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U.S. DOLLAR / EURO REFERENCE RATE

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USDEUX trade ideas

Bullish momentum to extend?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is falling towards the pivot which is a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is also a pullback resistance. Pivot: 1.1079 1st Support: 1.1075 1st Resistance: 1.1512 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
Bearish drop?EUR/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.1406 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 1.1433 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 1.1358 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
EUR/USD Potential buys from current zone or 1.12800My outlook for EU this week closely aligns with GU — both pairs are showing similar structure and direction. Price continues to form higher highs and higher lows, maintaining its bullish momentum. Following the most recent break of structure to the upside, EU has now entered a 9H demand zone, where I’ll be watching for signs of accumulation and potential entry as the market opens on Monday. If this current zone fails to hold, there’s a more discounted 9H demand zone just below, which could offer a cleaner long opportunity. Either way, both scenarios follow the pro trend, which adds conviction to the buy idea. Confluences for EU Buys: Price has broken structure to the upside and entered a clean 9H demand zone There’s another refined 9H demand zone just below for additional confirmation Plenty of upside liquidity remains untouched Structure remains bullish on the higher timeframes, making this a pro trend setup P.S. If price reacts well and continues pushing higher, I’ll be keeping an eye on the 7H supply zone above for any possible short-term bearish reaction. Wishing everyone a successful and disciplined trading week ahead!
Long
by Hassan_fx
EURUSD: heading toward double-top?The jobs data were in the spotlight of the US market during the previous week. The JOLTs job openings in April reached 7,391M, a bit hotter from market forecast of 7,10M. The Non-farm Payrolls in May added 139K new jobs, which was modestly higher from the forecasted 130K. The unemployment rate remained unchanged in May at the level of 4,2%. The average hourly earnings were higher by 0,4% for the month and 3,9% for the year. As for other posted data, the US ISM Manufacturing PMI for May was standing at 48,5, modestly below market estimate of 49,5. The ISM Services in May were standing at 49,9, lower from estimated 52,3. Previous week on the European market was marked with an eighth rate cut by 25bps, bringing the reference rate to 2%. Potential further rate cuts will continue to be data-driven. The ECB also cut its inflation forecast till the end of this year to 2%, from 2,3% forecasted previously. At the same time, the posted flash inflation rate in the Euro Zone in May is 1,9% on a yearly basis, which was below market estimate of 2%. The core inflation continues to be a bit elevated, standing at the level of 2,3% y/y in May. EuroZone inflation in May was 0% compared to the previous month. The Producers Price Index in the Euro Zone in May was down by -2,2% for the month, and 0,7% on a yearly basis. The balance of trade in Germany in April had a surplus of euro 14B, which was significantly lower from estimated euro 20,2B. During the previous week the currency pair was moving relatively slowly, within a short range. Fundamentals were shaping the investors sentiment. One one side, the ECB new cut of reference rates, while on the other side were relatively stable jobs data for the US market. The eurusd spent the previous week in a range between 1,1340 and 1,1450. There was a short move toward the 1,1490 on Thursday, but the market was not willing to test the 1,15 level on this occasion. Based on moves, the market is still not ready to move away from 1,14 lines. The RSI continues to move above the level of 50, indicating again that the market is not ready to take the path toward the oversold market side. The MA50 continues to diverge from its MA200 counterpart, without an indication of a potential change of course in the coming period. The week ahead is bringing US inflation data for May as well as inflation expectations from the University of Michigan survey. In case of some negative movements in this segment, the market reaction might be triggered. In this case it could be expected further weakening of the US Dollar against Euro, and a trigger for testing of the 1,15 level. Highs from April this year at 1,1570 might easily become the market target. However, if May inflation holds at levels expected by the market, which could be the most likely scenario, then some short term straightening of US Dollar might take place. The first stop would certainly be the 1,14 level, while the next one stands at 1,1275. It is interesting to mention higher potential for double top formation in the technical analysis, which eurusd is currently modestly forming. In case that the double top is triggered in the coming week or two, then the next level for eurusd could be 1,12 level, where highs from September 2024 stands. However, this scenario, if it occurs, could be revealed within the next few weeks. Important news to watch during the week ahead are: EUR: Industrial Production in April in the EuroZone, final inflation rate in May for Germany USD: Inflation rate in May, Producers Price Index in May, University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment preliminary for June.
by XBTFX
6
EURUSD Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow Analysis !In this video I will be sharing my EURUSD analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
by Transparent_Fx_Academy
32
EUR/USD - After taking the highs, are the lows next?The EUR/USD currency pair is moving between two important price levels. The top level is 1.1454 and the bottom level is 1.1357. This means the price is staying inside a range. Yesterday, the price of EUR/USD went above the top level of 1.1454. By doing this, it triggered many stop-loss orders from traders who were expecting the price to go down. These traders had placed their stop-losses just above this level, and the market moved up to take them out. Current support of the 1H FVG Now, the price is starting to go down again. It is getting closer to the lower level of the range, which is around 1.1357. There is a chance that the market will go below this level as well. If that happens, it may take out the stop-loss orders of traders who are expecting the price to go up. These traders often place their stop-losses just below the low point of the range. When the market goes below the low, it collects liquidity. In simple words, it grabs the orders that are waiting there. Looking at the chart, we can see that EUR/USD has found some support at the 1-hour Fair Value Gap (1H FVG). This area is acting like a short-term floor for the price. If a full 1-hour candle closes below this support area, then the price will likely fall further. In that case, it may reach the bottom of the range and possibly move below it to take out more stop-losses. Why below support? But why would the market go below the low on purpose? The reason is that many retail traders, those are small traders who trade from home, often put their stop-losses just below the recent low. If the market moves there, it activates those stop-losses. These stop-losses are usually sell orders, and when they get triggered, it gives the market extra selling power. After collecting this liquidity, the market often uses the new buying interest (from other traders entering long positions) to push the price back up again. Conclusion So in summary, the EUR/USD is still inside a range. It has already moved above the top to take out stop-losses, and now it might go below the bottom to do the same. After that, there could be a strong move upward, powered by the new liquidity in the market. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment!
by Youriverse
19
EURUSD Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow Analysis !Technical Breakdown: Rising Wedge Pattern ✅ Price was moving inside a rising channel (blue lines). This is often a bearish reversal pattern. Break of Structure 💥 Price broke the lower trendline + support zone — confirming potential downside momentum. Short Entry Zone 🟪 Purple box marks a premium entry zone (Order Block / Supply Zone) — where sellers are likely positioned. Stop Loss: 1.14781 🔺 (Above last high) Target: Key demand zone below (highlighted in grey) 🎯 --- 📦 Order Flow Perspective: Internal structure shows lower highs and lower lows forming. Expecting price to retest lower blue trendline, then drop to fill imbalance and hit demand zone below. --- 🗓️ Upcoming Events: Watch out for USD-related news near June 10 & June 14 — it may increase volatility 📊 --- 🧠 Summary: This is a classic bearish continuation setup. Entry after pullback = higher R:R potential. Patience and proper risk management are key 🔑 ---
by Greenfireforex
EUR/USD.2h chart pattern.(EUR/USD 2H chart pattern), here’s a breakdown of the target levels visible: 📉 Bearish Setup The chart shows a potential breakdown from an ascending channel, supported by: Ichimoku cloud showing price action moving through and below the cloud. Sharp red zigzag pattern indicating a forecasted price drop. Two marked target zones, highlighted with red horizontal lines and a large downward blue arrow. --- 🎯 Target Levels: 1. First Target: Around 1.12500 This is the first red horizontal line after the price breaks below the ascending channel. Likely a support or measured move target. 2. Second Target (Lower): Around 1.11516 This is the lower red line and currently shown on the live price marker on the chart. Could be the ultimate bearish target based on the measured height of the channel or prior support. --- These targets imply a bearish bias for EUR/USD if the price breaks and closes below the lower trendline of the ascending channel. Let me know if you want the stop-loss level, confirmation rules, or how to calculate similar patterns yourself.
