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EURUSD Sell SetupBy: MJTrading: EUR/USD has rallied into a significant resistance zone, approaching the upper boundary of a rising wedge/channel pattern. The price is now hovering around a key confluence zone, where trendline resistance and horizontal supply intersect ( 1.16300 —1.16500 ) There are to possible scenarios: 1) If the price Rejects directly from previous High 🔹 Position 1: Sell Stop @ 1.15915 🛑 Stop Loss: 1.6375 🎯 Take Profit: 1.5454 R/R:1 isk Level: Medium 2) If price tries to reach the boundary of the wedge or make a Fake breakout: 🔹🔹 Position 2: Sell Limit @ 1.16300 🛑 Stop Loss: 1.6930 🎯 Take Profit: 1.5000 R/R:2 Risk Level: Low 📌 This zone offers a high-probability reversal setup 📉 Why it Matters: Price action shows signs of exhaustion after a parabolic move. EMA structure is stretched, hinting at a potential pullback. Lets ZOOM OUT: Daily Chart: ZOOM IN: Stay disciplined, let price come to you, and manage risk. — #EURUSD #ForexSetup #TradingStrategy #TechnicalAnalysis #ChartPattern #FXTrading #ShortTrade #MJTrading #BearishReversal #PriceAction #SwingTrade #ForexIdeas #Trendlines #BreakoutOrFakeout #RiskReward
Short
by MJElahifx
Overextended Rally into Resistance ZoneEUR/USD has pushed into the upper boundary of the Keltner Channel on the 4H timeframe, indicating a potential exhaustion of bullish momentum. Price is showing signs of overextension with Heikin Ashi candles losing strength near a key resistance zone. 📉 Short Position Setup: Entry: 1.17220 (near upper Keltner resistance) SL: 1.17581 (above recent highs and volatility buffer) TP: 1.15220 (targeting mid-channel and previous structure support) 🔻 Bearish Confluence: Price rejecting upper Keltner band Potential for mean reversion after strong rally Weakening bullish momentum in candle structure Confirmation with further bearish price action or divergence signals would strengthen the case for downside continuation.
Short
by VisionaryInsights
EUR/USD Biases (Long, Short, and Today’s View)EUR/USD Trading Biases: Navigating Bullish Momentum and Key Resistance Zones This will be a concise market analysis essay (around 600–700 words) suitable for a financial audience, such as forex traders or analysts. Let me begin: EUR/USD Trading Biases: Navigating Bullish Momentum and Key Resistance Zones The EUR/USD pair, one of the most actively traded currency pairs in the forex market, has exhibited strong bullish momentum in recent sessions. As of June 26, 2025, the euro’s ascent against the dollar has brought it to a critical juncture, testing significant technical and psychological resistance levels. Traders are now weighing the potential for continued upside against growing signals of exhaustion and looming fundamental catalysts. Bullish Outlook: A Technically Supported Advance From a technical perspective, the bullish case for EUR/USD remains compelling. The pair is entrenched in a sustained uptrend, marked by successive breakouts above prior resistance levels and validated by daily and weekly closes above 1.1600. The current price action is converging on a crucial supply zone located between 1.1700 and 1.1900—an area historically known for triggering reversals but also pivotal in confirming trend continuation if broken convincingly. Technical indicators further bolster the bullish narrative. The Relative Strength Index (RSI), while approaching overbought territory, is still supportive of higher prices. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) displays a widening bullish histogram, and the Average Directional Index (ADX) confirms trend strength. Near-term resistance lies between 1.1680 and 1.1730, with potential for an extension to 1.1800 should the pair breach this upper band. On the fundamental front, improved German Ifo business sentiment data has injected optimism into the eurozone outlook. Additionally, easing geopolitical tensions and a broader risk-on sentiment in global markets have undercut the dollar's safe-haven appeal. Speculation over potential Federal Reserve rate cuts further dampens dollar strength, creating tailwinds for EUR/USD. Bearish Considerations: Resistance and Reversal Risks Despite the encouraging trend, caution is warranted. The area between 1.1700 and 1.1900 represents a major weekly order block (OB) resistance—territory where several past rallies have lost steam. Oscillators such as the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) and RSI are showing signs of overextension, and the market is now vigilant for reversal patterns or signs of exhaustion. Fundamentally, while the recent Ifo data is encouraging, it remains below the key threshold of 100, reflecting lingering skepticism about the eurozone's full recovery. Moreover, upcoming U.S. economic releases, particularly GDP figures and jobless claims, could act as potential catalysts for a dollar rebound. Hawkish commentary from Federal Reserve officials could also tilt sentiment, especially if it dampens expectations of rate cuts. If EUR/USD fails to hold above the 1.1700–1.1730 resistance zone, a corrective move toward 1.1530–1.1500 becomes plausible. Deeper pullbacks could extend toward 1.1470 and 1.1390, especially if risk sentiment reverses or economic data surprises in favor of the dollar. Today’s View: Bullish with a Note of Caution For today, June 26, the prevailing bias remains bullish, yet increasingly cautious. The pair is testing the lower end of the 1.1700 OB zone. A decisive break and hold above this level would likely unleash further upside toward 1.1730 and 1.1800. However, overbought conditions and proximity to a known resistance zone suggest that traders should remain alert to potential rejection. Intraday strategies favor buying on dips above 1.1600–1.1635, with stops placed just below 1.1600 and targets set at 1.1700–1.1730. Conversely, short positions should only be considered if there is a clear rejection from the 1.1700–1.1730 area, with downside targets at 1.1530–1.1500 and stops above 1.1800. Conclusion The EUR/USD is currently at a pivotal inflection point. While the bullish trend is intact and supported by both technical and fundamental factors, the proximity to a major resistance zone introduces a layer of complexity. Traders must remain agile—ready to ride a breakout higher if confirmed, but equally prepared to pivot if the pair falters and signals a reversal. In markets like these, timing and confirmation are everything.
