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U.S. DOLLAR / EURO REFERENCE RATE

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EURUSD: Will Keep Falling! Here is Why: The charts are full of distraction, disturbance and are a graveyard of fear and greed which shall not cloud our judgement on the current state of affairs in the EURUSD pair price action which suggests a high likelihood of a coming move down. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Short
by UnitedSignals
1
EURUSD: The range is compressing in the sideway zone. Waiting foThe Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator on the 4-hour chart stays below 50 and EUR/USD failed to make a 4-hour close above the 20-period and 50-period Simple Moving Averages (SMA), reflecting a lack of buyer interest. On the downside, 1.1300 (static level) aligns as interim support before 1.1270-1.1260 (Fibonacci 238.2% retracement of the latest uptrend, 100-period SMA) and 1.1180 (Fibonacci 50% retracement). EUR/USD could face strong resistance at 1.1380, where the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement level converge with the 20-period and 50-period SMAs. In case EUR/USD manages to stabilize above this resistance, 1.1450 (static level) and 1.1500 (static level, round level) could be seen as next hurdles.
Short
by xauusd_rr
EURUSD April 25 Trade ExecutedEURUSD April 25 Trade Executed Framework for the this trade Previous session Price took buy side and was in a premium on the previous session. Price formed the ICT 2022 model. *liquidity taken *Price created a swing low *Price came back up to create equal highs in the hourly FVG and didn't want to go higher. *16:45 price creates a FVG *Price breaks down (Had price not been in the dealing range i would have entered a lot sooner however I wasnt sure if i can trade during that time, something for me to look into) * my desired entry would have been 1.13817 after the swing low was taken and price was break of structure on that candle *actual entry was 1.13722 *target was 1.13467 I have been back testing Asia when it presents these elements of this trade. Extremely happy about the delivery and very happy I finally trusted my analysis to execute!!! Bread and butter trade. 25 pips 1 hour.
by LeanLena
EURUSD April 24 Asia Hindsight TradeEURUSD April 24 Asia Hindsight Trade Logic for Framework Price expanded to the sell side previous session, taking equal lows it created. Price came down to the CE of the FVG during non trading hours. Tapped it and reacted to the upside. 15:15 candle crested a swing high 16:15 created a FVG 18:00 price accelerated away creating a FVG Watching the candles form I said if price comes down to test the FVG then I will buy it. 20:00 price tests the FVG and with energy moves away. Price was in a discount not wanting to to come back to fill in the 17:45 FVG just touches it, for the perfect entry. First Target was the 50 level 1.13754 Second target equal highs 1.13836 Boom price makes to both targets. this is building my confidence to trust my analysis and one day I will have the trust to press the button. Back tomorrow to try again. Great analysis and fantastic delivery!
by LeanLena
EURUSD Technical & Order Flow Analysis (Swing Trading)Our analysis is based on multi-timeframe top-down analysis & fundamental analysis. Based on our view, the price will rise to the monthly level. DISCLAIMER: This analysis can change anytime without notice and is only for assisting traders in making independent investment decisions. Please note that this is a prediction, and I have no reason to act on it, and neither should you. Please support our analysis with a like or comment!
Long
by dkb14246
1
EURUSD LONG POSITIONGreetings Traders this is my analysis for EURUSD and it is long Detailed Explanation: A clear upward trend. A series of higher lows and higher highs. Bullish momentum: At the beginning of March, a strong upward momentum starts. Consolidation Breakout: The breakout from the "Support Zone" confirmed that the buyers had taken control. Elliott wave structure: A wave structure is visible, this may be the end of the corrective phase and the beginning of a new impulse wave. Patterns and Structures Triangle pattern (bullish continuation): A nice symmetrical triangle after a strong jump, which is a typical trend continuation pattern. Triangle Breakout: Very strong and clean breakout with confirmation (candles with large bodies). "NOT RETRACEMENT": There was no deep retracement, indicating strong demand and potential for continued growth. Entry is most likely right after the breakout from the triangle (~1.1397). The RR (risk/reward) looks very good — more than 2:1, which is optimal. 📊 Key Levels 🔶 All Time High 2023 (~1,114): breached, now serving as new support. 🔴 SL zone (1.1259): logically placed below previous lows and triangle - good protection. 🟢 Target zone (1.1702): nicely positioned TP, in line with the projection from the breakout zone. Since a Higher High has already been formed, a short-term consolidation or flag pattern is expected before continuing towards the target.
