EUR/USD continue with the UptrendOn EUR/USD , it's nice to see a strong buying reaction at the price of 1.11980 and 1.10840 .
There's a significant accumulation of contracts in this area, indicating strong buyer interest. I believe that buyers who entered at this level will defend their long positions. If the price returns to this area, strong buyers will likely push the market up again.
Strong S/R zone from the past + Uptrend and high volume cluster are the main reasons for my decision to go long on this trade.
Happy trading
Dale
USDEUX trade ideas
How Smart Money is Positioning in EUR/USD – 5 Scenarios UnfoldedLiquidity Maps & Trap Zones: EUR/USD 1H Breakdown
EUR/USD SMC Analysis – Scenarios Overview
1. Case 1 – Immediate Pump:
The market may pump directly from the current market price (CMP) and take out the external range liquidity resting above the current highs.
2. Case 2 – 15-Min Demand Reaction:
The market could react to the 15-minute demand zone , showing a bullish response and pushing higher toward the 1H supply zone .
3. Case 3 – Inducement & Distribution:
Combined with Case 2, the market may first mitigate the 15-minute demand , then take out the inducement (IdM ) near the 1H supply zone . From there, distribution may begin within that supply range, leading to a drop toward the discount zone .
This would likely involve a fake breakout to the upside (liquidity sweep), trapping buyers and hitting the stop-losses of early sellers before reversing sharply.
4. Case 4 – 1H CHoCH and Triangle Breakdown:
A Change of Character (CHoCH) may occur on the 1H timeframe directly from the current price, leading to a downside move. This scenario would also break the rising triangle pattern , triggering entries from price action traders and increasing market volatility as liquidity accelerates the move downward.
5. Case 5 – 1H Supply Rejection & Free Fall:
The market may react from the 1H supply zone and reject aggressively, resulting in a free fall all the way down to the previous CHoCH level , confirming strong bearish intent from premium to discount.
Thanks for your time..
EUR/USD Maintains Bullish Structure 5th Wave Extension UnderwayThe overall trend of EUR/USD appears upward when observed from a higher time frame, indicating that the 4th wave has completed and the 5th wave is in formation. Within the main 5th wave, sub-waves are developing, and it seems we are currently in the sub-wave of the 5th sub-wave. Once this sub-wave completes, the main 5th wave is also expected to complete.
The invalidation level for this structure is at 1.10920 . If the upward move continues as expected, potential targets could be seen around 1.14683 and 1.15894
Will EUR/USD Flag Its Way to the Next Level?4H Market Outlook – EUR/USD
After analysing the 4-hour chart, it’s clear that EUR/USD is riding a strong uptrend — and let’s be honest, we’re not sure how many accounts this rally has humbled so far! 😅
Currently, price is trading above a well-respected ascending trendline, which has provided solid support multiple times in recent sessions, further confirming bullish strength.
Heading into next week, we expect a shallow retracement toward the 38.20% – 50.00% Fibonacci zone, which would be a healthy pause before potentially completing one of several bullish continuation patterns:
• Bullish Flag
• Falling Broadening Wedge
• Falling Wedge
Once the pattern matures and price breaks out, don’t be surprised if EUR/USD says “hi” to our next upside target with confidence.
On the flip side, if price breaks below the ascending trendline, this could trigger a deeper pullback — first toward the 78.60% retracement, and if that fails to hold, we may see further downside toward 0% and even the 127.20% extension level.
⚠️ Always respect your risk management rules. They’re your trading seatbelt — protecting your capital and preserving your profits.
Happy Trading,
SpicyPips
EURUSD 30M CHART PATTFRNThis chart is a technical analysis of the EUR/USD currency pair on a 30-minute timeframe, showing a trading plan with key levels:
1. Entry Point (Short Position): Around 1.13922, marked with a red downward arrow.
2. Stop Loss: Slightly above the green resistance zone (around 1.14000), where the trade would be exited if price moves against the position.
3. Take Profit Levels:
First target: Around 1.12887 (horizontal blue line), which seems to be a support level.
Second target: Around 1.12612, a deeper support level, suggesting a larger move downward.
The overall idea here is a bearish reversal strategy after a price rejection from a resistance zone, anticipating a move back down toward support.
Do you want help analyzing whether this setup makes sense in the current market context or would you like help creating a similar plan?
EURUSD is in play as investors shift from the dollarEuro remains to be in focus along with other assets, as US markets lose attractiveness among investors, especially from China, who start to put more focus on European and Japanese bonds rather than US treasuries. The Euro had little to no reaction to the decline of the interest rate from the ECB: on the one hand, this rate cut was already priced in, on the other - the market didn't initiate any sell-offs despite the “weak” news for the Euro.
That points to a particularly strong sentiment for this currency, despite some cooling down of volumes on CME futures. Open interest for Euro Forex futures contracts, though, remains steady. The net position of commercial traders is dipping, but still far from the historical low.
Technically, the position of the price is higher than 3 daily volatility levels (ATRs) from the 20-day moving average on the daily chart, which makes this instrument a “momentum play”, and may lead to a further extension to the upside - presumably, after holidays.
Don't forget - this is just the idea, always do your own research and never forget to manage your risk!
DeGRAM | EURUSD Breaks the Downward Wedge📊 Technical Analysis
EUR/USD trades in a rising channel, holding support.
