Custom Indicator in Action - EUR/USD 1H Setup’ve taken a trade on EUR/USD based on a signal from my custom indicator (designed and fine-tuned by yours truly). The setup is built on the 1-hour timeframe with a 1:1 risk-to-reward ratio.
The trade aligns with a short-term support level and is in confluence with the recent movement of the DXY (Dollar Index), which adds extra weight to the idea. No higher timeframes were involved in this entry — it's a clean 1H play based on structure and indicator confirmation.
Let’s see how it plays out. I'll keep you updated!
USDEUR trade ideas
Euro H1 | Falling to a multi-swing-low supportThe Euro (EUR/USD) is falling towards a multi-swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 1.1270 which is a multi-swing-low support that aligns close to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 1.1148 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support and the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 1.1426 which is a multi-swing-high resistance.
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Long-term bullish breakout on EUR/USD!Hey traders,
Let’s dive into some weekly price action on EUR/USD and uncover what the charts are really telling us. 📈
🔍 Key observations (weekly Chart):
Major breakout:
Two weeks ago, EUR/USD printed a strong bullish candle that broke and closed above a critical resistance zone, the July 2023 high and September 2024 high.
➡️ This marks a bullish structural shift on the higher timeframe.
Bullish inside bar:
Last week's candle was also bullish but formed an inside bar, closing within the previous candle’s range and failing to break the high.
➡️ This suggests consolidation, not rejection.
🧠 What it means:
✅ The break above multi-month highs signals strength and long-term bullish momentum.
✅ The inside bar can be viewed as a pause or healthy retest rather than weakness.
✅ Likely, price is accumulating orders before a new push higher.
📅 Weekly bias: bullish continuation
Here’s why:
The break and close above key structure is a big deal.
Consolidation after such a breakout is normal and often precedes continuation.
As long as price stays above the broken highs, the bias is firmly bullish.
🔔 What to watch next:
✅ A break and close above last week's high = strong bullish continuation signal.
🔁 A dip into the broken resistance (now support) + bullish rejection = a solid buy opportunity.
⚖️ There’s a price imbalance just below last week’s low, price could dip into it before taking off again.
💬 Final thoughts:
The long-term trend is shifting. This is not the time to fade strength, but rather to look for high-probability entries on pullbacks.
📢 If this breakdown helped you, don’t forget to boost the idea and follow for more weekly updates!
Will EUR/USD Flag Its Way to the Next Level?4H Market Outlook – EUR/USD
After analysing the 4-hour chart, it’s clear that EUR/USD is riding a strong uptrend — and let’s be honest, we’re not sure how many accounts this rally has humbled so far! 😅
Currently, price is trading above a well-respected ascending trendline, which has provided solid support multiple times in recent sessions, further confirming bullish strength.
Heading into next week, we expect a shallow retracement toward the 38.20% – 50.00% Fibonacci zone, which would be a healthy pause before potentially completing one of several bullish continuation patterns:
• Bullish Flag
• Falling Broadening Wedge
• Falling Wedge
Once the pattern matures and price breaks out, don’t be surprised if EUR/USD says “hi” to our next upside target with confidence.
On the flip side, if price breaks below the ascending trendline, this could trigger a deeper pullback — first toward the 78.60% retracement, and if that fails to hold, we may see further downside toward 0% and even the 127.20% extension level.
⚠️ Always respect your risk management rules. They’re your trading seatbelt — protecting your capital and preserving your profits.
Happy Trading,
SpicyPips
EURUSD Analysis – Potential Bearish Reversal AheadFollowing a strong bullish move, EURUSD is now entering a premium zone where I expect sell-side pressure to start building up. Similar to my GBPUSD analysis, this setup is based on liquidity collection and a potential change of character (CHOCH) before bearish continuation.
🔍 Key Technical Observations:
Price is currently reacting within a FVG zone, suggesting a temporary bullish push might grab liquidity before reversal.
I'm closely watching for CHOCH confirmation, followed by impulsive bearish momentum toward demand zones.
Targets are aligned with structure levels and imbalance zones between 1.1080 and 1.0780.
🛡️ Strategy Note:
Patience is key here. I'll wait for signs of exhaustion or manipulation above the highs before engaging in any short bias.
This idea continues to follow my model of trend exhaustion, liquidity sweeps, FVG reaction, and CHOCH validation.
— Emerson Massawe
What Is a Balanced Price Range, and How Can You Use ItWhat Is a Balanced Price Range, and How Can You Use It in Trading?
Balanced Price Ranges (BPRs) offer traders insight into areas where market forces temporarily balance. Understanding how BPRs form and how to use them can help traders identify key zones of interest on the chart. This article explores the details of BPRs, their applications in trading, and how combining them with other tools can refine your market analysis.
