Profit Targets: 📌 TP1: 1.06586 (First Resistance Level) 📌 TP2: 1.07215 (Extended Bullish Move) 📊 Risk-Reward Ratio Calculation 📉 Risk (SL Distance): 1.06077 - 1.05743 = 0.00334 risk per unit 📈 Reward to TP1: 1.06586 - 1.06077 = 0.00509 (1:1.52 R/R) 📈 Reward to TP2: 1.07215 - 1.06077 = 0.01138 (1:3.41 R/R) 🔍 Technical Analysis & Strategy 📌 Bullish Flag Breakout: Price has broken out of a bullish flag, signaling continuation of the uptrend. 📌 Support Rejection: The price tested 1.05743 support and showed buying pressure. 📌 Volume Confirmation Needed: Ensure high buying volume when price holds above 1.06077 to confirm bullish momentum. 📌 Momentum Shift Expected: If price remains above 1.06077, it could push toward 1.06586, and further to 1.07215. 📊 Key Support & Resistance Levels 🟢 1.05743 – Stop-Loss / Support Level 🟡 1.06077 – Breakout Level / Long Entry 🔴 1.06586 – First Resistance / TP1 🔴 1.07215 – Final Target / TP2 📉 Trade Execution & Risk Management 📊 Volume Confirmation: Ensure high buying volume above 1.06077 before entering. 📉 Trailing Stop Strategy: Move SL to entry (1.06077) after TP1 (1.06586) is hit. 💰 Partial Profit Booking Strategy: ✔ Take 50% profits at 1.06586, let the rest run toward 1.07215. ✔ Adjust Stop-Loss to Break-even (1.06077) after TP1 is reached. ⚠️ Fake Breakout Risk ❌ If the price fails to hold above 1.06077 and drops back, exit early to avoid losses. ❌ Wait for a strong bullish candle close above 1.06077 before entering aggressively. 🚀 Final Thoughts ✔ Bullish Setup – Bouncing from 1.05743 support suggests a potential breakout. ✔ Momentum Shift Possible – Watch for volume confirmation. ✔ Favorable Risk-Reward Ratio – 1:1.52 to TP1, 1:3.41 to TP2. 💡 Stick to the plan, manage risk, and trade smart! 🚀📈 🔗 Hashtags for Reach & Engagement: #ForexTrading 📉 #EURUSD 📊 #TradingNews 📰 #MarketUpdate 🔥 #Investing 💰 #Trading 📈 #Finance 💵 #ProfittoPath 🚀 #SwingTrading 🔄 #DayTrading ⚡ #ForexTrader 💸 #TechnicalAnalysis 📉 #ForexSignals 📊 #FinancialFreedom 💡 #MarketTrends 📊 #ForexAlerts 🔔 #TradeSmart 🤓 #Bullish 🐂 #RiskManagement ⚠️ #TradingCommunity 🤝
Long
by ProfittoPath
EURUSD POSSIBLE SELL?Overall direction is to the downside based on Monthly and Weekly perspective. The market is currently testing the current Weekly and Daily area. Based on Daily and 4HR TF, the market seems to be forming a possible reversal pattern which could lead to a possible reversal. We could see SELLERS coming in strong should the current level hold. Disclaimer: Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is solely intended for educational and informational purposes only.The analysis provided is based on my own view of the market. Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. High-Risk Warning Trading in foreign exchange on margin entails high risk and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. In this case, the high degree of leverage can act both against you and in your favor
Short
by WiLLProsperForex
USDJPY & NFP Preview: Key Levels & Market ImpactThe USDJPY has dropped more than expected since our last update, and now, with Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) on the horizon, the pair is back in focus. A weak NFP report could push USDJPY lower, especially with Japan's tightening stance and global trade tensions weighing on the dollar. In this video, we break down key technical levels, fundamental drivers, and trading strategies. Watch now and leave your thoughts in the comments! This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information
Short
by ThinkMarkets
Bearish Reversal Incoming? Key Resistance Holds as Price StallsAfter analyzing multiple timeframes, we observe that the price has surged significantly and is now trading within a key resistance zone. The resistance remains strong, and the RSI across multiple timeframes is in the extreme overbought territory, showing bearish divergences. Additionally, despite the sharp rally, the price has not undergone any meaningful correction. Considering these factors—strong resistance, the proximity to a weekly trendline, extreme overbought conditions, and bearish divergence—along with the presence of a hanging man candlestick at resistance, a correction is likely. Our correction targets are the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels.
Short
by SpicyPips