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USDEUR trade ideas

EURUSD – Bearish Outlook After Inducement and RejectionEURUSD recently delivered a sharp rejection from the 1.13700 resistance zone, a level that previously acted as a strong barrier for price. This area had already shown signs of supply in the past, and the latest reaction only strengthens the case for continued bearish interest at that level. The rejection candle was large, clean, and decisive, showing that sellers aggressively stepped in after price entered the premium zone. This shift now places focus on how price navigates lower timeframes in the short term, especially as we approach key liquidity levels and structural points of interest. Sweep Setup and Liquidity Outlook Despite the rejection, one notable feature left behind is a 1H swing high just under 1.13400. This high remains untapped and likely holds buy-side liquidity from breakout traders. It’s common to see price sweep such local highs before turning lower, especially after a clear rejection from a major zone like the one above. This potential inducement move, where price runs the high to gather liquidity and trap late buyers, is what I’ll be watching closely next. The scenario I’m anticipating is a relatively short-lived push higher, just enough to clear the swing high liquidity before price shifts bearish again. This behavior fits within the broader bearish structure and could serve as the final fuel needed before a deeper move to the downside unfolds. Key Levels and Technical Context The first point of interest comes in at the 1.12182 level, which is marked on the chart. This level is not rando, it aligns with previous structure, sits near a micro-breaker, and is positioned just above a fair value gap. If we do get the anticipated sweep of the 1H high, this 1.12182 area becomes a highly sensitive zone where the next key reaction could occur. What makes this POI important is that it serves as a decision point for the market. If the sweep occurs and price aggressively sells off into this level, we can start watching for continuation setups. But if price stalls or consolidates here, we’ll need to evaluate whether the bearish momentum is still intact or if a shift is occurring. If bearish pressure continues, the next downside target is the POI around 1.11300. This level is nested cleanly inside a higher-timeframe fair value gap, and it also overlaps with a prior demand zone. From a liquidity standpoint, it’s the logical draw, resting sell-side liquidity is likely building beneath those May lows, and the market could easily target that zone once 1.12182 is breached. Momentum, Structure, and Execution Plan The current structure is bearish, but short-term strength is still on the table until the sweep of the 1H high plays out. I’m not interested in selling into strength just yet, I’d prefer to see the inducement leg complete, followed by signs of weakness such as bearish engulfing structures, lower timeframe market structure breaks, or clean fair value gap entries forming after the sweep. Once price breaks below 1.12182 decisively, it opens the path toward the next liquidity pocket at 1.11300. Any signs of continuation post-rejection from that first POI would be used to look for scalable short entries with tight risk and larger reward-to-risk ratios. Conclusion EURUSD is setting up for a clean liquidity run above the 1H high, following a strong rejection from higher timeframe resistance. The plan is to let price run that liquidity, then look for bearish signs to engage short down toward 1.12182. If that level fails to hold and bearish pressure continues, the 1.11300 POI becomes the next logical target. The structure is lining up well for this sequence, but execution will depend on how price behaves around the key inducement and reaction zones. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
Short
by TehThomas
29
EURUSD tested the Resistance level 1.13700 👀 Possible scenario: The euro fell 0.46% against the U.S. dollar on May 22, as fiscal concerns grew over President Trump’s proposed budget, which could add $4 trillion to the U.S. debt, according to the CBO. Moody’s also downgraded the U.S. credit rating to Aa1, citing rising deficits. Despite ongoing U.S.-China diplomatic talks, the dollar remained under pressure amid weak trade progress. On May 23, markets await U.S. New Home Sales data at 2:30 p.m. UTC. Strong results may push EUR/USD lower, while weak numbers could lift the pair above 1.13660. ✅ Support and Resistance Levels Now, the support level is located at 1.12265. Resistance level is located at 1.13700.