What Is a Balanced Price Range (BPR)?
A Balanced Price Range (BPR) is an Inner Circle Trader (ICT) concept used to pinpoint areas on a price chart where market activity reflects a temporary equilibrium between buyers and sellers. These zones, often identified through overlapping Fair Value Gaps (FVGs), highlight price levels where buying and selling pressures have offset each other, creating a balance.
Here’s how it works in a bullish scenario: a rapid price move downward leaves a bearish Fair Value Gap—a price range the market skips over due to strong selling momentum. If the price rises with equal intensity shortly, creating a bullish Fair Value Gap in the opposite direction, the overlapping region between these gaps becomes the BPR. This overlap represents a zone of temporary balance, where the market has effectively “corrected” the earlier imbalance.
BPR zones are not random. They often form in areas of high market interest—perhaps near key support or resistance levels, or after significant news events that cause sharp price movements. Traders look at these ranges because they frequently act as reference points for future price reactions.
The boundaries of an ICT BPR—its high and low—serve as critical levels. These edges often function as dynamic support and resistance, helping traders gauge potential turning points. Furthermore, BPRs can appear across various timeframes, from minute-by-minute to weekly charts.
How Does a Balanced Price Range Form?
Now that we know the idea of the ICT Balanced Price Range, let’s look at how it forms step by step.
1. An Initial Price Imbalance
A BPR begins with a strong price movement in one direction—either up or down. For example, in an overall bearish scenario, buyers initially drive the price up rapidly and leave behind a bullish FVG. This gap reflects an area where the market didn’t fully engage, often skipping over price levels due to overwhelming demand.
2. A Counter-Move Creates an Opposing Gap
After the initial move, the market can shift in the opposite direction with equal momentum. In our example, sellers step in, pushing the price downward. This creates a bearish FVG that partially overlaps with the earlier bullish FVG. These rapid shifts often occur around key events, such as news releases or liquidity grabs, which ignite temporary market imbalances.
3. Overlapping Fair Value Gaps Define the Range
The overlapping portion of the bullish and bearish FVGs is what forms the BPR. This zone represents the price levels where buying and selling forces are temporarily balanced, neutralising the earlier imbalances.
4. Market Consolidation and Testing
Once the BPR is established, the price often consolidates near this range. This zone acts as a magnet for future price action because it’s seen as an area of high market interest, where traders may take note of previous balance. In the example given, a test may precede a bearish reaction.
Combining BPRs With Other ICT Concepts
Balanced Price Ranges in the ICT methodology become even more powerful when combined with other related concepts. By layering multiple tools, traders can refine their analysis and pinpoint high-probability areas for market activity. Here’s how BPRs work with key ICT concepts:
Fair Value Gaps
Since BPRs are defined by overlapping fair value gaps, understanding how to read these gaps adds depth to BPR analysis. FVGs outside the BPR can act as supplementary zones of interest.
Order Blocks
Traders often spot BPRs forming near significant order blocks. When these zones overlap, they highlight areas where institutional activity may have left a footprint, increasing their importance for analysis.
Liquidity Pools
BPRs often align with liquidity zones where stop orders are clustered. Price may gravitate toward these areas before reacting, offering traders insight into potential price reversals or continuations.
Market Structure Shifts
BPRs can reinforce insights gained from market structure shifts. For example, a BPR forming after a break in structure might signal consolidation before the next major move.
Higher Timeframe Confluence
When a BPR aligns with key levels on higher timeframes, it can provide added confidence in the zone’s relevance for price reactions.
How to Use a Balanced Price Range
The Balanced Price Range can provide traders with valuable insights into price behaviour, acting as a reference point for analysing potential market movements. By understanding how these zones function, traders often use them to refine their strategies and enhance their market analysis.
Identifying High-Interest Zones
As BPRs highlight areas where the market found an equilibrium between buyers and sellers, traders typically monitor how the price reacts when revisiting a BPR. For example, if the price approaches the upper or lower boundary of a BPR, it may indicate a potential turning point or a continuation, depending on the market context.
Support and Resistance Dynamics
One common approach is to view BPRs as dynamic support or resistance zones. When the price tests the range, traders often anticipate a reaction. For instance, a rejection from a BPR in a bearish trend may suggest continued downward momentum, while a breach might signal weakening selling pressure.
Contextualising Larger Market Structures
BPRs don’t exist in isolation; they often align with broader market structures. Traders may use them in combination with tools like liquidity zones or order blocks to build a more complete market picture. For instance, if a BPR forms near a major resistance level on a higher timeframe, this confluence could strengthen its importance as a reference point.
Adjusting for Timeframe and Strategy
The relevance of a BPR often depends on the timeframe being analysed. Day traders might focus on intraday BPRs to find potential trading opportunities, while swing traders could look for these zones on higher timeframes, considering them significant levels for long-term moves. Either trader can use lower and higher timeframe BPRs to inform their analysis and entries.
Managing Risk Around BPRs
Traders may incorporate BPRs into their risk management plans, such as by using the boundaries of the range to set stop-loss or take-profit levels. A breach of these levels can indicate a shift in market sentiment, helping traders refine their analysis.
Risks and Considerations When Using BPRs
While BPRs can be a useful tool for analysing price behaviour, they aren’t without limitations. Traders need to approach BPRs with a clear understanding of their potential pitfalls. Here are some key considerations:
- Not Predictive: BPRs don’t guarantee future price movement. While they highlight zones of interest, traders must combine them with broader market analysis to avoid over-reliance.
- Subjectivity: Identifying BPRs can sometimes be subjective. What one trader sees as a balanced range might not align with another’s interpretation, especially on different timeframes.
- Timeframe Sensitivity: A BPR on a lower timeframe may lose significance in the broader market context. Conversely, higher timeframe BPRs may lag behind fast-moving markets.
- False Breakouts: Price can move beyond a BPR briefly before reversing, creating potential traps for traders relying solely on breakout strategies.
- Market Context Matters: BPRs are analysed alongside market conditions like volatility, news events, or broader trends. Ignoring these factors can reduce their reliability.
The Bottom Line
Understanding Balanced Price Ranges can help traders interpret key market zones and improve their analysis. By combining BPRs with other tools and strategies, traders gain deeper insights into price movements.
FAQ
What Is the ICT Price Range?
The ICT price range refers to specific price levels or zones highlighted in the Inner Circle Trader (ICT) methodology. These ranges often represent areas of interest in the market, such as liquidity pools, fair value gaps, or balanced price ranges. Traders use ICT price ranges to analyse price movement, identify potential reaction points, and refine their trading strategies.
What Is the Meaning of a Balanced Price?
Balanced price describes a market state where buying and selling pressures are in equilibrium. It typically forms in areas where overlapping fair value gaps exist, reflecting zones where previous imbalances have corrected. These areas can act as key levels for future price reactions.
What Is an Optimal Trade Entry in a Balanced Price Range?
Optimal trade entry in a balanced price range refers to identifying high-probability entry points within or near a BPR. Traders often look for price reactions at the range’s boundaries, combining BPR analysis with other ICT tools, such as order blocks or liquidity zones, to refine their approach.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
EURUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on EUR/USD?
EUR/USD has broken above the resistance zone and is currently trading above the breakout level.
A pullback to the broken level is expected before the next bullish move.
Once the pullback is complete, we anticipate a continuation of the uptrend toward the specified target. Holding above the broken resistance would reinforce the bullish outlook.
Will EUR/USD maintain momentum after the pullback? Share your views below!
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
EUR/USD: Possible Fall Ahead? Let's See! (READ THE CAPTION)Upon reviewing the EUR/USD chart on the 3-day timeframe, we can see that following a sharp decline in the Dollar Index (DXY), the pair experienced a bullish move, reaching the 1.15 supply zone. If the price manages to stabilize and close below the 1.15–1.17 area, we can anticipate a further drop in EUR/USD to fill the created Liquidity Void (LV). This analysis will be updated accordingly.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Daily Analysis for EUR/USD📊 Daily Analysis for EUR/USD
🔼 The pair is currently in a strong uptrend with no clear signs of reversal.
📉 We are waiting for a corrective move down to the identified demand zones, where we will look for buy opportunities.
🎯 The target is the supply zone marked in grey on the chart.
✅ Recommendation: Buy after the correction with proper risk management.
ECB lowers rates, Euro edges higherThe euro is showing little movement on Friday. In the European session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.1369, up 0.09% on the day.
The ECB lowered its deposit facility rate on Thursday by a quarter-point, bring the rate to 2.25%. This marked the seventh rate cut since the ECB started its easing cycle in June 2024 and interest rates are now at their lowest since December 2022. The markets had expected the rate cut and the euro showed limited movement in response to the move.
The ECB's rate cut was largely a response to the chaos around US tariff policy. US President Donald Trump has sharply attacked the EU over its trade policy and slapped 25% tariffs on steel and aluminum imports into the US. The EU retaliated with counter-tariffs but suspended those measures for 90 days after Trump suspended a second round of tariffs on EU goods. The sides are negoatiating but the US has threatened new tariffs on pharmaceutical products and the EU-US trade war could escalate in the coming weeks.
