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DeGRAM | EURUSD is holding the accumulation zone📊 Technical Analysis ● CAPITALCOM:EURUSD is pressing the purple resistance line (~1.1335); a close above it should carry the pair to the mid‑channel support level at 1.1450, then to the upper resistance level near 1.1560. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● US initial claims rose to 241 k and continuing claims to 1.916 m, pushing yields lower and softening the USD. ● ECB officials signal caution on additional rate cuts after June, helping anchor euro yields and sentiment. ✨ Summary Accumulation‑zone strength, weakening USD data, and a cautious ECB support a short‑term long view: objectives 1.1450 → 1.1560; the daily candlestick closes under the channel. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
1
Pullback or Recovery? All Eyes on ECB and Inflation CluesEUR/USD – Pullback or Recovery? All Eyes on ECB and Inflation Clues Hey traders! 👋 After a tough drop earlier this week, EUR/USD is now finding its feet again near the 1.1240 area. We’re seeing some early bullish signs, but the bigger question is: Is this just a pullback or the start of a stronger recovery? 🔎 What’s going on? Today, ECB’s Šimkus came out with some pretty dovish comments: He warned that Eurozone inflation depends a lot on how the EU responds to trade policies from the US. There's pressure to cut interest rates as soon as June, but it’s still unclear whether they’ll follow up again in July or September. Growth risks remain due to geopolitics and Chinese goods flowing into Europe. These hints of a possible rate cut added more weight on the Euro. But at the same time, we’re seeing buyers step in around key support zones, so price action could get interesting soon. 🧭 Key Levels to Watch Resistance: 1.1278 – First level to break for bulls 1.1301 – Near-term resistance 1.1325 & 1.1353 – Highs to watch if momentum builds Support: 1.1240 – Holding well so far 1.1198 – Key BUY zone 1.1160 – Last line of defence for bulls 🧠 Trade Plan for Today (May 9th) ✅ BUY IDEA: Buy Zone: 1.1198 SL: 1.1138 TP Targets: → 1.1235 → 1.1285 → 1.1325 ❌ SELL IDEA: Sell Zone: 1.1301 SL: 1.1360 TP Targets: → 1.1265 → 1.1225 → 1.1185 📌 Final Thoughts The pair is still inside a downward channel, so we need to be flexible. If EUR/USD breaks and holds above 1.1300, bulls could take control. But if it fails, we might see another dip back toward the lower range. Keep an eye on macro data next week – especially inflation figures and any fresh ECB signals. 👉 Stay patient, trade your zones, and don’t chase! Let the setup come to you. Good luck! 🚀
Long
by MMFlowTrading
1
Skeptic |EUR/USD : Bearish Breakout Unlocks Deep Corrections!Hey everyone, Skeptic here! Let’s start this Friday morning with a fresh EUR/USD analysis—some juicy setups are waiting! 😊 Our previous long position after the 1.13485 resistance break turned out to be a fake breakout, hitting our stop loss. But the short trigger I mentioned below 1.12676 activated, hitting a 2:1 R/R with a safe stop loss. Now, we’ve seen a pullback to that broken level, and if the trend continues, we can find more solid triggers. Stick with me to break it all down! Let’s start with the Daily Timeframe. 📊 📅 Daily Timeframe: The Big Picture The upward channel on the daily chart has finally broken , and when we talk about a channel break, we don’t mean a weak one—this was confirmed by two strong bearish candles. We might see a pullback to the channel, but if not, a break below the 1.12006 support could send us into a deeper correction toward 1.08454 . To confirm a full trend reversal, we’d need to see lower highs and lower lows on the daily. So, with this in mind, it’s smarter to take positions in lower timeframes (like 4H or below) in the direction of the current bearish momentum to boost your win rate and R/R. Let’s zoom into the 4-Hour Timeframe for the actionable setups. ⏰ 4-Hour Timeframe: Long & Short Setups After a prolonged box range and a fake breakout above the box’s ceiling, the price has now broken lower and is pulling back. For our short setup, we already have a position open from above at 1.12676 . But after a break of 1.12012 (which aligns with daily support), we can add to our position—with proper capital and risk management, of course. Another confirmation for the short? The RSI entering oversold territory can be a solid signal. Why oversold? We need tools to gauge momentum, like SMA, RSI, or volume (though volume only works well in crypto since forex volume isn’t transparent due to bank transactions, etc. In crypto, every transaction is recorded, so volume is reliable). RSI is one of my go-to tools for spotting momentum shifts, and it’s been a profit machine for me. But remember: oscillators and indicators aren’t entry signals —they’re confirmations for the setups we’re trading. Want to learn more? I could drop a few YouTube videos on RSI alone—it’s worth the deep dive! 📚 For a long setup , we’d need a return to the box range and a break above resistance at 1.13740 to open a long. I’m not giving any long triggers before that because, as we said, the daily momentum has shifted to a downtrend, and we don’t want to trade against the higher timeframe flow. 💬 Let’s Talk! If this analysis helped you out, give it a quick boost—it means a lot! 😊 Got a pair or setup you want me to tackle next? Drop it in the comments, and I’ll get to it. Thanks for hanging out, and I’ll see you in the next one. Keep trading smart! ✌️
Short
by SkepticWise
5
Euro Nears 1.1230 on Cautious ECBEUR/USD edged up to 1.1230 in Friday’s Asian session, paring earlier losses caused by stronger U.S. data and easing trade tensions that supported the dollar. The euro remains under pressure as markets price in possible ECB rate cuts by June, though officials maintain confidence in inflation reaching the 2% target by year-end. The pair faces resistance at 1.1260, with further upside capped near 1.1460 and 1.1580. On the downside, support is seen at 1.1150, followed by 1.1100 and 1.1050.
