USDEUR trade ideas
EURUSD - Still Orderflow remains bearishLooking at EU. The 1H Orderflow is still maintaining that bearish intent. My area is set now for where i want to take a potential sell to the downside seeing as everything else is pretty much mitigated.
The only issue with this potential sell of is that we never really had a sweep of liquidity before we rolled over and moved to the downside.
We do have a level of inducement before our POI but i think in an ideal world i would love to see us build up a bit more liquidity before the POI just to induce the early sellers before making that move to the downside.
For now. On the lower TF's i will be looking to take short term long positions back up to our POI before looking for the longer terms short. to our 4H POI in which i will be looking to get long once again.
Any questions feel free to give me a message
EUR/USD Falling Wedges Forming. Breakout Expected?Hello Traders,
Falling wedges can be seen in Eurusd chart and price is expected to breakout.
Wait for the price to break 1.17229 to go long or if it breaks below 1.1629 consider short.
This analysis is solely based on chart patterns and some indicators like MACD, RSI and Moving Averages.
EURUSD WEEKLY LOOKING FOR SELLS🔹 Bearish divergence on indicators suggests that the bullish momentum is weakening.
🔹 A reversal has formed near a key Fibonacci time zone, indicating the potential beginning of a corrective move.
🔹 Price is rejecting from the intersection of a channel line and a strong Fibonacci retracement level, reinforcing the case for a possible downward reversal.
EURUSD Trading Opportunity! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the EURUSD next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.1689
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 1.1748
My Stop Loss - 1.1659
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Up again for EUHi traders,
Last week EU went exactly as I've said in my outlook.
It slowly went down to take the liquidity.
Next week we could see price reverse from the Daily FVG below and start the next impulsive wave up.
Let's see what the market does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for the finish of the correction down and a change in orderflow to bullish on a lower time frame to trade longs.
If you want to learn more about trading with FVG's, liquidity sweeps and Wave analysis, then make sure to follow me.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave
EURUSD H4 RISES 🔄 Disrupted EUR/USD Analysis (4H)
📉 Current Structure:
Price is hovering around 1.17298, showing hesitation at the resistance of a potential bearish flag.
While the chart labels this zone as “bullish,” there are signs of market indecision, possibly a fakeout trap.
⚠️ Key Disruptions:
1. Bullish Trap Risk:
The price formed a short-term M-pattern (double top inside the orange circle), indicating bearish exhaustion rather than continuation.
The expected breakout to the upside may fail if bulls don’t sustain volume.
2. Support Area Weakness:
The support zone around 1.17000 has been tested multiple times. If it breaks, it could turn into a strong resistance, flipping the sentiment.
3. Macro Influence:
Upcoming EUR and USD economic events (noted by icons) could cause high volatility and break structure unexpectedly.
A strong USD report could reverse bullish momentum, sending EUR/USD toward 1.16500 or lower.
4. Bearish Continuation Scenario:
If the market breaks down from the current consolidation, expect targets at:
EURUSD NEW HIGHS?The 1h timeframe reminds me of this book, LIQUIDITY AND MANIPULATION.
"The markets need to generate liquidity in order to move, so if liquidity isn´t
already there, it will be created. So when new traders come in to forex and
learn about it for the first time, what they usually do is gonna be retail based
trading.
So support and resistance, chart patterns which are extremely popular in the
industry, and things of that nature.
So what some brokers do is they offer free education for their clients once we
start trading. Now this education will usually be retail methods support and
resistance. "
Thanks for this idea.
here is the chart relative to this, see the price above it will clear?
I have more on this kind of idea.
This is not a financial advice.
Follow for more .
trade it or see it.
Goodluck
EU - Shorts into Longs📊 EURUSD 15min – Reversal Both Ways: Sell the Top, Buy the Bottom
🔄 Complete Cycle Coverage | Precision Short & Long | Real-Time Edge
This EURUSD chart is a textbook example of how the ELFIEDT RSI + Reversion system captures both ends of the market — printing a clean DOWN signal at the high, followed by multiple stacked UP signals at the low.
🔻 High-Precision Short Signal
At the early session high, a lone DOWN signal was printed at 01:45 — just as price peaked before entering a persistent downtrend.
🔹 Hypothetical Trade Idea:
Entry: Short at the close of the red DOWN candle
Stop-loss: Just above the signal candle’s high
Reward: Price dropped more than 60 pips before stabilizing
🟢 Strong Bottom Reversal with Triple Confirmation
After the sustained decline, the indicator printed three consecutive UP signals starting around 15:00 — catching the bottom of the selloff with minimal further downside.
🔹 Hypothetical Trade Idea:
Entry: After the last UP signal prints (aggressive traders could scale in earlier)
Stop-loss: Below the signal wick
Reward: Immediate reversal led to a steady move up into the next session
This setup offered a second high-probability opportunity, demonstrating the system’s strength in both directions.
🧠 What This Shows
The ELFIEDT system isn’t reactive. It pre-empts exhaustion, spotting the true shift in sentiment before traditional indicators catch on.
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This is a basic public version of the ELFIEDT RSI + Reversion engine.
🚀 Advanced versions include:
Multi-symbol confluence
Divergence overlays
Trendline breakouts
Re-entry logic
Institutional filter layers
📬 DM to apply for premium access — strictly invite-only.
#EURUSD #ForexSignals #MeanReversion #ReversalTrading #SmartForexTools #ELFIEDT #15MinuteChart #FXPrecision #TradingView
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of July 11, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
In this week's trading session, as expected, the Euro continued its decline, reaching our Mean Support level of 1.168. Recent analyses suggest that the Euro is likely to experience a further downward trend, with the next target set at the Mean Support level of 1.160. However, it's essential to consider the possibility of a rebound toward the Key Resistance level of 1.181, which could lead to the completion of an Outer Currency Rally reaching 1.187.
EUR/USD SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
Previous week’s green candle means that for us the EUR/USD pair is in the uptrend. And the current movement leg was also up but the resistance line will be hit soon and upper BB band proximity will signal an overbought condition so we will go for a counter-trend short trade with the target being at 1.133.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EUR/USD Reversal Ahead? COT + DXY Strength Signal Price has broken below the ascending channel that started in mid-May.
The current candle is rejecting the weekly supply zone (1.17566–1.18319), leaving a significant upper wick.
Daily RSI is losing strength but has not yet reached extreme levels.
A key daily Fair Value Gap (FVG) lies between 1.1600 and 1.1480, with the first potential downside target at 1.14802, which aligns with support and the FVG zone.
A deeper bearish continuation could push price towards 1.1350, but only if the FVG lows are clearly broken.
📊 COT Data (CME - Euro FX & USD Index)
Euro FX
Net long: +15,334
Commercials increased both longs (+13,550) and shorts (+9,913) → mild divergence.
Non-Commercials (speculators) increased shorts (+4,786) more than longs (+1,188) → speculative bias tilting bearish.
USD Index
Strong net long accumulation across all trader types: +4,597 net.
Non-Commercials added +3,590 longs, with only a minor increase in shorts.
→ USD strength continues, reinforcing potential weakness in EUR/USD.
🧠 Retail Sentiment
67% of retail traders are short EUR/USD → typically a contrarian bullish signal.
However, the price is already showing distribution, not accumulation, so we may see price push lower first to trap remaining retail longs, invalidating the contrarian signal in the short term.
📅 Seasonality
July is historically bullish, especially on the 2Y (+0.0142) and 10Y (+0.0106) averages.
However, the 15Y and 20Y averages show a much more moderate performance (+0.007 / +0.0025).
Based on current price action, the seasonal rally may have already played out with the run-up to 1.1830. A correction now seems likely, even if the broader macro remains supportive mid-term.
🧩 Conclusion
Despite historically bullish seasonality for July, both price action and COT data indicate distribution with early signs of reversal.
Retail sentiment is too skewed short for a major breakdown just yet, but the technicals support a short-term pullback toward more balanced levels.
USD strength from COT and DXY structure reinforces a corrective short bias for now.
EURUSD LONG The dollar is looking to fall hard as the euro continues to gain we still see the market long on the euro in terms of institutions etc. we had a weak push to the downside and have now met trend line resistance will be interesting to see what happens from here . The trade isn’t perfect yet but this is what I’m looking at so far .
EURUSD – Breakout Confirms Bullish ContinuationEURUSD has just successfully broken out of a corrective triangle pattern, confirming that the bullish structure remains intact. The price reacted well to the support zone around 1.1660 and bounced back, opening the way toward the 1.1820 target in the short term.
On the news front, the euro is gaining support as the Eurozone’s July CPI held steady at 2.6%, indicating that inflationary pressures have not fully eased—this may prompt the ECB to maintain a tighter policy for longer. Meanwhile, the USD is under mild correction pressure after U.S. CPI came in higher than expected but not strong enough to reignite rate hike expectations from the Fed.
Given the current technical setup and news backdrop, EURUSD could continue rising in the coming sessions as long as it holds above the trendline support.
EUR_USD STRONG UPTREND|LONG|
✅EUR_USD is trading in an uptrend
With the pair set to retest
The rising support line
From where I think the growth will continue
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.