USDEUR trade ideas
EURUSD LONG POSITIONGreetings Traders this is my analysis for EURUSD and it is long
Detailed Explanation:
A clear upward trend. A series of higher lows and higher highs.
Bullish momentum: At the beginning of March, a strong upward momentum starts.
Consolidation Breakout: The breakout from the "Support Zone" confirmed that the buyers had taken control.
Elliott wave structure: A wave structure is visible, this may be the end of the corrective phase and the beginning of a new impulse wave.
Patterns and Structures
Triangle pattern (bullish continuation): A nice symmetrical triangle after a strong jump, which is a typical trend continuation pattern.
Triangle Breakout: Very strong and clean breakout with confirmation (candles with large bodies).
"NOT RETRACEMENT": There was no deep retracement, indicating strong demand and potential for continued growth.
Entry is most likely right after the breakout from the triangle (~1.1397).
The RR (risk/reward) looks very good — more than 2:1, which is optimal.
📊 Key Levels
🔶 All Time High 2023 (~1,114): breached, now serving as new support.
🔴 SL zone (1.1259): logically placed below previous lows and triangle - good protection.
🟢 Target zone (1.1702): nicely positioned TP, in line with the projection from the breakout zone.
Since a Higher High has already been formed, a short-term consolidation or flag pattern is expected before continuing towards the target.
EURUSD Buyers In Panic! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for EURUSD below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 1.1506
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 1.1409
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EUR/USD Slides to 1.1350 Amid USD Strength & ECB Dovish Signals📌 Daily Market Summary: EUR/USD Slides to 1.1350 Amid USD Strength & ECB Dovish Signals
EUR/USD declined toward 1.1350 on Friday as the US Dollar gained strength, driven by easing tensions in the US–China trade standoff. Reports suggest Beijing may suspend additional tariffs on some US goods.
Despite the dip, the euro remains firm against most major currencies except North American ones.
ECB members Holzmann and Rehn highlighted ongoing structural weaknesses in the Eurozone and increased risks of inflation undershooting the 2% target.
Olli Rehn suggested that the current conditions justify a rate cut as early as June.
📊 Technical Outlook
EUR/USD dropped to 1.1350, but the broader trend remains bullish, with the 20-week EMA still pointing higher around 1.0885.
💼 Trading Plan
🟢 BUY ZONE
Entry: 1.12725
Stop Loss: 1.12000
Take Profit: 1.13165
🔴 SELL ZONE
Entry: 1.14775
Stop Loss: 1.15300
Take Profit: 1.14350
📉 Caution: With political news and central bank guidance shaping sentiment, traders should closely monitor reactions at key levels and stick to their risk management rules.
EUR/USD – Symmetrical Triangle Breakdown SetupHello guys!
Let's dive into the chart of eurusd!
If the bottom line of the triangle is broken with strong bearish momentum, it would confirm the breakdown. After the breakdown, the best approach is to wait for a pullback toward the broken support (now acting as resistance) and enter a short position on bearish rejection signals.
The target zone for the drop lies around 1.1200–1.1230, as highlighted in the blue support area on the chart.
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Plan:
Breakdown Confirmation: Wait for a clear break below the bottom line.
Entry: Short on pullbacks toward the triangle's bottom after the breakdown.
Target: 1.1200–1.1230 support zone.
Invalidation: Breaking back above the top line of the triangle would invalidate the setup.
WHY EURUSD IS STILL BULLISH DETAILED ANALYSIS We closely monitoring EUR/USD, which is currently trading around 1.0430. The pair has shown resilience after rebounding from the 1.0220 support level, forming a bullish engulfing pattern on the 3-day chart. This pattern suggests potential for a bullish reversal, especially as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) recovers from oversold conditions. The price action aligns with the lower boundary of a long-term descending channel, indicating a possible shift in trend.
Fundamentally, the euro is under pressure due to the European Central Bank's (ECB) recent rate cut to 2.25%, marking the seventh reduction since mid-2024. This move aims to counteract the economic slowdown exacerbated by U.S. tariffs on EU imports. In contrast, the U.S. dollar faces its challenges, with political tensions arising from President Trump's criticism of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell for not cutting rates swiftly. These dynamics have led to increased volatility and a weakened dollar, influencing EUR/USD movements.
Technically, the ascending triangle pattern observed on the 4-hour chart supports a bullish outlook. A decisive break above the 1.0625 resistance could pave the way for targets at 1.0760 and subsequently 1.0850. However, traders should remain cautious, as a drop below the 1.0220 support might signal a continuation of the bearish trend, potentially testing parity levels.
In the current market environment, it's crucial to stay updated with economic indicators and geopolitical developments. Key events, such as U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls and Eurozone inflation data, will provide further insights into the pair's direction. Employing sound risk management strategies and staying informed will be essential for navigating the EUR/USD landscape effectively.
CHECK EUR/USD SIGNAL ANALYSIS | READ THE CAPTION BELOWEUR/USD Buy Signal Analysis (30m)TF
PATTERN: Bullish Harmonic Pattern (Potential Bullish Gartley or similar structure)
ENTRY: Buy at breakout above the “Entry” zone marked on the chart (~1.1361 area)
STOP LOSS (SL): Below the recent low support zone (~1.1300)
TAKE PROFITS:
• Target 1: ~1.1400
• Target 2: ~1.1450
• Target 3: ~1.1490
RISK/REWARD: Favorable, with multiple take profit levels aligned with key resistance points.
ANALYSIS: After forming a bullish harmonic pattern, EUR/USD is showing signs of reversal from the demand zone (orange/yellow box). A break and retest of the neckline could confirm bullish continuation toward the outlined targets.
NOTE: Do proper risk management, trade at your own risk.
