Get started

U.S. Dollar / Euro

No trades
See on Supercharts
Overview News
Ideas
Discussions Technicals Seasonals Economic Calendar

USDEUR trade ideas

The Day Ahead Economic Data (Key Market Movers) United States: April Durable Goods Orders – Key manufacturing signal. May Conference Board Consumer Confidence – Insight into consumer outlook. May Dallas Fed Manufacturing Activity – Regional factory health. March FHFA House Price Index / Q1 House Price Purchase Index – Housing trends. Asia: China April Industrial Profits – Industrial sector health check. Japan April Services PPI – Service-sector inflation data. Europe: Germany June GfK Consumer Confidence – Eurozone demand signal. France May CPI – Eurozone inflation input. Eurozone May Economic Confidence – Overall sentiment indicator. EU27 April New Car Registrations – Auto industry and consumer demand barometer. Central Bank Activity Fed’s Kashkari speaks – May affect USD, short-end yields. ECB’s Villeroy and Nagel speak – Watch for policy clues ahead of June decision. Earnings Releases Xiaomi – China tech sentiment. PDD Holdings – Consumer demand in China. AutoZone – U.S. retail/auto sector strength. Okta – Enterprise tech/security outlook. Bond Auction U.S. 2-Year Treasury Note – Key for gauging short-term rate sentiment and demand for front-end duration. Trading Focus U.S. data (durables, confidence) may drive early equity, USD, and bond market moves. Central bank commentary can create intraday volatility, especially in rates and FX. China and EU data influence risk tone and commodities. Earnings from Xiaomi, PDD, Okta may move tech indexes and related sectors. 2Y auction is a barometer for Fed path expectations. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
EUR/USD Weakens as Yield Spread Narrows Despite USD HeadwindsTechnical Analysis – EUR/USD (1H Chart) EUR/USD is currently trading around 1.1367, slipping after a failed attempt to break above the recent swing high of 1.1406. The pair has now broken below a short-term ascending trendline and is testing the key support drawn from the last bullish leg at 1.1368. Breaking of this level can push the pair lower. The break of trendline support and the MACD-RSI alignment suggest that the bears are gaining momentum. If sellers can sustain pressure below 1.1358, lower Fibonacci targets near 1.1344 and 1.1330 may be tested. Conversely, a return above 1.1383 would indicate buyer resilience and could trigger a retest of 1.1406.
Short
by Errante
Trade Idea: EUR/USD Bearish BiasPrice has finally broken below the key support zone with strong bearish momentum, confirming potential trend shift. The plan now is to wait for a break-and-retest of the broken support area (now resistance) around 1.1365–1.1385. Look for bearish rejection signals to enter short, targeting the next demand zone near 1.1315–1.1300. 📉 Bias: Bearish 🔍 Confirmation: Retest & rejection at previous support 🎯 Target: 1.1315 🛑 Invalidation: Clean break back above 1.1395 "Let the market come to you—don’t chase, wait for the retest."
Short
by dannyrahadian
EURO/USD -demand zone culminating at the projected reversal area Key Zones & Patterns Break of Structure (BOS): A BOS is marked in the red circle on the left side, signaling a shift from a bullish to a bearish market structure. Supply Zone (Green Box at Bottom): This zone was tested after the BOS and sparked a reversal. It acted as a major accumulation area (around 1.10500–1.11500 range). Harmonic Pattern (AB=CD/XABCD): The chart shows a harmonic pattern identified by points X, A, B, C, D. XA to AB retracement: Approximately 61.8% BC to CD extension: Suggests a harmonic completion near point D Parallel Channel: A bullish trend channel is drawn as the price rises post-demand zone, culminating at the projected reversal area. --- Current Market Outlook Price Level: Around 1.136xx at the time of screenshot. Projected Action: The chart suggests the price may reverse downward from the current supply area near 1.141xx. A bearish move is forecasted with a red arrow indicating a drop. A horizontal arrow suggests a consolidation zone before continuation. The TARGET level is marked near the 1.123xx region. --- Trade Setup Idea Sell Zone (Red Box at Top): Anticipated area for short entries, in alignment with the harmonic pattern completion and overextension. Short-Term Bias: Bearish Rejection from harmonic D-point and supply zone Break of ascending channel support is anticipated Downside Target: 1.123xx zone, which aligns with a prior consolidation and demand interest Clear risk-reward structure: stop above 1.141xx, target near 1.123xx --- Conclusion This EUR/USD chart suggests a bearish reversal is likely after completing a harmonic structure at a key resistance/supply area. Price action confirms a potential break below the ascending channel. The setup presents a clean short opportunity with confirmation bias coming from structure break (BOS), harmonic alignment, and a defined supply zone.