Long
by Zaks_ForexRules
2
EUR/USD: Potential Downside Mouvement !!Price broke below the rising wedge support and retested the broken structure. Following the rejection, price continues lower, respecting bearish market structure. Focus is on the demand zones below as potential targets. If momentum holds, we can expect further downside toward the next liquidity areas. Not financial advice. #EURUSD #Forex #FX #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #SupplyAndDemand #Liquidity #SmartMoney #BearishTrend #ForexTrading #ChartAnalysis #WedgeBreak #SupportResistance #ForexTrader #SwingTrading
Short
by MrWolf10
The next EUR/USD move could pay twice:Forecasted Move: First, a bullish breakout towards the upper blue levels (around 1.14000–1.14193). After hitting resistance, a sharp drop is expected. Pullback (small retracement) near the green trendline. Then, a bigger bearish move targeting the lower yellow demand zone around 1.11600–1.12225. Key Levels Marked: Resistance: 1.14000 – 1.14255 Support: 1.12225 – 1.11600 Timeline: Major movements are expected between late April and early May (around May 6–8). Important Detail: You have drawn two phases — a fast move up (blue zigzag) and then a corrective drop (red zigzag). Watch out for news events around those dates (you've marked news icons too). --- Summary: You are expecting a false bullish rally, followed by a major bearish drop after May 6–7 on EUR/USD.
Short
by Greenfireforex
EURUSD Wave Analysis – 24 April 2025 - EURUSD reversed from support area - Likely to rise to resistance level 1.1510 EURUSD currency pair recently reversed up from the support area between the key support level 1.1300 (which also reversed the price at the start of April) and the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from March. The upward reversal from this support area stopped the earlier short-term ABC correction iv from the middle of April. Given the clear multi-month uptrend, EURUSD currency pair can be expected to rise toward the next resistance level 1.1510, which stopped the earlier impulse wave iii.
Long
by FxProGlobal
EURUSD Will Go Lower! Sell! Please, check our technical outlook for EURUSD. Time Frame: 2h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is approaching a key horizontal level 1.137. Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 1.129. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
Trading EURUSD AUDUSD NZDUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 22/04/2025We've executed 4 trades so far this week using the Judas Swing Strategy and in this write up, we're breaking down exactly how each one played out. We didn't get any trading opportunities on Monday but Tuesday gave us textbook setups on both FX:EURUSD and OANDA:AUDUSD , and if you’ve been following this series, you know the Judas Swing Strategy thrives where liquidity lies and manipulation gives way to opportunity. Tuesday’s price action on FX:EURUSD opened with familiar signs: ranging structure and liquidity building on both sides. By 09:05 EST, price made the typical fakeout a sharp move to the downside that swept the lows and trapped breakout sellers. This gave us confirmation to look for the real move, the reversal. Price broke structure to the upside, creating a Fair Value Gap. As expected, price retraced into that imbalance, and we executed the buy. Entry: 1.14677 SL: 1.14559 TP: 1.14913 Take profit was cleanly hit with minimal drawdown. No stress. No second-guessing OANDA:AUDUSD printed a similar setup. The fake move to the downside swept liquidity below an earlier low and shifted structure to the upside. We entered buy once price returned to fill the Fair Value Gap The trade nearly hit TP but reversed just shy of it, eventually stopping us out. Entry: 0.63868 SL: 0.63770 TP: 0.64064 It stung a little, but here's where our data-driven edge comes in. We follow a set-and-forget execution model because our backtesting shows that this approach works more in our favor than not. Situations like this will happen. Sometimes price dances around your TP before flipping. It’s part of trading The next day was a solid one using the Judas Swing strategy, this time across both OANDA:AUDUSD and $NZDUSD. Let’s walk through how the setups unfolded on Wednesday and why both trades played out almost identically in terms of narrative and structure. The session kicked off with a consolidation forming, setting up a clean range to be targeted. Liquidity had built up nicely above the highs and lows of the pre-market structure. Classic. As expected, once our session started, price punched higher, sweeping the buy-side liquidity above the early session range. This was our Judas move a strategic fakeout to trigger breakout longs and inject liquidity. But the key here is what came next. Price immediately stalled after the sweep and printed a clean break of structure to the downside. That shift was our clue that the buy-side move was done and the real selloff was likely on deck for OANDA:AUDUSD and $NZDUSD. Price pulled back into the Fair Value Gap (FVG) formed during displacement, giving us a clean entry setup: Entry: 0.64130 SL: 0.64360 TP: 0.63669 As soon as we entered, the trade moved with conviction minimal drawdown and a smooth ride into target but the OANDA:NZDUSD couldn't hit TP and the trade is still running
by CleoFinance
EURUSD, 24 abril Compra y proteger en 1-1.Trade Review – April 24: EUR/USD (Buy) Today I entered a buy trade on EUR/USD. The risk-reward ratio is set at 1:1, so I recommend protecting profits once it reaches that level. ⚠️ The pair may still move lower, so manage your risk carefully. If the trade reaches a 1:2 ratio, you may consider taking profits or partially letting it run. This is a trade taken under your own responsibility. I’m confident it will reach to winner and that’s why I’m sharing it. Warm regards.
