EURUSD: Buy or Sell?Dear friends!
On our 1D chart, after careful observation, we can see that a wedge pattern is forming. After EURUSD breaks out of the previous trend and completes the correction phase, a new downtrend is likely to be established.
Adam's target is to break above the 1.16000 support level and head towards the lower support level of 1.140000, which is where the pine attracts a large amount of buyers.
And you, do you think the price will go up or down? What is the target for your thinking?
USDEUR trade ideas
EURUSD: Buyers Like the New Trade Deals With The US!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of July 28 - Aug 1st.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market:
EURUSD
Buyers reacting positively to the announcements of trade deals with the US.
Longs are the play until we see a bearish break of significant structure.
FOMC and NFP looming, so be careful the markets don't reverse on your trades!
Wait patiently for buy setups.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
EURUSD GOING SHORT AFTER A PULL BACKPrice has completed a corrective pullback into a well-defined supply zone, where it has now mitigated previous unfilled sell orders. We’re seeing early signs of bearish intent and anticipate a continuation to the downside as supply takes control.
💡 Key Notes:
• Trend is bearish unless price closes above the mitigated supply zone.
• If price returns to the supply zone without breaking lower, it may become a distribution range.
• Patience and confirmation are critical — no need to rush entry without market structure break.
Let me know your thoughts
EURUSD - Parallel channel in play!The following chart offers a closer look at the current structure of the EUR/USD pair on the 4-hour timeframe. Price action has been respecting a well-defined bearish parallel channel, which has provided clear boundaries for both resistance and support. Based on the ongoing reaction to these levels, we outline both bullish and bearish scenarios that could unfold in the coming sessions.
Bearish Parallel Channel
Since June 30, EUR/USD has been consistently moving within a downward-sloping bearish parallel channel. Each attempt to break above the upper boundary of the channel has been rejected, while the lower boundary continues to act as dynamic support. This sustained rejection from the upper trendline confirms the strength of the bearish momentum currently at play. The pair remains structurally weak unless a clean breakout to the upside occurs, accompanied by strong bullish confirmation.
Bullish Scenario
A potential bullish reversal could materialize if EUR/USD manages to hold above the 4-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG) located between 1.1620 and 1.1600. This zone may provide the necessary support for the bulls to step in. If the price maintains strength within or just above this FVG and buyers begin to show dominance, a rebound toward the upper boundary of the channel could occur. A successful breakout above the channel could then trigger a stronger rally, possibly targeting the 1.1750–1.1800 region, marking a clear shift in short-term momentum.
Bearish Scenario
Conversely, if the pair fails to hold the 4-hour FVG between 1.1620 and 1.1600 and closes a strong bearish 4-hour candle below this zone, the market may be setting up for further downside. This would suggest a rejection of the FVG as resistance and open the path for a drop toward the lower end of the channel. Interestingly, this area also aligns with a previously established larger 4-hour FVG. A move into this deeper FVG could present a more favorable zone for a longer-term bullish reversal, as it offers a stronger liquidity pool and potential demand area.
Final Thoughts
The EUR/USD pair is at a critical juncture. Price is hovering near a key support zone within a bearish channel that has defined its movement for several weeks. Whether bulls can hold this support and break above the channel, or bears take control and push it lower toward the broader 4-hour FVG, will determine the next major directional move. Traders should closely monitor price action around the 1.1620–1.1600 level for clues on the likely breakout direction.
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EUR/USD – Short from Channel TopHi Traders , Took a short on EUR/USD after price rejected the top of the ascending channel.
Entry: 1.17545
Stop Loss: 1.18015
Take Profit: 1.17098
📌 Why I took this trade:
Price is showing rejection at the upper trendline + near resistance (R1). RSI is cooling off, so I’m expecting a move back to the demand zone around 1.1710.
Clean structure, low risk, good reward.
Just my take, not financial advice.
What do you think — continuation or rejection?
EUR/USD at a Turning Point:Rally or Trap for the Bulls?📉 Technical Analysis
Price has decisively broken out of the descending channel highlighted in recent weeks. The weekly support zone between 1.1540 – 1.1580 is holding, triggering a significant technical reaction. The weekly RSI has entered oversold territory, suggesting a potential short-term reversal.
