Short on EUImbalace filled at top with liquidation
Filling towards lower imbalace simultaneous with manipulation of the day.
USDEUR trade ideas
Fundamental Market Analysis for January 3, 2025 EURUSDEUR/USD paused its four-day losing streak, trading near 1.02700 during the Asian session on Friday. European Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data on Thursday fell short of expectations, which only added to Euro traders' concerns following a soft speech from European Central Bank (ECB) Governor Yannis Stournaras later in the day.
According to ECB Governing Council member Yannis Stournaras, the ECB intends to smoothly cut interest rates until 2025. According to Stournaras, the ECB rate is expected to be somewhere in the neighborhood of 2% at the end of this year. As the Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates much more slowly than previously expected in 2025, the EUR interest rate differential will widen significantly by the end of the year, putting downward pressure on EUR/USD in the long term. This is in line with the expectations of some analysts who are calling for the euro to reach parity with the US dollar as early as this year.
Pan-European PMI results for December fell slightly to 45.1 against expectations of holding at 45.2. While the data itself had relatively little impact, it helped underscore the growing likelihood that the European Central Bank (ECB) will accelerate rate cuts to support the European economy, even as gasoline prices hit their two-year highs, further confounding Europe's economic outlook.
The only significant data on Friday's economic calendar is the results of the ISM US manufacturing PMI, which is expected to remain at the declining 48.4 reading for December.
Trading recommendation: Watch the level of 1.02500, if it is fixed below consider Sell positions, if it bounces back consider Buy positions.
Possible short entry ideaHTF bearish. Strong resistance zone and 4H bearish FVG marked out in OTE. Looking for shorts from here if we get the right confirmations (bearish engulfing, iFVG, LTF unicorn/MSS etc.)
EURUSD MARKET Happy New Year and the market has continued to fall with some potential buying along the way.
Thanks for the continued views on my article thanks. So the market had a day swing trade to the upside on the 15 minute chart thanks.
RetracedWe have retraced over 50% of the fall from September 2022 until July 2023 now.
I think that this is worth to buy some euros for a downward correction of the dollar.
Long or Short on EU1- Imbalance on the upside and left side.
2- Price heavily to downside in momentum.
3 - Liquidity availble in the high and lows of Asian session.
4 - Price estimation to move in blue or black line, however further pricing have to be looked upon to and decided.
EURUSD S/R Levels And Tades.There are 3 scenarios for trades today.
Trade 1 Buys : if 1 hr candle rejects 1.02500 than Buy with Target @ 1.03100.
Trade 2 Sells : if 1 hr candle rejects 1.03100 than Sell with Target @ 1.02500.
Trade 3 Sells : if 1 hr candle closes below 1.02400 than Sell with Target @ 1.02000.
EURUSD Next possible moveSAXO:EURUSD
Title
"EUR/USD Intraday Analysis: Sellers in Control Amid Renewed Dollar Strength"
Market Context
"EUR/USD extends its bearish trend as the U.S. dollar continues to gain traction, bolstered by rising Treasury yields and a cautious risk environment. Weak sentiment around the Eurozone adds to the downside pressure."
Technical Analysis
*"Today's sell momentum is supported by:
Trend Dynamics: Consistent lower highs and lower lows confirm sustained bearish pressure.
EMA Positioning: Price trades below both the 20 and 50 EMAs, emphasizing downside momentum.
RSI: Hovering near the 40 level, showing growing selling activity.
MACD: Negative histogram bars are deepening, signaling amplified bearish strength.
Key Levels:
Support: 1.0550 (immediate), 1.0525 (critical).
Resistance: 1.0585 (intraday), 1.0610 (key pivot). A move above 1.0610 would challenge the bearish narrative."*
News Context
"Upcoming: U.S. Consumer Confidence data and Eurozone Retail Sales report could provide intraday catalysts.
Previous: Hawkish Fed commentary reinforced dollar strength, weighing on EUR/USD."
Call to Action
"Will EUR/USD extend its decline, or can buyers defend key support zones? Share your trading insights and setups below!"
EURUSD Next possible moveSAXO:EURUSD
Title
"EUR/USD Today’s Sell View: Bears Extend Control | Dollar Dominance"
Market Context
"The EUR/USD pair continues its decline, pressured by a strengthening U.S. dollar as hawkish Fed expectations dominate market sentiment. Weak Eurozone data and cautious risk appetite further fuel the bearish narrative."
Technical Analysis
*"Today’s bearish outlook is reinforced by key technical indicators:
Trend Structure: Clear pattern of lower highs and lower lows aligns with sustained bearish momentum.
EMA Positioning: Price trades below the 20, 50, and 100 EMAs, confirming the downtrend.
RSI: Below 40, signaling strong selling pressure.
MACD: Bearish crossover with widening negative histogram bars, emphasizing the downward trend.
Key Levels:
Support: 1.0550 (immediate), 1.0520 (critical level).
Resistance: 1.0585 (intraday), 1.0610 (key pivot). A break above 1.0610 may pause the sell-off."*
News Context
"Upcoming: U.S. Consumer Confidence and Eurozone Retail Sales are key intraday catalysts.
Previous: Hawkish Fed comments and resilient U.S. data boosted dollar strength."
Call to Action
"Will EUR/USD maintain its sell-off, or will buyers step in at critical support levels? Share your perspectives and trade setups!"
