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EUR/USD - Weekly Outlook (Strong Plan)Hi all, This is a very strong and so far my favourite plan so far in this weekly outlook, let me explain.. Larger TF show clearly we are in a Bearish Run.. We shall keep jumping into this run to catch further profits. We can see lower Imbalance to take so at this point I will continue selling into the Higher TF Demand zone. Smaller TF we are looking to capture these strong pullbacks to jump into sells, so far we can notice price has respected this Supply Zone taking out the Buyside Liquidity. This is good confirmation that price now wants to seek lower Liquidity. We then follow price to notice a strong CHoCH before we see fundamentals pushing price strongly down during market closure last week. We caught a really nice buy setup to fill that Imbalance but now we have once again broken structure in smaller TF Now looking at were we are now with market closure we are in a range of which I would like to see price creep up into that dotted line being our Premium Range to get a good selling price to sell off to break further structure. Be sure to comment on your thoughts towards this trade Idea. Good luck to the traders that decide to follow
Short
by jamesibartram
EURUSD 10-14 Feb 2025 W7 - Weekly Analysis - US CPI/PPI/PowellThis is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 10-14 Feb 2025 W7 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following: Market Sentiment Weekly Chart Analysis Daily Chart Analysis 4H Chart Analysis Economic Events for the Week Market Sentiment Mixed Labor Market Signals The February 7 NFP report showed 143K new jobs (below expectations of 170K), signaling potential cooling in the labor market. However, strong wage growth (0.5% MoM, 4.1% YoY) and a 4% unemployment rate (down from 4.1%) suggest lingering inflationary pressures. Markets may interpret this as a "Goldilocks" scenario: cooling job growth could delay Fed rate hikes, but elevated wage inflation keeps stagflation risks alive. Tariff Volatility and Trade Uncertainty Trump’s tariffs (10% on China, delayed 25% on Canada/Mexico) dominate market psychology. While tariffs are a negotiation tool, their sudden implementation and reversal create uncertainty. For example: Automotive and energy sectors face direct risks due to integrated North American supply chains. Consumer goods (e.g., electronics, produce) may see price hikes, amplifying inflation fears. Retaliatory measures from China add to global trade tensions. Week major news events Fed’s Powell testifies ECB Lagarde Speech US CPI, PPI and Retail Sales EU GDP Given the forecasts and the recent NFP report showing slower job growth, market sentiment could be cautious. If the CPI and PPI readings come in higher than expected, it could reinforce concerns about inflation and lead to USD Strength. Investors might seek safe-haven assets. Conversely, if the CPI and PPI readings are in line with or lower than expectations, it could provide some relief to the markets and support a more positive sentiment which will lead to Weaker USD. Weekly Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bearish 🔹Internal Bearish 🔹In Swing Discount 🔹Swing Continuation Phase (Pro Swing + Pro Internal) 2️⃣ 🔹INT structure continuing bearish with iBOS following the Bearish Swing. (End of 2023 till end of 2024 was a pullback phase after the first bearish iBOS) 3️⃣ 🔹After the bearish iBOS we expect a pullback, price tapped into Monthly Demand and the liquidity below Nov 2022 which is above the weekly demand formed with the initiation of the bearish iBOS pullback phase. 🔹Price made a bullish CHoCH which indicated that the liquidity was enough as per previous week analysis to initiate a pullback phase for the bearish iBOS. 🔹Price pulled back after the Bullish CHoCH to the Weekly Demand formed and showed reaction after a volatile week. 🔹Price still looking bearish to target the Weak INT low to target the Weekly unmitigated demand. Ultimately targeting the Swing Weak Low. 🔹Noticing that the Bearish INT Low didn’t pullback to at least the INT Structure EQ (50%) so there is a chance that price could hold the current Weekly Demand to fulfil the i-BOS pullback phase which will require MTF to confirm this scenario. 🔹Expectation is set to Bearish continuation targeting the Weak INT Low and the unmitigated Weekly Demand. Daily Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bearish 🔹INT Bearish 🔹Swing Continuation Phase (Pro Swing + Pro Internal) 2️⃣ 🔹Following the Bearish Swing BOS, INT Structure continuing bearish tapping the weekly demand zone. 3️⃣ 🔹After the failure to close below the Weak INT Low, price continued bullish sweeping the liquidity above Dec 30 and mitigating a Daily supply zone within the INT Structure Premium Zone. 🔹With the mitigation of the Daily supply, price created a Bearish CHoCH signaling the end of the Pullback Phase of the INT structure and the start of the Bearish move targeting the Weak INT Low. 