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USDEUR trade ideas

EURUSD 4 HOUR OUTLOOK Price mitigated 4hour supply and pullback or retraces to internal sell to buy candle and the zone has been mitigated before. Anticipating price to break structure to the upside and pullback or... anticipating price to buy shorts when the market opens and sell to DISCOUNT ( lower time frame- we have a change of character - internal structure Price will break structure to the upside and continues with HTF bias Price will clear sell side liquidity to Discount level either one of the marked demands. I will use h1/m30 time frame for confirmation
Short
by ABSCapitalFx
Economic data in the eurozone was mixed.The EUR/USD trended higher in a volatile fashion this week, gaining 0.41% on a weekly basis. It briefly reached a six-week high of 1.1495 on Thursday but retreated to 1.1395 on Friday due to a stronger US dollar. Nevertheless, the euro showed overall robust performance during the week. Analysts were not surprised by the European Central Bank's (ECB) rate cut, but they remained cautious about the impact of Trump's tariff policies on the global economy. Although the ECB believes trade tensions have eased, analysts argue that the eurozone has not fully escaped risks. If future economic data continues to be weak, the euro may face downward pressure. Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
Short
by Ashbur
Strong Deviation News Trade MethodBack tested News-Based Trading Strategy | March–early June Results This strategy trades only on strong deviation surprises in high-impact economic news releases, aiming to capture sharp market moves caused by unexpected data. What is a Strong Deviation? A strong deviation occurs when the actual economic data significantly differs from the forecasted number, beyond typical market expectations. This threshold is identified using advanced AI analysis of historical news data to measure how much surprise generally triggers meaningful price movement. Traders can implement these deviation levels as objective filters to enter trades only when the market is likely to react strongly. Back test Summary (March to early June): Total net result: +146.3 units (pips/points/%) Number of trades: 10 Entry logic: Trade triggered when news surprise meets or exceeds strong deviation thresholds Stop-loss: Set at 1.5 times the 15-minute chart ATR (Average True Range) to allow for normal volatility Take-profit: Set at 2 times the stop-loss distance to secure favorable risk-reward Visual signals: Each executed trade is marked on the chart with a blue pin Highlights: Focus on strong market-moving surprises only, filtering out noise Risk management designed to balance protection and opportunity Trades aligned strictly with news-driven momentum Back tested with consistent positive returns over three months on key US economic data How to Use: Apply the strong deviation thresholds identified via AI-powered analysis as your trigger for news trades. Use the ATR-based stops and doubled take-profit for balanced risk control. This strategy suits traders aiming for clear, data-driven signals around economic events with disciplined trade management. this text was powered by ai... feel free to comment and discus the strategy. always open to news things and your thoughts. and always remember . to learn is to share ...
Education
by alisardari
EURUSD MOVE IN 2ND WEEK🔍 Preliminary Technical Analysis: 1. Short-term Trend: The pair appears to be undergoing a corrective move downward after a clear upward trend from around 1.1200 to above 1.1500. 2. Nearby Resistance: Located in the 1.1450 to 1.1500 area. 3. Nearby Support: The 1.1350 level is acting as a potential support; breaking below it may push the price toward 1.1300 or even 1.1250. 4. Price Pattern: There's a possibility of a double top formation or a corrective ABC pattern. 🧠 Likely Scenario (Not Guaranteed): If the price continues to move below 1.1450 and fails to form higher highs, we might see a further drop toward: Target 1: 1.1350 Target 2: 1.1300 However, if the price breaks above the 1.1450 area and holds, an upward move toward 1.1500 and possibly 1.1550 could occur. 🛠️ Recommendations: Watch how the price behaves around 1.1350: Is there a reversal candle pattern or a strong breakout? Use supporting indicators like RSI or MACD to confirm momentum. Avoid entering trades without confirmation from candlestick patterns or breakouts.
by thebear1995
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of June 6, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: During the current trading session, the Eurodollar has exhibited notable volatility, mirroring patterns observed in the previous week. The currency surpassed a significant Mean Resistance level of 1.142 and encountered substantial resistive price action near the crucial Key Resistance level of 1.151. Recent analyses indicate that the Euro is likely to approach the critical Mean Support level at 1.137 and may decline to the subsequent Mean Support level at 1.129. Nevertheless, there exists the possibility of an upward movement from the current level or the Mean Support at 1.137, which could result in a target Mean Resistance of 1.145 and a retest of the Key Resistance at 1.151.
by TradeSelecter
Euro-dollar looks vulnerable but lacks a catalystWith relatively low momentum and buying saturation clear recently, it’s questionable whether euro-dollar might achieve a new high soon. 6 June's NFP was only slightly strong than expected, though, so it's unlikely to trigger a continuing move down. Volume and volatility have declined strongly since April and the 50% monthly Fibonacci retracement seems to be more established as an area of resistance. If the price does retreat in the near future, it’s unlikely to be a large drop to $1.11 or lower immediately, more of a retracement. Behaviour after a possible break below the main dynamic support of the 50 SMA from Bands would be one of the most important factors determining the next move. Monetary policy, especially the Fed’s meeting on 18 June, and American politics and tariffs remain in focus. This is my personal opinion, not the opinion of Exness. This is not a recommendation to trade.
