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U.S. Dollar / Euro

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EUR/USD Bearish Reversal? Eyes on 1.09 and 1.02 Next!EUR/USD is approaching a critical turning point after getting rejected at the 1.14431 - 1.13200 supply zone, identified by the LuxAlgo Supply & Demand tool on the 4H chart. The recent rally looks overstretched, and signs of exhaustion are starting to show. Key Technical Levels: Major Resistance: 1.13200 – 1.14431 (Strong sell zone – previous rejections evident) Support 1: 1.09023 – a key breakout level turned support Support 2: 1.02372 – major demand zone with significant accumulation history Bearish Catalysts: Price unable to break and close above 1.13200 cleanly Lower high forming after a steep bullish move Two major downward targets marked with arrows indicating possible retracements Fundamental Watch: Any hawkish comments from the Fed or dovish tone from ECB may accelerate the downside Watch inflation data, Eurozone growth numbers, and NFP reports closely Scenario: If we see a confirmed rejection and breakdown below 1.13000, short opportunities may open toward 1.0900 and possibly 1.0230 in the medium term. What's your bias on EUR/USD? Comment below and let's analyze together! #EURUSD #EuroDollar #ForexAnalysis #SupplyAndDemand #LuxAlgo #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #ForexTrader
Short
by FrankFx14
DeGRAM | EURUSD holding the 1.12 level📊 Technical Analysis ● Price defended the rising-channel median (1.1200) and formed a bullish pennant against the blue corrective trend-line; pattern completion projects to the next horizontal/diagonal confluence at 1.1380. ● Momentum is flipping positive as the pair climbs back above the short-term descending channel roof, turning it into support and aligning with repeat bounces off 1.1100. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● May euro-area flash PMIs surprised on the upside while US industrial output slipped, narrowing growth differentials and cooling USD demand. ✨ Summary Pennant + channel support and firmer EU data vs. softer US output back a push toward 1.1300 → 1.1380; bias void if 1.1100 breaks. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
4
EURUSD INTRADAY uptrend supported at 1.1300Trend Overview: EUR/USD continues to exhibit a bullish price structure, supported by a rising trendline and higher lows. Recent intraday action reflects a corrective pullback, suggesting a temporary pause within the broader uptrend. Key Technical Levels: Support: 1.1300 (primary), followed by 1.1235 and 1.1180 Resistance: 1.1430 (initial), then 1.1470 and 1.1500 Technical Outlook: A pullback toward 1.1300, which coincides with the previous consolidation zone, may present a bullish continuation setup. A confirmed bounce from this level could open the path toward 1.1430, with 1.1470 and 1.1500 as potential longer-term targets. However, a daily close below 1.1300 would indicate a breakdown of near-term bullish momentum. This scenario would increase the likelihood of a deeper correction toward 1.1235, and possibly 1.1180. Conclusion: The outlook for EUR/USD remains constructively bullish, contingent on the 1.1300 support holding. A bounce from this level would reinforce the uptrend. Conversely, a decisive break below 1.1300 would shift the short-term bias to bearish, suggesting further downside toward the 1.1200 area. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
Market next target Original Analysis Summary: Support area at ~1.1400 holding price. Expectation: Bounce off support and continuation to higher target. Arrows indicate a bullish bias after minor retracement. --- Disruptive Bearish Interpretation: 1. Exhaustion at Top: Strong upward rally could be showing signs of buying exhaustion, especially after the sharp vertical move. The current top wick suggests rejection from higher levels. 2. Bearish Reversal Candles: If a shooting star or bearish engulfing pattern forms near the target area, it could signal a reversal. The current candle shows a long wick, which often precedes pullbacks. 3. False Breakout Risk: The price could have broken above a resistance level only to trap breakout buyers before reversing downward. This would trigger a move below the red box (support area).
Long
by Gold_Free_Signals
EURUSD Direction | Daily Timeframe OutlookThese are the points we can take from the daily time frame : 1.EURUSD has broken through quite strong resistance, and we have not seen any wicks on any time frame, this indicates that EURUSD is still strong for buying 2.After finishing its uptrend, Eurusd fell to the weekly support that I marked, 3.After completing the correction phase, this week there was a fairly strong closing in the market structure shift (MSS) area 4.The conclusion is, eurusd will continue its upward trend, this is useful for daily traders as a direction to determine which trading positions are profitable
Long
by Ivannn7
EURUSD1. 10-Year Bond Yields Eurozone 10-year government bond yield: 3.17% on May 22, 2025, slightly up from 3.15% the previous day and 3.10% a year ago. This yield is above the long-term average of 2.48%, reflecting rising inflation and monetary tightening in the Eurozone. US 10-year Treasury yield: Approximately 4.54% on May 21, 2025. The yield has been rising due to concerns about US fiscal policy, inflation, and Federal Reserve tightening, despite market expectations of rate cuts later in the year. 2. Interest Rate Differential (IRD) The interest rate differential between US and Eurozone 10-year bonds is roughly: 4.54% (US)−3.17% (Eurozone)=1.37% This differential favors the US dollar, as higher US yields attract capital inflows, strengthening the USD relative to the EUR. The differential reflects more aggressive Fed tightening compared to the European Central Bank’s (ECB) more cautious approach amid slower Eurozone growth. 3. Bond Prices Bond prices move inversely to yields. With US yields higher and rising, US bond prices have declined relative to Eurozone bonds. Eurozone bond prices have also fallen but less sharplyength against EUR. 4. Impact on EUR/USD Exchange Rate On May 23, 2025, EUR/USD rose slightly to about 1.1368, up from 1.1281 the previous session, influenced by short-term USD weakness amid geopolitical concerns but still pressured by the yield differential favoring USD. The yield differential remains a key fundamental driver of EUR/USD trends over medium to long term. Conclusion The EUR/USD 10-year bond yield differential of about 1.37% in favor of the US reflects divergent monetary policies and inflation expectations. This differential supports USD strength relative to EUR by attracting capital flows into higher-yielding US assets. Bond price movements correspondingly favor US bonds due to rising yields. While short-term geopolitical and market factors can cause fluctuations, the interest rate differential remains a fundamental driver of EUR/USD exchange rate trends in 2025.
