USDEUR trade ideas
EURUSD Tests 200-Hour SMA After 1.1425 RejectionEURUSD is sitting on the 200-hour simple moving average after failing to break the 1.1425 resistance. The implementation and then postponement of the proposed 50% tariffs on Europe added to short-term volatility. Formal trade talks between the EU and US are expected to begin soon.
A green trend channel has now formed, with previously tested key support and resistance levels continuing to play a major role. EURUSD tends to test these key points at the same time with the trendlines. The next major level to watch is 1.1275, which aligns closely with the lower bound of the channel. As long as this level holds, a bullish reaction is possible. To the upside, 1.1375–1.1425 remains the critical resistance zone.
If 1.1275 breaks, downside targets could include 1.1215 in the short term and the broader 1.1050–1.11 zone over the medium term.
EURUSD – Bullish Bias ReconfirmedWe saw the pair pull back yesterday to our 1.12372 level, providing a textbook HRHR entry. The market has since bounced and looks poised for further upside if key levels break:
🎯 HRHR Buys: Already triggered at 1.12372
✅ Safe Buys: Above 1.14149, continuation setup
🛡️ Safest Buys: Above 1.16020, clean breakout targeting next key swing zones
We remain long-biased as long as 1.12372 holds.
EURUSD: Breaks Down : Is 1.11000 the Next Target?OANDA:EURUSD continues to follow its bearish trajectory after rejecting resistance within a clearly defined descending channel. At this key level, price formed a converging triangle pattern and has now broken to the downside, confirming strong selling pressure.
If sellers maintain control at this zone, we could see price fall toward 1.11000, a key support level that aligns well as a short-term target within the current bearish market structure. However, failure to break below this support could invalidate the bearish outlook and signal a potential recovery.
Traders should monitor for bearish confirmation signals, such as weak pullbacks, lower highs, or increasing sell volume before entering short positions.
If you agree with this outlook or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
Eurusd has the potential to Sell (short)Eurusd has the potential to sell all the way down to 1.09134 for a nice swing trade .
we also have a head and shoulder pattern that was formed , and that already broke the neckline of the head and shoulder pattern .
Price decided to go bullish for some time but I think we got a full correction to the upside before the impulsive move back down, which is what I'm expecting but my first Area to target would be 1.110654 . It is a strong Area of interest so I will be expecting price to react from that level before reaching its final target .
EURUSD SellEU has formed a diagonal which is a reversal pattern. We anticipate the a swing bearish move to 0.9 region. On weekly timeframe, the market is still in a corrective phase to complete the last leg of WXYXZ correction. Our first TP for the bearish impulsive move is 1.008. Wave z has 5 impulsive waves, we now on wave 3.
EURUSD played out really nicely I set a sell limit on EURUSD, and it’s performing perfectly. I’m confident it will reach my target before the London open! 🎯
After the buy-side liquidity was swept, the price retraced to take out the previous highs on the buy-side liquidity. I waited until Monday, which was a bank holiday, to place my sell limit. It became active during the Asian session at midnight, and I successfully hit my take profit.
EURUSD is Ready for a Bullish MoveHello Traders
In This Chart EURUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today EURUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (EURUSD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on EURUSD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Market next move Current Analysis Breakdown:
Pair: EUR/USD on a 1-hour timeframe.
Recent Action: Sharp decline with a small bullish reversal candle.
Assumption: A potential bounce or reversal targeting the area marked as "Target."
Volume: Increased during the decline and slightly bullish at the last candle.
Technical Area: The “Target” is set above the current price, implying a bullish move is expected.
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Disrupting the Analysis:
Let’s introduce potential bearish or contrarian scenarios to question the bullish target assumption:
1. False Reversal / Dead Cat Bounce
The small green candle after a strong red volume drop could simply be a temporary retracement or a dead cat bounce—a short-lived recovery before the price resumes falling.
2. Volume Analysis Contradiction
While volume has increased, the spike occurred mostly during red candles (bearish). This indicates strong selling pressure, not accumulation. The green candle’s volume is relatively small, suggesting weak buyer interest.
Long Setup in Play"If price moves toward higher highs before reaching the entry zone, the probability of a successful trade decreases."
