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U.S. Dollar / Euro

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USDEUR trade ideas

EurUsd…Daily FVG fill.Good day traders, I’m back with another setup but this setup is based on the GBPUSD setup I posted yesterday…go and look at it, to get the ideological. To be honest I don’t think the drop in price to start the week was unexpected because of the strength shown last week on the DXY and on the idea I posted on GBpUSD I highlighted that last week XXX/USD pairs did not perform as the USD/XXX pairs. Which explains why we open with a bearish move lower and now I believe price is gonna do as I expected it on GBPUSD before taking liquidity but strength was too strong. EurUsd on this respective TF we can see that it has been on a downward movement, and if we take a look at that healthy bearish leg. Price has left imbalances but the most visible one is the volume imbalance that I have shown you on the chart. For the rest of the day should price closer above the VI than I believe we can expect it to move higher till Thursday before DXY continues moving higher.
Long
by FxPipMaster_TebohoMatla
2
EURUSD: US inflation on scheduleThe most important event during the previous week was the FOMC meeting. The Fed left interest rates unchanged, as was expected. In an after-the-meeting statement, the FOMC members noted that they will stay committed to their dual mandate, bringing inflation toward targeted 2% and maximum employment. Still, considering ongoing challenges for the economy, especially those related to trade tariffs, the Fed Chair Powell noted that the Fed will be ready to act immediately if threats to the economy emerge in the future period. As for macro data published during the week, the US ISM Services PMI was standing at 51,6 in April, above market consensus of 50,6. The Balance of Trade reached $-140,5B, which represents a higher deficit from forecasted $-137B. The Factory Orders in Germany were higher by 3,6% in March, beating market expectations at 1,3%. The HCOB Construction PMI in April in the Euro Zone reached the level of 46, while the same indicator for Germany was at the level of 45,1. The Retail Sales in the Euro Zone in March dropped by -0,1% for the month, reaching a 1,5% increase on a yearly basis. The Balance of Trade in Germany reached euro 21,1B in March, higher from forecasted euro 20,8B. The Industrial Production in Germany in March was higher by 3% for the month, significantly above market expectation of 0,5%. As expected, the FOMC meeting caused higher volatility on financial markets. Currently, the most sensitive topics are related to further decrease of the US interest rates and potential negative impact of trade tariffs on the US economy. Since Fed Chair Powell brought some confidence to market participants that the Fed is ready to react in case of worsening economic conditions, the US Dollar gained in strength. The eurusd currency pair started the week around the level of 1,1370 and moved to the downside for the rest of the week, ending it at 1,1248. The RSI started its stronger move toward the level of 50, indicating the potential that the market will soon look at the oversold market side. The MA50 continues to strongly diverge from MA200, confirming further the cross occurred some time ago. The US April inflation figures are scheduled for a release on Tuesday next week. Depending on figures, there is some probability of higher market volatility. The support line at 1,12 has been shortly tested during the previous week. The start of the week ahead might bring some further testing of this level. In case that this level is broken to the downside, then the next supporting level will be at 1,11, but this is not a significant level, on a historical scale of eurusd movements. There is also an equal probability that the market will shortly revert to the upside, when 1,13 might be tested for one more time. Important news to watch during the week ahead are: EUR: ZEW Economic Sentiment Index for May for the Euro Zone and Germany, Inflation Rate in Germany, final for April, Industrial Production in the EuroZone, GDP Growth Rate Q/Q, second estimate for Q1, USD: Inflation Rate in April, Producers Price Index in April, Industrial Production in April, Building Permits preliminary for April, Michigan Consumer Sentiment preliminary for May
by XBTFX
EUR/USD Descending Triangle Break - Lower-lowsEUR/USD bears took another step forward to start the week and at this point the structure on the four-hour chart remains clean, with a fresh lower-low to go with the recent build of lower-highs. The weekly chart looks similarly toppy as the pair is now working on its fourth consecutive weekly loss, following the shooting star formation that showed up in late-April. After failing at 1.1500, the pair has already pushed down for a test of the 1.1100 handle. And given the support-turned-resistance at 1.1275, we have another item of impact from the Fibonacci sequence produced by the 2021-2022 major move. This would place emphasis on the 1.0943 level, which itself was resistance-turned-support in March and April. This could function as a bigger picture support target for bearish continuation scenarios. The question now is whether bears will defend the 1.1200 handle, or perhaps even a re-test of 1.1275, which could remain as a valid lower-high given that the Friday high printed at 1.1293. For next support the 1.1000 handle seems obvious but there's also a Fibonacci level (from another sequence) around 1.1046. - js
by FOREXcom
EURUSD broke the Support line 1.11960 👀Possible scenario: The euro (EUR) edged up 0.19% on May 9 amid optimism over trade deals. The U.S. dollar remained under pressure from unpredictable trade policies but stabilized after the Fed signaled no near-term rate cuts. With a quiet macroeconomic calendar on May 12, market volatility is expected to stay low, though end-of-week position adjustments could trigger sharp moves. Traders are watching April inflation data for signs of tariff impact. EUR/USD remains bearish below the key 1.13000 level. ✅Support and Resistance Levels Now, the support level is located at 1.09500. Resistance level is now located at 1.13700.
