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U.S. DOLLAR / EURO REFERENCE RATE

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Euro Surges as Dollar Falters Amid Political TensionsThe EUR/USD pair is experiencing a strong rally, breaking above the 1.1760 level — its highest point in two weeks as of Tuesday. This sharp move not only signals the Euro’s recovery strength but also highlights the impact of heavy selling pressure on the US dollar. The driving force? Ongoing trade tensions, coupled with rising uncertainty surrounding the escalating feud between President Trump and Fed Chair Jerome Powell, are shaking investor confidence in the stability of US monetary policy. As a result, the dollar is losing its safe-haven appeal, paving the way for EUR/USD to climb higher. If this bullish momentum holds, the next key target for the pair could be around 1.1800.
by Kevinn_Nguyen
EURUSD | Time For A Pullback?The week kicked off with strong impulsive moves to the upside, leaving no room for deeper correction. Then slowly from Wednesday, we started to see a decline in strength in the bullish run. Now, with price edging toward the next swing low for a possible bearish change of character, is this a good way to ride the stream to the downside? Keep your A-game on as we watch price unfold, and trade reactively to price movement. Do not forget to guard your capitals with risk management. Good luck traders. 👍 Follow me for more and more of these analyses. See you on the next one. 🫡
Short
by MiratonicFx_Trading
3
EURUSD – The Comeback is Real! After weeks trapped in a descending channel, EURUSD has broken out in style, launching into a clean bullish channel. Price is now carving a staircase of FVG zones, with momentum clearly favoring the bulls. What’s fueling the fire? Flash Manufacturing PMI from Europe beat forecasts Eurozone consumer confidence improved Markets pricing in dovish Fed as jobless claims dropped but inflation expectations stall As long as price stays above 1.1750 and respects the ascending channel, the 1.1850 zone is well within reach. Strategy: Buy the dips inside the bullish channel. FVGs act as stepping stones for further upside.
Long
by Rocky_trade_
EUR/USD 6E Futures Risk Management: Navigating Macro Divergence As Risk Manager at WaverVanir International, I’m constantly evaluating asymmetrical setups where macroeconomic divergence aligns with technical structure. The current EUR/USD trade is one such instance—an evolving case of volatility compression within a descending triangle, positioned beneath key resistance at 1.1730. 🔻 Bias: Bearish 🧮 Structure: Daily lower highs + descending triangle 📉 Key Break Level: 1.1612 (horizontal support) ⚠️ Invalidation: Daily close above 1.1730 📊 Probability: 65% likelihood of downside continuation into August, driven by USD real yield strength and ECB rate path lag We’re managing this trade with dynamic risk protocols: 🔐 Option hedge overlay for tail protection 🎛️ Exposure throttle post-FOMC volatility 💡 VolanX protocol flags 1.1530 and 1.1360 as likely liquidity pools if 1.1612 gives out 🧠 Remember: It's not about being right—it's about being protected when wrong. — This post is part of our ongoing commitment to transparency, system-level discipline, and volatility-aware macro execution. #WaverVanir #VolanXProtocol #MacroTrading #RiskManagement #6EFutures #EURUSD #OptionsFlow #InstitutionalTrading #ForexStrategy
Short
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
EURUSD Trading Price Channel, SELL Strategy✏️ OANDA:EURUSD H4 Timeframe EURUSD is trading in a bearish channel. This bearish channel may extend to the important support at 1.145. A break of this important support will form a Downtrend. Further upside recovery will remain limited by the channel, with the notable upper boundary at 1.16800. 📉 Key Levels Sell trigger: rejection from 1.168 with bearish confirmation Sell DCA: Break 1.155 Target: 1.145 Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.
Short
by VHT_Trader
10
EURUSD may rally after breaking through resistanceThe correction against the global bullish trend is reaching the trading range boundary, but the bulls are not giving up. A struggle is forming, as can be seen from the price trading in the 1.155 - 1.165 zone. A rebound from 1.163 and a breakout of resistance could strengthen demand and lead to growth. Bears are trying to keep the price below the downward resistance, but attempts to break through the line (retests) are continuing, which only increases the chances for a further rally. The following fundamental nuances are equally important: prices are rising amid preparations by the EU for possible retaliatory measures in response to Trump's threat to impose 30% tariffs. Tomorrow, Fed Chairman Powell will speak (hints on interest rates), and on Thursday, the ECB will announce its decision (interest rates are likely to remain unchanged).
