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USDEUR trade ideas

EUR/USD's Déjà Vu: Ready to Ride the Next Wave?So, here’s the deal with EUR/USD – it’s throwing out a pretty juicy head-and-shoulders pattern. If you’re not familiar, just think of it like this: the market is literally shrugging its shoulders, and when it does that, it usually means it’s getting ready to slide downhill. And guess what? We’ve seen this exact move before... twice. 📉 Pattern Repeat: Déjà Vu, But Profitable Flashback 1: Way back on the left side of the chart, there was a head-and-shoulders (that’s like the market’s favorite I’m-outta-here move). It shrugged its shoulders, and then – boom – dropped about 400 pips. Nice little payday if you were ready for it. Flashback 2: Middle of the chart, same thing. It pulled another head-and-shoulders, neckline broke at around 1.0920, and down it went about 350 pips. It’s like clockwork – see a shoulder, expect the floor to drop soon after. 🕰️ Now, Let’s Talk About This Current Setup We’re seeing another head-and-shoulders pattern forming on the right side. And here’s the fun part: if it follows the same pattern as the last two, we’re in for a similar ride. Neckline Level: This one's got its neckline (the line where we know things could start falling fast) around 1.0740. And look – it’s already cracked below that. This means we’re potentially heading towards our next target. Targets 🎯 Alright, so where’s this going if it drops? Here’s the roadmap: First Stop: 1.0460 – This level’s like a speed bump. If price respects it, we might see a little bounce, but if it doesn’t, the road is wide open for more downside action. 🚗💨 Next Destination: 1.0175 – Think of this as the next major support level. Historically, every time EUR/USD has done its head-and-shoulders thing, it didn’t just stop at the first target. Nope. It kept on trucking, usually another few hundred pips. So if you’re looking for a bigger move, this level’s worth watching. 📉 Ultimate Bear Zone: 0.9650 – Now, if we’re talking about a full-blown trend continuation, then 0.9650 is the jackpot. That’s where things could get seriously interesting. But hey, let’s not get ahead of ourselves – let’s take this step by step. 🚀 How to Play This 🕹️ If you’re looking to trade this, here’s the game plan: Entry Point: If the price slides down to 1.0460, that’s a prime spot to watch. If it hesitates here and starts bouncing, you might see some action going back up a bit – maybe a chance to reset or take some off the table if you’re short. But if it breaks through 1.0460 like it’s not even there? Buckle up for 1.0175. Stop-Loss: Look, head-and-shoulders has been reliable here, but we still need to protect ourselves. Set a stop above 1.0550. Worst case? You cut your loss if the market decides to play tricks. Profit Goals: Go for 1.0460 first, and if things are looking spicy, aim for 1.0175. And if we’re really riding this bear wave – there’s that 0.9650 ultimate bear zone waiting at the end. 🐻💰 Quick Recap EUR/USD is giving us a déjà vu setup with this head-and-shoulders action. This pattern has been on point the last couple of times – each breakdown led to big drops, so history’s on our side. If this one plays out similarly, 1.0460 is the first floor, 1.0175 is the basement, and 0.9650... well, that’s where we hit the goldmine if the bears take over completely. Keep it simple. Watch for those levels, manage your risk, and let’s see if EUR/USD does what it’s done before. You know what they say – the trend is your friend... until it’s not. 😉
Short
by EdgeDotForex
EURUSD H4 | Bullish Bounce off 127.2%?Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is falling toward our buy entry at 1.0528, which is an overlap support. Our take profit will be at 1.0605, a pullback resistance. The stop loss will be placed at 1.0460 which is a swing low support level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by FXCM
EURUSD The sell-off isn't over yet.The EURUSD pair is extending the sharp sell-off after the most recent bearish signal upon the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) rejection. This is practically the same sideways Zones we talked about almost a month ago (October 14, see chart below): The price broke below the 1-year Higher Lows trend-line that was the last 'hope' for a bullish reversal and should now extend the bearish trend even lower. The 1D MA100 rejection was also a rejection on the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level and as you can see this is identical to the August 31 2023 rejection. That was half-way through a Channel Down (also starting from the Resistance Zone) that eventually targeted the 1.236 Fibonacci extension. As a result, we remain bearish on this pair, targeting 1.05300 (Fib 1.236 extension), unless the 1D RSI hits 25.00 (oversold), in which case take profit regardless, as this RSI reading preceded the October 03 2023 bottom. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
EUR/USD Weekly analysis 25-Aug-2024The price was in the range for a long time And a symmetrical triangle pattern was formed The upper line of the triangle and MA200 in the weekly time frame broke and the price rose strongly But by reviewing the past chart, support and resistance lines and indicators; It seems that the area is Range and the price is not able to rise much easily I think the price will move in this area for a while and then it will continue to rise if it is able to break the dynamic resistance Otherwise, it will decrease In the coming days, we can talk about this with more certainty *Be profitable Thank you for expressing your opinion with likes and comments
by Avril_Forex
5
Buy opportunityThe EURUSD pair presents an enticing Buy opportunity at the current price of 1.06255, with favorable potential for profit. Targets: Primary Target: 1.08255 Secondary Target: 1.09343 Breakout Scenario: 1.05530 In the event of a breach above the Support level of 1.05530, indicative of a bearish breakout, the target price is anticipated to ascend towards 1.05000. Technical analysis indicates a notable buying sentiment prevailing in the market at the present price level. Fundamental factors align with the proposed Buy strategy, suggesting upward pressure on the EURUSD pair. Prudent risk management measures should be employed to mitigate exposure to potential adverse market movements. Disclaimer: This analysis is provided based on current market conditions and historical price data. Traders are advised to conduct independent research and exercise caution, employing appropriate risk management techniques, before executing any trading decisions.
