USDEUX trade ideas
EURUSD Forms Rising Wedge + Evening Star_ Bearish SetupAs I expected in the previous idea , the EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) started to rise after breaking the upper line of the descending channel and hit the Long Position target with Risk-To-Reward: 1.46 .
The EURUSD is trading near the Resistance zone($1.149-$1.142) .
From a Classic Technical perspective, EURUSD appears to be completing a Rising Wedge Reversal Pattern . Also, a good sign for a EURUSD reversal is the formation of an Evening Star Candlestick Pattern near the upper line of the rising wedge pattern.
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , I think the EURUSD corrective waves are NOT over yet, and it seems that EURUSD has completed the main wave X inside the rising wedge pattern.
I expect EURUSD to decline to at least $1.126 AFTER breaking the lower line of the wedge pattern.
Note: If EURUSD touches $1.14903 , we can expect more pump.
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Euro/U.S. Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 4-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
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Market next move 🔍 Original Analysis Summary:
Bearish Setup: Price is expected to break down from the small consolidation area (highlighted in red box).
Projection: A drop toward the lower target zone (~1.13200–1.13300).
Trigger: Likely based on rejection from minor resistance and upcoming U.S. economic data (flag icons).
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⚠️ Disruption (Bullish/Neutral Counter-View):
1. Support Holding Firm
The price has tested the red box area multiple times without a clear breakdown.
This could signal strong demand/support around 1.13600, invalidating the bearish momentum.
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2. Volume Spike on Bullish Candles
Notable bullish volume spikes suggest buyers are stepping in at current levels, defending support.
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3. Potential Bullish Reversal Pattern
The red box resembles a bullish flag or rectangle, often a continuation pattern — not necessarily a bearish signal.
If price breaks above 1.13700, it may trigger buy stop orders, fueling a rally.
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4. Favorable Euro Fundamentals
The eurozone flag icon suggests EU news is also pending. If this is hawkish or better than expected, EUR/USD could rally sharply, invalidating the bearish outlook.
EURUSDHello, I hope you have a good day ❤
Please don't forget to support us so that our activities can continue!🚀
The trend of the above times is completely upward and this move is not far from expected.
But since it is the first week of the new month, be sure to observe capital management.
Be profitable💲💎
Fundamental Market Analysis for June 2, 2025 EURUSDEUR/USD is recovering its recent losses recorded during the previous session, trading around 1.13700 on Monday during Asian hours. The pair is strengthening amid a weakening US dollar (USD) after the US Court of Appeals ruled on Thursday to allow US President Donald Trump's tariffs to take effect.
On Wednesday, a panel of three judges at the International Trade Court in Manhattan said Trump had exceeded his authority by imposing broad import tariffs and ruled the orders issued on April 2 illegal.
On Friday, President Trump said at a rally in Pennsylvania that he plans to double import tariffs on steel and aluminum to increase pressure on global steel producers and escalate the trade war. “We are going to impose a 25 percent increase. We are going to raise tariffs on steel imported into the United States from 25 percent to 50 percent, which will further strengthen the steel industry in the United States,” he said, according to Reuters.
On Saturday, the European Commission (EC) warned that Europe is ready to respond to President Trump's plan to double tariffs on imported steel and aluminum, which would escalate the trade war between the world's two largest economic powers.
Trading recommendation: BUY 1.13600, SL 1.13200, TP 1.14200
Important week ahead for EURUSDEURUSD is currently in an uptrend, and we expect this bullish momentum to continue throughout the week.
At this stage, buying opportunities remain the focus, with the next targets set at 1,1427 and 1,1563.
Several key economic events are also on the horizon and are likely to impact the market.
On Thursday, the ECB is expected to cut interest rates, followed by the release of U.S. Non-Farm Payroll data on Friday.
EUR/USD CHART PATTERN.MY EUR/USD trade setup based on the 2-hour chart pattern:
🔻 Trade Type: Short (Sell)
Entry: 1.13500
Resistance (Invalidation / Strong Resistance): 1.14140
Targets:
🎯 Target 1: 1.11300
🎯 Target 2 (Final): 1.10675
⚖️ Risk-Reward Overview
Target Reward (pips) Risk (pips) R:R Ratio
1st Target 220 64 3.44
2nd Target 282.5 64 4.41
🔹 Risk (in pips) = Resistance – Entry = 1.14140 – 1.13500 = 64 pips
🔹 Reward to 1st target = 220 pips
🔹 Reward to final target = 282.5 pips
📉 Chart Pattern Assumptions
You mentioned a 2H pattern—though you didn’t specify, based on price action this could be:
Bearish flag, double top, or rising wedge breakdown near resistance.
