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USDEUR trade ideas

$EU (EURUSD) 1H AnalysisBias: Bearish after liquidity grab at 1.14392 Setup: Wait for the sweep ➤ BOS ➤ Enter short Target: 1.13600 Price is forming a range-bound consolidation, but the internal structure shows liquidity building below and above. The market seems poised to run the 1.14392 high, grabbing buy stops above the short-term high. After that sweep,i see a rejection and shift in order flow, setting up a bearish leg. Key POIs : Sweep Zone: 1.14392 (Buy-side liquidity) Sell Target: 1.13600 zone – a clear sell-side liquidity draw The red line marks an untapped liquidity pool, aligning with a previous support level. Trade Idea (Short Bias) : Let price sweep the 1.14392 high, form a bearish shift (change of character). Ideal entry after confirmation of rejection. Target: 1.13600 Invalidation: Clean break and close above 1.14500
Short
by TopGBanks
EURUSD Volatility EURUSD: April saw notably elevated volatility. MUFG Research reports the euro surged from 1.0811 to 1.1325 in April, a sharp 2.9% monthly gain, the most significant since early-COVID volatility. NewbridgeFX describes April as “a month marked by heightened global market uncertainty”, with EUR/USD experiencing considerable swings amid trade tensions, inflation data, and central-bank decisions. DailyForex highlighted volatility spikes in early April, with sharp moves around tariff announcements and inflation reports Was April the Most Volatile Month of 2025? April ranks among the most volatile, if not the top, due to: Trump's April 2 “Liberation Day” tariffs, triggering global market turbulence. ECB rate cut and euro strength, adding fuel to price swings May also remained volatile, but analysis like MUFG and DailyForex suggests volatility slightly subsided compared to April. 📊 Conclusion April 2025 likely stands as the most volatile month for EUR/USD this year, primarily driven by trade-policy shocks and central bank actions. It appears to edge out volatility in May, making it the standout month. Market research conducted by Ilyas Khan with assistance from #ChatGPT by #OpenAI. #eurusd #forex #eur #usd #economics #science #math #mathematics #economy #usa #unitedstatesofamerica #europe #bloomberg #ctv #cnbc #marketnews #market #marketresearch
by ilyaskhan1994
EUR/USD – 1H Chart SetupMarket Phase: Distribution Trade Bias: Bearish Breakdown We’re currently observing a distribution phase on EUR/USD, with well-defined support and resistance levels. A breakdown below Support Level 2 will trigger our short entry, confirming bearish momentum. 📌 Trade Setup Details: 🔹 Entry (Sell Stop): 1.13080 🔹 Stop Loss (SL): 1.13600 (above Support Level 1) 🔹 Take Profit 1 (TP1): 1.12560 🔹 Take Profit 2 (TP2): 1.12040 🔹 Lot Size: 0.19 🔹 Risk/Reward Ratios: 1:1 and 1:2 🔹 Risk: $200 💸 🔹 Reward: Up to $300 💰 This setup is based on a clean structure break, expecting downside continuation after the distribution completes. We’ve marked the key zones on the chart and are waiting for confirmation through a support break. Keep an eye on price action and volume near the entry to validate the breakdown. #EURUSD #ForexTrading #BearishSetup #DistributionPhase #PriceAction #SupportResistance #TradeSetup #RiskReward #BreakdownTrade #ForexSignals #1HChart Unlock more with Plus
Short
by asimafridi
Eurusd !!! Ascending Wedge Pattern Signals a Major Reversal! Time': 30 min Technical analysis: Ascending Wedge Pattern 📈: A clear ascending wedge signals a potential bearish reversal. The price has just completed Wave ⑤ at the top trendline, a classic trigger point for sellers. * Elliott Wave Confirmation 🖐️: The wedge contains a perfect 5-wave Elliott structure, reinforcing our bearish bias as the final impulse wave concludes. * Live vs. Textbook 👨‍🏫: Our live chart is mirroring the ideal "textbook" example shown, increasing confidence in the setup's validity. The Trade Plan 🎯 * Entry ▶️: Short position initiated in the "Risk Zone" after rejection from the wedge resistance. * Stop Loss ⛔️: Placed tightly above the Wave ⑤ high at ~1.14821. * Take Profit 💰: Targeting the major support level at ~1.12925. Conclusion ✨ This setup presents an exceptional risk-to-reward ratio. The combination of a reliable chart pattern and Elliott Wave count gives us a high-conviction bearish outlook for EUR/USD. Disclaimer ⚠️: This is a technical idea, not financial advice. Always use proper risk management. Trade safe!
