Short Setup ActivatedNote: If price reaches the daily order block before hitting the entry zone, the probability of a successful trade decreases.
🔍 My Trading Approach:
My trading and analysis are primarily based on market liquidity and how price tends to move toward areas where liquidity is pooled.
I use two main concepts in my strategy:
Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) to identify setups and entry zones
Measured Moves (MMs) to define target levels
🎯 Profit-Taking Rule:
I usually secure profits once price has moved at least 1.5 times the initial stop-loss distance in my favor. FOREXCOM:EURUSD
USDEUR trade ideas
Bearish drop?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.1281
1st Support: 1.1051
1st Resistance: 1.1424
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EURUSD week 21 analysis🌐Fundamental Analysis
Over the past week, the EUR/USD pair was influenced by positive economic data from the US as the PMI index showed that private sector activity expanded more than expected. This supported the USD and put downward pressure on EUR/USD in the short term. However, the USD's gains were quickly limited by concerns about the fiscal situation as the US House of Representatives passed a spending and tax cut bill that could increase the public debt by more than $3 trillion over the next decade.
On the other hand, Eurozone wage data recorded a slowdown in growth in the first quarter, reducing inflation concerns and reinforcing expectations that the ECB will soon cut interest rates. This left the Euro lacking clear upside momentum. In the context of a lack of important data over the weekend, market sentiment and macro risks continued to dominate the EUR/USD's performance.
🕯Technical Analysis
EURUSD is still in a fairly strong uptrend and has hit the weekly resistance hook around 1.136. The next resistance level that the pair will face this week is 1.14200 with a large accumulation of sellers and when breaking out, pay attention to the weekly resistance level at 1.15000
To reverse the current trend, the pair needs to break the trendline structure around 1.12700. When breaking this area, it will wait for a retest point to SELL to the Entry Gap price of 1.116
📈📉Trading Signals
BUY EURUSD 1.127-1.125 SL 1.122
SELL EURUSD 1.142-1.144 SL 1.149 (Scalping)
SELL EURUSD 1.150-1.152 SL 1.155
EURUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on EURUSD?
EUR/USD entered a corrective phase after its recent bullish rally and a test of the resistance zone.
Despite the short-term pullback, the mid-term trend remains bullish.
We expect the price to complete its correction near the identified support zone, and then resume its upward movement toward the specified target level.
This pullback may provide a buying opportunity in line with the broader trend.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
EUR/USD Sell – May 21 Bias: Bearish (4H / 1H / 15m all down) and in Orderblocks.
POI: 15m OB
Trigger: 1m BOS from 15m OB (means market reacted → valid)
Entry: On the last untouched 1m OB left behind after the BOS
TP: Final TP at gap (18RR), partial TP at 1:3RR
Risk: Asia high not swept → could spike into SL before dumping
⚠️ Key Notes
Asia High = liquidity → price might hunt it first, then reverse
If you entered before the sweep, SL spike risk is real
If you wait after the sweep and get a clean 1m OB + BOS again = higher probability entry
EURUSD: a calm week ahead?From economic data the US inflation was in the spotlight of the financial markets during the previous week. The US inflation in April reached 0,2% for the month, and 2,3% on a yearly basis, which was fully in line with market expectations. The Core inflation was standing at the level of 0,2% for the month and 2,8% for the year. The Producers Price Index in April was -0,5%, which was significantly below market estimate of 0,2%. Retail Sales in April were higher by 0,1% for the month modestly above the forecasted 0%. Building Permits preliminary for April were 1.412M, below market estimate of 1.450M, while Housing Starts in April were also below market estimate, with 1.362, while market was expecting to see the figure of 1.37M. The end of the week brought University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment index preliminary for May, which was standing at the level of 50,8, modestly below forecasted 53,4. There has been a modest increase in 5 years inflation expectations to the level of 4,6%, from 4,4% previously posted. There has also been increased expectations for the inflation for this year, which reached the level of 7,3%, from 6,5% posted previously.
This week there has not been too much significant macro data posted for the Euro Zone. The ZEW Economic Sentiment Index in May in Germany was standing at 25,2 which was surprisingly much higher from anticipated 12,5. The same indicator for the Euro Zone was at the level of 11,6 again above market expectations of -6.
