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U.S. DOLLAR / EURO REFERENCE RATE

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EUR/USD | Bullish Reversal or Fakeout? Key Levels to WatchEUR/USD is approaching a critical resistance level, showing signs of potential bullish continuation. However, with key economic news expected today and tomorrow, volatility could increase, leading to sharp moves in both directions. Key Technical Insights: Imbalance Fill at 1.033 – Price may dip to this level before continuing higher, as the market tends to fill inefficiencies. Moving Averages Bullish Cross – A recent crossover indicates a possible shift in momentum, favoring the bulls. Testing Trendline Resistance – A breakout could confirm further upside, while a rejection may lead to short-term bearish pressure. Higher Lows Forming – Buyers are stepping in at higher levels, signaling bullish strength. Increased Volatility Expected – With upcoming news releases, we could see stronger price swings, making risk management crucial. What I’m Watching Next: A break above the trendline with strong volume could trigger a bullish move. A pullback to 1.033 may offer a high-probability long entry if bullish reactions appear. A rejection at resistance could lead to a short-term dip before another attempt higher. Market reaction to news events will be key in determining the next big move. What’s Your Outlook? With potential volatility ahead, do you see a breakout or another rejection? Share your thoughts in the comments.
Long
by TehThomas
2
EUR/USD Bullish Rebound Strong Support SignalEUR/USD is trading at approximately 1.0430. Your target price of 1.0630 suggests an anticipated upward movement of 200 pips, indicating a bullish outlook as the pair rebounds from a strong support level. Technical analysis indicates that EUR/USD has rebounded off multi-month trend support, with the pair now trading unchanged for 2025. This suggests that a breakout may be imminent, with key resistance levels to watch at 1.05 and 1.0573/87. A decisive move above these levels could pave the way toward your target price of 1.0630. Fundamentally, the European Central Bank (ECB) has implemented five interest rate cuts since June, with the possibility of up to three more reductions this year. This monetary easing stance aims to stimulate economic activity within the Eurozone. In contrast, the U.S. Federal Reserve has adopted a more cautious approach, indicating no immediate plans for rate cuts despite persistent inflation. These divergent monetary policies could influence the EUR/USD dynamics, potentially supporting a bullish scenario for the euro. In summary, the EUR/USD pair is exhibiting signs of a potential bullish breakout, supported by technical indicators and contrasting monetary policies between the ECB and the Federal Reserve. Traders should monitor key resistance levels and stay attuned to central bank communications to make informed trading decisions.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
2
EURUSD - H4, H1 forecasts, Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasIntraday forecast The downtrend is broken, and the price is in an impulse wave. Forecast: 1- Correction wave toward the Buy Zone 2- Another Upward Impulse wave toward Higher TPs SL: Below 1.0331 ________________________________ ❤️ If you find this helpful and want more FREE forecasts in TradingView, . . . . . Please show your support back, . . . . . . . . Hit the 👍 BOOST button, . . . . . . . . . . . Drop some feedback below in the comment! 🙏 Your Support is appreciated! Let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast. Have a successful week, ForecastCity Support Team
Long
by ForecastCity
19
EURUSD BEARGuys I tried 4 times but failed to give you 200 pips here on TV, last week. This trade set-up was Free, just like every #NFP this year... so next trade will be MARCH. But now I need to provide another trade for FEB, unlike last time, where the bear was inside the bull (second trade) trade. Unfortunately this second idea was pulled, along with the bull form last week. **All my fault for breaching rules** So here is my bear for eurusd as you have missed the bull which I mentioned was still viable just like the NZDUSD trade was before that was also pulled. We do have higher targets but this is a viable sell just as i have already announced... The FEB bull trade & whole progression is still documented... but I do not want this new idea to be pulled so no more waffle, you need to use your own brains... to find out if everything pictured was actually given out for free... inside this platform. Including last weeks 200 PIPS BULL payout. Thanks again for the chance to prove my structure. good luck gambling. I do this every NFP to show you MY structure placement is always 100%..... Good LUCK. I do not need LUCK.....
