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U.S. Dollar / Euro

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USDEUR trade ideas

Long-Term Opportunity: Euro’s Resilience Can Drive Bullish MovesCurrent Price: $1.16822 Direction: LONG Targets: - T1 = $1.1785 - T2 = $1.1830 Stop Levels: - S1 = $1.1660 - S2 = $1.1625 **Wisdom of Professional Traders:** This analysis synthesizes insights from thousands of professional traders and market experts, leveraging collective intelligence to identify high-probability trade setups. The wisdom of crowds principle suggests that aggregated market perspectives from experienced professionals often outperform individual forecasts, reducing cognitive biases and highlighting consensus opportunities in Euro. **Key Insights:** The Euro continues to show resilience despite broader market challenges, presenting selective bullish opportunities. Germany's industrial production recovery and the Euro's strength against weaker currencies like the Japanese Yen and New Zealand Dollar reinforce the potential for upward pressure. However, critical upcoming events such as CPI and retail sales data could serve as catalysts for significant price movement. A data-driven approach remains crucial, with an eye on key support and resistance levels to validate bullish momentum. Euro sentiment has also been influenced by global interest rate dynamics and the Federal Reserve’s hawkish stance, which impacts the US Dollar. Still, the Euro has found footing as investors weigh potential policy shifts from the European Central Bank (ECB) later in the year. **Recent Performance:** The Euro has defended against broader weakness in regional European markets while managing to sustain strength against select global currencies. Recently, EUR/USD experienced a steady recovery from critical multi-week lows at $1.1650 as traders focused on better-than-expected German industrial production of +1.2%. However, softer retail sales (-0.7%) and export data (-1.4%) have tempered some of the optimism. **Expert Analysis:** Analysts highlight that while weak macroeconomic data out of Europe remains a drag, selective trades offer strong upside potential for the Euro. Germany's industrial production continues to underpin sentiment, with analysts recommending long positions after confirming swing lows and bullish patterns. Technical setups focusing on Fibonacci retracement levels provide critical entry points, which suggest limited downside risk relative to the potential upside reward. **News Impact:** Key developments such as renewed tariff tensions and slower global economic momentum continue to shape Euro outlooks. The upcoming release of UK CPI on Wednesday and Eurozone retail sales updates may spark additional volatility. Professional traders emphasize careful monitoring of headline risk, with potential for surprising bullish catalysts that would justify higher pricing levels in the near term. **Trading Recommendation:** The Euro is poised for a potential rebound in the coming weeks, with technical and fundamental indicators aligning to suggest a bullish trajectory. Current price levels offer attractive entry points, provided stop-loss levels are respected to mitigate downside risk. Focus on a long-term perspective, leveraging data-driven insights to capture potential gains toward $1.1785 and beyond.
Long
by CrowdWisdomTrading
EUR/USD| - Bullish BiasHTF Context: Noted a clear break of structure to the upside, signaling strong bullish intent. Originally expected a deeper liquidity grab, but price shifted before reaching lower zones. MTF Refinement: Dropped down to the 30M for better alignment — spotted a liquidity sweep confirming smart money interest. LTF Execution Plan: Now watching for mitigation of the 30M OB. Once tapped, I’ll look for internal structure shift (1M/5M BOS or CHoCH) to confirm continuation. Mindset: Staying patient — if price wants higher, it should respect this OB and show its hand first. Bless Trading!
