USDEUR trade ideas
EURUSD: Bullish trend intact unless this pattern breaks.EURUSD remains marginally bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 56.708, MACD = 0.008, ADX = 33.048) as in spite of correction of the last 2 weeks, the Bullish Megaphone remains intact with the price almost on its bottom. This maintains the bullish trend for at least another +7.80% bullish wave (TP = 1.21450). If the Megaphone breaks, the pattern and thus the trade are negated, and the trend turns bearish aiming at the 1D MA50, so the risk of going long now is very low.
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EURUSD Technical Analysis.The chart you uploaded shows a EUR/USD (Euro/U.S. Dollar) 1-hour candlestick chart from TradingView.
Key elements of the chart:
1. Current Price: The current price is marked at approximately 1.13507.
2. Stop Loss (SL): Set at 1.13780, indicating the point where the trader plans to exit the trade if the price moves unfavorably.
3. Target: Set at 1.13150, marking the expected or desired price level for profit-taking.
4. Trend Indication: The chart shows a potential downward move (indicated by the red zigzag arrow), suggesting a bearish sentiment after a slight pullback.
5. Support Zone: A gray shaded area around the target level, indicating a potential support zone or take-profit area.
This setup indicates a short (sell) trade with a stop loss above a resistance level and a target at a previous support level.
Would you like an analysis of this trading strategy or insights into the potential risks and rewards?
Bearish drop?EUR/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.1425
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.1533
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 1.1267
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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price bull interest.The annual growth rate of retail sales in the euro - zone in March was 1.5%. On the surface, it still maintained expansion. However, compared with the previous value of 1.9% and the market expectation of 1.6%, there was a slight slow - down trend. In terms of the monthly rate, the data was - 0.1%, which was a significant decline compared with the revised 0.2% in February. Although such performance did not trigger violent market fluctuations, it to some extent reflected the phenomenon of marginally weakened terminal consumption momentum in the region.
It is worth noting that the leaders of the major political parties in Germany failed to pass the parliamentary confirmation process smoothly. The market was once worried that political uncertainty would drag down the trend of the euro, and the exchange rate briefly dropped to 1.1310. However, judging from the market reaction, the euro showed relatively strong resilience and quickly recovered to the level of 1.1380, indicating that the market still holds a cautiously optimistic attitude towards the medium - term prospects.
Currently, the exchange rate is running above the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, and the overall structure remains within the oscillation range of 1.1260 - 1.1440. 1.1440 is a strong short - term resistance level. The failure of several consecutive upward attacks indicates that the selling pressure above is relatively heavy. 1.1260 is a key support level in the near term and is also in the area near the middle band of the Bollinger Bands. If it is broken, it may trigger a technical correction.
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EUR/USD Poised for Breakout Ahead of FedEUR/USD has extended more than 2.6% off the yearly highs with tight monthly & weekly opening-ranges preserved heading into today’s FOMC rate decision. The focus is on a breakout of the 1.1275-1.1420 range.
EUR/USD continues to trade within the confines of a descending pitchfork extending off the monthly highs. Initial support rests with the 2023 swing high at 1.1275 backed by the 2024 high at 1.1214 . Ultimately, a break / close below the 100% extension at 1.1160 would be needed to suggest a more significant high was registered last month / a larger trend reversal is underway towards 1.1040 .
Initial resistance is eyed with the upper parallel / 50% retracement at 1.1420 with critical resistance unchanged at the 100% extension / yearly high-day close (HDC) at 1.1510/14 - a break / close above this threshold is needed to mark uptrend resumption with subsequent objectives eyed at the 1.16-handle and the 78.6% retracement of the 2021 decline at 1.1747 - look for a larger reaction there IF reached.
Bottom line: A reversal off uptrend resistance is now coiled just above trend support and the immediate focus is on a breakout into the close of the week. From at trading standpoint, any losses would need to be limited to 1.1160 for the February rally to remain viable with a close above 1.1514 needed to mark resumption.
-MB
EURO - Price can start fall to support line of pennant patternHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago price traded inside triangle, where it declined below $1.1310 level, but then made upward umpulse.
Price exited from triangle pattern and broke the $1.1425 level, after which it entered to pennant pattern.
In pennant, Euro reached the resistance line, after which it turned around and in a short time declined to the $1.1310 level, breaking $1.1425
Then the price some time traded between these two levels and later dropped to the support line of the pennant.
But recently it backed up and now traded very close to resistance line of pennant, so, I think it can rise a little.
