EUR/USD SHORT IDEAon the daily timeframe the price continues to form lower lows and lower highs. indicating that the trend is going down, and now the price has entered the discount price area and is experiencing rejection
then on the 4H timeframe we can see in the picture, the price is accumulating and there is a fakeout upwards and continues to decline until the breakdown downwards, the price will likely continue to decline
USDEUR trade ideas
EUR/USD – Wave 3 in Play After Dominant Break | Elliott Wave + A📌 Overview:
EUR/USD is showing a strong bullish continuation setup following a clean Wave 1-2 formation, confirmed by both structure and momentum. A dominant trendline break, retest at support, and bullish signals from the Awesome Oscillator (AO) reinforce this high-probability buy scenario.
🧠 Elliott Wave Count:
Wave 1: Strong impulsive move up with solid structure.
Wave 2: Healthy correction into the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement zone.
Wave 3: Now initiating, expected to be the strongest leg.
🔍 Confluence Factors:
✅ Dominant Break: Price broke a descending trendline from Wave 1’s high, then retested it successfully at the green zone.
✅ 1.11813 marked as key SNR (Support & Resistance) — price is holding above it post-break.
✅ Green highlighted area = ideal buying zone aligned with:
Demand zone
Fibonacci golden zone
Structure support
✅ Awesome Oscillator (AO):
Bullish divergence between Wave 1 and Wave 2
AO histogram flipped back green = early momentum confirmation
💼 Trade Plan:
Buy Entry: Green zone (post-dominant break + SNR support)
Stop Loss: Below green zone / invalidation of structure
Take Profit 1: 1.618 – 1.88 Fib extension → 1.1216 – 1.1226
Take Profit 2: 2.618 – 2.88 Fib extension → 1.1241 – 1.1258
🎯 Strategy Notes:
Take partial profits at TP1 to reduce risk.
Let the remainder of the position run to TP2 for potential extended Wave 3.
Monitor AO and candle behavior near TP1 — possible Wave 4 may form afterward.
📈 Layered confirmation = high confidence. Trade the confluence, not the emotion.
#EURUSD #ElliottWave #Wave3 #AO #ForexStrategy #Fibonacci #StructureBreak #SupportResistance #TechnicalAnalysis
EUR/USD Bearish Trend Continues DevelopmentThe EUR/USD sell-off took a big step forward on Monday. Before that, we had a break of a descending triangle as sellers finally took out the Fibonacci level at 1.1275. But sellers weren't able to make much ground below 1.1200 last week and the breakdown remained short-lived until sellers took control on Monday. As I wrote in the post on Monday, chasing the pair lower after such a strong move seemed dangerous, and given the prior support at 1.1200 or even around the 1.1275 level, there were two areas of interest for lower-highs.
Given the pullback in USD on Tuesday, EUR/USD rallied all the way from a support test at 1.1100 up to re-test that resistance zone around 1.1275. But, notably, bears came in to defend a lower-high, keeping price below the 1.1293 level that marked the swing high on Friday.
Sellers have taken another step forward today to drive prices back-below the 1.1200 handle and the pair remains in the spotlight for USD-strength scenarios as we go into a really big batch of data tomorrow. The U.S. takes centerstage with retail sales, PPI and a speech from Chair Powell, but there's also some European drivers on the calendar before that.
In EUR/USD bears need to hold resistance below 1.1275 to retain control of the trend, and for next support 1.1100 seems obvious with the 1.1000 and 1.0943 levels below that. - js
EUR/USD suggesting a bullish outlookKey Elements in the Chart:
1. Chart Type:
Candlestick chart showing the EUR/USD currency pair.
Timeframe is 2 hours per candlestick.
2. Indicators:
Supertrend indicator: Shows buy and sell signals based on trend direction.
Green means bullish trend (buy signal).
Red means bearish trend (sell signal).
3. Annotations:
Trendline: A diagonal blue line indicating past support during an uptrend.
Support Level: A horizontal zone marked near the bottom, where price has previously bounced (around 1.1113).
Red Oval: Highlights a consolidation or range-bound area with choppy movement.
Buy/Sell Labels: Indicators of possible entry points provided by the system.
4. Trade Setup:
Entry Zone: Around the 1.1189 level (current price).
Target Zone: Near 1.1432.
Stop-Loss/Support: Close to 1.1113.
Projected Move: Illustrated with an arrow pointing upward from the entry zone to the target zone, suggesting a bullish outlook.
This chart presents a bullish trade idea on EUR/USD with a favorable risk/reward ratio. The trade is based on a support bounce, a buy signal from the Supertrend indicator, and a technical structure suggesting a potential upward movement toward the 1.1432 target leve
EURUSD: Strong Bearish Sentiment! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 1.12030 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
EURUSD May 13 Trade ExecutedEURUSD
May 13
Trade Executed
Premarket Analysis & Narrative logic
*Friday Price Asia swings low to sell side. London retraces Thursdays delivery. NY session retraces to sells off.
*I suspected for Sundays delivery to take the equal lows and a deeper sell off
*Sunday delivery to Asia price retraces the previous range to 50% and consolidates
Expected a expansion cycle to occur-time to look for the sell off set up
*Admittedly these consolidation ranges burn me, I go in too early or too late, too eager.
*Cross reference GBP it did not take its key lows tipping its hand thats where GBP would go
*DXY consolidated in the top side of FVG tipping its hand to seek higher prices
Asia
Prices retraces in the .618 range appears to be breaking down coming into London.
