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U.S. DOLLAR / EURO REFERENCE RATE

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EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Feb 7, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: During the trading session on Monday of the current week, the Euro reached the Key Support level of 1.024 and brushed off the completed outer Currency Dip at 1.020. This movement was followed by a significant rebound, establishing a new Mean Resistance level at 1.040, which is expected to be tested in the forthcoming trading sessions. Conversely, the prevailing downward movement may prepare the price action for a subsequent decline if the anticipated rebound fails to materialize. This may lead to a revisit of the completed Outer Currency Dip at 1.020, further engaging with the Mean Support level at 1.030 and the Key Support at 1.024, ultimately progressing toward the specified outer Currency Dip target of 1.005.
by TradeSelecter
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Feb 21, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: This week, the Euro reapproached our designated Mean Resistance level of 1.050 and reversed its upward momentum. This trend indicates a continuation of the downward price movement, establishing a new support level marked at 1.042. Further declines may materialize, with potential targets including Mean Support at 1.030, a weaker Key Support at 1.024, the completed Outer Currency Dip at 1.020, and the outermost target Outer Currency Dip at 1.005. Contrariwise, should the anticipated downward correction not transpire, the Eurodollar may experience an upward rally, possibly revisiting the Mean Resistance level of 1.050 and subsequently engaging with the Inner Currency Rally target of 1.060.
by TradeSelecter
EURUSD BUY TRADE SETUP🔥 Scenario 1: BUY Setup – If Smart Money is Reaccumulating (Valid IF price retraces into demand zone and confirms bullish continuation.) 📌 Key Confluences for Buys: ✔ HTF Bullish Structure Shift (BOS) Confirmed Above 1.0450. ✔ Unmitigated Bullish Order Block (OB) at 1.0400 - 1.0420. ✔ Liquidity Grab Below 1.0400 Triggers Smart Money Entry. ✔ Discount Zone (1.0350 - 1.0400) Ideal for Institutional Buys. ✅ Buy Plan Entry Zone: 1.0400 - 1.0420 (Institutional Demand Zone). Stop Loss (SL): Below 1.0350 (Safe from stop hunts). Take Profits (TPs): TP1: 1.0480 (Break-Even Point). TP2: 1.0500 (Liquidity Target). TP3: 1.0550 (Extended Target). Trade Type: Swing / Reaccumulation Play. Confidence Level: HIGH (If liquidity grab confirms). 🔹 Execution Strategy: ✔ Option 1: Aggressive Buy → Limit Order at 1.0400. ✔ Option 2: Confirmation Buy → Wait for BOS above 1.0450, then enter on pullback. ALTERNATIVE: 🔥 Scenario 2: SELL Setup – If Smart Money is Distributing (Valid IF price sweeps above 1.0500 and rejects bearish.) 📌 Key Confluences for Sells: ✔ Bearish Order Block (OB) at 1.0500 - 1.0550. ✔ FVG at 1.0480 - 1.0500 That Needs Mitigation. ✔ Sell-Side Liquidity Below 1.0350 – Next Target Zone. ✔ If 1.0350 Breaks, Extended Target = 1.0300 - 1.0250. ✅ Sell Plan Entry Zone: 1.0500 - 1.0550 (Institutional Supply Zone). Stop Loss (SL): Above 1.0570 (Safe from stop hunts). Take Profits (TPs): TP1: 1.0400 (First Liquidity Pool). TP2: 1.0350 (Major SSL Target). TP3: 1.0300 - 1.0250 (Extended TP). Trade Type: Intraday Short / Liquidity Grab Setup. Confidence Level: MEDIUM (Needs Confirmation at Supply Zone). 🔹 Execution Strategy: ✔ Option 1: Aggressive Sell → Limit Order at 1.0500 - 1.0550. ✔ Option 2: Confirmation Sell → Wait for bearish BOS under 1.0450, then enter on pullback. 🚨 STRICT SMART MONEY RULES 🚨 🔴 NO BUY IF: Price fails to reclaim 1.0400 (Risk of further downside). No liquidity grab occurs below 1.0400 (Means Smart Money hasn’t accumulated). 🔴 NO SELL IF: Price fails to sweep 1.0500 - 1.0550. Price aggressively breaks back above 1.0570 (Confirming bullish momentum). 🔥 FINAL INSTITUTIONAL DECISION – TRADE OR WAIT? 🔸 Ideal BUY: If price sweeps 1.0400 and reclaims bullish. 🔸 Ideal SELL: If price sweeps 1.0500 and rejects bearish. 🔴 NO TRADE? If price stays between 1.0450 - 1.0500 (No liquidity grab). 💡 Summary: Trade Like Banks, Not Retail! ✔ Smart Money ALWAYS operates around liquidity grabs and inefficiencies. ✔ We never force trades—we let price confirm its direction first. ✔ Institutional patience = Institutional profits. 💯 Now, we WAIT and EXECUTE like a hedge fund! 🚀🔥
Long
by jibkhan111
EURUSD long 3.67RR1. Downtrend Reversal: The price was initially in a downtrend, as indicated by the descending trendline. 2. Breakout Confirmation: The price broke above the 1-hour trendline, signaling a potential trend reversal. 3. Buy Limit Strategy: Instead of entering immediately, a buy limit order was placed at a key support zone after the breakout. 4. EMA 21 as Support: The price respected the 21 EMA, confirming bullish momentum. Strong Bullish Move: After triggering the buy limit, the price surged upwards, resulting in a profitable trade. 5. Risk Management: Stop-loss was placed below a key support zone, minimizing risk while allowing room for price fluctuations.
