USDEUR trade ideas
Bearish drop?EUR/USD is reacting off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.1427
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.1560
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 1.1278
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
EURUSD Short 4/29/2025EUR/USD Short – Weekly Supply Rejection + Bearish Structure Developing
Looking to short EUR/USD based on a clean multi-timeframe confluence of supply rejection, bearish price action, and lack of immediate bullish catalysts.
Weekly Chart:
Last week printed a bearish hammer right off a major weekly supply zone — signaling higher timeframe selling pressure coming into play.
4H Chart:
We've got developing structure that could complete into a valid head and shoulders pattern.
Last two 4H candles printed a bearish engulfing followed by a bearish hammer, both rejecting supply strongly.
Current 4H candle (still forming) is holding bearish intent, keeping momentum tilted to the downside.
1H Chart:
1-hour candles are following suit — we’re about to close a doji, showing hesitation from buyers and potential follow-through lower.
Trade Thesis:
Taking the short now with anticipation that the 4H head and shoulders confirms and breaks lower.
First milestone is clearing the neckline, then continuation down toward the weekly structural target at 1.2000.
Fundamental Context:
No major eurozone news releases today.
German Prelim CPI hits tomorrow, but until then, EUR is exposed to drifting lower without fresh catalysts.
Risk-Reward Profile:
Initial Target: Break below the neckline
Main Target: Weekly level around 1.2000
R:R: Targeting 1:4
Stop: Placed above the right shoulder structure on the 4H
This setup combines clean technical exhaustion at supply with room for a strong trend leg if momentum accelerates.
EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W18 D29 Y25
EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W18 D29 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly order block rejection
✅Daily order block rejection
✅Intraday 15' order block
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
No Change for EURUSDEURUSD continues its sideways movement above 1,1300, and there is no change in the outlook.
The trend remains bullish, but we might see a correction toward the next support levels first.
These levels, determined by Fibonacci retracement and previous highs, are 1,1253, 1,1183, and 1,1055.
Tomorrow, the first USD-related news releases are scheduled, which could have an impact, followed by the NFP data on Friday.
EUR/USD short: Will Moby Dick drag down the global economy?Hello traders
The allegory of our current global economy and Moby Dick, the rare white whale, hunted by the obsessed Captain Ahab, is not one I am writing about in a light hearted manner.
A refresher: Moby Dick(China) bites off Captain Ahab's(USA) leg and is subsequently relentlessly hunted by the obsessed captain who wants revenge. At the conclusion of the novel, Captain Ahab is oh, so close to killing the elusive whale but gets entangled in the rope of the harpoon and is dragged down to his own watery death by the wounded whale.
Moral of the story? Moby Dick is a classic American novel and China has not eaten the USA's lunch. I do not see any winners in this tariff war but rather the distinct possibility of a global recession and potential melt down like 2008/2009.
At the heart of this conundrum is DJT's obsession with trade balance going back to his first term. The irony being, the 2018 trade imbalance was the biggest ever under his watch.
I love these magnificent United States more than anything but let's get real. DJT won his second term on the persistent high inflation after COVID-19 and immigration not because we, as privileged Americans are suffering as the richest country on the planet(except for Swiss citizens). While I also support regulated immigration, we as Americans, do not want to perform the "menial" jobs that migrants are willing to do. My ancestors survived WW1, WW2, the dust bowl, the Great Depression and every subsequent calamity but never lost track of the integrity in ANY job that feeds a family.
There is a lot of whining about losing manufacturing jobs to China but I dare anyone who feels that they have missed out on a job opportunity to go and pick oranges in the blazing Florida sun with a 50 pound bag on the back or work a low paid job in a sneaker manufacturing facility.
Let's not forget what drives the USA economy: the consumer. We have benefitted from cheap/inexpensive Chinese labor and goods for a long time and will feel the pain if this tariff war is not resolved in a realistic manner. China's currency manipulation has always been geared towards boosting their exports and I do not foresee that policy changing anytime soon.
