EURUSD: Target Is Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 1.13622 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 1.13967 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
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USDEUR trade ideas
EURUSD(20250424) Today's AnalysisMarket News:
The United States hit a 16-month low in April. The total number of new home sales in the United States in March was an annualized to a new high since September 2024.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
1.1354
Support and resistance levels:
1.1485
1.1436
1.1404
1.1303
1.1272
1.1223
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 1.1354, consider buying, the first target price is 1.1404
If the price breaks through 1.1303, consider selling, the first target price is 1.1272
EURUSD Top - Down AnalysisHello Students and Traders,
Just thought to give y'all a quick top-down analysis on the EURUSD pair today.
While we see some Bearishness on the Monthly chart, the lower time frames of the Weekly, Daily and 4 Hour are all looking Bullish. With these 3 timeframes having a confluence of liquidity target, which is only a few pips shy of the Monthly Zone, it appears the market is looking to drive prices bullish, right into the Monthly Zone, from where we will expect and hope to see the resumed bearishness of the Monthly, together with a consequential reversal of trend on the 3 timeframes of the Weekly, Daily and 4 Hour Timeframes.
For now, we wait and watch how prices play out on the 1 hour, to give us the confirmation to move Bullish, or expect a short term bearish reversal.
Enjoy the analysis guys...
How to use Correlation for your tradingHello,
Understanding correlation is key to elevating your trading success for two main reasons:
Avoid Trading Against Yourself: When you buy one asset and sell another that is positively correlated, you risk offsetting your gains with losses. This often results in a zero-sum outcome, as one trade may profit while the other incurs a loss. Recognizing correlated pairs helps you avoid this pitfall and trade more strategically. Using the chart below its clear that it will be unwise to sell GBPUSD while buying EURUSD since both pairs move in the same direction.
Capitalize on Lagging Pairs:
Identifying correlated pairs and their movement patterns enables smarter trading decisions. By spotting which pair tends to lead and which lags, you can focus on trading the lagging pair to increase your probability of success. While risks remain, this approach allows for more calculated and potentially profitable trades.
The charts provided illustrate the positive correlation between GBPUSD and EURUSD, showing how they move in tandem. This insight allows you to confidently buy or sell one pair based on the movement of the other, optimizing your trading strategy.
Goodluck in your trading.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EUR/USD Holds Firm as U.S. Policy Uncertainty GrowsEUR/USD traded around 1.1530 on Tuesday, while the dollar index remained around 98.4, weighed down by concerns about the Federal Reserve’s independence and escalating trade tensions. President Trump called for swift rate cuts and suggested removing Fed Chair Jerome Powell, fueling worries over political influence on monetary policy. The sentiment was further impacted by stalled US-China negotiations and China’s warnings to countries aligning with Washington.
Key resistance is at 1.1550, followed by 1.1600 and 1.1680. Support lies at 1.1400, then 1.1260 and 1.1180.
EUR/USD SHORT POSITIONDuring a market turnover the market usually retest or fills left over market gaps or imbalances before continuation. This would be a perfect time for EUR Buyers to get washed out before market decides to continue to the upside. This also would close the losing positions of the market makers shorts against the retail Investors and they would get better buy order before continuation of Q2 books for EUR/USD positions.
Fundamental Market Analysis for April 21, 2025 EURUSDEUR/USD broke out of a multi-day trading range and hit a new high since February 2022 around 1.1485 during the Asian session on Monday.
Despite “aggressive” comments from Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell, uncertainty over US President Donald Trump's trade policy continues to undermine the dollar. Last Wednesday, Powell said the Fed would likely keep the benchmark interest rate unchanged and wait for more clarity before considering any policy adjustments. Meanwhile, Trump's retaliatory tariff announcements undermined investor confidence in U.S. economic growth and drove the dollar to a two-year low early in the new week.
The aforementioned factors largely offset the European Central Bank's (ECB) soft decision last week and served as a tailwind for EUR/USD. On Thursday, the ECB cut interest rates for the seventh time in a year and warned that economic growth would be hit hard by US tariffs, bolstering the case for further policy easing in the coming months.
