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USDEUR trade ideas
EUR/USD Eyes 1.156 – Bullish Momentum Builds UpEUR/USD continues to push higher in the first half of the week, approaching the key 1.1300 level following a sharp sell-off in the U.S. dollar. Growing trade tensions and renewed concerns about the U.S. economy have added further pressure on the greenback.
The 1.118 level, supported by the EMA 34 and EMA 89, is acting as a launchpad for this upward move. With bullish momentum in place, the next potential target lies at the 1.156 resistance zone.
📈 Wishing you a profitable and confident trading day ahead!
EUR/USD Rejected From Major Supply – Is a Bigger Drop Brewing?EUR/USD is showing signs of distribution around the key supply zone at 1.14380. Price failed to break above twice, forming a possible lower high, signaling that smart money might be preparing for a deeper move down.
Key Levels to Watch:
Supply Zone: 1.14380 – heavy selling pressure
First Target: 1.08667 – strong historical support
Final Target: 1.03215 – major demand zone (watch for bullish reaction here)
Market Drivers:
Upcoming high-impact U.S. events (marked below the chart) could fuel a bearish reversal, especially if USD strength returns.
Possible Trade Setup:
Sell Entry: Below 1.13400 (confirmation after rejection)
SL: Above 1.14000
TP1: 1.08667
TP2: 1.03215
Bias:
Bearish – Unless we see a strong breakout above 1.144, sellers remain in control.
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Is EUR/USD headed for a sharp drop, or will bulls defend the 1.13s?
Comment your setup and let’s discuss!
#EURUSD #ForexAnalysis #LuxAlgo #TechnicalAnalysis #SupplyAndDemand #ForexSignals #BearishBias #TradingView
EURUSD 30M CHART PATTERNThis chart shows a EUR/USD (Euro/US Dollar) 30-minute price action analysis with a long (buy) trade setup. Here's a breakdown:
Key Elements:
Entry Point: Around the current price level (~1.13118), where the price is breaking above a previous resistance zone (marked by the green horizontal line).
Stop Loss: Just below the support area, near 1.12821. This protects against losses if the trade moves against you.
Take Profit: Target is set above 1.13889, suggesting a bullish expectation.
Analysis:
The green and red arrows indicate past price reactions (support/resistance areas).
The recent bounce (green arrow at the bottom right) shows potential for continued bullish momentum.
The risk/reward ratio seems favorable as the profit zone is larger than the risk zone.
Conclusion:
This setup suggests a bullish outlook on EUR/USD with a clear stop loss and take profit, following a breakout strategy above resistance. Always manage risk and monitor price action closely if trading live. Let me know if you want a deeper technical breakdown or want to simulate the potential outcome.
Market next move
Bearish Disruption to the EUR/USD Analysis:
1. Strong Resistance Zone (Red Box):
Price is struggling to hold above the resistance area. Several candles have long upper wicks, signaling rejection and selling pressure.
This may form a double-top or even a bull trap.
2. Volume Anomaly:
The upward price move shows decreasing volume, which is a classic signal of weak momentum. Without increasing volume, breakouts often fail.
3. Overextended Rally:
The pair has already made a sharp move up from below 1.1300 to near 1.1340. This type of parabolic move can lead to a snapback correction.
If bulls cannot decisively break resistance soon, profit-taking may trigger a short-term retracement.
4. Bearish Divergence Potential:
If RSI or MACD indicators are available, watch for bearish divergence (price makes higher highs while indicators make lower highs). This would reinforce downside risk.
5. Fundamental Pressure:
If any upcoming U.S. economic data (like PMI, FOMC minutes, etc.) is strong, it could boost USD and push EUR/USD down from this resistance.
EURUSD 4H CHART PATTERNThe chart you've provided is a 4-hour EUR/USD (Euro/US Dollar) chart with a clear technical breakout setup:
Key Observations:
1. Downtrend Channel Broken:
The chart previously had a descending channel (marked by black trendlines).
A breakout above this channel occurred recently, indicating a shift in momentum from bearish to bullish.
2. Ichimoku Cloud Breakout:
Price has broken above the Ichimoku Cloud, suggesting a bullish trend reversal.
