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U.S. DOLLAR / EURO REFERENCE RATE

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THOUGHTS ON EUR/USDEUR/USD 30M - As you can see I am wanting price to trade us down and into the Demand Zone I have marked out for us below. In doing so I am expecting Demand to be introduced and for Supply to be removed. Due to this happening we can expect a reversal in price, this is because the Demand will begin to outweigh the Supply in the market and we should see price begin appreciating, giving us the opportunity to buy into the next impulsive wave. We get confirmation of this by waiting for price to trade down and into this area, once it has and the change in hands has taken place, we will expect an influx in value and we should see a relevant protected high break. This gives us the confirmation we need. Once we have that its then a case of waiting for price to trade us back down initially giving us the opportunity to get involved in this market with a more refined entry, allowing a better risk to reward ratio on the trade we place.
Long
by Lukegforex
EURUSD: Technical Bearish Outlook EURUSD: Technical Bearish Outlook EURUSD displays a Head & Shoulders pattern, which is typically a bearish reversal signal. Lately the price created a deep correction by showig a potential WXZXY pattern, suggesting a potential corrective structure before further downside. Bearish Targets: 1.1230 – First major support level 1.1100 – Possible second target 1.1000 – A deeper correction point 1.0900 – Strong structural support Fundamental Impact: The main focus should be on the Trump administration, which wants countries to offer their best offer for trade negotiations by Wednesday. This will create a real mess for better or worse and should bring high market volatility. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️ Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by KlejdiCuni
5
EURUSD: Pullback From Support Confirmed 🇪🇺🇺🇸 Update for our yesterday's setup on EURUSD. It feels like the pair has successfully completed a retracement, respecting an intraday horizontal support. A double bottom formation on that and a formation of a bullish imbalance candle provide a strong bullish confirmation. I think the pair may rise at least to 1.144 support soon. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by VasilyTrader
1
Market Analysis: EUR/USD Trims GainsMarket Analysis: EUR/USD Trims Gains EUR/USD started a downside correction from the 1.1450 resistance. Important Takeaways for EUR/USD Analysis Today - The Euro struggled to clear the 1.1450 resistance and declined against the US Dollar. - There was a break below a key bullish trend line with support at 1.1395 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen. EUR/USD Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair gained pace for a move above the 1.1300 zone, as mentioned in the previous analysis. The Euro tested the 1.1450 resistance and recently corrected gains against the US Dollar. The pair dipped below 1.1400. There was a break below a key bullish trend line with support at 1.1395. It even traded below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.1209 swing low to the 1.1454 high. The pair is showing some bearish signs, and upside potential might remain limited. Immediate resistance is near the 50-hour simple moving average at 1.1395. The next major resistance is near the 1.1450 zone. An upside break above the 1.1450 level might send the pair toward the 1.1500 resistance. Any more gains might open the doors for a move toward the 1.1550 level. On the downside, immediate support on the EUR/USD chart is seen near the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.1209 swing low to the 1.1454 high at 1.1330. The next major support is near the 1.1300 level. A downside break below the 1.1300 support could send the pair toward the 1.1210 level. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
EURUSD Trade Setup: Heres My Trade Plan!📈 EUR/USD Trade Outlook: Bullish Trend in Focus 🇪🇺💵 I'm currently watching EUR/USD, and it’s holding a strong bullish trend — with clear higher highs and higher lows across the board 🔁. On the 4-hour timeframe, price has pulled back into equilibrium, and I’m eyeing a potential buy opportunity if the structure continues to hold 🛒. 📚 Looking at historical price action, this setup has played out reliably in the past. That said, it's important to acknowledge that deeper pullbacks can occur — often sweeping liquidity below previous lows before resuming the trend 💧. ⚠️ This is a real risk, so consider conservative position sizing and always manage your risk appropriately. 💬 Drop a comment below if you're watching this setup too — I’d love to hear your take! ❗️Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. The content shared is for educational and informational purposes only. Please do your own analysis and trade responsibly.
Long
by fxtraderanthony
EURUSD – June 4, 2025Yesterday saw a deeper-than-expected pullback after price broke above the 1.14149 zone. Despite the retrace, structure remains bullish with price staying inside the ascending 4H channel. We’re now reapproaching 1.14149 again — a critical level for direction. To play it safe, I will only look for buys above yesterday’s high at 1.14443. Overall target remains 1.16020 and 1.18791 short to mid-term. Key Buy Zones: Safe Buys: Above 1.14443 Next target: 1.16020 Long-term target: 1.18791 ⚠️ Staying flat if 1.14149 fails.