by Greenfireforex
EURUSD| Buy Flow In PlayGot price respecting my top-down flow — 4H to 5M is in full alignment right now. We swept key liquidity levels and price held structure clean, giving me reason to look for a buy continuation. Could’ve posted a more detailed breakdown (order blocks, FVGs, etc.), but I’ll save that sauce for another time. Just curious what y’all see here — feel free to share your take on this play. I’m always open to sharp minds tapping in. Let’s see how this unfolds. 🧠💧 #EURUSD #SmartMoneyConcepts #LiquiditySweep #PriceActionTrading #TopDownAnalysis #InducementKing Bless Trading!
Long
by Juicemannn
1
Bearish drop off major resistance?EUR/USD has reacted off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.1433 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Stop loss: 1.1481 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Take profit: 1.1361 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
Can EUR/USD Break Through the Range Constraint?The EUR/USD exchange rate continues to maintain a range-bound consolidation trend, currently trading around 1.1400. The dovish statements from European Central Bank (ECB) policymakers are offset by the positive economic signals in the Eurozone, leading to a wait-and-see sentiment in the market. In the short term, the EUR/USD exchange rate is expected to remain in a narrow range consolidation pattern. Technically, the exchange rate needs to break through the recent high to sustain the upward momentum; otherwise, it may return to the broader range of 1.12-1.15. Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
by Ashbur
#AN005 What Changes After USA-China, ECB and Oil Hello, I'm Andrea Russo, forex trader and creator of the SwipeUP Elite FX Method, which analyzes the market as a Hedge Found. Today I want to talk to you about the latest crucial economic news of the week that will influence the currency markets. Let's start with the important trade meeting between the United States and China that took place in London. The negotiations, mainly focused on exports and rare earth metals, showed positive signs with optimistic statements from both sides. This event immediately brought an improvement in global sentiment, strengthening trade-sensitive currencies such as the Australian dollar (AUD) and the New Zealand dollar (NZD), while the US dollar recorded a slight decline. The World Bank, on the other hand, tagged its 2025 global growth forecast from 2.8% to 2.3%. This downgrade reflects significant concerns for the United States, China and Europe, due to trade uncertainties and reduced investments. This scenario, however, could favor some emerging currencies, such as the Brazilian real (BRL) and the Mexican peso (MXN), which benefit from less restrictive monetary policies and a reduction in pressure on the US dollar. Looking at Europe, the European Central Bank (ECB) has decided to further reduce rates, bringing them to 2%, with the possibility of further decreases of up to -0.25% by the autumn. This expansionary policy is dictated by the need to support a stagnant economy and contain inflation. Inevitably, this will put pressure on the euro (EUR), which is expected to weaken against major currencies, especially the dollar. In the United States, on the other hand, all eyes are on the May CPI due on June 11. Inflation is expected to be 2.5%, and the publication of data that is above or below expectations could generate strong volatility on the dollar. A higher CPI would strengthen the dollar, reducing the likelihood of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve, while a lower reading could further weaken the greenback. Finally, oil has also rallied, with WTI up 6% and Brent up 4%. This increase has been driven by a more favorable geopolitical context and the reduction of trade tensions. The effect on currency markets is direct, favoring commodity-related currencies, such as the Canadian dollar (CAD) and the Norwegian krone (NOK), while currencies such as the euro (EUR) and the Japanese yen (JPY), of oil-importing countries, could find themselves in difficulty. In summary, the current week is proving to be crucial for Forex: declining trade tensions are supporting trade-related currencies, the ECB's accommodative monetary policy is weakening the euro, while US economic data will drive sentiment on the dollar. To stay updated on future developments, continue to follow my analyses and articles here on TradingView.