Short
by Johnson67
🇪🇺 EURUSD 15min Technical & Fundamental Analysis🇪🇺 EURUSD 15min Technical & Fundamental Analysis EUR/USD has reached a 4-week high at 1.14200, following President Trump's decision to delay tariffs on EU goods until July 9 — easing trade tensions and reinforcing investor confidence in the euro. On the 15-minute chart, we’re seeing strong bullish momentum supported by clean price structure and liquidity patterns. 📈 Technical Structure Price confirmed bullish intent after breaking below minor key support at 1.13800, triggering sell-side liquidity. This liquidity grab was followed by a strong bullish push, forming new Higher Highs. The pair then broke above minor key resistance at 1.13960, where accumulation of retail buy orders occurred. Price is now sitting inside the liquidity zone, signaling a potential next move is near. 📊 Trade Setup 📍 Area of Interest (AOI): 1.13990 🛡 Stop-Loss: 1.13890 (just below liquidity zone) 🎯 Target Profit: Dynamic based on continuation above 1.14200 highs This setup is ideal for short-term traders looking to capitalize on liquidity grabs and trend continuation. 📰 Fundamental Outlook 🇺🇸 USD Weakness Continues Fiscal Concerns: Rising U.S. debt and widening deficits are weighing on dollar sentiment. Investor Sentiment: A shift away from U.S. assets reflects uncertainty and risk-off positioning. Market Performance: The dollar has fallen nearly 4% since early April, its worst stretch since 2023. 📌 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always wait for proper confirmation before executing trades. Manage risk wisely and trade what you see—not what you feel.
by RebornFXTrader
Skeptic | Watchlist #1 - May 27, 2025: XAG/USD, EUR/USD, USD/JPYHey everyone, Skeptic here! Starting today, I’m kicking off a daily watchlist to share the setups I’m eyeing! 😎 These are the pairs I’m personally trading or watching for trigger activations. Feel free to create a dedicated section in your TradingView called “ Skeptic ” and plug in this watchlist with the triggers I provide. Then, based on your own strategy, jump into trades at those key levels if they align with your plan. My watchlist format will include a screenshot of the 4H or 1H timeframe with long/short triggers marked on the chart. If needed, I’ll add quick explanations or tips, but I’m keeping it short, sharp, and to the point to maximize your value. The goal? Help you blend these setups with your own strategy without overloading you with fluff. Let’s dive into today’s Daily Forex Watchlist! 👀XAG/USD Long Trigger : 33.68855, Short Trigger : 31.91991. 👀EUR/USD Long Trigger : 1.14183, Short Trigger : 1.12663. 👀USD/JPY Long Trigger : 144.125, Short Trigger : 142.218. 💬 Let’s Chat! If this watchlist sparked some ideas, give it a quick boost—it means a ton! 😊 Thanks for joining me— let’s grow together! ✌️
by SkepticWise
1
#AN002 Latest World News and Forex Impact Hello, I'm Forex Trader Andrea Russo and today I want to talk about how recent global geopolitical tensions are radically changing the international currency balance. In Forex, every crisis is a map of opportunities, but only those who analyze the global context can truly understand where capital will move. In this article, we analyze the main events of the week and reflect on how they could affect currencies in the coming days. 🇮🇳🇵🇰 India and Pakistan: risk of escalation across the border After a terrorist attack in Kashmir that caused 26 civilian casualties, India launched “Operation Sindoor” targeting extremist groups across the border. Pakistan responded militarily with “Operation Bunyan-un-Marsoos”. Both countries used drones and cruise missiles. Despite a ceasefire declared on May 10, the truce is fragile. The risk of a tactical nuclear crisis is real today. 🔍 Forex Impact: Strong pressure on the Indian rupee (USD/INR up) and increased demand for safe haven currencies such as CHF and JPY. 🇵🇸🇮🇱 Israel-Gaza: urban warfare resumes Israeli operations in the Gaza Strip have intensified, aiming for complete control of the area. Hundreds of civilian casualties have been reported. Italy and other members of the Madrid+ Group are calling for a ceasefire, proposing an Arab plan for reconstruction. 