USDEUX trade ideas
EURUSD: Move Down Expected! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 1.13690 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 1.13104.and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
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EUR/USD – 1H TimeframeChart Review (EUR/USD – 1H Timeframe):
This chart appears to follow a clear Elliott Wave structure. The count shows that wave (2) has completed, and we are now progressing through a strong impulsive wave (3). Within wave (3), sub-waves 1 and 2 are labeled, with wave 3 in progress. The internal structure of wave 3 is unfolding nicely, with smaller-degree waves (i), (ii), and (iii) already formed, and a corrective (iv) in red currently completing.
The recent correction seems to follow an A-B-C structure, where wave a and b are complete and wave c may be nearing its end, signaling the end of wave (iv). If this count holds, a continuation to the upside in wave (v) of (iii) is expected next, potentially pushing EUR/USD higher toward the 1.1500–1.1700 area as projected on the chart.
The bullish momentum remains intact as long as the price stays above the low of wave (iv). A break below that level would call for a reevaluation of the current count.
EUR/USD – Golden Crossover & Breakout Confirmation (Multi-T.F)EUR/USD is showing strong bullish signs across both the weekly and daily timeframes, suggesting a potential macro trend reversal in the making. After being trapped below a long-term descending trendline for nearly two years, price has not only broken out but also successfully retested the breakout zone — a key validation for trend continuation.
On the daily chart, a Golden Crossover is now forming, which historically precedes major uptrends in forex pairs. Combined with reclaiming key structural levels and building higher lows, EUR/USD could be positioning for a powerful upside move in Q2 2025.
Let’s dive into the multi-timeframe analysis to understand why this setup could be one of the cleanest trend reversals on the board.
1W Timeframe – Macro Breakout in Progress
EUR/USD has officially broken out of a long-standing descending resistance trendline. This breakout occurred from a structurally important zone that had acted as a ceiling for over 2 years.
📌 Key Observations:
🔹 Price reclaimed and held above the key resistance zone, turning it into strong support.
🔹 Minor resistance zones lie ahead, but structure favors further upside.
🔹 Projection shows potential continuation toward 1.16+ if momentum sustains.
1D Timeframe – Bullish Retest + Golden Cross Forming
Zooming into the daily chart, we see:
✅ A successful retest of the breakout zone, which held as support (bullish confirmation).
✅ Price is now forming a Golden Crossover – where the 50 EMA is crossing above the 200 EMA. This is typically seen as a strong bullish signal in trending markets.
📌 What’s Bullish:
Clean breakout ✔️
Retest with strength ✔️
Momentum crossover ✔️
EUR/USD is now in a strong bullish structure, backed by a confirmed breakout on the weekly and a golden crossover on the daily. If price holds above 1.09, we may see continued upside toward 1.13–1.16 levels in the coming weeks.
Thank you for reading and supporting @unichartz. If you found this analysis helpful, don’t forget to like, follow, and share! 💙
EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D14 Y25EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D14 Y25
- Weekly Order Block rejection
Setup 1
-15' break of structure
- Tokyo low range remains
- Pull back into 15' order block
- Lower time frame shift in price action from bullish to bearish
Setup 2
- Lower time frame break of structure
- Lower time frame bearish candle formation
Let's see how EURUSD short set up plays.
Certainly short potential but as always. We await price action to present itself to us.
It is far too easy to find a position once we have noticed potential. Sit back and await the play!
EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D14 Y25
FRGNT X
EURUSD InsightWelcome, subscribers!
Please feel free to share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to like and subscribe!
Key Points
- The U.S. and China have imposed retaliatory tariffs on each other, escalating trade tensions. As a result, the "Sell USA" sentiment has intensified, causing the U.S. Dollar Index to fall below the 100 level.
- The market expects that, due to the high tariffs between the U.S. and China, most trade—except for essential goods and high-margin items—will come to a complete halt. This is likely to lead to a rise in consumer prices.
- Amid growing concerns of a recession, U.S. Treasury bonds are failing to serve as safe-haven assets, raising doubts about the dollar. Most currencies have strengthened against the dollar.
- This week, the ECB is expected to cut rates by 0.25% at its April monetary policy meeting.
Key Economic Events This Week
+ April 16: U.K. March CPI, Eurozone March CPI, U.S. March Retail Sales, Bank of Canada Rate Decision
+ April 17: ECB Rate Decision, Fed Chair Powell Speech
+ April 18: Easter Holiday
EURUSD Chart Analysis
After a strong rally that formed a peak near the 1.15000 level, EUR/USD has partially retraced its gains. In the short term, further downside is expected, with 1.12500 likely to act as a key support level. A rebound is anticipated around this zone; however, if the price breaks below it, a deeper decline could follow. Should that happen, a new trading strategy will be established.