🔹Price failed for the 2nd time to close below the Weak INT Low after mitigating the Daily Demand formed from the failure to close below the Weak INT Low which triggered aggressive Bullish reaction and mitigating the Daily Supply Zone formed from the recent Bearish CHoCH. 🔹After Supply mitigation, price continued Bearish following the Bearish INT Structure continuation phase. 🔹Expectations is price to continue Bearish to target the Weak INT Low and hopefully we get a confirmed close which is fulfilling the Weekly target of continuing Bearish. 🔹Notice that if the Daily formed a Bullish CHoCH (Currently above the recent mitigated Supply) this will shift my outlook to the Weekly Scenario of a deep pullback of the Weekly INT Structure to at least the Structure EQ (50%). MTF required to shift Bullish to confirm. 4H Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bullish 🔹INT Bearish 🔹Reached Swing Extreme Demand 🔹Swing Continuation 2️⃣ 🔹With the deep pullback to the Bullish Swing extreme discount and mitigating the 4H/Daily demand zones, price turned Bullish forming a Bullish CHoCH. 🔹The current Bullish move from Swing extreme discount to current price level having 2 scenarios: Scenario 1: Pullback for Bearish INT Structure and with the recent Bearish CHoCK and Minor Demand zones are failing, I expect Bearish continuation to target the Weak INT Low which aligns with the Daily/Weekly Bearish Structure/Move. (Counter Swing – Pro Internal) Scenario 2: Bullish Swing continuation to target the Weak Swing High. Which requires to have Demand holding and Supply failing. The first sign required to confirm this scenario will be the current Demand which price is currently at to hold and we form a Bullish CHoCH. (Pro Swing – Counter Internal) 3️⃣ 🔹Expectations is set to Bearish to target the Weak INT Low as long LTFs are staying Bearish. Economic Events for the Week
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD H4 ANALYSIS- We are overall Bearish on EURUSD. Just from what i can see, there is only one POI "Point of interest" area that we can trade from. Make sure to wait for the price to retraced to the 'Poi' i marked above. Wait for a lower timeframe confirmation and rejection from the zone. There is some scenario that could potentially happen, and it could make me reconsidered to take a trade for that supply zone at all. "If the price ended up breaking the minor high with a displacement, i personally recommended you guys to avoid taking trades from that supply areas. All this Analysis is just from my own perspective only, hope you guys find this useful or at least having it as your second thought "Thank you"
Short
by KCJ_CC
EUR/USD is intertwined with downward pressure, and the direction EUR/USD has been in a consolidation phase recently, with prices fluctuating between a series of key levels, while bulls and bears are fiercely competing for market dominance. Support and resistance analysis: Resistance level: The current price is below the 1.0372 level, which is an important resistance area in the near future, and it also intersects with the downward trend line formed by the previous high of 1.0523. If the price cannot break through this area, it will continue to be under downward pressure. Support level: 1.0243 and 1.0189 below are important short-term and medium-term support levels, respectively. These two points have played the role of key rebound trigger points many times in historical trends. Pattern and trend interpretation: The recent trend shows multiple highs and lows, forming a wide range of shock channels. It is worth noting that the recent downward trend is more obvious, especially after encountering resistance near 1.0372, a lower high has appeared. The downward trend coincides with the Fibonacci retracement level, indicating that the market bearish sentiment has increased. Potential trend forecast: Short-term bearish: If the price continues to run below 1.0372 and falls below the current level, it is expected to further test the support area near 1.0300, and the downside target may extend to 1.0243 or even 1.0200. Medium- to long-term rebound opportunities: If the price stabilizes above 1.0300 and breaks through 1.0372, it may rebound with a target of 1.0450 and above. Trading strategy recommendations: Short strategy: If the price remains below 1.0372, aggressive traders may consider trying to enter a short position at the current level, with a stop loss set above 1.0400, and targets at 1.0300 and 1.0243 respectively. Long strategy: If the price rebounds and breaks through 1.0372, you can try a long position after a retracement confirmation, with a target set at 1.0450. Risk control: In view of the fierce competition between long and short positions in the market, it is recommended to operate with a light position and pay close attention to the breakthrough or break of key points. Summary: The current volatile trend of EUR/USD reflects the uncertainty of the market, but the trend is gradually leaning towards the short side. In the short term, pay attention to the attack and defense of 1.0372, which will determine the main direction in the next few days. Before the key support is broken, a rebound is still possible, but we need to be vigilant against sudden changes in the market.
