EURUSD Holds Structure Within Ascending Channel – Is 1.1400 NextOANDA:EURUSD is still trading within an ascending channel that has been well maintained since mid-May. After completing a corrective move toward the confluence area around 1.1258 – where the bottom of the ascending channel and a horizontal support zone intersect – price has bounced back with clear buying strength. The continued respect of the lower boundary suggests that the trend structure remains intact, and buyers are cautiously maintaining control of the market.
The recent low can be viewed as a potential demand zone, as price reacted quickly and formed a recovery candle pattern near the trendline. With the ascending channel still intact, the preferred scenario is a continued move toward the mid-line of the channel around the 1.1400 area – which is also the nearest technical target. Buyers appear to be regaining control, but a clear confirmation through price action remains a key factor before entering any position.
Traders should monitor for bullish confirmation signals, such as bullish engulfing, pin bar, or marubozu candles accompanied by strong volume, as these could serve as the initial confirmation for long entries. Conversely, if price breaks below this support zone and falls out of the ascending channel, the short-term outlook should be reassessed with caution.
This is a personal view based on price action and technical analysis. It is not financial advice. Always adhere to risk management in every trading decision.
USDEUR trade ideas
EURUSD COT and Liquidity AnalysisHey what up traders welcome to the COT data and Liquidity report. It's always good to go with those who move the market here is what I see in their cards. I share my COT - order flow views every weekend.
🎯 Non Commercials closed longs and added shorts.It still seems to me like EUR dropping lower but it will have to take liquidity levels above.
📍Please be aware that institutions report data to the SEC on Tuesdays and data are reported on Fridays - so again we as retail traders have disadvantage, but there is possibility to read between the lines. Remember in the report is what they want you to see, that's why mostly price reverse on Wednesday after the report so their cards are hidden as long as possible. However if the trend is running you can read it and use for your advantage.
💊 Tip
if the level has confluence with the high volume on COT it can be strong support / Resistance.
👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
Analysis done on the Tradenation Charts
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
"Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own."
— David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
Skeptic | Watchlist #1 - May 27, 2025: XAG/USD, EUR/USD, USD/JPYHey everyone, Skeptic here! Starting today, I’m kicking off a daily watchlist to share the setups I’m eyeing! 😎 These are the pairs I’m personally trading or watching for trigger activations. Feel free to create a dedicated section in your TradingView called “ Skeptic ” and plug in this watchlist with the triggers I provide. Then, based on your own strategy, jump into trades at those key levels if they align with your plan. My watchlist format will include a screenshot of the 4H or 1H timeframe with long/short triggers marked on the chart. If needed, I’ll add quick explanations or tips, but I’m keeping it short, sharp, and to the point to maximize your value. The goal? Help you blend these setups with your own strategy without overloading you with fluff. Let’s dive into today’s Daily Forex Watchlist!
👀XAG/USD
Long Trigger : 33.68855,
Short Trigger : 31.91991.
👀EUR/USD
Long Trigger : 1.14183,
Short Trigger : 1.12663.
👀USD/JPY
Long Trigger : 144.125,
Short Trigger : 142.218.
💬 Let’s Chat!
If this watchlist sparked some ideas, give it a quick boost—it means a ton! 😊 Thanks for joining me— let’s grow together! ✌️
EURUSD I Weekly CLS, Daily CLS I Model 2Hey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument
If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS range, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model.
If you haven't followed me yet, start now.
My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution.
🧩 What is CLS?
CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets.
✅ Understanding the behaviour of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits.
🛡️ Models 1 and 2:
From my posts, you can learn two core execution models.
They are the backbone of how I trade and how my students are trained.
📍 Model 1
is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range.
📍 Model 2
occurs in the specific market sequence when CLS smart money needs to re-accumulate more positions, and we are looking to find a key level around 61.8 fib retracement and target the opposing side of the range.
👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
⚔️ Listen Carefully:
Analysis is not trading. Right now, this platform is full of gurus" trying to sell you dreams based on analysis with arrows while they don't even have the skill to trade themselves.
If you’re ever thinking about buying a Trading Course or Signals from anyone. Always demand a verified track record. It takes less than five minutes to connect 3rd third-party verification tool and link to the widget to his signature.
"Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own."
— David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
bullish on EurUsdstructure is key fundamentals when you are trading.
EU, is super bullish- however, we found a nice opportunity to take this buy. price broke structure at 1.13700 on H4 TF, we wait for price to come back down to key level at 1.13321 to take the buy.
target TP#1 1.14900
targetTP#2 1.15730
EURUSD H4 | Bearish Drop Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is currently at our sell entry at 1.1397 (Bearish OB)
Our take profit will be at 1.1342, a pullback support.
The stop loss will be placed at 1.1457, above the 161.8% Fibo extension.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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Technical Analysis for EUR/USD (4-Hour Chart)The EUR/USD pair is currently displaying a strong bullish structure, characterized by a sequence of Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL). Price action has been respecting the ascending trendline, which reinforces the ongoing upward momentum.
A Buy Stop order is placed at 1.14234, just above a recent resistance level, anticipating a breakout continuation. The Stop Loss (SL) is set at 1.13651, safely below the most recent higher low, providing a cushion against false breakouts.
Two Take Profit (TP) levels are marked:
TP1: 1.1482, aligning with a key resistance zone from previous structure.
TP2: 1.1540, which extends into a zone of untested highs, serving as an optimistic target in case of strong bullish momentum.
The RSI (14) currently reads 64.07, approaching the overbought threshold of 70. This suggests bullish strength, although traders should monitor for potential divergence or exhaustion signs if price nears the TP levels.
With a lot size of 0.03 and an equity of $10,000, this trade maintains a conservative risk exposure, suitable for trend continuation setups.
EUR/USD remains bullish in the short-term. A break above 1.14234 could open the door to further gains toward 1.1482 and 1.1540, provided the trendline holds and RSI doesn't show significant bearish divergence. Maintain tight risk management and monitor price reaction at key levels.
Deciphering EURUSD —Highest Level Since 2018 (1.40)This was a hard chart, I couldn't quite put my finger on it. I had to check multiple timeframes and several indicators, it was all mixed, plus, I had the geopolitical landscape in mind which made it even harder. All is clear after looking at the monthly timeframe. The weekly and daily MACD were also of help. MA200 revealed the trend. The RSI as well.
Here is the conclusion: The Euro is going to rally against the dollar. Next long-term target is 1.40 as shown on the chart. There will be a strong rise on this pair.
Current monthly candle is quite revealing, this month will close ultra-strong, super bullish signal. Four months closing green. Rising volume.
I don't know how you trade this stuff but the trend is up. Betting with the trend can increase positive results. EURUSD is going up. Up, up, up, up, up, up, up.
Namaste.
double topHope yall like my chart. i put hundreds of seconds making this chart just so yall can make some money. now to explain the chart. there is a double top on the left high, an inverse h/s on the neckline, and predictably it will probably try to form another double top on the right high but obviously it all depends on the news. could just continue but the set up is double top.
EUR-USD Local Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-USD made a retest
Of the key horizontal
Support level of 1.1369
And we are already seeing
A bullish rebound so we will
Be expecting a further
Bullish move up
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EUR/USD Approaches Major Supply Zone – Reversal Imminent?EUR/USD is testing a key supply zone near 1.1380 – 1.1443 – a historical level where price has previously reversed sharply.
With price stalling at this resistance, traders should prepare for potential downside opportunities if rejection confirms.
Key Levels:
Resistance/Supply Zone: 1.1380 – 1.1443
First Target Zone: 1.0902
Major Demand/Buy Zone: 1.0290 (highlighted in orange with visible volume support)
Bearish Confluence:
Repeated rejection at this price range in the past
Clean demand imbalances below (price may rebalance)
Psychological resistance around 1.1400
Potential bearish divergence forming on RSI/H4 MACD (not shown)
Trade Idea:
Looking to short near the top of the supply zone with stops above 1.1450.
Targeting 1.0902 first, and deeper drop to 1.0290 if momentum confirms.
Invalidation:
Strong breakout above 1.1450 with volume and bullish continuation.
Questions for the Community:
Do you see this as a double-top formation?
Are you bullish or bearish on EUR/USD going into June?
