EURUSD breakdown?Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USDEUR trade ideas
EURUSD Analysis – Waiting for Reaction at Key Demand Zone OANDA:EURUSD
Technical Outlook:
EURUSD is forming a potential bullish continuation pattern.
I'm watching for a retracement to the demand zone around 1.1196, where a long opportunity may present itself if bullish confirmation appears.
Buy Scenario:
Wait for price to dip into 1.1196 zone
Look for bullish price action signals
Target: 1.1395
Stop loss: Below 1.1160
Sell Scenario (if broken):
Clean break of 1.1196, followed by retest (pullback)
Target: 1.0953
Note:
This setup is based on key market structure levels and potential reaction zones.
I update my levels weekly and track how price respects them.
For detailed entry points, trade management, and high-probability setups, follow the channel:
@ForexCSP
MarketBreakdown | EURUSD, USDCHF, GBPJPY, US30
Here are the updates & outlook for multiple instruments in my watch list.
1️⃣ #EURUSD daily time frame 🇪🇺🇺🇸
As I predicted, EURUSD dropped after the market opening.
The price is currently testing a significant daily demand zone.
Because the market looks relatively oversold after a selloff,
I think that there will be a high chance to see a pullback.
2️⃣ #USDCHF daily time frame 🇺🇸🇨🇭
The price completed a consolidation and a bullish accumulation
within a horizontal range on a daily.
Its resistance breakout is an important bullish signal.
Probabilities are high that the market will continue rising after a pullback.
3️⃣ #GBPJPY daily time frame 🇬🇧🇯🇵
The pair broke above a significant daily resistance cluster.
It opens a potential for more rise.
The market will most likely reach the underlined yellow resistance soon.
4️⃣ #US30 Index Dow Jones daily time frame 🇦🇺🇺🇸
The index successfully violated a major daily resistance.
Rise will continue and the market will reach the underlined
liquidity zone soon.
Do you agree with my market breakdown?
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
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EUR/USD sell target/buy orderPrice went down and hit a previously marked level at 11083.6 and bounced. However I believe there is still strong selling pressure and the trend will continue to the downside.
There is another high volume area waiting below at 10996.5, Confluence here as this area was the volume point of control on the 10th April.
Usually would trade this as a buy when the level is reached, but I have the confidence that this will continue to drop, so selling down to this level.
EURUSD Bearish Structure Forming Amid Dollar UncertaintyEURUSD appears to be carving out a series of lower highs, showing potential signs of distribution. With price compressing inside a symmetrical triangle following multiple failed breakout attempts, the stage could be set for a bearish breakdown. This comes as U.S. inflation and Fed policy hold the spotlight and the euro faces political and structural crosswinds.
📉 Technical Breakdown (4H Chart)
Triple Top / Head & Shoulders Variant Forming:
Price action has traced a rounded top sequence, forming a triple top or complex head and shoulders structure.
Each rally attempt has been followed by steeper declines and faster recoveries—typical of a topping process.
Triangle Contraction Zone:
Current price is consolidating into a symmetrical triangle, which is often a continuation pattern.
Bearish breakout is expected if support around 1.1330–1.1320 fails.
Key Bearish Targets:
TP1: 1.1090 – former resistance turned support.
TP2: 1.0890 – April breakout base and key structure low.
Trade Setup (as per chart):
Sell Entry Zone: Break and retest of 1.1320–1.1300.
Stop Loss: Above 1.1527 (supply zone high).
Targets:
TP1: 1.1090
TP2: 1.0890
🌐 Macro Context
USD Side:
Fed is holding rates steady amid rising inflation fears triggered by tariffs
Tariff shocks are already pushing prices up, while growth slows—a tough environment for the Fed.
Dollar could strengthen if market sentiment shifts risk-off.
Euro Side:
Former EU Commissioner Gentiloni calls for unified borrowing to boost the euro’s global role, as U.S. stability is questioned
Political uncertainty around German leadership transitions may also weigh on the euro short term.
