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U.S. Dollar / Euro

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USDEUR trade ideas

Euro gravitating to yearly low | FX ResearchWe're looking at a very strong dollar on the back of the Trump trade and political turmoil out of Europe. The euro has sunk back towards the yearly low against the buck, just shy at this point. Though dealers are reporting decent demand ahead of 105 following the collapse of the ruling coalition in Germany. The chancellor has announced that he'll seek a confidence vote on December 16th, with an election date set for February 23rd. Economic data out of Europe hasn’t helped the euro either today. After the German ZEW index slumped, over in the UK, employment data proved to be a disappointment, though the pound got a little help from the higher wages component. Looking ahead, we get Canada building permits, U.S. consumer inflation expectations, and some Fed speak. Exclusive FX research from LMAX Group Market Strategist, Joel Kruger
by BlackBull_Markets
Euro can little grow more and then continue to decline nextHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Looking at the chart, we can see how the price some time ago started to trades inside the wedge, where it at once broke the 1.0790 level, which coincided with the seller zone but soon backed up to this area. Then the price continued to move up and later rose to 1.0840 points, but then EUR made a correction to support line of wedge. Then price turned around and started to grow to a resistance line of a wedge pattern and even made a gap, after which it exited from the wedge and turned around. Then prices made a downward impulse inside the triangle to the resistance area, breaking the 1.0790 level. After this movement, the EUR turned around and in a short time rose to the seller zone, after which turned around and dropped back. Also recently, the price broke the 1.0680 level and now it trades very close to the support line of the triangle pattern. In my opinion, the price can make move up to the resistance area and then continue to decline, even exiting from the triangle pattern. Therefore I set my TP at 1.0600 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Short
by LegionQ8
2
Early Short entry EURUSDNice confluance at 200 EMA and 1.8000 level, gave a worning to sell the EUR, H1 gave us a power close for early entries. At the end off day if we get a nice power close from the sellers, my confidance rating will justify a short on EURUSD. Technical analysis is only conformational step to these positions. A breif description of key factors behind this Position. Recent macroeconomic trends and central bank policies support a bearish outlook on EUR/USD, with fundamental factors converging to strengthen the USD while weakening the EUR. 1. Divergent Central Bank Policies 2. Growth and Inflation Differentials 3. Geopolitical Risks 4. Market Sentiment and Positioning **Conclusion**: The EUR/USD pair appears primed for a short position based on strong USD fundamentals against Euro weakness. This trade capitalizes on the economic and policy divergence between the U.S. and Eurozone and the USD’s safe-haven appeal amidst uncertain global conditions.
Short
by JureBrumen
1
2024/11/14 Bearish on EURUSD I know not everyone may see what I can see but I am super bullish DXY there for I predict that EURUSD is gonna fall flat on its face... going down to the ground baby. Wait for the pullback and sell. Anticipating a monthly Low point of some sort either LL or HL (LL more probable) If price drops below 1.04488 we are officially bearish on the Weekly Price will most probable re-trace on the Daily and you can look for "short term" buy opportunities. Anticipating Daily LL point soon as price is oversold, pullback/retracement loading And remember Monthly and "Weekly" is Bearish... we going down long term baby. Agreee or Disagreee 😁 I don't care yes I most definitely can be wrong but let's keep an eye and see how the markets play out. Good luck to all yawl 👏 Let me me hear what yawl think 🤔
Short
by Rowen26Life
EUR/USD Remains Bearish Amid Trump's Economic PoliciesThe EUR/USD currency pair has experienced a sustained bearish trend for the past five days, largely influenced by the implications of the ongoing "Trump trade." Since the elections, this trade has significantly contributed to the rally of the US Dollar (USD). The USD Index (DXY), which measures the Greenback's strength against a group of foreign currencies, has surged to its highest point since November 2023, driven by anticipations that the economic policies of President-elect Donald Trump will act as a catalyst for growth. Additionally, Trump's proposals to increase tariffs on imports are raising concerns that inflation may rise, potentially prompting the Federal Reserve (Fed) to halt its cycle of monetary easing. Recent data from the US Consumer Price Index (CPI), released Wednesday, suggests that the nation is making sluggish progress in curtailing inflation, implying that there may be fewer interest rate cuts on the horizon for the next year. This situation supports the persistence of high US Treasury bond yields and further elevates the USD's value broadly. According to the latest report from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, the headline CPI recorded a rise of 0.2% in October, with a year-on-year increase of 2.6%. Notably, the core CPI, which omits the more volatile prices of food and energy, climbed 0.3% last month and saw a 3.3% increase compared to the previous year. These figures reinforce speculation that the Fed could implement a third rate cut in December, amid signs of a cooling labor market. From a technical analysis perspective, the price has approached our identified Demand zone, where we are on the lookout for a potential rebound. However, as of now, there are no indicators suggesting an imminent price increase. Therefore, exercising patience and waiting for confirmation is essential at this stage. ✅ Please share your thoughts about EUR/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
by FOREXN1
3
EUR/USD Day Trading Analysis With Volume ProfileOn EUR/USD , it's nice to see a strong sell-off from the price of 1.07420 and 1.07800 . It's also encouraging to observe a strong volume area where a lot of contracts are accumulated. I believe that sellers from this area will defend their short positions. When the price returns to this area, strong sellers will push the market down again. FVG and high volume cluster are the main reasons for my decision to go short on this trade. Happy trading, Dale
by Trader_Dale
Stop Trying To Catch A Falling Knife!Stop looking for a bullish move, until you have real evidence that the dollar is weakening. Trump traders have so far dominated markets strengthening the dollar to new highs daily. At the same time inflationary concerns arise with feds cutting 25%, with many believing the economy could have done without, as evidence of organic strengthening of the USD was present. Dollar strengthening mixed with inflation concerns will begin to cause a bubble that could be set to burst in December if feds approve another cut. Trump traders will fight against any weakening of the Dollar, as they did for this months rate cut, but will they have enough strength to battle against news of another cut in December? I personally believe they do, with the tremendous amounts of profits that have been made this month I see the EUR/USD being bearish for a good while.
