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U.S. Dollar / Euro

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USDEUR trade ideas

EUR/USD – Bearish Breakout ConfirmedEUR/USD has broken below a well-respected descending channel on the 2H chart, suggesting further downside is likely. 🔎 Technical Analysis: • Price rejected resistance with three clear rejections (🔴 red arrows). • Breakout below the lower channel boundary is now confirmed, signaling strong bearish momentum. • MACD shows repeated bearish crossovers (🟠 circles), supporting the trend shift. • This is no longer just a channel play — momentum suggests a deeper drop. 🎯TP1: 1.1200 🎯TP2: 1.1150 🎯TP3: 1.1100 (major support zone) 🛑 Invalidation: Strong close back above 1.1300 would neutralize the setup and indicate a possible false breakout. 💡 Look for a retest of the broken trendline as resistance for potential re-entry.
Long
by FinanceProSignals
EURUSD bulling ideaAlthough there is no single significant event directly affecting the euro-dollar exchange rate on May 8, from a macro perspective, the U.S. dollar index fluctuated on that day, having a certain impact on the euro-dollar exchange rate. The U.S. dollar index once broke the 100 mark. Generally speaking, the strength of the U.S. dollar index has an inverse relationship with the euro-dollar exchange rate. From different time cycles, on the monthly chart, the euro-dollar is supported at the 1.0800 level, and the long-term trend is regarded as bullish. At the weekly level, the price is supported in the 1.0900 area, and the medium-term outlook remains bullish you are currently struggling with losses, or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow, at this moment, you can choose to observe the operations within our channel.
Long
by HilaryBloomer
Euro-dollar holds around $1.13Trade and monetary policy remain important drivers for euro-dollar, so with the former calming down somewhat and the latter shifting towards a likely large gap in rates by the end of the year, upward momentum has declined. Markets seem to be pricing in 1.6% for the deposit facility rate by the end of the year while the most likely scenario now for the Fed’s funds rate at the end of 2025 is 3.5-3.75%. The test of $1.15 on 21-22 April was rejected but so far there’s been no clear push below $1.13, making that a main technical reference and likely support given the presence of the 61.8% monthly Fibonacci retracement. Volume has declined sharply since early April, which probably makes sense since movements this time last month were really exceptional. An immediate movement lower also seems questionable because the slow stochastic is clearly oversold. All of these technical factors might suggest a period of consolidation before the next significant movement. Traders are looking primarily at American inflation on 13 May for a possible driver, but attention will also remain on politics and ongoing negotiations around tariffs. This is my personal opinion, not the opinion of Exness. This is not a recommendation to trade.
by Michael_Stark_Exness
EUR/USD Daily Technical Analysis 5.8.25EUR/USD Technical Research Report Overview The EUR/USD exchange rate has experienced fluctuations amid economic and tariff uncertainties. The recent trend shows a general upward movement with some volatility. Historical Price Analysis - April 1 to May 7, 2025: The exchange rate started at approximately 1.08 and peaked around 1.14 before stabilizing near 1.13. - Volatility: The rate exhibited significant volatility, particularly around mid-April, likely influenced by geopolitical and economic factors. Key Influences: 1. Economic Indicators: The Federal Reserve's decision to maintain interest rates has provided some stability, but ongoing inflation concerns continue to impact the market. 2. Trade Talks: Positive developments in US-China trade talks have buoyed market sentiment, potentially supporting the euro. 3. Geopolitical Tensions: Ongoing geopolitical tensions may contribute to future volatility. Technical Indicators: - Support Level: Around 1.08, where the rate found initial support. - Resistance Level: Near 1.14, where the rate faced resistance before stabilizing. - Momentum: The upward momentum suggests potential for further gains, but caution is warranted due to underlying economic concerns. Outlook: - Short-term: Expect continued volatility with potential upward movement if positive economic data and trade developments persist. - Long-term: Economic uncertainties and geopolitical tensions may lead to fluctuations, requiring close monitoring of economic indicators and trade negotiations. Recommendations: - Traders: Consider short-term opportunities with a focus on technical levels and economic data releases. - Investors: Maintain a cautious approach, keeping an eye on geopolitical developments and central bank policies.
by TacticalTrade
The next EUR/USD move could pay twice”Current Price Structure: Price is forming a potential Head & Shoulders / distribution near resistance (blue + red zone). There is a clear supply zone overhead around 1.14255–1.14496. Key demand zone (yellow box) 1.12274–1.11800. 3. Potential Trade Ideas (2 setups): First short from the current resistance (blue box), aiming towards yellow demand zone. Second opportunity: After a potential bounce → re-test of lower highs (blue box again) → another short towards demand zone (confluence short twice). 4. Key Levels: Resistance: 1.14255 – 1.14496 Support: 1.12274 – 1.11800 Current price: 1.13115 5. Bias: Short-term bearish towards 1.1227 zone. Wait for confirmation with structure breaks and lower highs.
