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EURUSD InsightHello, subscribers! Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don't forget to like and subscribe! Key Points - France's preliminary CPI for March rose 0.8% YoY, falling short of the market expectation of 0.9%, while Spain's CPI increased 2.3% YoY, below the expected 2.7%, boosting expectations for an ECB rate cut. - The U.S. Core PCE Price Index for February rose 0.4% MoM, exceeding the market forecast of 0.3%, and increased 2.8% YoY, surpassing the expected 2.7%. - Concerns over stagflation, where inflation and economic stagnation occur simultaneously, have intensified. Additionally, the University of Michigan's final Consumer Sentiment Index for March recorded 57.0, the lowest since November 2022. - The reciprocal tariffs announced by President Trump are set to take effect on April 2. Key Economic Events This Week + March 31: Germany's March CPI + April 1: RBA interest rate decision, Eurozone March CPI + April 2: U.S. March ADP Nonfarm Employment Change + April 4: U.S. March Nonfarm Payrolls, U.S. March Unemployment Rate, Fed Chair Powell's speech EURUSD Chart Analysis The pair recently found support around the 1.07500 level and has slightly rebounded. Currently, it is forming around the 1.08500 level, and if no major variables arise, it is expected to rise toward 1.09500 in the short term. In the mid-to-long term, the 1.11000 level remains open as a potential high, but for now, we will focus on whether 1.09500 is breached. However, if unexpected variables cause the 1.07500 level to break, we will swiftly adjust our strategy.
Long
by shawntime_academy
EURUSD SELL TRADE PLAN🔥EUR/USD TRADE PLAN🔥 ✅ Market Bias: Bearish 📉 (Downtrend) ✅ Trade Type: Trend Continuation 📌 ENTRY TYPE: Sell Trade – Pullback Entry ⭐ Confidence Level: 🔵⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ (High) 📌 STATUS: Waiting for price to tap the entry zone 📍 ENTRY ZONE (SELL): Primary Entry Zone: 1.0840 - 1.0860 Secondary Entry Zone (if deeper pullback occurs): 1.0890 - 1.0910 📌 STOP LOSS & TAKE PROFIT TARGETS: 🚨 Stop Loss: Above 1.0925 (Invalidation level) 🎯 Take Profit Targets: 🥉 TP1: 1.0765 (Partial profits & SL to breakeven) 🥈 TP2: 1.0700 🥇 TP3: 1.0650 (Final target) 📌 Risk-Reward Ratio: Primary Entry Zone: Approximately 1:3 Secondary Entry Zone: Approximately 1:4 📌 Reason for Entry: Bearish Trend: EUR/USD has entered a corrective phase, trading below recent highs. The trend outlook remains bearish. ​ Double Top Formation: A double-top pattern has formed at 1.0950, indicating a potential drop to 1.0695. ​ Fibonacci Confluence: The 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level aligns with the entry zone, providing additional confluence.​ 📌 CONFIRMATION REQUIRED BEFORE SELLING: H1 Bearish Candlestick Rejection: Look for a pin bar or engulfing pattern at the entry zone. Volume Increase at Supply Zone: Indicates strong selling pressure. Lower Timeframe Bearish Divergence: On M15/H1 charts for extra confluence. ❌ DO NOT take the trade if the price breaks above 1.0910 without a bearish reaction. 📌 RISK MANAGEMENT REMINDER: 💰 Risk 1-2% per trade. Move SL to breakeven after TP1 to secure profits. 📌 TRADE VALIDITY & INVALIDATION CONDITIONS: ✅ Trade Validity: Must tap entry within the next 24 hours. ❌ Invalid if: Price misses the entry zone and moves straight to TP1/TP2. Fundamental shift changes trade bias (e.g., major news event). Price breaks above 1.0910 = Trade invalidated. 