by MaxOnMarkets
EURUSD Will Go Down! Short! Here is our detailed technical review for EURUSD. Time Frame: 4h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is approaching a significant resistance area 1.125. Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 1.114 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
EURUSD staff pattern tips EURUSD to down sideThe EUR/USD exchange rate has generally moved downward since its high point in 2008, reflecting a period of euro weakness and U.S. dollar strength. After reaching its peak, the pair has gone through several bearish phases, and interestingly, the support and resistance lines form a staff. Economic Recovery in the EU and UK Since the Global Financial Crisis The EU and UK have seen "no meaningful recovery" since the global financial crisis. Many regions in the EU managed to recover their GDP per capita to pre-crisis levels within a couple of years, though the pace and strength of recovery varied widely. The UK, after a deep recession, returned to its pre-recession GDP levels within several years. However, both the EU and UK have faced ongoing challenges, including sluggish productivity growth and weaker expansion compared to previous decades. Green Energy Transition and Grid Stability European policymakers have made the green energy transition a top priority, sometimes advancing more quickly than infrastructure could support. Experts warned as early as 2014 that the rapid adoption of solar panels could put stress on power grids and increase the risk of instability. This concern became reality in Spain, where a significant blackout occurred shortly after the country announced it had achieved 100% renewable power on weekdays. To prevent similar incidents, experts now believe that a massive upgrade of the EU power grid will be necessary to ensure reliable integration of renewable energy sources, and this will cost a trillion dollars. The shortage and rising energy costs will make the EU and the UK lag in the AI race. Especially, a data center is power-consuming. The energy cost of the UK is the highest among developed countries and 5 times that of the US. Thank you to the politicians adopting an unrealistic path to green energy. Outlook for the EU economy With ongoing challenges such as the need for large-scale infrastructure investment, slow productivity growth, and pressures from global trade dynamics, the EU economy is expected to continue facing headwinds. Most forecasts indicate that economic growth will remain subdued in the short term, and further slowdowns are possible if structural issues are not addressed.
Short
by bruceyam
Euro may exit from wedge and then drop to support levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. After a strong impulse to the upside and a retest of the 1.1265 resistance area, the Euro started to consolidate inside a downward wedge. Despite repeated attempts to hold above the 1.1265 - 1.1300 zone, price action gradually shifted lower, creating lower highs within the wedge formation. This pattern often signals continuation or deeper correction, especially when formed after a large bullish move. The recent breakout below both the support area and the lower wedge boundary confirms that bearish pressure is taking control. The rejection from the seller zone and the sharp decline reinforce this shift in sentiment. Now the price is trading near the support line of the wedge and showing weak attempts to recover, forming a potential retest of the broken structure. Given the break of support, I expect the Euro may continue its decline toward the 1.0925 level, which coincides with both the buyer zone and a well-defined support level, thereby exiting from wedge pattern. This zone serves as my current TP 1. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Short
by LegionQ8
6
EURO - Price can break support level and continue to fallHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 A few moments ago price traded near $1.0835 level and then it made strong upward impulse, breaking this level. Then it continued to move up inside an upward pennant, where it reached the next support level, which broke soon too. After this movement, it reached the resistance line of the pennant and then corrected the support line. Euro tried to grow more, but failed and started to decline inside falling channel, exiting from pennant pattern. In falling channel, price declined to $1.1200 support level and then turn around and start to move up. I think that Euro can grow a little and then fall to $1.1065 support line of channel, breaking support level. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Short
by WalterMoon
9
Short trade 1Hr TF overview 🟥 Sellside Trade Log 📉 Pair: EUR/USD 🏷️ Type: Intraday | Tokyo Session AM 🧠 Setup: Breakdown from Triangle + Resistance 🆔 Trade ID: #EURUSD-0512A 📅 Date: Monday, 12th May 2025 🕑 Time: 2:00 AM 🔹 Entry Price: 1.12309 🔹 Profit Target: 1.10713 (-1.42%) 🔹 Stop Loss: 1.12424 (+0.10%) 🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 13.88 🔍 Reasoning: Sellside trade taken following a breakdown from a triangle formation, with price rejecting firmly from a well-established resistance zone. The structure showed compression into resistance, followed by a decisive break to the downside during the Tokyo AM session. Entry was timed at the base of the pattern as momentum shifted, aligning with expected liquidity sweep beneath the formation.
