EUR/USD – 1H Chart SetupMarket Phase: Distribution
Trade Bias: Bearish Breakdown
We’re currently observing a distribution phase on EUR/USD, with well-defined support and resistance levels. A breakdown below Support Level 2 will trigger our short entry, confirming bearish momentum.
📌 Trade Setup Details:
🔹 Entry (Sell Stop): 1.13080
🔹 Stop Loss (SL): 1.13600 (above Support Level 1)
🔹 Take Profit 1 (TP1): 1.12560
🔹 Take Profit 2 (TP2): 1.12040
🔹 Lot Size: 0.19
🔹 Risk/Reward Ratios: 1:1 and 1:2
🔹 Risk: $200 💸
🔹 Reward: Up to $300 💰
This setup is based on a clean structure break, expecting downside continuation after the distribution completes. We’ve marked the key zones on the chart and are waiting for confirmation through a support break.
Keep an eye on price action and volume near the entry to validate the breakdown.
#EURUSD #ForexTrading #BearishSetup #DistributionPhase #PriceAction #SupportResistance #TradeSetup #RiskReward #BreakdownTrade #ForexSignals #1HChart
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USDEUX trade ideas
EURUSD: Bears Are Winning! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 1.14198 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 1.13966.and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W24 D10 Y25EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W24 D10 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly order block
✅15' order block
✅4 hour order block
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Euro will correct a little and then continue to move up nextHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Observing this chart, we can see how the price entered to upward channel, where it at once dropped from the resistance line to the support line and then started to grow. In a short time price rose to the 1.1210 level, broke it, and even rose a little more, but soon turned around and declined to the support line of the channel. Then the Euro made an upward impulse, and then broke the 1.1210 level one more time and continued to grow inside the channel. Later price reached the resistance line of the channel and then corrected, after which, in a short time rose to the support area, breaking the 1.1400 level. But soon the price turned around and dropped to the 1.1210 level, thereby exiting from channel. Next, Euro continued to grow inside the wedge, where it rose to the current support level and soon broke it. After this, the price rose to the resistance line of the wedge and then corrected, after which it made an upward impulse. Price exited from the wedge, and now I think that the Euro can make a correction, after the rise, and then continue to grow next. That's why I set my TP at 1.1560 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
EUR/USD – Bearish Setup with Potential Drop Toward 1.1285 and 1.EUR/USD is showing signs of exhaustion near the 1.1475 Fibonacci extension level (127.2%), with a completed five-wave impulse pattern likely followed by an ABC correction.
🔻 Bearish Scenario:
A clear 5-wave Elliott structure suggests a top might be in.
Price is now losing momentum, indicating the start of a corrective move.
If selling continues, 1.12850 will be the first key level to watch.
A break below that could open the door for a deeper correction toward 1.12286.
📉 Momentum Support:
The Detrended Oscillator shows a loss of bullish momentum, aligning with the corrective structure expectation.
🔴 Invalidation:
A break back above 1.1475 would invalidate the bearish count and suggest trend continuation.
This setup favors short opportunities on breakdown confirmation with targets at the next major supports.
EIRISD H1 I Bearish Reversal Based on the H1 chart, the price is rising toward our sell entry level at 1.1418, a pullback resistance.
Our take profit is set at 1.1379, a swing low support.
The stop loss is set at 1.1456, a swing high resistance.
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EUR/USD Long📍 Entry (Buy Limit):
1.1085
This is just above the 1.1000 psychological level but below previous minor structure at 1.1100.
Captures a shallow retest without risking being front-run by liquidity sweeps.
🛑 Stop Loss (SL):
1.0910
Below consolidation zone and wicks around 1.10
Provides enough space beneath the major breakout level while staying tight for R:R
🎯 Take Profit Targets:
TP1: 1.1500 (Previous weekly resistance, already tested but not broken)
TP2: 1.2000 (Next clean monthly structure level)
TP3 (macro): 1.2400 (Upper range of long-term channel, highly reactive zone)
⚖️ Risk/Reward:
Risk: ~175 pips
Reward:
• TP1: ~415 pips
• TP2: ~915 pips
• TP3: ~1,315 pips
R:R = 2.4 to 1, 5.2 to 1, 7.5 to 1
Sideways movement on EURUSDEURUSD continues to trade within the range set by Friday’s news.
Tomorrow’s upcoming news is likely to trigger bigger moves.
Until then, there’s no clear reason to enter new positions.
Keep an eye out for potential trend continuation opportunities once the current correction ends.
Based on the provided EURUSD 4-hour chart, here's a simple tradeCurrent Situation:
The price is currently at 1.13869, trading within a resistance zone (indicated by the pink shaded area around 1.13700 - 1.14000).
Previously, the price reacted strongly to this area, leading to a significant drop.
There's a clear upward trend leading into this resistance zone.
Potential Trade Scenarios:
1. Short Entry (Bearish Reversal):
Rationale : The price is at a significant resistance level that has caused a strong bearish reaction in the past. If this resistance holds, we could see a repeat of the previous downtrend.
