Buy EU off BBwe've seen the market is strongly bullish so we keeping our analysis with the trend the idea is to buy whn it's selling we are seeing a breaker block and looking for it to be retested
USDEUR trade ideas
EUR/USD BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
EUR-USD uptrend evident from the last 1W green candle makes short trades more risky, but the current set-up targeting 1.057 area still presents a good opportunity for us to sell the pair because the resistance line is nearby and the BB upper band is close which indicates the overbought state of the EUR/USD pair.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EUR/USD on the Move: What’s Driving the Action?Eur/Usd 18-Mar-2025 :
Starting the year, Eur/Usd was expected to reach the parity point of 1/1. This was mainly supported by the US election results and tariffs policy which were expected to give strength to the US dollar against other currency pairs, in addition to the rate-cut expectations of the ECB.
The lowest point for Eur/Usd for this yes was in mid-Jan where it reached slightly lower than 1.02.
Currently with the depreciation of Usd due to the fear of recession, and the push in Eur supported by the German Fiscal policy which is expected to spend 500 billion on infra-structure and defense. Euro pair is trading at 1.09.
The below possible scenarios could take place:
• Breaking and retest above 1.095 could be the trigger to test the higher time-frame demand area at 1.12
• Breaking below 1.0925 could see a deeper pull-back to 1.08
• Breaking below 1.075 could lead to price retesting 1.063
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Market Analysis: EUR/USD (1H Chart)The EUR/USD pair is currently consolidating following a Break of Structure (BoS) to the upside, suggesting a potential shift in market sentiment. The price action indicates a corrective phase after a strong bullish impulsive move.
Key Levels:
- Resistance: **1.09322** (target zone)
- Support: **1.08622** (H1 demand zone)
- Current Price: **1.08854**
- Market Structure & Outlook :
- The price recently formed a **BoS**, signalling a possible bullish continuation.
- There is an **order block** within the highlighted demand zone, which could act as a strong support level.
- The grey risk-reward box suggests a long position setup, with a stop-loss below **1.08622** and a target near **1.09322**.
- Trading Consideration:
- If the price retests the **H1 demand zone** and shows bullish confirmation, a long position could be favourable.
- A break below **1.08622** could invalidate the bullish bias, shifting momentum to the downside.
Overall, the market is currently at a decision point, with bullish continuation likely if key support holds.
EURUSD LONGS IDEAWe have a rather strong draw on liquidity to prev weekly high.
We had a great re-test during yesterday's New York opening into mid point of London & a 1H Inversion fvg.
We're 5 min away from London open and I already have a bias that the market is going to push to the upside.
If London session melts, I'ma take it as a Judas swing or Institutional sponsorship to collect more buy orders.
Any other ideas are welcomed.
EURUSD Trade Execution March 18 3 macroEURUSD Trade Execution
March 18
3 macro
Asia small consolidation into expansion to the sell side.
Price takes minor sell side and again engineers equal lows.
2 macro the fake lower to reverse at 2:30.
Model factors in play at 3
*minor sell liquidity taken
*4 candle formation on the 3 min
*swing high candle that violated on the 2:36 candle
*2:39 candle comes back into half of the created gap
*2:45 break of structure entry ICT Model 2022- I stalled while cross referencing DXY and GBP for confirmation
They both hit their .618 2:30 and were also in break of structure
Very late entry-messy and felt like I was chasing price however I took the trade because it gave me a place to get in using ICT model 2022 price touched 1.09165 for late entry
I suspected once it was moving it would reach the clean equal highs. This was framed on standard deviations and cross referencing DXY and its distance until it was at its target.
What I learned
*Review your notes from the morning, right before the session starts and every macro
*Limit outside distractions-phone is off, lock the door, isolate for 12pm to 6pm trading hours
*the ideas you set forth in the morning are being back tested and traded-Please trust what you have studied and review your model checklist every macro
*note yesterday and today both DXY and GBP are pulling back to .618 before turning around giving me confidence in my analysis
*aim for cleaner entries
Happy with today
EUR/USD Breakout! Strong Bullish Potential!The price has broken above the descending trendline, signaling a potential bullish reversal. Currently, it is trading above a key support zone and could continue its upward momentum.