Education
by Andrea_Russo_SwipeUP
EURUSD is moving within the 1.13640 - 1.14550 range👀Possible scenario: The euro (EUR) rose 0.22% against the U.S. dollar on June 9, supported by optimism over diplomatic progress between Washington and Beijing on rare-earth minerals and advanced tech. U.S. officials called the talks fruitful, easing global economic concerns. The ECB’s recent 25-basis-point rate cut lowered borrowing costs to their lowest since November 2022, but hints that easing may end soon kept the euro steady. With a quiet macro calendar on June 10, traders will watch ECB speeches for clues on future policy. ✅Support and Resistance Levels Now, the support level is located at 1.13640 Resistance level is located at 1.14550
by MaxOnMarkets
EURO - Price will strart to grow and exit from wedge patternHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 Price entered to wedge pattern and at once dropped below $1.1455 level, breaking it and then some time traded below. It continued to decline and in a short time reached $1.1220 level and broke it, after which fell to support line. Then price started to grow and soon broke $1.1220 level one more time, after which made a retest and continued to grow. Euro rose to $1.1420 points and then corrected to support level, after which turned around and rose to resistance level. Recently price reached resistance level, but then it bounced and started to decline, and now it continues to fall. I think that Euro can decline a little more and then bounce up to $1.1550, exiting from wedge. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️ Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Long
by WalterMoon
16
EUR/USD BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT Hello, Friends! We are going short on the EUR/USD with the target of 1.136 level, because the pair is overbought and will soon hit the resistance line above. We deduced the overbought condition from the price being near to the upper BB band. However, we should use low risk here because the 1W TF is green and gives us a counter-signal. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Short
by EliteTradingSignals
1
What Is a Morning Star Pattern & How Can You Use It in Trading?What Is a Morning Star Pattern, and How Can You Use It in Trading? The morning star candlestick is a popular price action pattern that technical analysts and traders use to identify potential trading opportunities. It indicates a reversal from a bearish to a bullish trend and is a valuable addition to any trader's toolkit. In this article, we will cover all the technical aspects of the morning star candlestick pattern. What Is the Morning Star Candlestick Pattern? The morning star in technical analysis is a reversal formation that appears at the end of a downtrend and signals a trend reversal. It consists of three candles. To identify it on the chart, you should look for the following: 1. Downtrend: The market should be in a downtrend, and the first candle should be long and bearish. 2. Indecision: The second candle is usually expected to have a gap down, but gaps are uncommon in forex. Therefore, a small-bodied candle is considered sufficient. It's worth noting it can be either bullish or bearish, but if it’s bullish, the signal is stronger. 3. Significant increase: The third candle should be strong and bullish and close above the midpoint of the first bearish one. If it forms with a gap up, the buy signal is considered stronger. When Morning Star Candlestick Patterns Occur Traders can identify the morning star candlestick pattern in stocks, forex pairs, commodities, and cryptocurrencies*. It may also be observed across various timeframes, from minutes to weeks. Generally speaking, a morning star pattern can be considered more reliable when it appears on a higher timeframe. For instance, a morning star candlestick pattern has more significance when it occurs over three days vs three minutes, given the increased amount of price action and market participation reflected over longer periods. Psychology Behind the Pattern The morning star reversal pattern reflects a shift in market sentiment from bearish to bullish. Initially, a strong bearish candle indicates prevailing selling pressure. The second candle, with its small body, suggests indecision as the market stabilises and neither bulls nor bears dominate. This pause indicates that sellers are losing momentum. The third morning star candle, a strong bullish one, confirms the shift as buyers take control, driving prices higher. This pattern signals that the downtrend is likely exhausted, and a potential reversal is underway due to increasing buyer confidence. Trading with the Morning Star Traders can use the following steps to trade this setup: 1. Identify the setup: Look for a setup on the chart formed after a solid downtrend. 2. Confirmation: After identifying the formation, traders should confirm it before entering a long position. 3. Enter a long position: Consider entering a long position once the formation is confirmed. 4. Determine a take-profit target: Although candlesticks don’t provide specific entry and exit points, traders may consider the closest resistance level to take potential profit. 