Long
by Thetraderscollective
Euro-dollar might retreat depending on dataThe euro reversed most of Monday’s gains against the dollar after slightly weaker flash inflation than expected at 1.9%, raising further expectations of a single cut by the ECB on 5 June. The ECB’s press conference might give some clues on how the bank perceives potential downside risks to inflation later this year. Friday’s NFP is a key release in the context of a generally resilient job market over the last few months. The medium-term uptrend on the daily chart seems to be quite mature and volume has dropped significantly compared to the first half of April while the price has remained overbought or close to it from the slow stochastic, so the probability of euro-dollar declining or settling into a sideways trend seems to be higher now. That depends on upcoming news, though. If the ECB seems more hawkish and the NFP is significantly disappointing, there might be another round of gains. $1.15 is the main area of resistance in focus as April’s highs and just above the 50% monthly Fibonacci retracement. $1.10 will probably be a strong support but before that the interaction of the 50 SMA from Bands and the 61.8% monthly Fibo might challenge further losses. It’s important to monitor the initial reactions to both the ECB and the NFP for a better idea about ongoing direction. This is my personal opinion, not the opinion of Exness. This is not a recommendation to trade.
by Michael_Stark_Exness
EURUSD 1HThe second chart you've uploaded shows EUR/USD (Euro vs. US Dollar) on the 1-hour timeframe, and it suggests a bullish reversal setup. Here's a breakdown of what's happening: --- 📈 Technical Analysis Summary Chart Features: Falling Wedge Pattern (highlighted by converging trendlines): A bullish reversal pattern. Breakout Zone: Price has broken above the wedge previously and is now pulling back to retest the breakout zone (now support). Current Price: ~1.13681 Target TP (Take Profit): ~1.14800 level (marked with vertical arrow and labeled zone). --- 🔍 **Key Observations
Long
by Alpha_Gold_Trader
1
Stronger U.S. JOLTS Data Pressures EURUSD!!!EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) failed to break the Resistance zone($1.1487-$1.1424) and started to fall again , breaking the Support lines . In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that EURUSD has managed to complete the main wave X of the Double Three Correction(WXY) structure . Just moments ago, the U.S. JOLTS Job Openings data was released. ------------------------------- Actual: 7.39M Forecast: 7.11M Previous: 7.19M The stronger-than-expected JOLTS figure at 7.39 million signals a resilient labor market. This reduces recession fears and increases the likelihood that the Federal Reserve may keep interest rates elevated for longer. Bullish for the U.S. Dollar( TVC:DXY ) Bearish pressure could hit EURUSD, especially if it's approaching the key resistance zone. ------------------------------- I expect EURUSD to start to fall again after the pullback to the Support lines and to fall to the targets I have specified on the chart. Note: If EURUSD touches $1.14580(Stop Loss(SL)), we can expect a failure of the Resistance zone($1.1487-$1.1424). Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Euro/U.S. Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
14
EURUSD — Daily & 4H TimeframesThe correction continues on EURUSD. Both the daily and 4H timeframes show sideways ranges, with seller initiative in control. The boundaries of the sideways ranges are marked with black lines. However, sellers appear weak — the price has been stuck for several hours inside a buyer attack bar near the upper boundary of the range. Now, sellers are attempting to absorb this buyer bar. If considering long setups, it's safer to look for patterns near the daily level of 1.13126, or from the lower boundary of the 4H range. Another option is to wait for a confirmed breakout above the range. Searching for buys in the upper part of the current range is risky. This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA). Wishing you profitable trades!
by AlexeyWolf
2
Euro Pulls Back – Eyes on ECB and Tariff TurmoilCMCMARKETS:EURUSD FX:EURUSD EUR/USD pulled back from a six-week high of 1.1454 to trade near 1.1379, down 0.52% on Tuesday, as strong U.S. labor market data and revived trade tensions lifted the dollar. April JOLTS job openings rose to 7.39M, beating expectations, signaling a resilient U.S. economy despite a 3.7% drop in factory orders. In parallel, Trump’s announcement to double tariffs on steel and aluminum has reignited trade war concerns. Markets are also watching for a potential Trump–Xi call later this week. Meanwhile, the Euro lost ground after May HICP inflation in the Eurozone fell to 1.9%, below the ECB’s 2% target. With core inflation slowing as well, markets have priced in a 25 bps rate cut at Thursday’s ECB meeting. Technically, OANDA:EURUSD EUR/USD is still trading within a rising channel but rejected key minor resistance zone just below the descending trendline. A confirmed breakout above this area could open the path toward monthly resistance near 1.1559. On the downside, Support Zone 1 (around 1.1375) must hold to maintain the bullish bias; further weakness may expose Support Zone 2 (around 1.1338) Resistance : 1.1445 , 1.1559 Support ： 1.1375 , 1.1338
Long
by ATFX_Global
Elliott Wave Insight Into EUR/USD’s Recent MovesThe EUR/USD chart has delivered a clean Elliott Wave sequence, which helps us forecast what may come next. Wave Count Overview The structure leading up to the high shows a clear five-wave impulsive rally, ending at Wave 3 in yellow. This was followed by a corrective A-B-C zigzag, with: A sharp Wave A down A shallow Wave B bounce A clean Wave C drop, matching Wave A in length, bottoming at the 100% Fibonacci projection around 1.10711. Why This Matters Elliott Wave theory tells us that a completed zigzag correction—especially when followed by a consolidation like a triangle—often leads to a continuation in the direction of the larger trend. If this consolidation is indeed a Wave 4 triangle, Wave 5 may soon emerge with strength. What to Watch For: Breakout from the current flag/triangle pattern. Confirmation via price closing above the Wave B high. Strong bullish momentum and rising volume as signs Wave 5 is kicking off. Conclusion EUR/USD may be gearing up for a Wave 5 breakout, following a classic zigzag correction and potential triangle consolidation. If this pattern breaks to the upside, it could offer a great trend continuation trade opportunity.
Long
by RealWaveTrader-