The previous week started in favor of the US Dollar against euro, due to decreased tariffs tensions between the US and China. Still, volatility continued for the rest of the week. The highest weekly level of the currency pair was 1,1263, while the pair is ending the week at the level of 1,1164. The RSI was relatively calmly moving around the level of 50, still closing the week at the level of 46. This is an indication that the investors are modestly eyeing the oversold market side in the coming period. The MA50 is still modestly diverging from MA200, without a clear indication that the change of course might happen in the coming period.
Charts are indicating that the market was testing the 1,12 level during the previous week. This could be also treated as a level with historical significance, considering that the currency pair historically spent a lot of time around this level. Considering that the week ahead is not bringing much of the currently significant data, which markets closely watch, it could be expected that it is going to be one calm week. However, it should be taken into account news published on Saturday, that the rating agency Moody’s downgraded US credit rating by one notch. This news is still not reflected in the eurusd currency pair, which might indicate some higher volatility at the start of trading hours on Monday. This would be a one-off effect. As per current charts, if the level 1,12 withholds pressure to the downside, then the market could revert toward the 1,13 level. In the opposite case, charts are indicating the level of 1,1050.
Important news to watch during the week ahead are:
EUR: Inflation rate final for April in the EuroZone, Producers Price Index in Germany in April, HCOB manufacturing PMI Flash for May for both Germany and the Euro Zone, Ifo Business Climate for Germany in May, GDP Growth rate for Germany final for Q1
USD: Existing Home Sales in April
Weekly FOREX Forecast: USD Weakness Continues. Buy The Majors!This is the FOREX futures outlook for the week of May 25 - 31st..
In this video, we will analyze the following FX markets:
USD Index EUR GBP AUD NZD CAD CHF JPY
USD Index has been bearish for weeks. Expect that to continue as Trump threatens EUR and Apple with tariffs.
Buying against the USD is the best bet. Notice the other major currencies charts are showing bullish price action in the form of Bullish Flags or prices nearing buy side liquidity.
Run with the bulls!
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
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Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
EUR_USD BULLISH BREAKOUT|LONG|
✅EUR_USD made a bullish
Breakout of the key horizontal
Level of 1.1287 and the breakout
Is confirmed so we are bullish
Biased and we will be expecting
A further bullish move up
After a potential local
Retest of the new support
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EURUSD Remains BearishEUR/USD shows signs of weakness beneath the surface.
Price Structure
EUR/USD is currently forming lower highs and lower lows — indicating a mild bearish trend. The recent bounce failed to produce a breakout above key resistance and appears to be fading near 1.1370. This may hint at a distribution phase rather than accumulation.
Accumulation/Distribution (A/D) Line
The A/D line has been flattening and turning down since late April.
This suggests that despite minor price rallies, no significant buying pressure is occurring — rather, it may indicate smart money distribution.
On-Balance Volume (OBV)
OBV surged in early April but has since formed a clear downtrend.
As price attempted to climb higher in May, OBV failed to confirm — showing a classic bearish divergence.
Lack of volume confirmation implies fading buying interest.
This leads us to conclude that the EURUSD will initially remain bearish. An ideal target for a short position is the open Sunday gap, which we have chosen here as a TP.
EUR/USD – Fair Value Gap Filled, Market Eyes Higher HighsThe EUR/USD chart on the 4-hour timeframe is showing a well-formed Elliott Wave pattern. We've seen a clear 5-wave move to the upside, followed by a corrective ABC pattern. This correction seems to have completed, with wave C ending right at a strong support area.
It's the lower trendline of the rising channel formed during the 5-wave impulse.
It's also where a Fair Value Gap (FVG) has just been filled — an area where price previously moved too quickly and is now finding balance.
T1: 1.12355
T2: 1.13072
SL: 1.10468
EURUSD-H1-LONGBuy Setup: Price has broken the descending trendline and previous HH , confirming a bullish shift on H1 as of May 19, 2025. Currently in a pullback phase, finding support with Ichimoku showing bullish conditions—price above Kumo, Tenkan-sen above Kijun-sen, . Expecting continuation to the upside.
EU Market Breakdown – Key Liquidity Zones & Bias for Today Today’s analysis focuses on the current structure and price behavior of EURUSD.
We're identifying key liquidity zones, watching for trap setups, and aligning bias with HTF direction.
