EUR/USD- Elliott Wave + Smart Money Concepts (SMC)SMC Insight
Supply Zone Marked: Between 1.1500 – 1.2000.
Price is heading toward the supply zone.
On the right visual, schematic shows:
Liquidity build-up below equal highs.
Possible liquidity grab just above the supply zone.
Expect reaction or reversal around that supply.
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Trade Bias
Short-term: Bullish (momentum and structure are up).
Long-term: Watch for reaction at the 1.1500–1.2000 zone. This could be a major sell zone if price shows rejection/mitigation signs
USDEUR trade ideas
EURUSD Short 4/15/2025Entered a short on EUR/USD based on a multi-timeframe confluence.
Daily Chart: Friday closed with a strong bullish rally. On Monday, price pushed higher again but failed to hold gains, closing below Friday’s close — signaling potential exhaustion of buyers.
4H Chart: An inside bar formed during the Monday-Tuesday transition, signaling compression and potential breakout. This coincided with a visible liquidity spike, likely a false breakout.
1H Chart: A clear inside bar pattern developed following the liquidity sweep. I entered the short at the close of that hourly candle.
Targeting a 1:2 risk-to-reward or the next major liquidity grab zone — where we’d expect institutional stops to be clustered.
EURUSD: Next Move Is Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 1.13260 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 1.13623.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Eurusd signal EUR/USD spun in a messy circle on Monday, touching the 1.1400 and 1.1300 levels before settling somewhere in the midrange. The US Dollar continues to soften across the board following the Trump administration’s latest about-face on its own tariff threats, but market sentiment remains tepid as investor fears of continued trade tensions simmer in the background.
EURO/USD expects a downward move.Current price: 1.15130, up +1.09% (+0.01237).
Red Arrow and Risk-Reward Box:
The trader expects a downward move.
Entry is near 1.15300 (just above the current price).
Stop-loss around 1.16038 (marked red area).
Target near 1.13000–1.13500 range (purple support zone).
Purple Zones:
Highlight key support levels where price could bounce or stall.
Large Red Oval:
Captures a previous rally: a big push upwards from around April 9–11.
Blue Line inside Oval:
Shows a steeper accelerated move within the broader rally.
Context:
After a strong climb (rally inside the red oval), the market has consolidated sideways.
A breakout to the upside recently happened but the setup suggests this move might fail and the price could drop back toward the earlier consolidation zones (purple supports).
Economic Events:
Two icons with EU flags and one US flag are shown near April 23–25, signaling important economic events which could impact EUR/USD volatility.
In short: EUR/USD surged earlier in April but the trader now expects a correction or reversal, aiming for a drop back into earlier support zones.
EUR/USD Breakout Extends Toward 1.15 – Is 1.17 Next?The euro continues its sharp ascent, breaking convincingly above key resistance at 1.1200 and now eyeing the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement near 1.1745. Momentum remains firmly bullish:
🚀 Price has surged through both the 50- and 200-day SMAs
📈 MACD is accelerating higher, showing strong bullish momentum
📊 RSI is nearing overbought territory at 74.92, but not diverging yet
As long as EUR/USD holds above 1.1200, the path of least resistance may remain higher. However, traders should watch for signs of exhaustion near the 1.17 area, a key technical confluence that could slow the rally.
-MW
Fundamental Market Analysis for April 21, 2025 EURUSDEUR/USD broke out of a multi-day trading range and hit a new high since February 2022 around 1.1485 during the Asian session on Monday.
Despite “aggressive” comments from Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell, uncertainty over US President Donald Trump's trade policy continues to undermine the dollar. Last Wednesday, Powell said the Fed would likely keep the benchmark interest rate unchanged and wait for more clarity before considering any policy adjustments. Meanwhile, Trump's retaliatory tariff announcements undermined investor confidence in U.S. economic growth and drove the dollar to a two-year low early in the new week.
The aforementioned factors largely offset the European Central Bank's (ECB) soft decision last week and served as a tailwind for EUR/USD. On Thursday, the ECB cut interest rates for the seventh time in a year and warned that economic growth would be hit hard by US tariffs, bolstering the case for further policy easing in the coming months.
Moving forward, traders this week will be focused on scheduled speeches by ECB President Christine Lagarde on Tuesday and a number of influential FOMC members this week. In addition, the market's focus will be on the release of flash PMI indices, which could provide new insights into the state of the global economy. This, in turn, may give some impetus to the US dollar and EUR/USD.
Trade recommendation: BUY 1.1520, SL 1.1465 , TP 1.1565.
Explicación entrada contratendencia, No es la ideal.Explanation of a Counter-Trend Entry
Today, we took a counter-trend entry, which is not ideal in terms of probabilities, as it's generally better to trade in the direction of the main trend.
However, this trade was done with an educational purpose, so you can learn to spot key structures and reaction zones, even during pullbacks or corrections.
👉 The most important thing when trading against the trend is to have clear risk management, a defined setup, and to know when to exit if price doesn’t react as expected.
📚 This is part of the learning process. We don’t trade just to trade, but to understand the market and sharpen your decision-making.
