Will the EUR/USD find support and rally or give up it's run?In this video I go over EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, NVDA & SPX.
With an overall bearish outlook on the U.S. Dollar, I'm watching for support to hold above 1.1200 on the EUR/USD in order to continue the rally.
Although a pullback was expected after an aggressive up move over the span of 3 weeks, this will be interesting with a good amount of economic data set to release beginning on Tuesday.
We'll see if Bulls hold up or if Bears decide to show some strength.
As always, Good Luck & Trade Safe.
USDEUR trade ideas
Is EURUSD Bearish this week?hello traders Ive been on a break from trading for a few months but now I'm back.
Will EURUSD be going up or down this week??
well it seems so Lets dive deep into to the charts.
As you can see this is a clear uptrend but It is now showing a lot of weakness.
As you can see there is a clear divergence and the visible strong pullback, that is what is against bullish setups.
But why do I want to sell??
rejection for shorts but look the pullbacks they are getting weaker every time.
Another thing you have to take a look at is this daily high and low indicator as you can see we have been ranging for 3days and I am now expecting a breakout.
EURUSD Bullish or Bearish Today?As you can see in my chart drawing, EURUSD is going through an uptrend channel. Now it's coming from the channel resistance, so it might be a pullback until the channel bottom.
On the other hand, the euro is gaining fundamental strength against the USD!
Therefore, the trend may persist until this week's NFP. This analysis is based on the current trend and fundamental situation of the market.
This information is not financial advice or any trade signal; it's just for educational purposes, so please do your own analysis before taking any entry on this asset.
Thank you
EURUSD: Growth & Bullish Forecast
The analysis of the EURUSD chart clearly shows us that the pair is finally about to go up due to the rising pressure from the buyers.
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STRONG USD AT ALLGiven the EURUSD trendline breakdown on the monthly timeframe and the completion of the pullback to the trendline, a sharp decline in this pair is not far off.
Everything points to a decline in the EUR and a strengthening of the USD. Buy cautiously or not at all and consider any rally as a selling opportunity!
The next EUR/USD move could pay twice:Forecasted Move:
First, a bullish breakout towards the upper blue levels (around 1.14000–1.14193).
After hitting resistance, a sharp drop is expected.
Pullback (small retracement) near the green trendline.
Then, a bigger bearish move targeting the lower yellow demand zone around 1.11600–1.12225.
Key Levels Marked:
Resistance: 1.14000 – 1.14255
Support: 1.12225 – 1.11600
Timeline:
Major movements are expected between late April and early May (around May 6–8).
Important Detail:
You have drawn two phases — a fast move up (blue zigzag) and then a corrective drop (red zigzag).
Watch out for news events around those dates (you've marked news icons too).
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Summary:
You are expecting a false bullish rally, followed by a major bearish drop after May 6–7 on EUR/USD.
EURUSD: Target Is Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 1.13622 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 1.13967 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
EURUSD 4H Time-frame analysis Let's dive into my EURUSD analysis on the 4-hour timeframe. From what I can see on your chart, here's a more detailed breakdown of potential interpretations:
It looks like I've identified some key horizontal levels. These are often significant areas of interest for traders because they can act as:
Support: Price might find it difficult to fall below these levels, and buying pressure could emerge. The lower horizontal line you've drawn around 1.12059 appears to be a potential support level. Notice how price bounced off this area previously in late March.
Resistance: Conversely, price might struggle to rise above these levels, and selling pressure could take over. The upper yellow highlighted area, with the recent high reaching just above 1.13345, looks like a significant resistance zone. The price has recently tested this level and is currently pulling back.
Recent Price Action:
The sharp upward move in April, culminating at that high, suggests strong buying pressure. However, the immediate pullback indicates that the resistance zone is holding, at least for now.
Potential Scenarios:
Based on what I'm seeing, here are a couple of potential scenarios to consider:
Rejection at Resistance: The current pullback could signify a rejection of the resistance zone. If selling pressure continues, we might see the price move back down towards your identified support level around 1.12059. A break below this support could then open the door for further downside.
Consolidation and Breakout: Alternatively, the price might consolidate within the range defined by your resistance and support levels for a while. A subsequent break above the resistance (the yellow zone) would suggest renewed buying momentum and could lead to further upside. Conversely, a break below the support would reinforce the bearish scenario.
Things to Consider for Further Analysis:
To get a more complete picture, you might want to consider:
Candlestick Patterns: Are there any specific candlestick patterns forming at the resistance level (like a bearish engulfing or a shooting star) that could confirm rejection? Similarly, look for bullish patterns near the support if price revisits that area.
Volume: Analyzing the volume during the recent push to the high and the subsequent pullback could provide clues about the strength of the moves. High volume on the push-up might suggest strong buying interest, while high volume on the pullback could indicate strong selling pressure.
Technical Indicators: Incorporating indicators like Moving Averages, RSI, or MACD could offer additional context and potential confirmation signals. For instance, is the RSI in overbought territory near the resistance? Is the MACD showing signs of bearish divergence?
Fundamental Analysis: Keep an eye on any upcoming economic news or events related to the Euro or the US Dollar that could influence the price action.
Remember, this is just an interpretation based on the snapshot you've provided. Trading involves probabilities, and no analysis is foolproof. It's crucial to manage your risk appropriately.
What are your thoughts on these observations? What was your initial reasoning behind marking these specific levels? I'd be interested to hear more about your perspective!
EURUSD(20250425) Today's AnalysisMarket news:
Federal Reserve-①Hamack: If economic data is clear, the Fed may cut interest rates in June
②Waller: It will take until July to get a clearer understanding of how tariffs affect the economy. If tariffs lead to higher unemployment, interest rate cuts may be initiated. ③The Atlanta Fed GDPNow model predicts that the US GDP growth rate in the first quarter will be -2.5%. ④Kashkari: The frequent announcements from Washington have brought challenges to policymakers and everyone.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
1.1366
Support and resistance levels:
1.1448
1.1417
1.1397
1.1335
1.1315
1.1284
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 1.1397, consider buying, the first target price is 1.1417
If the price breaks through 1.1366, consider selling, the first target price is 1.1335
EURUSD 4h Head and Shoulders 🔍 Technical Analysis – EUR/USD (4H)
🧠 Pattern Identified: Head & Shoulders
This is a classic reversal pattern, often indicating that the prevailing uptrend is weakening and a potential bearish move may follow.
Left Shoulder: Formed around April 17–18.
Head: Sharp push up and reversal around April 22.
Right Shoulder: Forming now, showing a lower high compared to the head.
Neckline: Currently being tested around the 1.1335–1.1340 zone.
🧭 Key Levels
Zone Level Significance
Resistance 1.1450 High before the drop (Head)
Neckline Support 1.1335 Crucial breakout level
Next Support 1.1260 March highs; potential bounce
Target (H&S projection) 1.1200 - 1.1220 If neckline breaks with volume
EUR/USD Slides to 1.1350 Amid USD Strength & ECB Dovish Signals📌 Daily Market Summary: EUR/USD Slides to 1.1350 Amid USD Strength & ECB Dovish Signals
EUR/USD declined toward 1.1350 on Friday as the US Dollar gained strength, driven by easing tensions in the US–China trade standoff. Reports suggest Beijing may suspend additional tariffs on some US goods.
Despite the dip, the euro remains firm against most major currencies except North American ones.
ECB members Holzmann and Rehn highlighted ongoing structural weaknesses in the Eurozone and increased risks of inflation undershooting the 2% target.
Olli Rehn suggested that the current conditions justify a rate cut as early as June.
📊 Technical Outlook
EUR/USD dropped to 1.1350, but the broader trend remains bullish, with the 20-week EMA still pointing higher around 1.0885.
💼 Trading Plan
🟢 BUY ZONE
Entry: 1.12725
Stop Loss: 1.12000
Take Profit: 1.13165
🔴 SELL ZONE
Entry: 1.14775
Stop Loss: 1.15300
Take Profit: 1.14350
📉 Caution: With political news and central bank guidance shaping sentiment, traders should closely monitor reactions at key levels and stick to their risk management rules.
The Day AheadMacro Data to Watch:
US: April Kansas City Fed Services Index – May give insight into regional business sentiment.
UK: April GfK Consumer Confidence – Early read on sentiment post-budget.
March Retail Sales – Important for GBP and rate expectations.
Japan: April Tokyo CPI – Key inflation indicator ahead of BoJ policy.
France: April Business Confidence – Watch for any signs of slowing Eurozone momentum.
Canada: February Retail Sales – Impacts CAD, potential rate path hints.
Central Bank Watch:
BoE’s Greene speaks – May offer clues on UK rate path amid inflation stickiness.
Earnings to Watch (Market Movers):
US: AbbVie, Colgate-Palmolive, HCA Healthcare, Charter Communications, Schlumberger, Centene, LyondellBasell
Focus on healthcare, consumer staples, and energy names for sector sentiment.
Asia: Ping An Insurance, Keyence, Advantest – Key bellwethers for China and Japan.
This lineup could drive volatility across FX (GBP, JPY, CAD), equity indices, and sector ETFs. Watch sentiment shifts based on inflation data and earnings surprises.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
EURUSD → Accumulation of liquidity before continued growthFX:EURUSD currency pair is forming a trading range within a global and local uptrend. Before continuing its growth, the market may form a false breakout.
Against the backdrop of the falling dollar, the euro is strengthening and has gained 13% over the past four months, which is a fairly significant growth indicator for the currency pair. Fundamentally, the US is trying to achieve a rapid reduction in interest rates, which may continue to support the euro...
Technically, the price is consolidating against the backdrop of a global and local uptrend. A correction is forming towards the support zone, where there is a fairly large pool of liquidity...
Resistance levels: 1.1392, 1.1439, 1.1481
Support levels: 1.130, 1.127
The price is heading towards support, namely, the market is interested in liquidity below 1.13 - 1.127, which must be tested in order to build up potential before the bullish trend possibly continues.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Trump Reassures on Trade and FedThe EUR/USD traded near 1.1350 on Friday, while the US Dollar Index rose above 99.5, recovering from earlier losses. The dollar strengthened after President Trump reassured markets that trade talks with China would continue, despite Beijing’s denials. Optimism also grew on reported progress with Japan and South Korea. Earlier, Treasury Secretary Bessent said US-China tariffs must be reduced significantly for real progress, increasing hopes for a deal. Trump also eased monetary policy concerns by stating he never planned to remove Fed Chair Powell. Although Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack mentioned a rate cut in June if needed, renewed trade optimism lifted the dollar.
Key resistance is at 1.1460, followed by 1.1580 and 1.1680. Support lies at 1.1260, then 1.1200 and 1.1150.