EURUSD Long-Term Breakout Setup? Wyckoff + High Volume Breakout📍 Chart: EURUSD — Monthly
📈 Tools Used: Wyckoff Logic, Volume Profile, Candle Volume Analysis, Trendline Structure
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🔍 Market Context
Since 2015, EURUSD has been ranging between ~1.05 and ~1.15, forming a broad horizontal consolidation zone. This structure appears to resemble a potential long-term accumulation phase , according to Wyckoff theory.
Recently, we've seen a breakout of a multi-year descending trendline , accompanied by a candle with volume significantly above the historical monthly average . This is not a minor signal — it could indicate strong institutional interest and a possible Change of Character (ChoCh) .
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📊 Volume Profile Observations
- Volume has been heavily concentrated around the 1.13–1.14 region, suggesting this may act as a springboard for higher prices.
- The breakout candle didn’t yet escape the overall range, but its volume and momentum show a clear deviation from previous attempts .
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📐 Technical Structure
- ✅ Break of descending trendline (in place since 2008 highs)
- 🔺 Monthly close above trendline with strong volume
- 🟧 Price still within the upper half of the 2015–2024 range and pushing
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🧠 Wyckoff Interpretation
This could be a Phase D transition — where price begins testing the upper boundary of the accumulation. If a breakout above 1.20–1.22 occurs with confirmation, we may see Phase E : the mark-up.
In this case, a major macro trend shift may be underway .
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📌 Conclusion
EURUSD may be in the early stages of a long-term bullish reversal. Volume, structure, and context all support this hypothesis — though confirmation would come only with a decisive breakout from the range.
Many trades and allocations oportunities on the way.
Not financial advice. Educational use only.
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🧭 What to watch next:
- 🔹 Monthly close above 1.16 (high volume candle)
- 🔹 Volume confirmation in breakout
- 🔹 Retest of volume cluster around close of high volume candle (1.13-1.14)
