USDEUX trade ideas
EURUSD Eyes Key Levels Ahead of DataFOREXCOM:EURUSD
EURUSD is trading within the 1.1680 – 1.1810 range 📊, continuing its upward momentum during the Asian and early European sessions 🌏⬆️.
⚡️ Markets are now focusing on potential trade negotiations with India and the EU 🤝, which could shape near-term currency moves and risk sentiment 🌐.
📈 Today at 12:30 p.m. UTC 🕧, the U.S. Jobless Claims report 📑 may trigger volatility across all USD pairs ⚠️. Stronger-than-expected data could delay Fed rate cuts 🕰️🔻 and push EURUSD below 1.1700 🩻, while weaker figures may weigh on the U.S. dollar 💵⬇️ and lift EURUSD above 1.1800 🚀.
👀 We will monitor these levels closely for potential breakout opportunities. Stay tuned for live updates!
EURUSD H1 I Bearish Reversal Based on the H1 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 1.1778, a pullback resistance.
Our take profit is set at 1.1758, an overlap support.
The stop loss is set at 1.180, a swing high resistance.
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Impulse completed?EUR/USD maintains its bullish trend intact after a sharp rally last week. The pair keeps consolidating gains as the 4-hour Relative Strength Index pulls back from overbought levels and price action is constrained within a 70-pip range, right below a nearly four-year high at 1.1750.
Today, price hit upside target at the 161.8% Fibonacci extension level of the June 10-12 rally at 1.1795. I Think we might see a correction for the eurusd as the impulse seems to be completed.
🇪🇺 EURUSD – Wyckoff Accumulation or Just Another Pullback?📅 Macro Outlook – Major USD Data Ahead
This week, EUR/USD is expected to remain sensitive to macro data, especially with key US CPI, PPI, and Retail Sales on the calendar. Any surprises could spark strong moves in either direction.
Key Events to Watch:
Tuesday, 15 July: US Core CPI & CPI y/y
Wednesday, 16 July: US PPI & UK CPI
Thursday, 17 July: US Retail Sales, Unemployment Claims
Friday, 18 July: US Consumer Sentiment & Inflation Expectations
⚠️ The dollar may strengthen on hotter CPI figures, or weaken sharply if inflation cools off more than expected.
📉 Technical View – Trend is Bearish, But Wyckoff Says "Watch Out"
At first glance, EUR/USD remains in a clear downtrend. A trend trader might consider selling near the current OB/Supply zone.
However...
We’ve identified a potential Wyckoff Accumulation pattern unfolding:
Price is transitioning from Phase B into Phase C
No confirmation yet, but Spring formation is possible
TPO profile from yesterday shows low liquidity above – which price may revisit to fill
🧠 Strategy for the Week:
Avoid entering shorts here, even if structure looks bearish
This is a high-risk zone for sellers due to potential Wyckoff Spring
Let price either break below and show weakness – or break above and confirm Phase D
📌 Key Levels:
1.1730–1.1760: If Phase C holds, this is the target for Phase D
OBS Zone: Currently being tested – not a safe short
1.1670 – 1.1650: Watch for Spring or breakdown
🗣 Analyst’s Note:
This is a classic case where trend structure and smart money logic conflict.
We're staying neutral until the market picks a side. Patience here will save capital – the best trades often come after Wyckoff Phase C confirms.
🔖 Suggested Title (Short & Hooked):
"EURUSD – Trend Sell or Wyckoff Trap?"
EURUSD NEW HIGHS?The 1h timeframe reminds me of this book, LIQUIDITY AND MANIPULATION.
"The markets need to generate liquidity in order to move, so if liquidity isn´t
already there, it will be created. So when new traders come in to forex and
learn about it for the first time, what they usually do is gonna be retail based
trading.
So support and resistance, chart patterns which are extremely popular in the
industry, and things of that nature.
So what some brokers do is they offer free education for their clients once we
start trading. Now this education will usually be retail methods support and
resistance. "
Thanks for this idea.
here is the chart relative to this, see the price above it will clear?
I have more on this kind of idea.
This is not a financial advice.
Follow for more .
trade it or see it.
