I bought EURUSD 1.0825I bought EURUSD 1.0825
Stoploss __________ 1.0785
Target ____________ 1.0960
Trade with risk management
USDEUR trade ideas
EURUSDBuy Eurusd
Entry: 1.08032
SL: 1.08017 or 1.08016
TP; 1.08077
Your reward is 3 times greater than your risk.
EURUSD March 25 Asia to LondonEURUSD
March 25 Asia to London
Price had been consolidating in a discount from NY PM session until 23:00. Price takes minor buy side and starts to seek lower price. Price hits my sell side liquidity and at 4 macro market shifts as it should and seek the 50 level coming into NY open. Model set formed after sell side liquidity was taken at the 4 macro. Great delivery!
What you learned to build from
*block outside noise
*Reenforce that when liquidity is taken the hunt can begin
-mark out minor/major liquidity
*after liquidity is taken then look for market shift in candle formation ((I like how you did that today))
*if you miss the run don't worry wait for the next liquidity to be taken
*managing must be done from the 1 to 4 hour chart-stay clear of smaller timeframe until liquidity is taken
*keep utilizing your alerts on liquidity markers
*Be more active in Asia coming into London with analyzing a narrative from the higher timeframes
* refrain from speculation trap instead TAPE READ-example allowing myself to draft my narrative around price making a low or high today
Success is built on failures-the more times you fail means your getting closer to not making the same mistakes. Good job for trying. Keep going
EUR/USD 1H Chart Analysis – Falling Wedge Breakout StrategyOverview of the Chart
The EUR/USD 1-hour chart is forming a falling wedge pattern, which is a bullish reversal setup. This indicates that although the price has been trending downward, the selling pressure is weakening, and a breakout to the upside is becoming more likely.
Currently, the price has broken above the wedge, signaling potential trend reversal. However, traders should watch for a retest of the breakout level to confirm whether the price holds above the resistance-turned-support area before further upward movement.
Key Components of the Chart
1️⃣ Falling Wedge Pattern (Bullish Reversal Signal)
A falling wedge consists of two downward-sloping trendlines that converge, showing a narrowing price range. This pattern is formed when:
The price makes lower highs and lower lows, indicating a downtrend.
The slope of the lower trendline is less steep than the upper one, meaning sellers are losing momentum.
Eventually, the price breaks out above the upper trendline, confirming a bullish reversal.
2️⃣ Support & Resistance Levels
✅ Support Zone (Key Demand Area)
The price recently tested a strong support level (highlighted in beige), where buyers aggressively entered the market.
This level has held multiple times, indicating that buyers are stepping in whenever the price reaches this zone.
The green upward arrow suggests that this is a key accumulation area, where demand is stronger than supply.
🚫 Resistance Zone (Profit Target)
The resistance zone near 1.09450 is the first major target for bulls.
Historically, price action has struggled to break through this level, making it a logical place to take profits.
3️⃣ Breakout Confirmation & Retest
The price has successfully broken out above the falling wedge, which is a strong buy signal.
However, a retest of the breakout level (marked by the yellow circle) might occur before further bullish continuation.
If the price retests and holds above the previous resistance (now support), this will confirm the breakout and provide an additional buying opportunity.
Trade Execution Strategy
📌 Entry Point:
Enter a long trade after the breakout confirmation.
For conservative traders, waiting for a successful retest before entering can reduce risk.
📌 Stop-Loss Placement:
Place a stop loss just below the recent swing low at 1.07541 to limit downside risk.
This ensures that if the breakout fails, the trade is exited with minimal loss.
📌 Profit Target:
The first take-profit target is at 1.09450, the key resistance level.
If bullish momentum continues, traders can look for higher targets based on price action.
📌 Risk-to-Reward Ratio:
This setup provides a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, meaning that potential profits outweigh the risk taken on the trade.
Technical Indicators Supporting the Trade
📈 Trend Reversal Signals
The market has been in a downtrend, but the falling wedge signals a potential reversal.
A higher low after the breakout would further confirm the uptrend.
📊 Volume Confirmation
Ideally, a breakout should be accompanied by increased volume, showing strong buying pressure.
If volume is low, a false breakout could occur, requiring careful trade management.
🔍 Retest & Price Action
A retest of the breakout level should hold above the wedge to confirm bullish momentum.
If the price fails to hold and falls back below, the breakout may have been a fakeout, meaning traders should exit or wait for re-entry.
Risk Management & Trade Considerations
Always use a stop-loss to manage risk.
If the price fails to stay above the breakout level, consider exiting early.
Watch for external market factors such as news events or economic data releases, which can impact EUR/USD volatility.
Conclusion: Bullish Momentum is Building 🚀
This falling wedge breakout on the EUR/USD chart provides a high-probability long trade setup. As long as price holds above the breakout level, bullish continuation toward 1.09450 is expected. Traders should monitor price action carefully and adjust their positions accordingly to maximize gains while managing risks.