Short
by Greenfireforex
Euro may correct to support area and then start to move upHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Looking at this chart, we can see how price has been confidently trending within an upward channel, supported by strong impulses and consistent demand from the lower boundary. The price initially rebounded from the buyer zone, which later became the launchpad for a major upward move. After breaking the resistance line of the channel, the Euro made a clean breakout and confirmed its strength with a retest from above, a clear sign of bullish continuation. This upward momentum carried price directly into the support area, which has since served as a key zone for consolidations. The market then shifted into a horizontal range, trading within well-defined boundaries, with repeated rejections near the top and steady rebounds from the bottom support. What’s crucial now is that the Euro is again testing the lower border of this range while holding above the current support level at 1.1270. Given this structure, a strong preceding trend, clean reaction at the bottom of the range, and ongoing consolidation without deeper breakdowns, I expect the price to rebound from this zone and continue higher. My TP1 is set at 1.1575, the upper boundary of the current range, which remains a logical magnet for price in the short term. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Long
by LegionQ8
5
EURUSD Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow !In this video I will be sharing my EURUSD analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
by Transparent_Fx_Academy
5
EURUSD tested the Support line 1.12725 👀 Possible scenario: The euro (EUR) fell 0.59% on May 7 after the Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged, as expected. The U.S. dollar strengthened, supported by the Fed’s cautious tone on inflation and unemployment risks, as well as optimism around upcoming U.S.-China trade talks set for May 10 in Switzerland. On May 8, EURUSD held above the 50-day moving average. Traders are watching the Bank of England’s rate decision at 11:00 a.m. UTC, which could spark volatility in euro pairs. U.S. Jobless Claims data, due at 12:30 p.m. UTC, may also influence USD movements across the board. ✅ Support and Resistance Levels Now, the support level is located at 1.12725. Resistance level is now located at 1.14220.
by MaxOnMarkets
EUR/USD 30M CHART PATTERNThe EUR/USD 30-minute chart presents a bearish setup based on a rising wedge pattern. This pattern typically signals a potential trend reversal after an upward move. Price action within the wedge shows weakening bullish momentum, and the recent downward move suggests sellers are gaining control. Additionally, the price is moving below the Ichimoku Cloud, reinforcing a bearish outlook. Entry: 1.13600 First Target point: 1.12800 Second Target point 1.12400 Third Target point 1.12000 Stop Loss : 1.13830
Short
by Trend_logic
Remembering Key Levels Indicators are reading neutral which I can see Right now price is ranging 1.13700-1.12700 Price is making LH and LL on the 4hr and Daily Time frame Price is near a key support area and from my aspect of price action it looks like it isn't breaking 1.12700 DXY is also heading near a recent high 99.932 and the probability of his breaking is weak if it does this trade becomes invalid Right now price is in the contraction phase waiting to go into expansion In order for me to Sell EURUSD I need to see a strong push to the down side forming within the bodies of candles no wicks Otherwise I am Still Bullish on EURUSD BUY 1.12868 SL 1.12660 TP1 1.3200 TP2 1.13360 TP3 1.13650
Long
by moneymastermoe1
EUR/USD..3h chart pattern.**high-probability EUR/USD buy strategy** with clear rules and risk management: --- ### **EUR/USD Buy Trade Plan** **✅ Entry:** **1.1300** (Key support zone) **🎯 Target:** **1.1550** (+250 pips | **1:3+ Risk-Reward**) **🛑 Stop Loss:** **1.1220** (-80 pips | Below recent swing low) ### **Why Buy Here?** 1. **Support Zone:** - 1.1300 is a **psychological + historical support** (2023 swing lows). - Strong bounce potential if USD weakens (Fed pivot hopes). 2. **Trend Structure:** - Higher lows in weekly chart suggest **long-term bullish bias**. 3. **Fundamental Catalyst:** - ECB rate hikes vs. Fed pause could boost EUR. ### **Entry Confirmation (Avoid Fakeouts!)** - **Wait for:** ✅ **Bullish price action** (e.g., hammer, engulfing candle on 4H/Daily). ✅ **RSI >30** (no extreme oversold condition). ✅ **MACD histogram turning upward**. ### **Trade Management** - **Scale in:** Enter 50% at 1.1300, add 50% on retest of 1.1280 (if possible). - **Move SL to breakeven** at **1.1340** (+40 pips). - **Partial profits:** Take 50% at **1.1450**, let rest run to 1.1550. ### **Invalidation Scenario** - If price closes **below 1.1220**, trend turns bearish (exit trade). --- ### **Key Risks & Mitigation** ⚠️ **USD Strength:** Watch Fed speeches, CPI data. ⚠️ **Eurozone Recession:** Weak GDP could hurt EUR. **Alternative Play:** If 1.1300 breaks, wait for **1.1200** (stronger support). --- Would you like a **shorter-term scalp version** (e.g., 100-pip target)? Or add **Fibonacci levels** for precision?
Long
by Algo_Trading_Mql5
2