EURUSD (2W) | TECHNICAL ANALYSISChart Date: April 17, 2025 | Timeframe: 2-Week | Pair: EUR/USD
KEY LEVELS (RESISTANCE & SUPPORT)
Pivot High (Stop-Loss): 1.14950
Resistance (Major): 1.14154
Support I (Proximal): 1.05166
Support I (Distal): 1.04072
Support (Proximal): 0.98605
Support (Major): 0.97500
Support (Distal): 0.95936
CURVE ANALYSIS 🧾
Sell Order: 1.13982 → 1.12022
Sell TP 1: 1.08291
Sell TP 2 (Mid Pivot): 1.05155
Sell TP 3: 1.02846
Sell TP 4: 0.99278
Buy Order: 0.98421 → 0.96340
Pivot Low (Stop-Loss): 0.95360
TRADE OUTLOOK 📉 (SHORT BIAS)
Price is deep within a 2W hidden institutional supply zone
Multiple pivot highs intersect resistance at 1.13982 and 1.14950
DOWNWARD TREND confirmed ✔️
If price fails to close above 1.14950, short setups are favored with confidence
High RRR opportunity present on rejections below 1.13982 or 1.12022
Targets: 1.08291, 1.05155, 1.02846, 0.99278
ENTRY PLAN 🧠 | TRADE IDEA
Wait for bearish engulfing or strong rejection below 1.13982
Place entry below 1.12022 with SL above 1.14950
Scale out at 1.08291 (TP1), then trail toward TP4
RISK MANAGEMENT 🎯
Sell SL: 1.14950
Buy SL: 0.95360
Use ATR to confirm volatility threshold before entry
Session bias: Use London/NY overlap for execution
SUMMARY: SHORT SETUP INSTITUTIONAL ZONE 📉
If 0.64086 (hidden institutional supply) holds, and price does not close above 1.14950, we are in a prime high-probability reversal zone. This sets up a powerful bearish swing opportunity targeting 4 support layers, anchored by institutional demand between 0.97500 - 0.95360.
💡 "Discipline | Consistency | PAY -tience"
EURUSD seguimos esperando esquema para compras.📍EUR/USD Update 💶💵
After grabbing liquidity in the marked zone, we’re now waiting for the buy setup to form. If price reacts correctly, we’ll be ready to enter with confirmation.
🔹 EUR/USD: still waiting for the buy setup.
Patience and focus — the move could be close.
Dollar dips on structural concerns | FX ResearchWe're definitely seeing a massive uptick in risk appetite in recent sessions as investors celebrate a reprieve from tariff intensification. At the same time, the broader trade war narrative has not gone away. And though we are getting a boost in risk assets, we're also seeing the US dollar suffer across the board.
Indeed, there is an expectation the Fed will need to be more accommodative with policy in the months ahead, which is forcing yield differentials out of the buck's favour. At the same time, it's hard to ignore what could be the start of a more pronounced structural shift on account of US administration policies that are driving investment away from the US.
The Senate's budget resolution enabling $5.3 trillion in tax cuts and a $5 trillion debt ceiling increase with minimal spending cuts further weakens the dollar's structural outlook. Looking ahead, we get US consumer inflation expectations and some Fed speak.
Exclusive FX research from LMAX Group Market Strategist, Joel Kruger
Bullish bounce?EUR/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.1141
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.0949
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 1.1425
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
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Lingrid | EURUSD potential Short-Term PULLBACK from 2022 HighThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . It hit the take profit. FX:EURUSD market is making higher highs, showing bullish momentum. Also the price broke and closed above the consolidation zone. However, on the daily timeframe, the price is forming an ABC move where point C completes at the psychological level of 1.15000. After the completion of this move, a pullback typically follows. Furthermore, this resistance zone represents the high of 2022, and I believe there may be liquidity above which could lead to a rollover. If we see rejection at this level, we can expect a short-term pullback. My goal is support zone around 1.12700
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
EURUSD LIVE TRADE AND EDUCATIONAL BREAK DOWN SHORTEUR/USD bounces off 1.1300, Dollar turns red
After bottoming out near the 1.1300 region, EUR/USD now regains upside traction and advances to the 1.1370 area on the back of the ongoing knee-jerk in the US Dollar. Meanwhile, market participants continue to closely follow news surrounding the US-China trade war.
EURUSD Good sell opportunity on this short-term rejectionThe EURUSD pair got an initial rejection near its 2-month Higher Highs trend-line with the 4H RSI an a Bearish Divergence (Lower Highs) since April 03.
The last pull-back was -2.31% and made double contact with the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) before rebounding. In fact all Higher Highs rejections hit at least he 4H MA50 before rebounding.
As a result, we see a strong short-term sell opportunity now, which even though could technically reach 1.12150 (-2.30% drop), it is advised to take profit once contact with the 4H MA50 is made.
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USDollar/EuroJust wanted to point out that the dollar has already lost support in terms of the Euro, and regardless of indicators, I doubt it recovers until the next president.
I see this hitting all time lows within 2 years, that's how bearish I am on the US dollar.
Probably should have posted this Thursday when I posted teh gold plots.
Eur/Usd Analysis 10-Apr 2025The euro continues to show relative stability, with some market participants attributing this to broader trends such as capital flows away from the US dollar amidst ongoing trade tensions and economic uncertainty surrounding the US.
In terms of price action and general market sentiment, a few technical levels are currently drawing interest:
• The pair remains above the 1.09 level, and some observers are monitoring whether it might approach the 1.11 area again. Should momentum continue to build, the 1.12 zone—where past reactions and selling interest were noted—could come into focus.
• A move below the 1.09 level on an intraday hourly or 4-hour timeframe may be interpreted by some traders as a sign of increasing selling pressure, potentially bringing the 1.075 level into consideration.
• If the price were to extend below 1.075, attention could shift toward the 1.06 level as a possible area of interest.
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