EUR-USD bearish until mid-2025?Based on chart, there is potential downside for EURUSD going forward until mid 2025 or longer as long as the weekly bearish channel hold. We may stop trading the said direction if weekly candle breaks upwards (closes) outside the bearish channel.
This is a longer time frame (TF) (1W graph) directional idea.
What y'all think? Give your comments down below?
EUR/USD Technical Analysis – Potential Reversal SetupThe EUR/USD 1-hour chart displays a recent downtrend with a series of lower highs and lower lows, forming a bearish market structure. The Harmonic patterns such as the Bat suggest potential areas of reversal, aligning with Fibonacci retracement levels.
A Change of Character (ChoCh) at the latest low (XA 0.7872) signals a possible shift in trend. The presence of bullish reaction points, marked by green triangles and yellow circles, suggests buying pressure is increasing. Additionally, the projected upward trendlines indicate possible price targets at 1.08476 (T1) and 1.08885 (T2) .
The oscillators at the bottom indicate oversold conditions, reinforcing the likelihood of a bullish correction. However, confirmation via price action and volume is necessary before entering long positions. A break above key resistance levels would further validate the upside potential.
Trade long Setup Based on Falling Wedge Breakout
Trade Setup Based on Falling Wedge Breakout
Entry:
Price: 1.07992 (current breakout level)
Confirmation: Breakout from the falling wedge, supported by EMA alignment
Stop Loss (SL):
Technical SL: Below recent swing low
Levels:
1.07392 (60 pips below entry)
1.0720 (below key support for extra safety)
Target Price (TP):
Approx. 1.09300 (measured move from wedge breakout)
Risk-to-Reward: ~1:2.5
1. RSI (Relative Strength Index)
If RSI is below 30, the market is oversold, increasing the chances of a bullish reversal.
If RSI is above 50 after the breakout, it confirms bullish momentum.
2. Fibonacci Retracement Levels
Measuring from the previous swing high to swing low, key levels to watch:
38.2% (1.0850) – First resistance
50% (1.0875) – Stronger confirmation
15 minute Rising wedge The price has broken a rising wedge and now looks to go bearish
WE ONLY TRADE PULLBACKS
EURUSD ready to continue higher!!!The reason for the short SL is because I've seen all I want from DXY but EUR didn't take out a key liquidity, below 1.0750. I'm not sure it will come here now, at least till we hit TP but if it sure does, enter once again. The trend is bullish, dont miss out.
Ya gaziere unu
Same applies for GBPUSD AND AUDUSD with AUD outperforming both but I dont like the pair.
You can trade it cos it will be more explosive.
US PMI Strength Drives Dollar HigherEUR/USD is trading at $1.08 as the U.S. dollar strengthens on solid U.S. services PMI data, which signaled economic resilience and pushed yields higher. Confidence in the dollar was further enabled by Trump’s remarks suggesting not all April 2 tariffs will be implemented, with possible exemptions for some countries. Meanwhile, the euro is under pressure as its recent rally fades and Eurozone economic signals weaken, keeping EUR/USD on a downward path driven by dollar strength.
Key resistance is at 1.0860, followed by 1.0950 and 1.1000. Support stands at 1.0730, with further levels at 1.0660 and 1.0600.
Daily Idea for 25/3/2025Price could continue bearish
We would be looking for asia to be taken out and use the OB to continue lower
Since price has slowed down on daily, we could have indecision candle or bullish retracement
Ended yesterday on +2.4%
EURUSD March 23 Analysis March 24 IdeaEURUSD
March 24
Price in a bias bull
Price is in a Premium M/W/D
Discount current range and a Discount previous range.
Dealing range pips 29 check back after Asia
No News
March 24 Idea
Always reanalyze after Asia. Price is in a discount, likely to see price seek the 50 level maybe rebalance the FVG. I suspect that higher prices in London and Price to lower in NY. That said however I consider that there is no news today and tomorrow which can present high resistance conditions, stay sharp.
March 23 Analysis
I suspect that we could see lower prices in the beginning of the week and we did!
Price in a premium took minor buy side then lower to the .70 consolidating coming into to London in discount. 2 macro Price seeks session equal highs and FVG to rebalance, in a premium. Price retraces in a whip saw to close London reversing in NY. Small consolation then news driver pushed Price lower taking sell stops and rebalance daily FVG back to a discount. Great delivery!
*My longer term through is still bullish however it seems Price could be gravitating to the 50 level at 1.07000
*Note the event horizon is to the buy side, possible magnet this week.