📌 FUNDAMENTAL CHECKS & SENTIMENT ANALYSIS: EUR Weakness: Recent data shows a decline in Eurozone economic indicators.​ USD Strength: Positive US economic data and safe-haven demand support the USD.​ COT Report: Indicates institutions adding to USD long positions, reducing EUR longs.​ 🚀 FINAL TRADE PLAN SUMMARY: SELL EUR/USD on a pullback into 1.0840 - 1.0860 (or 1.0890 - 1.0910 if a deeper correction occurs). Targeting: 1.0765 → 1.0700 → 1.0650. SL: Above 1.0925. **Trade valid for the next 12-24 hours. 🚀 EXECUTE WITH INSTITUTIONAL PRECISION! 🔥
Short
by jibkhan111
EURUSD Trend in EUR and US Trading Sessions–Weak Upside Momentum✍ ✍ ✍ EUR/USd news: ➡ Disappointing macroeconomic data from the United States makes it difficult for the US Dollar (USD) to strengthen on Tuesday, allowing EUR/USD to find support. However, the cautious market sentiment prevents the currency pair from gaining significant traction. ➡ Later in the day, the ADP Employment Change data will be released as part of the U.S. economic calendar. However, investors are unlikely to react strongly to this data ahead of President Donald Trump's tariff announcement on "Liberation Day." ➡ Market volatility is expected as traders assess the Trump administration's new tariff regime and its potential impact on economic prospects. Consequently, making investment decisions based on immediate reactions could be risky. Additionally, volatility may remain high if U.S. trade partners, such as the EU, respond by imposing their own tariffs on American goods. Personal opinion: ➡ Currently, the disadvantage is in favor of the EUR, so the downtrend for the EUR/USD currency pair is inevitable. The momentum for the EUR/USD pair is currently quite low, so a short-term sell order can be considered feasible. ➡ Analysis based on important resistance - support and Fibonacci levels combined with SMA to come up with a suitable strategy Plan: 🔆 Price Zone Setup: 👉Sell EUR/USD 1.0800 – 1.0810 ❌SL: 1.0845 | ✅TP: 1.760 – 1.0730 – 1.0700 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Short
by FM-ForexMastermind
1
EURUSD Will Collapse! SELL! My dear friends, EURUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details: The market is trading on 1.0828 pivot level. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market. Goal - 1.0792 About Used Indicators: Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
1
EURUSD:Pay special attention to the resistance level at 1.0850In the future, two major variables will dominate the trend of the euro: 1、Details of tariff policies: If the US imposes tariffs on the EU with an intensity exceeding expectations, the euro may quickly test the support level of 1.0750. Conversely, if the measures are mild or postponed, the exchange rate may rebound above 1.0900. 2、Linkage of US economic data: If the manufacturing PMI and non-farm payroll data reinforce the "American economic exceptionalism", the US dollar may regain buying interest and suppress the euro. If the data is weak, it will solidify the expectation of an interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in June, which is bearish for the US dollar. We can focus on the initial resistance level of 1.0850 above. If this level is not breached, one can attempt to short at high levels. Trading strategy: Sell@1.0850 TP:1.0750 Get daily trading signals that ensure continuous profits! With an astonishing 90% accuracy rate, I'm the record - holder of an 800% monthly return. Click the link below the article to obtain accurate signals now!
