EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W17 D23 Y25EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W17 D23 Y25
Summary
- Weekly Order Block
- Daily Order Block
- 15' Order Block
- Break of 15' structure
Requirements
- Setup A) Continued 15' breaks of structure. Price action pull back to point of interest.
- Setup B) Lower time frame break of structure via current 15' order block for immediate short.
FRGNT X
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USDEUR trade ideas
WHY EURUSD IS STILL BULLISH DETAILED ANALYSIS We closely monitoring EUR/USD, which is currently trading around 1.0430. The pair has shown resilience after rebounding from the 1.0220 support level, forming a bullish engulfing pattern on the 3-day chart. This pattern suggests potential for a bullish reversal, especially as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) recovers from oversold conditions. The price action aligns with the lower boundary of a long-term descending channel, indicating a possible shift in trend.
Fundamentally, the euro is under pressure due to the European Central Bank's (ECB) recent rate cut to 2.25%, marking the seventh reduction since mid-2024. This move aims to counteract the economic slowdown exacerbated by U.S. tariffs on EU imports. In contrast, the U.S. dollar faces its challenges, with political tensions arising from President Trump's criticism of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell for not cutting rates swiftly. These dynamics have led to increased volatility and a weakened dollar, influencing EUR/USD movements.
Technically, the ascending triangle pattern observed on the 4-hour chart supports a bullish outlook. A decisive break above the 1.0625 resistance could pave the way for targets at 1.0760 and subsequently 1.0850. However, traders should remain cautious, as a drop below the 1.0220 support might signal a continuation of the bearish trend, potentially testing parity levels.
In the current market environment, it's crucial to stay updated with economic indicators and geopolitical developments. Key events, such as U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls and Eurozone inflation data, will provide further insights into the pair's direction. Employing sound risk management strategies and staying informed will be essential for navigating the EUR/USD landscape effectively.
EUR/USD trades with sizeable gains above 1.1500, at over three-yThe Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator on the 4-hour chart rose above 70, reflecting overbought conditions for EUR/USD. On the downside, 1.1500 (mid-point of the ascending channel) aligns as first support before 1.1450 (static level) and 1.1400 (20-period Simple Moving Average).
Looking north, first resistance could be spotted at 1.1600 (static level, round level) ahead of 1.1670 (upper limit of the ascending channel).
EURUSD: BUY trend continuesEURUSD is taking a breather, but bulls are still in charge. The 2-hour chart shows price well above key moving averages, keeping the uptrend alive. Momentum has cooled slightly, yet indicators stay near highs—no real signs of weakness. Dips toward 1.1500 are likely to draw buyers back in.
EUR/USD – 15D Chart Breakdown📈 EUR/USD – 15D Chart Breakdown
Let me be clear—this isn't a guess. This is structure.
After tapping into the 1.017 level (Fibonacci base), price made a clean reversal, printed a solid bullish candle, and has now closed above the 1.127 zone.
🚀 I'm now watching: • Fibonacci Extension 1.618 (1.1850)
• Then the previous high at 1.2349
• With the 2.618 at 1.2882 if the momentum keeps pushing
💡 I don’t react to noise.
I focus on zone behavior, candle reaction, and overall trend maturity.
This isn’t about being right—it’s about staying aligned with the market narrative.
🧠 Patience > Prediction
📅 15D candles don’t lie—retail panic does.
EURUSD H4 | Bullish Bounce Off Based on the H4 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 1.1426, a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit is set at 1.1603, aligning with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
The stop loss is placed at 1.1266, a swing low support.
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EUR/USD 13% price swing+++ pivot is soon perhaps.EUR/USD is plus 13% price swing based on a 3.25% price deviation. It is more than 2x plus it's average and also double it's average timespan for average move is 5.56% and usually takes 46 days on average. It's average candle count is 196 H4 candles. We are 423 H4 candles as shown in my image. We are close to a pivot swing point. I believe it will me a minor swing pivot of about 5%. Then the bullish momentum wil continue to the upside.
