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#AN015: TRUMP-PUTIN Phone Call and July 4th, Markets Closed In an unexpected phone call on the sidelines of the American Independence Day, Vladimir Putin and Donald Trump – in the midst of the campaign for his potential re-election – had a confidential conversation that quickly captured the attention of global markets, even on a day when Wall Street was closed. Hello, I am Trader Andrea Russo and today I want to talk to you about the latest news of these hours. I would like to thank in advance our Official Broker Partner PEPPERSTONE for the support in creating this article. 📉 Wall Street closed, but Forex is always open While the US stock markets remain closed for the July 4th holiday, the currency market – by its nature decentralized and global – never stops completely. And it is precisely in these moments of low liquidity that geopolitical moves can have an amplified impact. ☎️ What did Putin and Trump say to each other? Official sources speak of a “cordial discussion” on global security issues, Ukraine, and the future of US-Russia energy relations. However, according to leaks from Moscow, Putin has expressed openness to a new energy negotiation in the event of Trump’s return to the White House. Translated into Forex language? This could mean: Lower geopolitical risk on USD in the long term (Trump is seen as more in favor of dialogue with Moscow) Pressure on Euro if negotiations with Russia are diverted to a Washington-Moscow axis Temporary strength of RUB in case of glimmers of easing of energy sanctions 📊 Impact on key currency crosses Comparing the post-news movements on some crosses: USD/RUB: flat for now, but ready to jump over the weekend if confirmations arrive EUR/USD: latent weakness, also due to the decline in ISM and the resilience of European inflation USD/JPY: stable, but with pro-dollar sentiment in the background (Trump is perceived as economically dovish) ⏱️ What to expect in the next 24 hours? With liquidity recovering already since tonight (Tokyo), markets could start to price in the geopolitical narrative of Trump's return. This scenario favors: USD slightly stronger in the short term Watch out for false breakouts on low volatility (typical of July 4th)
Education
by Andrea_Russo_SwipeUP
Euro Dollar, institutions are still bullish ($1.20 this summer?)There's one constant on the floating exchange market (Forex) this year, the US dollar is by far the weakest currency. It's the same scenario as the first months of Donald Trump's first term in office in 2017 repeating itself. The US President's stated aim is to give US exporters a competitive exchange rate. The Euro exchange rate is also being supported higher by a combination of fundamental factors, notably a relative catch-up of European assets against US stock market assets. It is the sum of these fundamentals that is enabling a well-constructed uptrend in the EUR/USD rate on FX this year 2025. A new monthly technical close was recorded on the evening of Monday June 30, and with technical resistances breached, it looks as if the euro-dollar rate is on course to reach $1.20 this summer. 1) A new monthly technical close (June technical close) continues to support the euro-dollar's annual uptrend The June technical close has been in place for the euro-dollar since the start of the week, providing further bullish chart confirmation. The euro-dollar price has confirmed that it has broken through a descending resistance line in place since the 2008 financial crisis. The price is converging with its momentum (represented here by the RSI and LMACD technical indicators) and the next natural technical target lies at $1.20. This is a technical target for the summer, bearing in mind that in the short term, a move back towards support at $1.15 and $1.17 remains possible. The chart below shows monthly Japanese candlesticks for the EUR/USD rate, with the Ichimoku, RSI and LMACD technical indicators 2) Institutional traders are still bullish on the euro-dollar rate, according to the CFTC's COT report What's most interesting about the overall analytical approach is the convergence between technical analysis signals and institutional positioning signals on the EUR/USD rate. According to the CFTC's COT (Commitment Of Traders) report, institutional traders (hedge funds + asset managers) became net buyers of the euro dollar at the start of 2025, and weekly updates of this positioning data show