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USDEUR trade ideas

EURUSD technical analysis.The image is a technical analysis chart for EUR/USD from TradingView, published on March 11, 2025. Key Observations: 1. Trendline Support: The chart shows an ascending trendline, indicating a bullish trend. Price has been respecting the trendline and bouncing off it. 2. Expected Price Movement: The blue arrow suggests a pullback to the trendline, followed by a bounce higher. If the price holds above the trendline, a bullish continuation is expected. 3. Resistance Levels: The next potential resistance level could be around 1.0900. 4. Market Sentiment: As long as the trendline holds, buyers remain in control. A break below the trendline could shift momentum toward a bearish move. Conclusion: Bullish Scenario: A bounce from the trendline would confirm further upside. Bearish Risk: A break below the trendline could lead to a decline. Key Level to Watch: **Trendline
Long
by MrJacki45
EUR/USD long: USD going down the Trump creek with no paddle. Hello traders I have mentioned the Trump chaos theme numerous times in my previous ideas. History repeats itself. Once again, the punches come from a different direction on a daily basis. Fundamentally, nothing seems to have changed. Trump vacillates on tariffs daily. The new Canadian PM is threatening to terminate electricity supply to the USA which will affect 1.5 million users in the USA if the tariffs increase. The Ukraine conflict is still not resolved. Still the most important geopolitical risk. Germany seems posed to spend heavily on defense and other infrastructure. However, it is still dependent on the formation of a new Government and Parliamentary approval of lifting the debt limit. In conclusion, this trade is a no confidence vote in the USD. For now. FOMC coming up next week. Trump refuses to acknowledge the possibility of a recession because of his insane tariffs. I have never seen Trump speak in soothing, sweet tones, like he did from the Oval Office today. "Everything is OK..." Big old red flag. He knows the proverbial has hit the fan. It appears that the chainsaw that Musk was wielding during one of the Trump rallies, has turned on them. TSLA is tanking because of anti-Musk sentiment. And the poorly built cars. Republican members of Congress are getting hammered at town halls for the firing of Federal Employees. My bet on who gets fired first(or a voluntary departure) in the Trump world? His co-president, Monsieur Musk. The technical side seems to be in favor of the Euro. DXY and USD10 Y are both ticking down despite the positive rate differential of the USD to all currencies except the GBP. I was stopped out on my EUR/USD short from 1.0793 at 1.0845 before NFP's. I initiated a long EUR/USD position during the London session early this morning at 1.0810 after the hourly close above the daily close at 1.0805. Best of luck navigating this gordian knot.
Long
by jvrfxalerts
EUR/USD at Key Resistance: Is a Major Retrace Coming? 💹📉
In this video, we dive deep into the EUR/USD currency pair and analyze the current market conditions. 📊 At the moment, the pair is overextended and trading into a critical weekly resistance level. 🚨 There's a high probability that the buy orders driving the price higher will interact with the buy stops resting at this zone, potentially triggering a significant retracement. 🔄 Join me as we break down the trend, price action, and market structure, and explore a potential trade idea based on these insights. 🧠💡 Whether you're a seasoned trader or just starting out, this analysis will give you valuable perspectives on how to approach key levels in the market. ⚠️ This is not financial advice—always trade responsibly! ⚠️ Don't forget to like, comment, and subscribe for more market insights! 👍📈✨
by fxtraderanthony
EURUSD TRADE IDEA 11 MARCH 2025The EUR/USD pair is currently trading within a long-term descending channel, showing a recent bullish reaction from the key demand zone near 1.0390 - 1.0510. Structurally, the market has been forming **lower highs and lower lows**, but the recent price action suggests a potential short-term reversal. Liquidity was grabbed around 1.0376 - 1.0390 , indicating institutional accumulation before the push higher. A bullish break of structure (BOS) above 1.0850 would confirm further upside momentum, with price likely targeting the imbalance between 1.0850 - 1.1200 and the major supply zone at 1.1132 - 1.1205. The trade plan involves looking for bullish entries around **1.0514 - 1.0600** upon a retracement, with targets set at 1.0850 - 1.1205 , while a stop-loss should be placed below **1.0390** to invalidate the setup. From a fundamental perspective, the U.S. Federal Reserve’s monetary policy will be a key driver for the pair. If inflation remains persistent, the Fed may delay rate cuts, strengthening the USD and limiting upside potential for EUR/USD. Conversely, if economic data weakens, the Fed may cut rates sooner, fueling bullish momentum in the pair. Meanwhile, the European Central Bank’s stance** on interest rates will also impact EUR strength; if the ECB remains hawkish while the Fed turns dovish, EUR/USD could rally significantly. Additionally, geopolitical risks such as the Russia-Ukraine conflict and the upcoming U.S. elections in late 2024/early 2025 could introduce volatility. If global economic conditions stabilize, investors may shift away from the USD as a safe-haven asset, further supporting EUR/USD’s bullish case. In conclusion, the short-term outlook for EUR/USD leans bullish , with a potential rally towards 1.1132 - 1.1205, provided price holds above 1.0514 - 1.0600. However, macroeconomic and geopolitical factors must be closely monitored as they could shift sentiment and invalidate the bullish bias. The key confirmation for further upside will be a clean break above 1.0850, while a drop below 1.0390 would signal downside risks. 🚀
Long
by karabompesi
EURUSD Trading Journal March 11EURUSD Trading Journal March 11 Parent bias is bull Price is delivering to Premium M/W/D Price previous range Premium Asia expands to the downside NOWG 1 macro clean equal lows and retraces to .70 2 macro short to sell side, FVG and another clean equal lows 4 macro small consolidation and low take clean equal lows 5 to 6 macro reverses to FVG and clean equal highs 6:30 retraces 7 huge wick candle out of no where 7 to 845 small consolidation 9 macro breaks down in retracement I was in the 2 macro short and got scared out that would have been 33 pips 5 macro I should have seen it as a retracement and not been scared to take a long Happy I read price accurately and have confidence in my position Boundary to take alone 2 macro when all things show to hold your position
