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USDEUR trade ideas

Daily Market Brief: EUR/USD Analysis Through Correlation Pattern1. Current Market Situation EUR/USD remains under pressure following DAX's -1.17% decline. Key observations: Resistance zone: 1.0781-1.0791 Support level: 1.07810 Subdued trading volumes suggest impending volatility 2. Methodology Our analysis employs: Proprietary Correlation Indicator tracking: • DAX/S&P 500 divergence • EUR/USD's historical response to index movements • Liquidity cluster levels Price action analysis (not theoretical models) 3. Correlation Dynamics Notable patterns: Classic DAX-EUR negative correlation remains intact S&P 500 resilience creates interesting divergence Our indicator detects: 76% chance of false breakout before main move 4. Actionable Trade Plan Primary Scenario (70% probability): Sell zone: 1.0781-1.0791 Invalidation Conditions: DAX rebounds above yesterday's close EUR/USD sustains above 1.0791 5. Execution Guide Monitor DAX futures in real-time Watch for volume spikes at key levels 👉 search Evgenii’s Substack Evgenii’s Substack
Short
by zibr-a
The Day Ahead Tuesday March 25 Data: US March Conference Board consumer confidence index, Richmond Fed manufacturing index, business conditions, Philadelphia Fed non-manufacturing activity, January FHFA house price index, February new home sales, China 1-yr MLF rate, Japan February PPI services, Germany March Ifo survey, EU27 February new car registrations Central banks: Fed’s Williams and Kugler speak, ECB's Kazimir, Nagel, Holzmann and Vujcic speak Auctions: US 2-yr Notes This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
EUR/USD: Reached the targetThe shorting strategy we provided at 1.0900 this week has now reached the first target position. If the profit is sufficient, you can close the order in advance. Wait for it to rise again and then you can continue to short. Currently, my account balance has grown from an initial $40,000 to $800,000 in profits. I will share accurate trading signals every day, and you have the option to copy my trading orders. If you're interested in getting these signals, you can click on the link below this article.
Short
by KentJessie6
EUR/USD ... Buyers are losing strength?My EUR/USD trade idea is well-structured based on the recent breakout and descending channel formation. Here’s a refined breakdown of the setup: Trade Plan: Entry: Sell only after price consolidates below 1.0834 (to avoid false breakouts). Target (TP): 1.06143 (next major support level). Stop-Loss: Consider placing it around 1.0865 - 1.0880 (above recent highs or resistance). Confirmation Signals: Break & retest of 1.0834 as resistance. Bearish candlestick patterns (e.g., strong bearish engulfing, rejection wick). Volume increase on the breakdown. Would you like me to check current RSI, MACD, or other indicators for added confirmation?
Long
by Algo_Trading_Mql5
Three Possible Scenarios for EURUSDEURUSD has flattened out after its strong upward move from around 1.0350 to 1.0950. The bullish momentum has eased, with Europe’s new spending plans priced in, most of the tariff impact accounted for, and markets digesting the FOMC forecasts. Now, the focus shifts to the next major decision point. There are three possible scenarios: 1-This is a double top formation around 1.0950. If 1.08 breaks, the formation target is at 1.0650, which is also the midpoint of the rally from 1.0350 to 1.0950. It’s a classic technical setup, and fundamentals such as a potential escalation in trade tensions when the April 2 tariffs come into effect could support this move. 2- The second scenario is that this is a consolidation phase before the next leg higher. In this case, the current movement forms a flag pattern, and a breakout would aim for 17 years long downtrend line just above 1.11. For this to materialize, a clear breakout above 1.0950 with strong fundamental support is required. 3- The market may stay indecisive due to the high level of risks and unknowns. In this case, EURUSD would likely continue moving sideways, possibly with minor corrections or false breakouts on both ends, before a clearer direction emerges. Our view favors the first scenario as the most probable outcome, though all three have valid technical and fundamental reasoning behind them. We lean toward the first scenario because sharp upward moves like this typically require a healthy correction, the risk of trade war escalation increases with each new statement from Trump, and the technical setup aligns well with this narrative.
