USDEUR trade ideas
EURUSD InsightHello to all our subscribers, and welcome!
Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to like and subscribe.
Key Points
- U.S. President Trump commented on the mutual tariff suspension deadline of July 9, saying, “We can do whatever we want. We could extend it, or shorten it,” leaving the door open for an extension.
- U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated that trade negotiations could be finalized by September 1, adding that agreements were nearing completion with more than 10 of the 18 major trading partners.
- President Trump noted that Canada is preparing to implement a digital tax, saying, “We will halt all trade discussions with Canada and within the next seven days inform them of the tariffs they must pay to operate in the U.S.”
- The U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index for May met expectations at 2.3% year-over-year, while the Core PCE Price Index slightly exceeded expectations at 2.7% year-over-year.
Key Economic Events This Week
+ June 30: U.K. Q1 GDP
+ July 1: Eurozone June CPI, Speech by Fed Chair Jerome Powell, U.S. JOLTS (Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey)
+ July 2: U.S. June ADP Nonfarm Employment Change
+ July 3: U.S. June Nonfarm Payrolls, U.S. June Unemployment Rate
EURUSD Chart Analysis
The pair is showing a steep upward trend after breaking through a previous resistance level. Further upside potential appears to remain, with the next projected target area around the 1.18500–1.19000 range. However, there is currently a resistance zone in place, making it highly likely that a short-term dip may occur before the upward trend resumes.
EURUSD H4 I Bullish BounceBased on the H4 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 1.1631, a pullback support.
Our take profit is set at 1.1745, a swing high resistance that aligns with the 161.8% Fib extension.
The stop loss is placed at 1.1582, an overlap support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
EUR/USD BULL RAID: Quick Profit Heist Before the Drop!🏴☠️ EUR/USD "The Fiber" HEIST ALERT: Bullish Loot Before the Trap! 🚨💰
🌟 Greetings, Market Pirates & Profit Raiders! 🌟
Hola! Oi! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba! 🤑
🔥 Thief Trading Strategy Activated! 🔥
Our bullish heist on EUR/USD is LIVE—time to swipe the loot before the bears set their trap! 🎯💸
📈 Entry (Vault is OPEN!):
Buy Limit Orders preferred (15M/30M swing levels).
Alert up! Don’t miss the breakout.
🛑 Stop Loss (Escape Route):
Nearest Swing Low (1.15200) on 30M TF.
Adjust for your risk & lot size—no reckless robberies!
🎯 Target (Profit Hideout): 1.16400
Scalpers: Stick to LONG only—trail your SL to lock gold!
Swing Traders: Ride the wave or split the haul.
⚡ Why This Heist?
Bullish momentum + weak bears = perfect robbery conditions.
Overbought? Yes. Risky? Absolutely. But thieves thrive in chaos!
📢 Pro Tip:
Avoid news spikes (volatility = jail time for unprepared traders).
Trailing SL = Your Getaway Car.
💥 BOOST THIS PLAN!
Hit 👍, share 🔄, and let’s drain this market together! More heists coming—stay tuned! 🚀🐱👤
(Disclaimer: Trade smart. We’re thieves, not gambleers.)
EURUSD JUNE MONTH DELIVERY & NFP week ideasEURUSD
JUNE MONTH DELIVERY
*June closes with a expansion/accumulation monthly candle
*Price wicked to the Weekly SIBI from sept 2021
*Price expanded to come just below the parent range .79 Premium
*Note since May 13 price has been in a buy program with little retrace
*Price is delivering to a Premium market taking key equal highs last week
June 27 DELIVERY
*Thursday into Friday price consolidates
*Asia takes minor equal lows
*2 London macro expands to the buy side
*small retrace
*6 macro starts the expansion cycle to send Price to take equal highs
*10 silver bullet price reverses Londons delivery taking minor sell side
*14:00 macro Price retraces to close rebalancing NY am delivery
*Price closes just above the 50 in a premium
NFP WEEK IDEAS
Deep premium with little retrace last week-over bought
*I suspect that we could see a retrace/reversal beginning of NFP week
*could we see price come to the current range 50 level 1.16037
*Note the EV is in a discount could price retrace to that target for the week
June 30 IDEAS
*Parent bias is bull stick to it this week
*Sundays delivery Price could retrace to minor equal highs at the .618
*Note Dealers range is already 32 pips-setting up for a potential larger expansion day
*watch out for a possible consolidation cycle Monday-typical profile is expansion but we will see with no news
*Sundays delivery could consolidation
*Watch for reaction at .618 at minor equal highs
*see if we swing for higher prices in Asia to London and lower in NY for Mondays suspected delivery-read what the chart prints this is just an idea-its not my gospel
EURUSD Trade IdeaEURUSD is Bullish, on the weekly and daily time frame.
