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U.S. DOLLAR / EURO REFERENCE RATE

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USDEUX trade ideas

EURUSD - Flag Pattern Indicating a Futher PushA pennant/flag pattern has been printed on the chart. Being a continuation pattern this is indicating a further move high on the price. Confirmation of this is with the Elliot Wave, though I will admit, I am not completely sold on this being a proper impulse wave, however, as per definition the 2-3 section of the wave is the strongest so far, and the 3-4 is the weakest pullback. I just dont like the duration of 3-4 relative to 1-2. For the flag to be confirmed we need to wait for a pullback and retest of the price to the upper red trendline defining the flag. The pullback could go as far as the dotted blue line. A move above 1.43 indicates that the move is likely underway at a target at 1.69 seems most reasonable given its height relative to the 2-3 impulse wave. This would be a measured move up. I would wait to enter the trade until the upper resistance level of 1.43 has been reached, holding a stop at the 1.37 level. This is a decent amount of risk, so I would probably reevaluate the actual stops and targets when I put the trade on.
Long
by MadButcherWA
EURUSD INTRADAY energy build up supported at 1.1240Trend Overview: The EUR/USD currency pair remains in a bullish trend, supported by a prevailing uptrend. The recent intraday price action suggests a sideways consolidation (coiling price action) possibly triggering a corrective pullback towards a newly formed support zone, previously a resistance level. Key Levels to Watch: Support Levels: 1.1240 – Previous resistance turned support, key level for potential bounce. 1.1144 – Secondary support level if 1.1240 fails. 1.1000 and 1.0890 – Stronger support in case of extended retracement. Resistance Levels: 1.1475 – Initial resistance level on the upside. 1.1595 – Next target if bullish momentum continues. 1.1700 and 1.1830 – Long-term resistance and key breakout point. Market Sentiment & Price Action: The recent corrective pullback aligns with normal market fluctuations within an uptrend. A bullish bounce from the 1.1240 support level could trigger an upside move, targeting the 1.1475 resistance level and potentially extending towards 1.1595 and 1.1700 – 1.1830 over a longer timeframe. Alternatively, a confirmed loss of the 1.1240 support, accompanied by a daily close below this level, would weaken the bullish outlook. This could lead to further downside pressure, potentially testing the 1.1144 level, with an extended decline towards 1.1000 and 1.0890 if selling pressure intensifies. Conclusion: The EUR/USD pair remains in a bullish structure as long as the 1.1240 support holds. A successful bounce from this level would reinforce the uptrend, targeting higher resistance zones. However, a decisive break below 1.1240 and a daily close under this level could shift sentiment bearish, leading to further downside retracement. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
The Day Ahead Tuesday, April 15 – Key Market Events US Data: Empire Manufacturing Index (April): Early read on factory activity. Import and Export Prices (March): Trade-side inflation indicators. UK Data: Average Weekly Earnings (Feb) Unemployment Rate (Feb) Jobless Claims Change (March) Impact: Moves GBP based on labor market strength or weakness. Germany & Eurozone: ZEW Surveys (April): Investor sentiment on economy. Germany Wholesale Price Index (March) Eurozone Industrial Production (Feb) Watch EUR, especially if sentiment or output surprises. Italy: General Government Debt (Feb): Less market-moving unless sharply changes. Canada: Consumer Price Index (March): Key for CAD. Major inflation read. Housing Starts, Existing Home Sales, Manufacturing Sales: Supportive data, secondary to CPI. Central Bank Events: Fed’s Bostic speaks: Watch for comments on rates or inflation. ECB Bank Lending Survey: Shows credit conditions, potential ECB signal. Earnings Reports: Bank of America, Citigroup: Key for financial sector outlook. Johnson & Johnson: Healthcare read. Interactive Brokers: Trading activity snapshot. United Airlines: Travel demand indicator. Albertsons: Consumer and grocery sector trends. What Traders Should Watch: USDCAD: Canadian CPI is the main mover. GBPUSD: UK jobs data could push sterling. EURUSD: ZEW and industrial production could drive euro. Equities: Bank earnings will impact risk sentiment. Yields: Inflation data and central bank speak may shift rate expectations. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
EURUSD 30M CHART PATTERNThis chart shows a BTC/USD 30-minute timeframe with a double/triple top pattern forming around the $85,900 level, marked with red arrows and a "STOP LOSS" label. The highlighted zones and annotations suggest a potential short trade setup. Here's a breakdown: Resistance Zone (Top Red Box): Bitcoin has tested this level multiple times and failed to break higher, suggesting strong resistance. Support Zone (Bottom Red Box): Price has bounced several times from this area, indicating demand/support. Trade Idea: Entry: Near the current level (~$85,600) Stop Loss: Just above the resistance (~$85,900+) Take Profit: Down near the support zone (~$83,300 or below) The pattern indicates a bearish outlook if the resistance holds and price fails to make a new high. The repeated rejections signal a possible move down to the support. Would you like help creating a trading plan or backtesting this pattern?