Why Should You Care About ER?🚀 Hey Traders! Have You Ever Felt Lost in the Chaos of Market Fluctuations?
What if I told you there’s a powerful tool that can help you cut through the noise and give you a statistical edge to predict SUPPORT and RESISTANCE movements with confidence?
Let me take 5 minutes of your time to introduce you to something that could transform your trading game: Expected Range Volatility (ER) .
What is Expected Range Volatility (ER)?
The Expected Range (ER) is a framework that helps traders understand how much an asset is likely to move within a specific timeframe. Based on CME market data and Nobel Prize-winning calculations, price movements within the expected volatility corridor have a 68% probability of staying within those boundaries.
💡 Key Insight: When the price approaching certain levels, there’s a 68% chance the price won’t break through those boundaries. This means you can use ER as a powerful filter to identify more precise entry and exit points for your trades.
Why Should You Care About ER?
When I first discovered the ER tool, it felt like stumbling upon a gold mine in the trading world. Here’s why:
It’s free and available on the CME exchange’s website.
It’s underutilized —95% of traders don’t even know it exists.
It provides statistical clarity in a world full of uncertainty.
I remember the first time I used ER in my analysis—it completely changed the way I approached intraday trading. Now, I never make a trade without checking the ER data. It’s become an essential part of my strategy.
How to Use ER in Your Trading
1️⃣ Input the Data: Head over to the CME website, plug in the necessary parameters, and get your ER values.
2️⃣ Set Boundaries: Use the ER range as a guide to set potential support and resistance levels.
3️⃣ Filter Trades: Only take trades that align with the ER framework to improve your precision.
A recent example is the Japanese yen futures market.
Don't be confused by the fact that we take futures levels, it can easily be plotted on a spot chart for forex market (the dollar/yen).
Limitations to Keep in Mind
While ER is a powerful tool, it’s not a crystal ball. Here are some limitations:
Market Dynamics: Short-term price movements can be unpredictable due to sentiment, news, or economic events. ER provides a statistical estimate, but it doesn’t guarantee outcomes.
Assumptions: The formula assumes price movements follow a log-normal distribution , which may not hold true in all market conditions.
Your Turn: Are You Using ER in Your Strategy?
💭 Here’s the million-dollar question: Are you leveraging the power of Expected Range Volatility in your trading? If not, why not start today?
💬 Share your thoughts in the comments below:
Do you currently use ER or similar statistical tools?
Want to Dive Deeper?
If you’re ready to take your trading to the next level, don’t miss out on our all-in-one resource designed to help you master tools like ER and other valuable sources to gain market edge!
🔥 Remember:
No Valuable Data = No Edge!
EUR/USD Bullish Reversal Setup - Long OpportunityEUR/USD Trade Setup (1H Chart) Analysis
Type: Long (Buy)
Entry Zone: 1.1340 – 1.1355
Stop Loss: 1.1302
Targets:
🎯 Target 1: 1.1440
🎯 Target 2: 1.1500
🎯 Target 3: 1.1560
Pattern: Bullish Reversal Zone (Support Rebound Setup)
Price is bouncing off a strong support zone (highlighted in purple) and forming a potential higher low. If bullish momentum sustains above this area, a move toward higher targets is anticipated.
Note: Short-term intraday to swing trade – let price confirm direction before full commitment. Do proper risk management and trade at your own risk.
GOLDMASTER1| EURUSD ANALYSIS
**🚨 EUR/USD ORDER BLOCK ANALYSIS – KEY LEVELS & TIMEFRAMES! 🚨**
**🔻 BEARISH ORDERBLOCK**
- **BOS** (Break of Structure)
- **BOLS** (Break of Liquidity Sweep)
- **CHOCH** (Change of Character)
**🔺 BULLISH ORDERBLOCK**
- Critical zones marked for potential reversals.
- Key times to watch: **00:00, 12:00, 18:00, 06:00** (UTC).
**📊 EUR/USD 15m Chart**
- Current price action near **1.13666** (11:19).
- Support/Resistance Levels:
**1.14300** → **1.13000** (See image for full ladder).
**👀 Watch for:**
- Confirmation at order blocks for entries.
- Liquidity sweeps before reversals.
**💡 Trade smart, stay disciplined!**
Like & Follow for daily setups.
GOLDMASTER1---
EUR-USD Long From Support! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-USD is making a bearish
Correction but the pair will soon
Hit a horizontal support level
Of 1.1231 from where we
Will be expecting a local
Bullish rebound and a move up
Buy!
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EURUSD: Will Keep Falling! Here is Why:
The charts are full of distraction, disturbance and are a graveyard of fear and greed which shall not cloud our judgement on the current state of affairs in the EURUSD pair price action which suggests a high likelihood of a coming move down.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EWTSU EURUSD H1 minuette ((iii)) is going to end
Elliott wave trade setup EURUSD H1
minuette ((iii)) is going to end
micro wave ((5)) of subminuette v of minute (iii) is going to end in five waves:
micro wave degree is developping -> (3)-(4)-(5)
once minute ((iii)) is finished corrective minuette (iv) should follow
UR/USD Breakout or Fakeout? Key Levels to Watch!EUR/USD just broke into a major supply zone around 1.13820 after weeks of consolidation.
But here's the twist — is this a true breakout or a bull trap?
I'm watching for:
A rejection from the supply zone = short setup
A clean breakout with strong candle close = long continuation
Targets: 1.08881 and possibly down to 1.03594 if bulls fail to hold!
Fundamentals + technicals align this week with high-impact EUR & USD news incoming (see bottom-right news icons).
This could be the move we’ve been waiting for!
Chart powered by LuxAlgo + S&D zones.
Let me know your bias in the comments — Bull or Bear?
#StaySharp #TradeSmart