📈 Buy Setup:
Entry: 1.09048
Stop Loss: 1.08865 (To protect against market noise)
Take Profit: 1.09422 (Nearest resistance target)
🔎 This is a breakout opportunity combined with Fibonacci levels, ideal for trend-following traders.
📊 Personal View: The bullish momentum is strong, but it’s important to watch price reactions at resistance levels. What do you think about this setup? Let’s discuss! 👇
EURUSD - A quick and short-term analysis for day tradersGiven the bearish order flow on the lower timeframe and the bullish order flow on the upper timeframe, we expect the price to make a small correction to the middle or bottom of the 15-minute timeframe structure before continuing the upward movement on the upper timeframe.
You can consider this brief and useful analysis in your trading today.
Be profitable
Eur/UsdUtilizing the M30 FVG alongside +OB as our defense area for support and resistance proved to be a strategic move. Running Asia set the perfect stage to effectively target those buy stops.
EUR USD Trade Setup Daily Timeframe EUR USD has tapped on a Daily supply level that also acted as a strong resistance level in the past.
So we will be looking for selling opportunities from the lower timeframe.
EUR/USDd trend in European and American sessions today🔔🔔🔔 EUR/USD news:
👉The EUR/USD pair remains range-bound as the US Dollar stabilizes ahead of the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy meeting. The Euro (EUR) holds steady after German leaders, including the Greens led by Franziska Brantner, agreed to establish a 500 billion Euro infrastructure fund and implement significant changes to borrowing regulations, particularly the 'debt brake,' which is set for approval in the lower house of Parliament on Tuesday.
👉Market participants anticipate that Germany’s decision to increase defense spending through a historic adjustment of the debt brake will stimulate economic growth.
Personal opinion:
👉The EUR/USD pair remains in long-term uptrend. Recent weak US economic data, especially CPI and PPI, have raised concerns about a US recession. This has weakened the Dollar significantly.
Analysis:
👉Based on important resistance - support levels and Fibonacci combined with EMA to come up with a suitable strategy
Plan:
🔆 Price Zone Setup:
👉Buy EUR/USD 1.0870- 1.0880
❌SL: 1.0840| ✅TP: 1.0920 – 1.0950 – 1.0990
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
EUR/USD Dips Amid U.S.-EU Trade TensionsEUR/USD is slightly down, hovering near 1.0915 in early Asian trading. The Euro faces pressure from rising U.S.-EU trade tensions after Trump announced new tariffs on European goods. Washington imposed duties on steel and aluminum, prompting Brussels to prepare countermeasures, while Trump threatened a 200% tariff on European wine and spirits, adding downside risks for the Euro.
However, losses may be limited by Germany’s fiscal policy shifts. The Green Party supports debt restructuring, and incoming Chancellor Friedrich Merz proposed a €500 billion infrastructure fund with borrowing rule adjustments. The measures expected to be passed this week could support the Euro.
Weak U.S. Retail Sales data also weigh on the Dollar. February sales rose just 0.2% vs. the expected 0.7%, while January’s figures were revised lower to -1.2%. Annual sales growth slowed to 3.1% from 3.9%, fueling concerns about consumer spending and offering near-term support for EUR/USD.
Key resistance is at 1.0950, followed by 1.1000 and 1.1050. Support stands at 1.0880, with further levels at 1.0800 and 1.0730.
Chande Kroll Stop: Definition, Calculation, and Trading StrategyChande Kroll Stop: Definition, Calculation, and Trading Strategies
In the ever-changing landscape of financial markets, traders are constantly seeking effective tools to manage risk and protect their investments. The Chande Kroll Stop, a dynamic indicator, is one such tool that has gained popularity due to its ability to help traders determine optimal stop loss locations. In this article, we will delve into the Chande Kroll Stop, exploring its definition, formula, and application.
