USDEUR trade ideas
Euro will start to grow from support and then leave pennantHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Previously, price was moving confidently inside an upward channel, forming steady higher highs and higher lows. After a clear breakout from that structure, the price started consolidating inside a new pattern, an upward pennant. This formation usually appears as a continuation structure, where the market builds pressure before a new impulse. Currently, the price is trading near the middle of the pennant, after rolling down from the resistance line and rebounding up from the support area. The structure is compressing, and a retest of the support line near 1.1155 may occur before a breakout happens. Given the confluence of the pennant structure, the strong support area, and the previous bullish momentum, I expect the Euro to rebound again from the lower trend line and initiate an upward breakout. That’s why I set my TP 1 at the 1.1500 level, a logical target aligned with the upper boundary of the pattern and next key resistance. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
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EURUSD - The Bears Are Getting Started!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈EURUSD has been bullish trading within the rising blue channel.
However, it is currently retesting the upper bound of both red and blue channels.
🏹 The highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the upper trendlines and orange resistance zone.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #EURUSD is around the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EURUSD 5-Wave Rally Confirms Bullish TrendThe short-term Elliott Wave analysis for EURUSD indicates that the correction from the April 21, 2025, high has concluded with wave (4) at 1.1059. From the wave (3) peak, the decline unfolded as follows: wave W ended at 1.1265, wave X at 1.1381, and wave Y, structured as a zigzag, completed at 1.1059. Within wave Y, wave ((a)) reached 1.1196 and wave ((b)) hit 1.1292. Wave ((c)) lower concluded at 1.106, finalizing wave Y of (4). The pair has since turned upward in wave (5).
From the wave (4) low, the rally in wave ((i)) is developing as a five-wave diagonal pattern. Wave (i) peaked at 1.1265, followed by a pullback in wave (ii) to 1.1128. Then wave (iii) advanced to 1.1288, and wave (iv) retraced to 1.1215. Wave (v) is expected to conclude soon, completing wave ((i)) in a higher degree. Subsequently, a pullback in wave ((ii)) should correct the cycle from the May 13, 2025, low before the pair resumes its upward trend. As long as the 1.106 pivot low holds, any near-term pullback is likely to attract buyers in a 3, 7, or 11-swing pattern, supporting further upside.
EURUSD H1 correction?My vision where go price on Elliot waves.
Now we on bullish trend but it can change to bearish.
Wave 5 is not finnish yet what will be next correction or we break zone 1.138-1.14 and price go upper.
Wave Indicator shows momentum slowing down, hinting at a potential reversal.
Price has peaked and is stalling around 1.13649, suggesting resistance.
Support/Resistance Levels
Resistance: 1.1380 region .
Support: Around 1.122, which is:
A key Fibonacci level.
Likely target for the end of wave C in the correction.
Fundamental Analysis
ECB monetary policy: If the ECB signals dovishness (rate cuts or economic concerns), EUR weakens.
Eurozone inflation: Higher inflation can support EUR via hawkish ECB tone.
German economic data: Weak data = EUR bearish.
U.S. Side (USD)
Federal Reserve policy: If Fed holds rates higher for longer, USD strengthens.
U.S. inflation, jobs data: Strong numbers support the dollar.
EURUSD Technical Analysis! SELL!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the EURUSD next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 1.1348
Bias - Bearish
Safe Stop Loss - 1.1396
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 1.1273
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GBPUSD Short-Term Top Forming Target 1.3360GBPUSD has bounced slightly, but the structure remains heavy and indecisive. However, EURUSD and Gold 4H charts are starting to break down clearly.
EURUSD is dragging lower step by step.
Gold broke a key support zone.
Both are signaling that USD strength is returning — and GBPUSD is likely to follow.
🔍 Technical View
Price rejected from the 1.3465–1.3470 zone (FOMC CPI high)
Lower highs building on the 1H and 4H timeframes
Trading below the 50% retracement of the recent CPI rally
🧠 Key Observation
“A sharp drop on EURUSD from current price will confirm a top is in place on GBPUSD.”
If EURUSD breaks 1.1270 decisively, expect GBPUSD to follow with increased momentum.