🔍 Forex Impact: In the acute phase, gold (XAU/USD) and the US dollar are strengthening. The NIS (Israeli shekel) is showing signs of weakness, especially if the conflict extends to Lebanon or Syria. 🇺🇦🇷🇺 Ukraine-Russia: is a glimmer of hope opening up again? Donald Trump spoke by phone with Vladimir Putin and other international leaders, including Giorgia Meloni, proposing the Vatican as a venue for new negotiations. Although the war continues mainly in Zaporizhzhia and the eastern region, diplomacy is back on the table. 🔍 Forex Impact: If the talks materialize, the EUR/USD could strengthen. If not, instability will further favor safe-haven currencies and weakness of the euro. 🇧🇫 Burkina Faso: the forgotten war The jihadist group JNIM has carried out coordinated attacks in several cities in the north of the country, causing dozens of deaths and temporarily conquering the city of Djibo. The humanitarian crisis is worsening and the Sahel region remains among the most unstable in the world. 🔍 Forex Impact: Direct impacts marginal, but emerging African currencies continue to suffer from systemic instability and capital flight. 🇺🇸🇨🇳 US and China: new economic frictions The second Trump administration has imposed new duties on Chinese products, exacerbating trade relations. The European Union, meanwhile, is seeking rebalancing by strengthening ties with Beijing. The global context is once again multipolar. 🔍 Impact on Forex: USD still strong in the short term, but growing tensions with China could weaken the USD/CNH and strengthen the CNY if Beijing responds with targeted monetary stimulus. ✝️ Vatican and new spiritual diplomacy The new Pope, Leo XIV, is prioritizing migration and poverty. The Vatican proposes itself as a neutral venue for peace mediations, as in the Ukraine-Russia case. The Church returns to being a geopolitical actor. 🔍 Impact on Forex: Symbolic but relevant: the idea of ​​Rome as a diplomatic center strengthens the perceived stability of the euro area. 📉 Italian GDP: growth slows According to ISTAT, Italian GDP is falling in 2025. The causes? Industrial slowdown, residual inflation and uncertain global climate. However, public accounts are improving and employment remains stable. 🔍 Impact on Forex: EUR under pressure awaiting new ECB estimates. The spread remains under observation. 🧭 Final reflection: Forex and geopolitics, an inseparable pair Geopolitical tensions are not background noise, but waves that move billions. Smart traders don't just read charts: they read the world. The fragility of international relations and ongoing conflicts will lead to a new polarization of Forex: on one side, safe haven currencies (JPY, CHF, USD in shock phases), on the other, emerging and cyclical currencies that are increasingly vulnerable. Those who want to navigate this market must be prepared to react not to data, but to events that change data.
Education
by Andrea_Russo_SwipeUP
EURUSD long Entry Opportunity from Support Zone"EURUSD Long Entry Opportunity from Support Zone" This means that the EUR/USD currency pair (Euro vs. US Dollar) is currently approaching or sitting at a support zone, which is a price level where buying interest is expected to be strong enough to prevent the price from falling further. Traders often look at such zones as potential areas where the price might bounce or reverse upward, offering an opportunity to enter a long (buy) position. A "long entry" refers to opening a buy trade, anticipating that the price will go up from the current level. The idea is to buy low at support and potentially sell later at a higher price (resistance or target level). This setup usually includes: Confirmation signals such as bullish candlestick patterns, RSI divergence, or volume support. Risk management with stop-loss orders placed just below the support zone. Profit targets based on resistance levels or previous highs. In summary, the phrase suggests a possible buying opportunity on EURUSD, based on technical analysis indicating that the current price is near a strong support level.
