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U.S. Dollar / Euro

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EUR/USD – Testing the Ceiling | 4H Price Action AnalysisThe Euro has clawed back strength in recent sessions, pushing EUR/USD into a decisive retest of a well-respected resistance zone around 1.13650. This level has held firm in the past, and now price is once again knocking on its door but this time with a clearer bullish structure behind it. Bullish Market Structure: Higher lows and sustained bullish momentum indicate buyers are in control. Key Level in Focus: The 1.13650 area, previously a supply zone, is now being tested with conviction. A breakout here could confirm a major shift. Targets if Broken: 1.14500 – First resistance and prior structural pivot. 1.16000 – Psychological level and next major upside zone. As always, manage risk carefully. Like & Follow for more clean, high-timeframe breakdowns!
Long
by Mrshazee
Crucial Turning Point for EUR/USD – Price Action Outlook from MaThe EUR/USD hourly chart shows the pair currently trading near a key resistance zone around 1.1365, following a gradual upward movement that started from the strong support level at 1.1333. The first red arrow on the chart suggests the possibility of a minor pullback toward the 1.1333 support area before a potential bullish continuation. This scenario indicates a potential buying opportunity if bullish price action confirms support at that level. The second arrow points to a projected upside target near 1.15741, marking the next resistance zone. This level could serve as a take-profit area for buyers or a potential reversal point for the pair. This technical setup highlights a “pullback before breakout” scenario, where watching the price behavior around the 1.1333 level is crucial. A break below this support would invalidate the bullish outlook, while holding above it increases the probability of an upward move toward 1.1574.
Long
by thebear1995
EURUSD: weekly overviewTake FOMC meeting under observation, the US GDP is also a really important news. The indicated levels are determined based on the most reaction points and the assumption of approximately equal distance between the zones. Some of these points can also be confirmed by the mathematical intervals of Murray. You can enter with/without confirmation. IF you want to take confirmation you can use LTF analysis, Spike move confirmation, Trend Strength confrimation and ETC. SL could be placed below the zone or regarding the LTF swings. TP is the next zone or the nearest moving S&R, which are median and borders of the drawn channels. ******************************************************************* Role of different zones: GREEN: Just long trades allowed on them. RED: Just Short trades allowed on them. BLUE: both long and short trades allowed on them. WHITE: No trades allowed on them! just use them as TP points
Long
by AliSignals
EURUSD: Weekly overviewThe indicated levels are determined based on the most reaction points and the assumption of approximately equal distance between the zones. These points can also be confirmed by the mathematical intervals of Murray. After reacting to the following zones, you can enter the trade. Place the stop loss slightly above/below the zone to which the reaction was shown. The profit point is the next zone. The drawn channels and their medians can also be considered as moving support and resistance. I usually use them as target points. * Zones are not disturbed in this analysis. This analysis is valid until the end of the week. ************************************** Important news that could change the direction of the trade: Monday: EURO CPI of April Friday: German GDP ************************************** We all now Trump tries to weaken USD to improve US trade efficiency, but all of these efforts might have reversal effects in short-term movements. Best Regards
Long
by AliSignals
EURUSD tested the Resistance level 1.13700 👀 Possible scenario: The euro fell 0.46% against the U.S. dollar on May 22, as fiscal concerns grew over President Trump’s proposed budget, which could add $4 trillion to the U.S. debt, according to the CBO. Moody’s also downgraded the U.S. credit rating to Aa1, citing rising deficits. Despite ongoing U.S.-China diplomatic talks, the dollar remained under pressure amid weak trade progress. On May 23, markets await U.S. New Home Sales data at 2:30 p.m. UTC. Strong results may push EUR/USD lower, while weak numbers could lift the pair above 1.13660. ✅ Support and Resistance Levels Now, the support level is located at 1.12265. Resistance level is located at 1.13700.
by MaxOnMarkets
EURUSD Under Pressure After Weak Eurozone PMIsEurozone PMIs disappointed, and EURUSD is feeling the negative pressure as a result. After breaking above 1.1275, EURUSD is now trading within the 1.1275–1.1375 range. Despite the weak PMI, shaky U.S. bond markets and a stronger Japanese yen are contributing to a weaker dollar, which is offering some support to EURUSD. The Eurozone composite PMI fell to 49.5 from 50.4, missing expectations of a rise to 50.6. After just four months above 50, the drop back into contraction territory highlights that the Eurozone remains far from recovery. On a positive note, the manufacturing component is starting to show signs of improvement. Following the data and the news that the "big, beautiful bill" passed in the U.S. House, EURUSD is trying to hold the former resistance at 1.1275, which is now acting as support. If this level fails, the next downside target would be 1.1215. On the upside, 1.1375 and 1.1425 remain key resistance levels. While 1.1425 holds greater long-term significance, 1.1375 may cap gains for the remainder of the week.
by ftdsystem
EURUSD WEEKLY PLAN: Bullish Breakout Toward Multi-Year Highs?EURUSD is showing a strong bullish structure after breaking above a key resistance zone. Price is now retesting a former SBR (Support Becomes Resistance) level, with potential for a continued rally toward higher zones. 📌 Scenario Outlook: A retest of the 1.1600–1.1800 area could act as a launchpad. If buyers hold control, the market may aim for targets near 1.2100–1.2300, aligning with previous highs. ⚠️ Monitor for bullish price action confirmation during the retest phase. Break above the 1.20 handle could signal strong momentum into 2025.
by RakyatTrader
Fundamental Market Analysis for May 23, 2025 EURUSDEvent to pay attention today: 17:00 EET. USD- Volume of home sales on the primary market EURUSD: EUR/USD is recovering its recent losses from the previous session and is trading around 1.1310 during Asian hours on Friday. The pair is rising on the back of lower US Treasury yields, which continue to decline after the US 30-year bond yield retreated from 5.15 per cent, the highest in 19 months. US President Donald Trump's ‘One Big Beautiful Bill’ has passed the House of Representatives and is on its way to the Senate, sparking fears of a widening budget deficit in the United States (US). However, EUR/USD lost around 0.50 per cent on Thursday as the US dollar gained as the S&P Global Composite Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for May came in at 52.1, up from April's 50.6. Meanwhile, the manufacturing PMI rose to 52.3 from 50.2 previously, while the services PMI rose to 52.3 from 50.8. Fed Chairman Christopher Waller noted on Thursday that markets are watching fiscal policy. Waller also said that if rates are close to 10%, the economy will be in good shape for H2 and the Fed may be in a position to cut rates later this year. The Financial Times reported that President Trump is pushing the European Union (EU) to cut tariffs or impose more duties. US Trade Representative Greer is set to tell fellow EU Commissioner for Trade and Economic Security, Maroš Šefčovič, that the recent ‘explanatory memorandum’ does not meet US expectations. Trading recommendation: BUY 1.13200, SL 1.13000, TP 1.14200
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Market next move Original Analysis Summary: Price has entered a support area and is expected to bounce. Two possible bullish paths (blue & yellow arrows) suggest a continuation toward the marked target zone. --- Disruption Thesis: Bearish Reversal Setup 1. Overextended Rally Into Resistance The move up into the “support area” is sharp and fast, suggesting it's a liquidity grab. This zone might actually be a supply zone, where smart money is offloading. Disruption Call: Price could stall or reverse sharply from this area due to lack of follow-through volume. --- 2. Volume Profile Weakness Volume peaked earlier in the rally and is now diminishing, which often signals buyer exhaustion. Disruption Call: Fading bullish momentum implies a fakeout, not a breakout. --- 3. False Breakout / Bull Trap The green arrow assumes a bounce, but price may just be hovering to bait longs before dropping. Previous swing highs near 1.1320 may act as a strong rejection point. Disruption Call: A sudden drop below 1.1300, with a new bearish wave back to 1.1250 or lower.
Long
by Gold_Free_Signals
EURUSD – Consolidation below trendline hints at breakout aheadHello traders! EURUSD is currently forming a rather interesting consolidation pattern right below the descending trendline – a level that has rejected price twice in the past. After a mild pullback from the 1.1382 zone, price has quickly recovered and is now hovering around the EMA34 and EMA89. This is an important confluence area and is acting as short-term support around 1.1263. If EURUSD continues to hold above this support and forms sideways accumulation, the probability of a trendline breakout will increase. In that case, the next target will likely be the previous high at 1.1382. U.S. bond yields are fluctuating sharply, and geopolitical tensions – such as trade uncertainty or regional instability – may serve as catalysts that support the euro. Keep an eye on the breakout zone – if price breaks out decisively, it could be a strong confirmation of a new bullish trend!
Long
by Rocky_trade_
EURUSD is moving within the 1.12265 - 1.13700 range👀Possible scenario: The euro rose 0.41% against the U.S. dollar on May 21 as concerns over President Trump's fiscal plans and political infighting weakened investor confidence. A poor 20-year bond auction further pressured the dollar, signaling waning appetite for U.S. debt. Key U.S. data releases on May 22—including Jobless Claims and PMI reports—could impact EUR/USD. Weaker-than-expected figures may boost the euro, while strong results could trigger a pullback toward the 1.13000 level. ✅Support and Resistance Levels Now, the support level is located at 1.12265. Resistance level is located at 1.13700.
by MaxOnMarkets
#AN001: Geopolitical Situations and Forex Impact Hi, I'm Forex Trader Andrea Russo and today I want to talk to you about how the recent geopolitical turmoil is impacting global currency markets. In this week of May 2025, significant events are shaking up the global economic and political balance, with direct repercussions on Forex. Geopolitical Overview: Rising Tensions India-Pakistan Crisis Following the terrorist attack in Pahalgam on April 22, which left 25 Indian tourists dead, relations between India and Pakistan deteriorated rapidly. Artillery exchanges along the Line of Control, diplomatic expulsions and the suspension of the Indus Waters Treaty characterized the following weeks. Although a ceasefire was reached on May 10, the situation remains volatile, with significant impacts on air traffic and regional trade routes. Wikipedia Iran-US Nuclear Stalemate The nuclear talks between Iran and the United States are at a standstill. Tehran refuses to stop enriching uranium and negotiate on its missile program, while Washington insists on these conditions. Iran, under economic pressure from sanctions, may seek support from China and Russia, although these allies face their own geopolitical challenges. Reuters "Golden Dome" and US Trade Policies President Donald Trump has announced the "Golden Dome" project, a $175 billion missile defense system inspired by Israel's Iron Dome. Meanwhile, protectionist US trade policies are generating uncertainty in global markets, with the European Union proposing a "Buy European" strategy to strengthen the bloc's economic autonomy. The Times of India Financial Times FX Impacts: Currency Market Analysis EUR/USD: Downside Pressure The euro is under pressure due to trade tensions with the US and domestic economic uncertainties. Proposals to reform public procurement and European defense initiatives could affect investor sentiment. The ECB has highlighted risks to financial stability arising from these tensions. USD/JPY: Yen Safe Haven Amid global uncertainty, the Japanese yen is strengthening as a safe haven currency. Tensions in the Middle East and US policies are pushing investors towards safer assets, supporting the yen’s appreciation. GBP/USD: Towards a New UK-EU Relationship The UK, under Prime Minister Keir Starmer, is seeking to re-establish closer relations with the European Union, without rejoining the bloc. This pragmatic strategy could reduce economic uncertainty and positively impact sterling in the medium term. USD/CAD: Influence of Oil Prices The Canadian dollar is affected by fluctuations in oil prices, influenced by uncertainties in the Iran-US negotiations and tensions in Ukraine. Canada's dependence on energy exports makes the CAD sensitive to these developments.
Education
by Andrea_Russo_SwipeUP
From a short-term perspective, the bullish trend is expected to The EUR/USD exchange rate continued its upward momentum during the European session and is currently trading near 1.1320. As the US Dollar Index remains under pressure, the EUR/USD rate has gradually climbed. Market sentiment tends to seek alternatives to the US dollar and optimistic expectations of a potential peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine. The euro has performed strongly recently, mainly benefiting from two factors: the market's search for US dollar alternatives and optimistic expectations that the Russia-Ukraine conflict may reach a ceasefire agreement. According to Francesco Pesole, a foreign exchange analyst at ING, the overall European currencies have shown good momentum, with the Swiss franc and Swedish krona ranking among the top in the G10 currency list this week. This reflects that the market is (on one hand) seeking alternatives to the US dollar (Swiss franc), and (on the other hand) may be optimistic about the Russia-Ukraine peace agreement (Swedish krona, Norwegian krona). EUR/USD may continue to test the resistance range of 1.1410-1.1460. If US political uncertainty intensifies or economic data weakens, a breakthrough cannot be ruled out. However, positive US dollar news that may emerge at the G7 summit in Canada may limit the upside of EUR/USD before the end of this week. In the market, there are no absolutes, and neither upward nor downward trends are set in stone. Therefore, the ability to judge the balance between market gains and losses is your key to success. Let money become our loyal servant.
Long
by Ashbur