by ftdsystem
EURUSD The Target Is UP! BUY! My dear friends, EURUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details: The market is trading on 1.0826 pivot level. Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market. Goal - 1.0873 About Used Indicators: Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
EURUSD Bulls Eyeing FOMC–Will Powell’s Dovish Tone Fuel a Rally?As we approach the much-anticipated FOMC rate decision and Powell’s press conference , market sentiment is shifting, and EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) traders are closely watching for clues on the Federal Reserve’s next move . With recent economic data pointing to signs of slowing growth and cooling inflation, the Fed might adopt a more dovish tone , fueling further upside for EURUSD . Key Factors Driving the Bullish Outlook : Inflation & Economic Data : CPI and PPI data indicate a gradual cooling of inflation, which strengthens the case for a potential rate cut later this year. If Powell acknowledges this shift, it could weigh on the dollar. Market Pricing of Rate Cuts : Investors are already pricing in multiple Fed rate cuts for 2024. A dovish Powell could accelerate these expectations, weakening USD and pushing the EURUSD higher. ------------------------------------------------------------------ Now let's take a look at the EURUSD chart on the 2-hour time frame . EURUSD is moving near the Resistance zone($1.0983-$1.0916) and Yearly Resistance(1) . Regarding Elliott Wave theory , it seems that EURUSD has managed to complete the main wave 4 . The structure of the main wave 4 is the Double Three Correction(WXY) . The main wave 5 is likely to complete near the upper line of the ascending channel(possible) and Monthly Resistance(4) . I expect EURUSD to rise in the coming hours to the targets I have indicated on the chart, although the Federal Reserve Conference could create long shadows , but I think the supply and demand zones will still work but still pay more attention to money management today . Note: If EURUSD can break below the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , there is a possibility of further decline in EURUSD. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Euro/U.S. Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 2-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
3
EURUSD H4 | Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart, the price may make a bearish reversal off our sell entry level at 1.0874, a pullback resistance. Our take profit is set at 1.0782, a swing low support. The stop loss is set at 1.0953, a swing high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu):
Short
by FXCM
EURUSD - Can Bulls Maintain Control?Overview The EUR/USD 4-hour chart is currently displaying strong bullish momentum, confirmed by a breakout above a key resistance zone that previously acted as a rejection area. The price has successfully closed a candle above this resistance, indicating a shift in market sentiment toward further bullish movement. Additionally, the pair has been forming higher lows, a crucial sign of a strengthening uptrend. The combination of these technical factors suggests that EUR/USD is in a strong bullish phase, with the potential for continued upside movement. If this breakout holds and the market structure remains intact, we could see further bullish expansion in the coming sessions, making this a critical moment for traders to assess potential trading opportunities. Detailed Analysis 1. Breakout of a Key Resistance Zone The highlighted red resistance zone on the chart represents a historically significant level where price action has previously struggled to break through. This area has acted as a strong supply zone, leading to multiple rejections in the past. However, in the most recent price movement, EUR/USD has managed to break above this level, closing a 4-hour candle above it. This is a major bullish signal, as it confirms that buyers have gained control and are pushing the price into new territory. A candle close above a key resistance zone is often seen as a strong confirmation that a breakout is valid. False breakouts are common in trading, but the presence of a solid close above the level reduces the likelihood of a fakeout and increases the probability of sustained bullish momentum. If the price remains above this level and does not fall back into the previous range, the breakout is likely to hold, opening the door for further upside movement. 2. Formation of Higher Lows and a Strong Uptrend One of the most important indicators of bullish strength is the formation of higher lows, which we can clearly observe in this EUR/USD price action. Higher lows indicate that buyers are stepping in at progressively higher price levels, preventing the market from making deeper pullbacks. This shows increasing buying pressure and confidence among market participants. The ascending trendline visible on the chart further confirms this bullish structure. As long as the market continues to form higher lows and remains above the trendline, the bullish trend remains intact. Traders often use these trendlines as dynamic support levels, meaning that future pullbacks could present opportunities to buy at favorable levels before the price resumes its upward movement. 3. Price Action Scenarios and Potential Market Behavior Scenario 1: Retest and Continuation A common pattern after a breakout is a retest of the broken resistance, which now acts as new support. If the price pulls back to this zone and finds strong buying interest, it would provide a high-probability long setup. A successful retest followed by bullish confirmation (such as bullish candlestick patterns or high buying volume) would signal that the breakout is strong and that the market is ready to continue higher. Scenario 2: Immediate Bullish Expansion If the buying pressure remains strong, the price may not even need a deep retest and could continue rallying straight to the next resistance levels. This would indicate strong market conviction and could lead to an accelerated bullish move. Scenario 3: Fakeout and Breakdown While this is less likely given the current structure, traders should remain aware that sometimes breakouts fail, and the price can fall back below the broken resistance. If this happens, it would invalidate the bullish scenario and suggest that the market still lacks the strength to sustain higher prices. 