by MaxOnMarkets
EURUSD Technical Analysis.This is a 1-hour chart of the EUR/USD (Euro/US Dollar) currency pair, showing a potential bullish trade setup. Here's the breakdown: Current Price: 1.12823 Trade Setup: Entry Zone: Around the current market price (1.12823) Target (Take Profit): Near 1.13150 (marked with the bullseye and green zone above) Stop Loss: Around 1.12232 (red zone below) Pattern Insight: The chart shows a bullish flag or correction channel after an uptrend. The price broke out of the descending correction, suggesting a potential continuation of the prior uptrend. Summary of Setup: Direction: Long (Buy) Risk-to-Reward: Favorable, with stop loss tightly placed under recent lows Bias: Bullish, expecting upward momentum continuation Would you like a combined analysis of all three trade setups (BTC/USD, USD/JPY, and EUR/USD)?
Long
by XAUUSD_EXPERT_Team
1
EURUSD Bearish Divergence – Short Trade Active (1H)Description: EURUSD formed a bearish divergence on the 1-hour timeframe — with RSI showing lower highs while price created higher highs. This signaled weakening bullish momentum and a potential reversal. ✅ Breakout Confirmed: The recent low has been broken, confirming bearish structure. I've entered the short position accordingly. 🔽 Live Trade Details: Entry: After breakout of divergence low (marked on chart) Stop Loss (SL): Above recent swing high Take-Profit (TP): TP1: Near next support zone TP2: Trail depending on price action / momentum 📌 Key Factors: Bearish divergence confirmed by RSI Break of structure = entry trigger Defined risk with favorable R:R Trade is being managed actively 📅 Timeframe: 1H ⚠️ Trade in progress – managing position based on developing price action.
Short
by razashabbir218
Euro will start to grow from support and then leave pennantHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Previously, price was moving confidently inside an upward channel, forming steady higher highs and higher lows. After a clear breakout from that structure, the price started consolidating inside a new pattern, an upward pennant. This formation usually appears as a continuation structure, where the market builds pressure before a new impulse. Currently, the price is trading near the middle of the pennant, after rolling down from the resistance line and rebounding up from the support area. The structure is compressing, and a retest of the support line near 1.1155 may occur before a breakout happens. Given the confluence of the pennant structure, the strong support area, and the previous bullish momentum, I expect the Euro to rebound again from the lower trend line and initiate an upward breakout. That’s why I set my TP 1 at the 1.1500 level, a logical target aligned with the upper boundary of the pattern and next key resistance. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀 Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Long
by LegionQ8
6
EURUSD Under Pressure After Weak Eurozone PMIsEurozone PMIs disappointed, and EURUSD is feeling the negative pressure as a result. After breaking above 1.1275, EURUSD is now trading within the 1.1275–1.1375 range. Despite the weak PMI, shaky U.S. bond markets and a stronger Japanese yen are contributing to a weaker dollar, which is offering some support to EURUSD. The Eurozone composite PMI fell to 49.5 from 50.4, missing expectations of a rise to 50.6. After just four months above 50, the drop back into contraction territory highlights that the Eurozone remains far from recovery. On a positive note, the manufacturing component is starting to show signs of improvement. Following the data and the news that the "big, beautiful bill" passed in the U.S. House, EURUSD is trying to hold the former resistance at 1.1275, which is now acting as support. If this level fails, the next downside target would be 1.1215. On the upside, 1.1375 and 1.1425 remain key resistance levels. While 1.1425 holds greater long-term significance, 1.1375 may cap gains for the remainder of the week.