The euro has benefited so far from the escalating trade tensions, as hit 1.1476 last week, its highest level since February 2022. The US dollar has sustained sharp losses against the major currencies as investors look for safer shores in the midst of the turmoil in the financial markets.
The ECB statement said that the inflation continues to ease but expressed concern over worsening trade tensions which have muddied the economic outlook. ECB President Lagarde said in her follow-up press conference that "downside risks to economic growth have increased" which would likely impact on exports, investment and consumption.
The Federal Reserve is prepared to lower rates if necesary but the markets have priced in a hold at 90% the May 7 meeting according to CME Fedwatch. A cut in June is much more likely, with a 60% probability.
EURUSD: Next Move Is Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 1.13506 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 1.13834.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
EUR/USD Weekly analysis 13-April-2025Last week, due to US news,
the Euro broke the ceiling of the 4H channel and the resistance of 1.1200
and also broke the strong resistance (formed by the intersection of the static resistance of 1.1278 and two dynamic resistances,
which also included the monthly resistance)
and touched the resistance level of 1.1462
*Currently, the price is in the range zone
and I expect the price to play in this zone (as shown on the chart) for a while
And if the breakdown is not caused by the excitement of the market and fake news;
the price of 1.1278 will play the role of support and the price will rise
Otherwise, the price will decrease after playing in the zone for a while
We will be patient and go with the trend
(On the monthly and daily time frames, we see divergence and on the weekly time frame, we see saturation in buying)
* Be profitable
Thank you for expressing your opinion by liking and commenting
Massive Breakout in EUR/USD – Time to Ride the Trend?📊 EUR/USD Daily Technical Outlook – April 11, 2025
The euro-dollar pair (EUR/USD) continued its upward momentum on Friday, reaching a high of $1.1473 before closing at $1.1352. This movement reflects a significant appreciation of the euro, influenced by a weakening U.S. dollar amid escalating trade tensions and a selloff in U.S. Treasuries.
📈 Current Market Structure:
After consolidating earlier in the week, EUR/USD broke above key resistance levels, indicating strong bullish sentiment. The pair's movement suggests a potential shift in market dynamics, with investors seeking alternatives to the dollar.
🔹 Key Resistance Levels:
$1.1473: Immediate resistance. A break above this level could signal further bullish continuation.
$1.1500: Psychological resistance and a potential target for bulls.
$1.1600: A more substantial resistance area that could be tested if momentum continues.
🔸 Key Support Levels:
$1.1300: Recent support. A break below this level could indicate a short-term pullback.
$1.1200: Next significant support, representing a potential bounce point.
$1.1100: A critical support level that, if breached, could lead to a shift in market sentiment.
📐 Price Action Patterns:
The pair's recent breakout above previous resistance levels suggests a strong bullish trend. The formation of higher highs and higher lows supports this view. However, traders should watch for potential reversal patterns near resistance areas.
🧭 Potential Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Scenario: If EUR/USD breaks and holds above $1.1473, it could target $1.1500 and potentially $1.1600. Continued weakness in the U.S. dollar and positive Eurozone data would support this move.
❌ Bearish Scenario: Failure to sustain above $1.1300 may lead to a retest of $1.1200, with further declines possible toward $1.1100 if bearish momentum increases.
📌 Conclusion:
EUR/USD is exhibiting strong bullish momentum, breaking through key resistance levels. Traders should monitor upcoming economic indicators and geopolitical developments that may influence the pair's direction.
💬 What's your outlook for EUR/USD? Do you anticipate continued strength in the euro, or will the dollar regain its footing? Share your thoughts below!
Let me know if you'd like this analysis tailored for a specific platform or with additional details!
EURUSD Approaching Major Resistance - Will Sellers Step In?OANDA:EURUSD is approaching a major resistance level, marked by significant selling pressure. This area has historically acted as a key supply zone, increasing the likelihood of a bearish reaction if sellers step in again.
The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms a rejection from this resistance level, there is a high probability of a downward move. I anticipate that if rejection occurs, the market may head lower toward the 1.09742 level, which serves as a logical target within the current market structure. However, a break above this resistance would invalidate the bearish bias and could lead to further upside.
This setup reflects the potential for a retracement after an impulsive move, supported by the confluence of previous price behavior and the current structure. If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
EUR USD Elliott Wave AnalysisHello friends
In the previous analysis we expected a slight correction and then a price increase, which happened (please refer to the previous analysis).
Now the same wave 5 of 3 or C is completing.
This micro-wave should have 5 waves.
Now its 4 waves are visible, so we expect a price increase and the price target is 1.13750. This micro-wave 5 will grow slightly and we expect a divergence between the main waves 3 and 5 and then a price correction should happen.
Good luck and be profitable.