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Euro-vision: Why I'm Betting the Farm on EUR/USD Hitting 1.097!Economic Recovery Buzz: The Eurozone is showing signs of recovery post-pandemic, with GDP growth rates improving and consumer confidence rising. This positive sentiment can drive the Euro higher against the Dollar. Federal Reserve Policy Shift: If the Federal Reserve hints at a more dovish stance or delays interest rate hikes, the USD could weaken, making it a good time to go long on the Euro. Strong Manufacturing Data: Recent reports indicate robust manufacturing and service sector performance in the Eurozone. Strong economic indicators often support a currency's value. Geopolitical Stability: With reduced geopolitical tensions in Europe, the Euro is likely to strengthen. Stability attracts investors, driving demand for the Euro. Technical Support Levels: Chart patterns suggest that the EUR/USD has found solid support around current levels, indicating a potential bounce back to 1.097. Diverse Economic Drivers: The Eurozone benefits from diverse economies, which can help buffer against localized downturns. This resilience can bolster the Euro's position against the Dollar. Market Sentiment: If traders are increasingly bullish on the Euro, this sentiment can create momentum, pushing prices up towards the target of 1.097.
Long
by FtradeFXArabic
Bullish Transition on EU, swing ideaHello all, here is my breakdown of what I am seeing on EU Just to give context the: Orange line - 4h Yellow line - Daily Red line - 1h White line - Monthly Black line - Weekly I am more of a dynamic trader and will intraday, or swing depending on the situation and sometimes can take my entries on the 1m like i did for this position which allowed for me to have a 5 pip Stop loss in this instance I use dynamic trend lines meaning i move them and adjust them as the market develops and when candles close, so what may look like a lot of lines really isn't what I have up all the time. This is just for visual aid to show you what I can see without the lines (sometimes) now with that out of the way. My main thought was based on the weekly which is where my main fib is based on: Usually the market after a transition on the pullback dips a bit lower than the previous support area in this case pulling back to the red zones on my fib which usually happens on most timeframes after a break of structure That paired with the daily rejecting the support (yellow line) and showing exhaustion in that area and the market rejecting the daily zone that aligns with a monthly support further builds this case. Let's break it down a bit deeper though! Here on the 4h we can see the highlighted candles showing where the true break of structure on the 4h happened. We can see noted the previous resistance that was broken and then the candles that confirmed that break. Then we had the true pullback during NY session that confirmed the retest. Now the first pullback may have been thought to be a true pullback but it wasn't because it was two full candles and not multiple candles indicating actual volume and direction but instead just consolidation which can be seen on the lower timeframe in that area As you can see I had multiple confluences to be able to enter and all i did was wait on the 1m once the market was in my zone and enter once I started to see rejection and saw that the market was beginning to make its new HL. That mixed with small bit of uncertainty in the fundamental realm with the new people in the GOP in the US and no idea about tariffs and rate cuts most things are at a 50/50 right now which i think could lead in the favor of the Euro but time will tell and I will continue to monitor my position but this is a long term swing and I will try to scale in if possible but if not then I will manage my one position to my 1.13422 TP All of my confluences align as far as zones sitting on top of support & resistance and that aligning with my trading times and sessions as well as the candle stick formations, make sure that things make sense and you are patient!