What Is the Chande Kroll Stop?
The Chande Kroll stop is a technical analysis indicator that is used to determine the optimal placement of a stop-loss order. It was developed by Tushar Chande and Stanley Kroll, two highly-respected figures in trading in the mid-90s, and is grounded in the idea of volatility.
By taking into account the current price, market volatility, and the security's average true range (ATR), the indicator calculates an appropriate stop-loss level that moves in tandem with the security's price. It’s plotted as two lines that help traders determine their stop losses, regardless of whether they go long or short. It is applicable to virtually every asset class – traders can use the Chande Kroll Stop for forex, commodities, stocks, and cryptocurrencies*.
Calculation of Chande Kroll Stop
The Chande Kroll encompasses three key components: the average true range (ATR), the multiplier, and the current price of the security.
ATR: The ATR is a volatility measure calculated by averaging the true ranges over a specific timeframe. The true range is determined by finding the maximum of the following:
- The range between the high and low of the current period.
- The difference between the close of the previous period and the high of the current period.
- The difference between the close of the previous period and the low of the current period.
Multiplier: The multiplier adjusts the ATR and is typically set between 1 and 3, depending on the trader's risk tolerance.
Price: The current price of the security being analysed.
The Chande Kroll Stop formula is as follows:
Initial high stop = HIGHEST (high) - x * Average True Range
Initial low stop = LOWEST (low) + x * Average True Range
Short stop = HIGHEST (Initial high stop)
Long stop = LOWEST (Initial low stop)
This calculation produces two stop-loss levels, typically a red (or orange) and green (or blue) line. The stop-loss may be placed below the green line for a long position, while it could be placed above the red line for a short position.
So what are the three numbers for the Chande Kroll stop? The ATR’s current period is denoted by the letter P (10 by default), while X represents the ATR multiplier (1 by default). Q is the lookback period for updating the indicator lines; its initial value, 9, means that the indicator will adapt to the highest and lowest values of the short-stop and long-stop lines, respectively, across the previous 9 bars.
However, there’s no need to perform these calculations yourself. In TradingView, you’ll discover the Chande Kroll Stop alongside dozens of other tools ready to help you navigate the markets.
How to Use the Chande Kroll Stop Indicator in Trading
When learning how to read the Chande Kroll stop, there are three key areas to be aware of: setup, stop-loss implementation, and entry signals.
Setup
The first step is to adjust your Chande Kroll Stop settings to suit your risk tolerance and trading style. In essence, setting a higher period for P will widen both lines and give your positions more room to breathe, while increasing X will bring the line closer to the current price. Similarly, a lower Q value will produce a more responsive indicator that will stop you out sooner.
Stop Loss Implementation
Once you have found your preferred settings and added the indicator to your chart, you can use it as a dynamic stop-loss. For a long position, you can place your order below the applicable level (blue line) and adjust it as the indicator adapts. In a short position, traders place it above the orange line.
Entry Signals
Although the Chande Kroll is primarily a stop-loss tool, it can also provide entry signals. When the long-stop line crosses above the short-stop line, it can signal that bullish momentum is entering the market. Conversely, the opposite can indicate that a short position could be opened.
Advantages and Limitations of Chande Kroll Stop Indicator
Advantages:
The Chande Kroll Stop is a dynamic indicator that adapts when the price moves, making it a potent risk management tool.
By taking into account market volatility, it offers protection against sudden price fluctuations, becoming particularly useful in volatile assets.
The simplicity of Chande Kroll's calculation and application makes it accessible to traders of all experience levels.
Limitations:
The indicator can be overly sensitive to price movements, leading to premature stop-outs and potentially missed opportunities.
It may be less effective for assets with low volatility, which could make it unsuitable for certain trading approaches or timeframes.
