Get started

U.S. Dollar / Euro

No trades
See on Supercharts
Overview News
Ideas
Discussions Technicals Seasonals Economic Calendar

USDEUR trade ideas

EURUSD -> Bullish Idea 22/06/2025(ICT x Volume Profile)OANDA:EURUSD 🎯 Bias: Bullish 🕒 Timeframe: H1 primary, H15 confirmation Happy sunday traders! Following President Trump’s strikes on Iran, I expect an initial bearish reaction in the Asian and London Sessions, then a bullish reaction in the NY sessions as sellers push the USD lower. However, the prevailing trend context remains bullish: the hourly chart has shifted structure (MSS) and broke structure to the upside. I anticipate a liquidity sweep below the recent lows, before a retracement into the 15-minute fair value gap (FVG) which aligns with the volume profile, then continuation higher to target the weak high and into the swing highs marked.
Long
by bobphamm
#AN009: US attacks IRAN, what will happen? On June 22, 2025, the United States launched air strikes on three Iranian nuclear sites (Fordow, Natanz, Isfahan), using bunker-buster bombs and Tomahawk missiles, some dropped by B-2 stealth bombers President Trump declared that the facilities were “completely and totally obliterated” 📈 Tensions and geopolitical context Tehran responded with missiles aimed at Israel and promised “tough responses” The UN and key figures such as Guterres and Medvedev have defined the action as a dangerous escalation with the risk of a new conflict on a regional scale. Israel supported the attacks, while Iran convened the UN Security Council to condemn the aggression. 💥 Market Impact ⚡ Energy Sector Oil prices jump towards $90–100 per barrel on fears of flows from Iran and potential closures of the Strait of Hormuz. Investors reacted with a move towards safe haven assets such as the Dollar, Gold and Treasuries. 📊 Equities and sensitive sectors Starts on an uncertain tone: S&P500 and Nasdaq futures “volatile open”, with penalties on travel and tech, and increases on energy and defense. Gulf markets open slightly higher (Saudi, Qatar, Bahrain, Kuwait), thanks to the attenuation of initial sell-offs. 🌍 Global economic impact Weakening predictions from the World Bank, IMF and OECD predict an economic slowdown due to energy shocks and increased global tensions. 📌 Currency and Forex Scenario USD has gained ground as a safe haven asset, benefiting from Safety flows. Commodity-linked pairs, such as AUD/USD, NZD/USD and CAD/USD, will be pressured by rallying oil. Potential increase in volatility on EUR/USD and GBP/USD: they rotate towards safe haven and US/China political risk. 📣 What to watch out for Daily and H4 candlesticks in EUR/USD and GBP/USD to understand if support holds under geopolitical stress. Volatility indicators (VIX | MOVE) are rising, it is useful to calibrate the size and prefer structured trades. In the coming days it will be essential to monitor: Reuters/Bloomberg for updates on possible sanctions or public retaliation. ASEAN and Asia for regional reactions on energy supplies. Central banks on inflation expectations due to high oil. 💡 Conclusions – Market and Forex Impact This military action represents a classic geopolitical shock: rising dollar and defensive assets, pressure on oil and high volatility on stock markets and exchange rates. Unlike Israeli attacks, the direct entry of the US increases the degree of macro uncertainty. For Forex traders: USD Index: potential rebound within the bullish trend channel Pairs with commodities: activate strategies on breakout key levels (e.g. AUD/USD, CAD/USD) Anti-USD FX (EUR, GBP, JPY): under pressure and to be used in range rebound. For the equity sector: Rotation towards defensive sectors, defense, energy. Possible entry into government bonds as a high inflation/political hedge. Overall, the impact is clear: increased geopolitical risk → high volatility → shift towards USD/safe haven asset → penalization of sensitive assets.
Education
by Andrea_Russo_SwipeUP
EURUSD Under Pressure Amid Geopolitical TensionsEURUSD – Technical Overview EUR/USD is currently trading below the pivot zone at 1.1530, indicating a continuation of the bearish trend. If the price remains below 1.1450, we may see an extension of the downtrend toward 1.1373, and potentially 1.1270. However, if the pair holds above 1.1450, it may regain bullish momentum toward 1.1558 and 1.1625. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East could impact EUR/USD if the situation escalates, increasing risk-off sentiment and USD demand. Key Levels: • Pivot: 1.1530 • Support: 1.1450 / 1.1373 / 1.1270 • Resistance: 1.1558 / 1.1625 / 1.1675
