USDEUR trade ideas
EURUSD: Bears Will Push Lower
The recent price action on the EURUSD pair was keeping me on the fence, however, my bias is slowly but surely changing into the bearish one and I think we will see the price go down.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
EUR/USD continue with the UptrendOn EUR/USD , it's nice to see a strong buying reaction at the price of 1.11980 and 1.10840 .
There's a significant accumulation of contracts in this area, indicating strong buyer interest. I believe that buyers who entered at this level will defend their long positions. If the price returns to this area, strong buyers will likely push the market up again.
Strong S/R zone from the past + Uptrend and high volume cluster are the main reasons for my decision to go long on this trade.
Happy trading
Dale
EUR/USD Pullback Within Uptrend – Eyeing 1.1600OANDA:EURUSD is currently moving within a clear ascending channel. After a strong rally, the price is now undergoing a slight correction and may continue to decline toward the support zone around 1.1100.
At this level, if a reversal signal appears, the price may bounce back in line with the main trend, aiming for the 1.1600 target above, which is both a psychological resistance area and the upper boundary of the channel.
Remember, always confirm your setups and use proper risk management.
EURUSD SHORT, SIMPLE ANALYSIS The EUR/USD has been consistently moving within a bearish channel for the past 17 years. This indicates a long-term trend where the value of it has been steadily declining. Recently, this month, the pair reached the upper boundary of this channel—a resistance level. Based on the historical pattern within this bearish channel, I anticipate that the currency pair will begin a downward movement in the coming months.
This is your opportunity to sell short.
(Don’t forget stop losses)
EU SellsPrice traded into a 1 hour fair value gap, all the while taking out a range high created by the 1H 3AM Candle, out of my required purge key time. Might be a valid trade but it doesn't tick all the boxes for entry, sitting this one out even though it might be play out as anticipated, let's see what happens, in a nutshell, I'm bearish.
EURUSD update: Is wave 4 complete?On my previous analysis earlier today I was expecting a triangle to be formed for the 4th wave. However, the idea is now invalidated. Now what to expect from this current structure is price to continue lower to complete a WXY correction to around 50% fib or continue up from the current level. The only way to take advantage to ride this last 5th wave of lower degree is by lower time frame confirmation. Lets keep monitoring the price. Cheers.
EurUsd Trade IdeaI'm anticipating a sell on EU at 1.14165 or probably 1.14263.
First draw on Liquidity 🧲 is 1.12458
While I'm expecting the price to reach a monthly level of 1.11345 that just got broken to the upside, resting in an H4 Fvg to fill the the imbalance and continue to the upside.
Kindly boost if you find this insightful 🫴
Strong resistance zone and will decline in short term🔔🔔🔔 EUR/USD news:
➡️ The EUR/USD pair held steady around the 1.1400 level during early Asian trading on Thursday, as investors remained cautious, waiting to see whether U.S. President Donald Trump's administration would reach a new trade deal with its partners.
➡️ On the data front, the Eurozone confirmed that the Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) rose by 2.2% year-over-year in March, with a monthly increase of 0.6%. Across the Atlantic, U.S. data showed that retail sales grew by 1.4% in March, slightly surpassing expectations of a 1.3% rise.
Personal opinion:
➡️ EUR/USD has tested the 1.1430 level several times but has failed to break above it. Therefore, this is a strong resistance zone for EUR/USD.
➡️ In addition, prices are falling after the RSI entered the overbought zone and showed signs of bearish divergence. Further strengthening the short-term bearish momentum for this pair
➡️ Analysis based on important resistance - support and Fibonacci levels combined with EMA to come up with a suitable strategy
Plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉Sell EUR/USD 1.1380 – 1.1400
❌SL: 1.1435 | ✅TP: 1.1325 – 1.1270
👉Buy EUR/USD 1.1240 – 1.1230
❌SL: 1.190 | ✅TP: 1.1290– 1.1340
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
How Smart Money is Positioning in EUR/USD – 5 Scenarios UnfoldedLiquidity Maps & Trap Zones: EUR/USD 1H Breakdown
EUR/USD SMC Analysis – Scenarios Overview
1. Case 1 – Immediate Pump:
The market may pump directly from the current market price (CMP) and take out the external range liquidity resting above the current highs.
2. Case 2 – 15-Min Demand Reaction:
The market could react to the 15-minute demand zone , showing a bullish response and pushing higher toward the 1H supply zone .
3. Case 3 – Inducement & Distribution:
Combined with Case 2, the market may first mitigate the 15-minute demand , then take out the inducement (IdM ) near the 1H supply zone . From there, distribution may begin within that supply range, leading to a drop toward the discount zone .