5. Monitor the trade: Continuously monitor the trade and adjust the stop-loss and take-profit levels as needed based on market conditions. What Is the Morning Star Candlestick Strategy? The morning star trading strategy leverages the formation's ability to signal a bullish reversal after a downtrend. The formation's reliability increases when it occurs at a support level and is confirmed by a momentum indicator like the RSI or MACD. Entry: - Traders look for the full morning star to form at a support level. - They then look for a confirmatory bullish signal from a momentum indicator, such as RSI showing oversold conditions, a bullish MACD crossover, or a bullish divergence in either. - Traders may wait for additional confirmation, like RSI moving back above 30, or enter on the close of the third candle in the pattern. Stop Loss: - A stop loss might be set below the swing low of the setup. - Alternatively, traders may place the stop loss beyond the lower boundary of the established support level. Take Profit: - Profits might be taken at a predetermined risk-reward ratio, like 2:1 or 3:1. - Traders also often aim for an opposing resistance level where a further reversal might occur. Morning Star and Other Formations Traders should not confuse the morning star candle formation with other formations, such as the evening star, which is the complete opposite. Doji Morning Star In a traditional morning star reversal pattern, the candle that appears in the middle of the formation has a small real body, meaning there is a clear difference between the opening and closing prices. In a morning doji star formation, the second candlestick has characteristics of a doji, where the opening and closing prices are very close to each other, resulting in a very small real body. This reflects the indecision as neither bulls nor bears can take control of the market. The doji setup is less common than the traditional formation, but it still signals a potential upward movement after a prolonged downtrend. Evening Star In contrast to a morning setup, an evening star is a bearish setup occurring after an uptrend. It also consists of three candles – a long bullish one, a small-body one (it can also be a doji), and a long bearish one that closes below the midpoint of the first bullish candle. This suggests that the market is about to turn down. Benefits and Limitations of the Morning Star Candle The morning star is a useful tool for traders seeking to identify potential market reversals, but it does come with some benefits and limitations. Benefits - Strong Reversal Signal: Indicates a bullish reversal after a downtrend, helping traders anticipate upward moves. - Broad Applicability: Effective across various financial instruments such as forex, stocks, commodities, and cryptocurrencies*. - Timeframe Flexibility: It can be observed on different timeframes, from intraday to weekly charts. Limitations - False Signals: Like all patterns, it can produce false signals, especially in volatile markets. - Confirmation Needed: A morning star pattern entry requires confirmation from additional indicators or formations to improve accuracy. - Experience Required: Identifying the formation correctly and interpreting its signals requires experience and a good understanding of price action. Final Thoughts While candlestick formations such as the morning star can be useful for traders to identify potential trading opportunities, it is crucial to remember that they are not foolproof and should not be the sole choice of market participants when making their trading decisions. Traders should also incorporate technical indicators and develop risk management techniques to potentially minimise losses. FAQ What Is a Morning Star in Trading? The meaning of a morning star in trading refers to a bullish reversal formation consisting of three candles. It appears at the end of a downtrend, indicating a potential shift to an uptrend. The setup includes a long bearish candle, a small-bodied candle, and a long bullish candle. Is the Morning Star Bullish or Bearish? It is a bullish candlestick pattern that indicates a potential reversal from a downtrend to an uptrend in the market. It suggests that the selling pressure is subsiding, and buying pressure is beginning to take over. What Does the Morning Star Pattern Indicate? It is a three-candle price action, often indicating a bullish reversal in the market. It suggests that selling pressure has been exhausted, and buyers are starting to gain control of the market. How Do You Read the Morning Star Pattern? To read the morning star formation, traders should look for the following characteristics: a long bearish candle formed in a solid downtrend and followed by a bullish or bearish candle with a small real body, which in turn is followed by a long bullish candle closing above the midpoint of the first one. What Is the Opposite of Morning Star? The opposite of a morning star is the evening star, a bearish reversal pattern. It appears at the end of an uptrend, signalling a potential shift to a downtrend. The morning and evening stars are similar, except the latter mirrors the former, consisting of a long bullish candle, a small-bodied candle, and a long bearish candle. *Important: At FXOpen UK, Cryptocurrency trading via CFDs is only available to our Professional clients. They are not available for trading by Retail clients. To find out more information about how this may affect you, please get in touch with our team. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Education
by FXOpen
1
MarketBreakdown | EURUSD, AUDUSD, USDCHF, EURCAD Here are the updates & outlook for multiple instruments in my watch list. 1️⃣ #EURUSD daily time frame 🇪🇺🇺🇸 Though the pair remains quite weak for the last few days, I strongly believe that bulls have unrealized potential. The pair may continue rising and reach the underlined yellow resistance soon. 2️⃣ #AUDUSD daily time frame 🇦🇺🇺🇸 The price is testing a significant horizontal resistance. Its bullish breakout will provide a strong bullish signal. The pair will go way higher then. 3️⃣ #USDCHF daily time frame 🇺🇸🇨🇭 The price is stuck within a narrow consolidation range. I think that a sideways movement is going to continue and the price will drop to the support of the range soon. 4️⃣ #EURCAD daily time frame 🇪🇺🇨🇦 The price action is contracting within a symmetrical triangle pattern. Such a pattern signifies a deep indecision. A breakout of one of its boundaries will indicate the side of the next market move. Do you agree with my market breakdown? ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by VasilyTrader
1