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USDEUR trade ideas

EURUSD - SHORT PREDICTION - MONDAY, 26TH MAY 2025A pullback appears to be underway, following a sweep of inducement around the 15-minute level at 1.13900—marking our first significant Change of Character (CHoCH). This shift aligns with the broader narrative from the 1-hour timeframe, suggesting the potential for a deeper retracement into the extreme 1H order block. With the current price trading around 1.13777, we anticipate a move back up to the 1.14078 level. This area is of interest for initiating short positions, in line with the ongoing correction. Our first take-profit target is set at 1.13368, where we expect an initial reaction. Should bearish momentum continue, we foresee price extending lower to sweep the previous daily low at 1.12771 and potentially tapping into the daily external order block at 1.12664. From there, we’ll closely monitor price behavior. If bullish intent begins to form, we’ll assess the potential for long setups targeting a move back toward the weekly high at 1.14190.
Short
by Sjcosmas
EURUSD InsightGreetings to all subscribers. Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don't forget to hit the boost and subscribe buttons. Key Points - U.S. President Trump announced via Truth Social that he “expects Apple to manufacture and produce iPhones sold in the United States within the U.S.” and warned that “otherwise, Apple will be required to pay a minimum 25% tariff in the U.S.” - Trump also warned the EU, stating, “It was very difficult to deal with the EU, which was established with the purpose of taking advantage of the U.S. in trade,” and recommended “imposing a 50% tariff on the European Union starting June 1, 2025.” - Maroš Šefčovič, the EU Commissioner for Trade, commented that “the European Commission is ready to cooperate in good faith.” - On the 27th, the Bank of Japan will hold a large-scale conference over two days under the theme “New Challenges for Monetary Policy,” with key financial figures, including Federal Reserve officials, expected to attend alongside Japanese participants. This Week’s Key Economic Calendar + May 26: Speech by ECB President Christine Lagarde + May 28: FOMC Meeting Minutes + May 29: U.S. Q1 GDP + May 30: U.S. April Core PCE Price Index EURUSD Chart Analysis EURUSD has smoothly broken through the 1.14000 resistance line and is once again attempting to break above the previous high. While a decline is expected after forming a high near the 1.16000 level, it is worth examining further bullish catalysts. Once it reaches the 1.16000 level, we will reassess the market direction.
Long
by shawntime_academy
EUR/USD M15 Break & Retest Setup Price has broken above the key resistance zone around 1.13200–1.13250 and is currently forming a potential pullback. I'm watching for a retest of this zone to act as new support. If we get a bullish rejection or strong engulfing candle at this level, I'll consider a long entry targeting the next liquidity zone above 1.13500+. Setup aligns with EMA20/50 bullish crossover and momentum shift. Plan: ✅ Wait for price to revisit and hold above 1.13200–1.13250 ✅ Look for bullish confirmation 🎯 Target: 1.13550+ 🛑 Invalidation: Clean break below 1.13150 Let’s see if the retest holds!"**
Long
by dannyrahadian
EUR/USD Bullish Breakout Ahead – Inverse Head and Shoulders + ChThe EUR/USD pair is showing a strong bullish setup supported by multiple confluences: 🔹 Inverse Head & Shoulders Pattern A clean inverse head and shoulders formation has completed near the 1.1225–1.1207 support zone. This structure typically signals a reversal to the upside and has been confirmed with neckline breakout. 🔹 Breakout from Falling Channel The breakout above the descending channel further supports bullish momentum, suggesting that the prior downtrend has likely ended. 🔹 Ascending Channel Structure Price is currently respecting a rising channel, with higher highs and higher lows clearly forming. The lower boundary has been tested successfully, adding confidence to long positions. 🔹 Bullish Targets I’m targeting the Fibonacci extension levels at: 127.2% at 1.13030 141.4% at 1.13223 These levels align with upper channel resistance and offer solid risk-reward potential. 🔻 Key Support / Invalidation The key support zone is 1.1225–1.1207. A break below this area invalidates the bullish setup. 🎯 Trade Plan Entry: After neckline breakout or on a minor pullback into the red support zone TP1: 1.13030 TP2: 1.13223 SL: Below 1.1207 (conservative stop)
Long
by Mohammad_Mirdehghan
EURUSD - Could the Low Be in Place?EURUSD has recently been struggling for upside momentum as a reduction in trade tensions have boosted the dollar, and hopes for another ECB rate cut in June have weighed on the Euro. This has seen a selloff in the world’s biggest FX pair from its 2025 highs at 1.1573 posted on April 21st, to a low of 1.1065 on May 12th, as US and China trade representatives outlined details of a significant reduction in tariffs on imports from each country, before eventually closing on Friday slightly higher at 1.1150. Roll forward to the start of this new trading week and a downgrade to US government debt by rating agency Moody’s (last Friday) has seen a brief resurgence of the sell US assets trade, and while US stock indices recovered their initial losses into the close yesterday evening, the dollar has remained under pressure with EURUSD trading against a potential important technical level (more on this in the technical update below). This leads us to ask the question, was the low seen on May 12th at 1.1065 a final capitulation of weak longs, and could a new up trend be developing again? While further news flow on the topic of US government debt, including updates on progress through Congress of a Republican tax cut and spending bill, may continue to dominate the direction of EURUSD across the rest of the week, sentiment could also be impacted by Thursday's release of the May forward looking PMI surveys from the Eurozone (0900 BST) and US (1445 BST), which will provide traders with an insight into the current health of these two major economies. The current technical outlook may also be important. Technical Update: Focus on Fibonacci Retracements Interestingly, the sell-off into the May 12th low at 1.1065 did approach what might have been classed as a support level at 1.1056, marked by the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of March 27th to April 21st price strength. As you can see from the chart below, it is the test