Long
by Shavyfxhub
EURUSD Will Go Down From Resistance! Short! Here is our detailed technical review for EURUSD. Time Frame: 6h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 1.136. The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 1.126 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of May 23, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: The Eurodollar has demonstrated significant strength during this week's trading session, attaining a notable Inner Currency Rally at 1.129 and encountering Mean Resistance at 1.137. Recent analyses indicate that the Euro will likely progress towards the forthcoming target levels, specifically the Mean Resistance at 1.142 and the Key Resistance at 1.151. A retest of the completed Outer Currency Rally at 1.157 may facilitate this advancement. However, a potential downward pullback could emerge from the current price range, particularly in proximity to the Mean Resistance level of 1.137, with a possibility of declining to the Mean Support at 1.127.
by TradeSelecter
EUR/USD Rebounds, Eurozone Data EyedEUR/USD climbed to around 1.1310 during Friday’s Asian session, rebounding as U.S. Treasury yields declined, the 30-year yield slipped from its 19-month high of 5.15%, weighing on the dollar. The recovery follows the House passing Trump’s fiscal bill, which revived deficit worries. Earlier, strong U.S. PMI figures (Composite: 52.1, Manufacturing & Services: 52.3) had briefly strengthened the dollar. Fed Governor Waller hinted at possible rate cuts if tariffs stabilize, while Trump renewed threats of higher tariffs on the EU. On the European front, ECB officials expect inflation to return to near 2% by end-2025, though growth remains subdued. Eurozone PMIs showed services at 48.9 and manufacturing at 49.4. Focus now shifts to Germany’s GDP release. Resistance is at 1.1390, with higher levels at 1.1460 and 1.1580. First support lies at 1.1260, followed by 1.1100 and 1.1050.
by ChartMage
Market next move 1. Support Zone Validation Observation: Price is reacting from a labeled “Support area.” Disruption: The support zone is based on very recent price action with limited prior structure. No confirmed double bottom, bullish engulfing, or strong rejection candle is present to confirm it as strong support yet. --- 2. Volume Context Ignored Observation: Volume has declined during recent candles. Disruption: A genuine reversal from support typically comes with a volume spike. The current volume profile shows weakening participation, which questions the strength of the bounce. --- 3. Premature Long Target Projection Observation: A bullish arrow targets the 1.134–1.135 zone. Disruption: This target is overly optimistic given the lack of a trend change signal. Price is still in a clear lower-high and lower-low structure, suggesting bearish momentum remains intact unless a breakout above 1.1300 occurs. --- 4. Bearish Scenario Underdeveloped Observation: Only a single red arrow shows bearish rejection. Disruption: There is no defined breakdown zone or bearish continuation pattern shown (e.g., flag or wedge). If support breaks, price could rapidly move to 1.1200, but this scenario is underrepresented. --- 5. No Confirmation Candlestick for Bullish Entry Observation: A bullish move is anticipated from current levels. Disruption: The current candle structure does not confirm bullish control—no hammer, engulfing, or clear reversal pattern. Entering long here could be premature without that confirmation. --- 6. Lack of EMA or RSI Confluence Observation: Analysis is purely price-action based. Disruption: No exponential moving averages (EMAs) or RSI are shown to validate trend change. These tools could help confirm divergence or trend reversal.
Long
by Gold_Free_Signals
EURUSD Technical Analysis.This chart shows a trading setup for the EUR/USD currency pair on a 1-hour timeframe. Here's a breakdown of what's illustrated: Current Price: Around 1.12729 at the time of the chart. Support Zone: Highlighted by the rectangular black box between roughly 1.12436 and 1.12700. Stop Loss (SL): Marked at 1.12400, just below the support zone. Target: Around 1.13104, shown in the green shaded area, suggesting a bullish outlook. Trade Idea: A potential buy (long) setup is suggested if price holds above the support zone. Price may retrace slightly within the zone before moving upward toward the target. If price breaks below 1.12400, the setup is invalid (hence the SL). This is a classic long trade setup based on price action support and resistance analysis. Let me know if you’d like help analyzing the setup further or converting it into a trade plan.
Long
by XAUUSD_EXPERT_Team
Euro may break support level and fall to support line of channelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. In this chart, we can see how the price after another rejection from the resistance boundary of the descending channel, the Euro began to show renewed bearish pressure. The price attempted to gain ground above the buyer zone, but the breakout lacked follow-through and quickly reversed. This false breakout scenario often acts as a trigger for a deeper drop, especially when it occurs near the mid-range of a well-defined channel. The market remains inside a structured downward channel, with lower highs and lower lows still intact. At this point, the price is approaching the upper section of the buyer zone again. If sellers regain control and push the market lower, a breakdown below 1.1135 could open the way for another leg to the downside. I expect EUR will continue declining toward the support line of the channel. That’s why my current TP 1 is set at 1.100, which aligns with the lower boundary of the structure and marks a potential short-term target for bearish continuation. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Short
by LegionQ8
10