✅ Conclusion
EURUSD is trading at the apex of a tightening triangle pattern following a distribution structure. With a clean break of 1.1320 support, expect increased volatility and bearish momentum toward 1.1090 and 1.0890.
EURUSD - ANALYSIS👀 Observation:
Hello, everyone! I hope you're doing well. I’d like to share my analysis of EUR-USD with you.
Looking at the chart, EUR-USD has reached the target I previously set, which is 1.12142. From here, I expect a breakout to the upside, with the price moving towards 1.12650. After a pullback at 1.12650, I expect further price decline towards 1.11464.
📉 Expectation:
Bullish Scenario: Price to move up to 1.12650 after breaking above 1.12142.
Bearish Scenario: After reaching 1.12650, the price will likely drop down to 1.11464.
💡 Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 1.12650
Support: 1.11464
💬 What are your thoughts on EUR-USD this week? Let me know in the comments!
Trade safe
EURUSD 12/5/25Want to know how we're starting the week? We're kicking things off with EUR/USD. We've seen strong bearish movement into the first open of the week. This follows trade developments involving China, Europe, Russia, and other major global economies. Naturally, these events have a direct impact on the value of the USD and the currencies these nations trade in.
The probability of more unscheduled fundamental news this week is relatively high. Since this type of news can drop at any moment, it's crucial that you mitigate risk if you're trading during this period. As always, caution is highly recommended.
Our outlook for EUR/USD this week remains consistent: we expect a significant pullback into the highs, followed by a continuation to the downside—just like our markup last week. Price tapped the highs perfectly and delivered to all our targets. Now, we’re anticipating a continuation of that process.
Orion is bearish—and so are we.
Trade safe, stick to your plan, and always follow Orion.
Lingrid | EURUSD Breakout Triggers SHARP Market Sell-OffFX:EURUSD has broken both its global upward trendline and a key structural level, confirming a shift in momentum to the downside. After forming a lower high beneath resistance, price is now trading below the $1.1200 level, hinting at further bearish continuation toward support. The structure favors continuation lower unless bulls reclaim the broken zone with strength.
📌 Key Levels
Support zone: $1.1000
Breakout target: $1.1000 (support area base)
Invalidation level: Above $1.1200 (re-entry into structure)
⚠️ Risks
Price may consolidate before choosing direction
False breakdowns are possible if volume drops
A quick reclaim of $1.1200 could trigger a reversal rally
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
EUR/USD Bearish Setup: Supply Zone Rejection Toward1.0900 Target(Swing Trade Setup)
📉 Trendline + CHoCH Confirmation
🔻 Downtrend marked by a falling blue trendline.
🔄 CHoCH (Change of Character) shows a bearish market structure shift, confirmed by a lower low.
🟦 Supply Zone (Sell Zone)
💥 Strong seller reaction previously occurred between:
1.12956 – 1.13896
🔹 Wait for price to retrace into this zone.
🎯 Ideal for short entries.
🎯 Entry & Stop-Loss
🔵 Entry Point: Around 1.12956 – 1.13005
(below supply zone and EMA)
🛑 Stop Loss: 1.13896 – 1.13929
(above the last high + supply zone)
🟦 EMA 70 (Purple Line)
📈 Currently at 1.13051
Acts as dynamic resistance — strengthening the short setup.
🏁 Target Zone
🎯 Main Target: 1.09000
Marked as TARGET POINT 1.0900
🟦 Support Levels Inside Target Zone:
1.09229
1.09150
1.08814
✅ Summary of Trade Idea
📍 Short Position
⬆️ Entry: ~1.13000
🛑 Stop Loss: ~1.13900
⬇️ Take Profit: ~1.09000
⚖️ Risk-to-Reward: ~1:3+ potential
EURUSD short on central bank divergence After last weeks FED rate decision I think EURUSD downside looks like a good potential. We saw a continued cautious approach from the FED with hawkish undertones amid trade wars and sticky inflation.
This now presents some clear divergences between central bank policies. The ECB are leading the way with looser monetary policy and continues rate cuts as their inflation rates declines to 2.2%.