✅ Summary:
Excellent risk-reward profile
Tight resistance for SL
Targets are realistic if momentum shifts lower
Consider partial TP at 1.11300 and trail stop to breakeven for 1.10675
EURUSD H1 | Bullish Bounce Off Based on the H1 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 1.1284, a pullback support that aligns closely with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit is set at 1.1367, a pullback resistance.
The stop loss is placed at 1.1229, a multi swing low support.
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EURSUD InsightGreetings to all subscribers.
Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to like and subscribe.
Key Points
- U.S. President Trump stated via Truth Social that China had completely violated the agreement with the U.S. Some media outlets reported that additional sanctions targeting China were being prepared. However, concerns over the U.S.-China trade conflict were eased after Trump said, “I am confident that I will speak with President Xi Jinping of China, and I hope we can resolve this issue.”
- President Trump announced an increase in tariffs on steel and aluminum from 25% to 50%, effective June 4. The EU immediately expressed strong regret over this decision.
- The U.S. Core PCE Price Index for April rose 2.5% YoY, and the headline PCE rose 2.1% YoY, both coming in below market expectations, thereby easing inflation concerns.
Key Economic Events This Week
+ June 2: Fed Chair Jerome Powell's speech
+ June 3: Eurozone May Consumer Price Index (CPI)
+ June 4: Bank of Canada interest rate decision
+ June 5: ECB interest rate decision
+ June 6: U.S. May Nonfarm Payrolls & Unemployment Rate
EURUSD Chart Analysis
Although it was expected to break through the resistance line smoothly, the pair encountered resistance around the 1.14000 level and pulled back to the central trendline. Since then, it has shown a renewed upward trend, supported by the trendline. If it successfully breaks through the 1.14000 level, a rise toward 1.16000 can be anticipated. However, if it fails to break the resistance, there is a possibility of a downward shift below the central trendline. In that case, a new strategy will be formulated.
USDEUR Long Trade Analysis – 30m Chart!📈
✅ Trade Setup Summary
Pair: USDEUR (USD vs. Euro)
Timeframe: 30-minute
Trade Type: Long (Buy)
Entry Zone: ~0.8795
Stop Loss: ~0.8766 (below yellow support zone)
Target Zone: ~0.8836 (mid-resistance)
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Good (~1:2+)
🔍 Technical Insights
Falling Wedge Breakout Attempt:
Price is breaking out from a downward wedge (pink trendlines).
Support holding strong around the 0.8766 zone (yellow).
Double Retest Circle:
Prior breakout level (left) and current (right) show confluence — strengthening the long bias.
Immediate Resistance:
0.8812 (yellow line)
0.8836 (blue horizontal resistance – TP zone)
📌 Trade Confidence Signals
✅ Previous breakout zone retested successfully
🔼 Reversal pattern with higher low
📏 Risk well-defined; tight SL and decent upside
EUR/USD Update: Bullish Outlook Towards 1.14190 and BeyondHi Everyone,
As we projected in our analysis last week, EUR/USD corrected throughout the week and approached a retest of the 1.12000 level.
We expect the price to potentially retest 1.12000 and confirm it as support before advancing further to challenge the May 26 high of 1.14190. This would further reinforce our outlook for a potential long-term bullish trend.
Of course, the price could also challenge the 1.14190 high without a second retracement, should there be strong buying pressure early in the week. A successful breach of this level would likely drive the price higher towards the 1.15240 level.
We will provide further updates on the expected path for EUR/USD should the price reach this target.
The longer-term outlook remains bullish, with expectations for the rally to extend toward the 1.2000 level, provided the price holds above the key support at 1.10649.
We will continue to update you throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas and positions. Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we appreciate the support!
All the best for the week ahead. Trade safe.
BluetonaFX
Bearish reversal off pullback resistance?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is rising towards the pivot, which is a pullback resistance, and could drop to the 1st support, which is a pullback support.