Short
by RonPeter_Trading
EURUSD Will Move Lower! Short! Please, check our technical outlook for EURUSD. Time Frame: 1h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is on a crucial zone of supply 1.038. The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 1.035 level. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
EURUSD (BEARISH TREND AFTER CORRECTION)The expected price movement is based on a combination of key technical factors visible on the chart. The descending channel remains dominant, suggesting that the overall trend is still bearish. While the price is currently making a corrective move upward, it is likely to face strong resistance at 1.0438, a level that has previously acted as a barrier. If the price fails to break above this level and confirm bullish strength, sellers are expected to regain control, leading to a rejection. This would initiate a downward move, targeting the support level at 1.0348. A break below this support would reinforce the bearish momentum, pushing the price further down toward 1.0307. The overall structure suggests that any bullish attempts are likely to be temporary unless the price decisively breaks out of the descending channel and establishes stability above 1.0522. Until then, the bearish trend remains intact, and further declines are expected after minor upward corrections.
Short
by ArinaKarayi
EUR/USD Trade Idea: Bearish Continuation SetupEUR/USD has been maintaining a bearish trend on both the weekly and daily timeframes. Recently, after breaking the blue zone, price dumped sharply, hitting my first take profit (TP). However, it then retraced, stopping me out at breakeven (BE). I have now re-entered around 1.03609, anticipating further downside movement. For those looking to enter, I recommend waiting for a retracement to at least the first yellow zone before taking a short position. The primary profit target remains at 1.00755. This setup aligns with the overall bearish momentum, so patience and proper risk management are essential. Monitor price action carefully as we approach key levels. Bearish bias remains strong—let's see how the market plays out!
Short
by VENRAW
$EURUSD relative strength and the $DXY index Today we are dipping into the currency markets where we are plotting the FX:EURUSD and the TVC:DXY index in the same chart. Even if the TVC:DXY is making a local top @ 108 but the FX:EURUSD is not breaking below the 0.236 Fib retrenchment level. FX:EURUSD has shown great resilience every step of the way recently. This might indicate a local bottom on $EURUSD. If FX:EURUSD bounces back from the 0.236 fib retracement level watch out for the next 0.382 Fib level when the FX:EURUSD hits 1.062. The TVC:DXY is failing to make a new top on the weekly chart. So, with ECONOMICS:USM2 increasing and the supply of USD increasing in the market there might be some weakness in USD in the weeks to come. And if TVC:DXY tops out here and fails then FX:EURUSD will show some bullish trends because 60% of the TVC:DXY index is still in EUR.
Long
by RabishankarBiswal
EURUSD SELL NOW 🔥 EUR/USD QUEEN VIP SIGNAL! 🔥 📉 Bearish Move Expected! 🔹 Signal: EUR/USD is setting up for a strong drop after a possible retest. 🔹 Entry Zone: 1.03780 - 1.04091 🔹 Stop Loss: 1.04400 🔹 Target 1: 1.03200 🔹 Target 2: 1.02890 📌 Strategy: ✅ Wait for rejection in the entry zone. ✅ Secure profit by setting break-even after 30+ pips profit. ✅ Follow the Queen's accuracy and dominate the market! 💎 Perfect setup for a profitable ride! Let’s bank pips! 🚀👑💰
by FOREXQUEEN_1
EUR/USD Consolidates: Jobs Report Key Next EUR/USD is steady at $1.0382, awaiting the U.S. non-farm payrolls report. Markets expect the U.S. unemployment rate to stay at 4.1% with 170,000 jobs added in January, but population growth revisions could add volatility. The Euro faces pressure as the ECB remains cautious amid inflation and growth concerns. Traders await clearer signals from U.S. data and ECB guidance. A strong U.S. jobs report may push EUR/USD lower, while a weak one could support the Euro. From a technical perspective, resistance levels are at 1.0400, 1.0460, and 1.0515 if the price breaks higher. On the downside, support is at 1.0350, followed by 1.0220 and 1.0180.
by zForexcom