Long
by GODOCM
Fundamental Market Analysis for November 13, 2024 EURUSDThe Euro-dollar pair remains under pressure on Wednesday, holding just above the 1.06000 level during Asian trading hours. This will mark the fourth consecutive day of losses for the Euro as the pair continues to experience downward momentum. The main factor contributing to the recent EUR/USD weakness is the strength of the US Dollar (USD). The implementation of US President-elect Donald Trump's proposed fiscal policy could stimulate investment, increase government spending and boost labor demand. However, such a surge in economic activity could also increase inflation risks. Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari reiterated Tuesday that the central bank remains confident in its fight against transitory inflation, but cautioned that it is too early to declare complete victory. Kashkari also noted that the Fed will refrain from modeling the economic impact of Trump's policies until there is more clarity on the specifics of those policies. Traders are now focused on the upcoming release of U.S. inflation data on Wednesday for further guidance on future U.S. policy. The core consumer price index (CPI) for October is expected to rise 2.6% year-over-year and core CPI is expected to rise 3.3%. According to a recent study by the London School of Economics and Political Science, imposing 10 percent tariffs on all imported goods, as advocated by Trump, could have a 0.1 percent negative impact on European Union (EU) gross domestic product (GDP). This potential slowdown in economic growth in Europe could further reduce the Euro's momentum against the US Dollar. Trading recommendation: Trade predominantly with Sell orders from the current price level.
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
EURUSD M15 | Bullish Bounce off Based on the M15 chart analysis, we can see that the price is falling to our buy entry at 1.0606, which is an overlap support close to 61.8% Fibo retracement. Our take profit will be at 1.0648, an overlap resistance. The stop loss will be at 1.0592 below the swing low support level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by FXCM
EURUSD H1 | Bullish Bounce off Based on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price is currently at our buy entry at 1.0642, a swing low support. Our take profit will be at 1.0683, a pullback resistance The stop loss will be placed below the 127.2% Fibo extesnios High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by FXCM
1
How Information Overload Hinders Decision-Making in TradingUsing minimal input information for analysis can be problematic, but overloading on data can be even worse. For instance, when a trader overlooks fundamental factors, it constitutes a mistake. However, when a trader attempts to gather excessive information, including subjective insights, the risk of making errors rises significantly. 📍 Why Too Much Information Can Be Detrimental The phenomenon known as " Information Overload" occurs when an individual is overwhelmed by too much data, leading to impaired decision-making. In the world of trading, there is an abundance of information available from various sources, including both technical and fundamental analysis. Traders often have access to indicators, chart patterns, analytical portals, market sentiment, correlation calculators, Pivot points, rumors, expert opinions, signals from third-party sources, and a wide array of data from analytical websites. Given this vast wealth of information, one might wonder: is it truly beneficial to utilize all these sources simultaneously? 📍 Causes of Information Overload 1. Overloading the Number of Sources: The advent of modern technology and the internet has facilitated access to a plethora of information sources, including articles, videos, social media, blogs, and news outlets. While this offers the opportunity to find relevant data, it can also lead to information overload. Individuals struggle to assess the reliability and relevance of myriad sources. The constant influx of updates exacerbates this problem, fostering a sense of urgency to stay constantly informed, which can result in information fatigue. Additionally, the rise of artificial intelligence in generating trading algorithms adds another layer of complexity. For traders still developing their strategies, AI-generated recommendations may be confusing and overwhelming. 2. Complexity of Information: Much of the information available is laden with technical terms or specialized vocabulary, making it challenging to digest. Analyzing such data demands a substantial investment of time and effort to grasp foundational concepts. Moreover, the interconnection between various types of analyses complicates matters further. For example, while a seemingly straightforward strategy like moving averages may appear simple, traders must also account for trading volumes (often analyzed through VSA), trader activity influenced by trading sessions, and other nuances like time zones. This interconnectedness necessitates a broader understanding that can complicate focus and clarity. 3. Lack of Filters: Many individuals struggle to identify what is truly important amid the vast array of information available. Without clear criteria for sorting and prioritizing data, traders can easily become lost within the information flow. Additionally, weak critical thinking skills can hinder one's ability to swiftly assess the significance of information. When traders cannot quickly distinguish between essential and secondary data, they may take considerable time to process information, leading to delayed or poor decision-making. 📍 Impact on Decision Making 1. Analysis Paralysis: The concept of “analysis paralysis” describes a state where a trader struggles to make a decision due to overwhelming amounts of data and competing options. The sheer number of possibilities creates a perception that each choice must be meticulously analyzed, leading to indecision and wasted time. Additionally, the fear of making mistakes can exacerbate this paralysis. With an abundance of information at one's fingertips, the apprehension of overlooking critical details can prevent a person from committing to any decision at all. This fear of missing out or choosing wrongly can create a cycle of inaction, ultimately stalling progress. 