Long
by jamesprivado20
EUR/USD Market Update: Bullish Momentum in Play CAPITALCOM:EURUSD We just updated our analysis according to the latest price action. Today's move gave us solid confirmation of the bullish trend. The market pulled back to 1.04276, touched our support level perfectly, and then bounced back up—just as expected. We've adjusted our star pattern while keeping the same key levels intact. Chart Analysis: Current Situation: The price is currently hovering around 1.04878, showing good strength after the bounce. Support Level: 1.04276 proved itself as a solid support. The price respected this level, giving us more confidence in our bullish bias. First Target: Our immediate target is 1.05415. This level lines up nicely with both our geometric grid and historical resistance. If the price keeps this momentum, it shouldn't take long to reach it. Key Levels to Watch: 1.06440: This is the next resistance level. If we break through 1.05415, this is where we’ll focus. 1.07469 and 1.08626: These are more ambitious targets but definitely possible if the bullish momentum continues. 1.10834: This would be a real win, indicating a strong shift in the overall trend. What the Chart Tells Us: The updated chart shows how our geometric grid aligns with price action. The white "star" pattern gives us a roadmap, and the red dashed lines highlight important time pivots. These intersections often guide the price, so I’m keeping a close eye on them. The recent "choch 4h" at 1.03738 marks a change of character on the 4-hour chart. It’s a good sign that the bearish phase might be behind us, and we’re in a new bullish cycle. Bottom Line: We’re on track toward 1.05415, and if the market keeps this pace, higher targets could be in play. I’ll be watching how the price reacts around our geometric intersections and adjusting as needed. The plan is simple: ride the bullish wave but stay ready in case the market throws us a curveball.
Long
by QuantumFusion
EURUSD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS TARGET WIN This chart is a EUR/USD (Euro to US Dollar) 1-hour timeframe analysis published on TradingView. Here’s what it shows: 1. Support Zone (Green Highlighted Area) – The price bounced from a key support area, where buyers stepped in to push the price higher. 2. Bullish Move (Blue Arrow) – The price started an upward movement after reaching the support level. 3. Target Achieved (Black Arrow & Text) – The price hit the predefined target at 1.04749, confirming a successful trade setup. 4. Profit Confirmation (Checkmark & Green Label) – The label shows a price gain of 0.02983 (or 7.972M in volume), indicating a profitable trade. This chart likely represents a trading idea where a long (buy) position was taken from the support zone, and the target was successfully reached.
