GBPUSD COT and Liquidity AnalysisCOT Report Analysis:
We can see longs coming to the markets. But don't fall for the trap yet. They accumulate for
weeks. We will see, most likely at least one more down week, where they will be closing shorts and adding more long positions.
Hey, what up traders, another week, another COT data and Liquidity report. This is a big part of my FX Trading. I'm always trying to trade with the Big players, so knowing their positions is a good thing.
📍Please be aware that institutions report data to the SEC on Tuesdays and data are reported on Fridays - so again, we as retail traders have a disadvantage, but there is the possibility to read between the lines. Remember, in the report is what they want you to see; that's why prices mostly reverse on Wednesday after the report, so their cards are hidden as long as possible. However, if the trend is running, you can read it and use it to your advantage.
📍Tip: If the level has confluence with the high volume on COT, it can be strong support / Resistance.
Analysis done on the Tradenation Charts
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
"Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own."
Have a great trading week, see in the next report.
— David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
USDEUR trade ideas
Euro may grow to resistance level and then drop to 1.1275 pointsHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. After forming a strong upward move from the buyer zone (1.11850–1.1210), the price rose sharply, broke the mid-range resistance, and entered the seller zone between 1.1380 and 1.1400. Once it reached the upper boundary of the broadening wedge, the price bounced down from resistance at 1.1380. Now the price is trading inside a broadening wedge, showing signs of a potential reversal. After failing to hold above resistance, the Euro started to decline from the seller zone, confirming selling pressure. The current movement points to a correction within the wedge structure. I expect the Euro will continue falling toward 1.1275, my TP 1, where the support line of the wedge coincides with the upper boundary of the previous buyer zone. This zone has already shown strong reactions before and could act as a short-term reversal area. Given the recent rejection from resistance, the broadening wedge formation, and return from the seller zone, I remain bearish and anticipate further decline. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): LONG to the resistance area 1.14048.Dear colleagues, it appears that this week started with a downward movement. It was decided to replace the last forecast with a new one, because the price is updating the minimum of wave “4”, now the formation of wave “c” of medium order is taking place.
I believe that the upward movement to the area of 1.14048 will start again and we have 2 options:
1) market entry
2) working with pending limit orders closer to the 1.09794 area.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
EURUSD Bearish Setup📌 Market Structure & Setup Summary
Major Supply Zone Rejection (Red Zone at Top):
Price tapped into higher timeframe supply zone at 1.13755 (red box).
This was a buy-side liquidity grab just above the previous high → textbook distribution zone.
Now price is respecting that zone and rejecting it with bearish momentum.
Bearish Rising Channel Broken:
Red trendlines show a rising wedge → often leads to a bearish breakout.
Price is currently breaking out of that wedge to the downside.
Premium Pricing Confirmed:
Price was pushed into the premium zone (above equilibrium), inducing buy orders → now being reversed.
🔄 Trade Plan (Short Bias)
✅ Entry: Activated inside the red supply zone after confirming wick rejections and structure shift.
🛑 Stop Loss: Above the red supply zone (above 1.13755).
🎯 Targets:
TP1 → 1.12545: Structure support and breaker block.
TP2 → 1.11663: Previous demand zone and trendline intersection.
TP3 (Optional) → 1.11002 – 1.10610: External liquidity + trendline + FVG zone.
📉 RR Ratio: Estimated 1:4 to 1:5+ if TP2/TP3 hits.
⚠️ Key Confluences
🔹 Bearish break of rising wedge = structural shift.
🔹 Rejection wick inside red supply + BOS.
🔹 TP zones aligned with previous OB, breaker blocks, and liquidity pools.
🔹 News/volatility likely during the double blue vertical lines, so expect reaction spikes.
🚫 Invalidation Criteria
If price closes above 1.13755, the idea is invalid.
Watch for manipulation or false breakouts during high-impact news.
🔮 Market Forecast
If current rejection holds, expecting price to seek sell-side liquidity from 1.12545, then 1.11663, and possibly lower. This is a classic distribution > BOS > retrace > expansion sequence.
EURUSD – Testing Key Resistance, Signs of a Pullback EmergingEURUSD is gradually approaching the strong resistance zone around 1.142 – a level that has rejected price at least twice in the past. The recent bullish momentum is clear, but the current move is nearing a major barrier, increasing the likelihood of a short-term pullback.
If the price fails to break this zone and rejection signals appear, a drop back toward the support area around 1.125 is highly possible – this level aligns with the EMA 89 and recent swing lows. It will be a key area to watch where the market might “take a breath” before deciding the next direction.
The current strategy is to patiently observe price action at this resistance zone. If confirmation appears, this could offer an opportunity for short-term sell setups. However, if the price decisively breaks above 1.142, the bearish scenario would be invalidated.
