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Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): Long to Resistance area 1.06898.Dear Colleagues, I see a continuation of the upward movement in the coming week. I believe that wave “1” and wave “2” of the higher order have been completed. Wave “2” of the lower order is either already completed or will be completed soon. I expect that either from the current positions or from the area of 1.04850 the price will start an upward movement to the resistance area of 1.06898. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Long
by Hellena_Trade
19
Learn Best Price Action Patterns For Trend-Following Trading In this educational articles, I will teach you the best price action patterns for Trend-Following Trading Forex. 📍Ascending & Descending Triangles The ascending triangle will be considered to be a trend-following pattern if the impulse leg preceding the formation of the pattern is bullish. The pattern consist of 2 main elements: a horizontal neckline based on the equal highs, a rising trend line based on the higher lows. ❗️The trigger is a bullish breakout of a neckline of the pattern and candle close above. 📈The position is opened on a retest. 🔴Stop loss is lying at least below the level of the last higher low. 🎯Take profit is the next historical resistance. Look at an ascending triangle formation on EURUSD on an hourly time frame. On the left, you can see the structure of the pattern and on the right, the trading plan. 📍The descending triangle will be considered to be a trend-following pattern if the impulse leg preceding the formation of the pattern is bearish. The pattern consist of 2 main elements: a horizontal neckline based on the equal lows, a falling trend line based on the lower highs. ❗️The trigger is a bearish breakout of a neckline of the pattern and candle close below. 📉The position is opened on a retest. 🔴Stop loss is lying at least above the level of the last lower high. 🎯Take profit is the next historical support. Above is a perfect descending triangle pattern that I spotted on GBPUSD on a 4H time frame. 📍Bullish & Bearish Wedges The bullish wedge pattern will be considered to be a trend-following pattern if the impulse leg preceding the formation of the pattern is bullish and the pattern is directed to the downside. The pattern consist of 2 contracting falling trend lines based on the lower lows and lower highs. ❗️The trigger is a bullish breakout of a resistance of the pattern and candle close above. 📈The position is opened on a retest. 🔴Stop loss is lying below the low of the pattern. 🎯Take profit is the high of the pattern. Above is a falling wedge pattern that I found on GBPUSD. The pattern is formed after a strong bullish impulse. A trigger to buy is a bullish breakout of its resistance. —————— The bearish wedge pattern will be considered to be a trend-following pattern if the impulse leg preceding the formation of the pattern is bearish and the pattern is directed to the upside. The pattern consist of 2 contracting rising trend lines based on the higher highs and higher lows. ❗️The trigger is a bearish breakout of a support of the pattern and candle close below. 📉The position is opened on a retest. 🔴Stop loss is lying above the high of the pattern. 🎯Take profit is the low of the pattern. To correctly sell this rising wedge pattern on EURUSD, we should wait for a breakout of its horizontal support and then sell the market on its retest. 📍Bullish & Bearish Flags The bullish flag pattern will be considered to be a trend-following pattern if the impulse leg preceding the formation of the pattern is bullish and the pattern is directed to the downside. The pattern consist of 2 parallel falling trend lines based on the lower lows and lower highs. ❗️The trigger is a bullish breakout of a resistance of the pattern and candle close above. 📈The position is opened on a retest. 🔴Stop loss is lying below the low of the pattern. 🎯Take profit is the high of the pattern. Above, you can see a perfect example of a bullish flag pattern on EURUSD on a 4H time frame and its trading strategy. —————— The bearish flag pattern will be considered to be a trend-following pattern if the impulse leg preceding the formation of the pattern is bearish and the pattern is directed to the upside. The pattern consist of 2 parallel rising trend lines based on the higher highs and higher lows. ❗️The trigger is a bearish breakout of a support of the pattern and candle close below. 📉The position is opened on a retest. 🔴Stop loss is lying above the high of the pattern. 🎯Take profit is the low of the pattern. Above is a bearish flag pattern on GBPUSD and a full plan to sell the market based on it. 📍Bullish & Bearish Symmetrical Triangles The bullish symmetrical triangle will be considered to be a trend-following pattern if the impulse leg preceding the formation of the pattern is bullish. The pattern consist of 2 contracting symmetrical trend lines based on the higher lows and lower highs. ❗️The trigger is a bullish breakout of a resistance of the pattern and candle close above. 📈The position is opened on a retest. 🔴Stop loss is lying at least below the last higher low of the pattern. 🎯Take profit is the high of the pattern. This bullish symmetrical triangle on EURUSD on an hourly time frame is a perfect example of a bullish trend-following pattern. —————— The bearish symmetrical triangle will be considered to be a trend-following pattern if the impulse leg preceding the formation of the pattern is bearish. The pattern consist of 2 contracting symmetrical trend lines based on the higher lows and lower highs. ❗️The trigger is a bearish breakout of a support of the pattern and candle close below. 📉The position is opened on a retest. 🔴Stop loss is lying at least above the last lower high of the pattern. 🎯Take profit is the low of the pattern. On the left chart, you can see a structure of a valid symmetrical triangle. On the right chart, you can see how to trade it properly. The main difficulty related to trading these patterns is their recognition. You should train your eyes to recognize them on a price chart. Once you learn to do that, I guarantee you that you will make tons of money trading them.
Education
by VasilyTrader
11
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by saurabh4398
EURUSD → False breakout of resistance. DowntrendFX:EURUSD is testing resistance in the downtrend phase. The maneuver ends with a false breakout of resistance at 1.067. On the daily timeframe the price is squeezed between the strong resistance at 1.06011 and the local support at 1.05. So, if the bears keep the defense below the key resistance, the currency pair will continue to fall in the short term. The target in this case may be the area of 1.05 - 1.044. But, technically, the retest of 1.067 may provoke a local breakout of the level and the price movement to the channel resistance against which there will also be a high probability of formation of a false breakout. Resistance levels: 1.067, 1.965, 1.076 Support levels: 1.0448, 1.0331 Emphasis on resistance. Confirmation of the nearest resistance in the form of price consolidation below the level, if retested, could be a good entry zone. But if resistance is broken, the focus will shift to 1.065 - 1.067
by MarketAnalyzar
EUR/USD 15-Minute Analysis: Breakout Opportunityn the 15-minute time frame, EUR/USD is approaching a purple resistance zone. Here's my idea: Entry Plan: If the price breaks out above the purple resistance with confirmation, it could provide a long entry opportunity. First Target: The next resistance level in the pink zone. Key Caution: Be mindful of the black line, where the Point of Control (POC) is located. This could act as a key level of reaction. Monitor price action carefully as we approach these levels to confirm the breakout and validate the move. Let me know your thoughts! 👍
Long
by WaveRiders2
EURUSD Technical Analysis: Bullish Reversal SetupEURUSD Technical Analysis: Bullish Reversal Setup Market Outlook: Potential Bullish Trend Emerging The EURUSD pair is showing promising signs of a significant trend reversal, with multiple technical indicators pointing to a potential bullish momentum in the near term. Traders should pay close attention to key support and resistance levels that could define the market's next move. Key Technical Levels - Support Level: 1.0520 (Potential Bullish Reversal Zone) - Critical Support: 1.0330 (Trend Invalidation Point) - Potential Bullish Target: 1.3200 Pattern Analysis The market has completed a clear ABC corrective pattern, setting the stage for a potential five-wave impulse move to the upside. This technical formation suggests a strong possibility of a trend reversal and subsequent bullish continuation. Trading Considerations 1. Entry Zone: Traders should watch the 1.0520 area carefully. This level represents a critical support zone that could trigger a bullish reversal. 2. Risk Management: The 1.0330 level serves as the trend invalidation point. Any sustained break below this level would negate the bullish scenario and require a reassessment of the market structure. 3. Upside Potential: The long-term bullish target remains at 1.3200, offering a substantial potential profit range for traders who can successfully navigate the initial reversal. Trading Strategy - Wait for confirmation of the bullish reversal around the 1.0520 support level - Look for clear five-wave move to the upside - Implement strict stop-loss measures below the 1.0330 invalidation point - Consider partial profit-taking at significant resistance levels As with all trading strategies, this analysis is not a guarantee of market movement. Traders should: - Use proper risk management - Implement stop-loss orders - Consider multiple timeframe analyses - Be prepared for potential market volatility Conclusion The EURUSD pair presents an intriguing bullish setup with well-defined technical parameters. Traders should remain vigilant, watching for confirmation of the proposed bullish reversal and the subsequent five-wave move. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult with a financial advisor before making trading decisions.
Long
by Akshulive
#EURUSD - 12122024I was bearish EURUSD for a move lower yesterday, then a bounce off 1.0476 strong level. EURUSD did not go up to 1.05552 sell level but we got a nice level to level move, from PZ to 1.0494, bounced back down before a move back down. Yesterday closed as a red day. I did said on weekly, we could see an up from here, but based on price action, I do not see a low yet. Thus IMO, I am looking at 1.0514 to hold for a move lower to 1.0476. IMO, if we are to get a low, we should see a clear reversal candle.
by FadeMeIfYouCan
EUR/USD in downward wedge, bouncing off Fib retracementEUR/USD is in a downward wedge and has bounced off the Fibonacci 50% retracement from the weekly chart, which is also in a supply zone, so there should be good support there. The upper trendline was already broken during the US CPI news today, but the price went back into the wedge. Resistance is probably not strong at least until US CPI news high, so there's a good chance of breaking up and out of the wedge and reaching at least the forecasted level.
Long
by SebFX
ECONOMIC FAMINE (PART 2)OVERVIEW The EUR/USD pair is locked in a strong downtrend, with major resistance at 1.13835 and critical support at 0.6155. A break below 0.8931 could signal severe economic implications. Technical indicators, including moving averages and oscillators, are predominantly bearish, with recent patterns hinting at a potential short-term bullish recovery above 1.0610, targeting levels like 1.0710, 1.0960, and 1.1320. Fundamentally, interest rate cuts by the ECB and Fed are key drivers of recent price action, keeping the pair in a narrow range. Long-term forecasts predict further euro weakness, making this a crucial time for traders to manage risk effectively. Position traders should watch for potential breakdowns below key support, while short-term traders may find opportunities in bullish momentum above resistance levels. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS The EUR/USD pair is experiencing a pronounced downtrend on the monthly timeframe, marked by significant pivot points: Pivot High: 1.16164 Resistance Level (Major): 1.13835 Resistance Level (Minor): 1.0630 Support Levels: 0.6155 (critical) and 0.5633 (pivot low). A close below 0.8931 would confirm a larger, catastrophic economic downturn, with price movements potentially signaling a "Global Economic Famine." Oscillators Indicators such as RSI (42.91), Stochastic %K (34.56), and Commodity Channel Index (-167.50) remain neutral, suggesting low momentum for a strong reversal in the short term. Momentum (-0.030) and MACD Level (-0.00416) indicate sell signals, aligning with the bearish sentiment. Moving Averages All major EMAs and SMAs across periods (10 to 200) are aligned as sell signals, emphasizing the persistent bearish trend. The Ichimoku Base Line at 1.05029 is neutral, providing limited support for bullish recovery. TECHNICAL PATTERN OBSERVATIONS A double-top formation at 1.1200 in September signaled bearish control, supported by a death cross in EMAs. Recent inverse head-and-shoulders at 1.0333 suggests a potential bullish recovery if the price sustains above 1.0610, targeting 1.0710, 1.0960, and 1.1320 FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS Interest Rate Outlook: In 2024, expectations for central bank rate cuts influenced the EUR/USD trading range between 1.0600–1.1210. The European Central Bank (ECB) initiated a rate cut in June (4.50% to 4.25%), while the US Federal Reserve followed in September (5.50% to 5.0%). Forecasts & Risks: Long-term projections for 2026-2027 show the euro likely declining to 1.0250–1.0300, with adjustments possible based on macroeconomic shifts. If resistance at 1.0630 is broken, the EUR/USD may target the 1.0960–1.1260 range. However, failure to maintain these levels will reinforce the broader bearish trend. STRATEGIC TAKEAWAYS Position Traders: Watch the critical support at 0.8931—a breach signals significant economic risks. Short-Term Traders: Closely monitor the 1.0610 level. Bullish action above this may present buying opportunities toward 1.0710, 1.0960, and 1.1320 but bearish dominance remains strong.
Short
by ProfessorCEWard
ECONOMIC CRASH (PART 1), anticipatoryMARKET OVERVIEW Recent data analysis highlights a significant concern regarding the EUR/USD market. With historical precedents and critical market behavior, the possibility of a global economic decline of -16.38% seems probable. This aligns with currency fundamentals where EUR (Financial Capital) and USD (Currency Capital) maintain critical global influence. The EUR/USD market currently reflects bearish sentiments, with technical and fundamental indicators aligning toward potential downside risks. This is a pivotal time for traders to implement robust strategies, safeguard equity, and leverage automated tools for precision execution. Key Technical Levels Pivot High: 1.16164 Resistance: 1.13835 Support: 0.89311 Pivot Low: 0.86321 Trend Analysis: The overarching "Big Picture Curve" reflects a long-term downtrend, strongly indicative of a potential market crash. Oscillators: The oscillators currently show mixed signals, with a bias toward downtrend Relative Strength Index (RSI): 42.91 (Neutral) Momentum (10): -0.03028 (Sell) MACD Level (12,26): -0.00416 (Sell) Stochastic RSI Fast: 16.42 (Neutral) Moving Averages: All moving averages point to a downtrend, reinforcing the bearish outlook: EMA/SMA (10): Sell EMA/SMA (50): Sell EMA/SMA (200): Sell Ichimoku Base Line: Neutral Anticipated Market Behavior Given the alignment of bearish technical indicators and economic projections: A break below 0.89311 (Support) could accelerate a larger move downward, potentially confirming a secondary crash scenario or what I like to call a FAMINE (That'll be Part 2). Conservative traders should watch resistance at 1.13835, with invalidation of bearish outlook above 1.16164.
Short
by ProfessorCEWard