EURUSD on the riseOn Friday, EURUSD continued its upward movement, reaching 1,1473.
The uptrend is clear and expected to continue after a pullback.
Key support levels are at 1,1258 and 1,1127.
Wait for the pullback to develop and look for an entry with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
The ECB is expected to announce its interest rate decision on Thursday.
EURUSD D1 | Bullish Bounce Off Based on the D1 chart, the price could fall toward our buy entry level at 1.1236, a pullback support.
Our take profit is set at 1.1527, a pullback resistance that aligns close to the 127.2% Fibo extension.
The stop loss is set at 1.0935, a pullback support.
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USDollar/EuroJust wanted to point out that the dollar has already lost support in terms of the Euro, and regardless of indicators, I doubt it recovers until the next president.
I see this hitting all time lows within 2 years, that's how bearish I am on the US dollar.
Probably should have posted this Thursday when I posted teh gold plots.
EURUSD Day Trade Idea Hi today I am looking at the EURUSD, and can see some potential day trade sell possibly happening soon or now. I have drawn the sell liquidity zone using the red box to show the sell pressure candles back from the current candle. Thank you please support me by following me.
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@ilyaskhan.1994
EURUSD(20250414) Today's AnalysisMarket news:
Fed Collins: It is currently expected that the Fed will need to keep interest rates unchanged for a longer period of time. If necessary, the Fed is "absolutely" ready to help stabilize the market; Kashkari: No serious chaos has been seen yet, and the Fed should intervene cautiously only in truly urgent situations; Musallem: The Fed should be wary of continued inflation driven by tariffs.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
1.1339
Support and resistance levels:
1.1624
1.1517
1.1448
1.1229
1.1160
1.1054
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 1.1339, consider buying, the first target price is 1.1448
If the price breaks through 1.1229, consider selling, the first target price is 1.1160
EURUSD
Analyzing the EUR/USD pair, I identified a significant triangle pattern on the monthly timeframe, suggesting a potential price target of 1,19. However, the crucial 1.13 level wasn't breached on the weekly and daily timeframes, indicating a retest before any upward movement. The formation of higher highs and higher lows suggests an ongoing uptrend. Stay tuned for potential bullish continuation.
EURUSD Breaks Out – But Will the Channel Hold the Follow-ThroughEURUSD has broken above the weekly expanding wedge, but the real test lies ahead. Price is still respecting an upward channel on the daily, and this week's open could act as a key launchpad—or rejection point. A clean bounce here confirms strength; failure signals a potential fakeout. Watch closely.
EURO/USD BREAKOUT AFTER CONSOLIDATION PRICE MAKE UPWORD MOVEA resistance zone is marked near the top (around the 1.13 - 1.14 range), which was previously a strong price ceiling.
A support zone is marked near the bottom, showing a level where price previously bounced back up.
2. Break of Structure (BOS):
A BOS label indicates a key price structure has been broken, suggesting a potential shift in market direction — in this case, likely a bullish breakout.
3. Rocket Icon and Target Area:
The rocket icon and green target box symbolize a bullish price projection, suggesting that price may continue upward.
The target zone is projected near 1.165547, hinting at a long/buy position expectation.
4. Fibonacci Level:
There's a Fibonacci extension or retracement level (0.786923566402819) drawn, likely helping define entries or confirmations.
5. Price Action:
The chart shows a strong bullish momentum with a recent breakout from consolidation.
A small consolidation or retest pattern is drawn within the green zone (above 1.13546), suggesting a bullish continuation after a potential retest.
6. Trade Setup:
The chart likely represents a buy setup, entering around 1.13546 after a pullback, with stop loss below the red zone and take profit near the green target zone.
ECB decision shadowed by tariff risk Markets will be closely watching the European Central Bank’s (ECB) interest rate decision on April 17, with expectations for a seventh consecutive rate cut.
Despite this expectation, the euro surged to a three-year high against the US dollar last week, as traders continued to pull away from US assets.
The dollar index has dropped 4% since President Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariff announcements on April 2, falling below the key 100 level too.
At this stage, market participants will be looking for any signals on how the ECB might respond to the potential spillover effects of President Trump’s tariff measures. While some guidance may emerge around already-announced policies, the risk of further unpredictability remains high.
Trump being Trump, it is perhaps unlikely we have seen the last of his volatility-inducing tariff announcements. This can weigh further on the dollar, eroding confidence in the world’s reserve currency.
EUR_USD SWING LONG|
✅EUR_USD made a strong
Breakout of the massive wide
Key horizontal level of 1.1235
Which is now a support and
As the breakout is confirmed
And the pair is in a strong
Uptrend our bullish bias is
Confirmed and we will be
Expecting further growth
On Monday
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EURUSD is Ready for a Bullish MoveHello Traders
In This Chart EURUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
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