The cloud now acts as support.
3. Arrow Indicators:
Green arrows indicate bullish reversal points (support/resistance flip or buying signals).
Red arrows mark previous rejection or resistance levels.
4. Projected Move (Red Path):
There's a zigzag arrow pointing to the 1.15500 level, implying a potential bullish target.
Intermediate resistance is noted around 1.14500.
5. Price Action:
Current price is 1.13319.
A break above 1.13500 could confirm continuation to the next resistance zone (around 1.14500), with final target near 1.15500.
Technical Summary:
This chart suggests a bullish breakout with potential upside targets around:
1.14500 (first target)
1.15500 (final target)
Would you like help with trade planning (entry/SL/TP), or an analysis update based on live data?
EURUSD | Bullish Pennant Breakout – Retest Before the Target📊 EUR/USD (1H Timeframe)
The EUR/USD pair has shown a textbook example of a bullish pennant formation, which typically occurs during strong uptrends and signals a continuation of the bullish momentum. The price had an impulsive rally prior to the formation of the pennant, indicating a strong underlying bullish sentiment.
Following the rally, the market entered a period of consolidation where price action began to coil between two converging trendlines – this is the pennant structure, marked by lower highs and higher lows.
This tightening price action typically suggests that market participants are pausing to digest the previous move, often leading to another breakout in the same direction – in this case, bullish.
📐 Key Technical Elements Highlighted:
Bullish Pennant Formation:
Characterized by a sharp move up (flagpole) followed by a tight consolidation range (the pennant).
Volume generally contracts during consolidation and expands on breakout, confirming momentum.
Breakout and Retest:
Price has broken above the upper resistance line of the pennant.
Now pulling back for a retest, a healthy technical behavior often seen in strong setups.
This pullback offers a second chance for entry for traders who missed the initial breakout.
Support & Resistance Zones:
SR Interchange Zone (previous resistance turned into potential support).
Minor Resistance Zone above, now likely invalidated by breakout.
These zones are critical in evaluating potential price reaction and risk control.
Projected Target:
Based on the measured move from the pole height of the pennant added to the breakout point, the projected target stands near 1.14315, a level of prior structural interest.
🎯 Trade Plan – Technical Strategy
⚠️ This is a hypothetical scenario for educational purposes. Always manage your risk.
Entry Zone: On confirmation of a successful retest (bullish price action at trendline support)
Stop Loss: Below the pennant’s lower trendline or the SR interchange zone (1.1245 – 1.1260 region)
Target: 1.14315 (based on breakout projection)
Risk-Reward Ratio: Approx. 1:2 to 1:3 depending on entry precision
🔍 Psychological & Market Structure Notes:
A bullish pennant is a sign of accumulation after a strong rally – it tells us that buyers are resting, not gone.
The retest shows institutional behavior: smart money often allows price to come back to a breakout level before driving it higher again, to shake out weak hands and trap late sellers.
Momentum traders and breakout traders often wait for confirmation on the retest to pile in with higher confidence.
📚 Educational Takeaway:
This setup serves as a great case study in:
Continuation patterns (Bullish Pennants)
Breakout-retest behavior
Measured move target projections
Trend confirmation techniques
Market psychology and structure
If you're learning technical analysis, this is a high-probability pattern that occurs across many asset classes including forex, crypto, and stocks.
EURUSD-M15-SHORTThe price has reached a strong resistance zone, The Ichimoku Cloud also indicates overbought conditions, supporting a potential reversal. I’m targeting a move down to the support level at 1.12076, with a stop-loss above the recent high at 1.13000 for risk management. Let me know your thoughts!
EURUSD Gaining Momentum – Is a Breakout Just Ahead?After several choppy sessions, EURUSD is now showing strong short-term recovery signals, having broken out of its previous descending channel. The pair is currently hovering around 1.123, continuing to defend a key support zone.
The upward momentum is being fueled by developments on both sides:
👉 From the U.S., consumer confidence continues to weaken, and growing expectations of an early Fed rate cut are weighing on the dollar.
