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U.S. Dollar / Euro

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USDEUR trade ideas

Bullish bounce?EUR/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.0951 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 1.0853 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 71% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 1.1146 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Long
by VantageMarkets
Long EURUSD retest of breakout levels Macro outlook for the remainder of the week Upcoming News US NFP at 430pm Fri USD downside Bad NFP report USD upside Good NFP report News review Liberation Day - Full-scale tariff were definitely not a good thing for the USD as investor fear of it causing a recession is currently outweighing the potential of keeping interest rates high to prevent inflation from running hot. Price has voted this way, so let's keep with it. The risk to this thesis is if Powell comes out and convinces the market that he will focus on inflation over all else and take a hard stance similar to volcker. Then we switch fundamental views. Technical view Breakout of the previous levels at 1.0954 With NFP coming up, I'm looking for a retrace back to near the breakout level before it, then take a high RR bet for the trend to continue to the upside. Timeframe of bet → Till Friday around NFP Price level of interest → 1.099 to 1.0954 Execution Price alert set Look for price to touch the area, and reverse SL: 1.093 for now. Will be determined based of reversal candle and what's the low of the retracement move. TP: Highs of 1.11 Results of ideas thus far: Number of trades: 1 WR: 0% Profit: -0.1R Notes: This is currently for personal practice to write out trade ideas. Feedback is welcome, and please don't mind if none of this makes sense.
Long
by yuhaocooper
Elliott Wave Forecast: EUR/USD Prepares for Next Bullish Leg!This EUR/USD 4H chart presents an Elliott Wave analysis, showing the market’s movement within a five-wave structure. The price has completed Wave 3 and is currently in a corrective Wave 4, finding support around Fibonacci retracement levels of 38.2% • Wave 3: A sharp rally forming an extended third wave. • Wave 4: An ABC correction is currently in progress and is expected to be completed around levels of 1.07456 If the market respects the proper Fibonacci levels, the target for wave 5 could be 1.09504 .
Long
by Money_Dictators
EURUSD ANALYSIS 🔵EUR/USD Analysis 1. Market Structure Bullish Market Structure: The price is in a strong uptrend, characterized by higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL). Recent Pullback: After a strong bullish impulse, the price is experiencing a retracement. Key Levels: Resistance: 1.11465 (Potential Target) Support Zone: 1.08135 - 1.08470 (Grey Box – Demand Zone) 2. Order Blocks & Demand Zones Bullish Order Block (OB) & Demand Zone: The grey highlighted box represents an institutional demand zone. Price might retrace into this zone before continuing upward. 3. Liquidity Zones Liquidity Grab: The recent spike higher might have grabbed liquidity from previous highs. A retracement to the grey demand zone will confirm if big players are re-accumulating. Buy-side Liquidity Target: 1.11465 (Above previous high) 4. Moving Averages & Trend Confirmation Blue Moving Average (Possibly 50 EMA): Acting as dynamic support. Red Moving Average (Possibly 200 EMA): Supporting the overall bullish trend. If price retests the grey zone and bounces off the moving average, it confirms a strong buy setup. 5. RSI (Relative Strength Index) Current RSI: 62.72 This indicates a bullish momentum but is not yet overbought. If RSI dips towards 50 while price retraces, it strengthens the case for a buy from the demand zone. 6. Trade Setup (Based on SMC Concepts) Entry: Look for bullish confirmation in the grey demand zone (1.08135 - 1.08470). Stop Loss (SL): Below the grey box, around 1.07800. Take Profit (TP): Around 1.11465. Risk-Reward Ratio: Favorable if entry is taken at the demand zone. Conclusion Bullish Bias: Await a potential retracement into the demand zone for an optimal buy entry. Key Confirmation: Look for bullish price action signs like engulfing candles, pin bars, or liquidity sweeps within the demand zone. Caution: If price breaks below the grey zone, it may indicate further downside correction.
