USDEUR trade ideas
Lingrid | EURUSD Pullback - Awaiting Trend Continuation SignalFX:EURUSD is consolidating above the upward trendline after forming a triangle within the broader ascending channel. The recent pullback tested the 1.1444 support zone, with a rebound hinting at renewed bullish pressure. A push beyond 1.1620 could unlock upside toward the 1.1700 resistance mark.
📈 Key Levels
Buy zone: 1.1444–1.1470
Sell trigger: breakdown below 1.1444
Target: 1.16200
Buy trigger: breakout above 1.1523 resistance
💡 Risks
Triangle breakdown could shift the short-term bias bearish
Failure to reclaim 1.1620 may stall bullish momentum
A sharp drop below the black trendline would invalidate the structure
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
#EURUSD:Expecting A Strong Bull Move, Two Entries | Two TargetsIn our previous analysis, we clearly stated that the price would remain bullish as the DXY had to plummet, and it did exactly that, rising by 450 pips from our last entry. Currently, we have two areas from which we can see the price reversing. The first one is nearby and has a higher risk compared to our second entry, which may be safer for some traders. We need a strong confirmation before making any significant decisions.
Good luck and trade safely. We wish you the best in your trading journey.
Team Setupsfx_
Bullish continuation for the Fiber?The price is falling towards the pivot point, which is a pullback support, and could bounce to the 1st resistance, which is also a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 1.1630
1st Support: 1.1591
1st Resistance: 1.1692
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EUR/USD - Bullish Bias with Key S/R Level | TCB StrategyEUR/USD - Bullish Bias with Key Support and Resistance Levels | TCB Strategy
Trend:
The overall trend is bullish, with EUR/USD respecting an ascending channel. The market remains in a clear uptrend on higher timeframes, favoring long positions unless resistance is broken.
Key Levels:
Support: 1.1750–1.1770 (bullish bias if price holds here).
Resistance: 1.1800–1.1820 (possible short if price fails to break).
Action Plan:
Long Setup: Look for a bullish reversal pattern near 1.1750–1.1770 (solid support). Targets: 1.1800–1.1820.
Short Setup: If the price fails to break 1.1800–1.1820 and shows a rejection, consider a countertrend short targeting 1.1750.
Breakout Setup: If 1.1820 is broken with momentum, look for a retest and continuation towards 1.1850–1.1900.
Risk Management:
Stop Loss: Below 1.1750 for long trades, above 1.1820 for short trades.
Risk/Reward: Favorable 1:2 or 1:3 R:R ratio based on your setup.
TCB Checklist Score: 83%
Trend Setup: 10/10
Countertrend Setup: 7/10
Breakout Setup: 6/10
Risk Management: 9/10
Target Setting: 8/10
External Factors: 10/10
Overall Score: 50/60 = 83%
Fundamental Backing for EUR/USD Bullish Bias:
ECB vs. Fed Divergence:
The Fed’s hawkish policy may be nearing its peak, while the ECB continues to tighten to combat inflation, favoring the euro over the USD. As the ECB remains more aggressive than the Fed, this could keep EUR/USD supported.
U.S. Economic Data:
If U.S. economic data continues to underperform (e.g., weaker GDP, jobless claims, or inflation reports), it would put downward pressure on the USD, supporting a bullish EUR/USD outlook.
Eurozone Economic Resilience:
The Eurozone has shown solid economic growth despite global challenges, with nations like Germany and France demonstrating resilience. This strengthens the EUR against a potentially weaker USD.
Geopolitical Factors:
While the Russia-Ukraine war is ongoing, the EU’s resilience to the energy crisis and the gradual improvement in global risk sentiment could support the euro in the medium-term.
Global Risk Sentiment:
Risk-on sentiment could benefit higher-yielding assets like the euro, especially against a USD that could face weakening pressures from an economic slowdown.
This setup is solid but requires further confirmation. The bullish trend supports a long bias, but be alert to potential rejections at resistance or breakouts that could push EUR/USD higher.