Short
by RSI_Trading_point
8
Not Every Candle Needs a Reaction — I Know I’ve GrownThere was a time I thought I needed to react to every move. A clean candle? I’d enter. A minor imbalance? I’d take the risk. A zone that “looked okay”? I’d justify it. Why? Because I was chasing something. Chasing certainty . Chasing profit . Chasing control . But here’s the thing I didn’t understand back then: Not every candle needs a reaction. And not every move is my move. 🧠 Overtrading Wasn’t a Strategy. It Was a Symptom. It was a symptom of fear — fear of missing out (FOMO). It was a symptom of insecurity — not trusting my own process. It was a symptom of impatience — not letting the market come to me. I confused activity with progress. I thought being busy on the charts meant I was becoming better. But most of the time, I was just bleeding my edge. 💡 The Turning Point Growth didn’t happen because I learned a new indicator. It happened the moment I started asking myself: Is this my setup? Or am I just bored, hopeful, or triggered? When you define a clear trading plan, with criteria you believe in, the real test isn’t finding setups...it’s waiting for the right ones. Today, I can watch the market move beautifully without me and feel absolutely nothing. That’s freedom. That’s growth. That’s power. 🧘🏽‍♂️ From Reactive to Intentional Now, I focus on: Waiting for my specific SMC criteria to line up Sticking to my CRT model (PDL/PWH sweep → BOS → FVG) Trusting that missing one trade means nothing if I stay consistent Letting the market come to me I’m no longer in the game to prove something. I’m here to play my edge , manage my risk , and protect my mind. 📌 Final Words Growth in trading isn't loud. It doesn’t scream from a winning streak. It shows up quietly: in the trades you didn’t take. in the silence between setups. in the patience to do nothing until it’s time. So if you’re not constantly in a trade, that’s not weakness that’s wisdom.
Education
by Crusade1Jay
EURO-USD BUY STRONG 1. "EUR/USD Strong Buy Alert 🚀 | Key support zone holding firm – bulls eyeing the next leg up!" 2. "Strong Buy Zone ✅ | EUR/USD showing bullish momentum from this support level – eyes on 1.09+" 3. "EUR/USD Reversal Zone 💥 | Buyers stepping in strong – potential rally ahead!" 4. "Watch this zone! EUR/USD strong buy setup forming – bullish confirmation underway 📈" 5. "EUR/USD bouncing from key demand zone 🔥 | Technicals align for a strong buy signal!"
Long
by SadarExplore
EUR/USD TECHNICALS INTACT AS ECB AND U.S. DATA SET STAGE FOR VOLWith just minutes to go before the European Central Bank (ECB) announces its highly anticipated rate decision, market participants are maintaining a cautious stance. The EUR/USD pair remains relatively calm, reflecting a wait-and-see approach ahead of the official release. According to broad market consensus, the ECB is expected to implement a 25-basis point rate cut. This move would bring the key deposit rate down to 2.00% and 2.15% main refinancing rate, in response to the eurozone's recent disinflation trend. Following the rate announcement, ECB President Christine Lagarde is scheduled to hold a press conference, during which she is expected to provide detailed insights into the reasons behind the committee’s decision. Investors and analysts alike will closely scrutinize her statement for forward guidance particularly any indication of whether today’s cut is a one-off adjustment or part of a broader easing strategy going into the second half of 2025. On the other hand, U.S job report would be on the wire tomorrow by 4:30PM GMT +4, this data point also has the tendency to cause market volatility and as such, traders are advised to pay close attention. The pair has been trending upward on the 4-hour timeframe, forming a series of higher highs and higher lows while consistently respecting its ascending trendline and above EMA 50. Price is currently facing resistance around 1.1439, as traders await the next major catalyst, the ECB rate decision. LEVELS TO WATCH OUT: If the bullish momentum continues, a brake above 1.1439 would potentially target 1.1481 and 1.1547 according to analyst. On the flipside, if sellers’ step in and pushes prices down, a break below 1.1411, would potentially target towards 1.1367 which would have served as break of the trendline and then potentially tank to 1.1229 according to analyst. Breakout of these levels are not ruled out.