🔽 Trade Bias
Bearish below 1.3435
Targets:
1.3360 (first fib cluster + liquidity pocket)
1.3330 (full wave completion)
Invalidation: Clear close above 1.3470
⚠️ Watch for:
U.S. PMI revisions or FOMC speakers to fuel USD move
GBP Retail Sales data tomorrow — potential catalyst
EUR-USD Local Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-USD made a retest
Of the key horizontal
Support level of 1.1369
And we are already seeing
A bullish rebound so we will
Be expecting a further
Bullish move up
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EURUSD Technical & Order Flow AnalysisOur analysis is based on multi-timeframe top-down analysis & fundamental analysis.
Based on our view the price will rise to the monthly level.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis can change anytime without notice and is only for assisting traders in making independent investment decisions. Please note that this is a prediction, and I have no reason to act on it, and neither should you.
Please support our analysis with a boost or comment!
eurusd 20 short-term market update short it exit 1160🏆 EURUSD Market Update m20 short-term trade
📊 Technical Outlook
🔸Short-term: BEARS 1160
🔸5 waves impulse completed
🔸1090/1240/1140/1350/1270/1410
🔸a/b/c/ correction 1160
🔸short sell and exit at 1160
🔸Price Target Bears: 1160
Key recent developments in EURUSD
📉 The U.S. dollar weakened as investors grew concerned over President Trump's proposed tax and spending bill, which could significantly increase the national debt
📈 The euro reached a one-month high after President Trump delayed the implementation of 50% tariffs on European Union imports, providing a temporary boost to investor confidence
🗣️ European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde suggested that the euro could become a global alternative to the U.S. dollar, contingent on strengthening the EU's financial and security infrastructure
📊 Technical analysis indicates that the EUR/USD pair may edge higher within a range of 1.1360 to 1.1420, though upward momentum is slowing
📉 Soft inflation data from France has increased selling pressure on the euro, as markets anticipate a stronger divergence between the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank
📉 The EUR/USD pair is under bearish pressure, trading near 1.1350, as the U.S. dollar finds demand ahead of upcoming economic data and ongoing Senate tax debates
May it continue to rise!During the European session, EUR/USD broke above 1.1250, extending its second consecutive daily gain amid U.S. dollar weakness following Moody’s rating downgrade. UOB Group FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia noted that after days of range-bound trading, EUR rose to 1.1288 yesterday. However, the increase in momentum is insufficient to signal sustained progress. The euro must first decisively break above 1.1290 to have a chance of rising to 1.1330. Currently, the likelihood of a clear break above 1.1290 remains low, but as long as the pair holds above 1.1165, an upward move in the coming days is plausible.
In the market, there are no absolutes, and neither upward nor downward trends are set in stone. Therefore, the ability to judge the balance between market gains and losses is your key to success. Let money become our loyal servant.
EURUSD Trade Idea – Two Scenarios to WatchPrice is currently hovering near key resistance around 1.12619.
Two possible outcomes to anticipate:
🔹 Scenario 1 (Bullish):
If price holds above the 1.12400–1.12600 zone, we may see continuation to the upside toward the next key resistance at 1.13199.
🔻 Scenario 2 (Bearish):
If price gets rejected from this resistance zone and breaks below 1.12189, downside continuation is likely with potential target around 1.11762.
🔍 Waiting for price confirmation before taking a position. Both paths are valid — plan accordingly.
EUR/USD continue with the UptrendOn EUR/USD , it's nice to see a strong buying reaction at the price of 1.13800.
There's a significant accumulation of contracts in this area, indicating strong buyer interest. I believe that buyers who entered at this level will defend their long positions. If the price returns to this area, strong buyers will likely push the market up again.
Strong S/R zone from the past + high volume cluster are the main reasons for my decision to go long on this trade.
Happy trading
Dale
EUROUSD COT and Liquidity Analysis chart The EUR/USD pair has demonstrated a convincing upward momentum, which might suggest a sustained long opportunity. However, traders should exercise caution—this bullish move could be a classic trap. Despite the current strength, signs of exhaustion are beginning to appear in the price action and volume. The market may soon shift direction, and a downward correction or full reversal could be imminent. Now is not the time to chase the high—stay alert, as the fall could happen sooner than expected.
EURUSD Bounce Incoming? Smart Money Reversal BrewingThis EURUSD setup is a case study in smart money accumulation after a liquidity sweep + channel break. Price action is aligning like clockwork for a long setup, and the confluences are hard to ignore.