Long
by edisonjavierrey
EUR/USD Explosion or Trap?EUR Futures Asset Managers: Strongly net long and continuously increasing since December 2024 → a clear sign of institutional confidence in the euro. Leveraged Money: Also rising, moving from net short to net long → sentiment reversal even from speculators. ✅ Interpretation: Both institutional categories are bullish on the euro, suggesting potential upward support for EUR/USD. USD Index Futures Asset Managers: Decreasing since the end of February → reducing long exposure on the dollar. Leveraged Money: Recovering from net short, but still uncertain → mixed sentiment. ⚠️ Interpretation: The dollar is structurally weakening. This reinforces the bullish bias on EUR/USD. 🧠 Technical Analysis – EUR/USD Weekly Chart Current price: 1.13150, right in the middle of a weekly/monthly supply zone, marked by upper wicks → clear seller presence. Price has made a strong rally from 1.03600, breaking through all intermediate supply zones. RSI: Slightly declining after previously reaching overbought territory. 📌 Key levels: Major support: 1.1000–1.1080 Structural resistance: 1.1350–1.1450 (current zone) 🧠 Technical Scenario: If price holds above 1.1250, we could see an extension toward 1.1500. If it breaks below 1.1200, a pullback toward 1.1080–1.1000 is likely. ✅ Trade Summary: COT bias: Bullish EUR/USD → strong EUR, weakening USD Technical: Watch price behavior in the 1.1350 zone → if rejection continues, expect a technical retracement before potential continuation. 🎯 Potential Setups: Long on pullback toward 1.1080 Breakout long above 1.1450 → targeting 1.1600 Short-term short if bearish price action appears in the current zone
by EdgeTradingJourney
1
The Day AheadWednesday 23rd April 2025 Key economic data includes April flash PMIs for the US, UK, Japan, Germany, France, and the Eurozone. These are important indicators of economic momentum and inflation pressures, with potential impact on FX, rates, and equities. In the US, March new home sales will provide a read on housing market strength. The UK reports March public finances, which could influence gilt markets and sterling. In the Eurozone, February trade balance and construction output data are on deck, offering insights into trade dynamics and sector-specific activity. Central bank focus is high. The Fed releases its Beige Book and features speakers including Goolsbee, Musalem, Waller, and Hammack. Markets will be listening closely for signals on rate expectations and regional economic trends. From the ECB, Knot, Villeroy, and Lane are scheduled to speak, potentially influencing eurozone rate expectations. From the Bank of England, Bailey, Pill, and Breeden will offer comments that could affect sterling and rate outlooks. Earnings are heavy and span key sectors. Notable names reporting include IBM, ServiceNow, Texas Instruments, Lam Research, Boeing, GE Vernova, Chipotle, O’Reilly Auto, Thermo Fisher, Boston Scientific, NextEra Energy, Newmont, Philip Morris, AT&T, General Dynamics, and Volvo. This mix provides important reads across tech, industrials, healthcare, and consumer sectors. On the fixed income side, the US Treasury will auction 2-year floating rate notes and 5-year notes. Watch for yield curve movements and demand signals, particularly given the dense schedule of Fed speakers. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation