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U.S. DOLLAR / EURO REFERENCE RATE

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USDEUX trade ideas

More upside for EUHi traders, Last week EU made a small correction to the downside but after that it went up again. This could be wave 3 (red). So if this is true, next week we could see more upside to finish wave 3 into the Weekly FVG. Let's see what the market does and react. Trade idea: Wait for the finish of a small correction down on a lower time frame to trade longs. If you want to learn more about trading with FVG's, liquidity sweeps and Wave analysis, then make sure to follow me. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis. Don't be emotional, just trade your plan! Eduwave
Long
by EduwaveTrading
USD Weakness Persists: Can EUR/USD Target 1.18? The EUR/USD exchange rate has continued to strengthen, breaking through the psychological barrier of 1.1600 during the intraday session, marking the first time it has reached this level since November 2021. The pair surged to an intraday high of 1.1630, driven by the confluence of a persistently weakening US dollar and enhanced economic resilience in the Eurozone. Technically, the EUR/USD currently exhibits a robust bullish pattern. If it can sustain above the 1.1600 threshold, it is poised to test the 1.1800 resistance zone. Conversely, a false breakout followed by a retracement below 1.1500 would warrant caution, as it may signal a attenuation of bullish momentum and potential reversal risks. Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
Short
by Ashbur
EURUSD 16 June – Technical Rebound or Liquidity Trap? EURUSD 16 June – Technical Rebound or Liquidity Trap? The EURUSD pair has shown sharp movements after testing key resistance near 1.1607. While the price action may appear bullish at first glance, deeper analysis suggests we might be facing either a continuation of the uptrend or a strategic liquidity hunt. 🌍 Macro & Fundamental Overview The ECB remains hawkish with rates still high, but recent commentary hints at a more dovish tone possibly leading to rate cuts in late Q3 2025. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve maintains its cautious stance, holding off on rate cuts due to sticky core inflation. This divergence in policy expectations creates a neutral to slightly USD-favorable bias, depending on upcoming economic data. ⏳ Bottom line: EURUSD remains in a choppy environment with compression–expansion cycles, and no confirmed macro-driven trend yet. 📉 Technical Outlook (H1 Chart) Price Structure: The pair is moving within a short-term ascending channel, but current price is testing the upper boundary. EMA Analysis (13/34/89/200): Still supports an uptrend, but flattening out — potential bearish crossover if price fails to hold. Key Resistance: 1.1607: Major resistance and local top (double rejection zone). Critical Support Zones: 1.15540: Minor structural support — a decisive level for intraday direction. 1.15261 & 1.14807: Unfilled FVG zones and liquidity pools that may get targeted if the price breaks lower. 🎯 Trade Setup Ideas 📘 Scenario A – BUY from 1.15540 support (bullish continuation) Entry: 1.15540 (upon bullish candle confirmation or strong bounce) Stop Loss: 1.15200 Take Profits: 1.15850 → 1.16070 → 1.16300+ ✅ Ideal if European sentiment remains positive or if USD weakens across the board. 📕 Scenario B – SELL if price breaks and retests 1.15540 Entry: 1.15540 (after a breakdown + rejection retest) Stop Loss: 1.15720 Take Profits: 1.15261 → 1.14807 → possibly 1.1450 ✅ Best used if USD gains strength or EUR shows weakness after economic releases. 🧠 Market Psychology The market is currently reactive to any shift in tone from ECB and Fed, causing price whipsaws near key zones. Smart traders will avoid chasing breakouts and instead focus on reaction zones like 1.15540 for confirmation-based trades. Watch for fakeouts, as institutional players may be hunting liquidity before choosing direction. 📌 Final Thoughts EURUSD is in a sensitive zone, and 1.15540 is the intraday pivot. Holding above could trigger a push toward 1.1607 and higher. But failure to hold would likely attract sellers toward the 1.1480–1.1450 liquidity range. 🎯 Discipline is key. Avoid emotional entries. Let the market come to your level — and execute only with confirmation.
Short
by MMFlowTrading
EURUSD InsightWelcome, subscribers! Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to hit the booster and subscribe! Key Points - On the 13th, Israel highlighted the risk of a broader conflict across the Middle East following Iran's retaliatory attacks in response to Israeli preemptive strikes on Iran’s nuclear facilities and key military targets. - The Bank of Japan (BOJ) is expected to announce a plan to slow the pace of government bond purchase reductions at its upcoming monetary policy meeting. - Political risk in the U.S. has intensified as protests condemning the Trump administration have erupted across the country. Combined with tax-related issues, the "Sell USA" sentiment is gaining momentum. Key Economic Events This Week + June 17: BOJ interest rate decision, U.S. May retail sales + June 18: U.K. May Consumer Price Index (CPI), Eurozone May CPI, FOMC meeting outcome + June 19: BOE interest rate decision EURUSD Chart Analysis The recent rally has extended up to the 1.16000 resistance level, which marks the trend high. It currently appears to be pulling back due to resistance at this level, and there's a strong possibility of a short-term decline toward the 1.13000 level. However, if the pair breaks above the current resistance, the short-term trend may shift bullish, potentially targeting the 1.17500 level. A new strategy should be established promptly to account for this scenario.
Short
by shawntime_academy
EURUSD| Riding the Real FlowInitially waited for price to return to my first POI — didn’t happen. Instead, price BOS’d and unlocked fresh liquidity. No panic. I’m not here to force old zones — I follow structure. Now we’ve got: ✅ 4H bullish momentum still active ✅ Fresh BOS creating new intent + liquidity ✅ 30M heavy bullish push showing strength ✅ Top-down alignment from 4H → 30M → 5M ✅ Mitigation + sweep + OB entry on deck That clean demand zone is holding value — I’m just staying patient, letting price do its thing. As always: “We sit. We wait. We strike.” When it aligns — I’m in. Until then, I’m chilling like the sniper I am. #SMC #JuicemannnFlow #TopDownMastery #ForexSniper #StructureTalks #InducementKing #EURUSD #RideTheMomentum #4HTo5M #LiquidityReads #FundedTraderMoves Bless Trading!
Long
by Juicemannn
EUR/USD Slips — Setup or Selloff?EUR/USD kicked off the week under pressure, hovering near 1.1540 during the Asian session. The drop comes as the U.S. dollar regains strength, driven by safe-haven demand amid rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. In times like these, the greenback shines — and riskier currencies like the euro naturally take a hit. If the situation escalates further, the pair could extend its decline in the near term. But let’s flip the perspective: while some see risk, others see opportunity. This dip might just be the pullback that buyers have been waiting for — especially if the fundamentals shift or tensions ease. Timing, as always, is everything.
Long
by Edward_TradingFX
EUR/USD 1H Analysis – Bullish Reversal Setup After a strong bearish push from the 1.16000 supply zone, price tapped into a high-probability demand zone (highlighted in grey) near the 1.15000 psychological level. The price action shows multiple bullish rejections from this zone, suggesting the presence of institutional buying interest. Key observations: Bullish Order Block: Price respected a bullish order block within the demand zone. Liquidity Sweep: Sell-side liquidity was taken just below the recent lows, indicating a potential manipulation before a move higher. Market Structure: Although the immediate structure is bearish, the reaction from demand shows early signs of a possible bullish reversal. Entry Concept: A long setup is anticipated from the current zone with potential continuation toward the previous high at 1.16000 (marked target). Risk Management: Stops can be placed just below the demand zone, targeting the imbalance and previous supply zone above. The dotted red arrow reflects the projected bullish move based on the smart money concept—buying from demand after liquidity sweep and targeting inefficiencies. This setup aligns with a smart money concept (SMC) approach: demand zone respect, liquidity grab, and a potential BOS (break of structure) forming. Would you like me to generate hashtags and a short caption for posting as well? 📈 EUR/USD 1H – Smart Money Precision Entry Liquidity swept ✅ Tapped into demand ✅ Institutional footprints spotted ✅ Now waiting for that bullish reversal to send us flying to 1.16000 🚀 #SmartMoneyConcepts #SMC #EURUSD #ForexTrading #OrderBlock #LiquidityGrab #PriceAction #FXTradingClub #MarketStructure #ReversalSetup #ForexSniper #TradingView #ForexAnalysis
Long
by sam_trades_smc
EURUSD | Bearish Bias Below 1.1450, Eyes on 1.1372EURUSD | OVERVIEW The pair maintains a bearish momentum as long as it trades below the pivot level at 1.1450, targeting the support at 1.1372. A clear break below this level would reinforce the downtrend, potentially extending the decline toward 1.1270. Alternative Scenario: A confirmed 1-hour candle close above 1.1450 would indicate a potential shift to a bullish trend, with upside targets at 1.1535, and possibly 1.1625. Support Levels: 1.1372, 1.1270 Resistance Levels: 1.1535, 1.1625
Short
by SroshMayi
Distribution Zone Triggered⏰ Timeframe: 15-Minute (M15) 💱 Pair: EUR/USD 📍 Event: Distribution Zone Triggered ‼️ 🔍 Market Structure Breakdown: 1️⃣ Accumulation Phase 🟨 📌 Smart money builds long positions 📌 Stops hunted below support 2️⃣ Manipulation Phase 🟦 📌 Liquidity grab above resistance 📌 Trap set for retail buyers 3️⃣ Distribution Phase 🟥 📌 Entry for institutional sellers 📌 Shift in order flow to bearish bias 📊 What’s next? 🔻 Price likely heading to lower demand zones 🔄 Expecting continuation move post-distribution 🧠 Powered by Smart Money Concepts + Wyckoff Logic 🎯 Trader's Tip: Always wait for confirmation inside distribution to avoid false entries! #EURUSD #DistributionZone #SmartMoney #WyckoffLogic #LiquidityGrab #SMCTrading
Short
by Greenfireforex
EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W25 D16 Y25EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W25 D16 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly order block ✅15' order block ✅1 hour order block ✅Tokyo ranges to be filled 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
EURUSD topped? This Elliott wave count says YES!In our previous analysis, we were EURUSD bearish, and although we are trading about 2 cents higher now than when that analysis was published, we are still convinced that these high hills are shortable. The pair, in our opinion, has finished a complete 5-wave Elliott formation earlier this week, and we prefer the short, with 2 targets that seem particularly interesting: 1. The flat correction target around 1.1065 2. The bottom of wave 4 of a lesser degree, at 1.0733, which is equal to, exactly & down to the pip, to the 61.8% retracement for the whole 5-wave sequence! We will continue to be bearish for as long as 1.1704 is not clearly penetrated. Whether the price penetrates 1.1704 & we give up, or, the market moves into our profit zone, we will post updates every week or so. Stay tuned!