Entry Signal: Look for clear bearish candlestick patterns (e.g., engulfing pattern, pin bar, or rejection candle) forming within or just below the resistance zone (around 1.13700 - 1.14000) . A break and retest of the lower boundary of this resistance could also be an entry.
Target: The next major support zone appears to be around 1.11748 - 1.12000.
Stop Loss: Place the stop loss just above the current resistance zone, perhaps around 1.14200 - 1.14500 , to account for potential false breakouts.
2. Long Entry (Bullish Breakout Continuation):
Rationale: If the current bullish momentum is strong enough to break through this resistance, it could signal a continuation of the upward trend.
Entry Signal: Wait for a confirmed breakout above the resistance zone (e.g., a 4-hour candle closing clearly above 1.14000 - 1.14200). A retest of the broken resistance as new support would offer a higher-probability entry.
Target: The next major resistance level is not immediately visible on this chart, but you would look for the next supply zone or previous swing highs.
Stop Loss: Place the stop loss below the broken resistance, which would now act as support, perhaps around 1.13500.
Key Considerations Before Entry:
Confirmation: Do not enter solely based on the price reaching the zone. Always wait for a clear candlestick confirmation or a break and retest.
Volume (if available): Higher volume on a breakout or rejection can add conviction to the move.
News Events: Be aware of any upcoming high-impact news events that could affect EURUSD.
Risk Management: Always define your stop loss and position size before entering any trade.
Trading Signals for EUR/USD buy above 1.1393 (200 EMA - 6/8 Early in the European session, the euro is trading around 1.1422, undergoing a technical correction after reaching the psychological level of 1.15.
The US Non-Farm Payrolls dat will be released in the American session, and strong volatility will hit the market. If the market reacts favorably to the US dollar, it could continue to pressure the EUR/USD pair.
On the other hand, if the data comes out negative for the US dollar, we could expect the to recover and could reach the 7/8 Murray level at 1.1596.
The indicator is showing a negative signal, so we believe that if the euro falls below the 6/8 Murray level in the coming hours, it will be seen as an opportunity to sell, with targets at the 200 EMA around 1.1290.
In the past, 1.1470 has acted as strong resistance, so we believe a technical correction could occur below this area this time. Therefor, we should be alert to see if the price consolidates below this level in order to sell.
EUR/USD Reversal Imminent? 5 Powerful ReasonsEUR/USD – Tactical Bearish Outlook Ahead of Key Reversal
EUR/USD is approaching a critical inflection point where multiple technical and fundamental signals are aligning to suggest a potential short-term reversal.
📉 1. Price Action & Technical Structure (1W / 1D)
The pair recently completed a clean bullish structure inside an ascending channel, originating from the 1.0600 demand zone and reaching into the key supply area between 1.1400–1.1550.
Recent price behavior indicates:
A weekly candle with a strong upper wick, signaling institutional rejection.
A visible RSI bearish divergence, showing weakening momentum.
The most recent daily candle broke below the channel, suggesting a potential swing high.
Implication: A short-term reversal is likely, targeting the 1.1180 zone, with an extended move potentially reaching the 1.1050–1.1000 area.
🧠 2. COT Data – Institutional Positioning
USD Index:
Non-Commercials increased longs (+823) and slightly increased shorts (+363) — net bias still bullish USD.
Commercials also added to longs, further confirming institutional accumulation.
→ USD strength building.
EUR Futures:
Non-Commercials reduced longs (-1,716) and added shorts (+6,737).
The net long position in EUR continues to weaken.
→ Increasing risk of EUR retracement.
📅 3. Seasonality – EUR/USD in June
EUR/USD tends to be neutral to bearish in June.
The 5- and 10-year averages show consistent early-month declines, supporting a short bias in the first two weeks.
📊 4. Retail Sentiment
Sentiment is currently evenly split (50/50).
However, more volume is positioned long — a potential contrarian signal.
→ A break in this balance may trigger volatility and directionality.
🧭 5. Macro Context
Eurozone is facing stagnation, with falling inflation and weak growth.
U.S. data remains stronger, supporting the Fed’s “higher for longer” narrative.
→ This divergence favors a stronger USD in the near term.
✅ Trading Outlook
📉 Current Bias: Bearish (corrective)
📌 Short-Term Target: 1.1180
📌 Mid-Term Target: 1.1050–1.1000
❌ Invalidation: Weekly close above 1.1460
🎯 Strategy: Look for intraday rejection confirmations and sell pullbacks, in alignment with HTF structure and institutional flows.
EUR/USD | 15M TF Analysis Here is what I will be looking for on the 15M timeframe. We broke structure to the downside. I will want to see price come up and take out the built up liquidity, tap into the supply zone I marked out, drop down to the lower time frame and see if it offers an entry to sell back down to the swing low.