2 macro price swings up-judus swing
2:30 creates a swing low and takes the minor buy side equal highs
2:31 energetic displacement candle-good sign
2:35 creates a FVG and breaks the swing low
2:37 is model 2022 entry but Im not in a Macro so I waited for more info
2:51 enter into a first presented FVG candle 1:56
Price knocked me out at my TP-equal lows
First target equal lows also 1 standard deviation
I saw the candles at 3:15 and felt it would run to the 2 standard deviation but my balls are not big enough yet when it drops like that. It basically scared me!
WOW! great delivery. Great analysis and cross reference of DXY and GBP to support me.
What I learned
Trust your morning analysis and stay out of the noise-minute charts. The minute candles really mess with me as my emotions get jared and put doubt in my head.
Im pressing DEMO buttons!
I was cautious and almost did not take this trade, due to selling in a discount logic.
Very happy with this trade.
Holding for second deviation when I saw the candle formation was a retracement is a take away.
EURUSD Daily analysis $$$OANDA:EURUSD 1H : Bullish MSS + OB + IMB 15m : Bullish BOS + OB + IMB
One hour after taking the ssl and forming the mss, it has become bullish
15: After the formation of the bos ob, I think the market will turn around and react to this ob, or if this ob breaks, I will look for confirmation to sell in the formed bearish zone until the one-hour ob
EURUSD is moving within the 1.10850 - 1.12590 range👉🏼 Possible scenario:
The euro (EUR) climbed 0.96% to 1.1185 against the U.S. dollar (USD) on May 13, boosted by weaker U.S. inflation data that strengthened expectations of a more dovish Federal Reserve. Easing trade tensions further pressured the dollar, which saw its steepest decline in three weeks.
While analysts anticipate some short-term strength in the USD, lingering policy uncertainty in the U.S. limits prospects for a full recovery. With no major economic releases on May 14, EURUSD is likely to maintain its current trajectory.
✅ Support and Resistance Levels
Now, the support level is located at 1.10850.
Resistance levels are now located at 1.12590 and 1.13700.
EUR/USD Technical Analysis.The chart you shared shows the EUR/USD pair on a 1-hour timeframe. Here are the key elements:
1. Price Levels:
Current price: Approximately 1.12464
Resistance zone: Around 1.13021 (marked as the target)
Support zone: Between 1.11830 and 1.12178
2. Technical Analysis:
A strong bullish move broke above the support zone (previous resistance), indicating potential upward momentum.
A consolidation pattern occurred before the breakout, marked by a small accumulation zone (highlighted in orange).
The chart shows a bullish target around the 1.13021 level, suggesting further upward movement.
3. Trade Idea:
Long Position: Enter near the support zone (1.11830 - 1.12178) after a confirmed retest.
Target: Around 1.13021
Stop Loss: Below the support at approximately 1.11826
This setup assumes bullish momentum continuation. Would you like insights on potential risk management or alternative scenarios?
EURUSD May 14 Trade Executed EURUSD
May 14 Trade Executed
Premarket Analysis
*Parent range Discount
*Previous range Premium
*Narrative expansion cycle to continue
*Asia could consolidate and expand to buy side
NY could be the sell side
*No news can lead to choppy gross price action, low resistance is FVG form
Bull ideas
Price rally's for the equal highs
completes rebalancing of Mondays FVG
HTF price gravitates seeking higher prices to the 50 level
Price refusal to retrace and held in the top of the FVG it was rebalancing, indicated Price would seek higher prices.
NWOG and Event Horizon as magnets for a buy with DXY to the sell side
3 London Macro Trade Logic
*Asia did consolidate taking minor buy side at 0:00.
*2 Macro Price takes equal lows swings up weaving in and out of MIG, when it came back up and after cross pair analysis of DXY/GBP my buy was in play
*3:00 entered the trade
*10 pip stop loss, however not deep enough to
weather the 14 pip it dipped to then only swing back up.
I only make one trade a day as a boundary. So when I got stopped out that is it.
I am very happy to be on the right side of the market with my target hit. With or without me I lost in money but gained in trust!
Great delivery!
What can I learn
Model 2022 formed
2:57 candle hit the FVG at 2:10 this should have been your entry
I hesitated at 2:57 due to 2 bad consolidation trades yesterday.
3:02 was my entry candle higher price that meant a 10 pip stop loss
Euro H4 | Rising into an overlap resistanceThe Euro (EUR/USD) is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 1.1263 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 1.1395 which is a level that sits above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and a multi-swing-high resistance.
Take profit is at 1.1081 which is an overlap support that aligns close the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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The Day AheadKey Data Releases
Japan April PPI: Watch for inflation trends in producer prices — relevant for JPY traders and Japanese equity markets.
Canada March Building Permits: Can impact CAD and real estate-related stocks.
Central Bank Speakers (Market-Sensitive)
Fed: Waller, Jefferson, Daly — could impact USD, Treasuries, and risk sentiment depending on rate outlook comments.
ECB: Nagel, Holzmann — eurozone rate policy cues; relevant for EUR and European bond markets.
BoE: Breeden — any hint on UK rate path may move GBP and UK gilts.
Earnings to Watch (Equity & Sector Impact)
Tencent: Major for tech and Chinese markets; relevant for sentiment in large-cap growth and Asian markets.
Cisco: A key read on enterprise IT demand; can affect tech sector sentiment in US markets.
Sony: Gaming and entertainment sectors; may influence JPY and global consumer discretionary names.
E.ON: Utility sector insight; relevant for European defensives and energy transition plays.
Coreweave: Hot AI infrastructure name — of interest to traders focused on AI-linked tech momentum.
RENK: Defense and mobility systems — could impact European defense names.
Burberry: Luxury sector health and China demand barometer; impacts fashion/luxury retail.
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