Long
by tavakolighanbar
VIEW: EURUSD-Cut your losses short and let your winners run. -The market is a device for transferring money from the impatient to the patient. -In investing, what is comfortable is rarely profitable. -Trade what you see, not what you think. CONFIRMATION -Price is bullish -Strong order block -BOS -Liquidity sweep -FVG filled -Price retraced NB: Do not ever compare yourself to other traders. Take regular breaks from trading Maintain a trading journal Love your craft Learn from other successful traders.
by koolytrades
EURUSD Trendline Breakout – Bullish Target Ahead EURUSD has successfully broken out of a strong descending trendline, which was acting as dynamic resistance for weeks. The breakout is backed by strong bullish candles and clear higher lows forming. After the breakout, the price also reclaimed a key horizontal support zone around 1.12573, turning it into a solid base for further upside. 🎯 Bullish Target (Expected): First major bullish target at 1.13864 based on the 1.618 Fibonacci extension from the last swing move. 📌 Support: 1.12573 📌 Breakout Confirmation: Valid as long as price holds above the trendline and support. 📈 Outlook: The momentum looks strong for further bullish continuation. If the price holds above the breakout zone, we expect a move toward 1.13864 in the coming sessions.
Long
by ClearTradingMind
Weekly Market Structure, Update 4H, 1DThe overall weekly structure was bearish, forming a descending channel. However, when zooming out, we can see that the channel has now been broken, signaling a potential shift in direction. Zooming into the 4H timeframe, there's a clear substructure which also broke structure with a wick/shadow, suggesting momentum is building. As the market reopens, we expect a move to fill the imbalance below before potentially continuing the upward move. 🔍 Monitoring lower-timeframe substructure closely for confirmation.
Long
by NeroForteFX_255
EURUSD positional update🔸 Wave Structure (Elliott Wave): The chart appears to follow a 5-wave bullish impulse structure. Current wave in play: Wave (5), projecting a continuation of the uptrend. Wave (4) pullback seems to have held above the bullish structure trendline — a healthy sign. Fibonacci Extensions: 1.618 Extension of Wave (1–3): ~1.2352 — primary positional target 1.27 Extension: ~1.1926 — initial profit booking zone Current price: ~1.1357, indicating considerable upside potential. RSI Divergence Analysis: RSI is showing higher lows (bullish reversal signal from Wave 4). No immediate bearish divergence is visible — confirming bullish continuation. RSI value ~58.18: still in a neutral-to-bullish zone, not overbought. Pattern Formation: Rounding Bottom The structure is a classic rounding bottom, indicating accumulation and a potential long-term bullish reversal. This pattern often signals the end of a downtrend and the start of a sustained uptrend. Price has broken out of the rounding base and is forming higher highs and higher lows — a textbook bullish continuation sign. Volume Analysis: Slight increase in volume during Wave (3) rally, confirming institutional interest. Healthy volume consolidation during Wave (4) — indicating potential re-accumulation before next move. Entry Zone: Current price (~1.1357) or on minor dips into 1.1300–1.1250 range Enter in tranches to manage risk Targets T1 (Conservative) 1.1926 1.27 Fibonacci extension T2 (Extended) 1.2352 1.618 Fibonacci + Wave (5) peak Stop-Loss Zone: Below Wave (4) low (around 1.1050) OR Dynamic trailing SL using previous swing lows
by VasuVasu
EUR/USD – Testing the Ceiling | 4H Price Action AnalysisThe Euro has clawed back strength in recent sessions, pushing EUR/USD into a decisive retest of a well-respected resistance zone around 1.13650. This level has held firm in the past, and now price is once again knocking on its door but this time with a clearer bullish structure behind it. Bullish Market Structure: Higher lows and sustained bullish momentum indicate buyers are in control. Key Level in Focus: The 1.13650 area, previously a supply zone, is now being tested with conviction. A breakout here could confirm a major shift. Targets if Broken: 1.14500 – First resistance and prior structural pivot. 1.16000 – Psychological level and next major upside zone. As always, manage risk carefully. Like & Follow for more clean, high-timeframe breakdowns!
Long
by Mrshazee