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USDEUR trade ideas

EURUSD - Long Term Target📉📉 EURUSD Long-Term Bearish Outlook 📉 🔍 Analysis: The EURUSD pair is currently showing signs of a long-term bearish bias. Our primary target is set at 0.8750, but please keep in mind that this may take a considerable amount of time to unfold. We will closely monitor price action on the highlighted zones for potential entry and exit opportunities. 📊 Timeframes: To understand the broader trend, we are primarily focusing on the weekly and monthly charts. These timeframes provide us with the most indicative signals of the market's direction. 📈 Fibonacci Level: The EURUSD pair recently reached the 618 Fibonacci retracement zone on the weekly chart, which marked a significant turning point. We already see selling coming in. This reinforces our bearish bias, suggesting that downward pressure is mounting. It's truly fascinating how the weekly chart has validated our bearish perspective. We'll patiently monitor the market as it unfolds, keeping our sights on the 0.8750 target. Trading with caution and discipline is essential in this scenario. Stay tuned for updates as the story develops. 📉📊🔍 #EURUSD #BearishBias #LongTermTrade
Short
by TickmanX
EURUSD: 4H Bullish Cross not so bullish historically.EURUSD is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 49.247, MACD = -0.001, ADX = 21.205) and just formed a 4H Bullish Cross between the 1D MA100 and 1D MA200. This hasn't had a bullish effect in the past 12 months as the two times we saw it in 2024, it immediatelly market the top of the short term trend and caused pull backs to at least the 0.618 Fibonacci level. Consequently we will use it as an instant sell signal (TP = 1.02625). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Short
by InvestingScope
EUR/USD Weekly OutlookMontly dolar chart reacted to the 0.7 FIBO and finish with Long legged Doji candle This week DXY again shows bullish strenght The dollar reacted to the weekly buy zone, previously the structure on the daily chart started to change to sell. Waiting price to retest previous supply zone and give confirmation on daily chart that price will continue lower. On EUR/USD the situation is reversed, on Friday the price closed H4 with bearish engulfing and It looks like it is ready to continue falling to the zones marked below, the daily fvg, and the lower extreme demand zone. If the price will move according to this scenario, I predict a drop in the first part of the week and a turn with the NFP news on Friday. Of course, this is just an idea and a scenario that, if valid with good confirmations on the daily/h4 chart, can bring good opportunities for trading.
by MarioM113
EURUSD Elliott Wave: Gap is GoneExecutive Summary: EUR/USD weekend gap down has been fully retraced The Elliott wave trend has shifted from down to up Initial upside targets include 1.08 & 1.12 EUR/USD Gaps Down on Trump Tariff Announcement Over the weekend, announcements of tariffs in place by President Trump caused EUR/USD to gap lower on broad based USD strength. It was approximately a 130 pip gap which is large for forex. This gap has been fully retraced and covered providing evidence it was an exhaustion gap. EUR/USD Elliott Wave Analysis EUR/USD has been trending lower since September 2024, covering a range of nearly 1000 pips. Our review of the technical charts using Elliott wave analysis shows that a major low may be in place and a large rally is underway. Our view is that the decline from September 2024 is an ending diagonal wave C of (2). In the chart above, the ending diagonal is colored in blue. As the name implies, an ending diagonal is an ending pattern of a larger wave sequence. In this case, it ‘ends’ the pattern that began January 2023 as a large sideways flat. The low on January 13 at 1.0177 appears to be the end of the two year suggesting the next rally could unfold over months and possibly years. One common feature of the ending diagonal is that the next wave tends to be a swift retracement. This implies a large and swift rally is underway to target the origin of the diagonal (1.1214). This new bullish trend wave (3) is early in development. The gap down this weekend merely retested the topside of the blue ((ii))-((iv)) trend line of the ending diagonal. This trend line provided a springboard for wave (iii) of 1 of (3) to kick off to the upside. Initial targets for wave (iii) is 1.08 and possibly 1.12. If the EURUSD price unexpectedly falls below 1.0177, then we’ll need to reconsider the larger wave count. For the time being, several Elliott wave models point to further gains above 1.05 with 1.08 serving as an initial target zone. Key Level for Bullish Bias: 1.0177 Initial Target: 1.08 Secondary Target: 1.12
Long
by JWagnerFXTrader
''EUR/USD 4H | Elliott Wave Playbook" The pair appears to be carving out a textbook 5-wave Elliott structure. Here’s the breakdown: - **Wave 1, 2, and 3** are in the books, and Wave 4 is now developing, testing the **38.2%-50% retracement zone** (highlighted in orange). - **Wave 5 Target**: Eyeing **1.0100-1.0090** as the likely destination for the final push lower. **Trade Plan:** - Monitoring the sell zone at **1.0373-1.0466**, which aligns with the Wave 4 retracement. - Any rejection here provides a short setup, with stops above **1.0466** and targets down to **1.0100**. - R:R is solid, making this a high-probability play for the disciplined trader. **Market Context:** - Structural resistance and Fibonacci confluence strengthen the case for shorts. - Patience is key—waiting for confirmation of Wave 4 completion before entry is paramount. **Reminder:** This is an analytical outlook, not financial advice. Manage risk diligently. --- Would this work for your audience, or shall I refine it further?