With RSI near the overbought region on the daily timeframe, there is a great probability that the trend perform a pull back to the support level @1.1590 zone.
If the trend break the CHocH at the 4Hr timeframe (body candle not wick), then will go short till 1.1600 level. If the news this coming week are in favor of the USD, we might see more drawdown till the Order block OB4H.
Let's be patient and watch the market carefully
Good Luck!
Last week of June EU outlookWeekly forecast for EU. We have seen a very bullish June so far. We approached a weekly POI before starting to consolidate.
We are now entering the last week of the month where the monthly candle's upper wick needs to be formed.
In this video I have identified a potential area where we could see the pullback take place.
EURUSD What Next? SELL!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for EURUSD is below:
The market is trading on 1.1716 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 1.1635
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of June 27, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
In the course of this week's trading session, the Eurodollar has exhibited a strong rebound, successfully retesting and surpassing the Outer Currency Rally threshold of 1.163. Recent analyses suggest that the Euro is poised for further upward advancement, with the key target to reach the outer currency rally target of 1.177. Nonetheless, it is essential to recognize the possibility of a subsequent decline to the Mean Support level of 1.160 before a definitive upward movement.
EUR/USD Breaking above Major ResistanceI had posted a short for the EUR/USD a week or 2 ago but I canceled it due to concerns about a major breakdown on the DXY. Well sure enough, my concerns were valid as the DXY continues to break lower, sending the EUR/USD above this weekly trendline going back 5 years. This is huge, if it closes above by the end of the week, the EUR/USD will have broken resistance and will be going much higher.
EURUSD Approaching Liquidity Shelf — Watch for Reaction at 1.164EURUSD remains firmly bullish on all major timeframes, respecting the internal structure of an ascending channel.
• Daily: Price continues to respect both the red trendline and broader purple bullish channel. Buyers are defending the mid-line and pushing toward the upper boundary.
• 4H: Clear higher highs and higher lows. Price recently revisited and bounced off a 4H demand zone (1.14750–1.15000), and is now testing the liquidity zone at 1.16400.
• 1H: Microstructure shows consolidation and possible absorption of liquidity just beneath the 1.16415 high. A clean break and retest of this level may confirm continuation.
Key Levels:
• Resistance: 1.16415 (previous high and liquidity trap)
• Support: 1.14900 (4H demand zone)
• Daily trendline holding as dynamic support
Trade Plan:
• Longs: Await a break and retest of 1.16415 or a retracement to 1.15600 for a more discounted entry.
• Shorts: Not favored unless a strong bearish engulfing forms below 1.1600 with structure shift on the 1H.
EURUSD tested the Resistance level 1.17460 👀 Possible scenario:
On June 30, the euro (EUR) rose 0.15% to 1.17500, briefly reaching 1.17540—its highest level since September 2021—marking a 1.57% weekly gain, the strongest since May 19. The rally was driven by broad U.S. dollar weakness as markets adjusted to signs of slowing U.S. growth and subdued inflation, fueling expectations of a more dovish Federal Reserve. Meanwhile, resilient European data supported the euro.
On June 30, investors will closely monitor speeches from European Central Bank (ECB) officials for policy signals, with particular focus on President Christine Lagarde’s address at 5:00 p.m. UTC, which may provide key insights into the ECB’s monetary stance.
✅Support and Resistance Levels
Now, the support level is located at 1.15900
Resistance level is located at 1.17460
EUR/USD 4H – Approaching Major Supply Zone | Potential Mid-Term EUR/USD 4H – Approaching Major Supply Zone | Potential Mid-Term Reversal
Euro has extended its bullish rally into a historically strong supply/resistance zone around 1.17185 – 1.19774, which aligns with the previous rejection zone from mid-2024. Price is showing signs of slowing down near this upper boundary.
🔍 Key Technical Highlights:
Strong Supply Zone (1.1718 – 1.1977): A major resistance area that previously triggered sharp sell-offs. This zone is now retested after months of bullish recovery.
Momentum Divergence Potential: Price has climbed aggressively, but with signs of exhaustion visible on the lower timeframe candles.
Demand Zones Below:
First support at 1.15998
Followed by deeper demand areas at 1.14990, 1.12850, and 1.11046 – all marking clean reaction zones.
📊 Trade Setup:
Bias: Short (swing position)
Sell Entry Zone: 1.17185 – 1.19774
Stop Loss: Above 1.19800 (above key supply zone)
Take Profit Targets:
TP1: 1.15998
TP2: 1.12850
TP3: 1.11000
🧠 Tactical Note:
Watch for bearish confirmation (engulfing candle / structure break) before executing entries. A clean rejection from the supply zone could provide an attractive swing setup with a favorable risk-reward profile.