- Price broke out of a falling wedge and retested 1.1350, confirming bullish momentum.
- Resistance lies at 1.1500–1.1550.
✨ Summary
Confirmed wedge breakout support EUR/USD growth. Above 1.1350, targets: 1.1500–1.1550 and 1.1650–1.1840 medium term.
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EU SellsPrice traded into a 1 hour fair value gap, all the while taking out a range high created by the 1H 3AM Candle, out of my required purge key time. Might be a valid trade but it doesn't tick all the boxes for entry, sitting this one out even though it might be play out as anticipated, let's see what happens, in a nutshell, I'm bearish.
EUR/USD Buy SETUP 4H chart analysisNice catch spotting that bullish flag on the EUR/USD 4H chart!
Here's a quick breakdown of the trade idea:
Entry:
Buy @ 1.13700 (current market price based on the analysis)
Target:
TP @ 1.16400 — a solid upside potential of 270 pips
Stop Loss (Recommended):
Somewhere near the flag low, around 1.13000 to 1.13200
(Risk: approximately 50–70 pips)
Risk/Reward Ratio:
Roughly 1:4+, which is excellent if the breakout confirms cleanly.
The measured move from the flagpole supports this target. Watch for volume increase and confirmation candles to strengthen the setup.
Would you like a chart visual or a trade plan template to go with this
EURUSD InsightHello to all our subscribers.
Please feel free to share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to like and subscribe!
Key Points
- U.S. President Trump met with reporters at the White House and said, “I don’t like Fed Chair Powell. I’ve already made that clear. If I wanted to fire him, he would be gone immediately. I mean it.” He urged Powell to resign.
- It has been confirmed that Trump is blocking informal diplomatic channels with China and is insisting on a summit with President Xi Jinping.
- There have been speculations that the U.S. administration may insert pressure tactics on China into its trade negotiations with other countries. In response, a spokesperson from China’s Ministry of Commerce stated, “China firmly opposes any country achieving deals with the U.S. at the expense of China’s interests and will respond accordingly on equal footing.”
Major Economic Events This Week
+ April 21: Market holidays in Europe, Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, and the UK
+ April 23: U.S. April Manufacturing PMI, U.S. April Services PMI
EURUSD Chart Analysis
Due to a sharp rise, EURUSD has now reached the upper boundary of the upward trend. This area is a zone of overlapping resistance, making a breakout difficult. There is a high probability of a downward reversal, with the 1.12500 level being the most likely target for the next low. Until the 1.15500 resistance level is broken, the outlook remains bearish. However, if a breakout above 1.15500 occurs, we will promptly adjust our strategy.
Bearish reversal?EUR/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.1524
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Stop loss: 1.1667
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 145% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 1.1201
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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DeGRAM | EURUSD Bullish Breakthrough📊 Technical Analysis
- Uptrending channel
The chart shows stable price movement inside the ascending channel, where the price is bouncing off the lower support line and aiming for the upper one.
- Key resistance
The main barrier is fixed around $1.135. A breakdown of this level promises further growth.
- Predictive scenario
A solid breakdown of the resistance confirms the bullish bias, which may lead to further upside.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
The publication of key macroeconomic indicators (inflation, labor market data, PMI) may push the price to confirm the technical scenario. Stability in the Eurozone with positive data will contribute to growth, and favorable for the US - on the contrary, strengthening the bearish momentum.
✨ Summary
The technical picture in the form of an ascending channel with the key resistance at $1.135 is combined with positive fundamental factors. A breakdown of the resistance is a signal for the continuation of growth. Watch the news and macro data to confirm the scenario!
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EURUSD Analysis - Weekly Market Analysis This is my weekly market analysis, specifically for EURUSD
I share what I think is going to happen in terms of the PDA Matrix as it pertains to ICT concepts, as well as time considerations such as economic news events.
I hope you find it insightful in your trading.
- R2F Trading
EURUSD potential trendline breakout (LONG)Trading plan
Follow the trend
Bullish momentum
Enter long on confirmed trend line breakout
Confirm with bullish daily candle momentum
Price above its key Moving averages
Risk Management
Stop loss below recent swing low
Risk 1-2% of capital per trade
Calculate position size accordingly
Targets
Target 1: 1:1 risk-reward
Target 2: 1.5x risk or resistance level
Target 3: 2x risk or major resistance
EUR/USD: Still in Distribution Phase
The pair remains within Wave 4, which is likely unfolding as a sideways correction — possibly a triangle (cT, bT) or flat (FI, EFL, RFL, or d3).
Once the final leg down completes, I expect an impulsive Wave 5 — a culmination move — with upside potential toward the 1.10–1.12 zone.
Let’s see how it plays out.
EURUSD Has Been consolidating Serval session A next EURUSD movement what's next target.
EURUSD has been consolidating for several sessions now after making a strong impulsive move to the upside earlier this month. Since support the 1.2150 level, momentum has started to slow up and price is beginning to range near the recent highs. That alone isn’t surprising strong impulsive moves are almost always followed by periods of consolidation or retracement as the market pauses, takes profits, and revaluates.
Resistance zone 1.14000 / 1.14700
Support 1.12000
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EURUSD Is Bullish! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 1.093.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 1.114.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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