by ChartMage
EURUSD Faces Political Risks After German and Romanian VotingEURUSD is trying to hold steady, supported by strong enough PMI data. The Eurozone composite PMI rose to 50.4 from 50.1. While the increase is modest, it is still important amid ongoing tariff-related turmoil. However, political risks that were believed to be easing now appear to be intensifying. In Romania, first-round election results showed anti-EU candidate Simion securing around 40% of the vote. This could create problems for both the EU and Ukraine. Meanwhile, today’s vote in Germany is raising concerns. Merz received only 310 of the 316 votes required from parliament. Given that the coalition holds 328 seats, this outcome sends a troubling signal about the coalition’s stability. If Germany’s government proves unstable, it may further weigh on the euro. Both developments are negative for the euro. Combined with the recent momentum shift in EURUSD after its strong surge from around 1.04, a correction may be on the horizon. The 1.1260–1.1275 area is a key support zone. It includes a major trendline and an important horizontal support level. If this zone fails, EURUSD could quickly retreat toward the white trendline around 1.11. That trendline, which broke in April, dates back to the 2008 top and represents a long-term structural level. More details on this trend can be found below:
Short
by ftdsystem
Market Analysis: EUR/USD Trims GainsMarket Analysis: EUR/USD Trims Gains EUR/USD extended losses and traded below the 1.1250 support. Important Takeaways for EUR/USD Analysis Today - The Euro struggled to clear the 1.1380 resistance and declined against the US Dollar. - There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at 1.1240 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen. EUR/USD Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair failed to clear the 1.1380 resistance. The Euro started a fresh decline below the 1.1300 support against the US Dollar. The pair declined below the 1.1250 support and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, the pair tested the 1.1200 level. A low was formed at 1.1196 and the pair is now consolidating losses. The pair is showing bearish signs, and the upsides might remain capped. There was a minor increase toward the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.1381 swing high to the 1.1196 low. Immediate resistance on the upside is near the 1.1240 level. There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at 1.1240. The next major resistance is near the 1.1290 zone and the 50-hour simple moving average or the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.1381 swing high to the 1.1196 low. The main resistance sits near the 1.1335 level. An upside break above the 1.1335 level might send the pair toward the 1.1380 resistance. Any more gains might open the doors for a move toward the 1.1420 level. On the downside, immediate support on the EUR/USD chart is seen near 1.1200. The next major support is near the 1.1165 level. A downside break below the 1.1165 support could send the pair toward the 1.1120 level. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
USA-UK: Trade Agreement and Impact Hello, I am Trader Andrea Russo and today I want to talk to you about the meeting that will take place today, May 9, 2025, between the USA and the UK. The announcement of a new trade agreement between the United States and the United Kingdom by Donald Trump has immediately attracted the attention of global investors. Its economic scope could have significant repercussions on the main currencies, in particular on the GBP/USD pair. The components of the agreement and the reactions of the markets According to initial information, the agreement aims to strengthen trade relations between Washington and London, simplifying regulations on goods and services, reducing duties and incentivizing bilateral investments. Immediate impact on the pound (GBP) The GBP/USD pair has shown an initial reaction of volatility, with investors evaluating the details of the new agreement. If the agreement leads to greater economic stability and growth in the United Kingdom, the pound could benefit from a bullish trend in the short term. However, some analysts warn that the pound could suffer from more in-depth negotiations in the future, especially if the deal puts renewed pressure on UK financial markets. The US dollar and the Fed’s monetary policy The deal comes amid economic uncertainty in the US, with the Federal Reserve monitoring inflation and growth. If bilateral trade between the US and UK were to expand significantly, it could have a positive effect on the dollar’s ​​strength, even against other currencies. Economic sectors involved and impact on FX The deal could affect several sectors: Energy and raw materials: If trade in natural gas or oil between the two countries increases, it could have an impact on commodity futures and therefore on currencies linked to these markets, such as the CAD and AUD. Technology and financial services: Expanded cooperation between technology and financial firms could attract investment on Wall Street and support the dollar. Manufacturing and Exports: If the UK manages to secure favorable export terms, the pound could see increased demand in Forex. Outlook In the short term, the deal could lead to increased volatility in GBP/USD as investors await further details. In the long term, much will depend on the economic policies that follow the deal and the effects on the trade balances of the two countries. Forex market analysts will continue to monitor investor reaction and future statements from the governments involved.