This would likely involve a fake breakout to the upside (liquidity sweep), trapping buyers and hitting the stop-losses of early sellers before reversing sharply.
4. Case 4 – 1H CHoCH and Triangle Breakdown:
A Change of Character (CHoCH) may occur on the 1H timeframe directly from the current price, leading to a downside move. This scenario would also break the rising triangle pattern , triggering entries from price action traders and increasing market volatility as liquidity accelerates the move downward.
5. Case 5 – 1H Supply Rejection & Free Fall:
The market may react from the 1H supply zone and reject aggressively, resulting in a free fall all the way down to the previous CHoCH level , confirming strong bearish intent from premium to discount.
Thanks for your time..
EUR/USD Short Setup – Bearish Rejection from Supply Zone (1H)EUR/USD Short Setup – Bearish Rejection from Supply Zone (1H)
The Euro is showing signs of bearish pressure around a key supply zone near 1.1395. After a strong bullish rally, price tested the resistance multiple times but failed to break above, forming a potential **double top / distribution structure**.
🔻Trade Setup (Sell Bias):
Entry:** Around 1.1359
Stop Loss: Above supply zone at 1.1395
Take Profit: Targeting support near 1.1276
Risk/Reward Ratio:~2.3R
This setup aligns with supply-demand imbalance and price rejection from resistance. If price sustains below 1.1360, we could see bearish continuation toward the 1.1270 area.
🧠 Trade Idea:
Watch for strong bearish momentum or lower time frame confirmation before scaling in. Manage risk appropriately.
EURUSD InsightHello to all our subscribers.
Please feel free to share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to like and subscribe!
Key Points
- U.S. President Trump met with reporters at the White House and said, “I don’t like Fed Chair Powell. I’ve already made that clear. If I wanted to fire him, he would be gone immediately. I mean it.” He urged Powell to resign.
- It has been confirmed that Trump is blocking informal diplomatic channels with China and is insisting on a summit with President Xi Jinping.
- There have been speculations that the U.S. administration may insert pressure tactics on China into its trade negotiations with other countries. In response, a spokesperson from China’s Ministry of Commerce stated, “China firmly opposes any country achieving deals with the U.S. at the expense of China’s interests and will respond accordingly on equal footing.”
Major Economic Events This Week
+ April 21: Market holidays in Europe, Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, and the UK
+ April 23: U.S. April Manufacturing PMI, U.S. April Services PMI
EURUSD Chart Analysis
Due to a sharp rise, EURUSD has now reached the upper boundary of the upward trend. This area is a zone of overlapping resistance, making a breakout difficult. There is a high probability of a downward reversal, with the 1.12500 level being the most likely target for the next low. Until the 1.15500 resistance level is broken, the outlook remains bearish. However, if a breakout above 1.15500 occurs, we will promptly adjust our strategy.
EURUSD Is Bullish! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 1.093.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 1.114.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
EURUSD My Opinion! SELL!`
My dear subscribers,
EURUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 1.1362 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
My Stop Loss - 1.1441
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probableBearish continuation.
Target - 1.1195
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURUSD: Will Keep Falling! Here is Why:
The price of EURUSD will most likely collapse soon enough, due to the supply beginning to exceed demand which we can see by looking at the chart of the pair.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D16 Y25EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D16 Y25
GM.
This play could well materialise sooner rather than later.
The weekly higher time frame order block previously provided an incredible sell off. We have arrived and simply looking to get involved in the short party.
15' order block identified.
But a tap In London short? NO. We will await for 1' break of structure alongside bearish candle stick formations.
FRGNT X
EURUSD breakout holds: Is a bigger rally coming?EURUSD maintains its breakout and the chart suggests the price could head much higher. What are the next steps for traders looking to get involved in this bullish trend? What details should you pay attention to? Watch the video to find out.
This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
Euro Outlook: Final Push Before the Drop?According to AriasWave, the reason we haven’t seen the market roll over yet is because Wave D has been in play since 2022. I’m watching the 1.17747 level closely—once we hit that zone, I’m expecting a sharp reversal to the downside.
There’s also a chance we push up to 1.22570 to retest the 1000-period moving average on the weekly. Either way, the setup’s almost complete. My minimum downside target for the Euro is 0.70.
I believe a major economic slowdown is right around the corner. I’ll break it all down in today’s Market Update—covering the Euro, USD, Dow, S&P 500, and Bitcoin.
Stay tuned. And yeah—I’m back online after a weeklong ban. Let’s get to work.