If you like this analysis, please hit that like and follow button! Trade Safe! -Remzy
EURUSD: Local Bullish Bias! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 1.14158 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 1.14327 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
WILL EUR CONTINUE TO RALLY AHEAD OF THE IMPORTANT NFP DATA?EUR/USD – WILL EUR CONTINUE TO RALLY AHEAD OF THE IMPORTANT NFP DATA?
📈 EUR/USD IS AT A CRITICAL POINT AHEAD OF KEY ECONOMIC DATA
Amid the ongoing pressure on the US Dollar and macroeconomic factors supporting the Euro, EUR/USD might continue its short-term bullish trend. However, key data such as US CPI and central bank meetings could determine the direction for this currency pair moving forward.
🌍 Macroeconomic Overview & Market Sentiment
USD & DXY: The US Dollar continues to weaken due to signals from the Federal Reserve (Fed) that they are not in a hurry to cut interest rates. DXY has fallen below the 99 level, with macroeconomic factors showing a continued bearish trend for the USD.
Eurozone: The ECB (European Central Bank) is maintaining a slightly tight monetary policy. However, the Eurozone economy is showing signs of recovery, with positive data from the region.
US Economy: Forecasts for the US labor market data could impact the USD and lead to volatility in the EUR/USD pair. All attention is on the reports from the US this week.
📊 Technical Analysis (H1 – H4 – D1)
EMA 13/34/89/200: The EMA indicators on the H1 and H4 timeframes support the current bullish trend for EUR/USD in the short term. In particular, the EMA 13 and EMA 34 are crossing above the EMA 200, signaling a strong upward trend.
Wave Structure: EUR/USD is currently in a corrective wave after testing the strong resistance level at 1.1450. A recovery signal is emerging around the support level at 1.1380, which could present a buying opportunity in the short term.
Fibonacci Expansion: The Fibonacci extension levels at 1.1470 and 1.1490 could be the next targets if EUR/USD breaks through the 1.1400 resistance zone.
⚡ Key Levels to Watch
Resistance: 1.1450, 1.1470, 1.1490, 1.1500
Support: 1.1380, 1.1350, 1.1320, 1.1300
🧭 Trading Scenario
🔵 BUY ZONE: 1.1380 – 1.1365
SL: 1.1340
TP: 1.1420 → 1.1450 → 1.1470 → 1.1490
🔻 SELL ZONE: 1.1450 – 1.1460
SL: 1.1475
TP: 1.1420 → 1.1400 → 1.1370 → 1.1350
✅ Summary
EUR/USD is currently in a short-term bullish trend and could continue to rise if the support at 1.1365 holds. However, key economic data from the US, especially CPI and central bank meetings from the Fed and ECB, could impact the next direction for this pair. Traders should keep an eye on important support and resistance levels to identify safe trading opportunities.
EUR/USD 4H – Potential Quasimodo + Bearish Divergence SetupCurrently monitoring EUR/USD for a potential sell setup based on several strong technical confluences:
⸻
🧠 Price Structure: Possible Quasimodo (QM) Pattern
• The chart is showing early signs of a Quasimodo pattern (QM) formation.
• Left Shoulder and Right Shoulder are developing, with a higher high (false break) between them.
• The recent Dominant Break above 1.14948 could be a liquidity grab — classic in QM setups.
• Price appears to be retesting the right shoulder area, signaling potential for a bearish reversal.
⸻
📉 AO Indicator: Bearish Divergence as Confirmation
• Clear bearish divergence between price action and the Awesome Oscillator (AO):
• Price made a higher high, but AO printed a lower high.
• This signals weakening bullish momentum — a powerful confluence for a potential drop.
⸻
⚠️ Confluences for Sell Setup:
1. ✅ Potential QM Pattern forming
2. ✅ Dominant Break followed by a potential right shoulder retest
3. ✅ Strong bearish divergence on AO
4. ✅ Price failing to break and close strongly above recent high (~1.1494)
⸻
📍 Sell Trade Plan (if confirms):
• Entry Zone: Around 1.14400–1.14600 (right shoulder zone)
• Stop Loss: Above previous high (~1.15000)
• Take-Profit Options:
• TP1: Previous structure support around 1.13600
• TP2: Deeper support zone ~1.13000–1.12700
• TP3 (Aggressive): Full QM target near 1.12100 (as marked on the chart)
⸻
⏳ Wait For:
• Bearish rejection or momentum candle on 4H or 1H
• AO to cross below 0 or accelerate red bars for extra confirmation
⸻
💡 Conclusion:
EUR/USD is showing signs of a bearish reversal with a textbook QM setup supported by AO divergence. If the right shoulder holds and bearish momentum kicks in, this could offer a high-probability short opportunity.
Correction on EURUSDAfter Friday’s news, EURUSD reached 1,1368.
Make a note of the news candle and wait for a breakout.
If the retracement continues, the next key support level is 1,1317.
Important USD-related news is expected this Wednesday.
Watch for potential trend continuation setups and avoid rushing into new trades.