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U.S. DOLLAR / EURO REFERENCE RATE

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EUR/USD.1h chart pattern.Based on My target EUR/USD 1H, the price has broken down from the ascending channel and formed a Double Top, confirming a bearish structure. Here's the analysis based on the marked zones: Bearish Targets: 1. First Support / Target 1: Around 1.13500 This aligns with a previous structure level and is the first potential bounce zone. 2. Second Support / Target 2: Around 1.12000 This is a deeper support zone where price may head if the bearish momentum continues. The structure also shows a clear CHoCH (Change of Character) which supports the downside bias. Let me know if you want entry and stop-loss suggestions for this setup.
Short
by Money_Magnet5
3
EURUSD trades turn their eyes towards upcoming Fed Interest rateEUR/USD has been trading sideways after peaking above 1.1600 last week, as traders adopt a wait and see approach ahead of the Fed's interest rate decision due tomorrow morning (AEST). The pair is consolidating within a tight range, with the top end of the recent rally now being questioned amid growing uncertainty. While the Fed is widely expected to leave its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 4.25%-4.50%, market participants will be closely watching for any revisions to the dot plot, as well as updates to the central bank's growth and inflation forecasts. The current projections suggest two rate cuts in 2025, but any deviation from that could trigger significant dollar volatility. On the technical side, multi-year support near 1.1215 remains a critical level to watch on the downside. A break below could signal deeper bearish momentum. Adding complexity to the EUR side of the equation are two key factors: The ECB’s rate path, with the central bank seen approaching the end of its monetary easing cycle. Elevated geopolitical tensions, especially as Israel prepares further action against Tehran and the US weighs deeper involvement. Any escalation in Middle East tensions could boost demand for safe-haven assets like the US dollar, potentially pressuring the euro further. In the near term, EUR/USD remains in a holding pattern, with the Fed's tone and geopolitical developments likely to determine the next directional move. "The forecasts provided herein are intended for informational purposes only and should not be construed as guarantees of future performance. This is an example only to enhance a consumer's understanding of the strategy being described above and is not to be taken as Blueberry Markets providing personal advice."
by Blueberry
2
EURUSD price Bullish moment The Euro continues to gain strength against the US Dollar within a clearly defined ascending parallel channel. After a period of consolidation between June 6–10, price broke out with strong bullish momentum and is now respecting the channel's structure. 🔍 Key Levels to Watch: 🔺 Resistance Zone: 1.16083 – 1.16419 🔺 Upper Target: 1.16832 – 1.17000 🔻 Immediate Support: 1.15256 🔻 Strong Support: 1.14949 📈 Bullish Scenario : If price holds above 1.15256, we may see a move toward 1.16083 and potentially a breakout to test 1.16419 and 1.16832. 📉 Bearish Scenario: A drop below 1.15256 and a break of the ascending trendline may expose 1.14949 as the next key support. 🧠 Market Insight: This setup favors a bullish continuation while within the channel, supported by recent strong upside moves. Traders should look for confirmation around 1.16083 before expecting a breakout. ✅ Plan your entries wisely. Trade what you see, not what you feel.
Long
by Mr_Gold_Trader
3
EURUSD H2 Best Levels to BUY/SELL and Market Update🏆 EURUSD Market Update m20 short-term trade 📊 Technical Outlook 🔸Short-term: BEARS 1275 🔸1500/1540 short sell rips/rallies 🔸Mid-Term outlook: BULLS 1750 🔸bulls buy low 1250/1275 reload 🔸bulls exit at 1750 swing trade 🔸Price Target Bears: 1250/1275 🔸Price Target Bulls: 1750 🌍 Macro & Political Drivers U.S. tax & spending concerns: The Congressional Budget Office now projects President Trump's tax‑and‑spending bill will raise deficits by about $2.8 trillion over the next decade. This massive debt addition is pressuring the U.S. dollar, as rising Treasury issuance and weaker fiscal confidence weigh on demand. Geopolitical tensions: Escalation in the Israel–Iran conflict is pushing investors toward the safe-haven U.S. dollar. The DXY jumped to around 98.80 as President Trump’s remarks on Iran sent the EUR/USD down to approximately 1.1484. EU developments: ECB officials, including Christine Lagarde, are doubling down on strengthening Europe’s financial infrastructure to elevate the euro as a viable alternative to the dollar — calling this a “global euro moment.” Key resistance is around 1.1550–1.1575; downside support zones near 1.1450 and broader range 1.1360–1.1420 remain intact, though current levels suggest consolidation above the lower range. Strength from safe-haven flows could stall upward momentum. 📊 ECB Policy & Inflation Signals The ECB cut rates by 25 bp last week to 2.0%, reinforcing the message that inflation remains subdued (1.9% in May) and prompting a data-driven, meeting-by-meeting decision approach. ECB speakers stress “agile pragmatism” given global uncertainties, citing the euro’s ~10% rally year-to-date but cautioning amid rising oil prices and geopolitical risks. ⚡ What to Watch Next Catalyst Outlook U.S. yields & bond auctions More issuance tied to tax plans could steepen the curve and support the USD. Middle East headlines Escalation may continue to offer dollar safe-haven benefits, pressuring EUR/USD. EU economic data Inflation softness (e.g., France) could weaken ECB’s stance, re-pressuring the euro. Technical levels Watch 1.1450 support—holds for possible rebound; resistance 1.1550–1.1575 for upside pressure. ✅ Summary Current: EUR/USD around 1.1484, with bearish tilt amid risk aversion. Bull case: Ongoing U.S. fiscal weakness, delayed tariffs, and ECB support for euro could cap downside. Bear case: Safe-haven demand from geopolitical tensions, Fed‑ECB divergence, and technical breakdown through 1.1450 could push toward 1.1360.