🧠 Breakdown:
🔻 Bearish Channel Structure: Market has respected this descending channel since early May — multiple taps, respected diagonals
🟡 Reversal Clues: Clean sweep of liquidity at the channel bottom with bullish engulfing candle
💰 Order Block + Discount Zone:
OB marked inside the 50%–79% retracement range
🔹 OB top: ~1.12567
🔹 Key entry: Between 1.12567 – 1.12199
🔹 SL: Below 1.1180 (clean under discount zone)
📈 TP zone: 1.15728 — previous market structure high and fib -100% level
✅ Risk-Reward: 1:5+ if played with precision
🔍 Why this setup is 🔥:
✅ Channel break = structure shift
✅ OB + Fib 61.8%–79% = strong demand confluence
✅ Liquidity below equal lows already taken
✅ Sharp bullish move after sweep = signs of big players entering
✅ Price likely to pull back to mitigate before exploding
🧠 Institutional Logic:
“Liquidity fuels price. Structure guides it. Confluence confirms it.”
The market swept lows, flipped structure, and now is likely returning to fill orders before the next leg up. This is a classic bullish mitigation play.
📊 If price taps into the OB and shows bullish confirmation — this is a sniper zone.
Set alerts. Wait for the wick. Enter on the flip. Let the market work for you, not the other way around.
STRUCTURE SHIFT OR FALSE BREAKOUT? MAJOR MOVE LOADING? EURUSD 22/05 – STRUCTURE SHIFT OR FALSE BREAKOUT? MAJOR MOVE LOADING?
🌐 MACRO OUTLOOK
The market remains caught between dovish expectations and hawkish reality. While recent US CPI and PPI came in weaker than expected, Fed officials have refrained from confirming any imminent rate cuts, keeping the dollar resilient in the medium term.
Meanwhile, the ECB’s cautious stance and ongoing inflation risks across the eurozone continue to cap euro strength. The divergence in tone between the Fed and the ECB adds to the short-term volatility and uncertainty around EURUSD’s direction.
📉 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (H1 + H4 Timeframe)
EURUSD has faked a breakout above the 1.1310–1.1320 resistance zone and is now pulling back to the key structure support around 1.1279 — a critical short-term level.
📌 Key Observations:
Bearish engulfing candle formed on H1 after price rejected the upper zone → potential reversal signal.
EMA 13 is crossing below EMA 34 → suggesting short-term downside pressure.
A confirmed H1 close below 1.1279 opens room for deeper retracement towards 1.1234 (previous demand/FVG area).
If momentum builds, we could see a broader correction toward 1.1148 in the coming days.
⚙️ TRADE STRATEGY FOR TODAY
🔻 PRIMARY SCENARIO – SELL THE RALLY
Entry Zone: 1.1315 – 1.1318 (near FVG + fake breakout zone)
Stop Loss: 1.1360
Take Profit Targets:
→ TP1: 1.1279
→ TP2: 1.1234
→ TP3: 1.1148
🔹 ALTERNATE SCENARIO – BUY SCALP ON STRONG REACTION
Buy Entry: 1.1234 – 1.1230 (only with bullish M15 confirmation)
Stop Loss: 1.1210
Take Profit: 1.1279 → 1.1300
🧠 STRATEGIC INSIGHT
A D1 candle close below 1.1234 will confirm a structure break and likely initiate a deeper downward trend.
On the flip side, if 1.1234 holds and US jobless claims disappoint later today, EURUSD may recover back to test 1.131x.
Market sentiment is highly reactive — stay flexible and prioritize price action confirmation.
📌 FINAL THOUGHTS:
EURUSD is at a pivotal point — either confirming a new downtrend or bouncing back within the current range. This is a trader’s market: clear key levels, disciplined risk management, and adaptive execution are essential.
📈 Follow for real-time chart updates, FVG mapping, and more daily trading setups.
Stay smart, stay sharp. Risk management first.
EURUSD Pullback in Play – Next Stop: $1.1337EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) is moving in the Resistance zone($1.1310-$1.1162) while the upper line of the descending channel has been broken.
According to Elliott Wave theory , a breakout of the descending channel can at least confirm the end of a corrective wave . The corrective wave structure was a Double Three Correction(WXY) .
I expect EURUSD to rise to at least $1.1337 after completing a pullback to the upper line of the descending channel .
Note: If EURUSD touches $1.11590, we can expect further declines.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Euro/U.S. Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 4-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
EUR/USD Price Action Update – May 20, 2025📊 EUR/USD Price Action Update – May 20, 2025
🔹 Current Price: 1.12570
🔹 Timeframe: 1H
📌 Key Demand Zone:
🟢 1.11200–1.11650 – Major bullish rejection zone; structure formed after strong accumulation and upside expansion.