Short
by Paid4X
EUR/USD Weekly Outlook | Harmonic Butterfly PatternHere is a professional TradingView publish description for your EUR/USD Weekly Butterfly Pattern Analysis: --- 🦋 EUR/USD Weekly Outlook | Harmonic Butterfly Pattern Pair: EUR/USD Timeframe: 1W (Weekly) Strategy: Harmonic Pattern Recognition – Butterfly Pattern Bias: Bearish Reversal Setup --- 🔍 Pattern Analysis: Butterfly Harmonic Pattern completed with precision at the 1.272–1.414 extension zone, forming the critical D-point near 1.14700. Price has reacted sharply from the PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone), aligning with a historical supply zone. Confluence from Fibonacci extensions: AB = 0.786 retracement BC = 0.382 to 0.886 retracement CD = 1.618 to 2.618 extension 📉 Bearish rejection expected from this high-probability reversal zone. --- 📌 Key Levels: PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone): 1.14500 – 1.15000 First Target Zone (Support Block): 1.11500 – 1.10500 Invalidation (Pattern Failure): Close above 1.15500 --- 📅 Projection: This weekly harmonic butterfly suggests a potential trend reversal or deep pullback. We may see EUR/USD targeting lower support as D-point gets respected. Watch for signs of weakness such as long-wick rejections, bearish engulfing patterns, or RSI divergence confirmation. --- 💡 Conclusion: EUR/USD is at a critical juncture. If the butterfly holds, this could be a high RR short opportunity for swing traders. Patience is key—confirmation on lower timeframes will validate entry. --- 📊 #EURUSD #ButterflyPattern #HarmonicTrading #ForexAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #SwingTradeSetup
Long
by Greenfireforex
EURUSD(20250616) Today's AnalysisMarket news: Trump: The United States may still intervene in the Iran-Israel conflict. If Iran launches an attack on the United States, the United States will "fight back with all its strength on an unprecedented scale." Iran and Israel should reach an agreement. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 1.1550 Support and resistance levels: 1.1674 1.1628 1.1598 1.1502 1.1472 1.1426 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 1.1550, consider buying, and the first target price is 1.1598 If the price breaks through 1.1502, consider selling, and the first target price is 1.1472
by NuggetsWarriors
$EURUSD Analysis | Bearish Confluences in PlayPEPPERSTONE:EURUSD The Fiber is currently testing multiple technical barriers, including the golden Fibonacci zone, channel resistance , and bearish harmonic patterns. A lower-degree double top has led to a potential bearish 2618 setup, suggesting short-term downside risk. 📉 Fractal Structure Zones 🔸 Daily fractal resistance (short-term): 1.1631 🔸 Weekly fractal resistance (mid-term): 1.1573 🔸 Intraday resistance (4H): 1.1569 🔸 Intraday support (4H): 1.1523 🔸 Daily fractal support: 1.1371 🔸 Monthly fractal resistance (long-term): 1.1213 🔸 Weekly fractal support: 1.1065 🔸 Monthly fractal support: 1.0177 A rejection below intraday support may validate the bearish setup, while a sustained break above daily resistance would question the harmonic scenario. Happy Trading, André Cardoso
Short
by Andre_Cardoso
EURUSD The Target Is UP! BUY! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for EURUSD below: The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.1504 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 1.1544 About Used Indicators: Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
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