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EUR/USD Bulls Fail to Press 1.1500 - Builds Possible Lower-HighFor EUR/USD it's what didn't happen this week... Despite a seemingly open door for bulls to run a breakout, helped along by a Christine Lagarde that sounded less dovish than usual at Friday's rate cut, the pair put in a hard charge towards the 1.1500 handle but interestingly fell just about 5 pips short of the big figure. That's the same price that helped to bring a pullback back in April but in that instance, bulls were able to force a test above - and this time, it's as if sellers were waiting at the ready - and unwilling to miss the shot to get short. This can be read as bearish anticipation and while it's not an automatic indication of reversal, it can be an attractive first step towards that. So far there remains bullish potential on the daily chart as the past week has produced both a higher-low and a higher-high. But from the four hour, deeper pullback potential appears as a breach of the 1.1400 level shows a shorter-term lower-low. And that, combined with the failure to test 1.1500, makes EUR/USD an attractive venue if looking for USD-strength. And if looking for USD-weakness it seems that there are more attractive options out there, such as GBP/USD which did set a fresh three-year-high this week even as EUR/USD held at a lower-high. - js
by FOREXcom
1
EUR/USD - After taking the highs, are the lows next?The EUR/USD currency pair is moving between two important price levels. The top level is 1.1454 and the bottom level is 1.1357. This means the price is staying inside a range. Yesterday, the price of EUR/USD went above the top level of 1.1454. By doing this, it triggered many stop-loss orders from traders who were expecting the price to go down. These traders had placed their stop-losses just above this level, and the market moved up to take them out. Current support of the 1H FVG Now, the price is starting to go down again. It is getting closer to the lower level of the range, which is around 1.1357. There is a chance that the market will go below this level as well. If that happens, it may take out the stop-loss orders of traders who are expecting the price to go up. These traders often place their stop-losses just below the low point of the range. When the market goes below the low, it collects liquidity. In simple words, it grabs the orders that are waiting there. Looking at the chart, we can see that EUR/USD has found some support at the 1-hour Fair Value Gap (1H FVG). This area is acting like a short-term floor for the price. If a full 1-hour candle closes below this support area, then the price will likely fall further. In that case, it may reach the bottom of the range and possibly move below it to take out more stop-losses. Why below support? But why would the market go below the low on purpose? The reason is that many retail traders, those are small traders who trade from home, often put their stop-losses just below the recent low. If the market moves there, it activates those stop-losses. These stop-losses are usually sell orders, and when they get triggered, it gives the market extra selling power. After collecting this liquidity, the market often uses the new buying interest (from other traders entering long positions) to push the price back up again. Conclusion So in summary, the EUR/USD is still inside a range. It has already moved above the top to take out stop-losses, and now it might go below the bottom to do the same. After that, there could be a strong move upward, powered by the new liquidity in the market. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment!
by Youriverse
19
EURUSD - Look for Short (SWING) 1:2.5!Price has formed an ascending channel on the higher time frame, currently consolidating before potentially entering a distribution phase. A breakout could occur in either direction, but if the chart pattern plays out as expected, we may see a break below the key support level. Let’s aim for at least TP1. Disclaimer: This is simply my personal technical analysis, and you're free to consider it as a reference or disregard it. No obligation! Emphasizing the importance of proper risk management—it can make a significant difference. Wishing you a successful and happy trading experience!
Short
by S-Fx_
EUR/USD – Bearish OutlookThe market showed its hand. After weeks of climbing, EUR/USD pierced into the 1.14500–1.15000 battlefield, a zone defended by historical resistance and heavy liquidity. Like a sword through fog, it grabbed the stops – and reversed with fury. A textbook liquidity sweep. On the daily timeframe, the signs are clear: a rejection candle forged in volatility and imbalance. On the weekly, a long upper wick whispers the truth – bulls were ambushed, and now the pullback begins. 🔥 My Path Is Written: Retest complete. Liquidity taken. Now, the descent begins. Targets: 1.1220 – 1.1050: First support fortress. If broken, deeper raids toward 1.0940 and below. Fundamentals align: The ECB weakens its stance, while the Fed waits in silence, watching the data. NFP is today – and should it favor the dollar, the fire will be lit. ⚔️ Strategy: I stand with the bears. I do not chase – I prepare. I strike with patience and precision. Let the weak follow price. Let the strong follow purpose. 📉 EUR/USD – Bearish until proven otherwise.