The Chande Kroll should not be used in isolation. It's best to combine it with other technical indicators and analysis techniques.
Final Thoughts
Overall, the Chande Kroll stop is a useful tool for traders looking for a dynamic stop-loss order that takes into account volatility. Now that you have a solid overview of the Chande Kroll stop and how to use it, why not consider opening an FXOpen account? You can enjoy access to over 700 markets and low-cost trading. Good luck!
*Important: At FXOpen UK, Cryptocurrency trading via CFDs is only available to our Professional clients. They are not available for trading by Retail clients. To find out more information about how this may affect you, please get in touch with our team.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Fundamental Market Analysis for March 18, 2025 EURUSDThe escalating trade war with further tariffs on European Union goods by US President Donald Trump is having a negative impact on the Euro (EUR).
The US has imposed tariffs on steel and aluminium, the EU has drawn up plans to retaliate, and Trump has promised to impose retaliatory 200% tariffs on European wines and spirits. Any signs of an escalation in the tariff war between the US and EU could put pressure on the euro.
German Chancellor Friedrich Merz has agreed to a €500bn infrastructure fund and radical changes to borrowing rules, or stretching the so-called ‘debt brake’. That should ensure the package is approved in Germany's lower house of parliament on Tuesday and in the upper house on Friday. This, in turn, could boost the common currency against the US dollar (USD) in the near term.
In addition, weaker-than-expected US retail sales data has heightened concerns about a slowdown in consumer spending. This report could put pressure on the USD and serve as a tailwind for the major pair. US retail sales rose 0.2% month-on-month in February, compared to a 1.2% drop (revised from -0.9%) in January, the US Census Bureau reported on Monday. The figure was weaker than market expectations, which had expected a 0.7% rise. On a year-over-year basis, retail sales rose 3.1% compared to 3.9% (revised from 4.2%) previously.
Trade recommendation: BUY 1.0920, SL 1.0840, TP 1.1040
EURUSDBeautiful trade taken from yesterdays analysis (check previous post)
Stopped out for 0.5% then re entered resulting in a 12R trade and 6% profit back.
More ideas and trades to come
EUR/USD Direction 1.10 - Technical and Fundamental Analysis📊 Market Context
As of March 18, 2025, EUR/USD is in a strong bullish expansion phase, with the price testing significant resistance levels. The US dollar remains solid, but market attention is focused on the Federal Reserve and the ECB, with expectations of more accommodative monetary policies in the coming months.
🔍 Technical Analysis
The chart analysis reveals a bullish trend with the following key points:
Main Resistance: 1.0912 - 1.10 area (potential reversal zone highlighted in red on the chart).
Key Supports: 1.0822 (former resistance now acting as support), 1.0360, and 1.0283 (deeper support levels highlighted in yellow).
Market Structure: The price has tested the monthly resistance around 1.0912 and entered a potential reversal zone where significant price reactions are expected.
Bullish Momentum: The trend shows strong bullish candles, indicating a possible continuation toward 1.10.
📌 Possible Scenario: If EUR/USD decisively breaks 1.0912 and closes above 1.10, there could be room for a further rally toward 1.12.
📌 Alternative Scenario: A rejection at resistance and a close below 1.0822 could trigger a bearish correction toward 1.0360.
🌍 Fundamental Analysis
US Data: Consumer confidence in the United States has dropped to its lowest level since November 2022, increasing the likelihood of a Fed rate cut by June.
Monetary Policy: The ECB is maintaining a more neutral stance, while the Fed may be forced to cut rates faster to support the economy.
Capital Flow: The market is anticipating US dollar weakness due to the outlook for rate cuts, supporting a possible euro appreciation.
🎯 Conclusion
Main Bias: Bullish above 1.0822, targeting 1.10 and beyond.
Trend Invalidation: Below 1.0360, the bullish trend would weaken.
EUR/USD could consolidate in this area before breaking above 1.10. The future direction will depend on upcoming central bank statements and macroeconomic data.