by ftdsystem
EURUSD Technical Analysis! SELL! My dear followers, This is my opinion on the EURUSD next move: The asset is approaching an important pivot point 1.1348 Bias - Bearish Safe Stop Loss - 1.1396 Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market. Goal - 1.1273 About Used Indicators: For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
4
EUR/USD Rebounds, Eurozone Data EyedEUR/USD climbed to around 1.1310 during Friday’s Asian session, rebounding as U.S. Treasury yields declined, the 30-year yield slipped from its 19-month high of 5.15%, weighing on the dollar. The recovery follows the House passing Trump’s fiscal bill, which revived deficit worries. Earlier, strong U.S. PMI figures (Composite: 52.1, Manufacturing & Services: 52.3) had briefly strengthened the dollar. Fed Governor Waller hinted at possible rate cuts if tariffs stabilize, while Trump renewed threats of higher tariffs on the EU. On the European front, ECB officials expect inflation to return to near 2% by end-2025, though growth remains subdued. Eurozone PMIs showed services at 48.9 and manufacturing at 49.4. Focus now shifts to Germany’s GDP release. Resistance is at 1.1390, with higher levels at 1.1460 and 1.1580. First support lies at 1.1260, followed by 1.1100 and 1.1050.
by ChartMage
EURO/USD bullish recovery phase following a previous downtrend.Ichimoku Cloud is applied, showing trend momentum and support/resistance. Price Levels: Current price: 1.1342 SELL / 1.1343 BUY OB: Marked as a potential Order Block zone (smart money concept), indicating prior institutional activity or demand area. --- Trend Analysis Market appears to be in a bullish recovery phase following a previous downtrend. Diagonal trendline support is holding (marked by upward arrows), confirming an ascending structure. Breakout scenario is expected as price approaches consolidation near resistance. --- Cloud Interaction Price has broken above the Ichimoku Cloud, a bullish signal, indicating potential for continuation. The cloud now acts as dynamic support, confirmed by the bounce shown with the blue arrows. --- Projection The chart outlines a projected bullish path: Retesting the trendline or cloud support Moving upward toward the green resistance zone Final bullish target at 1.1550–1.1600 area, labeled “TARGET POINT” --- Summary This is a bullish continuation setup on EUR/USD: Support respected (diagonal trendline + Ichimoku cloud) Price structure forming higher lows A clear roadmap to a bullish breakout toward a predefined target zone. This chart reflects strategic, institutional-style trading, combining smart money concepts (Order Block), Ichimoku trend following, and breakout potential. Let me know if you want a trade setup drafted or a risk-reward breakdown.
Long
by Johnson67
EURUSD – 1H Update on Our Previous EURUSD Post +60 PipsAs expected from our last idea, price reacted well to our 1H Order Block zones. 🔹 Upon receiving bullish confirmation on the 3-minute timeframe, we entered a long position, which has now moved 60 pips in our favor. 📍 Current Setup: Price is now at a decision point – around yesterday’s high (PDH) and the 1H supply (OB). ✅ If price breaks above PDH (dashed yellow line), it could lead to a clean break of the 1H resistance and continuation to the upside. 🚫 However, if bullish momentum weakens, there’s a real chance price may pull back to collect buy-side liquidity in the blue and green demand boxes below. ⚠️ It’s Friday – trade with caution! Late-week volatility and false spikes are common before weekly close. 🔍 Insight by ProfitaminFX If this outlook aligns with your bias, or if you see it differently, feel free to share your perspective in the comments. Let’s grow together 📈
by ProfitaminFX
EUR/USD M15 Break & Retest Setup Price has broken above the key resistance zone around 1.13200–1.13250 and is currently forming a potential pullback. I'm watching for a retest of this zone to act as new support. If we get a bullish rejection or strong engulfing candle at this level, I'll consider a long entry targeting the next liquidity zone above 1.13500+. Setup aligns with EMA20/50 bullish crossover and momentum shift. Plan: ✅ Wait for price to revisit and hold above 1.13200–1.13250 ✅ Look for bullish confirmation 🎯 Target: 1.13550+ 🛑 Invalidation: Clean break below 1.13150 Let’s see if the retest holds!"**
Long
by dannyrahadian
EURUSD WEEKLY PLAN: Bullish Breakout Toward Multi-Year Highs?EURUSD is showing a strong bullish structure after breaking above a key resistance zone. Price is now retesting a former SBR (Support Becomes Resistance) level, with potential for a continued rally toward higher zones. 📌 Scenario Outlook: A retest of the 1.1600–1.1800 area could act as a launchpad. If buyers hold control, the market may aim for targets near 1.2100–1.2300, aligning with previous highs. ⚠️ Monitor for bullish price action confirmation during the retest phase. Break above the 1.20 handle could signal strong momentum into 2025.
