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USDEUR trade ideas

Pullback or Deeper Reversal After False Breakout Near 1.1425? EUR/USD Weekly Plan: Pullback or Deeper Reversal After False Breakout Near 1.1425? 🧭 MARKET OVERVIEW EUR/USD surged toward a new monthly high at 1.1425 earlier this week but quickly lost momentum and retraced to the 1.137x zone as the US Dollar bounced back. While the short-term recovery in DXY supported the dip, macro uncertainty surrounding Trump’s erratic trade policies continues to raise questions about the dollar’s long-term credibility. Meanwhile, Germany’s revised Q1 GDP growth of 0.4% (vs. 0.2% prior) helped support EUR, reinforcing its appeal as a safe alternative to the greenback. 📊 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (H1 Chart) Main Trend: Short-term correction after strong bullish rally Resistance Levels: 1.14165 → Previous top, strong reversal zone 1.14017 → Minor supply zone Support Levels: 1.13476 → Key break structure zone 1.12791 → Daily demand zone & previous FVG bottom Indicators: EMA 20 & EMA 50 crossover signals weakening bullish momentum Price Pattern: Potential double top forming below 1.1425 🌐 MACRO & FUNDAMENTAL CONTEXT Trump’s tariff threat postponed to July 9, but his unpredictable tone weakens USD trust. Germany Q1 GDP upgraded to 0.4% → boosts confidence in Eurozone’s economic resilience. ECB expected to cut rates in June, with policymakers showing confidence inflation will reach 2% target this year. This week’s key focus: → US PCE Price Index (April) → EU May HICP (CPI) These will drive short-term volatility and determine breakout/reversal confirmation. ✅ TRADE SETUPS 🔴 SELL ZONE: Entry: 1.1400–1.1416 SL: 1.1440 TP: 1.1382 → 1.1347 → 1.1279 🟢 BUY SCALP ZONE: Entry: 1.1345–1.1347 SL: 1.1320 TP: 1.1382 → 1.1400 📌 Preferred scenario: Look for bearish confirmation around 1.1400–1.1416 to enter short. Avoid aggressive buys unless price strongly holds above 1.1384. 🧩 CONCLUSION EUR/USD is showing signs of exhaustion after testing 1.1425. If bears reclaim 1.1384 and hold below 1.1347, deeper correction toward 1.1279 is likely. Conversely, if bulls defend 1.1345 and CPI/PCE data disappoints, price may retest highs.
Short
by MMFlowTrading
Bearish reversal off pullback resistance?EUR/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and the 61.8% Fibonacci projection and could reverse from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.1429 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and the 61.8% Fibonacci projection. Stop loss: 1.1572 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly above the 100% Fibonacci projection. Take profit: 1.1267 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
DeGRAM | EURUSD testing the resistance line📊 Technical Analysis ● Euro rebounded from the channel mid-line and reclaimed the purple corrective trend-line; that switch from resistance to support confirms a bull-flag breakout. ● Fresh upside is opening above 1.1280 (prior swing cap). Clearing it exposes the channel top / horizontal hurdle at 1.1380; measured move of the flag aligns with 1.1550. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● FXStreet notes US April leading-index fell for a 25th month, pulling 2-yr yields off highs, while Yahoo Finance reports German PPI turned positive m/m, limiting ECB-cut bets and lending bid to the euro. ✨ Summary Buy 1.122-1.128 ; objectives 1.138 → 1.155, invalidate below 1.108. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
1
EURUSD - Potential BuyHi Traders, I feel good in BUYING CMCMARKETS:EURUSD Price Action analysis: Weekly Timeframe: CMCMARKETS:EURUSD has been in a strong uptrend since March 2025, creating higher highs and higher lows. After a brief pullback, last week's candle printed a long lower wick, signaling buying interest at the discounted price. This week, the market is showing signs of resuming the bullish trend, with price attempting to break back above the previous candle’s body. As long as price remains above the recent low, the weekly bias remains bullish, suggesting continuation toward the 1.15000–1.16000 region. Daily Timeframe: Price recently pulled back into a known demand zone and has now formed a higher low. This area showed buyer activity, with bullish candles emerging and indicating the end of the retracement. The recent break above the prior minor high suggests that sellers have been overrun, and buyers are positioning for a continuation move in line with the weekly uptrend. 4-Hour Timeframe: This chart confirms the transition in market control. Buyers stepped in around the 1.11200 level after a strong selloff, forming a clear higher low and breaking the last significant lower high. This break of structure marks the end of the previous bearish leg and confirms the buyer strength. Currently, price is trading above the retest zone (previous seller base), and the trade setup is active. If price continues to hold above this breakout level, a move toward 1.15700 is likely, aligning with the higher timeframe bullish direction. Good Luck! STUDEY, STUDY, STUDY. Lorenzo Tarati:)
Long
by tarati.lorenzo
EURUSD - TECH. 2Hello Traders! It's Nika. In this technical work, as we see here, there is a few things happening at the same moment. First thing to focus on is that we have formatting double double-head acceding triangle. We need wait or also go short for that with small time period. After that my prediction is the price will enter that channel in price range 1.13917 - 1.13247. So, after that we can wait for the market price confirmation and only after going Buy or Sell. After all, what we got here is two good options. 1. Open short when market will open until the price will hit "Double-head acceding triangle" bottom. 2. Go into the position after a few days, when the price will enter & left channel range 1.13917 - 1.13247. In long time period sell and buy probability, there is price marks on chart! So, you can use it as your TP. Thank you! Have a profitable day. :)
by Nika-Lekishvili
1
EURUSD Trade Plan – Two Possible ScenariosPrice is currently consolidating below resistance at 1.1345. ✅ Scenario 1: Breakout Continuation If price breaks and closes above 1.1345 with strong bullish momentum, I will look for a breakout buy with targets toward 1.1375–1.1400. ✅ Scenario 2: Deeper Pullback to Buy If price rejects 1.1345 and pulls back toward the 1.1300–1.1310 support zone (confluence with EMA zone), I’ll wait for bullish confirmation to enter long. ❌ If price breaks below 1.1300, I’ll wait and reassess the structure. Trend remains bullish. Focus only on long setups for now.