Short
by LeoBlackwood
EURUSD - what’s next?Here is our in-depth view and update on EURUSD . Potential opportunities and what to look out for. This is a long-term overview on the pair sharing possible entries and important Key Levels . Alright first, let’s take a step back and take a look at EURUSD from a bigger perspective. After making such a huge upside move, we are expecting EURUSD to have some sort of a correction or a pullback to the downside. After that we got a sell off on EURUSD and just today we hit the 50% correction level at around 1.08442 . After failing to break to the upside we can expect more sells to be in play. Any breaks to the downside from the current price will confirm this. Although TVC:DXY is not as strong at the moment, it still is a global reserve currency . We seen that in play last week when we saw massive upside on OANDA:XAUUSD and on TVC:DXY . We must understand that investors are also pouring their money into DXY as it is a global reserve currency. I still personally believe TVC:DXY holds more strength against TVC:EXY hence why I am still looking to short the pair. Scenario 1: SELLS from current price With the instant sell, we are risking a possible pullback and continuations to the upside however, DXY is looking like it will reverse. Failing to break to the upside can also be taken as a confirmation for potential sells. Scenario 2: BUYS at the break of the Key Level (around 1.085) With the break to the upside, we can expect more buys to come in play possibly targeting previous highs on EURUSD at around 1.09444. KEY NOTES - DXY possible reversal to the upside. - Breaks above the KL and to the upside would confirm higher highs. - EURUSD has completed the 50% correction to the upside. - DXY is the global reserve currency. Happy trading! FxPocket
Short
by FxPocket
EURUSD: Spring is setting in. Bulls shall have new pasture to..EURUSD: Spring is setting in. Bulls shall have new pasture to graze in. On hourly charts the Bears had a steady down trend and 27th March was the day when Bulls started staging effective resistance to Bears. From here onward we see that a swing low is formed and subsequently high and lower highs and higher highs are formed. This brings us to a point where we have two scenarios 1. buy on dip. For this we use fib tool to identify potential entry point. 2. buy when the current Higher high is breached. Please note that STOP LOSS shall be respective Swing Low, as the case may be. TPs have been identifies on the chart. Wishing You a Profitable Trading
Long
by usufgul
THIs Is MY ENTIRE PLAYBOOK RIGHT HERE... The only Thing that Wor So Yeah ... because the theory is " THE HIGHER THE TIME FRA ME , the S STRONGER the TIMEFRAME" So... Here's the entire Step by Step process O. IDENTIFY a HIGHER TIMEFRAME FVG ( ex. WEEK FVG ) 1. Wait for price to be at LOWER TIMERAME FVG (ex. DAY FVG ) 2. Wait For Price to have a Strong SWEEP ( abnormally long Wicks are preferred ) and CHOCH on 4HR-1HR-15MIN WHILE INSIDE THE DAY FVG. 3. After the CHOCH swing leg has completed, plot FIB, FVG, FRVP and establish your Context Area. 4. ENTER @ Context Area, or validate the context area first. Then enter. These look like SWING SETUPS ( it is ), so how do I make sure I have at least one trade per day? Scan the charts and put alarms on DAY FVGS with opposing WEEK FVGS. Trade only the ones triggering the alarms. Wait, I think I understand the context area now and its purpose. You don't enter inside the context area ... Here is where you " Sandbox and validate " your hypothesis that "price will pump after hitting the FVG" by making sure that price behaves the way you expect it to behave FIRST ( 1. FVG Sweep 2. CHOCH+ FVG 3. OTE ZONE TAP and RUN ), before You start looking for an entry . It's easier to understand in programming logic . IF WEEK FVG < - > DAY FVG EXISTS , THEN REVERSAL PROBABILITY 10% IF PRICE STINGS DAY FVG , THEN REVERSAL PROBABILITY 20% IF PRICE CREATES CONTEXT AREA, THEN REVERSAL PROBABILITY 40% IF PRICE RESPECTS CONTEXT AREA, THEN REVERSAL PROBABILITY 60% This is the point Where You go to 15min - 5m - 1min and cook up an entry. OR, Simply enter after a 15min FVG in line with Target / Bias. Just put your SL below Sting point. You are targeting a weekly FVG, so it's a Swing trade at this point.