📈 Bullish Outlook – Eyes on 1.14259:
🔸 If price cleanly breaks and retests 1.12926, we could see a sharp continuation toward 1.14259
🔸 Market showing higher highs and strong impulse legs from demand
📉 Invalidation Risk:
🔸 A break back below 1.12200 may invalidate bullish bias and revisit deeper demand
🔍 FXFOREVER Insight:
✅ 1H bullish structure remains intact
✅ Watch for 15M BOS above 1.12900 for low-risk entry
✅ Ideal for swing or intraday buys with proper RR
#EURUSD #ForexUpdate #FXFOREVER #SmartMoney #LiquiditySweep #DemandZone #BreakoutSetup #PriceActionForex #EuroDollar
Big Picture Shift: EURUSD Bulls Eye 1.23–1.25 Zone📊 EURUSD – Has the Long-Term Trend Finally Reversed?
Since the 2008 all-time high at 1.60, EURUSD has been in a persistent downtrend, dropping all the way below parity in September 2022.
Following the recovery back above parity, the pair has been range-bound in a 700-pip channel for nearly two years. And while early 2025 brought a sharp decline toward the 1.02 zone, this move was quickly reversed, forming what now looks like a higher low relative to the sub-parity bottom.
❓ The big question: Is the long-term trend now bullish?
There are several signs supporting this idea:
✅ From 2008 to 2014, the pair formed a massive descending triangle, which eventually broke to the downside.
✅ The area around 1.05 held as a long-term support, and price began trading in a broader range with 1.22–1.23 resistance.
✅ The break below parity could now be interpreted as a false breakdown, with the strong reversal from 1.02 this year confirming the historical support zones from 2015 and 2017.
✅ Most importantly, the recent push to 1.1550 could be the first higher high on the long-term chart — a potential signal that the downtrend of nearly two decades is ending.
🎯 Conclusion and Long-Term Target
In my view, the long-term trend has shifted. The structure now favors bullish continuation, and my primary target on the long term is the 1.23–1.25 zone.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
EURUSD Forms Rising Wedge + Evening Star_ Bearish SetupAs I expected in the previous idea , the EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) started to rise after breaking the upper line of the descending channel and hit the Long Position target with Risk-To-Reward: 1.46 .
The EURUSD is trading near the Resistance zone($1.149-$1.142) .
From a Classic Technical perspective, EURUSD appears to be completing a Rising Wedge Reversal Pattern . Also, a good sign for a EURUSD reversal is the formation of an Evening Star Candlestick Pattern near the upper line of the rising wedge pattern.
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , I think the EURUSD corrective waves are NOT over yet, and it seems that EURUSD has completed the main wave X inside the rising wedge pattern.
I expect EURUSD to decline to at least $1.126 AFTER breaking the lower line of the wedge pattern.
Note: If EURUSD touches $1.14903 , we can expect more pump.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Euro/U.S. Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 4-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
How to Draw Trendline in Changing MarketHey Traders so here I wanted to illustrate how you catch the change from Uptrend to Downtrend on the charts. You never know for sure if the trend has completely changed but basically look for 3 bars that you draw a straight line and connect them together. You don't need indicators you just need to be able to draw a straight line. Buy or Sell when market touches trendline. Technical Analysis is a little bit like Art but alot of time it can work really well if you draw correctly!
So in uptrend you would be buyer at the trendline.
In downtrend you would be seller at the trendline.
Always use Risk Management! (just in case your wrong in your analysis)
Hope This Helps Your Trading
Clifford
DeGRAM | EURUSD held the accumulation zone📊 Technical Analysis
● Two-year rising channel is intact; price just rebounded from the lower rail (RB) and punched back above the 2020-2024 red resistance trend-line, repeating the 2022 “break-retest-fixation” pattern.
● An 18-month accumulation rectangle (1.06-1.13) has resolved higher, printing a bullish weekly engulfing; the measured move points to the channel mid-band / horizontal cluster at 1.1600, then the upper rail near 1.1950.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Eurozone core CPI is stuck at 2.7 % y/y while US ISM and housing prints cooled, dragging real U.S. yields lower and narrowing the policy-rate gap priced for 2025.
✨ Summary
Long above 1.1214; breakout projects 1.16 ➜ 1.195. Risk flips only on a weekly close back below 1.108.
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