Long
by AndeWave
7
EURUSD SELLEUR/USD stays defensive below 1.1800 ahead of ECB decision EUR/USD remains in a bullish consolidation mode below 1.1800 in European trading on Thursday. Traders refrain from placing fresh bets ahead of the European Central Bank policy announcements and the US preliminary PMI data. Mixed PMI data from Germany and the Eurozone failed to trigger a noticeable reaction. The EUR/USD pair retreated from a fresh two-week peak at 1.1781 posted during Asian trading hours, hovering around 1.1750 ahead of the European Central Bank (ECB) monetary policy announcement. The US Dollar (USD) edged lower on the back of risk appetite, amid headlines indicating a trade deal between Japan and the United States (US). US President Donald Trump announced in a post on social media a trade deal with Japan that sets "reciprocal" tariffs at 15% on Tuesday, while Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba acknowledged the trade agreement on Wednesday, saying it would benefit both sides. Trump shifted his attention to the European Union (EU), noting that if the Union agrees to open up to US businesses, he will then charge lower levies. Meanwhile, the Hamburg Commercial Bank (HCOB) published the preliminary estimates of the July Purchasing Managers’ Indexes (PMIs). European growth stands at its highest in almost a year according to the surveys, as the Composite PMI rose to 51.0 in July from 50.6 in Jun,e while beating expectations of 50.8. As for the ECB, the central bank announced its decision to keep the benchmark rates on hold, as widely anticipated. The interest rate on the main refinancing operations, the interest rates on the marginal lending facility and the deposit facility stood at 2.15%, 2.4% and 2%, respectively. The headline had no impact on EUR/USD, which kept trading at around 1.1750. Right afterwards, the US released Initial Jobless Claims for the week ended July 19, which improved to 217K from the 221K previously posted and the 227K anticipated. Coming up next is ECB President Christine Lagarde's press conference, and the US S&P Global preliminary July PMIs. SUPPORT 1.17118 SUPPORT 1.16767 SUPPORT 1.16316 RESISTANCE 1.17937 RESISTANCE 1.17703
Short
by Mark804
EUR/USD LOSS❌ EUR/USD Loss – Part of the Process We were in this trade for 4 days before price made a sharp move against us, taking out our stop. No strategy wins every time—and this is one of those times. But losses like this are easier to handle when you have a rules-based system like the VMS strategy behind you. It’s built to: Filter only high-probability setups Keep emotions out of decision-making Win more than it loses over time 📌 This wasn’t a bad trade—it was a trade that didn’t work this time. Big difference. We stay focused. We stay patient. And we keep showing up.
by darlwright
EUR/USD Rises to 2.5-Week High Ahead of ECB MeetingEUR/USD Rises to 2.5-Week High Ahead of ECB Meeting Today at 15:15 GMT+3, the European Central Bank (ECB) will announce its interest rate decision, followed by a press conference at 15:45 GMT+3. According to Forex Factory, the main refinancing rate is expected to remain unchanged at 2.15% after seven consecutive cuts. In anticipation of these events, the EUR/USD exchange rate has risen above the 1.1770 level for the first time since 7 July. Bullish sentiment is also being supported by expectations of a potential trade agreement between the United States and the European Union. According to Reuters, both sides are reportedly moving towards a deal that may include a 15% base tariff on EU goods entering the US, with certain exemptions. Technical Analysis of the EUR/USD Chart From a technical perspective, the EUR/USD pair has shown bullish momentum since June, resulting in the formation of an ascending channel (marked in blue). Within this channel, the price has rebounded from the lower boundary (highlighted in purple), although the midline of the blue channel appears to be acting as resistance (as indicated by the arrow), slowing further upward movement. It is reasonable to assume that EUR/USD may attempt to stabilise around the midline—where demand and supply typically reach equilibrium. However, today’s market is unlikely to remain calm. In addition to the ECB’s statements, volatility could be heightened by news surrounding Donald Trump’s unexpected visit to the Federal Reserve. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1