by LeanLena
Eurousd technical analysis.This is a TradingView chart of the EUR/USD currency pair on the 1-hour timeframe. The chart shows price action with candlestick patterns and technical analysis annotations. Key elements in the image: 1. Support and Resistance Zones (Purple Rectangles): A lower support zone around the 1.07800 level. An upper resistance zone around the 1.08700 - 1.08800 level. 2. Price Movements (Blue Lines): The chart shows past price movements marked with blue zigzag lines, indicating a pattern of highs and lows. A projected price movement suggests a potential dip towards the support zone before a strong upward move towards resistance. 3. Economic Event Indicators (U.S. Flags): These indicate upcoming U.S. economic events that may impact the EUR/USD pair. 4. Current Price: EUR/USD is at 1.08300, with a small decrease of -0.04%. Potential Trade Setup (Based on the
Long
by Rickypher
What to do after you missed a big price move (Example: EUR/USD)There was a big fast move in EUR/USD last week. The ‘European currencies’ did especially well versus the US dollar, including GBP/USD and USD/CHF as well as the ‘Skandies’ SEK/USD and NOK/USD. If you rode the move, then job done. If you did ride the move up, you might have taken full profits already - or maybe you are leaving a little bit of the position open to ride any continuation of the move. But, what to do if you missed it completely? Explosive moves in the market usually mean traders who were on the ‘losing’ side step out for a while, having lost confidence in their view. For example if you were bearish and the market makes a significant move higher - you’re probably going to be a lot less confident in your bearish view - but perhaps also not ready to take an opposite bullish view. The loss of sellers in the market can see the up-move continue with minimal pullback. This might suggest buying any small dips to ride the next leg higher, and emotionally it would offer some salvation to capture the second leg of the move even if you missed the first leg. However, what you are doing here is ‘chasing the market’. One trouble is that after a big move in the market, there is no definitive place to put your stop loss, except at the beginning of the move - which is now far away. That's a bad risk: reward. It is tempting to place a closer (more manageable) stop loss under lower timeframe levels of support - but then you find yourself trading an unknown strategy that requires different rules to follow because it is based on a lower timeframe. And indeed, after a sharp move in the market - there is still a chance for a sharp pullback to match. Why? Because buyers quickly take profits on their unexpected quick gains, which will create selling pressure into minimal support - because the next support level is far away. A sharp pullback would mean an opportunity to buy into the uptrend at a lower level, closer to the previous support. But then the flipside of the sharp pullback is that it raises questions over the sustainability of the initial move. Probably the biggest takeaway here is not to think about this ‘explosive’ move in isolation. Instead of forcing a trade, consider: 1. Waiting for the right setup in the same market. If your strategy is based on structured breakouts, wait for the next clean consolidation or pattern before re-engaging. A big move often leads to a new setup—but forcing a trade in the middle of a volatile move isn’t a strategy, it’s FOMO. 2. Looking at uncorrelated markets. Just because EUR/USD already made a big move doesn’t mean you have to trade it now. If you want to be in at the start of a move, shift focus to another market that hasn’t yet made its move. 3. Sticking to your edge. If your strategy works over hundreds of trades, don’t abandon it just because one market moved without you. The next opportunity will come—if not in this market, then in another. Again, the best trades don’t come from reacting to what already happened, but from positioning for what’s about to happen. If you missed the move, accept it, reset, and wait for the next high-quality setup—whether in the same market or somewhere else.
Education
by jasperlawler
1
Are EUR/USD Bulls burnt out yet?...After last week’s monstrous bull move on the EUR/USD, I had short positions at 1.0740 and 1.0795 which I ended up closing because I wanted to wait and see how much momentum this thing had. I got back in short at an average price of 1.0827 with a modest target at 1.0600. Although it looks like bullish momentum is stalling, I remain cautious. Resistance at the upper trend-line and Fibonacci (Tesla Number 63.69%) looks to be setting a ceiling so hopefully we begin retracing. Trading convincingly above 1.0900 would invalidate this EUR/USD trade. Also, the stock market is currently getting hammered so my put options on TQQQ are looking good thus far as well. For more in depth analysis on the current positions, refer to my previous video posted. We’ll see how this one progresses. Good Luck and Trade Safe.
by InternalTraderNYC
EUR/USD continue with the UptrendOn EUR/USD , it's nice to see a strong buying reaction at the price of 1.07080 and 1.06270. There's a significant accumulation of contracts in this area, indicating strong buyer interest. I believe that buyers who entered at this level will defend their long positions. If the price returns to this area, strong buyers will likely push the market up again. Uptrend and high volume cluster are the main reasons for my decision to go long on this trade. Happy trading Dale
by Trader_Dale
1
EURUSD 4hrs long analysisA solid low has been established on the 4-hour chart, while the daily resistance remains intact. A retracement to the trend line is anticipated, providing an opportunity for buyers to step in. Bullish Scenario: If price holds above the trend line with substantial buying pressure and volume, EURUSD may extend its rally towards the supply zone around $1.0600, potentially mitigating it. Key Levels to Watch: - Trend line support - Daily resistance - Supply zone around $1.0600 PS: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice & remember to always practice good risk management.
Long
by phoenixwicks9