China is denying that any trade talks are happening and there is increasing day light visible between DJT and his Cabinet members. Bessant won't confirms trade negotiations and Rubio claims not to know what DJT's stance is towards Russia/Ukraine.
It all comes down to DJT's obsession with the white whale, China. Who will blink first? I do not know but this zero sum game is dangerous and could potentially plunge the entire global order into a crisis the likes of which will dwarf WW2 and 2008/2009.
I have initiated a short EUR/USD position at 1.1420 with an eye toward 1.0958 or lower. I am not claiming that the divestment in USA assets has run its course but at this point, I am inclined to reaffirm my belief in American exceptionalism but not in leadership. At this point, the Euro Zone still stands to lose more than the USA, especially in the light of tepid German economic performance and the unresolved Ukraine/Russia war.
There has been a lot of smoke and mirrors during the first 100 days with a flurry of executive orders to fight the woke culture, annex sovereign territories etc. but as human beings, we all have a need and right to shelter, food, clean water and air and the ultimate, the pursuit of happiness. And happiness goes right out the window when the aforementioned rights are not met or satisfied.
So, here lies the Moby Dick moment. Will DJT's obsession with tariffs and power drag us all down? Distinct possibility...
Thank you for listening to my two cents and best of luck with your trades. How you draw the distinction between noise and trading signals, is up to your own analysis. I can only speak for my own bank account and capital but tread lightly through this minefield that should never have happened in the first place.
EURUSD H4 I Bearish Drop Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price has just reacted off our sell entry at 1.1425, which is an overlap resistance.
Our take profit will be at 1.1145,a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibo retracement
The stop loss will be placed at 1.1574, which is a swing high resistance level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
#EURUSD Sell Short In H4 #EURUSD Sell Short In H4 , Market in very bullish but we see in daily or weekly TF we see clearcut in market is already formation AMD and we are in continues trend its not happen but going to happen in few weeks , But But But we are looking to H4 demand we see H4 demand is fully liquidity pool either market is going to lower trend either market is fully reversal because see the H4 with Daily TF we see full of Liquidity run , market is already Accumulate then market downside Manipulate then upside Distributed and then market is going to continuation process , we just check the probability of market we don't predict the market just analysis the trend and entry with valid demand and supply with proper Liquidity , without Liquidity swap never entry on a single trade, Liquidity is simple *IRL* *ERL* if you don't find the liquidity then Congratulations 🎊 you are the Liquidity for market ,
KGB Priyabrat Behera
ICT and Advance Mapping SMC Trader.
Weekly Forex Market Analysis:EURUSD– Issue 208(Free access)The analyst predicts that the EUR/USD rate will increase within the time specified on the countdown timer. This prediction is based on a quantitative analysis of the price trend
___Please note that the specified take-profit level does not imply a prediction that the price will reach that point. In this framework of analysis and trading, unlike the stop-loss, which is mandatory, setting a take-profit level is optional. Whether the price reaches the take-profit level or not is of no significance, as the results are calculated based on the start and end times. The take-profit level merely indicates the potential maximum price fluctuation within that time frame.
EURUSD SHORT TRADE IDEA.This chart shows a bearish trade setup for the EUR/USD currency pair on the 30-minute timeframe. Here's a breakdown of the analysis and key elements:
Key Zones and Labels:
Entry Zone:
A highlighted zone between 1.13838 and 1.13979. This is where the trader anticipates entering a short (sell) position, expecting a reversal to the downside.
Stop Loss Zone:
The above the entry zone, with a clear stop loss level marked around 1.14180. This protects against further upward movement if the market does not reverse.
Target Zone (Take Profit):
The area, targeting a significant drop in price down to 1.12928 (with a mid-point around 1.13176). This indicates a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
Expected Movement:
The chart suggests that the price may rise slightly into the entry zone, then reverse sharply downwards toward the take profit target.
From the entry zone → sharp decline → target at 1.12928
The chart shows a potential buy setup.This is a 1-hour EUR/USD chart, showing a bullish trade setup. Here's what’s going on:
---
1. Trade Idea:
The chart shows a potential buy setup.
Price bounced from a strong support zone (the beige box at the bottom).
A breakout has occurred to the upside, and the chart anticipates a pullback (red zone) before continuing upward.
---
2. Entry Point:
Suggested buy is around 1.1408, near the top of the red zone.
---
3. Stop Loss:
Stop loss is marked around 1.1377, below the red zone.
---
4. Take Profit (Target):
The target is around 1.1542, which is a previous resistance area (top of the green zone).
---
5. Market Structure:
The price is expected to form higher highs, indicating a bullish trend continuation.
---
6. Time Context:
The current candle is dated Monday, April 28, 2025, at 06:00 UTC.
The setup looks fresh, and the price seems to be approaching the entry area.
SMC Precision Short on EURUSD | SMT + Liquidity Grab = Clean Set📉 EURUSD 15M | Smart Money Concept (SMC) Trade Idea
🔍 Market Structure & Bias:
- High Timeframe POI (1H): Price tapped into a 1H Supply Zone, indicating potential short setups aligning with HTF bias.
- Break of Structure (BOS):Clean BOS to the downside confirms market intent shifting bearish.
🧠 Smart Money Logic :
- Liquidity Grab: Price swept liquidity above the equal highs and immediately rejected the 1H supply zone.
- Refinement: On the 15M, an entry block (OB) formed right after the SMT
- Mitigation: Price mitigated a lower timeframe demand and then gave an impulsive move down confirming intent.
- Entry: Entered short at the mitigation of the refined 15M supply zone.
- Stop Loss: Above the recent high (liquidity sweep).
- Target:
TP1:At the internal liquidity low (marked green @ 1.13152).
TP2:Final target at external liquidity below swing low @ 1.12637
Trade Details :
- 📍 Entry: 1.1372
- 🛑 Stop Loss: 1.1391
- 🎯 Take Profits:
TP1: 1.13152
TP2: 1.12637
Thanks for your time..
EURUS possible bearish reversal correction for 1.1100 & 1.1000#eurusd weekly key reversal bar, made a new high closed towards the low which is early indication for bearish reversal. better to wait for 61.8, 70.0 and 79.0 fib level for correction to short to manage drawdown. stop loss above key reversal bar high. initial target might be 1.1100 and next one 1.1000 if breaks below the 1.1100. use low risk in reversal trade.
EURUSD 28/4/25We've had a shift in bias from bullish to bearish. In the short term, we're anticipating a push to the downside, with the possibility of a continuation in the higher time frame bullish direction. As always, we let price lead the way—and right now, it’s suggesting further downside movement.
There are three major liquidity highs above the current price and three major liquidity lows below. If price reaches the highs first, we’ll look to sell from that level. This gives us a favorable entry point.
Price is currently consolidating, so wait for a clear expansion before taking action. If you're trading with the Orion mid- and lower-time frame system, this setup could be ideal given where we are in price structure.
We may see movement in either direction, which is necessary for price to reach our targets or trigger entries. Stick to your risk parameters and follow your trade plan let Orion lead the way!
EURUSD time for correctionMonthly
On the monthly timeframe, we came to the Premium zone and captured Monthly Fractal High, where previously there was predominance from the sell side.
Weekly
Price has formed a Weekly FVG, indicating strong dominance from the buy side. However, it is important to understand WHERE this has led us ? The current quotes are interesting for sellers. Hence, we should assume that the price may receive a counter offer from the sell side. It is logical to assume potential points A and B in this context.
Daily
Price has formed primary signs of change in the price delivery state:
- Bullish PD Array disrespecting
- BISI forming
- CISD forming
All this indicates a shift of initiative to the selling side, so it is logical to expect a continuation of the downward movement after interaction with the marked PD Array.
Also, I would like to draw your attention to the fact that the price is within the Inside Bar for the 3rd day already. This means that recently the price has been held within the same values, which indicates a balance of power between buyers and sellers at the current quotes. In such a situation, all we have to do is to find the optimal area to continue the downward price formation.