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USDEUR trade ideas

EURUSD Trading Journal April 3 AnalysisEURUSD Trading Journal April 3 Analysis Parent bias is bull Price is in a Premium previous day and current range Dealing range pips 118 News 8:30 & 10 April 2 Analysis Fantastic rally to buy side. I suspected Price would seek higher prices in NY and boom it did. Price in a discount lowered in London to minor sell side setting up for a long which I traded. 6 macro price retraced. 7 macro price rallied to the buy side. Weak news driver to be honest. 10 macro silver bullet price rallies for buy side. Small consolidation PM session. Then during electronic hours price rallies into 4 hour FVG. , I suspected for a high to be made yesterday since Price had not delivered that yet. Great delivery. April 3 Idea I would like to see price retrace to rebalance the noted FVG from yesterdays delivery. I am still bull on this pair. Price could also consolidate in Asia and London after all the expansion yesterday. I could see another rally for higher prices in NY.
by LeanLena
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of March 28, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: The Euro has experienced a downward trend in the current trading session, surpassing the Mean Support level of 1.078, where an intermediate price reversal occurred. The analysis indicates that the Eurodollar is expected to retest the Mean Resistance level at 1.086, with a possible resistance level marked at 1.095. A downward momentum may be initiated from either the Mean Resistance of 1.086 or 1.095.
by TradeSelecter
EUR/USD Weekly Forecast: Rising Wedge Breakdown & Bearish TargetChart Overview: The provided EUR/USD daily chart displays a well-structured Rising Wedge pattern, which eventually led to a significant bearish breakdown. The analysis highlights key levels, including resistance, support, stop loss, and a downside target, all of which contribute to a well-planned trade setup. The market structure suggests a strong bearish continuation, targeting lower price levels based on technical projections. 1. Chart Pattern: Rising Wedge Formation & Breakdown A Rising Wedge is a bearish reversal pattern that forms when price creates higher highs and higher lows, but the slope of the trendlines indicates weakening bullish momentum. This pattern is often a signal of upcoming bearish price action once a breakout occurs. Pattern Breakdown Analysis: The price moved inside the wedge, showing a gradual upward trend with declining momentum. Upon reaching a key resistance level, price faced strong rejection (marked with a red circle). The bearish breakdown below the wedge confirmed the pattern, leading to a sharp decline. A retest of the broken wedge followed before continuing downward. This confirms a classic bearish trend reversal, making it a strong technical setup. 2. Key Levels and Trade Setup: 🔹 Resistance Level (Major Supply Zone) The resistance zone (highlighted in beige) acted as a strong supply area, where buyers lost control. Price reached this resistance multiple times but failed to sustain above it. A bearish reversal initiated from this level, marking the beginning of a downward trend. 🔹 Support Level (Key Demand Zone) The support zone (also highlighted) represents a major demand area where price previously reversed. This level aligns with historical price action, making it a critical area to monitor for potential reactions. 🔹 Stop Loss Placement A stop loss is placed above the previous high within the resistance zone to protect against false breakouts. If price invalidates the breakdown and moves above this level, the bearish setup would no longer be valid. 🔹 Price Target Projection The breakdown suggests a potential drop towards 1.00874, as indicated by the 100% measured move. This aligns with previous historical support, making it a realistic downside target. 3. Trade Execution Plan: How to Trade This Setup? 📌 Entry Strategy: Traders can enter short after confirmation of the breakdown and a potential retest. A sell position can be initiated around the resistance turned support after a pullback rejection. 📌 Stop Loss Strategy: A stop loss should be set above the resistance zone (around 1.12208) to minimize risk. This ensures protection against a bullish breakout invalidation. 📌 Take Profit Strategy: The first take profit target is set at the support level near 1.04498. The final take profit target is at 1.00874, which aligns with the full measured move projection. 4. Conclusion & Market Sentiment 🔸 Bearish Market Bias – The breakdown of the rising wedge confirms strong bearish momentum. 🔸 Key Resistance Held Strong – The price was unable to break above, confirming seller dominance. 🔸 Downside Target Aligns with Previous Support Levels – A confluence of technical signals supports further decline. Final Thought: This chart presents a high-probability bearish trade setup in EUR/USD. The combination of a rising wedge breakdown, clear resistance rejection, and a defined downside target makes it an ideal short-selling opportunity. Traders should watch for price action confirmations and risk management strategies before executing trades. 🚨 Risk Disclaimer: Always apply proper risk management and confirm signals before trading. Market conditions may change, so monitoring price behavior is crucial for trade adjustments.
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
Long EURUSD retest of breakout levels Macro outlook for the remainder of the week Upcoming News US NFP at 430pm Fri USD downside Bad NFP report USD upside Good NFP report News review Liberation Day - Full-scale tariff were definitely not a good thing for the USD as investor fear of it causing a recession is currently outweighing the potential of keeping interest rates high to prevent inflation from running hot. Price has voted this way, so let's keep with it. The risk to this thesis is if Powell comes out and convinces the market that he will focus on inflation over all else and take a hard stance similar to volcker. Then we switch fundamental views. Technical view Breakout of the previous levels at 1.0954 With NFP coming up, I'm looking for a retrace back to near the breakout level before it, then take a high RR bet for the trend to continue to the upside. Timeframe of bet → Till Friday around NFP Price level of interest → 1.099 to 1.0954 Execution Price alert set Look for price to touch the area, and reverse SL: 1.093 for now. Will be determined based of reversal candle and what's the low of the retracement move. TP: Highs of 1.11 Results of ideas thus far: Number of trades: 1 WR: 0% Profit: -0.1R Notes: This is currently for personal practice to write out trade ideas. Feedback is welcome, and please don't mind if none of this makes sense.