EUR/USD | Bullish SMC SETUP EUR/USD | 15min | Bullish SMC Setup 🚀💶
Price swept Asian session lows into a higher timeframe demand zone, followed by a strong bullish BOS (Break of Structure). We’re now anticipating a pullback into the FVG (Fair Value Gap) + LQC (liquidated candle) and demand zone for potential continuation to the upside.
The entry idea is based on:
🔹 Liquidity Grab (sell-side sweep)
🔹 BOS confirmation
🔹 FVG + Demand confluence
🔹 Expecting bullish continuation toward previous high and premium zone.
Waiting for price to tap the zone before riding the wave up! 📈
You can wait for confirmation on 5min TF after tap into POI
Let’s see if it delivers.
#SMC #EURUSD #Liquidity #SmartMoney #FXTradingClub #OrderFlow #Sam_trades_smc
EURUSD Sell/ShortFundamental Analysis
EURUSD rates is being influenced by the current Eurozone's economic performance, driven by key economies like Germany and France, continues to be shaped by industrial output, consumer confidence, and inflation trends. The European Central Bank (ECB) has likely maintained a cautious monetary policy, with interest rates possibly held steady or adjusted slightly to combat inflation while supporting growth. On the U.S. side, the Federal Reserve's stance on interest rates, potentially in a tightening phase to address persistent inflation plays a critical role. Recent U.S. economic data, including GDP growth, employment figures, and consumer spending, may indicate a robust dollar, putting downward pressure on EURUSD. Additionally, geopolitical tensions, energy prices (affecting Eurozone energy imports), and trade balances between the U.S. and EU are likely contributing to volatility. Given the current date, recent ECB and Fed statements or data releases for June 2025 inflation reports.
Technical Analysis:
Based on the provided EURUSD 1D chart (covering mid-2024 to mid-2025), the following technical observations can be made:
Trend and Moving Averages:
For EURUSD it shows a descending trend from a peak around 1.48 in mid-2024, with a potential reversal or consolidation forming in mid-2025. The 50-day and 200-day moving averages (depicted as orange lines) are sloping downward, with the price recently testing these levels around 1.12-1.13. A break above the shorter-term moving average could signal bullish momentum, while a failure to hold might confirm a continuation of the downtrend. Looking for key support levels here are identified at 1.09318 (TP 2) and 1.08000, with the current price hovering near 1.12003 (TP 1). Resistance is notable at 1.15625 (SL) and the previous high near 1.4800. The price action suggests a potential bounce from the recent low, with the next target being the resistance zone around 1.15625 if bullish momentum persists. Candlesticks and volume patterns are showing a recent green candlesticks indicate buying pressure, potentially forming a reversal pattern near the 1.12 level. Volume analysis would confirm the strength of this move, with higher volume on upticks supporting a breakout.
Overall Bias:
The technical setup suggests a short-term bullish correction within a broader bearish trend, contingent on breaking and holding above 1.15625. A drop below 1.09318 would invalidate the bullish case and resume the downtrend toward 1.08000 or lower.
Sentiment Analysis
Market sentiment as of June 2025 likely reflects heightened interest in EUR/USD due to recent economic data and central bank policies. Traders and analysts are closely watching for signs of ECB rate cuts or Fed rate hikes, which could sway the pair. On social platforms and financial forums, there may be a mix of caution and optimism looking out for caution due to the Eurozone's economic challenges (energy costs, political uncertainty), and optimism if U.S. data softens, weakening the dollar. The chart's visibility on trading platforms suggests retail and institutional traders are actively monitoring this pair, with a focus on the 1.12-1.16 range as a critical decision point. Sentiment could shift rapidly based on upcoming economic releases or geopolitical developments.
Conclusion
The EUR/USD pair is at a pivotal juncture, with fundamentals pointing to a stronger USD due to Fed policy, while from a technical standpoint suggest a short-term bounce toward 1.15625 if support at 1.12003 holds. Sentiment indicates active trader interest, with eyes on central bank moves. A break above resistance could target 1.4800 (long-term), while a failure might see a decline to 1.08000. Monitor upcoming data for confirmation.
EU trade breakdown 24th June 2x entryBreaking down two of my positions from Tuesday.
First entry was a very aggressive momentum entry on the flip of a M3 imbalance.
Second entry was fantastic and even though it lost - it was a good trade to take. We had HTF alignment as well as a strong London Low to trade away from.
EURUSD is in a Downside DirectionHello Traders
In This Chart EURUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today EURUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (EURUSD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on EURUSD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
EURUSD: TRADE WHAT YOU SEEThis current price has a history... that's why i advice people to navigate the market like an elephant .... watch howmany times price fell from this level in the past and how many pacent it dropped ...use a line ..do your analysis based on history...if it breacks that level ..its going straight to -61.8 or straight to the monthly trendline ...