Short
by ProjectSyndicate
23
Potential long setup EURUSDTook almost two months for us to take April high well done for those who caught the move. This analysis will probably take a lot less time to play out. Friday closed with an inside bar which means you would have to go onto lower timeframes to see which direction makes more sense to go. I have not been given any reason fundamentally or technically to be bearish on the pair just yet so I will be targeting the high. The daily FVG is a key area to look at and if it fails and we start making bearish FVGs that could be a sign that we will start getting a weekly or even a monthly pullback. That's all I can say for now stay safe and flow with the markets.
Long
by Keyserfx
1
Bullish bounce?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 1.1451 1st Support: 1.1342 1st Resistance: 1.1614 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
1
EURUSD ||| '' W '' PATTERN IDENTIFIED . ✅ Harmonic Formation (Bearish Potential) ⚠️ Selling Bias forming soon --- 🧩 Pattern Breakdown: A Bearish Harmonic Pattern (likely Butterfly or Deep Crab) has been identified and is now nearing completion at the D point. Current price is approaching key resistance / reversal zone, precisely around the 0.786 - 0.886 fib area (highlighted red). The Risk-to-Reward is clearly mapped: 🔺 Stop Loss: 1.19405 ✅ Entry Zone: Around 1.17106 🎯 Target: 1.09588 Potential short setup if price respects the harmonic symmetry and fails to break above resistance.
Short
by Greenfireforex
2
EURUSD: Likely rebound at major point within Ascending ChannelOANDA:EURUSD is still moving within a clearly ascenting channel, and the current retest of the support zone is attracting the attention of buyers. This is a confluence zone between the lower boundary of the channel, a liquidity cluster, and the 0.5–0.618 Fib retracement level – a potential entry point if the bullish trend continues to hold. If the price holds above this support zone and forms a confirmation candle, there is a high possibility of a rebound toward 1.16500 target. On the other hand, if the support zone and the lower boundary of the channel are broken, the short-term uptrend will be invalidated. Monitoring candlestick patterns and volume at this critical zone is essential for identifying buying opportunities. Proper risk management is advised, always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management. If you have any thoughts on this setup or additional insights, drop them in the comments!
Long
by Jessica_Paul
1
EUR/USD – Bullish Continuation Setup Ahead of Retest Zone As of today, I’m maintaining a bullish stance on EUR/USD going into mid-2025. Back on May 22, I marked the support zone around 1.10649, and since then price action has respected that zone beautifully, forming higher lows and gaining steady upside momentum. Looking at current structure across the 11H, 20H, and 16D timeframes, I do not see any strong bearish momentum. If anything, the most recent pullback seems like a natural setup for continuation rather than reversal. 🟡 Key zones to watch: Support: 1.13636 (20HR Support) Demand reaction zone: 1.14443 – 1.15407 Resistance/Next target zone: 1.15729 – 1.16311 (Previous swing high) Upper target potential: 1.16921 We’ve already cleared the minor consolidation and are now holding above the support band. If we get a proper retest of the 1.14948 zone and hold, I expect continuation toward 1.16311, and potentially a breakout above 1.16921 if momentum follows through. ✅ Momentum Outlook: Bullish 📍 Bias: Long 🕰️ Trend: Mid-Term Swing (Higher Time Frame Confluence) If no macro news disrupts momentum, the technicals point toward a healthy continuation. Let's see if the retest confirms the move. 📊
Long
by MoNi_MoN
2
EURUSD:Sharing of the Trading Strategy for Next WeekAll the trading signals this week have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉 Fundamental Analysis： U.S. May retail sales unexpectedly declined, signaling weak consumption momentum and reinforcing expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts, weighing on the U.S. dollar. While the eurozone manufacturing PMI remains in contraction territory, a month-on-month improvement has supported the euro to some extent. Technical Analysis ： The MACD indicator stays above the zero line with bullish histogram alignment, indicating dominant bullish momentum.Bollinger Bands are slightly widening upward, with price trading above the middle band (support near 1.1500).The RSI at 55 suggests strong bullish sentiment.Price has found support multiple times in the 1.1520–1.1530 zone, forming a key support range. Trading Strategy: Initiate long positions after price stabilizes in the 1.1520–1.1530 zone on pullbacks. buy@ 1.15200–1.15300 TP:1.15800-1.16000 Share accurate trading signals daily—transform your life starting now! 👇 👇 👇 Obtain signals👉👉👉
Long
by MonicaLongman
1
EURUSD: Awaiting Confirmation to Continue the UptrendThe EUR/USD pair closed yesterday at 1.1550, moving within the 1.1526–1.1558 range. The euro continues its bullish trend, driven by U.S. inflation data coming in lower than expected, which increases expectations of an upcoming rate cut by the Fed. In addition, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East—particularly between Israel and Iran—have slightly weakened the U.S. dollar, providing additional support to the euro. From a technical perspective, the price is currently correcting toward the 1.1480 area, where the ascending trendline converges with the exponential moving average. This is a key support zone. If it holds and a clear bullish signal emerges, EURUSD could rebound and move toward the 1.1610 resistance level. Main scenario: look for buying opportunities around 1.1480 if a bullish confirmation appears, targeting 1.1610. Alternative scenario: if the 1.1480 level is broken, the short-term uptrend could be at risk.
Long
by Rocky_trade_
2