EURUSD short retracement up before continuing bearish D TF shows BOS, in H1 showing reversal pattern to retarce up a bit to reach 0.618 fibo levels before continuing berish closing FVG below
TRADE ASSESSMENT: March 23 EuroUSD - LOSSwhen price has made a sweep and is making higher highs on the 15min, look for 1hr FVGs to rebalance. that's your narrative. then look for context and entry. (POC+OTE+FVG)
when price has made a sweep and is making higher highs on the 15min, look for 1hr FVGs to rebalancewhen price has made a sweep and is making higher highs on the 15min, look for 1hr FVGs to rebalancewhen price has made a sweep and is making higher highs on the 15min, look for 1hr FVGs to rebalancewhen price has made a sweep and is making higher highs on the 15min, look for 1hr FVGs to rebalancewhen price has made a sweep and is making higher highs on the 15min, look for 1hr FVGs to rebalancewhen price has made a sweep and is making higher highs on the 15min, look for 1hr FVGs to rebalancewhen price has made a sweep and is making higher highs on the 15min, look for 1hr FVGs to rebalance
EURUSD: ShortThis is a relatively standard double top pattern. The possibility of a decline after a small rebound is higher, so shorting is recommended.
EURUSD-BUY NOWMarket has reached the bottom of Resistence level. chances are even higher for the bull run now. lets hope for the good momentum now :)
Break or Bounce? EUR/USD OpportunityHi Traders! The price is in a descending channel and is testing the lower boundary.
🔹 Scenarios:
Buy if it breaks above 1.0845, with a stop loss at 1.0790 and targets at 1.0870, 1.0900, and 1.0950.
Sell if it breaks below 1.0780, with a stop loss at 1.0830 and targets at 1.0750, 1.0720, and 1.0700.
📊 RSI is in the oversold zone—a potential bounce is possible! Watch the price action closely.
📢 Stay updated with live market movements!
🔥 Smash that like button and show some energy! Let’s trade like pros!
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
EU updateFor the days ahead, starting March 24, 2025, the direction of EUR/USD is likely to be downward. The fundamental drivers—monetary policy divergence—provide a robust case for continued USD strength and Euro weakness. The COT report’s indication of increased net-short positions by commercial traders supports this bearish trend. While the reduction in large speculators’ net-short exposure suggests possible short-term volatility or a bounce (e.g., if support at 1.0795/1.0800 holds), the lack of extreme positioning data and the overriding fundamental pressures indicate that any upside would be limited and temporary. Thus, the prevailing direction remains downward, consistent with the pair’s broader trend.
Let's wait and see how the downward plays out
EURUSD TRADE SETUP UPDATE: 1:2 PROFIT ACHIEVED With our 1:2 profit target achieved, we'll now aim for a 1:3 ratio. Lock in some gains, let's secure half of the profits and allow the remaining position to run towards the full take-profit level.
EUR/USD Weekly Bias technical analysis appears well-reasoned. EUR/USD Weekly Bias Analysis
Technical analysis appears well-reasoned:
1. Short-term bearish bias: You anticipate a decline towards the previous week's low, indicating a potential short-term downtrend.
2. Bullish reversal zone: You've identified a critical area, marked by the weekly Fibonacci Volume Zone (FVG), where a potential bullish reversal could occur.
3. Upside target: Your analysis suggests a move towards the weekly high, offering a clear profit target.
# Key Confirmation Factors:
To validate your bias and adjust your strategy, consider the following:
- Candlestick patterns: Monitor for bullish reversal patterns, such as hammer or engulfing candles, to confirm a potential trend change.
- Momentum indicators: Keep an eye on the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and other momentum indicators to gauge the strength of the potential reversal.
- Volume analysis: Analyze trading volumes to ensure they support your bias, with increasing volumes on up days and decreasing volumes on down days.
By carefully monitoring these factors, you'll be well-positioned to adjust your strategy and capitalize on potential trading opportunities in the EUR/USD market.
EUR/USD: Sideways Movement Persists Below Key LevelThe EUR/USD market remains in a consolidation phase just below the November 2024 low. Recently, the price experienced false breakouts beneath both a key support level and last week's low, followed by a strong bullish rebound. This pattern suggests a likelihood of continued sideways movement in the near term.
At present, the price is testing the previous day’s high. If upcoming news does not negatively affect sentiment, the market may attempt a move higher, especially after multiple failed breakdowns of support. However, until a decisive break occurs beyond last week’s range, price action is expected to remain range-bound. The next target lies at the resistance zone around 1.08820
EURUSD Trade ExecutionEURUSD
Trade Execution
Logic was following the previous session price had taken clean equal lows where I had just exited from a short.
Asia into London Session Macro
Price was in a discount taken previous sessions equal lows. Utilizing the alerts feature to signal me to start hunting for a set up.
0:15. When Price did not want go lower to my equal lows targets I started hunting for a long.
Cross referencing DXY was in a premium and suspected it would gravitate to its noted equal lows to a discount.
0:30 candle creates the first presented FVG.
Price consolidates testing the FVG
1:03 macro testes the FVG
1:27 changed the state of delivery
1:54 entry
I suspected that Price would come to 1.08433 of a FVG I held to 1.08475 and exited.
This set up met my criteria
*session liquidity taken
*bias determined
*model 2022 candle signature formed
*first presented FVG
*macro time
*logic confidence framed around DXY and GBP
I can the set more clearly on the smaller timeframes. I would have continued with the trade however with news coming I felt content with clean entries and exits. Good job!