👉 From Europe, fresh economic data from Germany and France came in better than expected this morning, helping the euro regain strength in the short term.
Combining both technical and fundamental factors, the current accumulation pattern on the H1 timeframe could act as a launchpad for a potential breakout toward 1.1227 resistance, and possibly beyond the upper trendline boundary.
🎯 Trading idea: Look for buy setups if a bullish candle confirms around 1.1220–1.1230, with stop loss placed below the EMA and the previous support zone.
EURUSD 30M CHART PATTERNThis EUR/USD 30-minute chart shows a bullish trade setup:
Entry point: Around 1.1347 (current market price).
Take profit: Near 1.1430.
Stop loss: Just below the recent low, around 1.1322.
The setup indicates a long position based on a bounce from an ascending trendline, suggesting potential bullish continuation. The risk-to-reward ratio looks favorable—roughly 1:2 or higher.
Let me know if you want an analysis of the setup (technical justification, indicators, news context), or help placing this trade.
EURUSD – Bouncing on trendline amid EU optimismEURUSD continues to hold a strong upward momentum within a short-term ascending channel. After retesting the channel bottom around the 1.1360 zone, price is showing signs of rebounding, and a "small double bottom" pattern appears to be forming. If confirmed, EURUSD may rally toward the resistance area at 1.1447.
Factors supporting the bullish trend:
Trump temporarily postponed the 50% tariff on EU goods until July 9 → Trade tensions ease, supporting the euro.
Germany's Q1 GDP grew by 0.4% – above expectations → Boosts confidence in Eurozone recovery.
The ECB aims to elevate the euro’s global role (digital euro, cross-border payment improvements).
Potential scenario:
If the 1.1360 zone holds (channel bottom + EMA support), there is a high chance that price will retest and break above the 1.1447 resistance.
EURUSD(20250526) Today's AnalysisMarket news:
Fed's Goolsbee: 50% EU tariffs are an order of magnitude different from the current situation. Such a high tariff level will have a serious impact on the supply chain. In the short term, the Fed needs to wait for the situation to become clear, and the threshold for action is high before then. There is still a possibility of rate cuts in the next 10 to 16 months
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
1.1337
Support and resistance levels:
1.1434
1.1398
1.1374
1.1300
1.1277
1.1240
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 1.1374, consider buying, the first target price is 1.1398
If the price breaks through 1.1337, consider selling, the first target price is 1.1300
EURO/USD bullish recovery phase following a previous downtrend.Ichimoku Cloud is applied, showing trend momentum and support/resistance.
Price Levels:
Current price: 1.1342 SELL / 1.1343 BUY
OB: Marked as a potential Order Block zone (smart money concept), indicating prior institutional activity or demand area.
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Trend Analysis
Market appears to be in a bullish recovery phase following a previous downtrend.
Diagonal trendline support is holding (marked by upward arrows), confirming an ascending structure.
Breakout scenario is expected as price approaches consolidation near resistance.
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Cloud Interaction
Price has broken above the Ichimoku Cloud, a bullish signal, indicating potential for continuation.
The cloud now acts as dynamic support, confirmed by the bounce shown with the blue arrows.
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Projection
The chart outlines a projected bullish path:
Retesting the trendline or cloud support
Moving upward toward the green resistance zone
Final bullish target at 1.1550–1.1600 area, labeled “TARGET POINT”
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Summary
This is a bullish continuation setup on EUR/USD:
Support respected (diagonal trendline + Ichimoku cloud)
Price structure forming higher lows
A clear roadmap to a bullish breakout toward a predefined target zone.
This chart reflects strategic, institutional-style trading, combining smart money concepts (Order Block), Ichimoku trend following, and breakout potential. Let me know if you want a trade setup drafted or a risk-reward breakdown.
EURUSD Shows Signs of Reversal as Momentum Shifts HigherThe EURUSD is beginning to show signs of a reversal as momentum shifts and moves above its 10-day exponential moving average. The EURUSD has recently experienced a significant move since early February, rising to a high of 1.147, which resulted in it becoming overbought, touching its upper Bollinger band, and pushing the RSI above 70. Now, after a brief pullback, the EURUSD appears poised to make another push higher.