by Michael_Stark_Exness
EURUSD tested the Resistance level 1.14550👀 Possible scenario: The euro rose 0.23% against the dollar on June 5 after the ECB signaled an end to its easing cycle, despite cutting rates for the eighth time. The bank lowered its growth and inflation forecasts amid rising trade risks and slowing momentum but expects inflation to return to target in the longer term. Meanwhile, U.S. nonfarm payrolls are expected to show a gain of 130,000 in May, down from April’s 177,000, with unemployment steady at 4.2%. Signs of a cooling labor market are weighing on yields ahead of the report. ✅ Support and Resistance Levels Now, the support level is located at 1.13640 Resistance level is located at 1.14550
by MaxOnMarkets
BUY EUR/USD Intraday/SwingEUR/USD – Demand Zone Reversal Setup (15-Min) Timeframe: 15-Minute (Short-Term Intraday) Trade Type: Demand Zone Reversal / Trend Alignment Risk/Reward Ratio: 2.13 📍 Trade Setup Overview Entry: 1.14255 (Current Market Price) Stop Loss: 1.14099 Take Profit: 1.14547 Risk: ~14.3 pips (~0.13%) Reward: ~30.5 pips (~0.27%) This setup targets a rebound from a validated demand zone with clean structural confluence and early momentum signals. 🔍 Technical Breakdown 🧱 Structure & Trend Context: Microtrend (M15): Recent corrective pullback following a strong bullish impulse. Trendline: A descending short-term trendline is nearing a break, suggesting momentum shift in favor of bulls. Demand Zone: Validated by the Order Block Detector, the 1.1409–1.1420 area has already proven to absorb sell-side pressure during past tests. 📈 Momentum Indicators: RSI (14): Currently ~46 and curling up — potential bullish divergence building. MACD (12,26): Histogram showing exhaustion of bearish momentum. Signal lines are converging — early signs of crossover.
Long
by GODOCM
EURO-USD BUY STRONG 1. "EUR/USD Strong Buy Alert 🚀 | Key support zone holding firm – bulls eyeing the next leg up!" 2. "Strong Buy Zone ✅ | EUR/USD showing bullish momentum from this support level – eyes on 1.09+" 3. "EUR/USD Reversal Zone 💥 | Buyers stepping in strong – potential rally ahead!" 4. "Watch this zone! EUR/USD strong buy setup forming – bullish confirmation underway 📈" 5. "EUR/USD bouncing from key demand zone 🔥 | Technicals align for a strong buy signal!"
Long
by SadarExplore
EURUSD - hourly chartTrading idea: Short to 1.1406 but risk is to high because it could reverse to the 1.1457 very sharp! Support and resistance: 🔴 Resistance Levels: 1.14574 — the nearest key resistance level; a previous top and potential barrier for further upward movement. 1.14900 — the upper boundary of the current range; serves as a target if the price breaks above resistance. 🟡 Support Levels: 1.14046 — local support level, coinciding with a previously broken resistance zone; may act as a bounce point. 1.13572 — important support level that previously held back further downside movement. 1.13126 — major support level from which a strong bullish impulse previously started. 🔍 Additional Notes: Price is currently testing a descending trendline and may form a local consolidation in the 1.142–1.145 area, with a possible breakout attempt. RSI is pointing downward but still above the oversold zone — no strong reversal signal yet. Volume has decreased, which may indicate accumulation before the next impulse move.
Short
by NutBoot
EUR/USD Outlook – NFP Friday Flow & Liquidity Watch (ARX BreakdoEven though I don't trade NFP days, I always watch how the market behaves especially around key liquidity zones. In this video, I break down what I expect from EUR/USD today using the ARX method: • External & internal range liquidity • Price flow around key zones • Trap potential before major sessions • Patience > prediction, even on high-impact days 🎯 This is for observation and structure-building execution always follows discipline.
by ARX_Price_Time
EURUSD Aims for 1.1530 as Uptrend Holds StrongOANDA:EURUSD is trading within a clearly defined ascending channel, with price action consistently respecting both the upper and lower boundaries. The recent bullish momentum suggests that buyers are in control, indicating the potential for a continued move toward higher levels. The price has broken through a key resistance area and successfully retested this zone as support, confirming the bullish structure. This retest reinforces the bullish case, with the next target aligning with the midline of the channel near 1.1530. As long as the price remains above this newly established support, the bullish outlook remains intact. However, if the price fails to hold this area, a deeper pullback toward the midline or the lower boundary of the channel may occur. Remember to always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management. Good luck!
Long
by LucasMgoldview
Market next target 🧨 Disruption Points: 1. Overbought Condition / RSI Divergence Even though the price is surging (+3.30%), there could be an overbought condition forming. If RSI or other momentum indicators (not shown here) diverge, it might signal weakness in bullish momentum. > Disruptive idea: Price may fake the breakout (blue arrow) and then sharply reverse, trapping late buyers. --- 2. False Breakout Trap The red-box area could be a liquidity zone where smart money might induce a fake breakout before dumping. > Alternative path: Price breaks above temporarily (as in blue path), but then reverses violently back into the range, forming a “bull trap.” --- 3. Volume Anomaly The volume appears to be decreasing on recent bullish candles after the initial spike. This suggests that the uptrend may be losing strength, making the yellow arrow scenario less likely. > Contrary outlook: Lack of volume confirmation could mean a sideways consolidation or reversal is more probable. --- 4. News/Event Risk (Fundamental Disruption) The chart shows an upcoming economic event (U.S. flag icon), possibly Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP), interest rate news, or CPI. These events could cause extreme volatility and invalidate all technical patterns.
Long
by Gold_Free_Signals