by RakyatTrader
Lingrid | EURUSD potential Trend MOMENTUM ContinuationThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . FX:EURUSD continues its recovery within the upward channel, having rebounded strongly from the 1.1316 support, aligned with the rising trendline. The pair is forming a higher low, and the structure hints at another bullish leg, potentially pushing into the 1.14 resistance near the channel's top. As long as price holds the 1.1316 zone, the bullish scenario remains valid. A break below would shift the bias back toward the 1.1217 support area. 📈 Key Levels Buy zone: 1.1316 – 1.1330 Buy trigger: bounce continuation from trendline Target: 1.1400 Sell trigger: breakdown below 1.1316 💡 Risks A hawkish tone from the ECB could cause volatility. False breakout patterns near resistance might trap buyers. Loss of the trendline would weaken bullish conviction. Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
Long
by Lingrid
7
Bullish bounce?The Fiber (EUR/USD) has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 1.1263 1st Support: 1.1166 1st Resistance: 1.1423 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
1
Big Picture Shift: EURUSD Bulls Eye 1.23–1.25 Zone📊 EURUSD – Has the Long-Term Trend Finally Reversed? Since the 2008 all-time high at 1.60, EURUSD has been in a persistent downtrend, dropping all the way below parity in September 2022. Following the recovery back above parity, the pair has been range-bound in a 700-pip channel for nearly two years. And while early 2025 brought a sharp decline toward the 1.02 zone, this move was quickly reversed, forming what now looks like a higher low relative to the sub-parity bottom. ❓ The big question: Is the long-term trend now bullish? There are several signs supporting this idea: ✅ From 2008 to 2014, the pair formed a massive descending triangle, which eventually broke to the downside. ✅ The area around 1.05 held as a long-term support, and price began trading in a broader range with 1.22–1.23 resistance. ✅ The break below parity could now be interpreted as a false breakdown, with the strong reversal from 1.02 this year confirming the historical support zones from 2015 and 2017. ✅ Most importantly, the recent push to 1.1550 could be the first higher high on the long-term chart — a potential signal that the downtrend of nearly two decades is ending. 🎯 Conclusion and Long-Term Target In my view, the long-term trend has shifted. The structure now favors bullish continuation, and my primary target on the long term is the 1.23–1.25 zone. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Long
by Mihai_Iacob
6
Fundamental Market Analysis for May 23, 2025 EURUSDEvent to pay attention today: 17:00 EET. USD- Volume of home sales on the primary market EURUSD: EUR/USD is recovering its recent losses from the previous session and is trading around 1.1310 during Asian hours on Friday. The pair is rising on the back of lower US Treasury yields, which continue to decline after the US 30-year bond yield retreated from 5.15 per cent, the highest in 19 months. US President Donald Trump's ‘One Big Beautiful Bill’ has passed the House of Representatives and is on its way to the Senate, sparking fears of a widening budget deficit in the United States (US). However, EUR/USD lost around 0.50 per cent on Thursday as the US dollar gained as the S&P Global Composite Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for May came in at 52.1, up from April's 50.6. Meanwhile, the manufacturing PMI rose to 52.3 from 50.2 previously, while the services PMI rose to 52.3 from 50.8. Fed Chairman Christopher Waller noted on Thursday that markets are watching fiscal policy. Waller also said that if rates are close to 10%, the economy will be in good shape for H2 and the Fed may be in a position to cut rates later this year. The Financial Times reported that President Trump is pushing the European Union (EU) to cut tariffs or impose more duties. US Trade Representative Greer is set to tell fellow EU Commissioner for Trade and Economic Security, Maroš Šefčovič, that the recent ‘explanatory memorandum’ does not meet US expectations. Trading recommendation: BUY 1.13200, SL 1.13000, TP 1.14200
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004