The EURUSD has now moved above its 10-day exponential moving average and its 20-day simple moving average. Additionally, it appears to have broken above a minor downtrend that began on 28 April. If this momentum continues, EURUSD could rise back towards resistance at the upper Bollinger band, around 1.145, and perhaps even retest the 1.157 peak seen on 21 April.
Perhaps more importantly, a short-term trend reversal is underway, with the Relative Strength Index breaking above a short-term downtrend that started on 21 April. If this trend break holds, it would indicate that the recent decline in EURUSD has likely ended, setting the stage for another move higher.
Also supporting a potential rebound and move higher is the successful bounce of EURUSD off its 38.2% retracement level, measured from the lows established on 3 February to the highs of 21 April. Combined with the factors mentioned earlier, this suggests the next move for EURUSD is likely upwards.
However, if support fails to hold and EURUSD falls below 1.105, it could decline further towards the next support at 1.075, which corresponds to the 61.8% retracement level from the 3 February lows.
Written by Michael J. Kramer, founder of Mott Capital Management.
Disclaimer: CMC Markets is an execution-only service provider. The material (whether or not it states any opinions) is for general information purposes only and does not take into account your personal circumstances or objectives. Nothing in this material is (or should be considered to be) financial, investment or other advice on which reliance should be placed.
No opinion given in the material constitutes a recommendation by CMC Markets or the author that any particular investment, security, transaction, or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. The material has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research. Although we are not specifically prevented from dealing before providing this material, we do not seek to take advantage of the material prior to its dissemination.
Why I think EURUSD will sell this week...Technical AnalysisHey Rich Friends,
Happy Monday! I wanted to share my analysis on EURUSD and why I think it will sell. This is only a technical analysis so please check the news and cross-reference your own charts. Here is what I am looking at:
- Momentum has picked up for the sellers after the swing high was hit. This means a downtrend has started and is picking up.
- The market structure was broken on the downside on M15 and H1. There was a retest and previous support became resistance.
- The stoch is facing down, both lines have crossed below 80, slow line (orange) is above the fast line (blue) which is a bearish confirmation for me.
Additional information:
- I will wait for both lines of the stoch to cross below 50 to confirm the down trend.
- I will use previous highs as my SL and previous lows as my TPs.
Good luck if you decide to take this trade, let me know how it goes.
Peace and Profits,
Cha
EUR/USD Bearish Reversal? Eyes on 1.09 and 1.02 Next!EUR/USD is approaching a critical turning point after getting rejected at the 1.14431 - 1.13200 supply zone, identified by the LuxAlgo Supply & Demand tool on the 4H chart. The recent rally looks overstretched, and signs of exhaustion are starting to show.
Key Technical Levels:
Major Resistance: 1.13200 – 1.14431 (Strong sell zone – previous rejections evident)
Support 1: 1.09023 – a key breakout level turned support
Support 2: 1.02372 – major demand zone with significant accumulation history
Bearish Catalysts:
Price unable to break and close above 1.13200 cleanly
Lower high forming after a steep bullish move
Two major downward targets marked with arrows indicating possible retracements
Fundamental Watch:
Any hawkish comments from the Fed or dovish tone from ECB may accelerate the downside
Watch inflation data, Eurozone growth numbers, and NFP reports closely
Scenario: If we see a confirmed rejection and breakdown below 1.13000, short opportunities may open toward 1.0900 and possibly 1.0230 in the medium term.
What's your bias on EUR/USD? Comment below and let's analyze together!
#EURUSD #EuroDollar #ForexAnalysis #SupplyAndDemand #LuxAlgo #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #ForexTrader
EUR/USD Breakout Watch – Are You In?Price is currently breaking out of a descending trendline after respecting a strong demand zone. We’ve got early signs of bullish momentum, and if price confirms above structure, a move toward 1.12675 is in play.
Watching for a retest and continuation to the upside.
🎯 Target: 1.12675
📌 (Not financial advice)
#EURUSD #Forex #PriceAction #BreakoutSetup #FXTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #EuroDollar #4HChart #TradeSetup