that their buying exposure is increasing as the EUR/USD price rises. This bullish convergence between chartism and institutional investor positioning lends credibility to a scenario that would see the euro dollar reach resistance at $1.20 this summer. This market view would be invalidated if support at $1.14 were broken. The two charts below show institutional traders' positions on Euro Dollar futures. Institutional traders were predominantly bullish at the start of the year, and month after month, they are increasing their buying exposure. DISCLAIMER: This content is intended for individuals who are familiar with financial markets and instruments and is for information purposes only. The presented idea (including market commentary, market data and observations) is not a work product of any research department of Swissquote or its affiliates. This material is intended to highlight market action and does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice. If you are a retail investor or lack experience in trading complex financial products, it is advisable to seek professional advice from licensed advisor before making any financial decisions. This content is not intended to manipulate the market or encourage any specific financial behavior. 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by Swissquote
#EURUSD:Expecting A Strong Bull Move, Two Entries | Two TargetsIn our previous analysis, we clearly stated that the price would remain bullish as the DXY had to plummet, and it did exactly that, rising by 450 pips from our last entry. Currently, we have two areas from which we can see the price reversing. The first one is nearby and has a higher risk compared to our second entry, which may be safer for some traders. We need a strong confirmation before making any significant decisions. Good luck and trade safely. We wish you the best in your trading journey. Team Setupsfx_
Long
by Setupsfx_
35
EUR/USD - Bullish Bias with Key S/R Level | TCB StrategyEUR/USD - Bullish Bias with Key Support and Resistance Levels | TCB Strategy Trend: The overall trend is bullish, with EUR/USD respecting an ascending channel. The market remains in a clear uptrend on higher timeframes, favoring long positions unless resistance is broken. Key Levels: Support: 1.1750–1.1770 (bullish bias if price holds here). Resistance: 1.1800–1.1820 (possible short if price fails to break). Action Plan: Long Setup: Look for a bullish reversal pattern near 1.1750–1.1770 (solid support). Targets: 1.1800–1.1820. Short Setup: If the price fails to break 1.1800–1.1820 and shows a rejection, consider a countertrend short targeting 1.1750. Breakout Setup: If 1.1820 is broken with momentum, look for a retest and continuation towards 1.1850–1.1900. Risk Management: Stop Loss: Below 1.1750 for long trades, above 1.1820 for short trades. Risk/Reward: Favorable 1:2 or 1:3 R:R ratio based on your setup. TCB Checklist Score: 83% Trend Setup: 10/10 Countertrend Setup: 7/10 Breakout Setup: 6/10 Risk Management: 9/10 Target Setting: 8/10 External Factors: 10/10 Overall Score: 50/60 = 83% Fundamental Backing for EUR/USD Bullish Bias: ECB vs. Fed Divergence: The Fed’s hawkish policy may be nearing its peak, while the ECB continues to tighten to combat inflation, favoring the euro over the USD. As the ECB remains more aggressive than the Fed, this could keep EUR/USD supported. U.S. Economic Data: If U.S. economic data continues to underperform (e.g., weaker GDP, jobless claims, or inflation reports), it would put downward pressure on the USD, supporting a bullish EUR/USD outlook. Eurozone Economic Resilience: The Eurozone has shown solid economic growth despite global challenges, with nations like Germany and France demonstrating resilience. This strengthens the EUR against a potentially weaker USD. Geopolitical Factors: While the Russia-Ukraine war is ongoing, the EU’s resilience to the energy crisis and the gradual improvement in global risk sentiment could support the euro in the medium-term. Global Risk Sentiment: Risk-on sentiment could benefit higher-yielding assets like the euro, especially against a USD that could face weakening pressures from an economic slowdown. This setup is solid but requires further confirmation. The bullish trend supports a long bias, but be alert to potential rejections at resistance or breakouts that could push EUR/USD higher. #EURUSD #TCBStrategy #ForexTrading #Breakout #TrendFollowing #Countertrend #TradingView #ForexAnalysis #RiskManagement #TechnicalAnalysis #ForexSetup #BullishBias #ForexTraders