by HUGOF
DeGRAM | EURUSD reached the supply area📊 Technical Analysis ● Price formed an intraday rising wedge right inside the 1.1615-1.1635 supply band; the wedge has broken lower and the last two candles closed back under the long-term trendline retest. ● Bearish follow-through is favoured while price stays below 1.1604; first magnet is the confluence of former breakout base and inner channel support at 1.1569, with 1.1547 (mid-June pivot) the next objective. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Fresh Euro-area PMIs dipped below consensus while U.S. consumer-confidence beat, widening the short-rate gap and reviving USD bids. ✨ Summary Sell rallies ≤1.1600; targets 1.1569 → 1.1547. Bias invalid if 30-min candle closes above 1.1635. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support
Long
by DeGRAM
1
Fed speak - Not broken, not cutting “Don’t fix what isn’t broken” seems to be the Fed’s current stance. Two Fed officials made that clear over the last 24 hours. Vice Chair for Supervision Michael Barr warned that tariffs could fuel inflation by lifting short-term expectations, triggering second-round effects, and making inflation more persistent. New York Fed President John Williams echoed that view, noting that tariff-driven inflation is “likely to get stronger in the months ahead.” He also called policy “well positioned” and said the Fed needs more data before making any move. EUR/USD has formed a rising wedge pattern on the daily chart—typically a bearish structure that warns of a potential reversal. Price action has narrowed, building two clear tops. The downside target from the wedge could potentially be 1.1066 initially, and possibly down to 1.0732 if bearish momentum accelerates.
by BlackBull_Markets
EUR/USD Long Setup — Breakout Retest Play We’re seeing a classic breakout-retest scenario on EUR/USD. After breaking above the previous consolidation zone, price has pulled back to retest the broken structure near 1.1495, which also aligns with a higher time frame support zone. 🟦 Entry Zone: 1.1495–1.1490 🔴 Stop Loss: Below 1.1420 (clearly outside the structure) 🟩 Targets (Partial TPs): 1.1655 1.1775 1.1888–1.1894 (final) 📌 Plan: This is a trend continuation idea after a clean structural breakout. If you plan to enter this, consider: ✅ Scaling in at or near current price ✅ Partial TP at each resistance level ❌ Avoid holding full position till final target — secure profits along the way ✅ Use proper risk management and size ⚠️ Important Note This is not a signal, just an idea. I am not selling signals or subscriptions. If you're new, you may think: “Let me just follow someone with 100K followers and I’ll profit.” Truth is — follower count means nothing. Many signal sellers don’t even trade. They sell subscriptions, not setups. 🧠 Pro Tip for Beginners Track 30–40 trade ideas from different users (including old ones — they often hide losers). Ask yourself: Was the direction right? Was the entry filled? Was the setup realistic? That’s how you’ll grow as a trader. Trade smart, protect your capital, and stay sharp. Rendon1
Long
by Rendon1
1
EUR/USD – Weak Expectations, Neutral German CPI📉 EUR/USD – Weak Expectations, Neutral German CPI, and Bearish Momentum Ahead Bias: Short / Sell Setup EUR/USD recently surged toward the 1.0750 zone sooner than expected, driven more by market optimism and speculative flows than solid fundamentals. Now, that optimism is starting to fade as data fails to back it up. Meanwhile, the potential U.S. tax reform proposal (Trump) and signs of renewed trade negotiations are helping shift sentiment back toward the U.S. dollar in the coming 10 days. --- 🇩🇪 German CPI – Neutral Print, But Bearish Implications Today's regional inflation figures across German states were mixed: States like Saxony and Baden-Württemberg showed slightly rising prices Others like Bavaria and North Rhine-Westphalia showed declining YoY inflation Final national CPI due later today is unlikely to beat expectations meaningfully 🎯 Summary: A Neutral CPI Print No upside surprise → No support for EUR No major downside → No panic either --- 🧠 Why "Neutral" Data Can Still Be Bearish for EUR The market was hoping for a strong CPI to signal that ECB may pause rate cuts Neutral inflation = ECB may still lean dovish EUR rose on hope — but data offered no confirmation In financial markets, failed expectations often trigger stronger corrections than bad news. --- 🔍 Technical Overview: Price approaching strong supply zone near 1.0740 – 1.0760 RSI showing divergence on lower timeframes (H1) Structure on M15 suggests potential for lower highs Price stalling under resistance, with no bullish momentum follow-through --- 🎯 Trade Plan: Bias: Short Entry Zone: 1.0730 – 1.0755 Stop Loss: Above 1.0775 Take Profit 1: 1.0630 Take Profit 2: 1.0600 Trigger: Break of M15 bearish structure or supply reaction --- 📌 Markets punish over-optimism more than fear. EUR/USD may correct lower as hopes of a strong CPI fade and macro flows tilt toward the USD.
Short
by mehrshad31
EUR/USD Keeps Climbing – Dollar on the Back FootEUR/USD is still pushing higher today, trading around 1.171 and showing no signs of slowing down. The pair’s strength is backed by both technical momentum and the current market backdrop. What’s fueling the move? Simple: the US dollar is under pressure again. Fresh concerns about the Federal Reserve’s independence — especially with talks around replacing Powell — are shaking investor confidence. That’s giving the euro the upper hand and helping this pair hover near its highest level in four years. Looks like the bulls aren’t done yet. You riding this trend?
Long
by Edward_TradingFX
PO3 (Manipulation spike into Premium → Distribution)Price swept liquidity above the recent high → tapped into FVG at a premium BOS and CHOCH are already present earlier → confirming the reversal structure Expecting a bearish reaction from this imbalance zone 📉 EUR/USD Short Setup – June 27 🔹 Entry: 1.17380 🔹 SL: 1.17510 🔹 TP1: 1.17080 | TP2: 1.16800 🔻 PO3 bearish reaction from FVG at Premium zone + prior liquidity sweep pls let me know your opinion am open to let from anyone and everyone, pls
Short
by rotezsolutions
FVG (Fair Value Gap) or Imbalance Zones (grey boxes):Key Zones & Markings: SSL (Sell Side Liquidity) - "True return to support" (bottom horizontal line around 1.13700): Indicates that price has swept the sell-side liquidity, grabbing stop-losses below previous lows. This often precedes a reversal if it aligns with a key support zone. FVG (Fair Value Gap) or Imbalance Zones (grey boxes): Price is expected to retrace back into these imbalanced zones. These zones act as magnet areas where price might rebalance before further continuation. Target Zone (Top Horizontal Line at ~1.16200): Marked as the bullish target, likely aligning with buy-side liquidity (BSL) or unfilled imbalances. Potential take profit area for long entries from the support zone. 📈 Market Structure: Price made a lower low, swept liquidity (SSL), and is now showing potential bullish intent. Anticipated move: Reversal from support A clean bullish move toward FVGs Final target near 1.16200 🎯 Strategy Idea: Long Entry Zone: Near 1.137–1.140 (liquidity sweep + support). Target: 1.15500 (intermediate) and 1.16200 (final). SL (Stop Loss): Could be below the most recent low (if re-entry needed). 🧠 Concept Used: Liquidity sweep (SSL) Return to support Fair Value Gap (FVG) fill Smart Money long setup
by King_Maker_FX
EUR/USD Breakout Eyes 1.18 as Bullish Momentum BuildsEUR/USD has punched through the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level (1.1744) of the July 2023–October 2023 decline, signaling strong bullish continuation. The breakout above the recent swing high near 1.1576 confirms the uptrend is gaining traction, supported by rising moving averages. The 50-day SMA has crossed well above the 200-day SMA, maintaining a strong golden cross structure, reinforcing the bullish bias. Momentum indicators support the advance, with the RSI entering overbought territory at 73.79, and the MACD maintaining a positive spread above the signal line — a classic sign of trend strength rather than imminent reversal. However, the overbought RSI suggests the pair could face some short-term consolidation or a shallow pullback before targeting the psychological 1.18 handle. Bulls would likely view any dip toward the breakout level (1.1576) as a potential buying opportunity. As long as EUR/USD holds above that support, the path of least resistance remains to the upside, potentially paving the way for a full retracement toward the 1.19–1.20 zone seen last year. -MW
by FOREXcom
Market next move Disruption Analysis – Bullish Alternative Scenario While the current chart suggests a bearish setup from a resistance zone (around 1.1765) toward a target near 1.1630, here's a potential bullish disruption that could invalidate the bearish thesis: --- 🟢 Bullish Disruption Possibility: 1. False Breakdown / Liquidity Grab: Price may fake a dip below the red resistance-turned-support zone to trigger stop-losses before reversing. This is known as a liquidity sweep or bear trap. 2. Higher Low Formation: If the pair pulls back slightly but forms a higher low above 1.1700, it may signal bullish continuation. 3. Breakout Confirmation: A strong bullish candle above 1.1775 could confirm continuation toward 1.1830–1.1850. 4. Fundamental Catalyst: Positive EU economic news or dovish signals from the U.S. Fed could support Euro strength.
Long
by Gold_Free_Signals