Technically, price has broken through a small recent higher low as well as through a head and shoulder price pattern off the round number 1.1500. There was a strong OBV divergence signal around the highs and the weekly POC's have started to break lower.
The weekly profile also presents a possible downside target with a thin week yet to be filled. Two possible positions that could be taken, a slightly more conservative target and stop loss or a more aggressive position with a tighter stop and target towards the lows.
Will need to keep up to date on current macro data's from both the US and EU to ensure the bias doesn't shift, as well as the current tariff wars coming out from the US, important not to get too set on a trade idea and remaining fluid in the ever changing market conditions.
Fundamental Market Analysis for May 12, 2025 EURUSDEUR/USD is retreating from the gains made in the previous session, trading near 1.12400 in Monday's Asian session. The Euro (EUR) has been under pressure since European Central Bank (ECB) official Olli Rehn said last week that the ECB may consider cutting interest rates at its next meeting, provided that upcoming forecasts confirm a continued trend of disinflation and slowing economic growth.
Despite this, EUR/USD found some support thanks to optimism surrounding the trade talks between the US and China that took place in Geneva. Both sides reported “substantial progress” after two days of talks aimed at de-escalating the ongoing trade dispute. Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng called the talks an “important first step” in stabilizing bilateral relations, while U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent echoed his sentiment, noting significant progress.
Markets are now awaiting Washington's response to the European Commission's proposed countermeasures against U.S. tariffs. On Thursday, the Commission launched a public consultation that outlined potential tariffs on up to 95 billion euros worth of imports from the U.S. if trade talks break down.
Meanwhile, the U.S. economic outlook remains uncertain. Federal Reserve (Fed) officials have noted the risk of stagflation, and Fed Chairman Michael Barr has warned that higher tariffs could disrupt supply chains, leading to higher inflation, lower growth and higher unemployment. Investors remain cautious as further escalation of trade tensions could pose serious problems for the US economy.
Trading recommendation: BUY 1.12300, SL 1.11900, TP 1.13000
EURUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on EURUSD?
On the 4-hour chart, EUR/USD is forming a downward corrective structure following a strong bullish move.
Price is approaching a support area, which aligns with a 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level
We anticipate the correction to complete near this confluence zone, followed by a resumption of the bullish trend toward higher targets.
Will this support hold and trigger the next bullish leg? Share your thoughts below!
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Who loves the EURO dollars ? Come buy more !I can't remember reading an article that says the Euro could overtake the US dollar as the next world reserve currency. I think this is too far into the future and debating it is pointless at this juncture.
This 1-2 years are more crucial and I think the dollar has more room to depreciate.
Please DYODD
Looking at sell limit at 1.12759Trading Journal Entry –
Trade Setup:
Considering a sell limit order around the 1.12759 level.
Rationale:
Upon analyzing the higher timeframes (H4/Daily), I’ve identified multiple key resistance zones converging near the 1.12759 area. This price level has acted as a significant supply zone in the past, where selling pressure has consistently overwhelmed buying interest. Additionally, the current market structure shows signs of bullish exhaustion, with price approaching an overextended zone after a strong upward move.
EUR/USD Price Action Update – May 12, 2025📊 EUR/USD Price Action Update – May 12, 2025
🔹Current Price: 1.12300
🔹Timeframe: 1H
📌 Key Observation:
🔹Price tapped demand zone and bounced, forming a potential higher low. A bullish structure shift may be developing.
⚡️Scenario 1 – Bullish Continuation:
If price breaks and retests 1.12430 with strong 15M bullish confirmation, we could see upside momentum toward 1.12800–1.13000 in the coming sessions.
⚠️Scenario 2 – False Breakout Risk:
Failure to sustain above 1.12430 could trap early buyers, possibly pushing price back into the demand zone around 1.1200 for re-test.
🔍 FXFOREVER Insight:
✅ Keep alert set at 1.12430
✅ Look for M15 BOS and FVG fill to confirm entries
✅ Ideal setup for NY session breakout traders
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