🔍 Watch for:
Major stop hunt zones
Potential displacement moves
Where price may reject or sweep
ARX style: Precision Over Prediction
Stay patient. Wait for confluence. Strike like a sniper. 🎯
EURUSD Trade Executed May 25 Asia EURUSD Trade Executed
May 25
PreMarket Analysis
Parent bias Bull
Previous session
Monthly
Expansion cycle opening above the .618 in a Premium, with a sell off wick, expecting the expansion to continue.
Weekly
Candle fractal is a expansion with equal highs and FVG as magnet to reach for.
Fridays delivery expanded in Asia consolidated in London then expanded to take buy side, retraced lower in London close, news manipulation to expand to the equal highs, did not take but went in to consolidation
May 26 Ideas
Premarket analysis logic suggested that Asia will expand to equal highs.
Trade framework
*18:00 Price consolidated to Asia open
*18:25 FVG Price tests this candle several times
*20:00 price expands creating a FVG
*Price comes back down
*20:15 entered
*22:48 exited when it did not look like price would take the equal highs
So happy that I studied this weekend and watched the DXY/GBP to cross reference the trade for the likely hood it would expand to the buy side in a expansion cycle.
Entries are getting tighter and exits are also getting better.
Euro StrengthECB policy outlook: Some ECB members are hinting that the bank may be nearing the end of its rate-cutting cycle, which could make the Euro more attractive.
Positive Eurozone data: Better-than-expected industrial output and quarterly employment changes in the Eurozone can provide support for the Euro.
EUR_USD WILL GO DOWN|SHORT|
✅EUR_USD has retested a
Resistance level of 1.1290
And we are seeing a bearish reaction
With the price going down so we are
Bearish biased now and we will be
Expecting the pair to go further down
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EURUSD Breaking Above Resistance Line; Wave 5 In PlayEURUSD moved nicely higher in April, into the 1.15–1.16 area, a resistance where pair slowed down at the end of wave 3, that put retracement in play. However, a pullback has been made in three waves, so its seen as temporary within the broader uptrend. We saw some deeper retracement down to 1,1, near the 38.2% Fib from where we can see some nice turn up, above the trendline resistance so it appears that bulls are in play for wave 5. Therefore, be aware of more upside afte some intraday dips. Support is at 1.1266 area.
GH
done and dusted, EUR/USD goes, “Hold my beer , lets cheersEUR/USD: Smart Money Just Played a Masterclass
Price dipped below support — looked like a breakdown, right? Wrong.
Here’s the playbook they used:
Liquidity Grab: Took out sell stops sitting below key levels.
Bear Trap: Price snapped back up, leaving bears trapped and confused.
Order Block: Zoom in on the candles before the spike — Smart Money bought heavy there.
Bullish Continuation: With bears trapped and bags full, price is now free to climb.
The fake fall fuels the real rise. Classic Smart Money setup — watch this ride up.
big move. What will happen?"
1. Supply Zone:
A supply zone is an area on the chart where many sellers are present.
Price usually falls from this area.
It means there is more supply than demand.
Traders look to sell from this zone.
Example:
If EUR/USD moves up to 1.0900 and keeps falling from there, that area is a supply zone.
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2. Demand Zone:
A demand zone is where many buyers are waiting.
Price usually rises from this area.
It means there is more demand than supply.
Traders look to buy from this zone.
Example:
If EUR/USD drops to 1.0650 and bounces up every time, that area is a demand zone.
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Main Differences:
Feature Supply Zone Demand Zone
Who is strong? Sellers Buyers
Price action Price goes down Price goes up
Trading move Best to sell Best to buy
Trend Impact Starts downtrend or pause Starts uptrend or bounce
EURUSD FRIDAY🔻 SELL @ 1.13598
🛑 SL 1.13718 (12 pips)
🎯 TP 1.13168 (43 pips)
⚖️ R:R ≈ 1:3.6
📌 Why? Price just retested a 15 m supply zone that lines up with H1 resistance — bearish wick rejection on the test.
🔺 BUY @ 1.12874
🛑 SL 1.12779 (9.5 pips)
🎯 TP 1.13196 (32.2 pips)
⚖️ R:R ≈ 1:3.4
📌 Why? Price touching a 15 m demand zone backed by H1 support — bullish engulfing candle confirms the bounce.