Short
by davidjulien369
1
EURUSD Selloff Hits Key Support — Hold or Fail?Following Bessent’s announcement on China, EURUSD extended its decline into this week. Now, the long-term trendline that began in 2008 is being retested. Downward pressure remains high, and the retreat may continue today. However, the former supply zone at 1.1050–1.11 could provide significant support, especially with the help of the long-term trendline. Bessent stated that for 90 days, U.S. tariffs on China will be reduced from 145% to 30%, and China will lower tariffs on U.S. goods from 125% to 10%. While the market had expected some positive developments, this move went far beyond those expectations. As a result, momentum currently favors EURUSD bears. If the support zone fails, bearish momentum could accelerate, targeting the 1.07 area in the coming weeks. However, as long as the support holds, bears should proceed with caution.
by ftdsystem
4
EURUSD I Weekly CLS I KL - OB, Model 1 target - 50% AMD in playHey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS range, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model. If you haven't followed me yet, start now. My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution. 🧩 What is CLS? CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets. ✅ Understanding the behaviour of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits. 🛡️ Models 1 and 2: From my posts, you can learn two core execution models. They are the backbone of how I trade and how my students are trained. 📍 Model 1 is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range. 📍 Model 2 occurs in the specific market sequence when CLS smart money needs to re-accumulate more positions, and we are looking to find a key level around 61.8 fib retracement and target the opposing side of the range. 👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
 ⚔️ Listen Carefully: Analysis is not trading. Right now, this platform is full of gurus" trying to sell you dreams based on analysis with arrows while they don't even have the skill to trade themselves. If you’re ever thinking about buying a Trading Course or Signals from anyone. Always demand a verified track record. It takes less than five minutes to connect 3rd third-party verification tool and link to the widget to his signature. "Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own." — David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
Short
by David_Perk
17
EURUSD Analysis – Waiting for Reaction at Key Demand Zone OANDA:EURUSD Technical Outlook: EURUSD is forming a potential bullish continuation pattern. I'm watching for a retracement to the demand zone around 1.1196, where a long opportunity may present itself if bullish confirmation appears. Buy Scenario: Wait for price to dip into 1.1196 zone Look for bullish price action signals Target: 1.1395 Stop loss: Below 1.1160 Sell Scenario (if broken): Clean break of 1.1196, followed by retest (pullback) Target: 1.0953 Note: This setup is based on key market structure levels and potential reaction zones. I update my levels weekly and track how price respects them. For detailed entry points, trade management, and high-probability setups, follow the channel: @ForexCSP
Long
by ForexCSP
MarketBreakdown | EURUSD, USDCHF, GBPJPY, US30 Here are the updates & outlook for multiple instruments in my watch list. 1️⃣ #EURUSD daily time frame 🇪🇺🇺🇸 As I predicted, EURUSD dropped after the market opening. The price is currently testing a significant daily demand zone. Because the market looks relatively oversold after a selloff, I think that there will be a high chance to see a pullback. 2️⃣ #USDCHF daily time frame 🇺🇸🇨🇭 The price completed a consolidation and a bullish accumulation within a horizontal range on a daily. Its resistance breakout is an important bullish signal. Probabilities are high that the market will continue rising after a pullback. 3️⃣ #GBPJPY daily time frame 🇬🇧🇯🇵 The pair broke above a significant daily resistance cluster. It opens a potential for more rise. The market will most likely reach the underlined yellow resistance soon. 4️⃣ #US30 Index Dow Jones daily time frame 🇦🇺🇺🇸 The index successfully violated a major daily resistance. Rise will continue and the market will reach the underlined liquidity zone soon. Do you agree with my market breakdown? ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by VasilyTrader
1