Bears to Dominate the Euro @1.2000 Handle The ECB is set to deliver another 25 basis points (bps) cut after the April policy meeting, reducing the benchmark rate on the deposit facility to 2.25% from 2.5%, with the disinflation process remaining on track. That being said, my Short-Term Outlook: Euro Likely to Decline
Lower interest rates reduce the returns investors can earn from euro-denominated assets (like bonds), making the euro less attractive globally.
Because this cut was expected, a small decline might already be "priced in." However, if the ECB hints at more cuts to come or shows a dovish tone, the euro might fall further.
My first TP for this week and early on Next week will be
1st Tp @1.2000 zone
2nd Tp aggressive traders with trailing sl.@1.10560 handle
good luck
USDEUX trade ideas
EUR/USD...up 4h candle formed a bullish flag pattern...Nice catch spotting that bullish flag on the EUR/USD 4H chart. Here's a quick breakdown of your trade idea:
Entry:
Buy @ 1.13700 (current market price based on your analysis)
Target:
TP @ 1.16400 — That’s a solid upside potential of 270 pips
Stop Loss (Recommended):
Depending on the flag low, maybe around 1.13000 to 1.13200 (risk: ~50–70 pips)
Risk/Reward Ratio:
Around 1:4+, which is excellent if the pattern breaks cleanly.
If this breaks out as expected, the measured move from the pole could support your target. Keep an eye on volume and confirmation candles.
Do you want a chart plotted for this, or a trade plan template?
More upside for EUHi traders,
Last week EU finished the correction (orange) wave 4 and after that it went up again for wave 5 (orange).
As you see price made a three wave impulse so wave 5 could be an ending diagonal or wave 4 becomes a Triangle.
In both cases we could see some more upside next week.
Let's see what the market does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for a change in orderflow to bullish, an impulse wave up and a correction down on a lower timeframe to trade longs.
If you want to learn more about trading with FVG's, liquidity sweeps and Wave analysis, then make sure to follow me.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave
HelenP. I Euro can make correction movement to $1.1150 pointsHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. After testing the upper boundary of the ascending channel, the price showed signs of slowing momentum. Earlier, the price steadily climbed within the upward channel, forming consistently higher lows while bouncing from the lower trend line and support zones. During its rally, the price also reclaimed the 1.0950 level, turning it into a solid support zone, and continued higher with minor consolidations along the way. Eventually, the pair reached the resistance trend line at the top of the channel, where sellers began to show activity. This zone aligned with previous local highs and acted as a point of reversal. Following the rejection from the top boundary, the Euro formed a local high and started to flatten, indicating reduced bullish pressure. Now the price is trading slightly below the resistance trend line and remains inside the upward channel. Given the current structure and the latest price action near the upper edge, I expect a downward movement from this zone. My current goal is the 1.1150 points, which aligns with the midline of the channel and a key technical level from recent consolidation. This bearish scenario is supported by the reaction from the upper boundary and the potential for correction within the channel range. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
EUR/USD OUTLOOK (READ CAPTION BELOW)As of April 17, 2025, the EUR/USD currency pair is exhibiting a cautiously bullish technical outlook, though broader market sentiment remains mixed.
Forecasts
Short-Term: Analysts suggest that if current trends persist, the EUR/USD could reach 1.14754 in the near term .
April 2025: Projections indicate a potential rise to 1.16024 by the end of April, marking a 10.6% monthly gain .
Technical Outlook:
From a technical perspective, the EUR/USD has surpassed key resistance levels, with the next significant resistance anticipated around the 1.14754 mark. On the downside, support levels are observed between 1.12789 and 1.12600, areas that previously acted as resistance.
Market Sentiment:
Market sentiment indicates a strong bullish trend for the EUR/USD pair. Technical analysis suggests a "Strong Buy" recommendation on both daily and weekly timeframes.
Boost & Comments to Inspires me to share more Analysis with you.
UR/USD Breakout or Fakeout? Key Levels to Watch!EUR/USD just broke into a major supply zone around 1.13820 after weeks of consolidation.