After this movement, in my opinion, Euro can start to decline to $1.1300 support line of pennant.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Euro will exit from pennant and grow to resistance levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Looking at this chart, we can see how the price, after a strong upward impulse, the price entered into a consolidation phase, forming a classic upward pennant pattern. Throughout this structure, the price repeatedly respected both the support line and resistance line, tightening inside the pennant while still holding above the support level at 1.1300. This zone, between 1.1280 and 1.1300, marked as the buyer zone, has acted as a strong floor multiple times. Every touch to this area sparked bullish reactions, and most recently, we can see the rice once again starting to grow after dipping into this zone. On the upper side, the resistance level at 1.1430 coincides with the breakout target of the pennant, and also lies just below the seller zone, making it a logical TP 1 area for bulls. The current price action suggests that after a minor pull-back, the price may test the lower pennant edge and then rebound, potentially initiating an impulsive breakout toward 1.1430. Given this structure and the strong base forming around 1.1300, I expect Euro will grow upward toward my TP 1 at the 1.1430 level, thereby exiting from the pennant. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
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What is Next for EUR/USD? FenzoFx—EUR/USD formed a hammer candlestick pattern during the London session, above the 50-period simple moving average. The critical support level that stands between the bull and the bear market rests at $1.1327.
The bullish trend is likely to resume if the price remains above the support level. In this scenario, the next target could be the previous day's high at $1.1380, followed by $1.1450.
EUR/USD) Big Support level Analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of EUR/USD on the 1-hour timeframe. The idea centers around a potential reversal from a major support zone, aiming for higher resistance targets. Here's a detailed breakdown:
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1. Big Support Level
A strong horizontal support zone is highlighted around 1.1275–1.1290.
Price is currently reacting off this level, suggesting a potential bullish reversal.
2. EMA 200 as Resistance
The 200-period EMA (~1.1346) is above current price, possibly acting as a dynamic resistance.
A break and hold above it could confirm bullish momentum.
3. Resistance Levels & Target Points
The first target is the 1.14367 resistance level, a clear supply zone.
The second target point is around 1.15622, aligned with a previous major high and strong resistance zone.
4. RSI Indicator
RSI is at 44.02, indicating neutral to slightly oversold conditions—this supports a potential bullish move, especially from support.
5. Forecast Path
The chart projects a likely pullback and breakout pattern:
Rebound from the support zone.
Break through EMA 200 and minor resistance.
Rally toward first and second targets.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Summary of the Idea:
This is a trend-reversal-to-continuation setup, with EUR/USD expected to rise from a key support area toward 1.14367, and potentially 1.15622, provided price holds above the support and breaks the EMA 200.
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
EURUSD - ANALYSIS👀 Observation:
Hello, everyone! I hope you're doing well. I’d like to share my analysis of EUR-USD with you.
Looking at the chart, I see that EUR-USD is currently in a downward channel and is at the top of the channel. I expect the price to move down towards the bottom of the channel, and eventually break the channel to the downside, with the target around 1.12140.
However, if the price breaks above 1.14251 on the 1-hour time frame, I will be looking for the next target around 1.1600.
📉 Expectation:
Bearish Scenario: Price to move down to 1.12140 after breaking the channel downward.
Bullish Scenario: If the price breaks 1.14251 on the 1-hour chart, the next target would be 1.1600.
💡 Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 1.14251
Support: 1.12140
💬 What are your thoughts on EUR-USD this week? Let me know in the comments!
Trade safe
EURUSD scalping setup if dollar gains after Fed meetingEURUSD has held above 1.1263 for weeks. If the Fed turns hawkish today and rules out rate cuts despite weak data, EURUSD could drop fast. That would likely frustrate Trump and give scalpers a chance at a quick move.
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Weak Low in Trading RangeVery weak low in this range shown at the horizontal ray. I expect this to be taken out at some point to "grab" liquidity. Fairly large HVN also though which could suggest a bounce as buyers defend.
When this range breaks I am unsure if it will break up or down. EUR/USD trading fairly high and dollar sentiment seems to be picking up a little, so I think it will break low, however the technical outlook says it will break up.
As mentioned previously, on the daily/weekly chart we have one half of a very clean head and shoulders and the exact mirror image on the DXY chart. So lets see.
EURUSD update 7.05.2025Short-term growth to the resistance zone (~1.1400-1.1420),
Then, there was a reversal and impulsive fall—a break of support, further decline to levels below 1.1200, possibly to a Value Area Low.
Conclusion:
This is a bearish scenario, with a trap for longists at the resistance area and an emphasis on liquidity capture under support levels.
Best regards, EXCAVO
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