Short
by SroshMayi
EURUSD Under Pressure! SELL! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for EURUSD below: The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.1551 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 1.1458 Recommended Stop Loss - 1.1608 About Used Indicators: Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
6
EURUSD ||| Elite traders see the trap EUR/USD 4H 🔍 – Greenfire Forex Outlook 🟦 Rising channel structure spotted 🔸 Liquidity zones mapped 🟪 Buyer blocks identified (1.137 & 1.117) 📉 Let price dive deeper into the trap... 📈 Then catch the reversal with precision. This is not a prediction, it's a reaction plan based on price behavior. 🔥 Structure + Zones + Patience = Greenfire Setup . #EURUSD #SmartMoneyConcepts #ForexAnalysis #ElliottWave #SMC #PriceAction #ForexIndia #4HChart
Long
by Greenfireforex
2
Core Impact Logic of the Middle East Situation on EURUSD(I) Energy Transmission Chain: Oil Price Fluctuations → Eurozone Inflation and Economy The escalation of the Middle East situation (the Iran - Israel conflict, risks in the Strait of Hormuz) directly impacts the global energy supply chain: If the conflict expands to block the Strait of Hormuz (transports ~20% of global crude oil 🛢️), Brent crude has already soared from recent lows—spiking over 5% on June 17 amid tensions ⛽️. This pushes up imported inflation in the Eurozone. As a net energy - importing region 🌍, prolonged high oil prices will squeeze corporate profits, suppress consumption, and drag Eurozone economic recovery (German/French manufacturing is acutely energy - cost - sensitive 🏭). This weakens the euro’s fundamental support. (II) Geopolitical Safe - Haven Sentiment: The "Safe - Haven Balance" Between USD & EUR Amid Middle East tensions, the US dollar’s traditional safe - haven status competes with Eurozone havens like German bonds 📈: If the US (e.g., the Trump administration) intervenes militarily 💥, market fears of "America mired in war" rise. USD safe - haven demand may temporarily weaken ⬇️, and the euro benefits as funds shift 🔄 ⚡️⚡️⚡️ EURUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️ 🚀 Buy@ 1.14500 - 1.15000 🚀 TP 1.15500 - 1.15600 Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
Long
by Sovereign_1
1
EU could go up againHi traders, Last week EU made a bigger (overlapping) correction to the downside so now the wave count is invalid. I must admit that I don't see a clear Elliott wave pattern. There are multiple options. This last pattern could be a corrective pattern and next week we could see a next impulsive wave. Or it is a bearish leading diagonal and next week we could see this pair drop. At the moment my main (fundamental) bias is still bullish. But let's see what the market does and react. Trade idea: Wait for more development of price action. If you want to learn more about trading with FVG's, liquidity sweeps and Wave analysis, then make sure to follow me. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis. Don't be emotional, just trade your plan! Eduwave
Long
by EduwaveTrading
Potential bearish scenario for the EURUSD. First Target 1.14747Higher time frame analysis After price took out the monthly highs of 1.15729, we look to the monthly fair value gap of 1.10649 as a draw on liquidity. While this is the basis we will use as a filter for bias. Our target will be a much shorter term target. Intermediate timeframe analysis Following Tuesday's (17 June 2025) price action, we noted that a type 1 bearish dealing range has been formed on the 1h chart as noted in the chart above. Furthermore, note the 1H bearish order block sitting at the equilibrium point of the dealing range. This is also supported by a 1H IFVG in the discount of the dealing range. This creates a high probability setup to enter, targeting the lows of 1.14743. Alternative scenario 1 Should we see the high of the order block of 1.15388 ran through we will look for a potential entry at 1.15531 with the same target. Alternative scenario 2 Should this analysis fail, we could see the relative equal highs at 1.6311 being ran out. This would be the case of Tuesdays low becomes the low of the week which is a typical signature in weekly price action. Bonus You may note that each setup also provides a secondary target at the terminus of the 1H bearish Market maker sell model. This can be a separate entry or a partial target of one position depending on ones appetite. This would offer a rather handsome risk to reward ratio which would be worth the while.
Short
by Th3L1qu1d1ty