by Greenfireforex
My experiences and knowledge about crappy strategies.Hello guys, I hope you are doing well. Today I am a little upset that some of you are following or paying money to mentor people who have no knowledge of the market. This market does not revolve around 4 trend lines and channels and fake breakouts and such nonsense. All of these are not wrong, they are just immature and a bit beginner-friendly. Today a person contacted me privately and complained about losing capital and that this market has no logic and basis and thought the whole market was gambling. But it is not as he thought. I told him: Send me the journal. In response, he asked me what is a journal? (: Mistakes in this market are the best teacher Mistakes are the best teacher if you journal and realize your mistake. I said to him: Don't you save your charts? He said: Why should I? (: One of your main problems is not saving your charts. Always save your charts and refer to them again to realize your mistakes. Well, let's get back to the main topic. Look, guys, the market revolves around liquidity and support and resistance (a simpler example of liquidity is the fake breakout). If you want to succeed in this market, you have to learn everything professionally. Never trade on a time frame lower than 5 minutes. Each new day that starts, clear your chart and draw everything again. This will make you practice. Sometimes you will realize your mistakes from the previous day. Never be greedy. Don't trade emotionally. Always check the market trend from daily to 15 minutes and write it down on paper and keep it on your desk so that you are always focused. For a spike trend, go against the trend for 15 minutes. Don't trade against the market trend. Don't get carried away by the trend line (: Always be patient. Before trading, ask yourself: Is this trade safe? Did I follow all the points of my strategy? And write down the answer you gave yourself on a piece of paper. Always manage your money.
Education
by aryaaparsii
Euro / U.S. DollarHello Dear Traders, This is not a signal; rather, it is an idea to better understand market movements in the 15-minute timeframe. If confirmed in the 1-minute timeframe, you can utilize positions up to these areas. I noticed this and I'm sharing it with you to help you find a position that aligns with your own strategy. Wishing you success! Risk Disclosure Please note that all trades in financial markets carry a high level of risk. Your capital may be at risk, so it is essential to conduct proper analysis before entering any trades and to implement risk management strategies. Wishing you all the success! Fereydoon Bahrami "A retail trader in the Wall Street trading Center (Forex)."
by fereydoon1199
1
EURUSD - Bullish RunPotential bullish run. I have already entered of a structure on the 15 minute time frame yesterday after price touched 61.8%. I moved stop loss to break even as I am in significant profit to hold position through NFP for potential upside based on technical analysis. My fib is reverse because I don't like pulling out the extension every time however 38.2 is the 61.8 This trade is based off the weekly/daily time frame with an entry on the 15 minute time frame. I expect price to incrementally push up to 1.06
Long
by BetterBusinessBully
EUR/USD Trading Outlook: Mixed Signals Amid Inflation, Jobs DataFrom a technical perspective, the EUR/USD pair shows mixed signals across different timeframes, creating an interesting setup for traders. On the 4-hour chart, the broader trend remains bearish, with clear break-of-structure (BOS) events marking lower lows, reinforcing downside momentum. However, the 15-minute chart shows a sign of recovery as the price forms higher lows, though it's still confined within a range. Indicators reflect this indecision. MACD is flat across all timeframes, suggesting a lack of momentum, while ADX values between 17 and 22 confirm weak trend strength with no clear directional bias. ATR remains low, signalling reduced volatility. Volume analysis shows spikes at key support and resistance levels, but tapering volume during consolidations hints at market hesitation. From a macro perspective, while sentiment may be moderately volatile outside of Trump's tariff talks, the Eurozone continues to experience sticky inflation figures, as seen in Monday's CPI print. The JOLTS and ADP reports would likely be distorted against the current backdrop of uncertainty that would develop from tariffs the U.S. imposes on others. Trade Idea. Bull Case (scalping) Entry Trigger: 1.0340 breakout above weak high Stop Loss: 1.0330 Target: 1.0355 (which is the scalping resistance) Risk-Reward Ratio: ~1:2 Bull Case (Swing) Entry Trigger: Enter long near 1.0300 Stop Loss: 1.0280 Target: 1.0370 (4H High) Risk-Reward Ratio: ~1:3 Bearish Case (scalping) Entry Trigger: 1.0335 (Enter short) Stop Loss: 1.0355 Target: 1.0310 Risk-Reward Ratio: ~1:2 Bearish Case (Swing) Entry Trigger: 1.0300 Stop Loss: 1.0315 Target: 1.0260 Risk-Reward Ratio: ~1:3 In conclusion, the Eurozone's CPI print will be a key factor driving short-term momentum. A higher CPI print would significantly impact the market. Alternatively, weaker job figures could continue the EUR's short-term momentum. Conversely, stronger JOLTS and ADP figures keep the Fed on the current rate trajectory, spurring a price reversal in the EUR's momentum. Due to the volatility, scalping might not pose the most favourable strategy this week.
Short
by Shiven_80eight