Moving forward, traders this week will be focused on scheduled speeches by ECB President Christine Lagarde on Tuesday and a number of influential FOMC members this week. In addition, the market's focus will be on the release of flash PMI indices, which could provide new insights into the state of the global economy. This, in turn, may give some impetus to the US dollar and EUR/USD.
Trade recommendation: BUY 1.1520, SL 1.1465 , TP 1.1565.
Explicación entrada contratendencia, No es la ideal.Explanation of a Counter-Trend Entry
Today, we took a counter-trend entry, which is not ideal in terms of probabilities, as it's generally better to trade in the direction of the main trend.
However, this trade was done with an educational purpose, so you can learn to spot key structures and reaction zones, even during pullbacks or corrections.
👉 The most important thing when trading against the trend is to have clear risk management, a defined setup, and to know when to exit if price doesn’t react as expected.
📚 This is part of the learning process. We don’t trade just to trade, but to understand the market and sharpen your decision-making.
EURO - Price can rise a little more and then start to fallHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some time ago price moved inside a falling channel, slowly declining and bouncing from support to resistance.
Then EUR made a breakout, exited the channel, and started forming a rising wedge with clear bullish acceleration.
After a breakout, the price continued to grow and reached the upper boundary of the wedge pattern on the chart.
Recently Euro touched the resistance zone and showed a bounce from the local top near the wedge's upper edge.
Now it trades inside wedge formation and stays above support area near $1.1145 without strong momentum.
In my opinion, Euro can drop from current levels and reach $1.1150 zone as next support target soon.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
EUR/USD: Head, Shoulders, and a Whole Lotta Drama Oh, EUR/USD, you’re out here living your best life, hitting 1.14 on April 10, 2025, while the USD throws a tariff tantrum (Trump, you’re a mess 🤦♂️). A head and shoulders pattern is trying to gatecrash, with a left shoulder already set and the head still puffing up its ego. But the right shoulder? Nowhere in sight—drama TBD! 🎭
RSI’s giving “maybe chill” vibes after being overbought. 🥱 Central bank moves and trade talk chaos might clip your wings, and inflation fears aren’t helping. Will this H&S finish its glow-up, or are you heading for the stars? Traders, what’s your take—bearish breakup or EUR party? Drop your thoughts! ☕ #EURUSD #ForexDrama #TradingView
Euro may correct to support area and then continue to growHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. The price started its movement inside a tight upward channel, gradually rising from lower levels. After a steady climb, the Euro broke out of the channel with a strong impulse, entering a buyer zone between 1.0870 - 1.0910 points. This zone acted as a strong base, and from there, the pair accelerated upward, eventually reaching the upper boundary of a wide horizontal range. After multiple rejections near the range’s top, the pair finally made a breakout and exited above resistance, confirming the shift in momentum. The growth didn’t stop there - price continued its rally, reaching the current support area between 1.1320 - 1.1280 points, which now aligns with a strong horizontal level at 1.1280 points. This area was successfully retested and defended by buyers. Currently, the price is consolidating slightly above this support, forming a local correction after the recent impulse. As long as this structure holds and the support area remains intact, the bullish pressure is likely to resume. Given the breakout, the strong base from the buyer zone, and the bullish market structure, I expect the Euro to continue growing toward the 1.1550 level, which is marked as my current TP1. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Building a Strategy from Scratch: Where Do You Start?Building a Strategy from Scratch: Where Do You Start?
Most traders, if we’re being honest, don’t really have a strategy , they have a setup. A signal. A hunch. Maybe something they picked up on a Discord server or stumbled upon in a late-night rabbit hole of YouTube and indicators.
But building an actual strategy? That’s a whole different story.
It’s not just about drawing lines or finding that one magical entry. It’s about putting together a system that has logic, structure, and purpose—even if it’s simple.
Let’s back up: What even is a strategy?
Think of it like this: a strategy isn’t just how you get into a trade. It’s how you decide when the market environment is right for your approach. It includes how you define risk, how you manage outcomes, how you respond to different conditions, and—yes—when you sit on your hands and do nothing.
It’s a full picture, not just a moment.