Pivot: 1.1521
1st Support: 1.1065
1st Resistance: 1.1665
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EUR/USD) Bearish breakout analysis Read The ChaptianSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of EUR/USD on the 1-hour timeframe, likely projecting a short-term downward move. Here’s a breakdown of the technical analysis and the trade idea:
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Key Elements in the Chart:
1. Bearish Rejection from Resistance:
Price was rejected twice near the 1.14400 resistance zone (highlighted in yellow).
The red arrows mark double rejection at this level, suggesting strong selling pressure.
2. Break of Rising Channel:
Price was previously moving inside a rising channel.
Recent price action shows a clear breakdown below the lower trendline, indicating trend reversal.
3. 200 EMA (Exponential Moving Average):
EMA is around 1.13188 and price is below it, reinforcing bearish momentum.
EMA also acted as dynamic resistance after the channel breakdown.
4. Target Zone – Support Area:
The yellow support zone around 1.10911 is the target point.
This was a previous area of price consolidation and demand.
5. RSI (Relative Strength Index):
RSI is near 51, hovering around the neutral zone.
Not strongly bearish yet, but room remains to drop toward oversold if the downtrend continues.
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Trade Idea Summary:
Bias: Bearish
Scenario:
Price has broken a key structure and is retesting the breakdown.
Expect continuation toward the 1.10900 support zone.
Entry Zone:
Near current price (~1.13400–1.13500), ideally on a retest of the EMA or broken trendline.
Target:
1.10911 (highlighted support level).
Stop-Loss (Invalidation):
A break and close back above the resistance zone (~1.14000–1.14200).
Mr SMC Trading point
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Conclusion:
This is a high-probability bearish setup following a structure break, retest, and double top rejection. It targets a move back down toward a previously strong support level, with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
Week of 6/1/25: EU AnalysisEU 1h and 4h structure are bearish, but there was a large rejection of the daily CHoCH last week leading to large bullish price movement. Our 1h internal structure is bullish, so we will follow that trend for now.
Major news:
PMI - Monday
PMI/ADP NFP - Wed
Unemployment Claims - Thurs
NFP/Unemployment rate - Friday
EURUSD is in a Downside DirectionHello Traders
In This Chart EURUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today EURUSD analysis 👆
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This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
EURUSD: Bearish Continuation
The recent price action on the EURUSD pair was keeping me on the fence, however, my bias is slowly but surely changing into the bearish one and I think we will see the price go down.
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EUR/USD continues to trade below a key resistance zoneEUR/USD continues to trade below a key resistance zone, indicating persistent weakness and a lack of strong bullish momentum. At this stage, a breakout above the resistance appears unlikely in the short term. As such, we anticipate a corrective move to the downside, targeting the identified support levels.
you may find more details in the chart.
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The double top chart patternThe claim boss breaking the neckline show strength of sellers coming into the market structure on the neckline is building a structure on the 15m building a head of shoulder chart pattern so watch out for the momentum that breaks the neckline and the pullback into the neckline once you see the exhaustion pullback coming in Play please begin by clicking tothe sell button
The range of 1.12-1.14 becomes an "arena"!The EUR/USD exhibited a narrow trading range on the last trading day of this week, with market focus in the evening centered on the upcoming release of the U.S. April core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index data, one of the Federal Reserve's most closely watched inflation indicators. Recently, the U.S. dollar has remained strong amid the Fed's hawkish stance and risk aversion triggered by tariff rhetoric, while the euro has shown some resilience but lacks a clear direction amid a mix of fundamental and technical factors.
Looking ahead, the trajectory of EUR/USD will largely depend on the upcoming U.S. core PCE data and market repricing of Fed policy. If the PCE data meets expectations (month-on-month 0.1%, year-on-year 2.5%), the euro is likely to continue oscillating within the range of 1.1270 to 1.1435, with limited short-term potential to break above the upper Bollinger Band at 1.1435. If the data surprises on the upside, the U.S. dollar could strengthen further, and the euro may test support levels at 1.1200 or even 1.1108. Conversely, if the data is weak, market expectations for a July rate cut by the Fed may intensify, and the euro could challenge resistance at 1.1400 and higher levels.
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