Long
by DavidHills110
EURUSD 20 Feb 2025 W8 - Intraday - US Unemployment ClaimsThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 20 Feb 2025 W8 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following: Market Sentiment 4H Chart Analysis 15m Chart Analysis Market Sentiment Some USA economic news today: US : Unemployment Claims & Philly Fed Manufacturing Index The market still in the same sentiment detailed in my Weekly Analysis . Below a summary: Short-Term Bias: Cautiously bullish for EUR/USD, driven by optimism over delayed tariffs, geopolitical progress, and hopes for softer inflation. Key Risks: A hot PCE report reviving Fed hawkishness. Sudden tariff escalations or breakdowns in peace talks. 4H Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bullish (Reached Swing Extreme Demand) 🔹INT Bearish (Reached Extreme Supply) 🔹INT-INT Bullish (Reached EQ (50%) 🔹Swing Continuation 2️⃣ 🔹With the deep pullback to the Bullish Swing extreme discount and mitigating the 4H/Daily demand zones, price turned Bullish forming a Bullish CHoCH. 🔹The current Bullish move from Swing extreme discount to current price level having 2 scenarios (Previously I’d the following 2 scenarios where now I favors the 2nd scenario due to the impulsive nature of the move): Scenario 1: Pullback for Bearish INT Structure and with the recent Bearish CHoCK and Minor Demand zones are failing, I expect Bearish continuation to target the Weak INT Low which aligns with the Daily/Weekly Bearish Structure/Move. (Counter Swing – Pro Internal) Scenario 2: Bullish Swing continuation to target the Weak Swing High. Which requires to have Demand holding and Supply failing. The first sign required to confirm this scenario will be the current Demand which price is currently at to hold and we form a Bullish CHoCH. (Pro Swing – Counter Internal) 🔹With the recent moves, Minor Supply is holding and demand is failing to facilitate the INT-INT Bullish structure Pullback which reached the structure EQ (50%). 3️⃣ 🔹After the Bullish ii-BOS, price pulled in a corrective PA to the structure EQ (50%) and currently within the Daily Demand. 🔹Still expectation is set to continue Bullish targeting the Weak Swing High as long LTFs holds Bullish structures. Also, In my mind I’m not neglecting the current Bearish 4H INT structure and we already reached that structure extreme where we are getting the current corrective Bearish OF. 15m Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bullish 🔹INT Bearish 🔹Reached Swing EQ (50%)/Discount 🔹Swing Pullback Phase 2️⃣ 🔹The 15m Bullish Swing pullback phase is still intact with continues Bearish INT structures. 🔹Price had reached Swing extreme demand in Swing Discount. 🔹With the recent Bearish iBOS, price had formed Liq. above the 15m Demand which was sept with the break of the Weak INT Low, mitigating the 15m Demand and forming a Bullish CHoCH to initiate the Bearish INT Structure Pullback. 🔹Technically Shorts is the straight forward play (Played very well yesterday as per expectations and executions), but keep in mind that the Bearish INT structures task is to facilitate the 15m Swing Pullback and we are currently in the Swing Discount Zone and if the Swing is going to continue Bullish, there is a high probability that the INT Structure is going to shift Bullish. 3️⃣ 🔹It’s a crossroads! Expectations is for price to turn Bullish and create a Bullish INT structure to confirm the Swing Pullback is over and the start of the Swing Bullish continuation Phase (Bullish iBOS for confirmation). 🔹Will be looking for longs after Bullish iBOS. As for Shorts, not in my interest currently based on where we are within the 115m Swing (Discount)/15m & 4H Demand even with the INT structure is Bearish.
by Amr-Sadek
Anticipating a EUR/USD Pullback from a Rising Wedge FormationSetup Overview: The EUR/USD chart shows a rising wedge pattern, which is typically considered a bearish reversal pattern. This suggests that despite the recent uptrend, the pair could be poised for a downward reversal. The blue arrow indicates a potential future path for price action, suggesting that after rising slightly within the wedge, the price might break lower. Trade Strategy: Entry Point: Look for a confirmation of a price breakdown below the lower trendline of the wedge before entering a short position. This breakdown should ideally occur with increased volume or other bearish indicators like a bearish candlestick pattern. Stop Loss: Set a stop loss just above the last swing high within the wedge or at the upper trendline of the wedge to protect against potential reversals to the upside. Take Profit: The first target can be set near the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level from the wedge's start to the breakdown point. Additional targets could be placed at the 0.618 and 0.786 Fibonacci levels if the downward movement gains momentum. Risk Management: Monitor key economic releases or market events that could impact the EUR/USD pair, as these might trigger volatility that could either enhance the trade or cause unexpected reversals. Adjust stop losses and take profit levels accordingly as the trade progresses. This setup is based on typical behaviors associated with rising wedge patterns and anticipates a return to lower support levels, providing a strategic entry for a short position with clearly defined risk and profit targets.
Short
by HUGO_DT150
EURUSD- Trending down, sell recommendedThe EURUSD pair has been on a Bullish Leg since the February 09 Low and is approaching the January 27 High, which is its technical Resistance level. Technically, every such test has been rejected down to at least the 0.786 Fibonacci level but since we might be within a Channel Up, it is possible to see one last push to complete a +2.68% rise from the February 09 Low. The 0.786 Fib then will fall below the Channel Up so to account for that technical miss of support, our Target will be the 0.618 Fibonacci level at 1.03125.
Short
by Disco-Dave