EURUSD Continues to RiseEURUSD continues its bullish movement and is once again trading above 1,0900.
Tomorrow, the Federal Reserve's decision on interest rates will determine the next market move.
If the price rises, the next resistance levels are 1,0937 and 1,1012.
EURJPY has also completed a significant part of its expected upward move and is heading toward its final target.
EUR/USD – Bullish Breakout Setup 🔹 Overview:
EUR/USD remains in an ascending channel and is currently near the support zone. A bullish move is anticipated toward the 1.12150 - 1.12382 resistance zone, aligning with the overall trend.
🔹 Technical Analysis:
✅ Support Zone: Holding at 1.07916, acting as a key demand area.
✅ Ascending Channel: Price structure remains bullish, with higher highs and higher lows.
✅ Target: Resistance around 1.12382 aligns with a possible breakout.
🔹 Trade Idea:
📌 Long Entry: Around the support zone if bullish confirmation appears.
📌 Target: 1.12150 - 1.12382 resistance zone.
📌 Invalidation: Break below 1.07916 could shift momentum bearish.
📊 Sentiment: Bullish bias, waiting for confirmation.
📢 Will EUR/USD hit the target? Let’s discuss! 👇
My forecast for the yearCurrently am in step 9 let's see if i can reach a million dollars
My rules are you can only move forward with a minimum of times 3 reward after a trade
once you make a loss you move a step back
for this to work, never loss more than 2 trades in a row,
best way to achieve this is to have account A, B, and C trading separately
Is there a short-term pullback in EUR/USD?🔔🔔🔔 EUR/USD news:
👉EUR/USD traded below 1.090 in early Thursday morning in Europe. Escalating US-EU trade tensions weighed on risk sentiment and the pair, providing some support to the US dollar amid cooling US inflation
👉 Although EUR/USD has maintained its bullish momentum, the price chart in recent days has not been as strong as before, signaling that the market's buying power may weaken in the short term
Personal opinion:
👉RSI (4H) clearly shows divergence and breaks the uptrend line, signaling a possible short-term downtrend for the pair. Check out the support resistance levels to buy at the best price
Analysis:
👉Based on important support resistance and SMA levels combined with trend lines to come up with a suitable strategy
Plan:
🔆 Price Zone Setup:
👉Buy EUR/USD 1.0870 – 1.0885
❌SL: 1.0920 | ✅TP: 1.0820 – 1.0780– 1.0720
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Potential Countertrend Trade Idea for E/UDoulbe top forming clearly on Daily and 4hr, after recent bull run. This could be the start of a daily and weekly pullback, before the trend continues. However, if you are feeling adventurous this could provide an opportunity to forge some pips.
option 1: Entry after STRONG BEARISH candle break of neckline
option 2: Entry after BREAK AND RETEST of neckline
EURUSD TRADING JOURNAL March18EURUSD TRADING JOURNAL
March18
Price in a bias bull
Price is in a Premium M/W
Premium daily range and a Premium previous range.
Dealing range15 pips
No NEWS
March 17
Price delivery was premium to engineered equal lows, dip below the 50 take equal lows and rally taking buys side closing in a premium. Consolidation to expand small retrace and expand to consolidate.
March 18
I suspect that while price is in a double premium we should see a retrace to the 50 1.08992 and watch for reaction and could price reach the .70 level and the FVG.
Note price is rebalancing a HTF FVG, coming to the .75 level
Watch for swings at 1 or 2 macro
Watch what stops are taken
My Model Factors
Price will have to do the following for me to trade
*session liquidity taken
*macro time only
*first presented FVG
*4 candle pattern
*every trading hour top down analysis 1 to i hour TF identify trading conditions based on candles
*every hour mark out what price has done
FOLLOW THE RULES
EURUSDThis analysis relies on the provided image and should not be considered financial advice. Trading carries risks; it is essential to do your own research and seek guidance from a financial advisor before making trading decisions.