EURUSD – Confluence Support Test: Watch for Bullish Signals? OANDA:EURUSD is currently trading around a key technical support area, which is a confluence zone between the previous sideways range and the medium-term ascending trendline. The price previously broke out of the resistance zone and is now pulling back to retest this area – a common price behavior in a sustainable bullish structure.
If buyers successfully defend this support zone, there is a high possibility that another recovery leg may appear, targeting the technical level around 1.1425, which is the most reasonable target within this setup. However, to confirm the continuation of bullish momentum, there needs to be a clear candlestick signal such as a pin bar or bullish engulfing at the support zone. The absence of strong price reaction here could lead to a slip below the support level, invalidating the short-term bullish structure.
This is a personal viewpoint based on technical analysis, not investment advice. Always reconfirm your trade setups and manage risk carefully.
EUR/USD..1H chart pattern..current 1-hour (1H) chart analysis of EUR/USD, I'M proposed sell entry at 1.13800 with a target of 1.12500 is a valid strategy, contingent on specific technical confirmations.
---
📉 Current Market Overview
Trend Analysis: As of May 26, 2025, the 1H chart indicates a bullish trend, with 75% of moving average signals supporting upward momentum. However, short-term moving averages are showing neutral signals, suggesting a potential slowdown in bullish momentum .
Resistance Levels: The price is approaching a significant resistance zone between 1.1380 and 1.1443, which has historically prompted bearish reversals .
---
🔍 Technical Patterns and Indicators
Bearish Rectangle Formation: A bearish rectangle pattern has been identified on the 1H chart, indicating potential for a downward breakout. This pattern suggests that if the price breaks below the support level, a move towards 1.0805 could occur .
Moving Averages: The 50-period moving average is acting as a dynamic support, while the 200-period moving average supports the broader bullish structure. A break below these averages could signal a shift towards bearish momentum .
---
🎯 Trade Strategy
Entry Point: Consider initiating a short position if the price fails to break above the 1.1380 resistance and shows signs of reversal.
Target: 1.12500, aligning with previous support levels and potential completion of the bearish rectangle pattern.
Stop-Loss: Place a stop-loss above the 1.1443 resistance zone to mitigate risk in case of a bullish breakout.
---
⚠️ Risk Management and Considerations
Confirmation: Wait for confirmation of bearish signals, such as a break below key support levels or bearish candlestick patterns, before entering the trade.
Volatility: Be aware of economic news releases and events that may cause increased volatility, potentially impacting the trade outcome.
Trend Reassessment: Continuously monitor the trend and be prepared to adjust your strategy if bullish momentum resumes.
---
In summary, your proposed trade setup is strategically sound, provided that bearish confirmations are observed near the 1.1380 resistance level. Ensure diligent monitoring of market conditions and adherence to risk management principles to optimize trade performance.
EURUSD Friday daily candle hint buyer in control for intradayEURUSD Friday daily candle closed hint to me that buyers are in control in my opinion.
today strategy :
waiting price to pullback at the marking zone in the chart.
zoom in into smaller time frame for any bullish movement.
good luck.
calculate your own risk & reward.
EURUSD BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISEURUSD has followed our expectations beautifully, bouncing strongly off a key support zone near 1.1270. This zone was previously a tough resistance which the pair broke through, and it’s now acting as a strong demand area. The latest bullish engulfing candle from this region signals solid buying pressure, confirming that bulls are stepping in to protect this structure. I’m now targeting a move toward the 1.17 level, which aligns with the previous high and the next major resistance on the chart.
From a macro perspective, the euro is showing resilience amid recent ECB policy comments, where officials have adopted a cautious but steady tone. Inflation remains persistent enough to delay aggressive rate cuts, keeping EUR demand intact. Meanwhile, the dollar is seeing renewed selling interest as market expectations shift toward a Fed pause, especially after softer US economic indicators including retail sales and jobless claims. This divergence is likely to support further upside in EURUSD.
Technically, this is a classic textbook retest of broken resistance turned support, backed by momentum indicators such as RSI now bouncing from mid-range and MACD showing signs of a potential bullish crossover. Volume has spiked at the support zone, confirming institutional participation. As long as EURUSD holds above 1.1270, I remain bullish and see this move extending toward 1.17 over the coming sessions.
This setup presents a strong risk-to-reward opportunity with momentum aligning with structure. The breakout and retest scenario is fully intact, and fundamentals are now favoring a continuation to the upside. Traders and swing holders should keep this on their radar as EURUSD looks ready to climb further.
Encounter Resistance And Reverse Direction Educational Forex Trading Insight – EUR/USD Potential Bearish Scenario
This content is intended for educational purposes only and aims to help traders understand how a possible sell setup in the EUR/USD currency pair might be analyzed. It is not a signal or financial advice, but rather a breakdown of a potential market scenario based on technical observations.
---
Currency Pair: EUR/USD
Market Outlook: Bearish (Short Position Scenario)
Suggested Sell Zone:
A possible area of interest for initiating a short position lies between 1.13430 and 1.13520, where the price may encounter resistance and reverse direction. This zone could offer a favorable risk-to-reward setup for experienced traders identifying signs of bearish confirmation.