Short
by Calugareanu_Alexandru
HelenP. I Euro may continue to decline to trend lineHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. In this chart, we can see how the price reached the trend line and then started to grow inside a triangle pattern. Price some time traded near the trend line and then made an impulse up to the support level, which coincided with the support zone, and then made a correction, after which it turned around and made an impulse up one more time, breaking the support level. The euro reached the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone, and then made a small correction, after which it continued to move up and rose to the resistance line of the triangle. But then the Euro dropped below the resistance level, breaking it, and then continued to decline, after a retest. Price fell to the support zone, where it rebounded from the trend line, which is the support line of the triangle as well, and then started to grow. The euro has grown to a resistance zone, but recently it started to fall and now trades below the 1.1425 resistance level. So, I think that EURUSD will enter to resistance zone one more time and then continue to fall to the trend line. For this case, I set my goal at 1.1305 points, which coincided with this line. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️ Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Short
by FirstNameHelen
5
Euro-dollar looks vulnerable but lacks a catalystWith relatively low momentum and buying saturation clear recently, it’s questionable whether euro-dollar might achieve a new high soon. 6 June's NFP was only slightly strong than expected, though, so it's unlikely to trigger a continuing move down. Volume and volatility have declined strongly since April and the 50% monthly Fibonacci retracement seems to be more established as an area of resistance. If the price does retreat in the near future, it’s unlikely to be a large drop to $1.11 or lower immediately, more of a retracement. Behaviour after a possible break below the main dynamic support of the 50 SMA from Bands would be one of the most important factors determining the next move. Monetary policy, especially the Fed’s meeting on 18 June, and American politics and tariffs remain in focus. This is my personal opinion, not the opinion of Exness. This is not a recommendation to trade.
by Michael_Stark_Exness
EURUSD vs USDCAD: Mirror Reversal Wedgesand FRL ConfirmationsTwo major FX pairs — EURUSD and USDCAD — are currently forming highly symmetrical, yet opposite structures across multiple timeframes. Each pair reflects the logic of the Fractal Reversal Law (FRL), where every phase of market movement is concluded by a reversal figure, and the neckline of that figure aligns precisely with the MA100. EURUSD: – Rising wedge on the H4 timeframe – Bearish divergence on MACD – Multiple double tops detected, necklines aligning with MA100 on H1 and H4 – Potential targets: 1.1355, 1.1300 – FRL context: structure of the uptrend is completing, neckline is acting as a phase boundary — possible reversal to the downside USDCAD: – Falling wedge visible on H1, H4, and D1 – Bullish divergence on MACD across all timeframes – At least 3 nested double bottoms, with necklines exactly matching MA100 – Potential targets: 1.3750, 1.3860, 1.4020 – FRL context: the bearish phase is structurally complete; price is testing the neckline — signaling a likely reversal upward Why this setup is special: This is a rare mirror formation. Both pairs are building reversal figures that “rhyme” across timeframes, validated by strong divergence and neckline confluence with MA100. According to FRL, this kind of structure often marks the start of a new phase — and when mirrored across instruments, the probability increases dramatically. Conclusion: This setup illustrates the core of the FRL framework: price doesn’t reverse randomly — it completes a structure, prints a reversal figure, and challenges a horizontal neckline (often aligned with MA100). If confirmed, these trades could be textbook examples of structural phase shifts in the market. Short summary (optional for the top of the idea): EURUSD and USDCAD form opposite wedge patterns, with clear divergences and neckline-MA100 alignment across H1–D1. Textbook FRL symmetry — high probability of reversal on both ends.
Long
by borschenkovitc
EURUSD Wave Analysis – 6 June 2025 - EURUSD reversed from the resistance zone - Likely to fall to support level 1.1350 EURUSD currency pair recently reversed down from the resistance zone located between the key resistance level 1.1475 (which has been reversing the price from the start of April) and the upper daily Bollinger Band. The downward reversal from this resistance zone created the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Shooting Star, Given the overbought daily Stochastic, EURUSD currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 1.1350.
Short
by FxProGlobal
EURUSD tested the Resistance level 1.14550👀 Possible scenario: The euro rose 0.23% against the dollar on June 5 after the ECB signaled an end to its easing cycle, despite cutting rates for the eighth time. The bank lowered its growth and inflation forecasts amid rising trade risks and slowing momentum but expects inflation to return to target in the longer term. Meanwhile, U.S. nonfarm payrolls are expected to show a gain of 130,000 in May, down from April’s 177,000, with unemployment steady at 4.2%. Signs of a cooling labor market are weighing on yields ahead of the report. ✅ Support and Resistance Levels Now, the support level is located at 1.13640 Resistance level is located at 1.14550
by MaxOnMarkets
BUY EUR/USD Intraday/SwingEUR/USD – Demand Zone Reversal Setup (15-Min) Timeframe: 15-Minute (Short-Term Intraday) Trade Type: Demand Zone Reversal / Trend Alignment Risk/Reward Ratio: 2.13 📍 Trade Setup Overview Entry: 1.14255 (Current Market Price) Stop Loss: 1.14099 Take Profit: 1.14547 Risk: ~14.3 pips (~0.13%) Reward: ~30.5 pips (~0.27%) This setup targets a rebound from a validated demand zone with clean structural confluence and early momentum signals. 🔍 Technical Breakdown 🧱 Structure & Trend Context: Microtrend (M15): Recent corrective pullback following a strong bullish impulse. Trendline: A descending short-term trendline is nearing a break, suggesting momentum shift in favor of bulls. Demand Zone: Validated by the Order Block Detector, the 1.1409–1.1420 area has already proven to absorb sell-side pressure during past tests. 📈 Momentum Indicators: RSI (14): Currently ~46 and curling up — potential bullish divergence building. MACD (12,26): Histogram showing exhaustion of bearish momentum. Signal lines are converging — early signs of crossover.
Long
by GODOCM