Long
by dannyrahadian
EURUSD H4 | Bearish Drop Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is currently at our sell entry at 1.1397 (Bearish OB) Our take profit will be at 1.1342, a pullback support. The stop loss will be placed at 1.1457, above the 161.8% Fibo extension. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by Tradu
EURO/USD a potential retracement before continuation downward1. Market Structure: The market shows an initial bullish trend, evidenced by the rising channel in the early part of the chart. A Break of Structure (BOS) is clearly marked, suggesting a shift from bullish to bearish momentum. After the BOS, the price rallies to create what appears to be a lower high before continuing downward. 2. Key Zones: Support Zone: Identified in the green box at the bottom left of the chart, around the 1.0700 area. Resistance / Supply Zone: Marked in the orange box around the 1.1400–1.1450 range. This appears to be a significant rejection area. Intermediate Targets: Three downward targets are labeled: First Target: ~1.1210 Second Target: ~1.1100 Final Target: ~1.0950 These likely represent take-profit zones in a short (sell) setup. 3. Trade Plan: A short (sell) position is anticipated, with a red zone indicating the stop-loss area above the recent high (~1.1450). The green area represents the risk-reward zone and targets where the price might fall. The projected path shows a potential retracement before continuation downward, signaling a potential lower high setup before reaching the targets. 4. Chart Markings & Labels: BOS (Break of Structure) confirms the end of the bullish phase. Head and Shoulders pattern may be implied at the top (not explicitly labeled but visually suggested). Multiple annotations and zones suggest a swing trading strategy with a medium-term outlook. Conclusion: This is a textbook example of a market structure shift, where the trader has identified a major trend reversal and is planning to enter a short trade based on technical confirmation and price action. The chart reflects solid risk management with clearly defined entry, stop-loss, and take-profit zones. Ideal for traders employing smart money concepts or price action strategies
Short
by Johnson67
EURUSD Sell Swing TradeHello Traders, I stumbled across the Euro Dollar chart on the daily time-frame only to notice we are coming near a level of some significance at 1.12778 I noticed some historic bearish rejections on this key level and whilst looking at market structure, I was interested in another bearish move from this market. I zoomed into the 4hr time frame to see what candlestick patterns I could identify to build to some value into the trade idea. Not only did I do this, but I found a large wick rejection candle form below my structure level which I have used for entry. I anticipate that we will see this pair take price down to previous structure lows and break lower depending on how quickly the market reacts Entry @ 1.12518 Stop Loss @ 1.12970 - 45.2pips Take Profit @ 1.10751 - 176.3 pips Best of luck if you take this !!!
Short
by hamzah_mahmud
DeGRAM | EURUSD held the support line📊 Technical Analysis ● Price broke the two-year descending channel roof and completed a daily “cup-with-handle”; the handle low held exactly on the 1.121-1.128 former supply, confirming it as demand. ● Pattern height added to the breakout line projects to 1.1600, which coincides with the violet channel-top; next target is the upper parallel / 1.1950, while the handle floor at 1.1080 guards the trend. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Euro support grows as April EZ wage-growth beat ECB staff forecasts, tempering expectations for an aggressive easing cycle, while softer US core-PCE keeps real-yield spreads tilting in the euro’s favour. ✨ Summary Long bias intact above 1.121; objectives 1.145 breakout ➜ 1.1600, stretch 1.1950. Invalidate on a daily close below 1.1080. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
1
EURUSD Long Setup – Bullish Breakout PlayBias: ✅ Strong Buy Timeframe: 4H Pair: EURUSD Week: 26–30 May 2025 🔍 Technical Analysis: EURUSD has broken through a prior resistance and is currently testing a second resistance zone at 1.13983. I’m looking for a confirmed breakout above this level to enter long. Entry: Break and 4H close above 1.13983 Stop Loss: Below support zone at 1.13545 Take Profit: Targeting resistance zone near 1.15454 Risk-Reward Ratio: ~3.36R Structure: Higher highs forming, potential breakout continuation 🧠 Macro Confluence: 📉 USD Weakness: Dovish Fed + poor fundamentals (Investogenie Score 1.8 ↓, Conditional Score 3 ↓) 📈 EUR Strength: Improving Eurozone outlook, strong COT positioning, ECB easing bias 📊 Seasonal Bias: EURUSD bullish for this period ⚠️ Risk Management: Watch for FOMC and GDP releases (USD) mid-week Avoid premature entries without clear break and 4H confirmation Optional: Wait for break & retest for higher probability Drop your thoughts or setups below 👇
Long
by wajahatarif
EURUSD H4 | Bullish Reversal Based on the H4 chart analysis, the price is approaching our buy entry level at 1.2265, a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Our take profit is set at 1.1426, an overlap resistance. The stop loss is placed at 1.1193, a pullback resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by Tradu