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EURUSD Trading Journal March 19-study notesEURUSD Trading Journal March 19 Study notes-white box can be better seen ICT 2022 model on smaller timeframes I am happy to see price deliver lower prices. Price has been in a premium in all charts mainly the daily range and previous day. I documented yesterday I suspected for price to deliver lower prices and yet I actually traded a long. Price consolidated from 14:00 to 20:00 Asia expands 22:40 candle price takes minor buy side creates a FVG 23:05 candle comes up to test the FVG 23:10 starts the 4 candle formation 23:55 entry to the targets below the noted 50 level ICT model 2022 signature first target FVG small retracement at 3:25 second target next FVG and clean equal lows this is a great price delivery with clear targets and places to take partials. Examining 1 to 3 timeframe for identifying ICT 2022 HTF for identifying the retracements and small consolidations to trust that price will continue to draw to inefficiencies Remember the importance of algo price delivery. I desired to take this trade in Asia to the first target 50 level and FVG after cross referencing DXY and GBP, however after a couple days of solid good trades I don't want to over trade. Great day to study and further pattern recognize. In future on days like today I can lower my risk and back test that way as well.
by LeanLena
The Day Ahead - Fed's and BoJ Rate Decisions to drive volatilityWednesday March 19 Data: US January total net TIC flows, Japan January capacity utilisation, Eurozone Q4 labour costs, New Zealand Q4 GDP Central banks: Fed’s decision, BoJ’s decision, ECB’s Villeroy, Centeno, Guindos and Elderson speak Earnings: Vonovia, Tencent, Ping An Insurance, General Mills This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
EUR/USD Bullish Trade Setup – Key Levels & Analysis EUR/USD Analysis (1H Chart) 📍 Entry Point: 1.08981 🟢 📉 Stop Loss: 1.08611 ❌ 🎯 Take Profit Levels: ▪️ TP1: 1.09245 ✅ ▪️ TP2: 1.09550 ✅ ▪️ Final Target: 1.09951 🎯 📊 Market Overview: 🔸 Price broke a trendline before entry. 📈 🔸 Setup favors a bullish move. 🚀 🔸 Risk-to-reward ratio looks favorable. ⚖️ ⚠️ Watch for: 🔹 Further retracement risks. 🔄 🔹 Confirmation of bullish momentum before entry. 📊 🔥 Conclusion: If price holds above entry and gains momentum, TP levels could be hit. If it breaks below the stop loss, the setup is invalid. 🚦
Long
by Jameshead007
Trading Plan for the Day (March 18) | EUR/USDMarket Overview: The EUR/USD pair is showing an upward impulse followed by a downward correction. With a higher probability of continued upward movement, the focus will be on identifying high-quality trade setups to capitalize on this idea. 🎯 Key Zones for Long Positions: IDM (Initial Drive Momentum): A critical support zone where price may bounce or consolidate. If the price breaks IDM with a full-bodied candle, the path to IDM OB (Order Block) opens up. IDM OB (Order Block): A strong demand zone that could act as a target for long trades. Manipulation within Order Flow (OF): Watch for price action around the ascending order flow zone. If liquidity builds before IDM and gets swept, long positions can be considered at these levels. 📉 Alternative Scenario (Bearish Bias): If the price drops deeper, it may target the ascending order flow zone located below PDL (Point of Demand Level). This scenario suggests a potential retest of lower support zones before any upward continuation. 📊 Trading Plan: Primary Focus: Monitor the interaction with IDM liquidity. Breakout above IDM: Look for long opportunities targeting IDM OB. Liquidity Build-Up: If price consolidates and sweeps liquidity before IDM, consider long entries at these levels. Secondary Focus: If the price falls deeper into the ascending order flow, wait for confirmation of a reversal or consolidation before entering long trades. ⚠️ Risk Management: Stop-loss should be placed just below the nearest key level to minimize risk. Position size should ensure risk does not exceed 1% of the trading capital . 🎯 Note: The market is dynamic, and the current structure may evolve. I will adapt to what the chart shows and focus on high-probability setups. 📢 Wishing everyone a profitable trading day!
by GlebFX_
EUR/USD Bulls in Control, But Can They Hold the Line?Alright, fam, let’s break this down. EUR/USD has been on a strong bullish run, pushing up to key weekly resistance at 1.0940. We’ve had a clean breakout of structure, with price consistently respecting the 21 EMA and staying above the 200-day moving average. Bulls have been in full control, but now we’re at a level where we need to watch closely—are we about to see a breakout continuation or a reversal? Right now, I’m watching 1.0940 - 1.0950 very closely. If price rejects this level with a strong bearish engulfing candle or wick rejections, we could see a pullback back to the 1.0710 level, possibly even lower to 1.0523. However, if buyers break and hold above 1.0950, then we’re looking at potential continuation toward 1.10+ in the coming days. 📌 Potential Trade Setup: SHORT if we reject 1.0940 with bearish confirmation; TP1: 1.0710, TP2: 1.0523. LONG if we break & close above 1.0950; TP1: 1.10+ 👀 Keep your eyes peeled, manage risk, and let’s see what price does next!