Long
by yuhaocooper
EURUSD Surges to 1.10 levels post-Trump Tariffs: BUY or SELL?Current Situation: EUR/USD spiked to 1.10 levels(up sharply) following Trump’s tariff announcement, defying initial expectations of short-term USD strength. This suggests markets are pricing in long-term risks to the USD (growth fears, retaliatory tariffs) faster than anticipated. Key Drivers Behind the Move: 1. Tariff Backfire Risk: Investors may fear tariffs will hurt U.S. growth more than Europe’s, weakening the USD. 2. ECB vs. Fed Policy Shift: Bets that the **Fed could cut rates sooner** if tariffs slow U.S. inflation/growth, while the ECB delays cuts. 3. Retaliation Bets: Expectations of aggressive EU countermeasures (e.g., tariffs on U.S. tech/agriculture) boosting EUR sentiment. --- Technical Analysis (EUR/USD Daily Chart) - ✅ Breakout Confirmed : Price surged till 2024's resistance, now testing 1.10 levels (psychological levels). - RSI: Overbought, suggesting short-term pullback risk. #EURUSD #TrumpTariffs #ForexTrading #Breakout #USDweakness
by AkiSignals
EURUSD March 28 journal entry and summary of deliveryEURUSD March 28 journal entry "After 6 days of sell off Price has a buy day. I suspect for Price to come to the 50 in Asia seeking sell side to reverse and take by stops. Be patient and wait for Price to show you its hand. " March 30 review of delivery WOW. Reviewing this note gives me so much confidence and now its time to trust your analysis. This is exactly what price delivered. March 28 Delivery Asia delivers a consolidation in a premium. Then lowers creating equal lows consolidating coming into London. 3 macro Price fake expands higher to take minor buy side before breaking for equal lows to a bullish order block? Consolidates coming into NY AM session. Price news driver manipulates prices energetic rally to take recent buy side and rebalance a FVG, however Price does not make a new high. Price does its choppy see saw to lower, retrace, small consolidation then 4pm rally to take minor session buy side and close on a previous NWOG. Discount to premium. Closed in a Premium. *Note low was made on Wednesday and pivot point of the week was after that. *Studying the cycle price is delivering to is key to where the next likely draw on liquidity will be. *I suspected the event horizon would be a magnet and sure seems like it.
by LeanLena
FX Market Preview: NFP week - EUR/USD in focusIn this FX market preview I go into recapping the EUR/USD, GBP/USD and USD/JPY price action last week and what I'm looking at for this week. I also take a look at ETF's QQQE and Nvidia opportunities. I continue to hold my EUR/USD short positions while keeping a strong eye on 1.0860 and then 1.0900. I feel these areas are important for the bears to hold the line if we're going to continue the slide down. NFP in focus this week as well as Trump Tariffs. As always, Good Luck & Trade Safe.
by InternalTraderNYC
The Day Ahead: Market Focus & Key EventsKey Market Events – Friday, March 28 U.S. Data: February PCE (Core & Headline): Key Fed inflation gauge—high impact on rate expectations. Personal Income & Spending: Consumer strength insights. March Kansas City Fed Services Activity: Regional business sentiment. Europe: UK February Retail Sales: Consumer demand check. Germany March Unemployment, April GfK Consumer Confidence: Labor market & sentiment indicators. France March CPI, PPI: Inflation signals. Italy March Consumer, Manufacturing, & Economic Sentiment + Industrial Sales & PPI: Growth outlook. Eurozone March Economic Confidence: Broad sentiment gauge. Canada: January GDP: Growth momentum ahead of BoC policy decisions. Central Banks: Fed’s Barr & Bostic Speeches: Potential rate clues. ECB Consumer Expectations Survey: Inflation & policy sentiment. Trading Focus: PCE data → USD, Treasuries, equities move on inflation implications. Retail sales, GDP → FX volatility (GBP, CAD). Confidence & inflation prints → EUR crosses & bond yields. Fed/ECB speakers → Interest rate expectations shift. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
EURUSD Trade Execution EURUSD Trade Execution March 26 Asia 20:00 Macro I suspected that Price would gravitate to the 50 level through to the noted FVG. Logic was Price has been taking sell stops for the past 6 days inching lower. Price was in a deep discount and would want to retrace. Last session taking major sell stops and when the 2022 candle formation occurred I entered. I set alarm for the 50 level and saw that DXY had surpassed its 50 level so I let it ride to my next target. I saw that it could just be consolidating and want to close in the FVG it was rebalancing, however I closed the trade on my target and extremely happy with my analysis, my execution , my exit! Great delivery and trust.
Long
by LeanLena