Short
by DiamondTradingOfficial
2
#EURUSD - 14112024 I was cautiously bullish for EURUSD yesterday for a move higher but was much wrong on the move. EURUSD re-tested the lows then moved higher but was capped by the algo bands before the further sell down to 1.0566 strong level. The strong levels as shown on the charts could give a pullback but I shall not call for any longs for today (though 1.0525 is a good level to do so). In the event of a pullback, look for 1.0590/1.0606 for short opportunities for a move lower.
by FadeMeIfYouCan
EURUSD - depreciation more than 7% since Trump administrationTeam, I do not often trade EURUSD or you could say rarely but last night, we made some trades. Since Trump won the presidency, the EUR has been pulling back more than 5% against the US Dollars. Today, we have the opportunity to ENTER EUR/USD at 10.5620-1.05650 Target 1st at 1.05700 Target 2 at 1.05800 Target 3 at 1.06200 Once it reaches 1st target, bring stop loss to BE. Please note: if you are not familiar with the trade, be sure to set the stop loss, see how much you are risking for the trade, and then adjust the volume that fits you. This trade can be 3-5ROI (RETURN ON INVESTMENT)
Long
by ActiveTraderRoom
2
EUR/USD: Trump's Fiscal PoliciesThe EUR/USD exchange rate is on a three-day decline, trading around 1.0640. Expected fiscal policies under the Trump administration could negatively impact the European economy, adding downward pressure on the Euro. Continued movement in this direction could push the pair toward its November low of 1.0628, and eventually, the yearly low in April around 1.0601. Pressure on EUR/USD has intensified as the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) recently surpassed the 105 mark, supported by expectations of an expansionary U.S. fiscal policy under President Trump. Simultaneously, German 10-year yields have fallen to monthly lows near the 2.30% zone, reflecting a context of Euro weakness. On the monetary policy front, the Federal Reserve recently cut the Fed Funds rate by 25 basis points, bringing it to a range between 4.75% and 5.00%. Although inflation is approaching the 2% target and the labor market shows signs of slowing, Fed Chair Jerome Powell has taken a cautious stance on December's policy decision, noting that economic uncertainty makes it challenging to provide clear guidance. In Europe, the ECB recently cut the deposit rate to 3.25% but has adopted a cautious approach to future cuts, awaiting upcoming economic data. Meanwhile, the Trump administration may introduce new tariffs on European and Chinese goods and promote expansionary fiscal policies, indirectly supporting inflation and providing the Fed with additional reasons to keep rates steady or pause further cuts. In terms of market positioning, net short positions in the Euro have decreased to 21.6K contracts but remain significant.
Short
by Forex48_TradingAcademy
1
EURUSD LONG TRADE IDEAMARKET MAKERS BIAS (CFTC COT INDEX REPORT) >Commercials (Blue Line) - Still at the Bullish zone >Retailers (Red Line) - Still at the Bearish zone (Always Wrong) >Fund Managers (Orange Line) - The Trend Followers, They are rolling over positions and added long positions this week. Value Correlation vs. USD >Oversold (Bullish), The EURO is 98% Negatively Correlated to US Dollar Technical Analysis >Since our bias for the money makers and Value Correlation analysis is Bullish, therefore we use Supply and Demand to look for a reason to be Bullish which is to find a Quality demand zone >Our highlighted Weekly/Daily Demand zone has explosive imbalance candles that could mean there could still be unfilled orders that was not filled before. Disclaimer: This post is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. It reflects general market fundamentals and personal speculation. Always do your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Trade at your own risk.
Long
by TradersPod