Long
by klassicking
EUR/USD Analysis Ascending Triangle Breakout – Bullish TargetOverview of the Chart: The chart represents the EUR/USD (Euro to U.S. Dollar) pair on a 1-hour timeframe, showcasing a bullish ascending triangle breakout. The pattern indicates an upward continuation in the trend after a period of consolidation. This analysis will break down the key elements of the chart, the technical structure, and the potential trading strategy. 1. Market Structure & Key Zones A. Market Curve Area (Early Trend Development) The price started with a strong bullish trend leading up to the formation of the triangle. The curved trendline suggests a gradual increase in buying pressure, indicating that the market was preparing for a larger breakout. B. Resistance and Support Levels Resistance Level (Red Arrow & Blue Box): This level acted as a price ceiling where sellers previously dominated. The market attempted multiple times to break this resistance before successfully breaching it. Support Level (Green Arrow & Yellow Zone): The price consistently found buyers at this level, reinforcing a higher low structure. The rising support line within the triangle indicated strong accumulation by buyers. 2. Chart Pattern: Ascending Triangle Formation The price action formed an ascending triangle, which is a well-known bullish continuation pattern. The higher lows (trendline support) indicated buyers were gaining control, gradually pushing the price toward the resistance. Eventually, the resistance was broken with strong bullish momentum, confirming a valid breakout. 3. Breakout Confirmation & Retest The breakout above the resistance level came with high volume, indicating strong market participation. After the breakout, a minor pullback (retest) occurred, confirming previous resistance as new support. The price surged upward after the retest, validating the bullish trade setup. 4. Trade Setup & Risk Management A. Entry Strategy A trader would enter a buy (long) position after confirming the breakout. Entry Trigger: Either at breakout (high-risk, early entry) Or after a successful retest (safer entry) B. Stop Loss Placement A stop loss is placed below the previous support level at 1.07276, ensuring risk is limited in case of a false breakout. C. Target Projection The target price is measured using the height of the triangle added to the breakout level. Based on this calculation, the projected target is around 1.12838. 5. Conclusion & Trading Plan The EUR/USD pair has executed a clean ascending triangle breakout, signaling further bullish movement. The trading plan suggests: ✅ Entry: Buy after breakout confirmation or retest. ✅ Stop Loss: Placed below 1.07276 for risk management. ✅ Take Profit: Targeting 1.12838, based on the pattern’s height projection. This setup presents a high-probability long opportunity in a trending market, with proper risk management to protect against potential reversals.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
Skeptic | EUR/USD at a Crossroads: Breakout or Reversal?Welcome back, guys! 👋 I'm Skeptic. Today, we're diving deep into EUR/USD , analyzing key levels and potential triggers. 🔍Recap & Current Structure: As mentioned in our previous analysis , after the previous uptrend, EUR/USD entered a consolidation phase. Our short trigger at 1.07124 played out well, reaching an R/R of 2—if you followed the idea, you saw the results! Now, we’ve formed a new structure , which is more visible on the 1H timeframe. After breaking the descending trendline and pulling back , we've now created a higher high , indicating a potential move toward the top of the box at 1.09453 . With DXY weakening, the expectation leans towards an uptrend continuation, but we remain flexible—if our short trigger activates, we'll take it as well because we approach the market with a two-sided, skeptical view rather than a fixed bias. 📈 Bullish Scenario (Long Setup): Trigger: Break & close above 1.08454 Confirmation: 7 SMA below the candle during the breakout + RSI entering overbought ]Invalidation: Rejection + close back below 1.07666 📉 Bearish Scenario (Short Setup): Trigger: Rejection at 1.08278 + drop below 1.07666 Confirmation: RSI entering oversold ⚠️ Key Notes: Fundamentals: This Friday is NFP day—a crucial event for the markets. Given the recent uptrend in EUR/USD, a pullback is likely, so stay prepared for both triggers. Risk Management: Avoid overleveraging—wait for confirmed breaks before entering. Stay sharp, and I’ll see you in the next analysis!
by SkepticWise
1
EUR/USD Ready to Soar? Bullish Setup Unfolding!Hi traders! Analyzing EUR/USD on the 1H timeframe, spotting a potential entry: 🔹 Entry: 1.0831 USD 🔹 TP: 1.0983 USD 🔹 SL: 1.0672 USD EUR/USD is respecting a key trendline support, suggesting a potential bullish continuation. RSI is holding above 60, and MACD shows signs of bullish momentum. If the price remains above the support line, we could see a push toward 1.0983 USD. Keep an eye on price action! ⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice. Trade responsibly.