Long
by Juicemannn
EURUSD: NEW WEEK TECHNICAL BIAS ( MARKET OPEN) Higher Timeframe Bias: The Ascend Sequence on Monthly, Weekly, and Daily remains intact; current Descend Sequence is viewed as a pullback within bullish orderflow. HTF bullish stance is maintained unless invalidated. Current Structure (Short-Term): Descend Sequence is still active across Daily, 4H, 1H, and micro-timeframes—momentum favors sell-side flow for now. Decision Range: Defined Decision Zone: 1.17494 – 1.16624 ▫︎ A break below 1.16624 strengthens the case for continuation of bearish leg. ▫︎ A break above 1.17494 would signal a bullish reclaim and potential Trend Signature Shift (TSS). Execution Scenarios: Scenario 1: If price trades into the 4H Order Clustering Zone (OCZ) from below and shows weakness, I’ll consider a short setup, ideally via Momentum Breach Entry (MBE) or a Retrace Precision Entry (RPE). Scenario 2: If market opens with a sharp Impulse Drive to the downside without tapping into the OCZ, I may consider tactical short opportunities, but only with caution and reduced risk. Target Zone for Shorts: Primary short-term target: Discount Zone of the Weekly/Daily price leg, where a Weekly PIZ and Rally Origin align. Bias Invalidation: A strong reclaim and hold above the decision range will invalidate short bias and reposition me for long setups in alignment with the HTF bullish framework. Summary: Sell-side lean remains valid short-term. However, macro bullish context persists. Awaiting structural resolution from decision range to confirm directional intent.
Short
by Olamitrades1
EURUSD Daily: More trouble ahead or ready to recover?The last Friday NY bearish closed sited at Fibo(38.2) and still showing a strong bullish move since last March we may see a bit more downward move to test the Fibo(50) at 1.16388 before start another bullish leg up again. While the price stays above the 1.5956 level I will look for any price action towards 1.18298 but with all chaos caused by this tariff war we need to be careful. As a technical reference, Resistance at 1.182998, Support at 1.14522 and RSI(14) at 58 that seems to be heading to test the 50 level.
Long
by cyberFX2019
EURUSD Trading Opportunity! BUY! My dear subscribers, This is my opinion on the EURUSD next move: The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.1689 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 1.1748 My Stop Loss - 1.1659 About Used Indicators: On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
EU - Shorts into Longs📊 EURUSD 15min – Reversal Both Ways: Sell the Top, Buy the Bottom 🔄 Complete Cycle Coverage | Precision Short & Long | Real-Time Edge This EURUSD chart is a textbook example of how the ELFIEDT RSI + Reversion system captures both ends of the market — printing a clean DOWN signal at the high, followed by multiple stacked UP signals at the low. 🔻 High-Precision Short Signal At the early session high, a lone DOWN signal was printed at 01:45 — just as price peaked before entering a persistent downtrend. 🔹 Hypothetical Trade Idea: Entry: Short at the close of the red DOWN candle Stop-loss: Just above the signal candle’s high Reward: Price dropped more than 60 pips before stabilizing 🟢 Strong Bottom Reversal with Triple Confirmation After the sustained decline, the indicator printed three consecutive UP signals starting around 15:00 — catching the bottom of the selloff with minimal further downside. 🔹 Hypothetical Trade Idea: Entry: After the last UP signal prints (aggressive traders could scale in earlier) Stop-loss: Below the signal wick Reward: Immediate reversal led to a steady move up into the next session This setup offered a second high-probability opportunity, demonstrating the system’s strength in both directions. 🧠 What This Shows The ELFIEDT system isn’t reactive. It pre-empts exhaustion, spotting the true shift in sentiment before traditional indicators catch on. 📣 Public Release – Limited Scope Only This is a basic public version of the ELFIEDT RSI + Reversion engine. 🚀 Advanced versions include: Multi-symbol confluence Divergence overlays Trendline breakouts Re-entry logic Institutional filter layers 📬 DM to apply for premium access — strictly invite-only. #EURUSD #ForexSignals #MeanReversion #ReversalTrading #SmartForexTools #ELFIEDT #15MinuteChart #FXPrecision #TradingView
Long
by ElfieTrader
Rejection from Supply Zone, Bearish Continuation Toward PDLAfter failing to break out with strength and confirm the demand zone, EUR/USD is showing signs of a bearish continuation. The price was rejected from the Demand Zone near the NY High, indicating a possible shift in momentum. This setup suggests the pair may continue its downward trend, aiming for the Previous Day Low (PDL) around 1.16620. With a favorable risk-to-reward ratio of 1:5, this move could present a clean and high-probability short opportunity as long as bearish structure holds.