But here's the twist — is this a true breakout or a bull trap?
I'm watching for:
A rejection from the supply zone = short setup
A clean breakout with strong candle close = long continuation
Targets: 1.08881 and possibly down to 1.03594 if bulls fail to hold!
Fundamentals + technicals align this week with high-impact EUR & USD news incoming (see bottom-right news icons).
This could be the move we’ve been waiting for!
Chart powered by LuxAlgo + S&D zones.
Let me know your bias in the comments — Bull or Bear?
#StaySharp #TradeSmart
EURUSD H4 I Bearish Drop Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price has just reacted off our sell entry at 1.1530, aligning with the 127.2% Fibo extension.
Our take profit will be at 1.1426, a pullback support level.
The stop loss will be placed at 1.1624, above the 161.8% Fibo extension.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
EUR/USD Short 17/04/25Price had been consolidating and we failed to make a higher high while making lower low and breaking structure to the downside. Selling pressure is mounting. Currently testing the lower high. Red folder Eur news will likely be priced in overnight or be the catalyst for the sell into 1.12250.
EUR/USD 1H CHART PATTERN The EUR/USD pair appears to be showing signs of a bearish shift after a strong upward trend. Based on current price action and structure, we can outline the following insights:
Structure & Pattern Insight:
The chart shows the formation of a rising channel or ascending wedge, a classic pattern that often signals exhaustion of bullish momentum.
The price has now broken below the lower trendline, indicating a likely reversal or correction in the near term.
Trend Change Confirmation:
Lower highs and lower lows are starting to form, which supports the idea that bears are gaining control.
The recent break below short-term moving averages and the Ichimoku Cloud reinforces a downward bias.
Key Price Levels:
Target 1: 1.11804 – This is a key support level from previous structure; likely the first take-profit zone if the downtrend continues.
Target 2: 1.10700 – A stronger support zone and potential deeper retracement level, aligning with a longer-term demand a
EURUSD Is Going Down! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 1.136.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 1.127 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
EURUSD 15/4/25Our outlook for the euro this week is bullish, just as it was last week. Orion indicates that further bullish momentum is likely, and continued weakness against the US dollar is also probable. We now have a COT bias showing more long positions being placed than shorts, aligning with the principles and rule set we always follow here.
We're looking for the lows to be taken out — including the high-volume low and any subsequent liquid lows beneath it — while keeping the probability of longs from these areas as the most likely movement. If we're aiming for the high — the highest point printed in 2025 — that would be our next target.
Following that move, there’s a chance we could see a pullback that may take us below the liquid points we’ve highlighted, given that the market is relatively overextended to the upside. But as we always say, we should expect price to go higher than expected before any reversal. Our bias is clearly long, so why would we go against that?
Follow your rules, manage your risk, and always let Orion lead the way.
EURUSD - Sometimes It's Best To Let The Market Come To YouWhenever you feel yourself chasing price action, that's the sign and signature that your not that disciplined and you lack patience.
Especially in low resistance conditions that we are seeing with EURUSD, you do not want to make a mistake or you will get your face ripped off!
Gun to my head, I would want to see 1.16165 delivered and see the daily SIBI become a balanced price range but I am also cautious about the potential of a retracment back down into the 3-month SIBI....
USD remains weak across the board. EUR, GBP & JPY Bullish.Not much action due to the extended market break and Easter weekend but I expect more USD selling across the board in the coming weeks ahead.
Long positions are sitting tight but two areas I am keeping an eye on are 1.1200 as a base support and 1.1500 as the resistance hurdle we need to clear in order to open up the gates to 1.2000+
GBP/USD is still a bullish case for me as the short term resistance may be cracking and I'm still expecting for the JPY to advance against the USD.
It's good to get a break from the market volatility but I surely expect it to resume in the coming week!
Good Luck & Trade Safe!
EURUSD A Fall Expected! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for EURUSD below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.1389
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 1.1377
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURUSD: Strong Growth Ahead! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 1.13895 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️