Long
by FXOnTop
2
EURUSD - Correction in the short termGiven that the order flow is bullish on the daily and 15-minute time frames, we expect a temporary correction to begin. Of course, it should be noted that Trump’s recent speech has caused erratic price movement, but my view is that the price hit the daily order block during this speech and collected liquidity above the 4-hour order block. Therefore, we will soon see a bearish order flow on the short time frame, and this movement could go down to the bottom of the 4-hour swing structure (1.07417 range) in the first stage.
Short
by alixjey
1
Eur/Usd 4H Market Update – 03 Apr 2025Following recent tariff-related developments in the US, broad dollar softness contributed to EUR/USD moving above the 1.095 level — a zone that had held since November 2024. From a technical perspective, a few scenarios may unfold depending on broader market sentiment and price action: • The pair may approach the 1.12 region, where previous price action showed signs of slowing momentum, potentially leading to a move back toward 1.10. • If current dollar softness persists, a sustained break above 1.12 could open the path toward the 1.145 area. • Alternatively, the pair could revisit the 1.09 region, which has acted as a significant level in the past, before any renewed upward movement occurs. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
by easyMarkets
EURUSD Surges to 1.10 levels post-Trump Tariffs: BUY or SELL?Current Situation: EUR/USD spiked to 1.10 levels(up sharply) following Trump’s tariff announcement, defying initial expectations of short-term USD strength. This suggests markets are pricing in long-term risks to the USD (growth fears, retaliatory tariffs) faster than anticipated. Key Drivers Behind the Move: 1. Tariff Backfire Risk: Investors may fear tariffs will hurt U.S. growth more than Europe’s, weakening the USD. 2. ECB vs. Fed Policy Shift: Bets that the **Fed could cut rates sooner** if tariffs slow U.S. inflation/growth, while the ECB delays cuts. 3. Retaliation Bets: Expectations of aggressive EU countermeasures (e.g., tariffs on U.S. tech/agriculture) boosting EUR sentiment. --- Technical Analysis (EUR/USD Daily Chart) - ✅ Breakout Confirmed : Price surged till 2024's resistance, now testing 1.10 levels (psychological levels). - RSI: Overbought, suggesting short-term pullback risk. #EURUSD #TrumpTariffs #ForexTrading #Breakout #USDweakness
by AkiSignals
EURUSD Volatility Alert: Can It Sustain A Break of 2025 Highs?President Trump’s confirmation of the size and scope of his reciprocal tariffs last night at a much-anticipated ‘Liberation Day’ event in the rose garden at the White House has resulted in a broad wave of negative risk off sentiment which has seen global stock markets fall, and US indices especially come under severe pressure. This trade war escalation has also led to dollar selling overnight, with the US Dollar Index dipping over 1% to fresh 7 month lows, EURUSD and GBPUSD both trading to multi-month highs, while USDJPY and USDCHF have fallen. A reason for this move could be that traders and investors may now be increasingly concerned about the negative impact pursuing this tariff policy may have on the US economy, as global trading partners retaliate with tariff measures of their own on US imports. If that were to be the case, then the outcome of the US ISM Services PMI survey later today at 1500 BST and then tomorrow’s Non-farm Payrolls announcement, which is released at 1330 BST, could have a bearing on whether EURUSD continues this recent break above 2025 range highs at 1.0937/55, or falls back lower again. Both of these data releases could provide traders with an important health check on the current state of the US economy. EURUSD Technical Outlook Reaction to the latest news on US tariffs has seen USD selling pressure emerge, and this has resulted in an upside acceleration in EURUSD overnight and so far this morning. A move that is attempting to break and close above what traders may well be focusing as an important resistance area at 1.0937/55. This resistance area is equal to both the November 5th, 2024, and March 18th, 2025, recovery highs. Previously, these levels capped upside momentum which ultimately resulted in price weakness developing again. Meaning this area might be important if the current upside move in EURUSD is now able to break and close above this range, as it may be an indication buyers are beginning to gain the upper hand once more and might be able