Goodluck
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of July 11, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
In this week's trading session, as expected, the Euro continued its decline, reaching our Mean Support level of 1.168. Recent analyses suggest that the Euro is likely to experience a further downward trend, with the next target set at the Mean Support level of 1.160. However, it's essential to consider the possibility of a rebound toward the Key Resistance level of 1.181, which could lead to the completion of an Outer Currency Rally reaching 1.187.
EURUSD: Long Trading Opportunity
EURUSD
- Classic bullish setup
- Our team expects bullish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long EURUSD
Entry Point - 1.1685
Stop Loss - 1.1664
Take Profit - 1.1728
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EUR USD SHORT RESULT Price faked out of the resistance Trendline of the major 4HTF ascending range and showed signs of weakness in momentum and to the downside.
From where I took the short position, it moved down nice but the NFP news volatility took out my trailing stop. But overall moved in our direction 🔥
_THE_KLASSIC_TRADER_.
Thursday July 10th – EURUSDEURUSD didn’t give us any trade setups yesterday and is still respecting the short-term bearish trendline. Price has remained below 1.17500, acting as resistance, and hasn’t given confirmation for buys.
We’re still watching the same key zones:
✅ Safe buys: Above 1.17500 if we get a solid break and bullish close.
✅ HRHR buys: Retest of 1.16898 (Wednesday's low) showing rejection or support.
Until either of those levels are tapped, I’m not taking trades on this pair. Current structure still offers no low-risk opportunities. Let it come to us.
Dollar firms as tariff tensions resurface | FX ResearchAs US traders return from the Independence Day holiday, they'll find a stronger dollar supported by renewed trade tensions and geopolitical noise. Tariffs are back in focus ahead of Wednesday's deadline, with President Trump warning that countries aligning with BRICS policies contrary to US interests will face a 10% tariff.
Markets remain frustrated by shifting timelines as reciprocal tariffs are now pushed to August 1st. China has also announced retaliatory curbs on EU medical device imports, complicating its outreach to the Eurozone.
In Japan, real wages slumped 2.9% in May, underscoring inflation pressures ahead of key elections later this month. On a more positive note, Germany's May industrial production jumped 1.2% and the Eurozone Sentix survey beat expectations, though ECB's Centeno warned of downside risks to inflation and potential euro weakness.
In Sweden, faster-than-expected CPI data has cast doubt on near-term rate cuts from the Riksbank. Today is quiet on the data front in North America, but attention turns to ECB’s Holzmann for further policy clues.
Exclusive FX research from LMAX Group Market Strategist, Joel Kruger
EURUSD: The Market Is Looking Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 1.17341 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 1.17512.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
EURUSD: New-Week Technical Bias (Market Open)Multi-Timeframe Structural Outlook:
Higher Timeframes (Monthly, Weekly, Daily):
Market structure remains in a clear Ascend Sequence, reflecting an intact Buy-Side Bias Environment (BBE). Price action continues to build bullish structure, supporting an overall upward lean.
Lower Timeframe Technical Snapshot:
4H & 1H:
Current price consolidates within a well-defined Value Compression Phase (VCP) between 1.8297 – 1.7078, signaling temporary indecision and mixed short-term directional clarity.
Liquidity Mechanics & Trap Dynamics:
Recent Sweep Event targeting 1.7470 exploited a Trap Vector (TV), drawing price below perceived support to tap into underlying liquidity pockets within both a Price Inefficiency Zone (PIZ) and Bid Accumulation Zone (BAZ). Following this engineered sweep, price reversed, validating hidden bullish intent beneath the range.
Order Clustering Targets:
Expect clustered liquidity and potential price magnet zones at 1.8097 and 1.8192, representing logical upside attractions aligned with orderflow objectives.
Reaction Points:
VCP High (1.8297):
Break and sustained acceptance above signals potential Ascend Sequence continuation and broader bullish resumption.
VCP Low (1.7078):
Breakdown with intent below increases probability of a Trend Signature Shift (TSS), signaling bearish structure vulnerability and potential trend deterioration.
Summary:
Bullish on HT structures remains valid, but short-term bias is mixed pending confirmed resolution of the VCP range boundaries. Price behavior at the highs/lows of the compression zone will dictate next directional conviction.