by CFI
Today's EUR/USD Trend Analysis and Trading RecommendationsThe EUR/USD is trading at the upper end of its recent range, having hit an intraday high of around 1.1440 and remaining near that level. The US Dollar strengthened in the early session due to optimism about the easing of Sino-US trade tensions, but later declined as European stocks fluctuated. Technically, the daily chart shows bulls remain in control, with the 20-day SMA rising gently at 1.1330. In the short term, the pair is range-bound around the 20-day SMA, yet to confirm a bullish breakout, while the 100-day and 200-day SMAs support the overall upward trend. EUR/USD buy@1.14200-1.14300 tp:1.14600-1.14900
Long
by EvanField
EURUSD Analysis (MMC Strategy) : Structure Mapping + Target🧠 Overview This analysis is based on the MMC (Market Mapping Concept), combining smart money principles, structure mapping, and price behavior analysis. EUR/USD has been showing strong bullish activity over the past few months, but we are now approaching a critical decision zone. Let’s break it all down. 🔹 1. Arc Structure – Accumulation Phase (Dec 2024 – Feb 2025) The chart starts with a well-defined Arc formation, signaling accumulation by large players. Price showed a series of higher lows within the arc, compressing volatility. This is where smart money quietly loads positions before pushing price. Key Insight: This arc often precedes an impulsive breakout, as seen next. 🔹 2. Central Zone Breakout (Feb – Mar 2025) The price exploded out of the arc, breaking through the central compression area. Marked as the Central Zone, this acted as both support and a launchpad. This phase included imbalance filling, reaccumulation, and clean price action. Observation: Notice the aggressive bullish candles—clear indication of institutional interest. 🔹 3. Structure Mapping & QFL Zone (April 2025) A classic QFL (Quick Flip Level) was formed after the initial rally. Price pulled back into a structure support zone, respected it cleanly, and bounced back. This gave a textbook smart money entry. Structure Mapping highlights how each leg of the trend is forming based on supply/demand reaction. 🔹 4. Major BOS – Break of Structure (May 2025) Price broke the previous swing high, giving us a Major Break of Structure. This BOS confirms a change in character (CHOCH) from ranging to trending. After BOS, the market retested the breakout zone—providing a second ideal long entry for continuation traders. 🔹 5. Minor Resistance Zone (Current Price) Currently, price is testing a Minor Resistance zone around 1.1400–1.1450. This level acted as resistance earlier and may slow price down temporarily. However, there’s still room for bullish continuation unless reversal patterns emerge. Key Watch Point: If price shows weakness here (e.g., rejection wicks, bearish engulfing), short-term retracement may follow. 🔹 6. Next Reversal Zone (Projected Target: 1.1700–1.1800) The green box above marks the Next Reversal Zone, based on historical supply, Fibonacci extension levels, and structure analysis. Expect this area to act as strong resistance unless momentum is very strong. This is a potential TP zone for long traders or an area to scout for short opportunities if reversal signals appear (divergence, order block rejection, liquidity grab). 📌 Key Levels Zone Price Range Role Central Zone 1.0800–1.1000 Support/Accumulation Minor Resistance 1.1400–1.1450 Immediate Hurdle Next Reversal Zone 1.1700–1.1800 Target / Short Setup QFL Zone 1.1100–1.1200 Smart Money Entry Point 🧠 Strategy Outlook ✅ Bullish Bias: Structure is clearly bullish. Buyers are in control. 🕵️‍♂️ Watch for Reaction at Minor Resistance – a clean break = continuation, rejection = short-term pullback.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
EURUSD BEAR - H1I have given out everything you see here for free.... Plus everything can be verified easily (TradingView Profile / Bio is all I am allowed to say). I do have a higher bear if you saw the rules... keep an eye on the solid swing (levels) Plus I do have a breakout BULL waiting if the bear structure fails. I have made this very simple. I trade the wicks every time. That's why I can roll stops to entry after TP 1 (Fixed at 1:1 +35P) All my levels have a tolerance of 15 PIPS... just like the banks. BUT I will not be adding more day trade levels (white bordered) (Intraday levels are dashed)
Short
by elitetechfx-daily
2
Elliott wave daily EURUSD update Elliott wave daily EURUSD update The price movement of the last few weeks requires a change and update of the wave count ______________________________________ upward movement from area 1.018/genuary 2025 to area 1.1580/april 2025 looks impulsive - minute wave ((i)). we are now in a corrective minute wave ((ii)) zigzag or flat or any double target area 1.1040/1.0800 area in the very short term level to monitor 1.1500 area over 1.1500 area a flat correction more likely ( to area 1.1570) note FX option expiries for 6 June 10am New York cut 1.1500 (EUR 3.19bn) 1.1400 (EUR 2.38bn) 1.1300 (EUR 1.28bn) FOREXLIVE
by francescoforex
EURUSDPrice has recently retraced to a key support zone and is showing bullish structure on the lower timeframes. A long position is anticipated based on the confluence of the Fibonacci retracement and recent bullish momentum. Entry: Buy EUR/USD at current market price or upon confirmation of bullish candlestick pattern near the 50%-61.8% Fibonacci retracement zone. Partial Take Profit: Secure partial profits at the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of the previous swing move. Final Take Profit: Trail remaining position toward the 100% extension or next significant resistance. Stop Loss: Below the 61.8% retracement or just under recent swing low for risk management. Rationale: Bullish order flow combined with Fibonacci confluence suggests a potential continuation move to the upside. Taking partial profits at the 50% level ensures capital protection while allowing room for extended gains.
Long
by mwananukachabota