by SheenaL
EURUSD Moved too Far too FastEURUSD fell from its recent high near 1.0950 as the US Dollar regained strength ahead of the Fed’s expected decision to hold rates steady. All eyes are on Germany’s upcoming debt restructuring vote—which could boost growth and employment—and on US-Russia peace talks, adding to market uncertainty amid looming tariff threats. Technically, the pair remains above its 1.0950 support and resistance, but its momentum is significantly overbought. A pullback to the lower channel line may present a buying opportunity. Trend: LSMA is moving higher this week but is not valid until close on Friday Momentum: Bullish but Overbought Japanese Candles: Last week's Shooting Star was unconfirmed and failing this week. Chart Pattern: Bullish Channel but very vertical. Looking for a pullback. Support and Resistance: 1.0900 is broken resistance so far this week. Fundamentals: Eurozone CPI and Fed this week, but both are overshadowed by Germany's raising spending and the U.S. trade war. Trade: None Stop: None
by positionforex
EUR/USD TRADE PLANS🔥 BUY TRADE – HIGH-PROBABILITY LONG SETUP 🔹 Buy Limit: 1.0870 - 1.0850 (Institutional Order Block + Liquidity Grab Zone) 🔹 Deep Buy Limit: 1.0830 - 1.0800 (Final Stop-Hunt Zone Before Reversal) 🔹 Extreme Buy Zone: 1.0750 - 1.0730 (Final Smart Money Accumulation) ✅ Stop Loss (SL): Below 1.0700 (Avoid stop hunts) ✅ Take Profit (TP1): 1.0930 (First reaction zone) ✅ Take Profit (TP2): 1.0980 (Key liquidity target) ✅ Take Profit (TP3): 1.1000 - 1.1020 (Full move) 🎯 Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:3 minimum, ideally 1:4+ 🎯 Confidence Level: ✅✅✅✅✅ (90%+) – High-probability trade 📌 🔎 REASON FOR ENTRY: ✔ Strong bullish trend continuation – No structural break against bulls. ✔ Institutional demand aligns with Fibonacci & liquidity sweeps. ✔ Price could retrace to key Smart Money accumulation zones before moving higher. ✔ Final stop-hunt likely at 1.0800 before further upside. 🔥 SELL TRADE – HIGH-CONVICTION SHORT SETUP (ONLY IF REVERSAL CONFIRMS) 🔹 Sell Limit: 1.1000 - 1.1020 (Major liquidity pool + psychological level) 🔹 Extreme Sell Zone: 1.1050 - 1.1080 (Final liquidity sweep before major reversal) ✅ Stop Loss (SL): Above 1.1100 (Avoid stop hunts) ✅ Take Profit (TP1): 1.0950 (First reaction zone) ✅ Take Profit (TP2): 1.0900 (Key demand zone) ✅ Take Profit (TP3): 1.0850 - 1.0830 (Full move) 🎯 Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:3 minimum, ideally 1:4+ 🎯 Confidence Level: ✅✅✅✅ (80-90%) – Only valid if rejection occurs. 📌 🔎 REASON FOR ENTRY: ✔ Liquidity Grab Above 1.1000 Possible – Institutions may engineer stop-hunts. ✔ Bearish Divergence & Exhaustion Needed – Short setup only valid if confirmed. ✔ Volume Spike at Resistance = Institutional Selling Signal. ✔ Shorts are ONLY valid if price rejects from 1.1000+ with strong bearish confirmation. 📌 TRADE VALIDITY & INVALIDATION CONDITIONS ✅ 🔹 VALID FOR: ✔ BUY TRADE: 2-3 days (H4-based setup). ✔ SELL TRADE: 24 hours (H1-based setup, ONLY IF REJECTION OCCURS). 🚫 🔹 DISREGARD TRADE IF: ❌ BUY: Stop Loss at 1.0700 is hit → Trade is invalid. ❌ SELL: Stop Loss at 1.1100 is hit OR price breaks above 1.1020 and holds. ❌ Structure shifts (Break of key level = invalid setup). ❌ Major news event disrupts price action. 🔥 TRADE PLAN READY – EXECUTION WITH SMART MONEY PRECISION! 🚀 📌 NOTE: BUY setup remains priority unless a confirmed rejection occurs at 1.1000. SELL trade is only valid with bearish exhaustion signs & institutional selling pressure.
by jibkhan111