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U.S. DOLLAR / EURO REFERENCE RATE

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GpPa Model / EUR/USD Dynamic Limit Order Long EntryGpPa Analysis / Entry Justification under the GpPa Model *The Analysis is the same as the conservative and dynamic entry* The main entry is conservative, so, the analysis remains beside this part: A long entry can be considered at the strong minimum, but I'll not go too far with the SL or TP. It can be used as a hedge if you're holding a position that performs well as the US Dollar does (like Magnificent 7 or other shorts in x/USD currency). Beside that, I'll consider this position the riskier of all. 1. Liquidity a. Liquidity Related to Structure The price’s liquidity is distributed within a relatively narrow range, marked by several highs and lows and a false manipulative bias (indicated as internal liquidity in a lighter color). This liquidity distribution suggests a long-term and mid-term bearish trend (notably from the M3 and M1 timeframes backward) that has weakened in the short term, evolving into a chaotic structure. b. Liquidity Related to Directionality The diagonal liquidity—responsible for driving the price to manipulate highs and lows—is more pronounced at the highs. However, the directional bias appears to favor mitigating the lows. c. Decision Regarding Liquidity Recent price action indicates the development of a retracement. This retracement could either continue the bearish trend or lead to a range-bound structure due to an exhausted bearish trend. 2. Trajectory / Direction (Structure) a. Coefficient of Trajectory, Direction, and Validation (-41.20%; -58.80%) 19.10% These coefficients confirm the signals derived from the liquidity analysis. While the price shows a clear long-term and mid-term bearish trend, the opposing validation factor may indicate an exhaustion of the retracement—or even of the trend itself—thus reinforcing the possibility of a range-bound market. 3. Entries a. Conservative Entry The VWAP is placed alongside an additional FRVP at the major fractal preceding the M1 structure to define a conservative entry. Once positioned, this setup confirms the bearish character and the established range, allowing the identification of a high-probability entry at the manipulated high. This entry is validated by: - Long-term volume - A high-probability VWAP zone for shorts within the range - A long-term order block (M1) i. Coefficients of the Conservative Entry - Fractal Quality Coefficient: 50.00% - Entry Quality Coefficient: -19.82% - Entry Probability: -50.00% - Stop Loss Probability: -100.00% - Take Profit Probability: -50.00% The entry is highly likely to be mitigated over the long term, with the conservative analysis expiring on March 25, 2025. Although the quality is decent, it is not optimal since the evaluation was based solely on the VWAP. The Stop Loss is set at 2 ATR from the last manipulated high (calculated from the median of the data) and is strongly protected by volume, two highs, two order blocks, and the VWAP level. This setup reflects an extremely optimistic scenario for the euro, which does not fully align with recent fundamental news—suggesting that a significant move would be necessary to breach this level. The Take Profit should be seen not as a final objective but rather as a target for partial profit-taking and for moving the stop to breakeven once the objective is reached. 4. Other Comments - The price is currently in a zone that attracts little interest from swing traders. As of February 10, 2025, the price is in a well-developed retracement, which discourages taking shorts lightly. - A long trade might be considered at the manipulated minimum below the structure; however, given the euro’s recent fundamentals and the prevailing long-term and mid-term bearish trend, such a trade should only be executed with carefully adjusted Stop Loss and Take Profit levels. Do you like my analysis? Follow me on social media: thewayofrichie Let's trade, Richie
Long
by ricardo_ndns
EURUSD CHART ANALYSIS 1HOUR NEXT MOVE POSSIBLE This is a technical analysis chart of the EUR/USD currency pair on a 1-hour timeframe from TradingView. The chart includes: 1. Support Zone (Red Area at the Bottom) – This indicates a demand zone where price has shown buying interest in the past. 2. Resistance Level (Blue Line at 1.04110) – A key price level where the price previously struggled to break above. 3. Forecasted Price Movement (Black Arrows) – The chart suggests a bullish (upward) move, with an expectation of a pullback before a strong rise towards the 1.04110 resistance level. 4. Economic Events (Icons with U.S. Flags) – Indicating upcoming U.S. economic data releases, which may impact price movement. This analysis suggests that if EUR/USD holds above the support zone, it could move towards the resistance level. However, market conditions and fundamentals will also play a key role. Are you looking for specific insights related to this setup?
Long
by DavidHills110
EUR/USDThe EUR/USD daily chart continues to respect its broader downtrend , with price action failing to sustain bullish momentum. The pair is currently trading around 1.031, struggling to hold above key support levels. The moving averages (50 EMA - orange & 200 EMA - red) remain bearish, indicating that sellers are still in control. The MACD indicator reflects weakening bullish momentum, as the MACD line is crossing below the signal line, which could confirm a continuation of the downward move. Additionally, the RSI (Relative Strength Index) at 43.13 suggests that the market is still in bearish territory but not yet oversold. A break below 1.0300 could accelerate losses toward the psychological level of 1.0000 , while any short-term bullish reaction is likely to face resistance at 1.0395 - 1.0440. Until we see a clear breakout or trend reversal, the bias remains bearish, with sellers looking to dominate below key resistance levels.
Short
by alejandrofernandezp_
2
Euro can drop to support level, exiting from pennantHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. When analyzing the chart, it’s clear that the price initially climbed to the resistance level, which overlapped with the seller zone, but immediately bounced back and dropped to the support level. Shortly after, the Euro broke through the support level, falling below the buyer zone. However, it quickly reversed and began rising within an upward channel. Within this channel, the Euro broke the 1.0265 support level and performed a retest, consolidating near that level for a while before continuing its upward momentum. Eventually, the Euro reached the resistance level, broke through it, and moved up to the resistance line of the channel, ultimately exiting the channel. Afterward, the price formed its first gap and started declining within a pennant pattern, where it soon broke the 1.0435 resistance level. Later, the price created a strong second gap, dropped below the support level, and hit the pennant's support line. From there, the Euro began rising again, breaking the support level once more and climbing back to the resistance level. However, not long ago, the price fell back to the pennant’s support line, creating a third gap. In my view, the Euro can attempt to rise to 1.0360 before dropping back to the support level and exiting the pennant pattern. For this reason, I’ve set my take-profit target at the 1.0265 support level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Short
by LegionQ8
4
Tarrifs or no Tarrifs As we are getting closer to February 1 which is the new deadline of the tariffs to Mexico and Canada(25%) everyone is, nervous whether he has a long or short position. Since we own you want to tweet or just a single word from Trump, and your position can get liquidated basically. As expected a Fed maintained the interest rate I do believe it's due to the fact that they also accounting for impact of the tariffs. But in case of the Tariff , will be withhold, most likely the Euro will skyrocket 1,5-2% and I wouldn't be surprised if it's would happen right after they open on the next week Sunday. tomorrow the European Central Bank will make his decisions about the interest rates most likely they will cut another 25 basis point, but in the current price it's already baked in, so the next movers will be the tariffs. GL
Short
by ElGatoTrade
3
EUR/USD 4H | Elliott Wave Triangle Formation & Potential Wave 5"This idea explores an Elliott Wave setup for EUR/USD on the 4H timeframe. The pair is forming a contracting triangle, which is likely completing Wave 4 of the impulsive wave sequence. Key levels to watch: Invalidation level (upside): 1.06776 Invalidation level (downside): 1.03492 If the price holds within the triangle and breaks downward, Wave 5 could target the lower support zone near 1.00169. However, a breakout above 1.06776 could invalidate this bearish scenario. This setup highlights the importance of patience and discipline, waiting for confirmation before entering trades. Monitor key levels closely and adjust your strategy accordingly.
by Greenfireforex