4. Key Levels to Watch for Confirmation To manage risk effectively and identify potential trade opportunities, it is essential to monitor key price levels: Support Level (Retest Zone) The previous resistance zone, now acting as support, should be closely observed. If the price remains above this level and forms bullish price action (such as bullish engulfing candles, pin bars, or high-volume buying), it would confirm the breakout and signal further upside potential. Resistance Levels (Upside Targets) The next potential resistance areas can be found by analyzing previous swing highs and psychological price levels: 1.1000 level – A major psychological round number that could act as the next short-term target. 1.1100 – 1.1200 zone – The next key resistance area based on historical price action. Conclusion and Trading Strategy Consideration Conclusion EUR/USD is showing strong bullish momentum, with a confirmed breakout above resistance and a candle close supporting this move. The formation of higher lows reinforces the bullish outlook, suggesting that buyers are in control. As long as the price remains above the broken resistance zone, the probability of further upside remains high. Given the strong technical structure, bullish market sentiment, and the presence of higher lows, EUR/USD is looking very bullish at the moment, with the potential to reach higher resistance levels in the near future. Traders should remain attentive to key price action developments to maximize trading opportunities in this trending market. __________________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
Long
by TehThomas
17
Popular Hedging Strategies for Traders in 2025Popular Hedging Strategies for Traders in 2025 Hedging strategies are key tools for traders seeking to potentially manage risks while staying active in dynamic markets. By strategically placing positions, traders aim to reduce exposure to adverse price movements without stepping away from potential opportunities. This article explores the fundamentals of hedging, its role in trading, and four hedging strategies examples across forex and CFDs. What Is Hedging in Trading? Hedging in trading is a risk management strategy that involves taking positions designed to offset potential losses in an existing investment. This concept of hedging in finance is widely used to reduce market volatility’s impact while maintaining the potential opportunity for returns. Rather than avoiding risk entirely, traders manage it via hedging strategies, meaning they have protection against unexpected market movements. So, what are hedges? Essentially, they are investments used as protective measures to balance exposure. For example, a trader holding a CFD (Contract for Difference) on a rising stock might open a position on a correlated asset that moves in the opposite direction. If the stock’s price falls, returns from the offsetting position can potentially reduce the overall impact of the loss. Hedging is common in forex trading, where traders may take positions in currency pairs with historical correlations. For instance, a trader exposed to EUR/USD might hedge using USD/CAD, as these pairs often move inversely. Similarly, traders dealing with indices might diversify into different sectors or regions to spread risk. Importantly, hedging involves costs, such as spreads or holding fees, which can reduce potential returns. It’s not a guaranteed method of avoiding losses but rather a calculated approach to navigating uncertainty. Why Traders Use Hedging Strategies Different types of hedging strategies may help traders manage volatility, protect portfolio value, or balance short- and long-term goals. 1. Managing Market Volatility Markets are unpredictable, and sudden price swings can impact even well-thought-out positions. Hedging this risk may help reduce the impact of unexpected volatility, particularly during periods of heightened uncertainty, such as geopolitical events, economic announcements, or earnings reports. For instance, a forex trader might hedge against fluctuations in a currency pair by taking positions in negatively correlated pairs, aiming to soften the blow of adverse price movements. 2. Balancing Long- and Short-Term Goals Hedging allows traders to pursue longer-term strategies without being overly exposed to short-term risks. For example, a trader with a bullish outlook on an asset may use a hedge to protect against temporary downturns. This balance enables traders to maintain their primary position while weathering market turbulence. 3. Protecting Portfolio Value Hedging strategies may help investors safeguard their overall portfolio value during market corrections or bearish trends. By diversifying positions or using opposing trades, they can potentially reduce significant drawdowns. For instance, shorting an index CFD while holding long positions in individual stocks can help offset sector-wide losses. 4. Improving Decision-Making Flexibility Hedging provides traders with the flexibility to adjust their strategies as market conditions evolve. By mitigating downside risks, they can focus on refining their long-term approach without being forced into reactive decisions during volatile periods. This level of control can be vital for maintaining consistency in trading performance. Common Hedging Strategies in Trading While hedging doesn’t eliminate risks entirely, it can provide a layer of protection against adverse market movements. Some of the most commonly used strategies for hedging include: 1. Hedging with Correlated Instruments One of the most straightforward hedging techniques involves trading assets that have a known historical correlation. Correlated instruments typically move in alignment, either positively or negatively, which traders can leverage to offset risk. For example, a trader holding a long CFD position on the S&P 500 index might hedge by shorting the Nasdaq-100 index. These two indices are often positively correlated, meaning that if the S&P 500 declines, the Nasdaq-100 might follow suit. By holding an opposing position in a similar asset, losses in one position can potentially be offset by gains in the other. This approach works across various asset classes, including forex. A well-planned forex hedging strategy can soften the blow of market volatility, particularly during economic events. Consider EUR/USD and USD/CAD: these pairs typically show a negative correlation due to the shared role of the US dollar. A trader might hedge a EUR/USD long position with a USD/CAD long position, reducing exposure to unexpected dollar strength or weakness. However, correlation-based hedging requires regular monitoring. Correlations can change depending on market conditions, and a breakdown in historical patterns could result in both positions moving against the trader. Tools like correlation matrices can help traders analyse relationships between assets before using this strategy. 