🔍 My Trading Approach:
My trading and analysis are primarily based on market liquidity and how price tends to move toward areas where liquidity is pooled.
I use two main concepts in my strategy:
Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) to identify setups and entry zones
Measured Moves (MMs) to define target levels
🎯 Profit-Taking Rule:
I usually secure profits once price has moved at least 1.5 times the initial stop-loss distance in my favor. FOREXCOM:EURUSD
EURUSD - Expecting Bearish Continuation In The Short TermM15 - Clean bearish trend with the price creating series of lower highs, lower lows.
No opposite signs.
Expecting further continuation lower until the two Fibonacci resistance zones hold.
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EUR/USD POTENTIAL TRADE SETUPEUR/USD 30M - As you can see price has recently come to clear an area of Demand, we have since seen price trade us to the upside suggesting enough Demand has been introduced to potential flip the balance.
We will get confirmation of this once we see price break the last protected high within the bearish move that traded price down and into the Demand Zone in the first place, once we have been delivered with that we have means to look to buy.
When delivered with this break in structure I will be looking at the impulsive wave that has broken structure for areas to enter in long on this market. I will be looking for key areas of Demand that have been left as a footprint.
Once we see price trade down and into the area of Demand after breaking the structure this is when I will be looking to get involved in this market with those buys, simply waiting for a penetration and rejection before entering.
Higher levels for EUR/USD?There is no denying that Europe’s shared currency (EUR) is having a strong year against the US dollar (USD) so far, with the EUR/USD pair rising by almost 10%.
Monthly support in play
In one fell swoop, April’s price action made short work of the 50-month simple moving average (SMA) at US$1.0904 and the monthly resistance at US$1.1134. This prompted the unit to challenge monthly resistance at US$1.1457 and subsequently retest US$1.1134 as support.
Arguably, if bulls maintain their position north of the mentioned support and eventually absorb the offers at the current resistance, this could reveal a strong bullish scenario for the pair, targeting resistance between US$1.2028 and US$1.1930.
Daily AB=CD resistance unlikely to draw much selling
Meanwhile, on the daily timeframe, buyers and sellers are squaring off around an ‘alternate’ AB=CD resistance level from US$1.1386 (a 1.272% Fibonacci projection ratio) – a level complemented by a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement ratio from US$1.1383.
Based on monthly flow rebounding from support at US$1.1134, I do not expect the EUR/USD to venture much beyond US$1.1283 on the daily chart: the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement ratio derived from legs A-D (US$1.1065-US$1.1419).
Short-term dip below US$1.13?
Short-term price action on the H1 chart shows the pair rebounded from the US$1.13 handle in recent trading, though overhead resistance between US$1.1358 and US$1.1340 is calling for attention. Additional support to be aware of below US$1.13 resides in the form of a trendline support, extended from the low of US$1.1091, together with support from US$1.1266.
Ultimately, I expect H1 price to respect current resistance and drive through US$1.13 bids towards H1 trendline support mentioned above. Knowing said H1 support aligns with the daily timeframe’s 38.2% Fibonacci retracement ratio, tapping into liquidity south of US$1.13 will likely help drive bigger players to buy.
Support/resistance has now been decisively broken.EUR/USD Technical Analysis – Daily Timeframe Overview
Disclaimer: This content is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not intended as financial advice. Please conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
The EUR/USD pair has recently shown a notable technical development on the daily chart. A key trendline that has previously acted as dynamic support/resistance has now been decisively broken. Following the breakout, the price action has returned to retest this trendline from below—a common behavior that traders often refer to as a "break-and-retest" setup.
Adding further weight to this area is the presence of a breaker block, which is overlapping with the retesting zone. This convergence of technical structures increases the probability of a bearish rejection from this level. Should the market respect this zone as resistance, we can expect a potential downward move targeting the nearest Fair Value Gap (FVG), which has been highlighted on the chart.
However, traders should also consider a contingency scenario. If the FVG fails to act as a price magnet or support zone, further downside pressure could take the pair toward lower levels—specifically, the recent swing lows, which may serve as the next major support area.
This scenario aligns with the current market momentum and structure, but as always, price action confirmation and risk management are crucial.