Short
by ByCraig
EURUSD: Decision Time at Major Channel SupportToday we're looking at the EURUSD on the 4-hour timeframe, which presents a very clear and actionable technical setup. Price has been trading within a well-defined ascending channel since April. This channel has provided a reliable framework for the prevailing uptrend, with the green bands acting as dynamic support and the red band as resistance. The Current Situation: After a strong rejection from the top of the channel (red resistance zone) around the 1.1850 area, the price has entered a corrective phase. We are now approaching a critical inflection point where multiple support factors converge. Primary Support: The lower boundary of the main ascending channel (green zone). This is the backbone of the entire bullish structure. Horizontal Support: The purple zone around 1.1600-1.1625, which previously acted as resistance, is now a potential support floor. Short-Term Resistance: A minor descending trendline is capping the immediate price action, forming a small wedge or triangle pattern. The Bullish Scenario: The dominant trend is up. Therefore, the primary thesis is to look for a bullish continuation. A long entry becomes compelling if we see the price hold at the confluence of the ascending channel support and the horizontal purple zone. A definitive bounce from this area, confirmed by a break and close above the short-term descending trendline, would be the trigger. Initial Target: A retest of the recent highs around 1.1800. Ultimate Target: A push towards the upper boundary of the ascending channel. The Bearish Invalidation: This bullish outlook becomes invalid if sellers manage to force a decisive 4-hour close below the ascending channel's support line. A break of this magnitude would negate the multi-month uptrend structure, signaling a significant shift in market sentiment and likely initiating a deeper sell-off. Conclusion: EURUSD is at a crossroads. The structure is clean, and the levels are well-defined. The bias remains bullish as long as the price respects the established channel. Watch the 1.1600-1.1650 support area for signs of a bounce. A break below this critical zone would warrant a shift to a bearish perspective. Disclaimer: The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.
Long
by ManiMarkets
#AN019: Digital Currencies (CBDCs) Will Change Forex How the world of official digital currencies (CBDCs) is already impacting Forex, opening up new opportunities rarely considered elsewhere. Hello, I'm Forex Trader Andrea Russo. On the one hand, Shanghai is evaluating countermeasures against stablecoins and cryptocurrencies, including yuan-backed currencies, while China is moving closer to a reasonable transition to its own "soft" stablecoin, after years of restrictions on crypto trading. On the other, Pakistan is launching a pilot CBDC, aligning itself with a momentous shift: it is now shaping its own digital monetary system, with direct impacts on inflation, reserves, and currency pairs. These initiatives are not isolated. They are part of a global phenomenon: over 130 central banks are studying or testing CBDCs, with Europe, China, and the Middle East at the forefront. American hostility (e.g., the ban on digital dollars) risks pushing others to consolidate their own digital currencies as a geopolitical and financial shield. In Forex, these developments could generate repercussions even in the short term: EUR/CNY or INR exchange rate: Retail and wholesale CBDCs will facilitate direct trade, reducing dependence on the dollar, and potentially giving rise to new flows in Asian crosses. Reduced cross-border costs and times: Systems like mBridge (China, Hong Kong, Thailand, UAE, Saudi Arabia) will allow instant transactions and cross-border digital currencies, breaking down SWIFT's dominance and encouraging lower demand for USD payments. New interest rate paradigm: CBDCs may include fixed interest rates, creating competitive pressure on swaps and futures, and forcing traditional central banks to clarify their strategies. Digital Safe Havens: If EUR or CNY become globally interoperable, new forms of safe haven currencies could emerge, impacting crosses such as EUR/USD, USD/CNY, and INR/USD. Actional conclusion for Forex traders: We will soon enter uncharted territory: it will not just be a matter of evaluating central banks and SMEs, but also of understanding if and when official digital payment systems will have a real impact on currency routes. For those who want to anticipate flows: Monitor CBDC pilots in Asia and the Middle East. Keep an eye on retail adoption in the BRICS countries: in the coming quarters, we could see direct flows from USD to digital CNY, INR, and AED. Evaluate potential longs on digital-friendly crosses (e.g., USD/INR digital) and shorts on USD linked to interest in stablecoins. Forex is entering its new digital era: the question is only one: are you ready to navigate it?
Education
by Andrea_Russo_SwipeUP