2. Decreased Quality of Decisions: Information overload can cause traders to lose focus on key factors while becoming fixated on minor details. This shift in focus can lead to decisions being made based on incomplete or less relevant information, which may not effectively serve their intended purpose. As individuals become accustomed to superficial analysis—often due to time constraints or a lack of motivation to dive deeper into the data—the quality of decisions tends to diminish. Important contextual details and insights may be overlooked, resulting in decisions that are less informed or even flawed. 3. Fatigue and Stress: The continuous influx of information can lead to significant mental fatigue, impairing cognitive function and concentration. As the brain struggles to process and filter through the constant barrage of data, decision-making abilities can decline. Furthermore, emotional stress often escalates in the face of overwhelming information. The sense of being inundated can lead to feelings of helplessness or inadequacy, making it even more challenging to complete tasks effectively. This stress can also manifest physically, contributing to burnout and decreased overall productivity. 📍 Ways to Combat Information Overload • Prioritization: Prioritizing key data points is essential for effective decision-making. Tools like prioritization matrices, such as the Eisenhower Matrix, can help categorize tasks and information into urgent and important segments. This allows individuals to focus on what genuinely matters and streamline their decision-making processes. • Focused Analysis: To combat information overload, it’s crucial to concentrate on sources that are directly relevant to the task or decision at hand. This means avoiding distractions from less important details or tangential information that may convolute the analysis process. By maintaining a sharp focus, individuals can make more informed decisions without being sidetracked by extraneous data. • Use of Data Filtering Tools: Automated data analysis programs and algorithms can serve as effective tools for sorting and filtering information. These tools can help highlight key facts and figures while minimizing the time spent on information processing. Utilizing such technologies can significantly enhance clarity and efficiency in decision-making. • News and Content Aggregators: Specialized applications that curate verified sources and organize information based on relevance can also help users stay informed without becoming overwhelmed. By presenting data in a structured manner, these tools reduce the cognitive load associated with sifting through vast amounts of content. • Limiting the Time to Search for Information: Setting strict time limits for data retrieval can promote greater efficiency and sharp focus. By allocating a specific timeframe for gathering necessary information, traders are less likely to fall into the trap of excessive searching and are encouraged to prioritize critical details. Techniques like the Pomodoro Method can further enhance time management by breaking work into focused intervals (typically 25 minutes) followed by short breaks. This structured approach not only fosters concentration but also helps prevent feelings of being overwhelmed. • Delegation and Consultation: Involving experts or specialists can significantly alleviate the pressure of data analysis. When experts evaluate specific aspects of information, it allows individuals to concentrate on essential points while relying on trusted professional insights. This delegation not only simplifies the decision-making process but also brings in valuable expertise. • Teamwork: Engaging in discussions with other traders or partners can enhance the decision-making process. Collaboration provides diverse perspectives and insights, making it easier to navigate complex information. By pooling knowledge and experience, teams can simplify analysis and reach more balanced decisions. 📍 Conclusion In the face of information overload, it's essential to adopt a more streamlined approach. Avoid the temptation to juggle multiple indicators or attempt to cover every possible piece of information. Instead, identify the tools and methods that you find most comfortable and effective, focusing on those that yield the best results in a short timeframe. Prioritize what is convenient and readily accessible, and invest time in discovering the right combination of resources and strategies that work for you. By doing so, you can simplify your decision-making process and enhance your productivity, while minimizing the stress associated with information overload. Embrace clarity and focus, and allow yourself to operate effectively within a manageable framework. Traders, If you liked this educational post🎓, give it a boost 🚀 and drop a comment 📣
Education
by Lingrid
1
EURUSD: Showing no signs of stopping before 1.04000.EURUSD is almost oversold on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 32.891, MACD = -0.007, ADX = 29.222), which is a sign of a potential slowdown on the October sell-off but not of stopping. We believe that as the price is approaching the bottom LL of the Channel Down, it will slow down in an attempt to form sideways a bottom as during the weeks of September 25th - October 16th 2023. The ideal entry will be with the 1W RSI as close to being oversold (30.000) as possible and symmetric 1W MACD shows it can happen by December 9th. That means that we can continue shorting the pair, targeting the 1.1 Fibonacci extension (TP = 1.04000), which is where the bottom was priced on October 2nd 2023. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Short
by InvestingScope
2