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USDEUR trade ideas

Heading into pullback resistance?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support. Pivot: 1.0772 1st Support: 1.0684 1st Resistance: 1.0840 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
EURUSD H4 | Bearish Momentum Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 1.0772, which is a pullback resistance. Our take profit will be at 1.0654 which aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension. The stop loss will be at 1.0866, a pullback resistance level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
EUR/USD: PAT + VPA 10/21/2024Good morning, I will be monitoring the daily candle close today, anticipating a bullish pullback or reversal to develop over the next few weeks. Several indicators have pointed to this: 1. The weekly chart has surpassed the previous high established on December 25, 2023. Currently, the price is attempting to retest the Demand zone that led to the breakout of that high.. 2. The weekly demand zone is identified between 1.0775 and 1.0825. Pay attention to the key level at 1.080, as it appears to be setting up as a robust support level for the currency pair. 3. The market has declined approximately 400 points since September 27, 2024, showing minimal pullbacks on a daily basis. Notably, this price drop has formed a double top without a genuine next line test. I anticipate that prices will rebound to around 1.100 in the coming weeks. A break below 1.100 could trigger a long-term retracement back to the highs at 1.200. Volume signature indicates that market makers are gradually exiting the trend. The weekly outlook remains bullish and is expected to dominate. It's important to note that the weekly chart is currently retesting the bearish flag it broke out of between June 24, 2024, and August 19, 2024. TVC:DXY OANDA:EURUSD XETR:DAX
Long
by ThePipAssassin
16
Trade 1: EUR/USD - Short - 7.6RR RatioLonger Time Frame Analysis - 1hr 1. We can see a clear big engulfing bearish candle, indicating a downtrend. Shorter Time Frame Analysis - 15min 1. AMD price action 2. Bearish range bounded price action 3. Price at resistance of range bound Entry: 1. BOS within range bound 2. Shorter EMA cross under Longer EMA 3. The candle next to breakout bearish candle closed below the price of breakout candle Target: T1: 1.06812 T2: 1.06620 T3: 1.06417 SL: Above EMA cross under
Short
by MyWayofLookingThings
1
EURUSD SHORT SETUP Smart Money Play for EURUSD The goal is to wait for a pullback to resistance within this bearish trend, then position for a continuation downwards. Here’s a structured approach: 1. Look for a Pullback to Resistance: • Since price is in a previous consolidation range, watch for a pullback to a level of resistance, possibly near the upper bounds of this range. For instance, look at levels like a daily moving average (20 or 50 SMA) or a high-volume node in the volume profile, which could act as strong resistance. • Use the 4-hour Ichimoku Conversion Line or Base Line as a short-term resistance level. If price approaches but stays below these levels, it may signal a solid area to enter short. 2. Volume Confirmation: • During the pullback, if volume remains low or the Chaikin Oscillator stays negative, it would signal that the buying pressure is weak, making a continuation downwards more likely. • Look for the CMF and ADL to remain bearish, as confirmation that the broader selling pressure is intact. 3. Wait for a Clear Reversal Signal on the Lower Timeframe (4-Hour or 1-Hour): • Use the 4-hour chart to refine your entry. Wait for the RSI to re-enter bearish territory and for MACD to regain momentum on the downside. • Alternatively, a bearish Supertrend signal or a breakdown below the 4-hour Ichimoku Conversion Line after a weak pullback can serve as an entry trigger. 4. Downside Targets: • Set initial targets at recent lows within the consolidation range, as well as potential Fibonacci extension levels for the swing down. • If the daily downtrend continues to accelerate, you may consider trailing stops to capture a larger movement as long as price remains below the daily Ichimoku cloud. Summary of Smart Money Play 1. Trend Bias: Stay with the trend (bearish). 2. Setup: Wait for a pullback to resistance within the bearish trend, ideally near a moving average or high-volume node. 3. Entry Trigger: Confirm selling pressure resumes on the 4-hour or 1-hour chart. 4. Risk Management: Use recent highs or a level above the resistance as a stop, and target lower lows, with the option to trail the stop as long as bearish indicators align.