Long
by Bhenderson22
11/22 EU Monthly Bullish Swing for the StarsHello all, here is my Update of what I am seeing on EU Just to give context the: Orange line - 4h Yellow line - Daily Red line - 1h White line - Monthly Black line - Weekly I am more of a dynamic trader and will intraday, or swing depending on the situation and sometimes can take my entries on the 1m like i did for this position which allowed for me to have a 5 pip Stop loss in this instance I use dynamic trend lines meaning i move them and adjust them as the market develops and when candles close, so what may look like a lot of lines really isn't what I have up all the time. This is just for visual aid to show you what I can see without the lines (sometimes) now with that out of the way. After my previous EU posts and losses I re analyzed and let the market play out a bit more and was able to see an area that I had not marked off as a weekly support although after a previous push up it broke the then resistance and is now using it for support I was able to zoom in on the daily and analyze the area where it broke and retested on the monthly now on the daily timeframe and mark of a zone that aligned with the Monthly support. This helped me to build my confluence. We also have the currently Weekly candle over more recent Weekly and Monthly Support, which also further adds to my idea of a transitions and list of confluences. As I've stated before we usually get that deeper pullback on those support and resistance areas sometimes, that is something I have personally noticed with EU I was then able to zoom in on the 4h with all of this info now known and analyze the exhaustion I was seeing on the higher timeframe, this led me to notice the 4H support formed during London session, and I was able to mark that off as a 4H support area and use that as a base to zoom in more to find a lower timeframe zone that aligned with the 4h support I then zoomed in to the 15m because that timeframe correlates with 4h and I was able to see a zone that I personally marked off on the 5m but can clearly be seen on the 15m. At NY (or a little before) I was able to mark off the 1h Support and resistance (red lines) this helped me to see if it broke on the lower timeframes to then wait a bit more and possibly re analyze for a different entry, but we just tested the 1h support and on the close of the candle at 11:30 I entered for a long targeting 1.15580 risking 5 pips I do feel that next weeks news and closure will be the determining factor as far as holding long term but I will continue to update and manage the position and scale in when possible. I do have all of my confluences in alignment so I am confident in this position after re-assessing things. I know it is Friday and there isn't much volume left in the market but I will be back bright and early next week!
Long
by Bhenderson22
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): Short to support area at 1.05183.Dear colleagues, I assume that the price will continue the downward movement and will soon reach the area of 1.05183. This movement will be a wave “C” of the higher order. The most important thing now is to understand where exactly the downward movement will end, because if you look at the daily timeframe, the price is still in a major upward movement, so after reaching the target, I will look for long positions. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Short
by Hellena_Trade
12
EURUSD Trading Journal EURUSD Trading Journal Nov 20 London Session Summary I was looking for shorts. My logic was Price was in a Premium market from the previous session, indicating price would come to the 50%. There was noted clean equal lows and FVG to rebalance. Tuesday price expanded to lower prices in London, NY saw retracement and had taken the buy side liquidity. Seemed likely for a reversal coming into todays London session. With the institutional cycles identified buy side stops taken, and in a Premium with liquidity and inefficient price my target was for the .618 level to exit. I was hoping for the .70 level where clean equal lows were. I just need to trust my complete idea before exiting. Price drop in Asia and by 2 am price hit the .618 session range. I entered late not trusting my logic and exited way to early. All good I got 12 pips. Consistency of reading every session cycle and watching what stops are taken, using the FIB correctly can only improve my trust in myself and tighter entires and exits. Extremely happy that I have traded 3 days in row.
by LParnell
Will Most Stable Currency Pair Finally Break Its 20-Year PatternThe foreign exchange market stands at a pivotal crossroads as the seemingly unshakeable euro-dollar relationship faces its most significant test since the 2022 energy crisis. Traditional market dynamics are being challenged by an unprecedented confluence of factors: the return of Trump-era trade policies, escalating geopolitical tensions in Eastern Europe, and diverging monetary paths between the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank. This perfect storm has pushed the euro to levels not seen since October 2023, prompting leading financial institutions to reassess their long-held assumptions about currency stability. What makes this moment particularly compelling is the broader economic context. While previous threats to euro-dollar parity emerged from singular crises, today's challenge stems from structural shifts in global trade architecture. Deutsche Bank's analysis suggests that proposed trade policies could fundamentally alter international capital flows, with the potential to drive the euro below parity to 0.95 or lower – a scenario that would rewrite modern forex history. This isn't merely about numbers; it's about a potential reshaping of global economic power dynamics. The most intriguing aspect of this development lies in its timing. As we approach a period traditionally characterized by dollar weakness – December has seen the greenback decline in eight of the past ten years – markets face a fascinating contradiction. Will historical seasonal patterns prevail, or are we witnessing the emergence of a new paradigm in currency markets? The answer could reshape investment strategies across the globe and challenge long-held beliefs about currency market dynamics. For investors and market observers alike, the coming months promise to deliver one of the most compelling chapters in recent financial history.
Short
by signalmastermind
EURUSD InsightHello, Subscribers! It's great to have you all here. Please feel free to share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to like and subscribe! Key Points - Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated, "Current economic conditions show there is no need to rush into rate cuts," hinting at a potential adjustment in the pace of rate cuts. - U.S. October retail sales rose by 0.4% MoM, beating the market's forecast of 0.3%, weakening market expectations for a December rate cut. - The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow model maintains its forecast for U.S. Q4 growth at an annualized rate of 2.5%, suggesting continued solid growth in the fourth quarter. - The U.S. Dollar Index dipped slightly, weighed down by concerns over recent gains. Key Economic Indicators - November 19: Eurozone October CPI - November 20: U.K. October CPI - November 21: U.S. Initial Jobless Claims EUR/USD Chart Analysis The EUR/USD pair broke below the 1.07500 level, showing a sharp decline. However, it is rebounding near the anticipated support level around 1.05000. A short-term uptrend is expected from the current range, with a potential target near 1.08000. On the other hand, if it breaks below the 1.04500 level, a pullback toward the 1.01000 area is likely. In this case, a quick strategy adjustment will be made.
Long
by shawntime_academy
EURUSD Trading Journal EURUSD Trading Journal Nov 21 insights Price enters Thursday with a consolidation-continuation pattern to the up side. Asia rebalances previous days FVG, Swings up to create equal highs. At 1 am London Macro price expands to the downside with energy. I traded a short sloppy entry and could not take the heat but price hit my targets. I exited not trusting my analysis. News driver in NY false move and at 10 am Macro Price expands to the down side again. I was looking for a long after the news driver-due to the logic that price was in a discount and could very easily turn around. NOPE. Price cuts through 3 sell side levels as it sells off. Classic ICT formation of the 2022 model 10 macro. Price swings up for a raid on stops, creates FVG inside the macro, parent bias is bearish, key sell side stops to gravitate too the only factor that does not meet trade criteria is price is in a discount on the previous day's session and we do not sell in a discount. However for the London session Price comes to the 50% and 10:10 candle could have went short. Taking partials at all three sell side noted targets. 430am to 10am could that be a breaker pattern? Higher highs when bias is bearish? For sure a day of distribution.
by LParnell
EURO - Price can leave triangle and rise to $1.0765 levelHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 Some time ago price fell to $1.1085 level and some time traded near, after which bounced and rose to $1.1210 points. Then price started to decline in falling channel, where it broke $1.1085 level and fell to support line at once. In channel, EUR declined until to $1.0765 level, which coincided with resistance area and some time traded near. Later, price exited from channel, and entered to triangle, but firstly made a gap and then bounced down. Price broke $1.0765 level and now it trades near resistance line of triangle, so, I think can make correction. After this, Euro will bounce up to $1.0765 resistance level, exiting from a triangle. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Long
by WalterMoon
8
EURUSD - 4hrs ( Buy Trade Target Range 250 PIP ) 🟢 Pair Name :EUR/USD Time Frame : 4hrs Chart / Close Scale Type : Large Scale ------ 🟢 Key Technical / Direction ( Long ) ——————————— Bullish Reversal 1.06100 Reasons - Major Turn level / D - Visible range lvn - Reversal Zone - Inner Choch - Quarter low Area - Fibo Golden - Counter Trend line Bullish Reversal 1.08600 Area Reasons - Major Turn level - Visible Range Hvn - Fixed Range Hvn - Pattern upper Band - Choch Zone
Long
by GoldenEngine
2