Accamulation phase EUTime to fill inefficiency, year + month + week, longs will be considered after manipulation in New York
EURUSD // plan for the countertrend breakThe countertrend of the primary short trend is valid, and it turns into a primary long trend only above the daily impulse base.
Until it's traded below that level, the primary short trend may resume any time.
💰 The condition: significant break below the trigger zone.
Since H4 is already down, the next wave south has the chance to go to the first target, that is the daily target fibo 161.8.
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Orange lines represent impulse bases on major timeframes, signaling the direction and validity of the prevailing trend by acting as key levels where significant momentum originated.
———
Stay grounded, stay present. 🏄🏼♂️
<<boost🚀 if you enjoy💚
Short Eurusd - Targeting 1.02211Eurusd has been making continuous strides further down in price. The recent pullback to 1.04500 was rejected and indicating for me more movement to the downside, there was divergence of the RSI & MFI on the 4hr at that rejection level of price. If price continues to slide, I'll be looking to target a price of 1.02211. I'm currently in a short position at 1.04077, a nice 187 pips I would be looking to grab if price hits target. Patience is key! If you see anything different, feel free to share!
Euro / U.S. Dollar Currency Pair | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
Notes On Session
# Euro / U.S. Dollar Currency Pair
- Double Formation
* (Neckline) | Completed Survey & Entry Bias
* 1.11200 USD | Area Of Value | Subdivision 1
- Triple Formation
* 012345 | Wave Count Completed | Subdivision 2
* Retracement Numbered | Downtrend Bias | Subdivision 3
* Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Indication
Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
European Session(Upwards) - US-Session(Downwards) - Asian Session(Ranging)
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand;
Overall Consensus | Sell
EURUSD Short term Bullish Long term BearishEURUSD shots position have build up in the recent weeks. EURUSD can have a positioning risk reversal which makes it short term bullish but in medium to long term the chart is in a bearish trend.
EUR/USD extends gains above 1,034 levelHello, dear friends!
Brian here with an update on the EUR/USD pair!
Currently, EUR/USD is leveraging a strong rebound from its key support level at 1.034, presenting promising opportunities for further upward movement. The pair appears to be consolidating, preparing for what could be a significant bullish breakout.
The critical focus now is on the 1.035 resistance level, established from a prior breakout. A successful push above this level could transform it into a strong support, potentially driving the pair higher towards 1.038. This target aligns with previous liquidity levels and key EMA zones, adding confidence to the bullish outlook.
If you find this perspective insightful, don’t forget to leave a comment, share your thoughts, and spread the word with your friends. Let’s dive into this market together!
Quick Bullish Pullback EURUSDQuick Gartley pattern appeared.
Entry 1.272 gonna take off.
Do what you need for TP/SL
TP1 of the other pattern was hit and instantly turned downward.
Here comes a quick bull run.
Happy Trading.
EURUSD- Bearish IdeaEURUSD is in a strong bearish trend and is forming an ABCD pattern. Look for the break of C point to take a bearish entry. Manage your RR accordingly.
EURUSD BUY POINTSHi Traders
Here is my EURUSD Analysis On 1 January 2025 In some Points To Buy Side.
EURUSD Bullish Pattern Based on the market Condition The Price Seems as in Buy Side Here is the key Points.
Resistance Zone 1.04700
Support Level 1.03200
Lets Stay In buy side with confirm Entry Lets share ideas about EURUSD What's Price React.
EURUSD Stong Bearish (Good Short Oportunity)As u se we are in strong bearish trend with big momentum candles on chart and ineficiency.
A verry good pullback can be in the area of first Supply because we have an area of confluence where supply, fibb level & moving average lined up!
I personally look for a short after price reach that zone grab some liquidity and show me some good wick candles!
Entry:1.03750
TP:1.03400
SL:1.03900
Risk Reward Ratio:2-1
Follow if u agree for more analisys especially on EURUSD,USDJPY,USDCAD,XAUUSD!
NEW IDEA FOR EURUSD As we approach 2025, financial markets are witnessing significant volatility in major currency pairs such as the Euro/US Dollar (EUR/USD). In this article, we will look at the technical analysis of this pair and examine a scenario where the price could decline to the channel floor support at 1.0241 if the key resistance at 1.0371 holds.
Scenario Ahead
In technical analysis, support and resistance levels play a crucial role in predicting future price movements. Here, we will examine a scenario where the price could decline to the channel floor support at 1.0241 if the resistance at 1.0371 holds.
1. Holding Resistance at 1.0371
If the price fails to break the resistance at 1.0371 and remains below this level, it indicates a continuation of the downtrend. This scenario seems likely given the current selling pressure in the market.
2. Moving towards support at 1.0241
If the resistance holds, the price is likely to decline towards the channel floor support at 1.0241. This level is considered a strong support area that may trigger a price reversal or temporary consolidation.
EUR/USD - Short Trade Success: TP1 Hit with PrecisionOur short trade was successfully triggered in the resistance zone between 1.0450 and 1.0460. As anticipated, the price reacted strongly to this key level, which aligned with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and retail stop-loss clusters. TP1 was hit quickly, validating the strategy and highlighting the effectiveness of combining technical levels with sentiment analysis. The trade remains active, targeting TP2 and TP3 for further profits.