#EURUSD #TCBStrategy #ForexTrading #Breakout #TrendFollowing #Countertrend #TradingView #ForexAnalysis #RiskManagement #TechnicalAnalysis #ForexSetup #BullishBias #ForexTraders
MY TCB STRATEGY🔍 Detailed Breakdown
✅ Trend Structure
1H and 4H trends are strongly bullish.
Clean higher highs and higher lows.
Momentum shows clear breakout from range on June 21–24.
🟦 EP1 Zone (1.1600–1.1615) – Minor Pullback
Risk: Price still within supply; not yet a confirmed retracement.
If entry is taken here, price must:
Form a bullish engulfing or low-timeframe FVG at the zone.
Hold above 1.1595 to remain valid.
✅ Good for momentum re-entry.
❗ Risk of getting trapped if deeper retracement (EP2) is needed.
🔲 EP2 Zone (1.1580–1.1600) – Optimal Confluence
Aligns with:
H4 trendline
Breaker block
Prior demand + FVG
If price pulls back here, it offers:
Best RR and lowest risk entry
Ideal setup for Set & Forget
✅ This is the premium zone for longs if price dips.
🎯 Targets
TP1: 1.17250 – Previous high and clean liquidity magnet
TP2: 1.17530 – Next external liquidity (major high)
Both targets are realistic in bullish continuation scenario.
⚖️ Entry Comparison Table
Zone Entry Level Pros Cons R:R Est.
EP1 1.1610 Close to momentum, smaller pullback High risk of rejection/fakeout ~1:2
EP2 1.1585 Trendline + breaker + clean RR May not reach (missed entry risk) ~1:2.8+
🔔 Alerts Recommendation
1.1590: Buy alert for EP2 zone entry
1.1625: Bullish break confirmation
1.1545: Invalidation level (structure break)
🧠 TCBFlow Final Thought:
“EP1 is for aggressive traders. EP2 is for patient execution. The market owes you nothing – it only rewards precision.”
📊 Final Score
Setup Score %
EP1 7/10 70% ⚠️ Medium Confidence (Requires confirmation)
EP2 9/10 90% ✅ High Confidence (Best TCB zone)
🧠 Summary:
EP1 is early, momentum-based — only enter if you see strong bullish PA.
SET and FORGET
EP2 is clean, structured, and high-confluence — best suited for Set & Forget with minimum emotional interference.
EUR/USD Daily Timeframe Analysis – Bullish OutlookOn the daily chart, the EUR/USD pair shows a clear bullish bias in the long term, backed by strong upward momentum in recent sessions.
🔹 Price Action Overview:
Last week, EUR/USD printed a strong impulsive move to the upside, indicating increased bullish interest and potential trend continuation. This momentum suggests that the bulls are firmly in control, at least for now.
🔹 What to Expect Next:
With the impulsive leg completed, we are now anticipating a short-term retracement. Price is likely to pull back into a key demand zone, previously acting as resistance, and now potentially flipping into support.
I've marked this retracement zone with a green circle on the chart, aligning with the price range:
📍 Key Trade Levels:
Buy Entry Zone: 1.15900 – 1.16100
(Expecting price to react at this former resistance turned support)
Stop Loss: 1.15400
(Below recent swing low to protect against invalidation)
Take Profit: 1.17300
(Targeting the next significant resistance area)
---
🧠 Trade Idea Summary:
This setup follows the classic "impulse–retracement–continuation" structure. As long as price holds above the retracement zone, we maintain a bullish outlook for EUR/USD.
🔔 Watch for bullish price action (e.g., pin bars, engulfing candles) within the buy zone before entering for confirmation.
EUR/USD Long Setup — Breakout Retest Play
We’re seeing a classic breakout-retest scenario on EUR/USD. After breaking above the previous consolidation zone, price has pulled back to retest the broken structure near 1.1495, which also aligns with a higher time frame support zone.
🟦 Entry Zone: 1.1495–1.1490
🔴 Stop Loss: Below 1.1420 (clearly outside the structure)
🟩 Targets (Partial TPs):
1.1655
1.1775
1.1888–1.1894 (final)
📌 Plan:
This is a trend continuation idea after a clean structural breakout. If you plan to enter this, consider:
✅ Scaling in at or near current price
✅ Partial TP at each resistance level
❌ Avoid holding full position till final target — secure profits along the way
✅ Use proper risk management and size
⚠️ Important Note
This is not a signal, just an idea.