Risk Management – Stop Loss:
A stop-loss order should be placed based on your personal trading strategy and risk tolerance. It is generally advisable to position it above the resistance area to account for potential volatility or fake breakouts.
Potential Price Targets:
First Target (TP1): 1.13159 – Near-term support level
Second Target (TP2): 1.12970 – Deeper retracement zone
Third Target (TP3): 1.12800 – Stronger historical support
Additional downside may develop if bearish momentum continues beyond these levels
---
Important Notice:
This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor before making any trading decisions. Proper risk management and discipline are essential for long-term success in the markets.
EURUSD Sell Setup- Go for short sell then manage your trade
- potentially go lower
A Message To Traders:
I’ll be sharing high-quality trade setups for a period time. No bullshit, no fluff, no complicated nonsense — just real, actionable forecast the algorithm is executing. If you’re struggling with trading and desperate for better results, follow my posts closely.
Check out my previously posted setups and forecasts — you’ll be amazed by the high accuracy of the results.
EUR/USD Rising Wedge Breakdown – Bearish Opportunity in Sight🔍 Technical Breakdown
🟦 1. Rising Wedge Pattern (Bearish)
The price has been moving within a tightening upward channel — forming higher highs and higher lows, but with decreasing momentum. This is a typical Rising Wedge, a pattern that signals exhaustion in an uptrend and typically resolves to the downside.
The pattern formed over several days.
Volume has been declining as the price pushed higher — a classic sign of weakening trend strength.
🚨 2. Major Resistance Zone
The wedge culminated near a major historical resistance zone (around 1.1400), which price failed to break multiple times — showing strong seller presence. This adds confluence to the bearish breakdown.
📉 3. Breakdown & Retest
Price broke below the lower wedge trendline, confirming the bearish reversal. After the breakdown, the pair appears to be retesting the previous support line — now acting as new resistance.
This retest is crucial — a successful rejection here typically confirms the breakdown and provides an ideal entry point for short positions.
⚡ Volume Clues
Note the "Volume Burst" earlier in the chart, followed by a sharp move up. But that rally was unsustainable — buyers couldn’t hold above resistance, and volume has since faded. This volume exhaustion is further evidence that bullish momentum is weakening.
🔄 Key Support Zones Below
Around 1.1200: A strong SR flip zone (support-turned-resistance), which could act as temporary support.
Final Bearish Target: Around 1.1070, a strong demand zone where price previously consolidated before the last bullish run.
This is the measured move target from the wedge height applied to the breakdown point.
🧠 Why This Matters (Trader Insight)
This setup combines:
A reliable bearish pattern (rising wedge)
Key horizontal resistance
A volume drop
A clean retest structure
That makes it a high-confluence short trade idea. These patterns don't always play out immediately, but when they do, they often drop hard.
📌 Trade Setup Summary
Bias: Bearish
Pattern : Rising Wedge (broken)
Current Action: Retesting the broken wedge
Entry Zone: 1.135–1.138 (retest confirmation)
First Target: 1.1200 (SR Flip)
Final Target: 1.1070 (Demand Zone)
Invalidation: Break and hold above 1.1410
EURUSD: Will Start Falling! Here is Why:
The recent price action on the EURUSD pair was keeping me on the fence, however, my bias is slowly but surely changing into the bearish one and I think we will see the price go down.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
EURUSD Technical Analysis.This is a 1-hour chart of the EUR/USD (Euro/US Dollar) currency pair, showing a potential bullish trade setup. Here's the breakdown:
Current Price: 1.12823
Trade Setup:
Entry Zone: Around the current market price (1.12823)
Target (Take Profit): Near 1.13150 (marked with the bullseye and green zone above)
Stop Loss: Around 1.12232 (red zone below)
Pattern Insight:
The chart shows a bullish flag or correction channel after an uptrend.
The price broke out of the descending correction, suggesting a potential continuation of the prior uptrend.
Summary of Setup:
Direction: Long (Buy)
Risk-to-Reward: Favorable, with stop loss tightly placed under recent lows
Bias: Bullish, expecting upward momentum continuation
Would you like a combined analysis of all three trade setups (BTC/USD, USD/JPY, and EUR/USD)?
A little bit higher for EUHi traders,
Last week EU made an impulse wave up just like I've said. Check my previous outlook.
But the impulse wave was not very strong and price made an overlapping pullback which indicates a Diagonal pattern. I think price is making a leading diagonal wave 1 (red) of wave 5 (black).
So next week we could see the next impulse wave 5 (orange) up to finish wave 1 (red) and the start of a bigger pullback for wave 2 (red).
Let's see what the market does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for a bigger correction down to trade longs to the higher Weekly FVG.
If you want to learn more about trading with FVG's, liquidity sweeps and Wave analysis, then make sure to follow me.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave