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U.S. DOLLAR / EURO REFERENCE RATE

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POST NEWS TRADING (EUR USD) - MAY 2025this is the back test result of post news trading of may 2025 . . . strategy summary: after high impact news (find at economic calendar) we wait for first 15 min candle to be closed then we put buy stop and sell stop at high and low of the candle . one order cancels other as soon as one is hit. sl would be one hour atr and tp 1.5 times that, exceptions: we don't trade if there is another news within an hour ... . . . cautions : although there is a promising result but its not the holy grail and it can have different out comes based on the pair and the month , every month the market can change and show different attitude .. . . . 📊 Statistical Summary: Number of trades: 12 Winning trades: 9 Losing trades: 3 Win rate: 75% Total pips: 246 pips Average pips per trade: 20.5 pips Max gain: 60 pips Max loss: -18 pips
by alisardari
Market next move 🔻 Disruptive Bearish Analysis: 🧱 1. Failed Breakout Attempt Price is hovering at resistance but showing indecisive candles (small bodies, wicks on both sides). This hints at buyer exhaustion rather than breakout momentum. 📉 2. Bearish Divergence (Possible) If momentum indicators (e.g., RSI or MACD—not shown here) are diverging from price, it could signal a reversal. Price rising while momentum flattens or drops suggests a fakeout is likely. 🕳️ 3. Liquidity Grab Trap The chart may show a classic “bull trap”: Price broke resistance briefly but quickly fell back. This signals institutional liquidity grab, possibly before a downward push. 🔽 4. Volume Imbalance The spike in volume earlier may be followed by decreasing bullish volume, indicating weak follow-through. Sellers could take over if bulls can’t sustain pressure.
Long
by Gold_Free_Signals
EUR/USD Eyes More Upside PotentialDuring the European session, the price showed a trend of first fluctuating and then rising sharply. Currently, the price is at 1.1433, higher than the intraday moving average of 1.1380, indicating that the bulls are in the dominant position. According to ING (International Netherlands Group), the EUR/USD has some intraday resistance at 1.1425, and above this level, it is expected to rise to 1.1500 in the short term. The euro has formed a bottom above 1.1200 and started a new round of upward movement against the US dollar. The EUR/USD has broken through the resistance level of 1.1280, with a bullish trend. The first major resistance level is at 1.1450. If the closing price is above the 1.1450 level, it may lay the foundation for another wave of upward movement. In this case, the currency pair may even break through the resistance level of 1.1500. The next major target for the bulls may be near the resistance level of 1.1580. Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term. Trading Strategy: buy@1.1300-1.1350 TP:1.1450-1.1500
Long
by Ashbur
EUR/USD Multi-Timeframe AnalysisAs we start a new trading week, let’s take a look at EUR/USD across multiple timeframes. Weekly EUR/USD has broken above a major resistance zone defined by the highs from both 2023 and 2024. That area was retested and has now held, with price starting to build above it. The RSI is climbing steadily and remains below overbought territory, suggesting there’s scope for further progress. Importantly, price action is also holding above the 200-week moving average, which adds weight to the bullish structure developing at the higher timeframe. EUR/USD Weekly Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Daily On the daily chart we can see the breakout and retest in more detail. The 50-day moving average has provided dynamic support, helping to establish a recent swing low as part of the retest. Since then, EUR/USD has pushed higher, respecting an ascending trendline that has now been tested multiple times. As long as price continues to respect that trendline and the 50-day average, the near- term bias remains to the upside. EUR/USD Daily Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results 4hr The four-hour chart helps assess how short-term momentum is developing. Price remains above the VWAP anchored to the May lows, with the 9 EMA also above the 21 EMA, showing that short-term trend and momentum are aligned. Price is now pushing towards a break above last week’s swing highs, and at this stage, there’s no clear sign of bearish divergence or slowdown. EUR/USD Four-Hour Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results 1hr The hourly chart gives us a closer look at recent action and can be useful for shaping entries. With the same indicators in place, we can see that price has now broken and closed above last week’s swing highs. That breakout, combined with the rising EMAs and supportive VWAP positioning, suggests that short-term momentum continues to favour the bulls. EUR/USD Hourly Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Summary: Across all timeframes, EUR/USD is showing a consistent bullish structure. The weekly and daily charts confirm that the breakout above last year’s highs has held and is now building. On the four- hour and hourly timeframes, short-term momentum indicators remain supportive, and price is already pressing into new ground above last week’s highs. As things stand, the trend remains intact, with no signs yet of reversal or fatigue. Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents. Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 85.24% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
by Capitalcom
EUR/USD – Bullish Breakout Setting Up? | H1 Analysis by WaverVan🔍 Technical Outlook The Euro is showing signs of bullish continuation following a clean reclaim of the equilibrium zone (1.13226), backed by strong volume and impulsive structure. We’ve now entered a high-probability decision zone just beneath a Premium Supply Block (1.1375–1.1400). 📌 Key Technical Confluences 🔺 Fair Value Gap (FVG) Filled with price pushing into premium 📉 Previous Break of Structure (BoS) followed by a Change of Character (CHoCH) confirms bullish intent 🌀 Fib Cluster (0.786 - 1.0) rejection turned into support 📈 Volume Surge on bullish engulfing confirms strong interest at 1.1260–1.1320 (Discount Zone) 🧠 Smart Money likely targeting Liquidity above Weak High @ 1.14329 📐 Target Zones 🎯 Short-Term TP1: 1.14329 (Liquidity above weak high) 🎯 TP2: 1.15009 (1.618 Fib Extension) 🛑 Invalidation: Break below 1.13226 equilibrium structure 🧮 Probabilities 📊 Bullish Continuation: ~68% based on confluences and volume thrust 📉 Rejection at Premium Zone (1.1400–1.1430): ~32% if DXY strengthens or macro reverses 🌐 Macro Context ECB remains relatively dovish while USD shows temporary weakness Market pricing mild Fed easing later in the year, creating tailwinds for EUR Watch Friday's NFP for volatility risk 📢 Trader Guidance ⚠️ If price retests 1.1355–1.1370 and holds, aggressive longs targeting 1.1432+ are justified. 📉 Protect against reversal near 1.1400–1.1430 zone. 📆 Swing traders: Consider trailing stop once 1.14329 is tagged. 📍Posted by WaverVanir International LLC Pushing financial insight through technical intelligence #EURUSD #Forex #SmartMoney #SMC #Fibonacci #VolumeProfile #WaverVanir #TradingStrategy #LiquidityZones #Breakout
Long
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
EUR/USD 4H Chart Analysis – May 29, 2025🔍 Market Structure Overview Current Price: 1.12753 Key Zone: Price is hovering at a critical resistance-turned-support area. 🧱 Key Levels Resistance Zone: 1.15639 (🔝 Main Target) Support Zone: 1.10736 (🔻 Main Target) Intermediate Zones: Target One (Bullish): 1.14139 📈 Target One (Bearish): 1.11687 📉 🔄 Scenario Outlook 📈 Bullish Scenario: If price holds above the 1.1275 zone, we could see a climb towards: 1.14139 (minor target) 1.15639 (major resistance & final target) 🚀 Breakout above could indicate continuation of higher highs. 📉 Bearish Scenario: Failure to hold above 1.1275 could push price lower: First support at 1.11687 Final drop towards 1.10736 support zone 🪓 Breakdown could confirm lower low structure. 🧠 Conclusion This is a decision point zone. Wait for confirmation before jumping in. A strong bullish or bearish candle at this level will dictate the next move. Risk management is key here! 🎯
by VikingFx-Community
EUR/USD - continue with the UptrendOn EUR/USD , it's nice to see a strong buying reaction at the price of 1.12890 and 1.12460 . There's a significant accumulation of contracts in this area, indicating strong buyer interest. I believe that buyers who entered at this level will defend their long positions. If the price returns to this area, strong buyers will likely push the market up again. Uptrend and high volume cluster are the main reasons for my decision to go long on this trade. Happy trading Dale
by Trader_Dale
2
EURUSD is moving within the 1.12265 - 1.14380 range👀 Possible scenario: The euro (EUR) rose 0.29% on June 2 as renewed trade tensions, sparked by Trump’s plan to double steel and aluminum tariffs from June 4, weighed on market sentiment. Beijing denied Trump's claims of a trade agreement breach, dimming hopes for near-term diplomacy. Markets now eye a possible Trump-Xi meeting and upcoming U.S. economic data, including the ISM Manufacturing PMI at 2:00 p.m. UTC and Friday’s jobs report. These releases could drive volatility and shape expectations for the U.S. dollar. ✅ Support and Resistance Levels Now, the support level is located at 1.12265. Resistance level is located at 1.14380.
by MaxOnMarkets
1
Market Insights with Gary Thomson: 2 - 6 JuneMarket Insights with Gary Thomson: BoC & ECB Rates, Canada and US Job Data & Earnings Reports In this video, we’ll explore the key economic events, market trends, and corporate news shaping the financial landscape. Get ready for expert insights into forex, commodities, and stocks to help you navigate the week ahead. Let’s dive in! In this episode, we discuss: — BoC’s Interest Rate Decision — ECB’s Interest Rate Decision — Unemployment Rate in Canada — NFP and Unemployment Rate in the US — Corporate Earnings Statements Don’t miss out—gain insights to stay ahead in your trading journey. This video represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen