USDEUR trade ideas
EURUSDECB VS FED.Rate cut verse rate hold .As geopolitical tension cools off and fed hawkish rhetoric's verses ECB dovish stance ,this simple market fundamental could cap euro gains in coming months. if the pressure insist we could see a breakout of demand floor sending euro downswing.
#eurusd#dollar #usd
SELL!! BUT DON'T SHORT WITHOUT REASON EURUSD FORECAST Q2 W21 Y25EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W21 Y25
SELL!!!! BUT DON'T SHORT WITHOUT REASON!
EURUSD IS READY TO TAKE YOUR ACCOUNT. THERE IS A WRAFT OF KEY LEVELS TO POTENTIALLY SHORT FROM.
I KNOW. I HAVE INDEED IDENTIFIED THEM HOWEVER ... let's not KILL out accounts !!!!! lets be sure when to pull the trigger on shorts!!!!
I'll be honest, I foresee a reaction from every point of interest BUT, dependant on YOUR entry model, depends if you can get Breakeven faster than the rest or even to take profit.
SELL IS THE PLAY BUT BE SMART...
EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W20 D15 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly order block rejection
✅HTF Bearish price action
✅Intraday 15' order blocks
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Europe’s Political Powder Keg: Markets on Edge!🔥 Europe’s Political Powder Keg: Markets on Edge! 🔥
Europe’s elections just dropped a BOMB! 💣 Poland (May 18), Portugal (May 18), and Romania (May 4 & 18) rejected far-right surges, but the center’s crumbling. 🇪🇺 Poland’s pro-EU Trzaskowski barely leads—June 1 runoff could flip it! Portugal’s Chega is shaking the old guard, and Romania’s Nicușor Dan rides an anti-corruption wave.
Why care? Political chaos = market volatility. 📉 EUR/USD is wobbling, DAX could tank, and defense stocks (🇺🇦 ties) are in play.
💡 Trade Idea: Overlay EUR/USD with election dates (May 4, May 18, June 1) to catch volatility spikes.
❓ What’s your move? Will Europe’s turmoil crash markets or spark a rally? Drop your take below! 👇
EURUSD May 19 Trade Executed -updatedEURUSD
May 19 Trade Executed
2 London Macro
Parent range equilibrium
Previous range coming into Asia premium
Narrative
*I suspected Sundays delivery to be aggressive, retracing Fridays inefficient delivered price, glad it did, setting up for a run on equal highs.
*Asia expanded with typical swing low back to 50 level to consolidate.
*Sell side taken the last session high probability for price to seek equal highs.
(I was a little shaky with my idea reading the minute charts which I need to read the candle formations but it sure swings my emotions)
Frame work-from 3 min TF
22:00 Price stayed above the 18:00 candle created a minor equal low.
0:03 FVG forms first presented FVG
1:09 creates a clean equal high and breaks down
1:45 candle barely takes minor sell side liquidity
1:51 energetic candle rallies away and breaks the swing high
2:00 comes down in the FVG
2:03 entered Price 1.11880
First target minor equal highs
Second target equal highs
Third target equal highs
Forth target the 1SD and FVG/NWOG
Exited 4:18 Price1.12492
Admittedly I had a lower price and when I did not get tagged in I did instant order -rule breaker, plus slip got me higher, its ok
NOTE I had to build my execution off GBP/DXY price action for confidence
NOTE I did buy above the 50 in a premium for this trade-rule breaker
This is one of my best trades, the most calm I have been and holding it was hard and trusting that price would hit the targets.
rinse wash and repeat, so grateful I m getting better every trade. Blessed!
EUR/USD Outlook: Bullish Momentum Builds Toward 1.1270The EUR/USD pair continues its upward trend, trading around 1.1195, supported by a weakening US Dollar following softer-than-expected US inflation data for April. Headline CPI rose just 2.3% YoY—its lowest since February 2021—while core CPI held steady at 2.8%, matching forecasts.
Additionally, Moody’s downgrade of the US credit rating from AAA to AA1 due to concerns over fiscal deficits and rising debt has further pressured the greenback—the USD Index dropped 0.6%.
In the near term, EUR/USD is expected to extend gains if it breaks above the key resistance at 1.1270. However, risk remains if upcoming Federal Reserve speeches adopt a more hawkish tone, which could trigger a USD rebound.
Market participants are also watching Germany’s Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP), set to be released later today, for fresh direction.
💡 Short-Term Trade Scenarios:
BUY EURUSD: zone 1.11600 - 1.11450
SL: 1.11200
TP: 40 - 60 - 100pips
EURUSD: Long Signal with Entry/SL/TP
EURUSD
- Classic bullish formation
- Our team expects growth
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Buy EURUSD
Entry Level - 1.1202
Sl - 1.1128
Tp - 1.1344
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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Euro H4 | Overlap resistance at 38.2% Fibonacci retracementThe Euro (EUR/USD) is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 1.1263 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 1.1395 which is a level that sits above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and a multi-swing-high resistance.
Take profit is at 1.1081 which is an overlap support that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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EUR/USD – BEARISH BIAS IN PLAY, IS A FAKEOUT COMING?EUR/USD – BEARISH BIAS IN PLAY, IS A FAKEOUT COMING?
🧠 Market Context:
After a technical rebound earlier this week, EUR/USD is now consolidating inside a symmetrical triangle. Despite buyers attempting a breakout, low volume and price action still below the 200 EMA indicate weak bullish momentum.
The DXY is recovering on expectations the Fed will hold rates higher for longer.
Meanwhile, the Euro lacks fundamental support as the ECB remains cautious with policy moves.
👉 Given the current technical setup, the higher probability scenario (70%) is a bearish breakout, continuing the dominant downtrend.
📊 Trade Scenarios for Today:
✅ High Probability – SITUATION 1 (70%):
Price breaks below the triangle’s base near 1.1185–1.1190 and continues lower toward the 1.1110 demand zone.
⛔ SELL ZONE: 1.1210 – 1.1220 (after minor retest of broken trendline)
🎯 TP: 1.1180 → 1.1150 → 1.1120 → 1.1100
🛑 SL: 1.1245 (above EMA200)
🚨 Lower Probability – SITUATION 2 (30%):
Price breaks out and closes firmly above the triangle and 200 EMA (~1.124x) → short-term bullish reversal.
🔵 BUY ZONE: 1.1250 – 1.1260 (only after confirmed breakout with volume)
🎯 TP: 1.1290 → 1.1325 → 1.1350
🛑 SL: 1.1215
🔍 Key Technical Levels & EMA:
Resistance (200 EMA on H1): ~1.1247
Major Support Zones: 1.1180 – 1.1150 – 1.1110
🎯 Execution Strategy:
Favor short setups unless a clear bullish breakout occurs above 1.1247 with strong volume.
Watch for a breakdown and retest below 1.1180 to confirm bearish continuation.
Avoid premature entries — let price come to your levels.
⚠️ News to Watch:
No major data today, but USD is still sensitive to Fed tone and macro headlines.
Keep an eye on Fed speakers later in the NY session for potential impact on dollar direction.
✅ Final Thoughts:
The triangle pattern is coiling tight, but overall momentum favors sellers.
Expect liquidity sweeps and volatility traps, especially around session transitions.
Stick to your plan, respect your levels, and let the market decide the breakout direction.
Short Position on EURUSD 4H – 16th May 2025 AnalysisTrading Idea: Short Position on EURUSD 4H– 16th May 2025 Analysis
This chart illustrates a short position on EURUSD, in 4hour Time Frame near Resistance 1 with clear Stop loss above this zone. Because this is the potential place for reversal as well.
Overall, the market structure is bearish. However, it has reached the Fibonacci Retracement Level of 0.71, from the recent major breakout Swing and it too support. This is the time to check whether Resistance 1 will be taken out and market will turn bullish or if it fails at resistance 1 and continues the downtrend towards the target and then to key support area.
Analysis:
• Market Structure: The overall market structure is Bearish. However, previously, there was a good breakout from 8th April 2025.
• Fibonacci Level: Market Retraced to 0.71 of Fibonacci retracement level from 8th April Swing to recent Swing High.
• Trend Change: Might occur, if it can break above Resistance 1and sustains, then we can aim at breaking the other resistances and reaching the Target Area, i.e. recent Swing High.
Trade plan:
• Entry: Near 1.2553
• Stop Loss: 1.2935
• Take Profit: Around 1.1098
• Risk-Reward: 1:4
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.
EURUSD is in a Downside Direction After a Triangle Pattern BreakHello Traders
In This Chart EURUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today EURUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (EURUSD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on EURUSD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Buying Opportunities on EURUSDYesterday, EURUSD held steady around the 1,1200 level and looks to be gearing up for the next move upward.
Keep an eye out for a higher low followed by a fresh push to the upside.
The first support level to watch is 1,1140 - a potential starting point for the next bullish movement.
The goal is to see the uptrend continue with new highs ahead.
Trade only in the direction of the main trend and always manage your risk carefully!