by reventioaxie
Fundamental Market Analysis for April 3, 2025 EURUSDEUR/USD saw a bullish spike on Wednesday after the Trump administration announced tariffs that were less severe than many investors expected given President Donald Trump's flurry of tariff threats over the past 72 days. While the specific tariff proposals are unclear, U.S. consumers should prepare for flat 10 percent tariffs on all imports, significant 25 percent tariffs on all automobiles and auto parts, and “reciprocal” tariffs imposed at different rates depending on the country. In addition, Trump has reiterated his intention to impose additional tariffs on goods such as copper, microchips, and other important imported consumer goods that are vital to the U.S. economy. As these tariffs are likely to drive up consumer prices in the coming months and there is no obvious alternative in the market to obtain foreign goods without incurring high import duties, inflationary pressures are expected to rise soon and persist longer than desired. According to Federal Reserve (Fed) officials, the uncertainty of the Trump administration's trade policy is likely to keep interest rates elevated for an extended period beyond previous expectations. European economic indicators are likely to remain moderately light for the rest of the trading week. Meanwhile, new US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data is expected this Friday. The NFP report could have a significant impact on the markets as the US economy moves into a post-tariff phase, and the March labor statistics will be a key indicator of the impact of the Trump administration's tariff strategy. Trading recommendation: BUY 1.09100, SL 1.08400, TP 1.10300
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Pre-london Chart Mark-up | EURUSD & USDJPY💶 EURUSD Analysis ✅ Bias: Neutral, awaiting confirmation from demand and supply zones. ✅ Price has pulled back to the 50% level of the 1-hour swing range, which typically favors sell setups. ✅ However, upside imbalances remain unfilled, acting as a potential price magnet for bullish continuation. 🔎 What I’m Watching: If price shows bearish rejection from supply, I will favor sell setups. If price holds above demand and fills the imbalance, I will look for buys. Staying flexible and trading based on confirmation signals. 💴 USDJPY Analysis ✅ Bias: Bearish (aligned with the daily fractal structure). ✅ We had a change of character (ChoCh) to the downside, signaling the end of the internal structure pullback. ✅ This confirms that we should focus on selling opportunities. 🔎 What I’m Watching: On the 1-hour timeframe, I missed my initial short entry. Looking for price retracement into a supply zone for a potential re-entry into shorts. Expecting a continuation of the bearish order flow in line with the dominant trend. 🔔 How I’m Approaching This Session: ✅ Staying patient and waiting for price action confirmation before executing trades. ✅ Following market structure, order blocks, and liquidity zones to refine trade entries. ✅ Reacting to what the market gives, rather than forcing a directional bias.
by DagemFxStudio
Having no position is also position- EURUSD - Official Tarrifs Dear Traders, Investors and every interested person I dont going to lie Im trough hard weeks maybe months after Trump became president although I’m sure you too. As of 01/04/2025 we are just few hours away to enjoy our rollercoaster ride in the amusement park of the USA GOVERMENT. Their old-new attractions is about tariffs and reciprocal tariffs. Those who’s are not familiar what is a tariff I recommend reading this part those, whose already going to the bed and waking up with it may skip it the following section. A **tariff** is a **tax imposed by a government on imported or exported goods**. It's one of the tools countries use in international trade policy. Here's a breakdown: Types of Tariffs : 1. Import Tariff – tax on goods coming **into** a country. ( We are dealing with this curently) 2. **Export Tariff** – tax on goods going **out** of a country (less common). Why Governments Use Tariffs: Protect domestic industries by making foreign products more expensive. Generate revenue for the government. -Retaliate against unfair trade practices or tariffs from other countries. Example: If the U.S. places a **20% tariff** on imported French wine, that means any French wine imported into the U.S. will have an additional 20% tax added to its price. This makes domestic wine relatively cheaper, helping local producers compete . ___________________________________________________________________________ As of April 1, 2025, President Donald Trump has implemented or announced tariffs affecting a wide range of goods from multiple countries. Here's a summary of the current tariff measures Tariffs on Canada and Mexico February 1, 2025: President Trump signed executive orders imposing a 25% tariff on all goods imported from Canada and Mexico, citing concerns over illegal immigration and drug trafficking. -March 4, 2025: These tariffs took effect, leading to retaliatory measures from both countries. April 2, 2025: Tariffs on USMCA-compliant goods from Canada and Mexico, which had been temporarily exempted, are set to be enforced. Tariffs on China -February 1, 2025: An additional 10% tariff was imposed on imports from China due to the country's alleged failure to curb the export of fentanyl precursors and address money laundering activities. March 4, 2025: The tariff rate on Chinese imports was increased to 20% Global Tariffs - COMMING April 2, 2025 President Trump has declared this date as "Liberation Day," marking the implementation of new tariffs aimed at addressing trade imbalances. Reciprocal Tariffs The administration plans to enforce tariffs that match the rates other countries impose on U.S. goods, effectively applying a **20% tariff** on most imports. Automobile Imports: A specific 25% tariff on imported passenger vehicles, light trucks, and key automobile parts is set to take effect on April 3, 2025. Tariffs on the European Union- Because we treated very badly..... -February 26, 2025: President Trump announced plans to impose a 25% tariff on goods imported from the European Union, with a particular focus on the automotive sector. Secondary Tariffs on Oil Imports March 2025: The administration has threatened secondary tariffs on countries importing oil from Russia and Iran. This means that nations purchasing oil from these countries could face U.S. tariffs if they continue such trade while also engaging with the American market. ____________________________________________________________________________ In case of you get lost between the dates please take look at the Comprehensive Tariff Table – President Trump (2025) as of 01/04/2025 ____________________________________________________________________________ Hereafter I would like turn your attention to the period of 28/02/2025 - 19/03/2025 What caused this relentless and, for many traders, painful +5.35% upside move under 19 days? 🇩🇪 Germany has unveiled a comprehensive fiscal strategy involving substantial investments in both infrastructure and defense sectors over the next decade. Here's a breakdown of the planned expenditures: Infrastructure Investment: €500 Billion Special Fund : The government has established a €500 billion special fund dedicated to infrastructure and climate-related projects over a 12-year period. This fund is designed to modernize critical systems, including energy grids, transport networks, digital infrastructure, education, and healthcare facilities. Notably, €100 billion of this fund is earmarked specifically for climate action initiatives aimed at achieving carbon neutrality by 2045. Defense Spending: Exemption from Debt Brake: In a significant policy shift, Germany has amended its constitutional "debt brake" to exempt defense and security expenditures exceeding 1% of GDP from borrowing limits. This adjustment effectively removes the previous cap on defense spending, allowing for increased investments in military capabilities. Projected Defense Expenditure: While exact figures may vary based on annual GDP and specific defense needs, this exemption is anticipated to facilitate approximately €400 billion in additional defense spending over the next 10 years. This fiscal policy measures does not take place often, but honestly signs were on the market that something is cooking at the back: Someone knows something that I dont. And you neither. XETR:DAX from 01/January/2025 was not too much reason for the steady increase in the shadow of the trade war. FX:EURUSD just look at the price actions from 01/January/2025 till the German gov announcement. I could not explained for myself fundamentally what is happening. Why I see huge positioning with towards the upside when we still facing measures which can push major economies in the EURO AREA as France and Germany more deeper under the water where they already been.... No economic data refuted my findings. Anyway, after all I said to myself let’s wait meanwhile, I was shorting the EUR because I felt the possible damage of the planned measures are not correctly priced in. (Interest rate parity, industrial production under 50 ( which means contraction) and a few other things. ) 03/03/2025 Thats when everything got sense. Lesson learned: If you feel something do not suppress it especially when the signs are that strongs as above mentioned period. The effect: All Europen goverment bond yields skyrocketed TVC:DE10 TVC:FR10 Why ? The German plans means that the goverment needs money and market said well i need return so I will finance you +3% and 2,30% Bonds market are the real drivers behind the currency movements and this case the effect was drastic. In order to buy eur denominated bonds you need euro, therefore you exchange your currency to euro. ___________________________________________________________________________ Tomorrow questions is whats will be new in terms of tarrifs? I do expect that soon the inflation will edge higher in the US which can trigger US bonds yield to increase significantly, but is will lead for short term dollar gain. USA is playing with the fire since if their avarage debt interest payments will be +5% thats will open darker boxes soon than in 2008. Much darker. So thats why I would enjoy the short term currency gain which is autonomous and than exchange my dollar to euro everywhere.
by ElGatoTrade
EUR/USD Double Top Analysis - Bearish Reversal Trade Setup This analysis highlights a Double Top pattern forming on the EUR/USD 4-hour timeframe, which is a classic bearish reversal pattern. The pattern signals a potential shift from a bullish trend to a downtrend, providing traders with a well-defined entry, stop loss, and target levels. 1. Understanding the Double Top Pattern A Double Top is a trend reversal pattern that forms after an extended uptrend. It consists of two peaks (Top 1 and Top 2) at approximately the same resistance level, followed by a break below the neckline (support level), confirming the pattern. Pattern Breakdown: Top 1 & Top 2: These peaks represent failed attempts to break higher, showing strong selling pressure at resistance. Support (Neckline): The price found support at a key level, where buyers initially stepped in, but eventually, this level was broken, triggering a potential downtrend. 2. Key Levels & Trading Setup 📌 Resistance Level (Bearish Rejection Zone) The resistance level is marked in the 1.09500 - 1.09600 range. Price action tested this zone twice (Top 1 & Top 2) but failed to sustain above it. The repeated rejection indicates that sellers are dominant in this zone. 📌 Support Level (Neckline Breakout Confirmation) The support level is marked in the 1.07700 - 1.07800 zone. The price bounced off this area initially, but later broke below it, confirming a bearish move. The breakout suggests selling momentum is increasing. 3. Trading Strategy – Bearish Setup 🔴 Entry Point (Sell Trigger) A short trade is confirmed when the price breaks below the neckline (support level) after forming the Double Top. The breakout confirms seller dominance and signals potential downside movement. 🚨 Stop Loss Placement Stop Loss is placed slightly above the resistance level at 1.09575. This ensures protection against false breakouts or price retracements. 🎯 Target (Take Profit Projection) The price target is calculated based on the height of the Double Top pattern. Target Level: 1.06639, aligning with the measured move from the resistance to the neckline. 4. Market Outlook & Risk Management 📉 Bearish Scenario (High Probability Move) ✔️ The market structure shows a strong bearish reversal with price failing to break above resistance. ✔️ The confirmed neckline break indicates sellers have taken control. ✔️ If the price continues lower, we can expect a move toward 1.06639. 📈 Bullish Scenario (Invalidation of Trade) ❌ If price closes back above resistance (1.09575), it would invalidate the bearish setup. ❌ This would indicate that buyers are regaining control, and the trade setup should be re-evaluated. 5. Final Thoughts & TradingView Tags Summary of Trading Setup: ✅ Pattern: Double Top (Bearish Reversal) ✅ Sell Entry: Below the support neckline ✅ Stop Loss: Above 1.09575 ✅ Target: 1.06639 ✅ Risk-Reward Ratio: Favorable 📌 Tags for TradingView Idea: #EURUSD #DoubleTop #ForexTrading #BearishReversal #SupportResistance #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #ForexSetup #TradingStrategy
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
EURUSD:Continuously focus on low-level long positionsTrump's announced comprehensive tariff plan has sparked global attention. On Thursday, the EUR/USD price generally rose as expected. On that day, the price dropped to a low of 1.0804 at the lowest, rose to a high of 1.1145 at the highest, and closed at 1.1047. Looking back at the performance of the EUR/USD market on Thursday, after the opening in the morning, the price tested the four-hour support level in the short term in a downward direction and then soared rapidly. Subsequently, it maintained a very strong upward trend throughout the day. Eventually, the price closed with a large bullish candlestick. Overall, as the author mentioned, the adjustment during the medium- and long-term upward trend of the EUR/USD has ended, and it has continued to soar. Going forward, keep paying attention to taking long positions at low levels. Trading Strategy: buy@1.1010-20 TP:1.1170-1.1210-1.1340 Get daily trading signals that ensure continuous profits! With an astonishing 90% accuracy rate, I'm the record - holder of an 800% monthly return. Click the link below the article to obtain accurate signals now!
Long
by LeoBlackwood
EURUSD Wave Analysis – 3 April 2025- EURUSD broke key resistance level 1.0930 - Likely to rise to the resistance level 1.1200 EURUSD currency pair recently broke the key resistance level 1.0930 (which has been reversing the price from November – having stopped the previous waves 2 and (2), as can be seen below). The breakout of the resistance level 1.0930 continues the short-term correction 2 from the end of last month. Given the strongly bearish US dollar sentiment seen today, EURUSD currency pair can be expected to rise to the next significant resistance level 1.1200 (the former monthly high from August and September).
Long
by FxProGlobal