of this price level that looks to have prompted the latest EURUSD recovery. Resistance Focus: Traders may well now be focusing on 1.1263, which is equal to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the April 21st to May 12th 2025 price weakness, a level that was successful in holding, on a closing basis, yesterday’s attempt to push to higher price levels. That said, successful closing breaks above 1.1263 while no guarantee of further price strength, might leave some traders looking for an extension of the current upside move, with the next resistance potentially standing at 1.1381, which is the higher 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Support Focus: What if 1.1263 Caps Further Gains? It is equally possible the 1.1263 Fibonacci retracement resistance can continue to hold, even turn price activity lower once more. With this in mind, we should perhaps monitor support at 1.1171, which is equal to half the latest recovery move. Closing breaks below this level might then lead to a more extended phase of price weakness towards the 1.1056 retracement support, possibly further if this in turn were to give way. The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
by Pepperstone
EUR/USD: Engulfing candle, momentum signals boost bullish caseThe case for EUR/USD upside was looking good even before Donald Trump’s latest tariff backflip on EU imports, with Friday’s engulfing candle joining momentum indicators like RSI (14) and MACD in generating bullish signals. With the price banging on the door of minor resistance at 1.1380, a bullish setup has been generated. If the price can clear 1.1380 and hold there, longs could be established on the break with a stop beneath for protection. Offers may emerge around 1.1420 where the pair topped out in late April, making that screen as an initial target. For those seeking greater risk-reward, 1.1500 has proven to be a strong resistance zone over the years, making that another level to aim for. While the U.S. dollar has benefitted from similar tariff backflips previously, they are now widely expected by traders, meaning the tailwind they used to provide may no longer apply. Good luck! DS
Long
by FOREXcom
EUR/USD "The Fiber" Forex Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑💰✈️ Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the EUR/USD "The Fiber" Forex Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry and short entry. 🏆💸Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : 🏴‍☠️Bullish Entry - "The heist is on! Wait for the MA Pullback at Institutional Hidden Buy Zone (1.11000) & Big Players Verified Trade Zone (1.09000) then make your move - Bullish profits await!" 🏴‍☠️Bearish Entry - "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bearish loot at any price. Stop Loss 🛑: 🚩Thief SL placed at for Bullish Trade (Big Players Verified Trade Zone SL at 1.07000) & (Institutional Hidden Buy Zone SL at 1.09500) 🚩Thief SL placed at 1.13800 for Bearish Trade Using the 30mins period, the recent / swing low or high level. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: 🏴‍☠️Bullish Robbers TP 1.17000 (or) Escape Before the Target 🏴‍☠️Bearish Robbers TP 1.10500 (or) Escape Before the Target 💰💵💸EUR/USD "The Fiber" Forex Market Heist Plan is currently experiencing a Bearish trend 🐻,., driven by several key factors. 📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro Economics, COT Report, Quantitative Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Future trend targets with overall score... go ahead to check👉👉👉🔗🔗🌎🌏🗺 Detailed Point-by-Point Recap 📋✨ Fundamentals 📊: USD leads due to Fed policy, US growth, and tariffs; EUR limited by Eurozone risks 💵📉. Macroeconomics 🌐: US resilience contrasts with Eurozone weakness, favoring USD 🚀📉. Global Markets 🌍: US equities and yields drive USD strength; Eurozone trade woes hurt EUR 📈📉. COT Data 📉: Bearish speculative positioning supports USD 🐻. Seasonality 📅: May historically favors USD, aligning with current trends 📉. Intermarket 🔗: USD benefits from equity/yield correlations; EUR hit by energy costs 📈📉. Quantitative 📉: Technicals (RSI, Fibonacci, channels) confirm bearish momentum 🐻. Sentiment 😣: Bearish institutional bias, with retail shorts suggesting short-term EUR bounce 📉📈. Trend Prediction 🚀📉: Bearish across timeframes, with downside targets at 1.1080, 1.0445, and 1.00 🐻. Outlook ⭐: Bearish (7/10), with USD dominance likely to persist 💪📉. 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
by Thief_Trader
2
THOUGHTS ON EUR/USDEUR/USD 15M - Since price has broken structure to the upside on the higher timeframes, we have seen price now trade us back down to set a higher low. Whilst price is doing this it looks to be accumulating. Above you can see price ranging, whilst price is ranging we are seeing price develop higher highs, this tells me strength is building in Demand, giving us more confluence to suggest an accumulation. I have gone ahead and marked out the last protected high within the bearishness that price trade into the most recent area of Demand, once we see price break that high I will be looking for entries on this market. We will want to see price trade us lower, down and into a valid area of interest, this will be found from the impulse that broke the structure fractally. Once we have an area, we wait potentially and we enter based on a penetration and rejection.
Long
by Lukegforex
Bearish drop?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is rejecting off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support. Pivot: 1.1273 1st Support: 1.1084 1st Resistance: 1.1371 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
EUR/USD resistance calls for attentionFollowing the EUR/USD (euro versus the US dollar) trading within striking distance of a head and shoulders top pattern’s profit objective at US$1.1049, bulls went on the offensive. Consequently, price has pencilled in an AB=CD bearish formation at US$1.1332, according to the 100% projection ratio and a 1.618% Fibonacci extension ratio of US$1.1353 (B-C reciprocal). However, in terms of a resistance zone, I would be inclined to include the 1.272% Fibonacci projection ratio at US$1.1386, which shares chart space with a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement ratio from US$1.1382. Harmonic traders tend to target the 38.2% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement ratios derived from the A-D legs, which, assuming a temporary peak in price at current levels, reside at US$1.1242 and US$1.1175, respectively.
Short
by FPMarkets