Key Support: 1.1530–1.1580 (currently reacting)
Key Resistance: 1.1720–1.1780 (inefficiency & supply zone)
Base Case: Potential rebound toward 1.1720–1.1750 before next structural decision
🧠 Sentiment Analysis
82% of retail traders are long, with an average entry at 1.1635
Only 18% are short, a clear minority
This extreme imbalance suggests downside pressure may persist to flush out weak long hands before a genuine reversal takes place.
📊 COT (Commitment of Traders)
USD Index:
Non-Commercials increased both long (+663) and short (+449) positions → uncertain stance but slight USD strengthening
EUR Futures:
Non-Commercials increased long (+6,284) and short (+8,990) positions, but net increase favors the bears
This shift signals a bearish turn in sentiment among large speculators, indicating short-term downward pressure.
📈 Seasonality
In July, EUR/USD historically tends to rise, but:
This year’s price action is underperforming the seasonal pattern, showing relative weakness
August is historically flat to slightly bearish
Seasonality does not currently support a strong bullish continuation
✅ Strategic Conclusion
Current Bias: Bearish-neutral (with short-term bullish bounce expected)
A technical rebound toward 1.1720–1.1750 is likely (liquidity void + RSI bounce + retail imbalance)
However, 1.1720–1.1750 is a key supply zone to monitor for fresh shorts, in line with:
Dollar-supportive COT data
Overcrowded long retail positioning
Weak seasonal context
🧭 Operational Plan:
Avoid holding longs above 1.1750 without macro confirmation
Monitor price action between 1.1720–1.1750 for potential short re-entry
Clean breakout above 1.1780 → shift bias to neutral/bullish
Structure break and trend shift🚀 After a clean breakout from the descending channel, price formed a rising structure—but momentum is fading.
🔴 Lower highs are forming and we’ve got a clear rejection at the top of the ascending channel.
📌 Trade Idea:
Entry: 1.1739
Stop Loss: 1.1778 (above recent high)
Take Profit: 1.1676 (structure support)
Risk-Reward: ~1:2 ✅
🧠 Why this setup?
Structure break & retest in action
Bearish pressure building after bullish exhaustion
Reversal patterns aligning at key zones (circles show historic turning points)
EUR/USD Short Setup – Bearish Reversal OpportunityPrice has rejected near resistance, forming lower highs.
Potential bearish divergence on momentum indicators (RSI/MACD).
Market sentiment suggests euro strength may be cooling after recent ECB hold.
Dollar shows signs of stabilization, adding downward pressure to the pair.
🔹 Trade Details:
Entry: 1.17572
Take Profit: 1.16946
EUR/USD | Correction Near Key Demand – Watching for Rebound!By analyzing the EURUSD chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that after the last analysis, the price started a correction and is currently trading around 1.17150. I expect that once it enters the 1.16780–1.17100 zone, we could see a rebound from this key demand area. If the price holds above this zone, the next bullish targets will be 1.17370 as the first target and 1.17730 as the second.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
EURUSD - Short Term Setup Could Trigger MAJOR ReversalThis bounce is likely to be a connective wave into another wave down.
In the video I break down a classic algo driven liquidity sweep just above the 0.786 retracement.
This signals potential reversal.
Stop loss placement depends on how aggressive you want to be with margin.
Tighter risk gives more upside potential with defined exposure.
Invalidation of potential retracement failure swing @ $1.18.
If this unfolds on a higher timeframe, it could develop into a heavy-hitting move.
I'm layering shorts through this area, as discussed in the video.
Trade executed on Pepperstone CFD 👍.
This analysis is shared for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research before making any trading decisions.
EURUSD: Short Trade Explained
EURUSD
- Classic bearish setup
- Our team expects bearish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short EURUSD
Entry Point - 1.1727
Stop Loss - 1.1759
Take Profit - 1.1661
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EUR/USD | Bullish Momentum Builds – Next Targets Ahead! (READ)By analyzing the EURUSD chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that, as per the previous analysis, the price first made a strong move in two steps, successfully hitting the 1.15580 target. Upon reaching this key level, it reacted positively with increased demand and is now trading around 1.16520. Given the current trend, I expect further bullish movement soon, with the next potential targets at 1.16720, 1.17230, and 1.17500.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): LONG to the resistance area 1.17578.Colleagues, the price has made a strong downward movement, which can only mean one thing: the correction is not complete.