to push EURUSD to higher levels. However, it must be said, a confirmed closing break of this type of resistance is no guarantee of a more sustained phase of price strength, especially given the important economic data and retaliatory tariff updates that are due to be released. What are the Next Possible Resistance Levels if a Confirmed Upside Break Does Materialise? A successful confirmed break of the 1.0937/55 resistance area might be an indication that traders are starting to look at the possibility of higher levels. So let’s have a look at what these levels might be. As the chart above shows, a bounce failure high was established at 1.0997 on October 8th, 2024, which having previously held attempts at strength may do so again. That said, if this in turn was to give way, it could then be the September 25th high at 1.1214 that traders may look to as a potential important resistance level. What If the Current Price Strength Fails? As we have said, even if closes above the 1.0937/55 resistance area are seen, it is no guarantee of further upside moves. It is possible the current price strength may not be sustained, and fresh downside moves in price are seen again. As such, let's look at some potential downside support levels to monitor. The first support if a period of EURUSD price weakness now develops may be 1.0889, which is the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the latest upside strength. This may be an area that might limit future price declines. However, if a break below this potential support were to occur, risks may then turn towards a deeper decline to 1.0828, which is the 61.8% retracement, or if this level was broken, even back towards the March 27th, 2025, low at 1.0733. The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
by Pepperstone
POTENTIAL LONG TRADE SET UP FOR EURUSDAnalysis: Utilizing chart patterns, highs & lows, and impulses & corrections, the focus is on identifying a continuation corrective structure following a breakout. The price has approached the lower bound of a bullish continuation structure on the higher time frame (HTF) with a broadening descending structure on the Mid time frame (MTF). We will now monitor for a bullish impulse and continuation structure to identify a potential entry point for the trade. Expectation: A upward move is expected, with the initial target at 1.08 and subsequently at the top of the HTF bullish continuation structure. ⚠️ Reminder: Always conduct your own analysis and apply proper risk management, as forex trading involves no guarantees. This is a high-risk activity, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trade responsibly!
Long
by TheTradingAmbience
12
The Day Ahead Economic Data Releases (Market Impact) US: March ISM Services PMI – Key gauge of economic activity in the services sector. A higher-than-expected number could fuel rate hike concerns. February Trade Balance – Trade deficit/surplus could influence USD sentiment. Initial Jobless Claims – A lower figure may strengthen USD as it signals a strong labor market. UK: March Official Reserves Changes – Could impact GBP if there are significant shifts. China: March Caixin Services PMI – A strong reading could boost market sentiment, supporting risk assets. Italy & Eurozone: March Services PMI (Italy) & February PPI (Eurozone) – Weak data could reinforce ECB rate cut expectations, affecting EUR. Canada: February International Merchandise Trade – Affects CAD; trade surplus could strengthen the currency. Switzerland: March CPI – Inflation trends impact SNB policy expectations and CHF. Central Bank Events (Market Moving) US Fed Speakers (Jefferson, Cook) – Any hints on future rate hikes/cuts will drive USD and bond markets. ECB March Meeting Account – Insight into ECB’s rate path; dovish tone may weaken EUR. BoE March DMP Survey – Expectations on inflation and growth, potentially influencing GBP. Geopolitical Event NATO Foreign Ministers Meeting (April 3-4) – Any geopolitical developments could impact risk sentiment, affecting oil prices, defense stocks, and safe-haven assets. Trading Relevance USD: High impact from ISM Services PMI, jobless claims, and Fed speeches. EUR: ECB minutes and Eurozone PPI could drive movement. GBP: BoE survey and UK reserves data in focus. CAD: Trade balance key for CAD direction. CHF: Inflation print may influence SNB rate expectations. Risk Sentiment: Watch China PMI and NATO meeting for broader market impact. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation