USDEUR trade ideas
EURUSD H4 | Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart, the price is rising toward our sell entry level at 1.1282, a pullback resistance.
Our take profit is set at 1.1142 a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibo retracement.
The stop loss is set at 1.1397, above a multi swing high resistance.
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EUR/USD Breakout Watch: All Eyes on 1.12700 Zone
EUR/USD is showing a potential bearish setup after rejecting the strong resistance zone around 1.13800 and forming a Change of Character (ChoCh) at the 1.13100 level. The pair has bounced from the strong support zone at 1.12700 , but structure suggests that a break below this level could confirm a bearish continuation.
🔎 Technical Breakdown:
- Price has respected the lower high structure and retraced to the 0.786 fib level near 1.12975.
- A clear breakdown below 1.12700 support would likely trigger a wave down toward the 1.12100 expected target , which aligns with the 1.618 fib extension.
- If price breaks and holds above 1.13800 resistance , this bearish setup becomes invalid.
📰 Fundamental Drivers Supporting Bearish Bias:
- 🇺🇸 US Dollar Strengthening: Recent U.S. economic data including better-than-expected ISM Services PMI and non-farm payrolls continue to support a strong dollar, limiting EUR upside.
- Federal Reserve Hawkish Stance: Fed officials remain cautious about rate cuts. A prolonged pause or delay in easing continues to attract capital back into USD.
- 🇪🇺 Eurozone Weakness: The ECB has signaled a possible rate cut by June, supported by falling inflation and slowing growth in Germany and France. This diverging policy path weakens the Euro.
Yield Spread Pressure: The widening bond yield spread between U.S. and European bonds favors USD accumulation.
// As long as EUR/USD trades below 1.13800, the bias remains bearish. A confirmed breakdown below 1.12700 could open the door to 1.12100 and deeper targets like 1.11600. //
EURUSD 30min Smart Money Long | Order Block + Discount Entry⚡ EURUSD 30m Smart Money Long | May 9, 2025
We're spotting a strong potential reversal after price melts into a clearly defined Order Block deep in the discount zone. Momentum slows, wicks reject the lows, and we’re stacked for a bullish bounce.
🔍 KEY CONFLUENCES:
📉 Sharp selloff into 1.12204 support
🧱 Bullish Order Block holding with rejection wicks
🧠 Smart Money Entry Zone marked just above 1.1219
📐 Price below 50% Fib = Discounted premium RR
🚀 TP targeting imbalance fill near 1.13204
📊 Setup Specs:
Pair: EURUSD
Timeframe: 30 min
Entry: 1.12204
SL: ~1.12078
TP: ~1.13204
RR: Approx. 1:6+
💡 Smart Money Logic:
Big players often load longs in these deep discount zones, right before the crowd notices the shift. This zone is layered with protection: OB, liquidity sweep, and slowed momentum — textbook for a reversal.
📈 Chart Ninja Note:
"Don’t chase — wait for price to come to you… in the discount, at the OB."
Wave C Completion Confirmation Through Fibonacci and Level BFX:EURUSD We are now in wave C of the fourth wave, waiting for its completion. Fibonacci levels can be counted to determine potential correction targets, but to confirm further, breaking the key level at B should be monitored, as its breakout could provide a strong signal for the next direction.
EUR_USD LOCAL LONG|
✅EUR_USD is going down now
But a strong support level is ahead at 1.1187
Thus I am expecting a rebound
And a move up towards the target of 1.1278
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EURUSD Wave Analysis – 8 May 2025
- EURUSD broke support zone
- Likely to fall to support level 1.1130
EURUSD currency pair recently broke the support area between the support level 1.1300 (which has been reversing the pair from the start of April), support trendline of the daily up channel from March and the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from March.
The breakout of this support area accelerated the active short-term ABC correction ii from the start of April.
EURUSD currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 1.1130 (former strong resistance from the start of April).
EUR/USD at Make or Break Zone — Will the 200 SMA Hold the Line?EUR/USD 4H Analysis
Technical Outlook — May 8, 2025
📊 Current Market Condition:
EUR/USD is retesting key confluence support at 1.1220 where the ascending channel, horizontal support, and 200 SMA align. Price has closed below the 50 EMA and the Ichimoku Cloud, suggesting short-term bearish pressure — but a rebound is still possible.
🔍 Key Technical Highlights:
Price is respecting the lower boundary of the ascending channel
200 SMA (red) is acting as last line of defense
50 EMA (blue) crossed above price = bearish structure
Stochastic near oversold = possible bullish divergence setup
🎯 Trade Setup Ideas:
📌 Setup 1 — Long Reversal at Channel + 200 SMA Support
Entry: 1.1225–1.1200 (on bullish engulfing or strong wick rejection)
Stop Loss: Below 1.1175 (beneath recent low and channel)
Take Profit 1: 1.1325 (mid-level resistance)
Take Profit 2: 1.1450 (key resistance + top of channel)
Risk-Reward: Approx. 1:2.5+
Note: Wait for confirmation with a bullish 4H close or stochastic crossover before entering.
📌 Setup 2 — Bearish Breakdown & Retest Short
Entry: On break and retest of 1.1200 as resistance
Stop Loss: Above 1.1240 (back inside the channel)
Take Profit 1: 1.1150
Take Profit 2: 1.1080 (previous consolidation zone)
Risk-Reward: Approx. 1:2+
Note: Look for clean candle close below 1.1200 and rejection from underside before entering.
⚠️ Important Note:
FOMC speeches or USD data could cause unexpected volatility — manage risk accordingly.
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Disclaimer: This content is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
EURUSDBased on the current selling momentum, EUR/USD is expected to retrace higher toward the 1.1264 region, which may act as a short-term resistance. If the price fails to break above this level, a renewed bearish move is likely to follow, targeting the 1.1190 zone as the next potential support area. This scenario remains valid as long as price action stays below 1.1264 on a closing basis.
$EURUSD Short IdeaAnother day and yet another interesting euro trade. Today, EURUSD broke its uptrend line with a convincing daily candle. The broken level near 1.1270 offers a compelling short with stop above the hourly swing high. I usually prefer taking an entry near the swing 0.382 fib, but the 0.5 offers a better proposition in this configuration. My entry is GTD for 12 hours and thereafter actively managed on the H1.
EUR/USD Breakdown - Lesson in IDMTook a Loss here by misreading IDM on the 4H.
Price was Breaking Highs, so I leaned bullish, but didn't wait for that full IDM sequence to confirm.
Lesson: Take a few extra minutes to read the Higher TimeFrames Properly. No Rush.
This week's blueprint is simple: patience, clean structure, strong inducement first.
Also noting pair correlations: XAU/USD, EU, AND GU tend to move together. GJ/UJ on their own rhythm.
#SmartMoneyConcepts #IDM #ForexDiscipline
#ChartStudy #GrowthMindset
EURUSD - ANALYSIS👀 Observation:
Hello, everyone! I hope you're doing well. I’d like to share my analysis of EUR-USD with you.
Looking at the chart, EUR-USD is currently in a price range. After reaching the top of the range, I expect it to move toward the bottom of the range, and I anticipate a breakdown below the range's bottom.
📉 Expectation:
Bearish Scenario: If the price breaks the bottom of the range, I expect the price to move toward my first target at 1.12142.
💡 Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: Top of the range
Support: Bottom of the range
💬 What are your thoughts on EUR-USD this week? Let me know in the comments!
Trade safe
EU shorts!!Monday and Tuesday created a weekly candle with a higher wick. Wednesday showed retracement into the pro trend. Today and possibly Friday may see weekly bearish pro-trend movement.
Daily alignment also favors lower prices, and SMT correlation with DXY suggests a potential price drawdown.
Watching how London session develops for entry. If Asia H levels aren't swept, then New York session may offer possible continuation.
EURUSD Bearish Breakout | Price Targeting Daily ImbalanceEURUSD has officially broken structure on the daily timeframe. After forming a rising wedge pattern, price rejected the upper resistance and broke down with strong bearish momentum.
Key Highlights:
• Clean structure break below wedge support
• Daily imbalance zone in view near 1.1100
• Price may retest the previous support zone near 1.1310, which could now act as resistance
• Setup aligns with bearish market flow and SMC principles (structure + imbalance)
Watching for:
• Retest and rejection confirmations
• Continuation into imbalance zone
EURUSD Technical Analysis.The second chart you uploaded shows the EUR/USD currency pair on the 1-hour timeframe, as displayed on TradingView.
Key observations:
1. Uptrend and Downtrend Channels:
The green trend lines indicate a bullish phase where the price moved upward.
The red trend lines indicate a subsequent bearish phase with a strong downward movement.
2. Support and Resistance Zones:
Gray boxes highlight key support and resistance areas.
The price broke below the lower support zone, indicating a bearish breakout.
3. Rebound and Target:
After the sharp decline to around 1.12256, the chart shows a potential recovery toward the resistance zone near 1.13000.
The projected path shows a zigzag upward movement, suggesting a cautious recovery phase.
This chart indicates that after a significant bearish breakdown, there is an expectation of a pullback to retest the 1.13000 resistance zone.
Would you like insights on potential entry and exit strategies for this setup?
Bearish drop?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.1268
1st Support: 1.1088
1st Resistance: 1.1369
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EURUSD... 1H CHAT PATTERNMy sharing a EUR/USD trading setup:
* **Entry:** 1.1122 (Buy)
* **1st Target:** 1.1129 (7 pips)
* **2nd Target:** 1.1132 (10 pips)
* **Stop Loss:** 1.1119 (3 pips)
Here’s a quick breakdown:
### Risk-to-Reward Ratio
* **Risk:** 3 pips (from 1.1122 to 1.1119)
* **Reward:**
* **Target 1:** 7 pips → RR = 2.33
* **Target 2:** 10 pips → RR = 3.33
### Observations:
* Very tight stop loss — market noise might hit it before targets.
* High reward-to-risk ratio, but execution must be precise.
* Suitable for scalping or high-frequency strategi
Bearish drop?EUR/USD has reacted off the support level which is a pullback support and could potentially drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.1274
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Stop loss: 1.1373
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 1.1106
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.