This means that the latest upward movement is wave “1” of medium order.
Therefore, I now expect the correction to end in wave “2” at the 50% Fibonacci level and thean upward movement to continue to at least the resistance level of 1.17578.
It is quite possible that after updating the level of 1.15570, the price will immediately begin an upward movement — this is a more risky option for entering a position.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
EURUSD may rally after breaking through resistanceThe correction against the global bullish trend is reaching the trading range boundary, but the bulls are not giving up. A struggle is forming, as can be seen from the price trading in the 1.155 - 1.165 zone. A rebound from 1.163 and a breakout of resistance could strengthen demand and lead to growth.
Bears are trying to keep the price below the downward resistance, but attempts to break through the line (retests) are continuing, which only increases the chances for a further rally.
The following fundamental nuances are equally important: prices are rising amid preparations by the EU for possible retaliatory measures in response to Trump's threat to impose 30% tariffs. Tomorrow, Fed Chairman Powell will speak (hints on interest rates), and on Thursday, the ECB will announce its decision (interest rates are likely to remain unchanged).
EURUSD I Its re-accumulation. COT Overview Hey what up traders welcome to the COT data and Liquidity report. It's always good to go with those who move the market here is what I see in their cards. I share my COT - order flow views every weekend.
🎯 Non Commercials added significant longs and closed shorts at the same time. So for that reason I see the highs as a liquidity for their longs profits taking.
📍Please be aware that institutions report data to the SEC on Tuesdays and data are reported on Fridays - so again we as retail traders have disadvantage, but there is possibility to read between the lines. Remember in the report is what they want you to see, that's why mostly price reverse on Wednesday after the report so their cards are hidden as long as possible. However if the trend is running you can read it and use for your advantage.
💊 Tip
if the level has confluence with the high volume on COT it can be strong support / Resistance.
👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
Analysis done on the Tradenation Charts
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
"Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own."
— David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
EUR/USD H4 DOWNWARD 🔄 Disrupted EUR/USD 4H Analysis
🟢 Current Context:
Price is currently at 1.17375, slightly below the resistance area (1.17400–1.17500).
Market shows a recent bullish impulse, followed by consolidation within the marked resistance zone.
Projection in the image suggests a double-top pattern forming at resistance, followed by a bearish reversal toward the target demand area (~1.15800–1.16000).
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⚠️ Disruption Points:
1️⃣ Failed Double Top Scenario
Disruption Hypothesis: Instead of forming a clean double top and reversing, price may break above the resistance zone at 1.17500.
Reasoning: Strong bullish momentum and recent higher highs indicate potential for bullish continuation, invalidating the bearish target.
Disrupted Path: Price could break out → retest the resistance as new support → continue toward 1.18000–1.18300 zone.
2️⃣ Mid-Range Liquidity Trap
The current range may act as a liquidity trap:
Smart money could push the price slightly below support (fake breakdown), attract sellers, then reverse sharply upwards.
This would trap retail sellers targeting the 1.15800 zone.
EUR/USD 4H Bullish Reversal Setup Analysis:The chart shows a falling wedge pattern, a typical bullish reversal signal.
Price has broken out of the wedge, suggesting a potential trend reversal to the upside.
Two strong demand zones (highlighted with blue arrows and yellow box) show strong buying pressure around 1.15500–1.15700.
The Ichimoku Cloud above indicates resistance, but a breakout above it would confirm continued bullish momentum.
Key Levels:
Current Price: 1.16171
Immediate Resistance: 1.16979
Next Targets (TP):
TP1: 1.17057
TP2: 1.17578
TP3: 1.17623
Support Zone: 1.15500 – 1.15700
Conclusion: If the price holds above the 1.15700 support zone and sustains momentum above the wedge breakout, expect bullish continuation toward 1.17500+. Ideal long setup on retracement with tight SL below 1.15500.
Bullish momentum to extend?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is reacting off the pivot and could rise to the 127.2% Fibonacci resistance.
Pivot: 1.1746
1st Support: 1.1659
1st Resistance: 1.1907
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