2. Hedging in the Same Instrument Hedging within the same instrument involves taking opposing positions on a single asset to potentially manage risks without exiting the original trade. This hedging strategy is often used when traders suspect short-term price movements might work against their primary position but still believe in its long-term potential. For example, imagine a trader holding a long CFD position in a major stock like Apple. The trader anticipates the stock price will rise over the long term but is concerned about an upcoming earnings report or market-wide sell-off that could lead to short-term losses. To hedge, the trader opens a short position in the same stock, locking in the current value of their trade. If the stock’s price falls, the short position may offset the losses in the long position, reducing overall exposure to the downside. This is often done with a position size equivalent to or less than the original position, depending on risk tolerance and market outlook. A trader with high conviction in a short-term movement may use an equivalent position size, while a lower conviction could mean using just a partial hedge. 3. Sector or Market Hedging for Indices When trading index CFDs, hedging can involve diversifying exposure across sectors or markets. This strategy helps reduce the impact of sector-specific risks while maintaining exposure to broader market trends. For example, if a trader has a portfolio with exposure to technology stocks and expects short-term declines in the sector, they can open a short position in a technology-focused index like Nasdaq-100 to offset potential losses. Another common approach is geographic diversification. Traders with exposure to European indices, such as the FTSE 100, might hedge with positions in US indices like the Dow Jones Industrial Average. Regional differences in economic conditions can make this a practical strategy, as markets often react differently to global events. When implementing sector or market hedging, traders should consider the weighting of individual stocks within an index and how they contribute to overall performance. This strategy is used by traders who have a clear understanding of the underlying drivers of the indices involved. 4. Stock Pair Trading Pair trading is a more advanced hedging technique that involves identifying two related assets and taking opposing positions. This approach is often used in equities or indices where stocks within the same sector tend to move in correlation with each other. For instance, a trader might identify two technology companies with similar fundamentals, one appearing undervalued and the other overvalued. The trader could go long on the undervalued stock while shorting the overvalued one. If the sector experiences a downturn, the losses in the long position may potentially be offset by gains in the short position. Pair trading requires significant analysis, including fundamental and technical evaluations of the assets involved. While this strategy offers a built-in hedge, it can be risky if the chosen pair doesn’t perform as expected or if external factors disrupt the relationship between the assets. Key Considerations When Hedging What does it mean to hedge a stock or other asset? To fully understand the concept, it’s essential to recognise several factors: - Costs: Hedging isn’t free. Spreads, commissions, and overnight holding fees can accumulate, reducing overall potential returns. Traders should calculate these costs to ensure the hedge is worth implementing. - Market Conditions: Hedging strategies are not static. They require adaptation to changing market conditions, including shifts in volatility, liquidity, and macroeconomic factors. - Correlation Risks: Correlations between assets are not always consistent. Unexpected changes in relationships driven by fundamental events can reduce the effectiveness of a hedge. - Timing: The timing of both the initial position and the hedge is critical. Poor timing can lead to increased losses or missed potential opportunities. The Bottom Line Hedging strategies are popular among traders looking to manage risks while staying active in the markets. By balancing positions and leveraging tools like correlated instruments or partial hedges, traders aim to navigate volatility with greater confidence. However, hedging doesn’t exclude risks and requires analysis, planning, and regular evaluation. If you're ready to explore hedging strategies in forex, stock, commodity, and index CFDs, consider opening an FXOpen account to access four advanced trading platforms, competitive spreads, and more than 700 instruments to use in hedging. FAQ What Is Hedging in Trading? Hedging in trading is a risk management approach where traders take offsetting positions to potentially reduce losses from adverse market movements. Rather than avoiding risk entirely, hedge trading aims to manage it, providing a form of mitigation while maintaining market exposure. For example, a trader with a long position on an asset might open a short position on a related asset to offset potential losses during market volatility. What Are the Three Hedging Strategies? The three common hedging strategies include: hedging with correlated instruments, where traders take opposing positions in assets with historical relationships; hedging in the same instrument, where a trader suspects a movement against the direction of their original position and opens a trade in the opposite direction; and sector or market hedging, where a trader uses indices or regional diversification to reduce exposure to specific market risks. What Is Hedging in Stocks? Hedging in stocks involves taking additional positions to offset risks associated with holding other stocks. This can include shorting related stocks, trading negatively correlated indices, or using market diversification to reduce exposure to sector-specific downturns. How to Hedge Stocks? To hedge stocks, traders typically use strategies like short-selling correlated equities, diversifying into other asset classes, or opening opposing positions in related indices. The aim is to limit downside while maintaining some exposure to potential market opportunities. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Education
by FXOpen
1