EUR/USD SHORT POSITIONDuring a market turnover the market usually retest or fills left over market gaps or imbalances before continuation. This would be a perfect time for EUR Buyers to get washed out before market decides to continue to the upside. This also would close the losing positions of the market makers shorts against the retail Investors and they would get better buy order before continuation of Q2 books for EUR/USD positions.
EURUSD | Short‑Term Pullback Meets First Support ZoneI know a lot of you have been watching EURUSD closely. With recent developments, we could see a modest dip before the next leg up in the euro.
What’s Driving the Dollar
End of Market Indecision
As uncertainty fades, the dollar’s safe‑haven appeal eases. Investors feel more confident stepping into riskier assets.
U.S.–China Dialogue
News that the U.S. and China are ready to resume high‑level talks removes a huge overhang. Less trade‑war fear means less upward pressure on USD.
Solid Economic Data
Last week’s jobless claims and employment figures were far from recession‑level weakness. That supports the dollar in the near term.
Short‑Term Outlook
Putting these factors together, EURUSD may unwind some of its recent gains. Sellers could push price lower into the blue box, which marks our first support area.
Long‑Term Perspective
Even so, remember that President Trump’s ongoing policy surprises tend to rattle confidence in the dollar over time. Once this short‑term pullback is over, the euro stands to resume its broader uptrend.
How to Trade It
Wait for price to dip into the blue box
Look for lower‑time‑frame bullish breaks confirmed by CDV signals
Enter a long only when you see a clean structure shift and volume support
If price breaks below the blue box without a retest, stay out or reassess
This approach keeps risk tight and lets the market prove itself first. Many traders jump in too early. If you follow these steps, you’ll join the move with conviction rather than guesswork. I’ve built my track record by trading exactly this way—patiently and with clear confirmations. Stay tuned and let’s capture the next leg up together.
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📌If you would like to learn how to use the heatmap, cumulative volume delta and volume footprint techniques that I use below to determine very accurate demand regions, you can send me a private message. I help anyone who wants it completely free of charge.
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EURUSD ANALYSISEUR/USD – 2H Bullish Continuation Play
Following a sharp breakout, EUR/USD is gracefully pulling back toward the 1.1095–1.1149 demand zone, now acting as support. This zone holds significance as a potential launchpad for the next bullish wave.
A higher low formation here could ignite continuation toward 1.1471, with extended upside into 1.1605, presenting a clean and favorable risk-to-reward opportunity.
The structure is clear, the momentum is aligned, and the setup reflects a well-composed bullish scenario ideal for patient and precise execution.
▫️ Impulsive breakout
▫️ Retracement to demand zone (1.1095–1.1149)
▫️ Looking for higher low → continuation
🎯 TP1: 1.1471
🎯 TP2: 1.1605
🛡️ Clean R:R, perfect for trend followers.
#EURUSD 2H Technical Analysis Expected Move.
EURUSD Wave Analysis – 21 April 2025
- EURUSD broke the resistance area
- Likely to test resistance level 1.1600
EURUSD currency pair recently broke the resistance area between the resistance trendline of the daily up channel from the end of February and the resistance level 1.1465 (which stopped the previous impulse wave i).
The breakout of this area accelerated the active short-term impulse wave 3 from the end of March.
Given the moderately bullish euro sentiment, EURUSD currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 1.1600 (target price for the completion of the active impulse wave 3).
EURUSD CRACK!I first turned bullish on the EUR back in November 2024 after the disastrous election results.
I have always felt the 105 area was a good area to go long, fundamentally going back all the way to 2017. Here is an example.
After 17 years of data, we can all agree that the 105 area was a great value to get long the EUR. Now we see a major CRACK! in the chart with the fundamentals to back it up.