Step one: Know your environment
Before anything else, it helps to understand what kind of market conditions you’re even looking to work with.
Some traders focus on strong trends, others prefer when price is stuck in a range. Some look for volatility; others avoid it like it’s a scam email.
There’s no “better” option. But knowing which type of environment you want to observe can help guide every other decision—from what indicators you consider to how you track performance later.
Step two: Build a framework (not just a signal)
The entry is the flashy part—but it’s just one component.
A framework might include:
What timeframes you observe and why
Conditions or filters that matter to you (volume, volatility, session time)
What kind of tools help you confirm your idea (maybe moving averages, maybe VWAP, maybe none)
This is where context really matters. A signal is just data. A framework is how you read that data and decide what’s worth paying attention to.
Step three: Clarify what you track
Strategy development is just theory without feedback.
That doesn’t mean you need a million spreadsheets—but a good strategy invites reflection. You might want to ask:
What happens before things work out?
What happens when they don’t?
Is there a specific condition that tends to repeat?
You’d be surprised how much you can learn from reviewing a handful of examples with that lens.
Step four: Define your version of “success”
Not everyone’s running the same race. Some people value high win percentages. Others focus more on consistency. Some want long-term performance across different assets; others are content observing one pair or index with high precision.
What matters is knowing what you’re trying to achieve—so you can actually tell if your strategy supports it.
And if that changes over time? Totally normal.
One more thing: Complexity isn’t the goal
This part’s important.
There’s a weird belief that serious trading must be complicated. That strategies need five indicators and multiple confirmations and algorithms whispering secrets behind the scenes.
Truth is, many robust strategies are deceptively straightforward. What makes them work isn’t the complexity—it’s the consistency .
Bottom line: it’s your puzzle
There’s no universal blueprint here. That’s what makes strategy building feel frustrating… and freeing.
You’re not trying to “beat” the market. You’re just trying to make sense of it your way—with tools, logic, and structure that reflect how you see the world.
And if you're experimenting, testing, or just organizing your ideas into something clearer—you're already doing more than most.
So take your time. Sketch. Observe. Iterate.
That’s where the real strategy begins.
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EURUSD breakout holds: Is a bigger rally coming?EURUSD maintains its breakout and the chart suggests the price could head much higher. What are the next steps for traders looking to get involved in this bullish trend? What details should you pay attention to? Watch the video to find out.
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EURUSD-SELL strategy 2D chart GANNThe pair is overextended and strategically we should correct back towards 1.1037 at a minimum. the support is 1.0850 area, but think we will not see this so soon.
Strategy SELL@ 1.1350-1.1410 and take profit near 1.1047 for now.
note: keep leverage reasonable for averaging purposes.
EURUSD: 4H holding and is pushing for the next High. The EURUSD pair is bullish on its 4H technical outlook (RSI = 58.651, MACD = 0.006, ADX = 20.500) as despite turning sideways since last Friday, the price remains over the 4H MA50 and inside the short term Channel Up. As long as those hold, we anticipate a new bullish wave of at least 5%, like the previous one. Aim for the top of the Channel Up (TP = 1.1800).
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EURUSD Daily, H4,H1 Forecasts, Technical Analysis & Trading Idea💡 Daily Timeframe:
As forecasted by 4CastMachine AI last week, EURUSD was rejected from the channel line.
💡 H4 Timeframe:
FX:EURUSD started a corrective wave,
This decline may continue, but the support area of 1.1200 ~ 1.0890 could trigger a rebound.
This area, which was previously a major resistance, will become a major support, creating a good buying opportunity.
💡 H1 Timeframe:
The Triangle pattern formed in the price has broken downwards.
The bearish wave is expected to continue as long as the price is below the strong resistance at 1.1334
1.1334 Support is broken now. It will act as a Resistance now!
💡 H1 Forecast:
Correction wave toward the Sell Zone
Another Downward Impulse wave toward Lower TPs
H1 Trading Idea:
Sell now or wait for pullback and Sell on price rejection from 1.1334.
SL: Above 1.1334
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Be sure to leave a comment; let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast.
Have a successful week,
ForecastCity Support Team