Long
by J1000PIPSfx
MY TCB STRATEGY🔍 Detailed Breakdown ✅ Trend Structure 1H and 4H trends are strongly bullish. Clean higher highs and higher lows. Momentum shows clear breakout from range on June 21–24. 🟦 EP1 Zone (1.1600–1.1615) – Minor Pullback Risk: Price still within supply; not yet a confirmed retracement. If entry is taken here, price must: Form a bullish engulfing or low-timeframe FVG at the zone. Hold above 1.1595 to remain valid. ✅ Good for momentum re-entry. ❗ Risk of getting trapped if deeper retracement (EP2) is needed. 🔲 EP2 Zone (1.1580–1.1600) – Optimal Confluence Aligns with: H4 trendline Breaker block Prior demand + FVG If price pulls back here, it offers: Best RR and lowest risk entry Ideal setup for Set & Forget ✅ This is the premium zone for longs if price dips. 🎯 Targets TP1: 1.17250 – Previous high and clean liquidity magnet TP2: 1.17530 – Next external liquidity (major high) Both targets are realistic in bullish continuation scenario. ⚖️ Entry Comparison Table Zone Entry Level Pros Cons R:R Est. EP1 1.1610 Close to momentum, smaller pullback High risk of rejection/fakeout ~1:2 EP2 1.1585 Trendline + breaker + clean RR May not reach (missed entry risk) ~1:2.8+ 🔔 Alerts Recommendation 1.1590: Buy alert for EP2 zone entry 1.1625: Bullish break confirmation 1.1545: Invalidation level (structure break) 🧠 TCBFlow Final Thought: “EP1 is for aggressive traders. EP2 is for patient execution. The market owes you nothing – it only rewards precision.” 📊 Final Score Setup Score % EP1 7/10 70% ⚠️ Medium Confidence (Requires confirmation) EP2 9/10 90% ✅ High Confidence (Best TCB zone) 🧠 Summary: EP1 is early, momentum-based — only enter if you see strong bullish PA. SET and FORGET EP2 is clean, structured, and high-confluence — best suited for Set & Forget with minimum emotional interference.
Long
by J1000PIPSfx
EURUSD is in a strong uptrendEURUSD is in a strong uptrend, Price just broke the resistance zone of 1.175. All the bullish momentum is heading towards the resistance zone of 1.188. If there is a close of the h4 candle below the resistance zone of 1.175, there will likely be a Pullback to 1.163 to find more buying momentum towards the target at the resistance zone of 1.188 📈 Key Levels Support: 1.175-1.163 Resistance: 1.188 📊 Recommended Trade Setups BUY EURUSD 1.175-1.173 Stoploss 1.170 BUY EURUSD 1.163-1.161 Stoploss 1.158 SELL EURUSD 1.188-1.190 Stoploss 1.1930
by VHT_Trader
EUR/USD Long Setup — Breakout Retest Play We’re seeing a classic breakout-retest scenario on EUR/USD. After breaking above the previous consolidation zone, price has pulled back to retest the broken structure near 1.1495, which also aligns with a higher time frame support zone. 🟦 Entry Zone: 1.1495–1.1490 🔴 Stop Loss: Below 1.1420 (clearly outside the structure) 🟩 Targets (Partial TPs): 1.1655 1.1775 1.1888–1.1894 (final) 📌 Plan: This is a trend continuation idea after a clean structural breakout. If you plan to enter this, consider: ✅ Scaling in at or near current price ✅ Partial TP at each resistance level ❌ Avoid holding full position till final target — secure profits along the way ✅ Use proper risk management and size ⚠️ Important Note This is not a signal, just an idea. I am not selling signals or subscriptions. If you're new, you may think: “Let me just follow someone with 100K followers and I’ll profit.” Truth is — follower count means nothing. Many signal sellers don’t even trade. They sell subscriptions, not setups. 🧠 Pro Tip for Beginners Track 30–40 trade ideas from different users (including old ones — they often hide losers). Ask yourself: Was the direction right? Was the entry filled? Was the setup realistic? That’s how you’ll grow as a trader. Trade smart, protect your capital, and stay sharp. Rendon1
Long
by Rendon1
1
EURUSD WEEKLY HIGHER TIME FRAME FORECAST Q3 W27 Y25EURUSD WEEKLY HIGHER TIME FRAME FORECAST Q3 W27 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly Order block identified ✅Daily Order block identified ✅4H Order Block identified 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Long
by JCFRGNT
EURUSD Will Go Down From Resistance! Short! Here is our detailed technical review for EURUSD. Time Frame: 2h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 1.177. The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 1.172 level. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1