Education
by Andrea_Russo_SwipeUP
Leo XIV: Impact on the Forex Market Hello, I am Forex trader Andrea Russo and today I want to talk to you about the election of the New Pope. The election of a new Pope is an event with implications not only religious and social, but also economic. With the rise of Leo XIV, the financial world is closely watching the possible repercussions on global currencies and investment strategies. Immediate effects on Forex volatility Historically, major political and institutional events can generate fluctuations in international currencies. Italy, home to the Vatican, could see movements on the EUR/USD pair, especially based on the first statements of the new Pontiff regarding the economic policies of the Vatican. Some investors may react with initial caution, leading to temporary volatility in the Forex market, similar to what happens during political elections or other leadership transitions. However, this volatility could be limited in the short term, unless Leo XIV announces substantial changes in the management of the Vatican finances. Vatican Financial Policies and Their Impact on Currencies The Vatican holds significant wealth, with real estate investments and stakes in international companies. If the new Pope decides to adopt a more transparent or ethical strategy in his investments, this could influence the financial sector, prompting global funds to review their investment strategies. EUR/USD and the Role of the ECB: Possible Vatican interventions on economic and social policies in Europe could prompt the ECB to assess the macroeconomic picture more carefully. Safe Haven Currencies (CHF, JPY, Gold): If the election generates economic uncertainty, we could see an increase in investments in safe haven assets, such as the Swiss Franc (CHF) and the Japanese Yen (JPY). Economic Sectors Impacted Ethical Finance and ESG: If Leo XIV emphasizes the importance of sustainable investments, companies linked to the ESG sector could see increased interest and capital inflows. Real Estate: With the Vatican being one of Europe’s largest property owners, any reforms in asset management could have repercussions on real estate markets, influencing the value of the EUR and other related assets.
Education
by Andrea_Russo_SwipeUP
2
EURUSD BULLISH BREAKOUT AND RETESTOn the weekly chart, EURUSD recently closed above the 1.2000 resistance which has been a significant price zone since February 2023, with price reversing from this point multiple times. However, in the first week of April 2025, price violated this resistance, with the weekly candle closing well above 1.4000. Not only did the price break above the resistane, it was also confirmed by an ulta high volume bar. Since then, price has been retesting the broken resistane, but look at the volume again, its falling. As the bulls come in at this level, and with subsequent rising volumes,the next resistancce for EURUSD should be at the 1.2300 price zone, which is previous resistance from 2020/2021.
Long
by privatedvlper
EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W19 D9 Y25EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W19 D9 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly order block rejection ✅Weekly imbalance ✅Intraday 15' order blocks ✅Tokyo ranges to be filled 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
GBP/AUD Short, EUR/CAD Short, USD/JPY Short and EUR/USD NeutralGBP/AUD Short Minimum entry requirements: • If tight non-structured 15 min continuation forms, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If tight structured 15 min continuation forms, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it. • If tight non-structured 1H continuation forms, 15 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 15 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If tight structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it or reduced risk entry on the break of it. EUR/CAD Short Minimum entry requirements: • If structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it. USD/JPY Short Minimum entry requirements: • 1H impulse down below area of value. • If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it. EUR/USD Neutral Minimum entry requirements: • 1H impulse up above area of interest. • If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it. • If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it. Minimum entry requirements: • If structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it.
Short
by StewySongs