#EURUSD #ForexAnalysis #SmartMoney #SupplyAndDemand #PriceAction #LuxAlgo #SwingTrade #ReversalSetup #TradingView #FXStrategy
#AN002 Latest World News and Forex Impact
Hello, I'm Forex Trader Andrea Russo and today I want to talk about how recent global geopolitical tensions are radically changing the international currency balance.
In Forex, every crisis is a map of opportunities, but only those who analyze the global context can truly understand where capital will move. In this article, we analyze the main events of the week and reflect on how they could affect currencies in the coming days.
🇮🇳🇵🇰 India and Pakistan: risk of escalation across the border
After a terrorist attack in Kashmir that caused 26 civilian casualties, India launched “Operation Sindoor” targeting extremist groups across the border. Pakistan responded militarily with “Operation Bunyan-un-Marsoos”. Both countries used drones and cruise missiles.
Despite a ceasefire declared on May 10, the truce is fragile. The risk of a tactical nuclear crisis is real today.
🔍 Forex Impact: Strong pressure on the Indian rupee (USD/INR up) and increased demand for safe haven currencies such as CHF and JPY.
🇵🇸🇮🇱 Israel-Gaza: urban warfare resumes
Israeli operations in the Gaza Strip have intensified, aiming for complete control of the area. Hundreds of civilian casualties have been reported. Italy and other members of the Madrid+ Group are calling for a ceasefire, proposing an Arab plan for reconstruction.
🔍 Forex Impact: In the acute phase, gold (XAU/USD) and the US dollar are strengthening. The NIS (Israeli shekel) is showing signs of weakness, especially if the conflict extends to Lebanon or Syria.
🇺🇦🇷🇺 Ukraine-Russia: is a glimmer of hope opening up again?
Donald Trump spoke by phone with Vladimir Putin and other international leaders, including Giorgia Meloni, proposing the Vatican as a venue for new negotiations. Although the war continues mainly in Zaporizhzhia and the eastern region, diplomacy is back on the table.
🔍 Forex Impact: If the talks materialize, the EUR/USD could strengthen. If not, instability will further favor safe-haven currencies and weakness of the euro.
🇧🇫 Burkina Faso: the forgotten war
The jihadist group JNIM has carried out coordinated attacks in several cities in the north of the country, causing dozens of deaths and temporarily conquering the city of Djibo. The humanitarian crisis is worsening and the Sahel region remains among the most unstable in the world.
🔍 Forex Impact: Direct impacts marginal, but emerging African currencies continue to suffer from systemic instability and capital flight.
🇺🇸🇨🇳 US and China: new economic frictions
The second Trump administration has imposed new duties on Chinese products, exacerbating trade relations. The European Union, meanwhile, is seeking rebalancing by strengthening ties with Beijing. The global context is once again multipolar.
🔍 Impact on Forex: USD still strong in the short term, but growing tensions with China could weaken the USD/CNH and strengthen the CNY if Beijing responds with targeted monetary stimulus.
✝️ Vatican and new spiritual diplomacy
The new Pope, Leo XIV, is prioritizing migration and poverty. The Vatican proposes itself as a neutral venue for peace mediations, as in the Ukraine-Russia case. The Church returns to being a geopolitical actor.
🔍 Impact on Forex: Symbolic but relevant: the idea of Rome as a diplomatic center strengthens the perceived stability of the euro area.
📉 Italian GDP: growth slows
According to ISTAT, Italian GDP is falling in 2025. The causes? Industrial slowdown, residual inflation and uncertain global climate. However, public accounts are improving and employment remains stable.
🔍 Impact on Forex: EUR under pressure awaiting new ECB estimates. The spread remains under observation.
🧭 Final reflection: Forex and geopolitics, an inseparable pair
Geopolitical tensions are not background noise, but waves that move billions. Smart traders don't just read charts: they read the world. The fragility of international relations and ongoing conflicts will lead to a new polarization of Forex: on one side, safe haven currencies (JPY, CHF, USD in shock phases), on the other, emerging and cyclical currencies that are increasingly vulnerable.
Those who want to navigate this market must be prepared to react not to data, but to events that change data.