Short
by elitetechfx-daily
EURUSD - what to expect?Here is our in-depth view and update on EURUSD . Potential opportunities and what to look out for. This is a long-term overview on the pair sharing possible entries and important Key Levels . Alright first, let’s take a step back and take a look at EURUSD from a bigger perspective. For this we will be looking at the H4 time-frame and following our original analysis posted on February 4th (check image below). Now after we broke to the upside we are waiting to make a pullback on the pair (based on the H4 time-frame). As of now we are sitting on our hands and patiently waiting on the pullback to happen or possible reverses and join the uptrend. TVC:EXY has seen some strength last week regardless of the positive data for the TVC:DXY which gave back gains after U.S. President Donald Trump said in a social media post that he had spoken with Russian President Vladamir Putin about starting negotiations to end the war in Ukraine. This still holds positive weight on the EUR overall. Considering this, we can pre-plan some possible outcomes including both fundamental analysis and technical analysis. Scenario 1: BUYS at the break the highs (1.05140) - We broke above 1.05140. With the break of this level we can expect a possible move towards the upside without even creating a deeper pullback. The technical analysis and fundamentals would be on our side. Scenario 2: BUYS at the pullback (1.04360) - We came down to our PBA (Pullback Area) at around 1.04360. With the pullback completed and the price respecting this area, we could potentially see more upside on this pair from this KL (Key Level). Long-term buys at this price would be valid. Again technical and fundamentals analysis would both be on our side. KEY NOTES - EXY (EUR) showing strength after last week’s positive “news”. - Breaks to the upside would confirm higher highs. - Respecting our PBA (Pullback Area - 1.04360 would give us a buy opportunity. - Possible resolutions between Ukraine and Russia. Happy trading! FxPocket
by FxPocket
1
EUR/USD Technical Analysis – Bullish Harmonic Pattern in PlayThe EUR/USD 4H chart presents a bullish harmonic pattern, suggesting a potential upside continuation. Key Observations: 1️⃣ Bullish Harmonic Pattern: A Gartley/Butterfly pattern is forming, with point D projecting a potential upward move. The Fibonacci ratios at 0.678 and 0.776 retracements confirm the validity of this setup. 2️⃣ Support Zone (Green Box): Price is consolidating within this key support zone after a strong bullish impulse. Holding above this level increases the chances of a breakout to the upside. 3️⃣ Moving Averages Confirmation: Price is trading above the 50 & 200 EMAs, supporting a bullish bias. Potential Scenarios: 🔹 Bullish Breakout (Primary Expectation) If EUR/USD maintains support, expect a move towards 1.0650 - 1.0700. A breakout from the D point of the harmonic pattern would confirm further gains. 🔹 Bearish Breakdown (Alternative Scenario) A failure to hold the 1.0450 support zone could trigger a deeper retracement towards 1.0410 - 1.0380. Trading Strategy: 📌 Buy zone: 1.0450 - 1.0460 (Support Area) 📌 Target Levels: 1.0600 - 1.0700 📌 Stop-loss: Below 1.0410 for risk management. Will EUR/USD break higher or retest support? Let’s watch for confirmation!
Long
by Lana_Scalping
EURUSD / LONG / 19.02.25⬆️ BUY EUR/USD 19.02.25 💰 Entry: $1.04324 🎯 Goal: $1.05333 ⛔️ Stop: $1.04190 Entry reasons: 1) OSOK: — Week minimum was set on tuesday and price is moving to weekly open level with 15m bullish structure. — Month minimum was set at the first weekly of month and price is above monthly open level. 2) Eliott waves: — 1D: ABCDE — 4H: 1-2, wave 3 is forming. 3) Range: — Price is inside bullish weekly range — Price is inside bullish daily range (correction, 38-50%) 4) Addition arguments: — Testing of big cluster — Divergence (1h) — Downtrend is not confirmed by volumes (low effort and result). Therefore, it's manipulate to create swing point on wednesday. Goal is previous weekly high: $1.05333
Long
by focusprofit
EURUSD - BULLISH MOVE "Demand Zone Reaction"DXY IS BEARISH, as EUR is currently at a critical decision point—either confirming a bullish reversal from the demand zone or continuing the downtrend. Entry: Looking for bullish confirmation within the Demand Zone (1.03602 region). 🔹 Stop Loss (SL): Below the Demand Zone at 1.02006. 🔹 Take Profit (TP): TP1: FVG Midpoint (1.04500) TP2: Daily Resistance Level (1.05000) TP3: Full Liquidity Grab (1.06500+) 🔹 Risk-to-Reward (R:R) Ratio: 4R+ potential. 🔎 Trade Confirmation Criteria ✅ Bullish rejection wicks or engulfing candles in the demand zone. ✅ Liquidity sweep followed by a strong move up. ✅ Market structure shift to bullish on lower timeframes. ❌ Invalidation If price fails to hold the demand zone and breaks below 1.02006, it signals further downside, invalidating the trade idea. 🚨 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and risk management before entering trades. 🔔 What’s your bias? Are you looking to enter long or waiting for further confirmations? Drop your thoughts below! 🚀
Long
by vannix_sb
Basic Outline idea for the next week.Note- This Prediction is purely depending on Fundamentals & technical only Hi Friends my suggestion is the market can be expected to move to 1.05353 Level and come down for Liquidity grab/fag/retracement .But remember the area between 1.04251-1.03850 acts as a caution zone why ?? Its because of the fib retracement 1) If we trace from 2022 low to 2023 high This zone is the 50% zone. 2) if we take the Jan low to Jan high this zone acts as 30% zone. 3) from last week low to high this zone acts as mid for 30% as well as 50% For additional Info when ever the market is inside this range we could see high support and resistance taken place. so i would suggest to be cautious or if there is any strong fundamental the market could first resist 1.05353 and break then retest and go more higher using fundamental red folder news I wish you for a success full trading week.
Long
by shreyasflaming
1