Again, I remind you I am a MACRO Trader. So my trades hold for a long, long time unless the facts change. I don't do 3 pips and i am out crap!
Let this be a WARNING! To the dollar bulls!
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EURUSD 21 ABRIL 2025This could be the potential move for EURUSD that I’d be expecting for the week, based on the outlook of a continued weaker dollar.
Trump’s clear intention is to weaken the economy, and with a higher likelihood of interest rate cuts, this could increase the value of other assets relative to the dollar.
EURUSD 4H LongTrading Idea: Long Position on EURUSD
This chart illustrates a short position on EURUSD, capitalizing on Fibonacci Retracement and Order block
Analysis:
• Market Structure: The overall market structure is in bullish mode.
• Fair Value Gap: With recent breakout (both internal and external), the market created fair value gap, hence we expect retracement to fill that gap before giving further breakout.
• Fibonacci Retracement: We expect the market to retrace to the Fibonacci Golden level of 61.8%
• Order Block: We can also place another limit order near the Order Block.
Trade plan 1:
• Entry: 1.13705
• Stop Loss: 1.13144
• Take Profit: 1.15733
• Risk-Reward: 1:3.5
Trade plan 2:
• Entry: 1.2922
• Stop Loss: 1.1239
• Take Profit: 1.14082
• Risk-Reward: 1:2
Disclaimer : The information provided here is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading in financial markets involves significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always do your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any trading decisions. The author is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information.
EUR/USD OUTLOOK (READ CAPTION BELOW)As of April 17, 2025, the EUR/USD currency pair is exhibiting a cautiously bullish technical outlook, though broader market sentiment remains mixed.
Forecasts
Short-Term: Analysts suggest that if current trends persist, the EUR/USD could reach 1.14754 in the near term .
April 2025: Projections indicate a potential rise to 1.16024 by the end of April, marking a 10.6% monthly gain .
Technical Outlook:
From a technical perspective, the EUR/USD has surpassed key resistance levels, with the next significant resistance anticipated around the 1.14754 mark. On the downside, support levels are observed between 1.12789 and 1.12600, areas that previously acted as resistance.
Market Sentiment:
Market sentiment indicates a strong bullish trend for the EUR/USD pair. Technical analysis suggests a "Strong Buy" recommendation on both daily and weekly timeframes.
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EURUSD - ANALYSIS👀 Observation:
Hello, everyone! I hope you're doing well. I’d like to share my analysis of EUR-USD with you.
Looking at the EUR-USD chart, the pair has been in an downward channel since 2008. Currently, we are at the top of the channel. If we see a weakening of the trend on the monthly timeframe, I expect the beginning of a major downward movement.
📉 Expectation:
Bearish Scenario: A potential drop starting from here with the first target being the descending trendline around 0.9250.
Second Target: The red zone I’ve highlighted, around 0.8700.
💡 Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: Top of the channel
Support: Descending trendline around 0.9250
💬 What are your thoughts on EUR-USD this week? Let me know in the comments!
Trade safe
EUR/USD – Pullback Entry After Weekly Breakout🧠 Macro View
LEI rising steadily: 71.5 → 81.15
Endogenous strength improving each month
Exo+LEI composite score: 498.65 → one of the strongest major FX models
USD: Fundamentally weak with dovish Fed, neutral COT
📅 Seasonality
📈 EUR Index bullish throughout April
📉 USD Index bearish all month
🔥 EUR/USD seasonality = strong long bias into April 30
📈 Technical Setup (4H Chart)
Price has broken weekly resistance → now acting as turncoat support
Expecting pullback to 0.382 Fib level (~1.1462) before continuation
Structure + macro + seasonality aligned for high-conviction long
📥 Entry: 1.1462 (Fib 0.382 retracement zone)
⛔ Stop Loss: Below (1.12424)
🎯 Take Profit: Retest high or 1.1583 and beyond (extension optional)
🧮 R:R ≈ 1:2.2+