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Why EUR/USD Dropped: A Step-by-Step Breakdown for Learners📉 Overview: The EUR/USD has recently approached a key resistance zone near 1.17726, showing signs of a potential rejection after a bullish rally. The price is currently hovering around 1.17468, forming a short-term bearish setup that could lead to a retracement or reversal. ⸻ ⚙ Key Technical Zones: • 🔼 Resistance: 1.17500 – 1.17726 Price was strongly rejected after testing this area. This level has historically acted as a supply zone. • 🔽 Support: 1.15500 – 1.16000 This is a historically significant demand zone, where price previously consolidated and reversed. • 🎯 Target Zone: 1.16308 Marked as a potential take-profit level based on prior price structure and volume profile imbalance. ⸻ 🧠 Indicators & Tools: • Bollinger Bands: Price touched the upper band in overbought conditions, suggesting a possible mean reversion. • Volume Profile (VRVP): Indicates declining volume near resistance, pointing to weak buyer momentum. • Price Action: Bearish engulfing candle and strong rejection wick at resistance, confirming selling pressure. ⸻ 🧭 Market Bias: 📌 Short-Term Bearish A short opportunity is forming based on the rejection from resistance and overextension of price. ⸻ 🧩 Possible Scenario: 1. Breakdown below 1.17061 (mid-level support) could trigger acceleration to the downside. 2. 1.16500 and 1.16308 are ideal short targets before reevaluation for continuation or bounce. ⸻ 🛑 Risk Management Tips: • Consider SL above 1.17800 (previous high). • Monitor for confirmation before entry (e.g., bearish candle close below 1.17000). • Adjust size and risk-reward ratio appropriately.
Short
by Mentor_Michael03
EURO - Price can continue to decline in falling channelHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 For a long time, the price was moving within a large ascending wedge, showing a gradual upward trend. However, buyers failed to maintain momentum, and the price made a decisive breakout below the wedge's support line. Following the breakout, the instrument established a new structure, a local falling channel, and has been trading within its boundaries since. Currently, the price is in a corrective upward move, approaching the key resistance area of $1.1630 - $1.1660. This zone is significant as it aligns with a previous support level and the upper boundary of the current falling channel. I expect that the price will face rejection from this resistance area and will then continue its decline towards the channel's support line, targeting the $1.1465 level. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️ Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Short
by WalterMoon
17
"EUR/USD Technical Blueprint: Bullish Continuation EUR/USD Technical Blueprint: Bullish Continuation Patterns and Strategic Price Zones Explained 🔹 Market Structure & Trend The chart shows a clear shift from a ranging phase into a bullish breakout: Price previously consolidated in a broad horizontal channel, with a strong demand zone (support) established between 1.16000 – 1.16600. Following a deep liquidity grab on July 17-18, the price bounced sharply from support, creating higher highs and higher lows – a classic bullish structure. Current momentum shows bullish continuation, as the price broke above local resistance around 1.16645 and is now forming a potential bull flag or bullish pennant pattern. 🟢 Bullish Momentum Confirmation Price is currently retesting the broken resistance (now acting as support at 1.16645). If the support holds and bullish momentum continues, the measured move target projects a price move toward 1.17331, the next significant resistance level. This is also supported by increased volume activity in the breakout zone, as seen on the VPVR. 📊 Key Technical Levels Level Type Description 1.16000 Major Support Historical demand zone + liquidity grab 1.16645 Support Zone Previous resistance, now retest area 1.16926 Current Price Bullish consolidation forming 1.17331 Resistance Bullish target based on breakout projection 1.17700+ Extension Potential continuation level if momentum persists 🧠 Volume & Volatility Insight Bollinger Bands are expanding post-breakout, indicating increasing volatility and a potential trend continuation. VPVR shows a high-volume node around 1.166, confirming it as a strong demand zone. 🔎 Outlook & Strategy ✅ Bullish Bias As long as the price remains above 1.16645, buying dips could be a favorable strategy. A break above 1.17000 with strong volume could open a path toward 1.1733 and higher. ❌ Invalidation Level A strong close below 1.16600 would invalidate the bullish setup and could return price to the lower support around 1.16000. 📌 Conclusion EUR/USD is displaying strong bullish momentum after breaking a key resistance level and forming a solid support base. A breakout above 1.17000 may lead to a continuation toward 1.17331 and potentially higher. This setup favors bullish positioning with tight risk management.
Long
by Mentor_Michael03
EURUSD LongEURUSD 15-Minute Technical Analysis EURUSD has broken through a key intraday structure level with strong bullish momentum, indicating continued institutional interest on the buy side. The market is now approaching a higher-timeframe supply region while leaving behind a well-defined demand zone that could serve as a launchpad for further upside. 🔍 Market Structure & Momentum: Break of Structure (BOS) was confirmed after the recent surge above the previous high, validating the current bullish trend. Price has rallied aggressively from the IDM low at 1.16908, sweeping short-term liquidity and suggesting smart money involvement. We are now trading inside a minor supply zone and approaching a broader liquidity cluster between 1.17550 – 1.17800. 🟩 Key Demand Zone Level: 1.16980 – 1.17100 This zone marks a significant accumulation area where the market built up momentum before the breakout. It's also in line with the IDM (Internal Drawdown Marker), serving as a technical retracement level. A retracement into this demand zone would align with a classic bullish continuation pattern, offering a potential re-entry area for long positions. The imbalance left behind further supports this zone’s potential to hold. 🟥 Overhead Supply Zones (Resistance Clusters): First Zone: 1.17550 – 1.17700 Second Zone (Stronger): 1.17750 – 1.17900 These zones represent unmitigated supply levels from previous sell-offs and may act as profit-taking or short-term reversal points for intraday traders. These areas are where we expect higher levels of volatility and potential bearish reaction before continuation or reversal. 📈 Expectations & Trade Setup: Anticipation of a retracement into the 1.16980–1.17100 demand zone for price to establish a higher low before pushing toward unfilled liquidity above 1.17550. If demand holds, a bullish continuation could aim for 1.17750–1.17900, where confluence with past supply suggests caution. Should price fail to hold the demand, bearish momentum could pull price back toward the lower demand block at 1.16500 (aligned with the 0.5 fib level of the prior impulse).
Long
by ProSignalai
Today's EURUSD Analysis : Channel Break : EURUSD Eyes 1.19056Chart Overview: The EURUSD pair has broken out of a well-defined descending channel, indicating a potential shift in momentum. Price has now approached a critical Central Zone that acts as a probable reaction or reversal area. This zone lies between minor and major supply levels. 🔍 Key Technical Highlights: Descending Channel: Price was previously trapped in a bearish channel. This channel was respected with multiple touches on both upper and lower bounds, showing controlled bearish structure. Breakout & Momentum Shift: The recent bullish breakout above the channel suggests buyers are gaining control. A strong candle has closed outside the structure, confirming the breakout. Major & Minor Zones: Two levels are marked just above the breakout: Minor Resistance: First possible supply zone where price may pause. Major Resistance: A stronger historical level and the top of the Central Zone. Central Zone Reaction Area (CZRA): This is the MMC's focus area — price is expected to react here. Either we see a rejection that could confirm a reversal setup, or price slices through, opening the door to the Next Reversal Zone around 1.19056. 📌 Strategic Condition (MMC Logic): Condition 1: If price respects the Central Zone and shows bearish signs (e.g., wick rejections, engulfing candles, divergence), we expect a strong pullback or reversal toward previous demand levels. If Condition 1 Fails: The annotation clearly states: “If this condition not apply, it will go 100%.” Meaning: If price breaks and holds above the Central Zone, it confirms bullish strength, targeting 1.19056 — the Next Reversal Zone (NRZ). 📊 Trader's Mindset (MMC Application): This setup is a classic MMC structure trap-break scenario: The channel traps sellers, The breakout invites buyers, And the Central Zone becomes the battlefield. Wait for confirmation, not assumption. Whether it's rejection or breakout, risk management and reaction-based trading are key.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
EURUSD: Bears Are Winning! Short! My dear friends, Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️ The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 1.17083 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 1.17004..Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone. ❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Short
by FreeXauusdSignals
1
EURUSD bullish breakout supported at 1.1640The EURUSD currency pair continues to exhibit a bullish price action bias, supported by a sustained rising trend. Recent intraday movement reflects a sideways consolidation breakout, suggesting potential continuation of the broader uptrend. Key Technical Level: 1.1640 This level marks the prior consolidation range and now acts as pivotal support. A corrective pullback toward 1.1640 followed by a bullish rejection would reinforce the bullish trend, targeting the next resistance levels at: 1.1830 – Near-term resistance 1.1900 – Minor swing high 1.1940 – Longer-term bullish objective On the other hand, a decisive daily close below 1.1640 would invalidate the bullish setup, shifting the outlook to bearish in the short term. This could trigger a deeper retracement toward: 1.1590 – Initial support 1.1530 – Key downside target Conclusion: As long as 1.1640 holds as support, the technical outlook remains bullish, favoring long positions on dips. A confirmed break below this level would signal a shift in sentiment and open the door to a corrective pullback phase. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
EUR/USD Eyes $1.179 If Resistance BreaksFenzoFx—EUR/USD is testing the 100-day moving average as resistance, a supply zone backed by VWAP at $1.171. The Stochastic Oscillator depicts 81.0 in the description, meaning the Euro is overpriced in the short term. Therefore, we expect the pair to test the $1.160 demand zone before the uptrend resumes. Furthermore, the bullish outlook remains valid above $1.155, and a break above resistance at $1.171 can trigger the uptrend, targeting $1.179.
Long
by FenzoFxBroker
#012: LONG Investment Opportunity on EUR/USD In this scenario, I placed a passive long order on EUR/USD at a key zone that has shown signs of accumulation and institutional defense in recent days. The price showed bearish manipulation followed by a sharp rebound with a V-shaped pattern, often indicative of stop-loss hunting. In these phases, a direct entry is less effective than a passive strategy aimed at intercepting a possible technical pullback in the zone where abnormal volumes and algorithmic defenses have manifested. The order was designed to be activated only if the market were to temporarily return to the previously absorbed zone, thus avoiding chasing the price after a directional candlestick. The stop-loss placement was carefully chosen to avoid both typical retail hunting zones and areas visible to algorithms. It is positioned to ensure operational invisibility, but also consistency with the logic of institutional defense: if reached, the trade will be automatically invalidated. The target is aligned with the superior technical structure and the normal range of movement that develops when this dynamic is respected. This operation is designed to be left to operate completely autonomously, without the need for adjustments or active management. Either in or out. The sole objective is to align with institutional flows, with controlled risk and a favorable management structure.
Long
by Andrea_Russo_SwipeUP
Can the Euro-Dollar Maintain Its Leadership in the FX Market?The Euro-Dollar is the best-performing major FX pair in 2025, and a short-term consolidation phase has begun below $1.18. This strength of the euro-dollar is surprising given the divergence in monetary policies. Can the euro-dollar go higher this year? How can this strength be explained fundamentally? In this week of ECB monetary policy decision (Thursday, July 24), let’s take a technical and fundamental look at the euro-dollar, which is stalling after reaching the technical resistance at $1.18. 1) Euro-Dollar’s Leadership in 2025 Defies the Logic of Monetary Policy Divergence 2025 is proving surprising in the FX market: the euro-dollar (EUR/USD) is the top-performing pair, with a gain of over 12% since the beginning of the year. This outperformance is puzzling if we rely on classic monetary fundamentals. The divergence between the Federal Reserve (Fed) and the European Central Bank (ECB) should favor the dollar. The Fed maintains a prolonged monetary status quo with high rates due to persistent inflation and labor market tensions. In contrast, the ECB continued its rate-cutting cycle, reflecting a weaker European economy and better-contained inflation. Theoretically, this monetary asymmetry should have strengthened the dollar — yet the euro leads. This paradox is explained by a combination of fundamental factors. 2) Unexpected Fundamentals Are Driving the Euro-Dollar’s Strength in 2025 The euro-dollar’s bullish trend this year ignores the interest rate differential between the Fed and the ECB, both current and projected for the end of 2025. Here’s a summary of the bullish fundamentals that allowed the euro-dollar to overlook monetary divergence: • Trump administration’s fiscal policy raises concerns over U.S. debt sustainability (see long-term bond yields) • Trade war initiated by the Trump administration creates economic slowdown risks for U.S. companies heavily reliant on international trade • U.S. administration’s political will to improve currency competitiveness for exporters • European stocks catching up to U.S. stocks in valuation • Emerging markets’ will to diversify their public debt issuance • Euro catching up as a global reserve currency as diversification away from the U.S. dollar • Germany’s structural shift in fiscal and debt policy with massive investments in defense and industry • EU stimulus spending and the ECB’s perceived monetary policy coherence 3) Is $1.18 the Final High for the Euro-Dollar in 2025? Probably Not. The euro-dollar has been consolidating since early July after hitting $1.18. Is this the peak for the year? The answer is no — unless EUR/USD breaks below the $1.13/$1.15 support and unless institutional net positions reverse from their upward trend (see yellow line in CFTC COT data). DISCLAIMER: This content is intended for individuals who are familiar with financial markets and instruments and is for information purposes only. The presented idea (including market commentary, market data and observations) is not a work product of any research department of Swissquote or its affiliates. This material is intended to highlight market action and does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice. If you are a retail investor or lack experience in trading complex financial products, it is advisable to seek professional advice from licensed advisor before making any financial decisions. This content is not intended to manipulate the market or encourage any specific financial behavior. 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by Swissquote
EURUSD - Sell Setup in ProgressPair: EURUSD Bias: Bearish HTF Overview: Structure leaning bearish — price respecting recent lower highs with room to fall into deeper 4H demand. Current Zone: Price just mitigated the 30M sell-side OB, showing early signs of reaction. LTF Confirmation: Still in observation mode — waiting for 5M or 1M confirmation to trigger short entries with confidence. Entry Zone: Focused on refined LTF shift beneath the 30M OB — ideal setup includes inducement or liquidity run before executing. Targets: First target is intraday low — ultimate target is the strong 4H demand zone below. Mindset Note: Let the market bring the entry to you — don’t jump ahead of confirmation. Smart patience wins. Bless Trading!
Short
by Juicemannn
EUR USD longit can be a viable setup , as last week we got trumped the uncertainty about dollar can continue... one thing about how i trade . the last method I'm using is using a secondary analyzer app that can detect the lines and patterns , in mass numbers . i would put my favorite asset beside then ill open trades with a proper risk to reward ratio ( 1/ 1.5 usually) , i have fixed hour for job its 5 hours of monitoring the market. after that i wont open trades as it enters new york session . in whole day i would close my trades as i reach my daily goal, then i go do my daily life ... so you may think i copy these ideas . that's not the case, its true for my real account im using a fish catcher but i know some day i dont have this and i should be able to catch the fishes with my hand. so im sharing these ideas based on my experience and yet i have to work on them ... Please note: This is for educational purposes only and not a trading signal. These ideas are shared purely for back testing and to exchange views. The goal is to inspire ideas and encourage discussion. If you notice anything wrong, feel free to share your thoughts. In the end, to learn is to share !
Long
by alisardari