Short
by Shivsaransh1
Euro collapses in US election aftermath | FX ResearchThe US dollar is making significant moves today, soaring higher following a surprising victory for Donald Trump. The dollar has reached its strongest level in a year, making notable gains against the euro and yen. Risk-correlated assets have sold off, but the dollar is benefiting from a positive reaction in US equities, with futures pushing to fresh record highs. The "Trump trade"—driven by expectations of tariffs and tax cuts—is lifting both the dollar and stocks. The market will likely take the rest of the day to digest what has been a surprising result for many. Predictive market platforms are gaining more credibility today, having forecasted a clear Trump victory for several weeks. On the data front, euro area figures came in slightly stronger than expected, but this had little impact on the euro, as concerns over Trump’s tariffs weigh on sentiment. UK PMIs were slightly softer, while earlier today, New Zealand's employment data missed expectations. In other markets, Bitcoin hit a fresh record high and could be on track to accelerate towards the $100,000 mark. After months of consolidation, Bitcoin’s gains have been somewhat tempered by the surge in dollar strength. However, we suspect that as the dollar slows down—either due to technical overextension or a shift in focus toward expectations of more rate cuts from the Fed—Bitcoin and crypto assets could accelerate to the upside. Looking ahead, we have an ECB speech from Christine Lagarde and Canada’s Ivey PMI data on the docket. Exclusive FX research from LMAX Group Market Strategist, Joel Kruger
by BlackBull_Markets
How the U.S. Election Could Impact USD and EUR/USD Trading"As the U.S. presidential election approaches, it’s time to consider how it might impact our trading strategies, particularly with the U.S. dollar and EUR/USD. Political shifts bring market volatility, so let’s break down how each outcome could influence the dollar and the EUR/USD pair. Election Outcomes and Market Impact 1. If Democrats Win: A Democratic victory could weaken the dollar, as policies may lead to lower inflation and reduced real interest rates. This scenario might push the EUR/USD pair higher, with potential targets around 1.1300–1.1850. For traders, this could mean a favorable environment to consider EUR/USD gains. 2. If Republicans Win: On the other hand, a Republican win might initially strengthen the dollar, thanks to expected trade policies and rising interest rates. However, this strength could be short-lived. Long-term factors may introduce volatility, potentially giving the euro a chance to regain ground against the dollar. Key Levels to Watch in EUR/USD From a technical standpoint, keep an eye on resistance levels from 1.1275 to 1.1750 for potential bullish moves, while support around 1.1000 and a critical level at 1.0900 could indicate a downturn. Combining these levels with election news can help you make informed trade adjustments. How to Trade Before, During, and After the Election Leading up to the election, watch for narrowing polls, as this could introduce uncertainty and increased volatility. During the election itself, expect the market to react strongly—prepare for a Trump win to potentially strengthen the dollar and a Harris victory to have the opposite effe
by habib75rajabi
EURUSD studyObserving the price action at the opening of the London and New York sessions can reveal valuable insights into market behavior, particularly when trading GBP/USD (GU). Often, there's a noticeable divergence in price direction during these times, presenting both challenges and opportunities for traders. Understanding these divergences can be key to successful trading strategies. At the start of the London session, market participants in the UK and Europe react to news and events that might have developed overnight, often resulting in sharp price movements. Meanwhile, during the New York session, U.S. traders enter the market with their own agendas, frequently leading to another shift or divergence in direction. Recognizing these patterns is essential for those trading GU, as it can inform timely and strategic decisions. To capitalize on these fluctuations, traders can monitor these sessions closely and identify any repeating trends. By consistently analyzing the price action at the start of each session, traders can anticipate possible reversals or continuations, allowing them to position themselves more effectively in the market. This approach combines patience with a keen eye for recurring patterns, enhancing one’s ability to respond strategically to session-driven price movements.
by martin_kemei
2
Eurusd Monthly possible escenarioI think that Eurusd made a strong expanding diagonal since 1970 to 2008. ( rare but not impossible ) This diagonal was made only of corrective waves. Then , 2008 crisis began. Eurusd start it's bearish trend as what it seems also a Diagonal, but this time contractive ( wave A ) It seems to me that we are in the pullback of a shoulder head shoulder created from 2015 to 2022, and we haven't broke Bollinger upper band yet. Volume also confirms the breakout and bearish divergence usual in waves 5. We haven't reach 61.8 % fibo yet, and we hace strong liquidity in that area. Is Eurusd ready to crash? Let's see....
Short
by Alecampos83
EUR/USD HUGE UPDATE | Trump USD Effect To Last?As results come in, USD strength has slapped the EURUSD down lower, as it has across as other major USD pairs. We know there has been recent ECB hawk rhetoric about a careful lowering of rates, and that sentiment still exists. We just hit a major Price Action level to the downside also feeding into some short profit taking / long side new entries. The Trump factor is because it is believed rates may also lower in the US slower than expected due to an inflationary effect. So, that creates more of an even keel. Long bias therefore in proportion with risk level overall. Looking for decent moves to the upside to trend trade, should reversal occur.
Long
by WillSebastian
EUR / USD _ Distribution _ Prices _ Under _ Trading _ Venue _ OAEUR / USD _ Distribution _ Prices _ Under _ Trading _ Venue _ OANDA. 99.9% Struggle how to trade Forex , because when it come to Forex you must be a master of reading numbers. I will show you a simple strategy! __________________________ 1st Execution = 1.08801 ______________ Drop = $1.08801 ________________ Next Execution = 1.09788 ______________________ Drop = 1.08401 ________________________ Breakout = 1.11628
Short
by Skill-Knowledge-Conduct