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EURUSD 3-7 Mar 2025 W10 - Weekly Analysis- EU Rate - US NFP WeekThis is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 3-7 Mar 2025 W10 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following: Market Sentiment Weekly Chart Analysis Daily Chart Analysis 4H Chart Analysis Economic Events for the Week Market Sentiment The EUR/USD pair faces a slightly bearish bias this week, driven by key economic events, geopolitical risks, and trade uncertainties. Key Events to Watch: 🔹 ECB Interest Rate Decision (March 6) – Markets expect a 25 bps rate cut to 2.50%. A dovish ECB could pressure the euro, while any hints of a pause may provide support. 🔹 U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (March 7) – Forecast at +133K jobs, with unemployment steady at 4.0%. Weak data could weigh on the USD, while stronger payrolls and wage growth may boost it. 🔹 Trump’s Tariffs & Trade War Risks – New U.S. tariffs on Mexico, Canada, and China take effect March 4, with potential auto tariffs on Europe looming. These policies favor the dollar by driving risk-off sentiment. 🔹 Geopolitical Tensions – U.S.-Ukraine relations deteriorated after a public Oval Office clash between Trump and Zelenskiy. Further instability could impact investor confidence and increase safe-haven demand for the USD. Trading Strategy: ✅ Bearish Scenario: A dovish ECB, strong U.S. NFP, and escalating trade risks could push EUR/USD down. ✅ Bullish Scenario: If the ECB signals a rate-cut pause and U.S. jobs data disappoint, EUR/USD may test 1.055–1.06 . Overall, the fundamental backdrop leans in favor of the USD, but volatility is expected, especially around the ECB and NFP releases. Traders should stay alert to geopolitical developments and tariff announcements that may shift sentiment. Weekly Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bearish 🔹Internal Bearish (Pullback Phase) 🔹In Swing Discount 🔹Swing Continuation Phase (Pro Swing + Pro Internal) 2️⃣ 🔹INT structure continuing bearish with iBOS following the Bearish Swing. (End of 2023 till end of 2024 was a pullback phase after the first bearish iBOS) 3️⃣ 🔹After the bearish iBOS we expect a pullback, price tapped into Monthly Demand and the liquidity below Nov 2022 which is above the weekly demand formed with the initiation of the bearish iBOS pullback phase. 🔹Price made a bullish CHoCH which indicated that the liquidity was enough as per previous weeks analysis to initiate a pullback phase for the bearish iBOS. 🔹Price pulled back after the Bullish CHoCH to the Weekly Demand formed and showed reaction after volatile week. 🔹With the previous week Bearish close, weekly is consolidating between 1.05xx and 1.02xx 🔹Still the recent Bullish Fractal and Demand holding but failed to break the high (1.0533) so there is a probability to target the low 1.0285/10 and could extend to continue the Bearish INT Structure with iBOS. Daily Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bearish 🔹INT Bearish 🔹Swing Continuation Phase (Pro Swing + Pro Internal) 2️⃣ 🔹Following the Bearish Swing BOS, INT Structure continuing bearish tapping the weekly demand zone. 3️⃣ 🔹After the failure to close below the Weak INT Low, price continued bullish sweeping the liquidity above Dec 30 and mitigating a Daily supply zone within the INT Structure Premium Zone. 🔹With the mitigation of the Daily supply, price created a Bearish CHoCH signaling the end of the Pullback Phase of the INT structure and the start of the Bearish move targeting the Weak INT Low. 🔹Price failed for the 2nd time to close below the Weak INT Low after mitigating the Daily Demand formed from the failure to close below the Weak INT Low which triggered aggressive Bullish reaction and mitigating the Daily Supply Zone formed from the recent Bearish CHoCH. 🔹After Supply mitigation, price continued Bearish following the Bearish INT Structure continuation phase. 🔹With the Weekly is consolidating the Daily consolidation range showing that we are failing to continue Bullish and with the recent Bearish CHoCH we are back to the Bearish INT Structure continuation and we may target the Weak INT Low (At least 1.0285). 🔹Price could pullback to the recent Daily Supply before continuing down. 🔹Expectation is set to Bearish with cautious of the Liq. built above 1.05333 and the range we are in. 4H Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bullish (Reached Swing Extreme Demand) 🔹INT Bearish (Adjusted my INT structure to align with the previous Bullish move) 🔹Complex Swing INT Structure 2️⃣ 🔹As the Swing is Bullish, expectations were set to continue Bullish targeting the Weak Swing High and create a Bullish BOS after the Deep Pullback to the Swing Demand. 🔹During the Swing Bullish Continuation after the Deep Pullback, INT Structure kept holding Bullish to fulfill the Bullish continuation phase. 🔹With price reaching the Swing Extreme Premium zone and the expectation of breaking the Weak Swing High, price failed 2 times and with the 3rd attempt it created a Bearish iBOS. This indicated that the Swing INT structure is Complex and the Daily/Weekly TFs are still in play. 3️⃣ 🔹After the Bearish iBOS, we expect PB, there is no clear POI for price to initiate PB except the Liq. at 1.03730 which was swept on Friday and 1.03173 before mitigating the last clear 4H Demand. 🔹With the recent Bearish iBOS, the PB could start at anytime. The Liq. swept from 1.0373 could provide that PB otherwise we will continue Bearish till the clear 4H Demand (Which I doubt that it could provide the continuation) but with LTF shifting Bullish, we can follow that. Economic Events for the Week
by Amr-Sadek
When you're Dancing on the ceiling; Short then LongWe recently broke-out of a trading range, to the Upside. Short now for Temporary Profits, or, Wait for the price to follow the grey line I drew in illustrating the likely Anticipated move. Buy long, at-or-near the Pullback (top Dashed line). Should go (up) Down Upppp! For your added Confidence, i recommend Waiting for a Bullish Candle After the retest to Pullback Level; you Want to See a Green candle after touching that Dashed line.
Short
by sofearnot
6
EURUSD Wave Analysis – 5 March 2025 - EURUSD broke the resistance zone - Likely to rise to resistance level 1.0900 EURUSD currency pair recently broke the resistance zone between the resistance level 1.0625 (former monthly high from December), 61.8% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse from November and the resistance trendline of the daily up channel from January. The breakup of this resistance zone accelerated the active impulse wave C of the medium-term ABC correction B from January. Given the strongly bearish US dollar sentiment, EURUSD can be expected to rise toward the next resistance level 1.0900, the target price for the completion of the active impulse wave C.
Long
by FxProGlobal
CHART BREAKDOWN EURUSD: Key Levels, Targets and Thoughts!Brief Description🖊️: The chart provides insights into critical market levels, emphasizing an essential demand zone: low-risk buy zone spanning from 1.04950 to 1.04870, respectively, are highlighted. Things I Have Seen👀: Important Demand Zone🟢: Identified between 1.04950 and 1.04870 serving as a low-risk buy. Bullish Targets📈: 1.05020: Possible retracement area. 1.05250: Possible retracement area. 1.05370: Possible retracement area. 1.05500: Possible retracement area. 1.05600: Liquidity area. What's Important Now❗ Currently, the crucial approach is to wait and observe the price action at this level. We need to assess how the market reacts before considering any decisive moves. Stay observant and responsive to real-time developments in the market.
Long
by T4X_Trading
EURUSD Hits Our Pattern Target – What’s Next? This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information
by ThinkMarkets
I will Recover Your All losses I will Make Daily Good profit The image you provided is a technical analysis chart for EUR/USD (Euro/US Dollar), not Gold (XAU/USD). However, I can still analyze the chart and help you with the next possible price movement based on the given trend. EUR/USD Analysis (1H Chart): 1. Previous Price Action: The price moved in a downtrend before forming a double bottom around February 9. After that, it had a strong bullish breakout and created a sell zone near 1.0520–1.0530. The price recently dropped after retesting the sell zone and has now touched a support area (highlighted in pink). 2. Current Market Condition: The price is bouncing off a support zone around 1.0380–1.0400. There is a potential bullish reversal if the price sustains above this level. 3. Next Possible Move (Forecast): If the support holds, price may move upward toward 1.0454 (marked in red). A break above 1.0454 can push the price further towards 1.0500–1.0520. However, if the support fails, the price may drop to 1.0350–1.0300. If you're looking for Gold (XAU/USD) analysis, please provide a specific Gold chart, and I'll analyze it for you. Let me know how you'd like to proceed!
Long
by afzalforex110
Next target for EURUSDDespite all the sudden spikes due to political reasons, the EUR is on a clear uptrend for weeks now. The next target is the next confluence of resistance awaiting at the Daily FVG that coincide with a long standing support/resistance zone and also the monthly R3 pivot. And to top it all of we are in the golden fib zone as well from the previous highs before the drop. Whether we go down from there to continue the downtrend (it's still a downtrend on the weekly/monthly) or we break the trend and go for the highs will be decided later and there is no need to extrapolate. The only question for now is if we're just gonna keep going up without possibility for a proper entry or get a proper pullback first. If it's the former it's gonna be hard to get any trade in other than scalps, in the second possibility. For the later, on the 4H I see two possibly entries (ideally) with the best Risk/Reward. The first entry is roughly at R1 around the support zone / tapping into the 4H FVG created during the big push up, and the best possible case is the gap fill and 79% retracement (currently as the time of writing, which will probably change) and weekly pivot at 1.04218. Targeting the level I mentioned earlier would give an excellent 1:6RR with very high probability. Is it likely to happen that we'll drop down all the way quickly? no. But in today's time with trump sending the market thumbling multiple percentage points from tweets, anything is possible and if you have a proper plan in place, all you need is alerts and execute the plan even when things happen in a blink (like that last mini crash and that big push up!) By the time we get there you could possibly refine the entry on the lower time frame or just execute as it is presented here and just let things run. Follow for more as I plan to post about more pairs and always post minds on lower time frame opportunities during the day!
Long
by Nordic_Wings