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USDEUR trade ideas

Bearish drop?The Fiber (EUR/USD) has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the pullback support. Pivot: 1.0531 1st Support: 1.0452 1st Resistance: 1.0598 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
2
EURUSD Smart Money Concepts (SMC) In modern trading, especially within the Smart Money Concepts (SMC) methodology, terms such as Order Blocks, Imbalances, Breaker Blocks, and Inverted FVG (Fair Value Gaps) are widely used. Below is a detailed explanation of each: --- 1. Order Blocks An Order Block is a zone on the chart where large institutional investors have left "traces" of their operations, meaning a place where there was a concentration of buying or selling activity. It is typically the last candle before a significant price movement. Bullish Order Block: The last bearish candle before a strong upward movement. Bearish Order Block: The last bullish candle before a strong downward movement. How to use: Price often returns to order blocks before continuing the trend. Order blocks are used as potential entry or exit zones. Example: If the market is falling and a sharp reversal upwards begins, the last red candle before this rise is the bullish order block. --- 2. Imbalances An Imbalance is a zone on the chart where demand and supply were sharply uneven, creating "gaps" in the market structure. These zones are often referred to as FVG (Fair Value Gaps)—an area between the wicks of the first and last candles of three consecutive candles, where the middle candle does not overlap with the first or third. It is believed that the market tends to fill these gaps, meaning the price often returns to these zones before continuing its movement. How to use: Imbalances can serve as a reference for identifying potential retracement zones. Enter a position when the gap is filled. Example: In an uptrend, if the price rises sharply, creating a gap between the wicks of candles, traders can expect the price to return to this area. --- 3. Breaker Blocks A Breaker Block is a zone that forms when the market breaks a key support or resistance level and begins moving in the opposite direction. They appear where an order block was "broken." Breaker Blocks indicate that the previously dominant trend has been broken, and the market is preparing for a new movement. They can also be used to filter valid order blocks. How to use: After an order block is broken, the former support/resistance zone can serve as an entry point after a retest. Used to identify trend reversals. Example: In an uptrend, if the price breaks below the previous bullish order block, it becomes a bearish breaker block. --- 4. Inverted FVG (Inverted Fair Value Gap) An Inverted FVG is a zone where the market provides excessive liquidity in the opposite direction, creating an opportunity for "smart money" to trap traders in the wrong movement. An Inverted FVG occurs when the market "absorbs" liquidity, making traders believe the trend is continuing, but it is actually a manipulation before a reversal. It is used to analyze price manipulation and find entry points against the "trap." How to use: Enter after the price has covered the FVG zone and confirmed a reversal. Inverted FVGs often appear in zones that collect stop losses. Example: In an uptrend, the price sharply breaks a resistance zone (creating an FVG) but then reverses back and moves downward. --- Conclusion Order Blocks and Breaker Blocks help identify zones where large players may enter the market. Imbalances highlight areas where the price might return to balance demand and supply. Inverted FVGs help traders avoid traps set by large players and enter the market more strategically.
Short
by Tonksovave
EUR/USD (1-Hour Chart) – Three Possible Scenarios I'm here to illustrate three possible scenarios for the future EUR/USD movement on the 1-hour chart. 1. Bearish Continuation Below the Demand Zone (≈1.0460) The price has formed a double bottom near 1.0460, indicating a strong demand level. If the market breaks below this zone, it would suggest that sellers remain in control and the downtrend could continue. 2. Retracement From the Supply Zone (≈1.0630) The supply zone around 1.0630 is acting as a strong resistance level. If the price moves up into this zone and finds significant selling pressure, it may retrace lower. Additionally, the RSI is showing overbought conditions, which supports the idea of a potential pullback from this area. 3. Bullish Breakout Above the Supply Zone (≈1.0630) If the price breaks above the 1.0630 supply zone and shows a clear Change of Character (CHOCH), it could signal a new bullish trend. This would imply that buyers have regained control, pushing the market toward higher levels.
by ClearTradingMind
EURUSD UNTIL FOMC:4H Analysis OANDA:EURUSD EURUSD is in consolidation phase & has been moving in the range highlighted in the chart. Now, until FOMC we can only trade on highs and lows of the ongoing chart pattern BUY LEVEL RECOMMENDATION: 1.04330 & 1.04272 SELL LEVEL RECOMMENDATION: 1.06101 For SL, we should use very small and according to our risk: reward plan. If you guys find my idea helpful or insightful in possible way, then don't forget boost to and comment on the idea. I'll be very interested to see your take on the market.
by Forex_Analysis_Wing
EUR/USD: Poised for a Reversal?On November 23, FOREXCOM:EURUSD broke below the critical 1.05 support zone, reaching a low of 1.0336. However, the pair quickly reversed course and has since been trading in a range between 1.0450 and 1.06. A closer look at the price action suggests the pair has established a strong floor and is awaiting a catalyst for an upward reversal. That catalyst could very well come today, with the anticipated Federal Reserve rate cut and subsequent press conference. Given the accumulated market tension, an accelerated move to the upside seems likely. Key Levels to Watch : Support: Any dips below 1.05 should be viewed as buying opportunities, with the potential for a rebound. Resistance: A target around 1.0750 appears realistic in the current context. Invalidation Level: If the price falls back below 1.04, this bullish scenario would be negated.
Long
by Mihai_Iacob
The rally has begun. Euro longToday, the Fed will cut the rate by 25%, it has already been practically decided and everything will depend on what Mr. Powell says at the press conference. With a 90% probability, it will give the markets the opportunity to grow, i.e. I think everything will start today. However, for growth, we need to collect liquidity at the bottom, so we will probably make a downward movement of 200-300 pips, and then fly into the sky;) Upon reaching the level of 1.07-1.07250, I advise you to close positions, because in the near future I expect parity.
Long
by mikolastd1980
EUR/USD: Trend Analysis.EUR/USD: Trend Analysis. The EUR/USD pair is currently experiencing a sell trend, as confirmed by the Trend Finder adapter. However, the Multi-Kernel Regression analysis indicates a strong buy signal, suggesting a potential upward move. Key Points: - Trend Finder adapter indicates a strong sell trend - Trend lines: Resistance (1.05516), Support (1.04734) - Multi-Kernel Regression indicates a strong buy signal - EUR/USD pair may be preparing for an upward move - Potential targets at higher resistance levels Best Wishes Tom 😎
Long
by Tom_Trades_670
EURUSD Trading Journal -Dec 18 Pre London NY sentiments EURUSD Trading Journal Dec 18 Pre London NY sentiments Price went from expansion to the down side in Asia that continued in London. To consolidate and reverse. Huge consolidation in NY. With buy stops taken yesterday that created equal highs. Price opened in Asia in a discount. Its likely to see price come up to FVG at .79 level, however It might only reach the .70 level/recent buy stop and react to give us a short to the noted FVG 1.04800 level. The event horizon is nested with previous session equal highs, something I am also watching.
Short
by LParnell
EURUSD H4| Falling from 61.8% Fibo?Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 1.0552, which is a pullback resistance close to a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Our take profit will be at 1.0453, a swing low support level. The stop loss will be at 1.0628, a swing high resistance level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
#EURUSD - 18122024I was bullish EURUSD yesterday but it made a new high then came down to level below, before recovering but closing with a bearish candle. Is the highs in? Or is this just a pullback for another leg higher. This IMO, is a tricky question. With yesterday's bearish candle, I do see a move lower. Thus a possible scenario, if I am overall bullish, would be, for price to come down to clear the lows, before buyers come in and bring this higher. 1.0468 is thus a good level to go long off. However, if price continues up from here, I would be wary of a pullback from a resistance above and 1.0516 is such a level. Of course, it can trade to 1.0516, sell down to 1.0468 then rally up to close green.
by FadeMeIfYouCan
EURUSD Summary of Dec 17EURUSD Summary of Dec 17 Price opened in Asia in a premium. Had no strength to rally. Expanded to the down side to rebalanced a FVG from Monday, fell past the .79 retracement level testing the other highlighted FVG before reversing. NY news driver at 8:30 saw price react to the up side to the 50% where it consolidated until after lunch coming back down into a discount. Price has been narrowing its range the last couple days, just seeking FVG from the previous day and previous days equal highs and lows.
by LParnell
EURUSD Summary of Dec 17EURUSD Summary of Dec 17 Price opened in Asia in a premium. Had no strength to rally. Expanded to the down side to rebalanced a FVG from Monday, fell past the .79 retracement level testing the other highlighted FVG before reversing. NY news driver at 8:30 saw price react to the up side to the 50% where it consolidated until after lunch coming back down into a discount. Price has been narrowing its range the last couple days, just seeking FVG from the previous day and previous days equal highs and lows.
by LParnell
EUR/USD 4HThe euro is trading around 1.0496, below 2/8 Murray, below 21 SMA, and within a downtrend channel forming since November 26th. The euro is under selling pressure. Therefore, EUR/USD is likely to continue its fall in the next few hours. The euro has been consolidating since the beginning of November above the psychological level and below 1.0620. This consolidation will continue in the next few days and we could look for opportunities to buy above 1.0526 (21SMA) and sell below 1.0620 (3/8 Murray). In case the euro consolidates below 1.0496, the outlook could be negative and we expect EUR/USD to reach the 1/8 Murray located at 1.0376. This could be a key point and we could expect a technical bounce to occur around this area. Since November 16, the 200 EMA indicator has been giving a positive signal. So, we believe that above the psychological level of 1.0500, the outlook could be positive for the euro. Hence, we expect EUR/USD to reach the 200 EMA around 1.0805. happy Trading!
by CEO-PREMIUM-ANALYSIS