I am not selling signals or subscriptions.
If you're new, you may think:
“Let me just follow someone with 100K followers and I’ll profit.”
Truth is — follower count means nothing. Many signal sellers don’t even trade. They sell subscriptions, not setups.
🧠 Pro Tip for Beginners
Track 30–40 trade ideas from different users (including old ones — they often hide losers). Ask yourself:
Was the direction right?
Was the entry filled?
Was the setup realistic?
That’s how you’ll grow as a trader.
Trade smart, protect your capital, and stay sharp.
Rendon1
EURUSD WEEKLY HIGHER TIME FRAME FORECAST Q3 W27 Y25EURUSD WEEKLY HIGHER TIME FRAME FORECAST Q3 W27 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly Order block identified
✅Daily Order block identified
✅4H Order Block identified
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
EURO - Price can continue to decline inside wedge patternHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago, price tried to grow, but failed and dropped below $1.1220 support level, after which started to grow in channel.
In rising channel, price broke $1.1220 level one more time and then rose to resistance line and then corrected.
Next, Euro rose to $1.1455 level and some time traded inside this level, until it broke it and continued to move up.
Price exited from rising channel and later started to decline inside wedge pattern, where it declined to $1.1455 level.
Recently, price bounced from this level and in a short time rose to resistance line of wedge pattern.
In my mind, Euro can continue to decline to $1.1400 support line of wedge, breaking support level.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
EURUSDEUR/USD Exchange Rate
EUR/USD: 1.17735
The euro has strengthened against the US dollar, trading near its highest level since early 2024, supported by a softer DXY and stable Eurozone outlook.
10-Year Government Bond Yields
Region 10-Year Yield Date
Eurozone 2.560% July 5, 2025
United States 4.348% July 5, 2025
The US 10-year Treasury yield remains above the Eurozone’s, but the gap has narrowed in recent months.
Central Bank Policy Rates
Central Bank Policy Rate Last Change/Status
ECB 2.00% (Deposit Rate) Cut by 25 bps in June 2025
Federal Reserve 4.25%–4.50% Unchanged since Dec 2024
The ECB recently cut its deposit rate to 2.00% RFR 2.15% MLF 2.4%, its lowest in over two years, as inflation nears target and growth remains subdued.
The Fed has held its target range steady at 4.25%–4.50% since December 2024, with markets expecting possible cuts later in 2025 on cautious wait and see approach by feds
Rate and Yield Differentials
Metric US Eurozone Differential (US - Eurozone)
Policy Rate 4.25–4.50% 2.00% 2.25–2.50%
10-Year Bond Yield 4.35% 2.560% 1.79%
Yield Differential: The US 10-year yield exceeds the Eurozone’s by 1.79 percentage points, a key driver for capital flows and EUR/USD direction ,but strong euro zone economic outlook offset the yield and bond advantage giving the euro buy advantage .
Policy Rate Differential: The Fed’s policy rate is 2.25–2.50 percentage points higher than the ECB’s, though the gap is expected to narrow if the Fed cuts rates later this year.
Market Implications
EUR/USD: The narrowing yield and rate differentials have supported euro strength in recent weeks.
Bond Markets: US yields remain higher, but the Eurozone’s 10-year yield is at a multi-year high, reflecting persistent inflation and reduced ECB accommodation.
Central Bank Outlook: Both the Fed and ECB are expected to remain data-dependent, with further easing possible if economic conditions warrant.
The euro is currently strong against the dollar, with narrowing rate and yield differentials reflecting shifting monetary policy expectations and global economic condition.
#eurusd
Downtrend It is expected that after some fluctuation in the current resistance range, a trend change will take place and we will see the beginning of a downtrend. A break of the green support range will be a confirmation of the downtrend. With a break and consolidation above the resistance range, the alternative scenario will be a continuation of the uptrend.