Long
by money_magnet2
EURUSD – Re-Entry Setup (April 11)EURUSD – Re-Entry Setup (April 11) Re-entered long position at 1.13512 following continued bullish structure and higher timeframe momentum. 🔹 Entry: 1.13512 🔹 Stop Loss: 1.12963 🔹 Target: 1.14734 Price respected the prior breakout zone and rotated back into alignment with upward momentum. Watching for a clean break through 1.14120 to confirm continuation toward target. As always, for educational purposes only. Trade safe, trade smart.
Long
by TradeYourLifeAway
Euro Outlook: Final Push Before the Drop?According to AriasWave, the reason we haven’t seen the market roll over yet is because Wave D has been in play since 2022. I’m watching the 1.17747 level closely—once we hit that zone, I’m expecting a sharp reversal to the downside. There’s also a chance we push up to 1.22570 to retest the 1000-period moving average on the weekly. Either way, the setup’s almost complete. My minimum downside target for the Euro is 0.70. I believe a major economic slowdown is right around the corner. I’ll break it all down in today’s Market Update—covering the Euro, USD, Dow, S&P 500, and Bitcoin. Stay tuned. And yeah—I’m back online after a weeklong ban. Let’s get to work.
by AriasWave
Will the persistent weak dollar help strengthen the euro? The Trump administration announced a 90-day tariff reprieve and reciprocal exemptions on smartphones and semiconductors. However, President Trump denied that this constitutes a tariff exemption, stressing that duties on items such as semiconductors and pharmaceuticals will be reimposed. Amid growing concerns over the impact of US tariff hikes on Eurozone growth, market sentiment has strengthened around the prospect of further ECB rate cuts. ECB President Christine Lagarde warned that the Trump administration’s aggressive tariff policy could destabilize European financial markets. EURUSD has extended its sharp uptrend, testing the upper boundary of the ascending channel. The widening gap between both EMAs indicates a continued extension of bullish momentum. If EURUSD breaks above the channel’s upper bound, the price could advance toward the resistance at 1.1475. Conversely, if EURUSD falls below the support at 1.1210, the price may decline further toward 1.1050.
by inkicho_exness
EURUSD SHORTI'm initiating a short position on EUR/USD, anticipating a bearish move driven by strengthening U.S. dollar fundamentals and/or eurozone weakness. Technical indicators signal a potential downside: the pair is struggling to hold above key resistance near , with bearish divergence on RSI and a breakdown below confirming downside momentum. Entry: Stop Loss: Take Profit: Risk/Reward Ratio: Timeframe: Rationale: Hawkish Fed tone vs dovish ECB outlook, weaker Eurozone data, and potential flight to safety supporting the USD.
Short
by eliveli
EUR/USD 4H After weeks of compression and sideways grind, price finally made its move. Broke out hard from the 1.09000 zone and didn’t look back. We didn’t just pump — we exploded through structure. If you missed it… it’s chill. Smart money always gives a second chance. Here’s what I’m watching: ✅ Clean impulsive leg up ✅ Minor pullback already got bought up ✅ Price now hovering around 1.14000 — but no liquidity sweep yet So what’s missing? We haven’t seen buyside liquidity swept yet. What that means? This could be a trap area before a pullback into a demand zone or FVG. If we get a wick above 1.14500 to clear some liquidity — and then rejection — I’ll look for a lower timeframe sell trigger. Otherwise, we wait for a pullback → preferably into the 1.12000–1.12500 OB or FVG zone → and that’s where longs make sense again. 🔍 Setup Watchlist: Buy only after pullback into OB/FVG Sell only if we see a liquidity sweep + CHoCH near current highs No trades in the middle = just noise 🧠 Reminder to self: "Patience makes money. Chasing makes pain." #EURUSD #SMC #OrderBlock #FVG #LiquiditySweep #SmartMoney #ForexTrading #4HChart #PriceAction
by forexcitysignal
EUR/USD – 1H TimeframeChart Review (EUR/USD – 1H Timeframe): This chart appears to follow a clear Elliott Wave structure. The count shows that wave (2) has completed, and we are now progressing through a strong impulsive wave (3). Within wave (3), sub-waves 1 and 2 are labeled, with wave 3 in progress. The internal structure of wave 3 is unfolding nicely, with smaller-degree waves (i), (ii), and (iii) already formed, and a corrective (iv) in red currently completing. The recent correction seems to follow an A-B-C structure, where wave a and b are complete and wave c may be nearing its end, signaling the end of wave (iv). If this count holds, a continuation to the upside in wave (v) of (iii) is expected next, potentially pushing EUR/USD higher toward the 1.1500–1.1700 area as projected on the chart. The bullish momentum remains intact as long as the price stays above the low of wave (iv). A break below that level would call for a reevaluation of the current count.
Long
by ew_17i